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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">Front. Trop. Dis</journal-id>
<journal-title>Frontiers in Tropical Diseases</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="pubmed">Front. Trop. Dis</abbrev-journal-title>
<issn pub-type="epub">2673-7515</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name>Frontiers Media S.A.</publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.3389/fitd.2021.771030</article-id>
<article-categories>
<subj-group subj-group-type="heading">
<subject>Tropical Diseases</subject>
<subj-group>
<subject>Policy Brief</subject>
</subj-group>
</subj-group>
</article-categories>
<title-group>
<article-title>Achievements, Gaps, and Emerging Challenges in Controlling Malaria in Ethiopia</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes">
<name>
<surname>Yalew</surname>
<given-names>Amsalu Woldie</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="author-notes" rid="fn001">
<sup>*</sup>
</xref>
<uri xlink:href="https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/1467739"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
<institution>Department of Environmental Sciences, Informatics and Statistics, Ca&#x2019; Foscari University of Venice</institution>, <addr-line>Venice</addr-line>, <country>Italy</country>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
<institution>Economic Analysis of Climate Impacts and Policy Division, Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change</institution>, <addr-line>Venice</addr-line>, <country>Italy</country>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
<institution>RFF-CMCC European Institute on Economics and the Environment</institution>, <addr-line>Venice</addr-line>, <country>Italy</country>
</aff>
<author-notes>
<fn fn-type="edited-by">
<p>Edited by: Son H. Nghiem, Griffith Health, Griffith University, Australia</p>
</fn>
<fn fn-type="edited-by">
<p>Reviewed by: Megha Raj Banjara, Tribhuvan University, Nepal; Jun Feng, Shanghai Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention (SCDC), China</p>
</fn>
<fn fn-type="corresp" id="fn001">
<p>*Correspondence: Amsalu Woldie Yalew, <email xlink:href="mailto:amsaluwoldie.yalew@unive.it">amsaluwoldie.yalew@unive.it</email> </p>
</fn>
<fn fn-type="other" id="fn002">
<p>This article was submitted to Disease Prevention and Control Policy, a section of the journal Frontiers in Tropical Diseases</p>
</fn>
</author-notes>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>25</day>
<month>01</month>
<year>2022</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="collection">
<year>2021</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2</volume>
<elocation-id>771030</elocation-id>
<history>
<date date-type="received">
<day>05</day>
<month>09</month>
<year>2021</year>
</date>
<date date-type="accepted">
<day>09</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2021</year>
</date>
</history>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright &#xa9; 2022 Yalew</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2022</copyright-year>
<copyright-holder>Yalew</copyright-holder>
<license xlink:href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">
<p>This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.</p>
</license>
</permissions>
<abstract>
<p>Controlling malaria is one of the top health sector priorities in Ethiopia. The concrete prevention, control, and treatment interventions undertaken in the past two decades have substantially reduced the morbidity and mortality attributable to malaria. Emboldened by these past achievements, Ethiopia envisages to eliminate malaria by 2030. Realizing this ambition, however, needs to further strengthen the financial, technical, and institutional capacities to address the current as well as emerging challenges. It particularly needs to step up measures pertaining to diagnosis, domestic resource mobilization, vector surveillance, and seasonal weather forecasting.</p>
</abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd>malaria risk</kwd>
<kwd>malaria control</kwd>
<kwd>malaria funding</kwd>
<kwd>health policy</kwd>
<kwd>Ethiopia</kwd>
</kwd-group>
<counts>
<fig-count count="3"/>
<table-count count="1"/>
<equation-count count="0"/>
<ref-count count="48"/>
<page-count count="6"/>
<word-count count="2765"/>
</counts>
</article-meta>
</front>
<body>
<sec id="s1">
<title>Highlights</title>
<list list-type="bullet">
<list-item>
<p>Ethiopia has made a remarkable progress in terms of controlling malaria, especially, since 2004.</p>
</list-item>
<list-item>
<p>It is further campaigning towards a &#x201c;malaria free Ethiopia&#x201d;.</p>
</list-item>
<list-item>
<p>This requires building strong cross-sectoral and cross-border coordination capacity.</p>
</list-item>
<list-item>
<p>It also needs to scale up research and surveillance on emerging malaria vectors.</p>
</list-item>
<list-item>
<p>The implications of irrigation and hydropower dams on malaria transmission should not be undermined.</p>
</list-item>
</list>
</sec>
<sec id="s2" sec-type="intro">
<title>Introduction</title>
<p>Malaria is one of the major infectious tropical diseases with substantial socio-economic repercussions in the sub-Saharan Africa region. In 2019, WHO&#x2019;s African Region accounted for about 94% of malaria cases while only six African countries (Nigeria, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Tanzania, Mozambique, Niger, and Burkina Faso) accounted for about 51% of all malaria deaths globally (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1">1</xref>). The number of estimated malaria cases in Africa in 2019 were 215 million (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1">1</xref>).</p>
<p>Malaria-related morbidity and mortality entail substantial private costs (e.g., direct costs due to clinical treatments, and indirect costs due to reduced labor productivity) and societal costs (e.g., increasing public health expenditure, and effects on labor, investment, and tourism flows) in many tropical countries (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B2">2</xref>).</p>
<p>Currently, more than 50% of the population in Ethiopia is exposed to the risk of malaria infection (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B3">3</xref>&#x2013;<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">5</xref>). Despite the range of prevention measures undertaken in the last two decades, malaria remains to be one of the top ten causes of morbidity and mortality in Ethiopia (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B6">6</xref>) with substantial repercussions for the macroeconomy (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">7</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B8">8</xref>). The effects of malaria propel into the macroeconomy through two main channels. The first is through agricultural labor productivity changes as the malaria transmission seasons (September to December, and April to May) coincide with the main agriculture harvest seasons (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">5</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">7</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B8">8</xref>). Agriculture is the main source of employment (&#x2248; 75%) and merchandise export earnings (&#x2248; 80%) in Ethiopia (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B9">9</xref>). The second way is through government budget allocation and fiscal balance as government is the main health service provider (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B4">4</xref>). Seen against the forgoing conditions in Ethiopia, even a marginal increase in the risk of malaria has profound socio-economic implications making malaria disease public health as well as economic problem (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B8">8</xref>).</p>
<p>It is therefore important to assess the status of malaria risk, and to continuously evaluate the prevention and control measures in the country. It is equally important to identify the existing policy and implementation gaps, and emerging challenges that may undermine (or even reverse) the progress made so far. This paper aims to contribute its part in this regard. It briefly discusses the status of malaria risk, the past achievements, gaps, and emerging challenges in fighting malaria in Ethiopia. The study is a narrative overview that aims to briefly synthesize the existing knowledge, and to draw implications for future research and policy makers (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B10">10</xref>&#x2013;<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B12">12</xref>).</p>
<p>The remainder of the paper is structured as follows. Section 2 gives a brief overview of the malaria risk in Ethiopia. Section 3 succinctly presents the malaria prevention and control measures followed by the past achievements, the current gaps, and emerging issues related to malaria control measures in Section 4. This is followed by some recommendations in Section 5, and conclusions in Section 6.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s3">
<title>Overview of Malaria Risk</title>
<p>Malaria transmission in Ethiopia is seasonal, unstable, and often characterized by highly focal and large-scale cyclic epidemics (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1">1</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">7</xref>). Areas lying at altitudes between 1600 and 2000 meters above sea level (masl) are in general epidemic prone hypo-endemic zones of malaria (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B4">4</xref>) although some studies could also detected malaria in areas higher than 2000 masl (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">5</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">7</xref>). Altitude, climate, environmental changes (e.g., due to dams, roads construction, agricultural projects), and housing conditions are important determinants of malaria risk and transmission in Ethiopia (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B3">3</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">7</xref>). Overall, more than 50% of the total population in Ethiopia is exposed to the risk of malaria infection (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B3">3</xref>&#x2013;<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">5</xref>). Every year, four to five million people are affected by malaria (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B3">3</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B13">13</xref>) while a major epidemic occurs every five to eight years (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">7</xref>).</p>
<p>The reported malaria cases remain higher than one million cases per annum. On an average, about 1.6 million malaria cases (more than 60% is related to the P. <italic>falciparum</italic> species) are reported between 2010 and 2019 (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1">1</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">5</xref>). The rate of the P. <italic>falciparum</italic> species is especially higher in the lowland regions (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">7</xref>).</p>
<p>There are five distinct malaria risk strata classified based on annual parasite incidence (API) per 1,000 population, elevation, and expert opinions (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">7</xref>). According to the latest malaria risk classification, about 18% of the population lives in high (API &#x2265; 50) and moderate (10 &#x2264; API &lt; 50) risk strata. Such classifications are important as they facilitate the design and implementation of most appropriate interventions per strata (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">5</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">7</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B14">14</xref>). It worth noting here that the latest stratification (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">7</xref>) and percentage distribution of population living under each risk stratum is different from the previous stratifications and percentage distributions such as, for example, the one in 2014 (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B14">14</xref>). <xref ref-type="fig" rid="f1">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;1</bold>
</xref> collates the two stratification maps together. See also that the latest stratification adds one more stratum which is very low risk.</p>
<fig id="f1" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;1</label>
<caption>
<p>Malaria risk stratification in Ethiopia, 2014 <bold>(A)</bold>, and 2020 <bold>(B)</bold>.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fitd-02-771030-g001.tif"/>
</fig>
</sec>
<sec id="s4">
<title>Policy Responses to Malaria</title>
<p>Ethiopia has been fighting malaria through formal institutions for more than five decades (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">5</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B13">13</xref>). Today, malaria is one of its top national health and economic development priorities (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">7</xref>). In line with this, especially since 2004, the Government of Ethiopia together with its international partners has implemented a series of malaria prevention, control, and elimination programs (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">7</xref>) including preparing malaria guidelines (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B15">15</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">16</xref>) and strategies (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">7</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B17">17</xref>&#x2013;<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B19">19</xref>), and conducting surveys (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B14">14</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B20">20</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B21">21</xref>). The guidelines present detailed procedures on implementing and reporting various malaria vector control, diagnosis and treatment, and surveillance and response activities (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B15">15</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">16</xref>). The periodic surveys produce evidence needed to formulate as well as evaluate different policy measures. All in all, policy wise, Ethiopia is stepping up its efforts to move from controlling (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B17">17</xref>) to eliminating (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">7</xref>) malaria.</p>
<p>Ethiopia started scaling up prevention and control measures in 2004 (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">5</xref>). Notable large-scale interventions include distribution of long-lasting insecticidal nets (LLINs), and indoor residual spraying (IRS), and introduction of additional diagnosis and treatment mechanisms such as artemisinin-based combination therapy (ACT), artemether lumefantrine (AL), and rapid diagnostic test (RDT) (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">5</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">7</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B13">13</xref>). Furthermore, in 2010 it started implementing test-treat policy, i.e., administration of antimalarial drugs based on test results (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">5</xref>). <xref ref-type="fig" rid="f2">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;2</bold>
</xref>, which is adapted from (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">5</xref>), depicts the timeline for major interventions between 1995 and 2016.</p>
<fig id="f2" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;2</label>
<caption>
<p>Timeline of major malaria control, diagnosis, and treatment interventions in Ethiopia, 1995-2016.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fitd-02-771030-g002.tif"/>
</fig>
<p>Remarkable progress has been made afterwards. The share of households in malarious areas (&#x2264; 2000 masl) that possess at least one LLINs and received IRS have, respectively, reached 85% and 93% in 2019 (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B22">22</xref>). The introduction of RDTs in 2004 was a significant step forward in terms of case detection and management (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B3">3</xref>) since RDTs are easy to use and to deploy in rural areas (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B23">23</xref>) where 80% of Ethiopians live. These mass scale deployment of malaria specific inputs were also accompanied by the deployment of health extension workers (HEW) in rural areas which conduct home-to-home outreach activities, and provide basic curative, promotive, and preventive services at health posts (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B24">24</xref>).</p>
<p>The malaria-specific interventions are also complemented with the overall increase in the number of health infrastructure (e.g., public health facilities and professionals) which profoundly improved malaria case management (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B13">13</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B24">24</xref>). Notwithstanding the limitations, currently, about 68% of the facilities in the country offers malaria diagnosis or treatment (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B4">4</xref>). <xref ref-type="table" rid="T1">
<bold>Table&#xa0;1</bold>
</xref> presents the key trends in public health services, in malaria control measures, and in malaria disease in the past two decades.</p>
<table-wrap id="T1" position="float">
<label>Table&#xa0;1</label>
<caption>
<p>Public health services, malaria interventions, and malaria disease in Ethiopia, 2000-2019.</p>
</caption>
<table frame="hsides">
<thead>
<tr>
<th valign="top" align="left">Indicator</th>
<th valign="top" align="center">Unit</th>
<th valign="top" align="center">2000/01</th>
<th valign="top" align="center">2004/05</th>
<th valign="top" align="center">2009/10</th>
<th valign="top" align="center">2014/15</th>
<th valign="top" align="center">2018/19</th>
<th valign="top" align="center">Source</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="top" colspan="8" align="left">
<bold>Public Health Services</bold>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Health facilities</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Number</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">3,502</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">6,162</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">16,450</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">20,183</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">21,154</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"> (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B22">22</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B25">25</xref>&#x2013;<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B28">28</xref>)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Health professionals</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Number</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">19,529</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">19,823</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">39,558</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">71,529</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">87,800</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"> (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B22">22</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B25">25</xref>&#x2013;<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B28">28</xref>)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Health extension workers</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Number</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">2,737</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">34,396</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">42,336</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">42,336</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"> (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B22">22</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B25">25</xref>&#x2013;<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B28">28</xref>)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" colspan="8" align="left">
<bold>Malaria interventions</bold>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Households in the malarious areas with IRS conducted during the year</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Percent</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">10.5</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">20</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">57.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">90</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">93</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"> (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B20">20</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B22">22</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B25">25</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B26">26</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B29">29</xref>)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Households in malarious area that have at least one LLINs</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Percent</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">5.7</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">68.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">55.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">63.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">85</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"> (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B4">4</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B20">20</xref>&#x2013;<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B22">22</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B25">25</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B29">29</xref>)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" colspan="8" align="left">
<bold>Malaria disease</bold>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Incidence of malaria (per 1,000 population at risk)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Number</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">157</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">190</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">126</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">55</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">32</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"> (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B30">30</xref>)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Malaria deaths (per 100,000 people)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Number</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">29.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">29.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">3.7</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">2.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">3.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"> (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B30">30</xref>) </td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table-wrap-foot>
<fn>
<p>Health facilities in 2000/01 and 2004/05 include non-public facilities. Health professionals include physicians, health officer, nurses, pharmacist, laboratory technicians, and environmental and sanitation experts. Deploying health extension workers started in 2004. The percentages for the IRS in 2000/01 and 2004/05 are relative to total households in the country while the percentage for the LLINs in 2000/01 refer to any type of mosquito nets.</p>
</fn>
</table-wrap-foot>
</table-wrap>
</sec>
<sec id="s5">
<title>Achievements, Gaps, and Emerging Issues</title>
<sec id="s5_1">
<title>Achievements</title>
<p>The range of malaria prevention and control measures discussed in the preceding section are paying off. Mortality and morbidity attributable to malaria have significantly declined (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">7</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B30">30</xref>). The number of deaths due to malaria declined by 54% between 2000 and 2016 (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B31">31</xref>) while the age-standardized mortality rate of malaria has declined by 96.5% between 1990 and 2015 (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B32">32</xref>). Ethiopia is also on a good track in terms of meeting its Global Technical Strategy for Malaria (2016-2030) (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1">1</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">7</xref>).</p>
<p>These past achievements encouraged the country to set more ambitious future goals. It envisages to reduce malaria morbidity and mortality, relative to 2020, by 50% in 2025 and to eliminate malaria by 2030 (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">7</xref>). More specifically, it aims to reduce malaria deaths per 100,000 population at risk (from 0.36 to 0.1), and the number of reported cases (from 1.7 million to 0.7 million) between 2019/20 and 2025/26 (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">7</xref>). Seen against these past achievements and the ongoing efforts, Ethiopia&#x2019;s aim to eliminate malaria by 2030 seems ambitious but attainable. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B13">13</xref>). There are however outstanding gaps and emerging challenges that should be addressed to keep this momentum of fighting malaria. Some of them are highlighted below.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s5_2">
<title>Gaps</title>
<p>Diagnosis is one of the key factors in controlling and eliminating malaria. In Ethiopia, 63% of the health facilities provide malaria diagnosis testing (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B4">4</xref>). Of the alternative methods of malaria diagnosis (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B33">33</xref>), a microscopic diagnosis allows for the identification of parasitemia percentage, parasitic morphology, and speciation (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B23">23</xref>). The microscopic diagnosis in Ethiopia is limited. Health facilities that offered malaria diagnosis by microscopy (17%) was much lower than health facilities that offered diagnosis by clinical symptoms (42%) and RDT (54%) (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B4">4</xref>). Diagnosis by microscopy is available only in 7% of the rural health facilities (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B4">4</xref>). This represents a major diagnosis capacity gap seen against the fact that about 80% of the population lives in rural areas (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">7</xref>) with poor housing conditions, and thus at higher risk of infection (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B3">3</xref>). A recent review on the relative advantages and limitations of different malaria diagnostic methods can be found in (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B23">23</xref>). The readiness for malaria diagnostic capacity is 55% in private health facilities compared to 80% in government health facilities (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B4">4</xref>).</p>
<p>On the other hand, sufficient and sustained amount of funding is required to keep the momentum of fighting malaria (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B24">24</xref>). The generous funding from external sources has been one of the major reasons behind the past success (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">5</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B13">13</xref>). Development assistance, for instance, contributes about 57% of an estimated US$ 81.2 million total spending on malaria in 2016 (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B34">34</xref>). See also <xref ref-type="fig" rid="f3">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;3</bold>
</xref> which is based on (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B34">34</xref>). The Global Fund and the US Presidents&#x2019; Malaria Initiative (PMI) are the two main sources of external funds (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">7</xref>). Ethiopia received close to US$ 0.5 billion between 2008 and 2021 from the PMI funds (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B35">35</xref>). The biggest share of the external funds is spent on fixed costs and commodities such as LLINs, ACTs, and RDTs (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">7</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B35">35</xref>). As such, it is fair to argue that the prospects of malaria elimination goals partly hinges on the financial commitments by the international donors. The amount of external funds are however expected to decline, and thus domestic sources should fill the gap. For example, the Government of Ethiopia anticipates financing about 56% of the total spending required to implement the malaria elimination plan by 2025/26 (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">7</xref>). In spite of this increased budgetary commitment from the government, however, implementing the current Ethiopia Malaria Elimination Strategic Plan (2021/22-2025/26) will still face about US$ 167.9 million financial gap (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">7</xref>). Diversifying the sources of funds is particularly important in light of unforeseen global and domestic challenges such as the COVID-19 pandemics that may affect the priority areas of the government as well as international partners (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">7</xref>).</p>
<fig id="f3" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;3</label>
<caption>
<p>Malaria spending in Ethiopia by source, 2016.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fitd-02-771030-g003.tif"/>
</fig>
</sec>
<sec id="s5_3">
<title>Emerging Challenges</title>
<p>The past progress in fighting malaria is threatened by a set of emerging challenges due to such as mosquito resistance to insecticides, the emergence of new vectors, the potential side effects of irrigation and hydropower reservoirs, and climate change and variability (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">7</xref>). Recent evidence shows that local vectors are generally resistant to dichloro-diphenyl-trichloroethane (DDT) and pyrethroids (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B35">35</xref>), and the LLINs (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B36">36</xref>). The use of DDT for IRS was of course discontinued in 2007 (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">5</xref>). The emergence of new vectors such as the <italic>A.stephensi</italic>, which were not previously widely known, poses yet another challenge (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1">1</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">7</xref>). <italic>Anopheles stephensi</italic> mosquitoes breed predominately in urban settings preferably in man-made water containers and poses risk for increased transmission of P. <italic>falciparum</italic> and P.<italic>vivax</italic> (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B37">37</xref>). Currently, the <italic>A. stephensi</italic> vector is widely distributed and established in the eastern parts of Ethiopia (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B38">38</xref>). On the other hand, Ethiopia is expanding irrigation and hydropower dams that were found intensifying malaria transmission (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B39">39</xref>). For instance, malaria incidence was about 32% among households in villages with irrigation micro-dams compared to 19% in villages with no micro-dams in northern Ethiopia (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B40">40</xref>). The side effects are much more pronounced in the lowland and midland ecological settings (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B41">41</xref>) where the country is recently eyeing to expand its large-scale irrigated agriculture. On top of this, temperature suitability for malaria is climbing into the highlands of Ethiopia (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B42">42</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B43">43</xref>) because of which the prevalence of malaria is projected to increase (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B44">44</xref>). A case study in northern Ethiopia shows that climate change may increase area suitable for malaria transmission by 94 to 114% by 2050 (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B45">45</xref>). Overall, countrywide, up to 130 million people may be at risk of malaria by 2070 (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B46">46</xref>) that could induce substantial economic costs (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B8">8</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B42">42</xref>).</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="s6">
<title>Actionable Recommendations</title>
<p>Therefore, in order to maintain the momentum of fighting malaria, it needs to scale up measures related to funding, climate services, and vector control. More specifically, it needs to:</p>
<list list-type="bullet">
<list-item>
<p>Raise the domestic resource mobilization capacity (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">7</xref>).</p>
</list-item>
<list-item>
<p>Enhance climate information processing capacity (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B47">47</xref>).</p>
</list-item>
<list-item>
<p>Consider dam reservoir management as one of malaria vector control tools (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B48">48</xref>).</p>
</list-item>
<list-item>
<p>Scale up research (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B38">38</xref>), and surveillance (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B37">37</xref>) capacity particularly with regard to the emerging vectors.</p>
</list-item>
<list-item>
<p>Pursue regional cooperation to control cross-border malaria transmission through migration (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B24">24</xref>), and to surveille the emerging vectors (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B38">38</xref>).</p>
</list-item>
</list>
</sec>
<sec id="s7" sec-type="conclusions">
<title>Conclusions</title>
<p>Ethiopia has been undertaking a wide range of policy measures to control malaria, especially, after 2004. Consequently, mortality and morbidity attributable to malaria have declined significantly. To keep the momentum of fighting malaria, however, Ethiopia needs to strengthen its institutional capacity pertaining to domestic resource mobilization, diagnosis by microscopy, vector surveillance, and climate information processing and seasonal weather forecasting. These actions need, among others, to layout and enhance cross-sectoral coordination (e.g., with irrigation, hydropower, and climate change), and cross-border cooperation (e.g., for better surveillance of vectors) mechanisms. Future public budget allocation to fight malaria should factor in these and other emerging challenges.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s8" sec-type="author-contributions">
<title>Author Contributions</title>
<p>The author confirms being the sole contributor of this work and has approved it for publication.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s9" sec-type="COI-statement">
<title>Conflict of Interest</title>
<p>The author declares that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s10" sec-type="disclaimer">
<title>Publisher&#x2019;s Note</title>
<p>All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article, or claim that may be made by its manufacturer, is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.</p>
</sec>
</body>
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