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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">Front. Sustain. Food Syst.</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>Frontiers in Sustainable Food Systems</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="pubmed">Front. Sustain. Food Syst.</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub">2571-581X</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name>Frontiers Media S.A.</publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.3389/fsufs.2026.1656284</article-id>
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<article-categories>
<subj-group subj-group-type="heading">
<subject>Original Research</subject>
</subj-group>
</article-categories>
<title-group>
<article-title>Exploring the state of ex situ organic fertilizer and soil amendment production: an innovation systems analysis across eleven African countries</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes">
<name>
<surname>Ellssel</surname>
<given-names>Pierre</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref>
<xref ref-type="corresp" rid="c001"><sup>&#x002A;</sup></xref>
<uri xlink:href="https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/2701486"/>
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<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Freyer</surname>
<given-names>Bernhard</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2"><sup>2</sup></xref>
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<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Posthumus</surname>
<given-names>Helena</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3"><sup>3</sup></xref>
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<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Hobart</surname>
<given-names>Marius</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4"><sup>4</sup></xref>
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<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Nyakanda</surname>
<given-names>Fortunate</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5"><sup>5</sup></xref>
<role vocab="credit" vocab-identifier="https://credit.niso.org/" vocab-term="Data curation" vocab-term-identifier="https://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/data-curation/">Data curation</role>
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<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Amizero</surname>
<given-names>Nadege</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff6"><sup>6</sup></xref>
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<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>von Abubakari</surname>
<given-names>Fatimah</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff7"><sup>7</sup></xref>
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</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Saussure</surname>
<given-names>St&#x00E9;phanie</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff8"><sup>8</sup></xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff9"><sup>9</sup></xref>
<role vocab="credit" vocab-identifier="https://credit.niso.org/" vocab-term="investigation" vocab-term-identifier="https://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/investigation/">Investigation</role>
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<aff id="aff1"><label>1</label><institution>Department of Agricultural Sciences, Institute of Agronomy, BOKU University</institution>, <city>Vienna</city>, <country country="at">Austria</country></aff>
<aff id="aff2"><label>2</label><institution>Department for Knowledge and Communication Management, University for Continuing Education Krems</institution>, <city>Krems</city>, <country country="at">Austria</country></aff>
<aff id="aff3"><label>3</label><institution>Wageningen University and Research</institution>, <city>Wageningen</city>, <country country="nl">Netherlands</country></aff>
<aff id="aff4"><label>4</label><institution>Leibniz Institute for Agricultural Engineering and Bioeconomy</institution>, <city>Potsdam</city>, <country country="de">Germany</country></aff>
<aff id="aff5"><label>5</label><institution>Freelance Researcher</institution>, <city>Harare</city>, <country country="zw">Zimbabwe</country></aff>
<aff id="aff6"><label>6</label><institution>Global Center on Adaptation</institution>, <city>Rotterdam</city>, <country country="nl">Netherlands</country></aff>
<aff id="aff7"><label>7</label><institution>Department of Agricultural Economics and Extension, University of Cape Coast</institution>, <city>Cape Coast</city>, <country country="gh">Ghana</country></aff>
<aff id="aff8"><label>8</label><institution>Department of Agroecology, Aarhus University</institution>, <city>Flakkjeberg</city>, <country country="dk">Denmark</country></aff>
<aff id="aff9"><label>9</label><institution>Natural Resources Institute Finland (LUKE)</institution>, <city>Jokioinen</city>, <country country="fi">Finland</country></aff>
<author-notes>
<corresp id="c001"><label>&#x002A;</label>Correspondence: Pierre Ellssel, <email xlink:href="mailto:pierre.ellssel@boku.ac.at">pierre.ellssel@boku.ac.at</email></corresp>
</author-notes>
<pub-date publication-format="electronic" date-type="pub" iso-8601-date="2026-04-01">
<day>01</day>
<month>04</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date publication-format="electronic" date-type="collection">
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>10</volume>
<elocation-id>1656284</elocation-id>
<history>
<date date-type="received">
<day>29</day>
<month>06</month>
<year>2025</year>
</date>
<date date-type="rev-recd">
<day>09</day>
<month>02</month>
<year>2026</year>
</date>
<date date-type="accepted">
<day>11</day>
<month>02</month>
<year>2026</year>
</date>
</history>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright &#x00A9; 2026 Ellssel, Freyer, Posthumus, Hobart, Nyakanda, Amizero, von Abubakari and Saussure.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<copyright-holder>Ellssel, Freyer, Posthumus, Hobart, Nyakanda, Amizero, von Abubakari and Saussure</copyright-holder>
<license>
<ali:license_ref start_date="2026-04-01">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ali:license_ref>
<license-p>This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY)</ext-link>. The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.</license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<abstract>
<sec>
<title>Introduction</title>
<p>Many farming systems across Africa suffer from insufficient recirculation and replenishment of nutrients and organic matter, contributing to soil degradation. At the same time the scant management of municipal organic waste, agro-processing residues, and human excreta creates substantial externalities. Valorizing organic waste and recycling it back to farmland could create a win-win situation. This exploratory, cross-sectional study investigated the current state and emerging trends in ex situ organic waste recycling toward organic fertilizers and soil amendments (OFSA) across eleven African countries. The topic is timely, as recent disruptions in inorganic fertilizer supply chains may have heightened interest in ex situ OFSA.</p>
</sec>
<sec>
<title>Methods</title>
<p>We triangulated 74 key informant interviews with document and literature review, using the Technological Innovation System framework as analytical lens.</p>
</sec>
<sec>
<title>Results and discussion</title>
<p>Our analysis shows that while all system functions have progressed beyond the &#x201C;pre-development&#x201D; phase, most still remain in an early formation stage. Core functions such as <italic>entrepreneurial activities, knowledge development and diffusion, guidance of the search, market formation, resource mobilization, and legitimacy</italic> are emerging, for instance through the introduction of subsidies, the implementation of quality standards, and initial efforts of cross-country coordination. South Africa stands out, with multiple functions institutionalizing and reinforcing one another, characterized by pronounced private sector R&#x0026;D, established entrepreneur networks and professional associations as well as recycling targets and public support of knowledge brokers. Across all countries, disruptions in national and international value chains are acting as pull factors for increased experimentation, raising demand, and enhancing legitimacy. Certified organic farming and export oriented high value crops constitute important niches. Yet, ex situ volumes remain small relative to organic waste volumes and nutrient demand in agricultural production. Looking ahead, strengthening &#x2018;<italic>guidance of the search</italic>&#x2019; and &#x2018;<italic>resource mobilization</italic>&#x2019; could drive system development by enhancing resource recovery and recycling of organic waste and closing the loop to agriculture.</p>
</sec>
</abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd>agroecology</kwd>
<kwd>circular bio-economy</kwd>
<kwd>organic fertilizer</kwd>
<kwd>organic waste recycling</kwd>
<kwd>resource recovery</kwd>
<kwd>soil amendments</kwd>
<kwd>sub-Saharan Africa</kwd>
<kwd>technological innovation systems</kwd>
</kwd-group>
<funding-group>
<funding-statement>The author(s) declared that financial support was received for this work and/or its publication. This publication is making use of data collected for a scoping study that was realized within the DeSIRA-LIFT project financed by the European Union (FOOD/2021/424&#x2013;11). Additional data analysis and writing of this article was conducted within the framework of the Horizon 2020 project SustInAfrica, Grant agreement no. 861924.</funding-statement>
</funding-group>
<counts>
<fig-count count="3"/>
<table-count count="9"/>
<equation-count count="0"/>
<ref-count count="204"/>
<page-count count="28"/>
<word-count count="22657"/>
</counts>
<custom-meta-group>
<custom-meta>
<meta-name>section-at-acceptance</meta-name>
<meta-value>Climate-Smart Food Systems</meta-value>
</custom-meta>
</custom-meta-group>
</article-meta>
</front>
<body>
<sec sec-type="intro" id="sec1">
<label>1</label>
<title>Introduction</title>
<sec id="sec2">
<label>1.1</label>
<title>Background and state of the art</title>
<p>Loss of soil fertility and nutrient depletion on agricultural land are widespread across Sub-Saharan Africa (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref90">Jones et al., 2013</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref129">Nkonya et al., 2016</xref>), contributing to overall low agricultural productivity (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref21">Bjornlund et al., 2020</xref>). The transfer of agricultural produce from rural production areas to urban consumption centers leads to significant shifts of nutrients and biomass (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref44">Drechsel et al., 2007</xref>). In urban areas, the scant management of municipal solid waste, agro-processing residues, and human excreta creates substantial externalities, including environmental and health hazards (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref26">Cao et al., 2025</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref54">Ferronato and Torretta, 2019</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref58">Friedrich and Trois, 2011</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref141">Rajoo et al., 2020</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref180">Tomita et al., 2020</xref>), along with associated monetary costs (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref84">Hoornweg and Bhada-Tata, 2012</xref>). Recycling organic waste back to agricultural land, particularly non-renewable resources such as phosphorus (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref30">Childers et al., 2011</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref142">Raniro et al., 2025</xref>), is thus a crucial step in building circular bio-economies (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref53">Feleke et al., 2021</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref118">Muscat et al., 2021</xref>).</p>
<p>Therefore, in this paper we focus on ex situ organic waste recycling, i.e., off-farm treatment pathways that convert urban and agro-industrial residues (e.g., municipal organics, agro-processing by-products, fecal sludge) into organic fertilizers and soil amendments (OFSA). By contrast, <italic>in situ</italic> denotes on-farm production or management (e.g., farmyard composting). For brevity, we use &#x2018;ex situ OFSA&#x2019; to denote OFSA produced via off-farm (ex situ) treatment pathways.</p>
<p>Recycling and returning nutrients through ex situ OFSA<xref ref-type="fn" rid="fn0001"><sup>1</sup></xref> production can enhance nutrient and biomass recirculation back to agricultural systems (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref48">Ellssel et al., 2024a</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref28">Castro-Herrera et al., 2022</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref56">Freyer et al., 2023</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref100">Leitzinger, 2001</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref107">Meinzinger et al., 2009</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref137">Perez-Mercado et al., 2022</xref>), and thus support the remediation of soil degradation. Yet uptake remains limited, with recycling via ex situ pathways into OFSA such as compost, liquid formulas, or digestate still remaining in its infancy in Africa, or being limited to pilot projects (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref92">Kalina et al., 2022</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref94">Kaza et al., 2018</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref164">Sekabira et al., 2022</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref199">Yeo et al., 2020</xref>). <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref94">Kaza et al. (2018)</xref> estimate that less than 1% of the organic municipal waste is composted in Sub-Saharan Africa. Systematic assessments of national-level agro-processing waste volumes and recycling potential are scarce; notable exceptions include <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref51">FAO (2019)</xref> and <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref115">Mugodo et al. (2017)</xref>. For human excreta, recycling is seldom practiced (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref33">Cofie et al., 2016</xref>), although it has substantial potential as most households in Sub-Saharan Africa use onsite sanitation systems (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref32">Cofie et al., 2009</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref77">Greene et al., 2021</xref>). However, recent disruptions to inorganic fertilizer supply chains linked to COVID-19 and the Russo-Ukrainian war (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref187">Vos et al., 2025</xref>), along with increasing policy engagement for soil health (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref13">AUC, 2023</xref>), heighten the timeliness of examining innovation dynamics in ex situ organic waste recycling into OFSA.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="sec3">
<label>1.2</label>
<title>Literature gaps and study contribution</title>
<p>Despite growing interest in organic waste valorization as part of a circular bioeconomy (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref53">Feleke et al., 2021</xref>), the evidence base for ex situ organic waste recycling into OFSA in sub-Saharan Africa remains fragmented. Most studies are city- or project-specific (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref28">Castro-Herrera et al., 2022</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref36">Danso and Drechsel, 2014</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref37">Ddiba et al., 2022</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref100">Leitzinger, 2001</xref>), with few cross-country studies (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref32">Cofie et al., 2009</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref101">Lenhart et al., 2022</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref164">Sekabira et al., 2022</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref165">2023</xref>). Some work has been conducted on potential business models and financing for resource recovery from organic waste (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref133">Otoo and Drechsel, 2018</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref99">Lazurko et al., 2018</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref174">Taron et al., 2023</xref>), and on entrepreneurship and innovation in waste valorization, particularly in South Africa (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref65">Godfrey et al., 2022</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref5">Adewunmi, 2024</xref>). However, empirical work seldom analyzes innovation-system dynamics (e.g., market formation, legitimation, resource mobilization) alongside technology pilots, and quantitative information on production volumes/capacities is scattered and inconsistent. Hence, describing and understanding the dynamics of innovation in ex situ OFSA production becomes crucial.</p>
<p>Therefore, we investigated the current state and trends in the ex situ OFSA innovation systems across eleven African countries. We choose the Technological Innovation System (TIS) framework as our analytical lens. TIS is a systems approach that has been proposed to study transitions in socio-technical systems (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref102">Loorbach et al., 2017</xref>) and is defined as &#x201C;a set of networks of actors and institutions that jointly interact in a specific technological field and contribute to the generation, diffusion and utilization of variants of a new technology and/or a new product&#x201D; (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref105">Markard and Truffer, 2008</xref>, p. 611). The framework has been applied to technological domains such as carbon capture and storage technologies in South Africa (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref98">Ko et al., 2021</xref>), wind and solar energy in South Africa, Brazil, and Ethiopia (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref59">Furtado and Perrot, 2015</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref95">Kebede and Mitsufuji, 2017</xref>), and biogas and improved cookstove development in Rwanda and Kenya (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref179">Tigabu et al., 2017</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref177">Tigabu et al., 2015a</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref178">2015b</xref>).</p>
<p>To our knowledge, no prior study applied a TIS lens to ex situ OFSA production and innovation systems in Africa, nor adopts a cross-country perspective. The latter is particularly useful to inform decision makers (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref18">Bergek et al., 2008</xref>). We addressed this gap by providing the first cross-country TIS assessment of ex situ OFSA production across eleven African countries. Specifically, we (i) identified the current state and trends of the field; (ii) assessed the maturity and performance of core TIS functions (entrepreneurial experimentation, knowledge development/diffusion, guidance, market formation, resource mobilization, legitimation) alongside structural features; and (iii) combined descriptive production indicators (e.g., reported OFSA volumes/capacities) with a functional diagnosis to reveal emerging dynamics, country contrasts, and cross-cutting patterns. This integrated analysis provides insights for policy, practice, and priorities for future research.</p>
<p>The remainder of the article is organized as follows. Section 2 outlines the analytical framework, describing the TIS framework, its relevance and adaptation to our study context. Furthermore, the section describes the methods including data sampling and collection, coding/analysis procedures of empirical data, and the triangulation across interviews, policy documents, and grey as well as scientific literature. Section 3 presents the combined results and discussion along the seven core functions of the TIS framework. Then, we offer a cross-sectional analysis spanning across the eleven countries and present limitations and our suggestion for future research. Section 4 briefly concludes with key takeaways.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="sec4">
<label>2</label>
<title>Analytical framework</title>
<sec id="sec5">
<label>2.1</label>
<title>Technological innovation systems framework</title>
<p>Within sustainability transitions research, several complementary approaches&#x2014;Multi-level Perspective, Strategic Niche Management, Transition Management, and Technological Innovation Systems (TIS)&#x2014;offer distinct lenses on socio-technical change (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref102">Loorbach et al., 2017</xref>). We adopt TIS for its technology-field specificity and diagnostic system functions (<xref ref-type="table" rid="tab1">Table 1</xref>) (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref27">Carlsson and Stankiewicz, 1991</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref83">Hekkert et al., 2007</xref>), which also facilitates comparison across diverse institutional contexts. TIS is used to analyze the development of a technology, technology field, a product, or a combination thereof (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref83">Hekkert et al., 2007</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref125">Negro et al., 2007</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref173">Suurs and Hekkert, 2009</xref>). We treat ex situ OFSA as a technology field-level TIS that encompasses several sub-fields of recycling pathways (e.g., composting, anaerobic digestion, black soldier fly (BSF) frass, pyrolysis) and the resulting OFSA products (e.g., composts/blends, frass, biochar). These sub-fields differ in technology readiness, regulatory status, nutrient profiles, and actor constellations. However, they share (i) common upstream inputs, (ii) overlapping governance and standards, (iii) partially shared market channels and agronomy, and (iv) cross-cutting legitimacy narratives around safety, quality, and efficacy. This hybrid scope allows us to capture the full innovation chain from technical experimentation to market uptake of the resulting product (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref105">Markard and Truffer, 2008</xref>). Considering different waste sector particularities, raw materials and processes are key to final product quality and, consequently, user and market demand (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref104">Manipura et al., 2025</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref136">Pandyaswargo and Premakumara, 2014</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref154">Roy et al., 2021</xref>). By focusing on this integrated technology field, the analysis captures the systemic interdependencies between technological innovation and product utilization.</p>
<table-wrap position="float" id="tab1">
<label>Table 1</label>
<caption>
<p>Core functions in the Technological Innovation Systems (TIS) framework for organic fertilizer and soil amendment (OFSA) production (adapted from <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref18">Bergek et al., 2008</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref20">Binz and Truffer, 2017</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref46">Edsand, 2019</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref83">Hekkert et al., 2007</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref125">Negro et al., 2007</xref>).</p>
</caption>
<table frame="hsides" rules="groups">
<thead>
<tr>
<th align="left" valign="top">Core functions of TIS</th>
<th align="left" valign="top">Description</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">F1. Entrepreneurial activities</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">The extent to which entrepreneurs are actively engaged and experimenting with new products, processes, or business models for organic waste recycling toward OFSA production.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">F2. Knowledge development</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Determines how knowledge about the technology is developed, e.g., co-creation/collective experimentation and social learning; R&#x0026;D investment and projects, increase of technological performance, and formal/codified knowledge development (e.g., research output).</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">F3. Knowledge diffusion</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Describes how knowledge about the technology/product is shared and applied across actors and regions through networks, peer exchange, and advisory systems, e.g., informal learning networks.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">F4. Guidance of the search</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">The clarity and strength of the direction for technology/product development, typically through policy, regulations, donor agendas or market signals, e.g., targets set by governments.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">F5. Market formation</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Emergence of markets for OFSA products, including demand and supporting infrastructure, supply chains, and pricing, such as introduced niche markets, tax regimes, environmental and/or other standards.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">F6. Resource mobilization (Government/International loans and grants)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Availability of public support, e.g., financial, human, logistical, or institutional, and global partnerships for OFSA development and deployment.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">F7. Creation of legitimacy/advocacy coalitions</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">The extent to which the technology gains societal and political legitimacy, e.g., acceptance and support from key stakeholders and society, growth and actions of interest groups.</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</table-wrap>
<p>Further, we analyzed actors, networks, institutions, and functional dynamics. These elements are interdependent and drive the development of a technology field (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref17">Bergek et al., 2015</xref>). While we emphasized actors in TIS Function 1, networks in Function 3, and institutions in Function 4 and 5 for expositional clarity, consistent with TIS literature we treated actors, networks and institutions as cross-cutting dimensions that jointly shape all system functions (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref83">Hekkert et al., 2007</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref18">Bergek et al., 2008</xref>). According to <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref17">Bergek et al. (2015)</xref>, institutions within the TIS context include, e.g., laws, policies, and regulatory frameworks. Policies set the overarching goals, principles, and strategic direction. Laws establish the legal framework and enforceable rules, while regulations are derived from laws and provide specific guidelines, technical standards, and enforcement mechanisms.</p>
<p>Although TIS is often applied dynamically to map innovation system processes over time (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref83">Hekkert et al., 2007</xref>), we used it cross-sectionally to portray the current state (2023) across eleven countries. This broad, exploratory approach allowed us to identify the overall system features, enable comparisons across regions and countries, and delineate potential hotspots for further in-depth study (cf. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref18">Bergek et al., 2008</xref>). <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref83">Hekkert et al. (2007)</xref> identified seven key system functions that typically underpin the emergence and diffusion of new technologies (<xref ref-type="table" rid="tab1">Table 1</xref>). To increase context specificity of the TIS framework proposed by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref83">Hekkert et al. (2007)</xref>, we followed <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref46">Edsand (2019)</xref> by differentiating &#x2018;<italic>resource mobilization</italic>&#x2019; by national vs. international sources to reflect low- and middle-income realities (<xref ref-type="table" rid="tab1">Table 1</xref>).</p>
<p>Recognizing that many TIS are transnational (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref18">Bergek et al., 2008</xref>), we adopted a global innovation systems perspective as knowledge, capital, and legitimacy flow across borders (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref20">Binz and Truffer, 2017</xref>). Accordingly, in &#x2018;<italic>knowledge development&#x2019;</italic> and &#x2018;<italic>knowledge diffusion&#x2019;</italic> functions we considered domestic and cross-border collaborations; in &#x2018;<italic>resource mobilization&#x2019;</italic>, international loans and grants; and in &#x2018;<italic>legitimization</italic>&#x2019;, international advocacy coalitions. This perspective further aids in understanding how innovation systems evolve in regions like Africa, where actors often rely on international collaborations, external funding, transnational policy frameworks and technology transfer mechanisms such as the Clean Development Mechanism to foster new technologies (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref20">Binz and Truffer, 2017</xref>).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="sec6">
<label>2.2</label>
<title>Methods</title>
<sec id="sec7">
<label>2.2.1</label>
<title>Study design</title>
<p>We conducted an exploratory, qualitative multi-country study with a comparative approach and convergent multi-source triangulation to assess the current state and trends of ex situ OFSA production in Cameroon, Ethiopia, Ghana, Ivory Coast, Kenya, Malawi, Rwanda, Senegal, South Africa, Uganda, and Zimbabwe (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig1">Figure 1</xref>). Key informant interviews provided primary evidence, whereas documentary and scientific sources contextualized and corroborated findings. The three data streams were analyzed in parallel and integrated during interpretation: (i) semi-structured interviews; (ii) documentary evidence (policies, regulations, technical/implementation reports); and (iii) scientific literature relevant to TIS functions (e.g., technologies, markets). Countries served as comparative contexts. Quantitative figures from documents (e.g., production volumes/capacities) were used as descriptive indicators to contrast with interview accounts. Data sources were integrated via tables and narrative synthesis, assessing convergence, complementarity, and discrepancy across sources.</p>
<fig position="float" id="fig1">
<label>Figure 1</label>
<caption>
<p>Analytical framework for the study, illustrating the triangulation of research methods and their mapping onto Technological Innovation System (TIS) functions via a four-phase coding guide.</p>
</caption>
<graphic xlink:href="fsufs-10-1656284-g001.tif" mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff">
<alt-text content-type="machine-generated">Diagram titled Analytical Framework showing three columns: Methods Triangulation, Coding Guide, and TIS Functions. Methods include interviews, document analysis, literature review, and bibliometric analysis. Arrows connect these methods to TIS Functions: entrepreneurial activities, knowledge development, knowledge diffusion, guidance of the search, market formation, resource mobilization, and legitimization, illustrating relationships between methods and analytical functions. Color-coded outlines group related boxes.</alt-text>
</graphic>
</fig>
</sec>
<sec id="sec8">
<label>2.2.2</label>
<title>Geographical scope</title>
<p>We selected eleven countries balanced between African sub-regions (East, West, South)<xref ref-type="fn" rid="fn0002"><sup>2</sup></xref> and agro-ecological zones (semi-arid to humid). We also considered interviewer networks, ongoing research, and observable market developments to ensure feasibility and relevance.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="sec9">
<label>2.2.3</label>
<title>Key informant interviews</title>
<sec id="sec10">
<title>Sampling</title>
<p>We combined purposive and snowball sampling to access stakeholders with relevant expertise across a wide geography (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref135">Palinkas et al., 2015</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref130">Noy, 2008</xref>). In total, we recruited 74 key informants, including OFSA entrepreneurs, scientists, policy makers, retailers, farmers, consultants, farmers&#x2019; organizations, advisory services, civil society actors, inter- and non-governmental organizations. Interviewee abbreviations are used throughout (<xref ref-type="table" rid="tab2">Table 2</xref>).</p>
<table-wrap position="float" id="tab2">
<label>Table 2</label>
<caption>
<p>Overview of countries, interviewee types and number of interviews.</p>
</caption>
<table frame="hsides" rules="groups">
<thead>
<tr>
<th align="left" valign="top">Country (two-digit code)</th>
<th align="left" valign="top">Interviewee type (abbreviation)</th>
<th align="center" valign="top">Total</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">1. Cameroon (CM)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Entrepreneurs (CM-1; CM-6; CM-7), scientists (CM-4; CM-5), civil society (CM-3), NGO (CM-2)</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">7</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">2. Ethiopia (ET)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Entrepreneur (ET-2), Scientists (ET-5; ET-6), NGO (ET-1)</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">4</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">3. Ghana (GH)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Entrepreneurs (GH-6; GH-7; GH-10; GH-11), scientist (GH-5), policy maker (GH-3), retailer (GH-8), advisory service (GH-4), farmer organization (GH-2), NGO (GH-1)</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">10</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">4. Ivory Coast (CI)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Scientists (CI-1; CI-2)</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">5. Kenya (KE)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Entrepreneurs (KE-3; KE-4), scientists (KE-1; KE-2)</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">4</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">6. Malawi (MW)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Entrepreneurs (MW-2; MW-3; MW-5), scientists (MW-4), policy maker (MW-6), farmer organization (MW-1)</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">6</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">7. Rwanda (RW)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Entrepreneurs (RW-5; RW-6), scientists (RW-1), policy maker (RW-2), advisory service (RW-3), NGO (RW-4)</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">6</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">8. Senegal (SN)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Entrepreneurs (SN-6; SN-7), consultant (SN-3), NGO&#x2019;s (SN-1; SN-2; SN-4; SN-5)</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">7</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">9. South Africa (SA)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Entrepreneur (SA-6), scientists (SA-4; SA-7; SA-8), policy maker (SA-5), farmer (SA-1)</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">6</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">10. Uganda (UG)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Entrepreneurs (UG-3; UG-6; UG-10), scientists (UG-5; UG-8; UG-9), policy maker (UG-2), FO (2), NGO&#x2019;s (UG-1; UG-4; UG-7)</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">10</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">11. Zimbabwe (ZW)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Entrepreneurs (ZW-3; ZW-4), scientists (ZW-8; ZW-9), farmer organization (ZW-6), policy maker (ZW-7)</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">6</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">12. Cross-country (CC) experts</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Entrepreneur (CC-3), scientists (CC-1; CC-2; CC-5; CC-6), inter-governmental organization (CC-4)</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">6</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table-wrap-foot>
<p>Interviewee abbreviations in brackets are used throughout the study for referencing purposes.</p>
</table-wrap-foot>
</table-wrap>
</sec>
<sec id="sec11">
<title>Data collection</title>
<p>We used semi-structured interviews, suitable for exploratory research, to cover core topics while allowing interviewees to introduce new perspectives and insights (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref4">Adams, 2015</xref>). Interview guides were tailored to stakeholder groups and addressed: (1) fertilizer markets (e.g., market demand, pricing), (2) OFSA production (e.g., technologies, business models), and (3) trends and policy needs (<xref ref-type="supplementary-material" rid="SM1">Supplementary file 1</xref>). We conducted online interviews from March&#x2013;September 2023, recorded, and transcribed them. Interviews lasted 30&#x2013;60&#x202F;min; 65 were in English and 9 in French. French interviews were translated into English by a native French-speaking co-author with support from translation program DeepL.<xref ref-type="fn" rid="fn0003"><sup>3</sup></xref> We used Descript (v65.1.1) for transcription and manually corrected errors. All participants provided informed consent for recording and transcription.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="sec12">
<title>Coding and analysis</title>
<p>We applied a deductive code scheme based on the seven TIS functions and used descriptive coding to assign short labels to text (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref160">Saldana, 2015</xref>). To compare countries and functions, we developed a phase rubric (four development phases) grounded in TIS. For each country and function, we compiled an indicator sheet (interview excerpts, document extracts, quantitative figures) and mapped evidence to the four phases using anchor criteria (<xref ref-type="table" rid="tab3">Table 3</xref> and <xref ref-type="supplementary-material" rid="SM1">Supplementary file 2</xref>). Two researchers independently assigned a phase using a majority-signal rule (&#x2265; 2 concordant indicators). Tie-breaks were handled as follows: if evidence spanned adjacent phases, we selected the lower phase unless corroborated by two independent sources (e.g., interview + regulation). Disagreements, which only occurred in one case (South Africa; F2), were resolved by structured discussions among the author team.</p>
<table-wrap position="float" id="tab3">
<label>Table 3</label>
<caption>
<p>Development phases of the Technological Innovation System (TIS) in organic fertilizer and soil amendment (OFSA) production, qualitatively assessed using a coding guide (<xref ref-type="supplementary-material" rid="SM1">Supplementary file 2</xref>), adapted from <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref18">Bergek et al. (2008)</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref83">Hekkert et al. (2007)</xref>, and <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref173">Suurs and Hekkert (2009)</xref>.</p>
</caption>
<table frame="hsides" rules="groups">
<thead>
<tr>
<th align="left" valign="top">Development phase</th>
<th align="left" valign="top">Interpretation</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">A). Pre-development</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Function absent or extremely weak</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">B). Formation</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Function emerging in an <italic>ad hoc</italic> or fragmented manner</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">C). Growth/expansion</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Function institutionalizing and reinforcing others</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">D). Maturation</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Function fully embedded, professionalized, and stable</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</table-wrap>
<p>For cross-country synthesis, we produced country summaries by function (1&#x2013;2 pages each), and a country by function matrix then used pattern matching and explanation building to identify recurrent configurations (e.g., strong entrepreneurial activity but weak market formation) and linkages among functions. The phase classifications are interpretive summaries of triangulated indicators. Countries may display features of multiple phases simultaneously of which we report the prevailing pattern per country and function to aid comparison. For structuring, clustering, and analyzing the data, we used Microsoft Excel (Version 2021; 16.0.14332.20631).</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="sec13">
<label>2.2.4</label>
<title>Literature review and document analysis</title>
<p>We conducted a non-systematic search (Scopus, Web of Science Core Collection, Google Scholar; September 2023&#x2013;September 2024) to contextualize and corroborate interview data. Search strings combined keywords such as &#x201C;organic fertilizer,&#x201D; &#x201C;soil amendment,&#x201D; &#x201C;organic waste recycling,&#x201D; &#x201C;organic waste valorization&#x201D; and country names. We included peer-reviewed articles, FAO and AU reports, and relevant IGO/NGO publications. Grey literature was obtained via institutional websites and direct requests to key agencies (e.g., GIZ, TechnoServe). Policy documents were searched online or directly on government websites and triangulated selectively, particularly for TIS functions &#x2018;<italic>Guidance of the search&#x2019;</italic> and &#x2018;<italic>Market formation&#x2019;</italic> and were cited, respectively. Documents were screened for relevance to process technologies, market development, and policy and regulatory frameworks.</p>
<p>Consistent with TIS applications that treat publication activity as one indicator of codified knowledge (e.g., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref10">Aliahmad et al., 2022</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref125">Negro et al., 2007</xref>), we distinguished codified (publications) and practice-based knowledge (e.g., learning-by-doing, farmer trials). Given data constraints across eleven countries (e.g., R&#x0026;D finances, patents), we used bibliometrics as a partial proxy for codified outputs and triangulate with practice-based evidence from interviews and grey literature. We assessed the Scopus database to indicate publication trends related to the current state of OFSA publications. We searched for articles in the time range 1980 to 2025 with the following keyword combinations: &#x201C;organic fertil&#x002A;&#x201D; OR &#x201C;soil amendment&#x002A;&#x201D; OR &#x201C;soil conditioner&#x201D; OR &#x201C;compost&#x002A;&#x201D; OR &#x201C;organic waste recycling&#x201D; OR &#x201C;organic waste valorization&#x201D; OR &#x201C;organic waste valorisation&#x201D; OR biochar AND &#x201C;country.&#x201D; We included peer-reviewed publications, conference proceedings and book chapters and removed any duplicates.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec sec-type="results|discussion" id="sec14">
<label>3</label>
<title>Results and discussion</title>
<p>We present the results and discussion along the seven core functions of the TIS framework. We place particular emphasis on actors in Function 1, networks in Function 3, and institutions in Functions 4 and 5. Then, we offer a cross-sectional analysis spanning across the eleven countries and present limitations and our suggestion for future research.</p>
<sec id="sec15">
<label>3.1</label>
<title>Structures and functions of the innovation system</title>
<sec id="sec16">
<label>3.1.1</label>
<title>Entrepreneurial activities and experimentation (F1)</title>
<p>Across the eleven countries, entrepreneurs are experimenting with and exploring new solutions and problem-solution combinations, a key feature of TIS (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref83">Hekkert et al., 2007</xref>).</p>
<p>A group of ten countries emerged, in which Function 1 remains in development phase B: &#x201C;formation.&#x201D; It was characterized by multiple, isolated, small-scale, often donor funded projects that lack networks and self-reinforcing activity bundles. This is typical for TIS in the formation phase (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref18">Bergek et al., 2008</xref>). Production generally remains limited to batch-size artisanal production, under 500&#x202F;t/a<sup>&#x2212;1</sup>, with some mechanized operations producing up to 10,000 t/a<sup>&#x2212;1</sup> (see <xref ref-type="supplementary-material" rid="SM1">Supplementary file 3</xref> for an overview on production sizes). Among these ten countries, Ghana and Kenya show signs of phase C: &#x201C;institutionalization&#x201D; with ex situ OFSA entrepreneurs scaling production and expansion plans (KE-4; KE-3; GH-6; GH-7). Ghana has industrial scale entrepreneurs, such as Zoom Lion, ACARP, Safisana. While Kenya is characterized by a multiplicity of actors with new entrants and business models (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref91">Jumba et al., 2024</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref175">TechnoServe, 2023</xref>). Some of the entrepreneurs in both countries are backed by international parent companies with respective know-how or operate in public-private partnerships.</p>
<p>South Africa stood out from the other ten countries with entrepreneurial activity indicating development phase C: &#x201C;growth.&#x201D; Its semi-industrialized niche comprises profitable, scaled entrepreneurs offering certified, diversified portfolios, coordinated by professional associations. As one of the interviewees underscored: <italic>&#x201C;Now with up to 15 products of which 14 are all hundred percent organic certified [&#x2026;], we export to Zimbabwe, Mozambique, Swaziland, Uganda and up to Unit Arab Emirates.&#x201D;</italic> (SA-6: OFSA entrepreneur).</p>
<p>Entrepreneurial experimentation in South Africa has departed from ad hoc trials to sophisticated systems with mechanized composting, precision organo-mineral blending, and biodigesters from low-tech to industrial scale (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref120">Mutungwazi et al., 2018</xref>). However, as stated by an interviewee, municipal organic waste management, sanitation and agriculture integration remains limited, largely confined to research pilots (SA-8).</p>
<sec id="sec17">
<title>Technological experimentation</title>
<p>The interviews revealed that in most countries, technologies for OFSA production are generally low tech, such as composting. There are sporadic mid-tech pilots such as small biodigesters, modular biochar kilns and some more high-tech pilots that include containerized composting with sensor technology.</p>
<p>Conventional composting persists in low-tech settings, but mechanization yields higher quality and volumes (KE-4; CC-1; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref182">Tumuhairwe et al., 2009</xref>). An entrepreneur in Uganda (UG-10) experimented with containerized composting, a controlled process potentially reducing composting time (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref169">Sm&#x00E5;rs et al., 2002</xref>). Various interviewees experimented with vermicomposting and black soldier fly larvae, highlighting their nutrient-rich outputs (CC-5; KE-4; UG-6; ZW-4) as also shown by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref15">Beesigamukama et al. (2022)</xref> and <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref170">Soobhany (2019)</xref>. This experimentation is particularly prominent in Kenya and Uganda, valued for dual revenues of frass fertilizer and larvae, if consistent, uncontaminated waste is supplied (CC-5) (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref88">Isibika et al., 2023</xref>). As one Kenyan entrepreneur noted: <italic>&#x201C;Regarding the great variety of waste, it was really difficult for us to come up with a model with which we could expand [our production]. We have perfected that, now we have the technology to deal with the different types of wastes.&#x201D;</italic> (KE-3: OFSA entrepreneur).</p>
<p>In Ghana, South Africa, Uganda, and Zimbabwe, some entrepreneurs incorporate human excreta to raise nutrient density. Urine, rich in N and P (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref153">Rose et al., 2015</xref>), is either marketed directly or combined with biochar (CC-1; SA-8). Co-treatment of toilet sludge with market waste is common (SA-8; GH-9; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref14">Banamwana et al., 2022</xref>). One Ghanaian entrepreneur couples biodigestion for biogas with co-composting of the digestate and market waste (GH-6). Some entrepreneurs reduce pathogen levels to recommended safety thresholds (CC-1; SA-8), which is feasible if the co-composting process is properly managed (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref103">Manga et al., 2021</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref190">Werner et al., 2023</xref>).</p>
<p>Various entrepreneurs experimented with pyrolytic biochar potentially attributable to increasing research and popularity (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">Abdeljaoued et al., 2020</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref140">Qi et al., 2024</xref>). Some interviewees emphasized a lacking willingness of farmers to pay for sole biochar as it is not a fertilizer and its function needs explaining (CC-5; CC-6; KE-3). To address low nutrient content, entrepreneurs blended organic with inorganic fertilizers or combine different organic inputs to enhance product appeal to farmers, such as mixing biochar with compost, <italic>Tithonia diversifolia,</italic> or chicken manure (e.g., KE-3; KE-4; CM-1; UG-10).</p>
<p>In all countries, interviewees reported increased blending of organic and inorganic fertilizers following the price spikes due to Covid-19 and the Russo-Ukrainian war. Blending is considered promising in literature, but several challenges need to be addressed such as quality consistency and testing with long-term field trials (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref23">Bouhia et al., 2022</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref159">Sakrabani, 2024</xref>). Indeed, quality issues as well as the need for crop and soil specific fertilizer blends have been uttered by various interviewees (e.g., KE-4; CC-1). And in our study, only a few entrepreneurs actively experiment with crop specific nutrient formulations and conduct scientifically valid field trials, sometimes supported by donors and universities (CC-3; KE-4; SA-6; UG-10).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="sec18">
<title>Business models and market experimentation</title>
<p>Beyond technology, entrepreneurs experiment with raw material sourcing and market access: <italic>&#x201C;It is not the technology that is usually the challenge. It&#x2019;s sourcing the input and getting the product out to the market. Those are the pieces, the demand and the supply side and what connects that.&#x201D;</italic> (CC-2: Consultant). Some entrepreneurs collaborate with municipalities and agro-processors to restructure organic waste flows, which is identified as a key for advancing circularity (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref42">Desmond and Asamba, 2019</xref>). Private-public-partnerships can enhance waste management activities by improving efficiency and access to funding, among other benefits. While some highlight the success of such organizational models (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref133">Otoo and Drechsel, 2018</xref>), others remain critical, arguing that successful cases in sub-Saharan Africa are still limited (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref94">Kaza et al., 2018</xref>). Interviewees reported municipal support as a key lever. For example, in Ethiopia, municipal support enabled source-separated household waste collection (CC-1; ET-5), while in other countries municipalities allocated land near waste streams (KE-4). In South Africa, entrepreneurs partnered with the municipality in a private-public-partnership and co-located with a wastewater-treatment facility. Sewage sludge from the latter is co-composted with city-wide collected green waste and then marketed to commercial growers. This strategic siting minimized transport costs and capitalized on existing municipal infrastructure (CC-1; SA-8).</p>
<p>We show that go-to-market experiments are equally diverse, comprising bulk sales to farmer associations, marketing via community retailers, and farm demonstrations in the communities (GH-6; KE-4; RW-6), the latter considered a key success factor. Entrepreneurs also test farmer-driven campaigns and embedded extension to stimulate demand, while others focus on certified organic farms or export-oriented, high value crops (KE-4; SA-6; SE-6).</p>
<p>In Uganda, one entrepreneur works on an on-site business model with containerized composting units at food processing facilities, e.g., coffee, sugar, and juice processing. Fertilizers are distributed back to contract farmers, creating a closed-loop system that links waste management, fertilizer provision, and crop procurement. Processor&#x2019;s pre-finance fertilizer and recover costs post-harvest, thus addressing smallholder farmers&#x2019; cash-flow constraints (UG-10). Such an input credit scheme, also referred to as asset-based financing or in-kind credit model, can enhance smallholder productivity as shown by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref62">Girma (2022)</xref>. A similar model was reported in Senegal (SE-3), where biodigesters were provided without upfront payment, to reduce the initial investment. High initial costs have been previously identified as a key impediment of biodigester uptake (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref43">Diouf and Miezan, 2019</xref>); and in the studied Senegalese case (SE-3), households repay by providing a share of the biodigester&#x2019;s organic fertilizer (slurry). The business operator collects the slurry and integrates it into organic fertilizer production, thus generating higher profits over time compared to a one-time biodigester sale.</p>
<p>Increasing carbon prices and biochar integration are considered promising (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref60">Galgani et al., 2014</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref134">Ottani et al., 2024</xref>). Among interviewees, some report the integration of carbon credits into business models to increase and diversify revenue streams, although it was not a major part of the revenue in 2023 (CC-6; KE-3, 4).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="sec19">
<title>Grassroots and community innovations</title>
<p>NGOs have been proven to serve as enablers of grassroots innovations (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref31">Christopher Go and Brummer, 2024</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref45">Dyck and Silvestre, 2019</xref>). In our study, we identified various NGOs experimenting with small scale, manual labor- and community-based approaches (ET-1; UG-7; RW-4; SE-4; CA-3). For instance, in Cameroon, local women&#x2019;s groups were organized around a tontine-style<xref ref-type="fn" rid="fn0004"><sup>4</sup></xref> model using locally available materials and community knowledge. Their model followed a systemic logic that blends social innovation, such as cooperation, inclusion with ecological and economic objectives (CA-3). Such bottom-up initiatives are associated with adaptive learning (e.g., iterative product adjustments, peer-to-peer learning) and thus sociotechnical change &#x2013; patterns consistent with <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref38">De Boni et al. (2022)</xref>.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="sec20">
<title>Key actors in entrepreneurial activity</title>
<p>The spectrum of actors involved in OFSA production ranges from private informal, e.g., community-based groups, and formal, e.g., small and medium sized enterprises, inter- and non-governmental organizations, public actors and policy makers, e.g., municipalities, and research organizations (see <xref ref-type="supplementary-material" rid="SM1">Supplementary file 3</xref> for an overview of identified actors). Private informal initiatives are often small-scale and supported by NGOs that provide organizational support and knowledge input. We show that these initiatives are generally driven by the objective of improving agricultural production through organic inputs (CM-2, 3; UG-1, 4, 7; RW-4; SN-1, 4).</p>
<p>Municipalities play a key role in the public sector, as they are officially responsible for municipal waste management. However, due to lacking finances of municipalities, the informal waste sector is crucial in many African countries (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref63">Godfrey and Oelofse, 2017</xref>). The informal sector operates outside official regulation, where waste collection and recycling activities are unregistered and uncoordinated (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref80">Harfadli et al., 2024</xref>). Interviewees also highlighted that municipalities are usually mainly motivated by reducing the amount of waste that goes to landfills (CC-2, 6). Some public-private-partnerships were identified, where for example the municipality provides the waste to OFSA entrepreneurs (CC-1; ET-5; SA-8). Due to the amounts of waste available, e.g., from households, these operations generally produce higher OFSA volumes.</p>
<p>We show that private national companies are sometimes backed financially by international donors and technically by research partnerships and/or by their parent companies where they are subsidiaries (GH-6; KE-4; SE-6; UG-10). Particularly international companies play a crucial role by advancing technical expertise and innovation. Initiatives on municipal level are sometimes fostered by research projects or supported by research institutions (CC-1; ET-5; SA-8). Some of the small and medium sized enterprises cooperate with agricultural input dealers, extension agents, farmer cooperatives or large farms to market their products but also for experimental reasons (KE-4; GH-6). Manufacturers of production equipment for OFSA production were only identified in South Africa. They are currently no key actors in the innovation system of most of the other 10 countries. Actors of importance, in countries where they exist, are national and ARSO<xref ref-type="fn" rid="fn0005"><sup>5</sup></xref> as a transnational standardization organization as they define quality standards for OFSA.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="sec21">
<label>3.1.2</label>
<title>Knowledge development (F2)</title>
<p>Across the eleven countries, Function 2 &#x2018;<italic>knowledge development&#x2019;</italic> remains in phase B. It is largely <italic>ad hoc</italic> and fragmented. Practice-based learning is abundant with isolated R&#x0026;D projects, informal trials, iterative product tweaks, and entrepreneur-led experiments, albeit with local variations in depth, institutional support, and international linkages. Formalized knowledge on the other hand, i.e., codification and institutionalization (peer-reviewed studies, standard methods, efficacy protocols, coordinated agendas) lag behind. This divergence explains why entrepreneurs report promising field effects yet face limited external validation and quality assurance, thus constraining diffusion (F3) and market formation (F5).</p>
<p>A targeted bibliometric scan indicates research activity across all countries. Most publications are found in Ethiopia, Ghana, Kenya, and South Africa with more than 150 publications compared to the other seven countries with less than 100 publications (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig2">Figure 2</xref>). Although various of the retrieved studies examine themes such as ex situ processing, product composition, or agronomic performance of ex situ OFSA, a substantial part of the retrieved studies rather addresses <italic>in situ</italic> OFSA, e.g., on-farm composting. Therefore, bibliometrics need to be interpreted only as a contextual signal, not as a stand-alone measure of Function 2.</p>
<fig position="float" id="fig2">
<label>Figure 2</label>
<caption>
<p>Bibliometric analysis of scientific publications. Total number of scientific publications related to OFSA production and use across 11 study countries, based on Scopus database records from 1980 to 2025.</p>
</caption>
<graphic xlink:href="fsufs-10-1656284-g002.tif" mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff">
<alt-text content-type="machine-generated">Bar chart showing the number of scientific publications on OFSA production and use in eleven African countries from 1980 to 2025. Ethiopia, Ghana, and South Africa have the highest publication counts, while Ivory Coast and Senegal have the lowest.</alt-text>
</graphic>
</fig>
<p>South Africa demonstrates the most institutionalized R&#x0026;D. Its national level Waste Research Development and Innovation Roadmap contains a 10-year program funded R&#x0026;D that supports municipal waste valorization and circular-economy research (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref35">CSIR, 2024</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref64">Godfrey et al., 2021</xref>). Although this included research on crucial aspects such as organic waste separation at source (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref122">Nahman et al., 2018</xref>) and waste diversion from landfills (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref162">Schenck et al., 2022</xref>), there is a dearth of published research on themes such as ex situ OFSA production, product quality, and agronomic impacts. More particularly in our study, although some isolated research takes place at universities (SA-4, 8), there is no systematic approach to R&#x0026;D of ex situ OFSA production, cross-sector integration and inclusion in mainstream agriculture. Private sector pioneers often have conducted all their own product development and field trials (SA-6; SA-4), indicating a growth phase dynamic where firms internalize R&#x0026;D (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref83">Hekkert et al., 2007</xref>). Yet, the overall picture of ex situ organic waste valorization suggests fragmented knowledge development as indicative for the formation phase (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref18">Bergek et al., 2008</xref>).</p>
<p>Apart from South Africa, Ethiopia, Kenya, Malawi, Rwanda, and Uganda have established organic fertilizer standards, indicating signs of institutionalization in knowledge development. However, many standards have been only established recently, and public staff often still lack respective knowledge: <italic>&#x201C;They [public administration providing dealership certificates] are usually handling chemical fertilizer. And they have never seen any organic or biofertilizer before, so they have no knowledge about it.&#x201D;</italic> (UG-10: OFSA entrepreneur).</p>
<p>Although no organic fertilizer standards have been established yet, Ghana shows early signs of institutionalization as the Ministry of Food and Agriculture created a National Technical Team to promote organic fertilizers (GH-3) and published guidelines on registration, sampling, and testing (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref138">PPRSD, 2022</xref>). Larger entrepreneurs have established in-house laboratories for OFSA analysis, while national labs perform quality control (GH-9).</p>
<p>Across all countries, except South Africa, one of the main features of knowledge development is, as characterized by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref83">Hekkert et al. (2007)</xref>, learning-by-doing. Many of the interviewed entrepreneurs and NGOs experiment in a non-systematic and non-coordinated manner with different feedstocks to produce OFSA, small-scale on-farm trials with anecdotal evidence as emphasized by some entrepreneurs: <italic>&#x201C;We do not have formalized research on the outcome as it is also a small-scale project.&#x201D;</italic> (CA-3: Advisory service). <italic>&#x201C;We engage in own research and opinion of people who are knowledgeable in the fertilizer sector.&#x201D;</italic> (GH-11: OFSA entrepreneur). <italic>&#x201C;We see some farmers who apply it appropriately, and it&#x2019;s totally anecdotal, up to a 30% increase.&#x201D;</italic> (KE-4: OFSA entrepreneur). <italic>&#x201C;The data we have on the effects of fertilizers are only visual [&#x2026;] We need quantitative research on yield impact to provide real evidence.&#x201D;</italic> (CA-2: NGO). The dominance of learning-by-doing aligns with <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref83">Hekkert et al. (2007)</xref> classification in early TIS. The fragmented R&#x0026;D and weak coordination is mirrored in <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref18">Bergek et al. (2008)</xref> description of emerging TIS, while the multi-actor platforms (GreenCape, industry associations) in South Africa reflect the contextual embedding as described by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref17">Bergek et al. (2015)</xref>.</p>
<p>International learning-by-searching (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref83">Hekkert et al., 2007</xref>) occurs in all eleven countries through international partnerships conducting research and other development activities, where deliberate R&#x0026;D and knowledge-scouting activities take place with the aim of adapting external scientific knowledge and technical information (cf. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref83">Hekkert et al., 2007</xref>). These multi-scalar networks indicate a transnational innovation system (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref20">Binz and Truffer, 2017</xref>), which has also been highlighted by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref177">Tigabu et al. (2015a</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref178">2015b)</xref> for biogas TIS in Rwanda and Kenya and by various interviewees: <italic>&#x201C;The company has enjoyed partnership from other organizations both local and international like from Germany and Ghana. These partnerships have helped the company both at the policy and research front.&#x201D;</italic> (GH-10: OFSA entrepreneur). &#x201C;<italic>We received knowledge and technology from partners from Cornell University, MIT, Nairobi University, mostly in the research phase. They have been key in product development.&#x201D;</italic> (KE-3: OFSA entrepreneur).</p>
<p>Our study indicates that international research partnerships with local research institutions, NGOs, and intergovernmental organizations foster knowledge development through social learning by methods such as farmer field schools, community demos, training-of-trainers schemes and collective experimentation (CC-1, 5; CA-3; ET-1; UG-1, 4, 7; RW-4). These partnerships along with international companies are currently the key knowledge creators, supporting pioneers, and niches, as also identified by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref82">Hauser and Lindtner (2017)</xref>. However, there are no formalized national research agendas building systematic knowledge. Furthermore, we show that there is a lack of cross-sector coordination and knowledge development between waste management, sanitation and agriculture regarding the restructuring of feedstock flows and product development to ensure viable business cases (CC-2, 6). Across all countries, systematic knowledge on the impacts of different combinations of ex situ feedstocks and potential blending with inorganic inputs and respective impact on product quality and crop as well as soil specific usage is lacking: <italic>&#x201C;There is need for authentication of the products done through research and standardization to avoid selling with claims that are far from reality.&#x201D;</italic> (GH-4: Consultant) <italic>&#x201C;Organic fertilizer companies should also come up with products that are specific to crops depending on individual crop nutrient requirement rather than selling a product that is said to have a blanket effect.&#x201D;</italic> (MA-1: Farmers organization). However, there are exceptions with emerging institutional anchors such as government-initiated research trials on organo-mineral fertilizer blends like in Malawi (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref121">Mwafulirwa, 2023</xref>), or the testing of efficacy of ex situ OFSA in Ghana by the Ministry of Food and Agriculture (GH-3).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="sec22">
<label>3.1.3</label>
<title>Knowledge diffusion (F3)</title>
<p>Function 3 &#x2018;<italic>knowledge diffusion&#x2019;</italic> through networks can be differentiated between pan-African and national or local networks (<xref ref-type="table" rid="tab4">Table 4</xref>). Across the eleven countries, only South Africa indicates clear signs of institutionalization in the knowledge diffusion function, i.e., phase C, while Kenya, Rwanda and Ghana show only early signs. Each of these countries hosts at least one platform where public, private, and civil society actors exchange technical and other expertise. In the other countries efforts are fragmented and often led by NGOs or project consortia rather than permanent institutions, hence the function is emerging in a fragmented manner (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref83">Hekkert et al., 2007</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref601">Musiolik et al., 2012</xref>), corresponding to phase B. The absence of sustained, formal actor networks restricts cross-functional feedback loops that are essential for TIS consolidation (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref18">Bergek et al., 2008</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref20">Binz and Truffer, 2017</xref>). Nonetheless, in our study, even where formal networks are absent, informal networks occasionally coordinate standard development with national bureaus of standards (e.g., UG-10). Such informal networks play an important role in aligning policy decisions, on fertilizer and waste standards for example, with on-the-ground technological developments (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref83">Hekkert et al., 2007</xref>).</p>
<table-wrap position="float" id="tab4">
<label>Table 4</label>
<caption>
<p>Key national and transnational level networks and industry associations supporting organic waste recycling toward organic fertilizer and soil amendment (OFSA) production across eleven African countries.</p>
</caption>
<table frame="hsides" rules="groups">
<thead>
<tr>
<th align="left" valign="top">Country</th>
<th align="left" valign="top">Network/association</th>
<th align="left" valign="top">Description</th>
<th align="left" valign="top">Source</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">1. Cameroon</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">n.a.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">n.a.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">n.a.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">2. Ethiopia</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">n.a.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">n.a.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">n.a.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top" rowspan="2">3. Ghana</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Environmental Service Providers Association (ESPA)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Represent waste companies, provide networking, advocacy, coordination and capacity building.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">
<ext-link xlink:href="http://www.espaghana.com" ext-link-type="uri">www.espaghana.com</ext-link>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">Organic Fertilizer Entrepreneurs Association of Ghana (OFPAG)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Founded during the fertilizer shortages in 2022 with aim to coordinate production.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">GH-3 (policy maker)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">4. Ivory Coast</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">n.a.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">n.a.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">n.a.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top" rowspan="3">5. Kenya</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Kenya Association of Waste Recyclers (KAWR)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Umbrella body for private sector entities engaged in material recovery from waste.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">
<ext-link xlink:href="http://www.kenyarecyclers.co.ke" ext-link-type="uri">www.kenyarecyclers.co.ke</ext-link>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">Fertilizer Association of Kenya (FA-K)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">FA-K represents manufacturers, importers, formulators, blenders, and distributors of both inorganic and organic fertilizers in Kenya.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">
<ext-link xlink:href="http://www.fa-k.or.ke" ext-link-type="uri">www.fa-k.or.ke</ext-link>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">Organic Fertilizers and Input Manufacturers Association of Kenya (OFIMAK)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Promotes sustainable agriculture. Platform for collaboration among organic input manufacturers.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">
<ext-link xlink:href="http://www.ofimak.co.ke" ext-link-type="uri">www.ofimak.co.ke</ext-link>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">6. Malawi</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">n.a.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">n.a.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">n.a.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">7. Rwanda</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Circular Food Systems for Rwanda (CIRF)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Multi-stakeholder platform to enable and encourage exchanges and dialogue between public, private and civil society players.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref109">MoE (2022)</xref>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">8. Senegal</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">n.a.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">n.a.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">n.a.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top" rowspan="4">9. South Africa</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Organics Recycling Association of South Africa (ORASA)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Promote and represent the organics recycling sector / anaerobic digestion and biogas from organic waste. Advocacy, lobbying for regulatory frameworks, provision of trainings and knowledge sharing.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">
<ext-link xlink:href="http://www.orasa.org.za" ext-link-type="uri">www.orasa.org.za</ext-link>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">South African Biogas Industry Association (SABIA)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">
<ext-link xlink:href="http://www.sabia.org.za" ext-link-type="uri">www.sabia.org.za</ext-link>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">GreenCape</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Cross-stakeholder mediator and information service (market reports).</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">
<ext-link xlink:href="http://www.greencape.co.za" ext-link-type="uri">www.greencape.co.za</ext-link>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">Fertilizer Association of Southern Africa (Fertasa)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Serves as the primary industry body for the inorganic and organic fertilizer sector (entrepreneurs, traders, blenders, and distributors).</td>
<td align="left" valign="top"><ext-link xlink:href="http://www.fertasa.co.za" ext-link-type="uri">www.fertasa.co.za</ext-link>; SA-6 (OFSA entrepreneur)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">10. Uganda</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">n.a.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">n.a.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">n.a.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">11. Zimbabwe</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">n.a.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">n.a.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">n.a.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top" rowspan="4">12. Transnational</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">African Circular Economy Alliance (ACEA)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Government-led coalition and policy platform consisting of 15 countries.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top"><ext-link xlink:href="http://www.aceaafrica.org" ext-link-type="uri">www.aceaafrica.org</ext-link>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2">ACEA (2021)</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">African Circular Economy Network (ACEN)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Multi-stakeholder network platform for entrepreneurs and new business models.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">
<ext-link xlink:href="http://www.acen.africa" ext-link-type="uri">www.acen.africa</ext-link>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">Africa Circular Economy Facility (ACEF)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Facility for funding and technical assistance for scaling of CE initiatives in African countries.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref7">AfDB (n.d.)</xref>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">Africa Organization for Standardization (ARSO)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Harmonize standards across Africa.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">
<ext-link xlink:href="http://www.arso-oran.org" ext-link-type="uri">www.arso-oran.org</ext-link>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</table-wrap>
<p>South Africa hosts multiple formal associations that facilitate advocacy, capacity building, and policy dialogue. FERTASA serves as an industry network for the inorganic and organic fertilizer industry, while ORASA and SABIA focus specifically on organic waste valorization (<xref ref-type="table" rid="tab4">Table 4</xref>). These networks organize training workshops, lobby for regulatory frameworks, and disseminate best practices, thereby strengthening legitimacy and reducing information asymmetries (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref59">Furtado and Perrot, 2015</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref98">Ko et al., 2021</xref>). Government-backed intermediaries (GreenCape) further catalyze multi-stakeholder coordination by hosting forums that identify circular economy opportunities (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref76">GreenCape, 2019</xref>). The network initiatives along with government regulations are considered important support mechanisms for the development of the sector in South Africa (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref64">Godfrey et al., 2021</xref>). These formalized networks and policy initiatives create an enabling environment that supports scaling of OFSA technologies.</p>
<p>In Kenya, formal networks have formed in the waste recycling sector through associations and among inorganic and organic fertilizer entrepreneurs (<xref ref-type="table" rid="tab4">Table 4</xref>). However, a lack of cooperation and knowledge sharing has been highlighted by an interviewee for example for Black Soldier Fly (BSF) technology: <italic>&#x201C;There are lots of BSF entrepreneurs in Kenya, [&#x2026;] often they&#x2019;re struggling with the same issues. And somehow some have found some solutions, but they don&#x2019;t talk to each other. They&#x2019;re in this mindset of competition. [&#x2026;] They&#x2019;re scared to share. And that just blocks, it&#x2019;s such a barrier.&#x201D;</italic> (CC-5: Scientist). This reluctance highlights that formal networks alone do not guarantee effective diffusion. Trust building and shared governance must accompany institutional structures (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref17">Bergek et al., 2015</xref>).</p>
<p>Rwanda lacks formal industry associations dedicated to OFSA, but the CIRF program - a multi-stakeholder platform aligned with the Circular Economy Action Plan - facilitates dialogue between public, private and civil society players (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref109">MoE, 2022</xref>). Coordinated agendas across sectors are of importance for strategic TIS development (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref83">Hekkert et al., 2007</xref>). CIRF&#x2019;s strategic alignment with the Ministry of Environment&#x2019;s roadmap ensures that knowledge exchange channels incorporate and coordinate both policy and technical dimensions.</p>
<p>In Ghana, the ESPA association organizes waste management firms, and the Organic Fertilizer Producer Association emerged as a response to the 2022 inorganic fertilizer shortages (GH-3). These associations represent an early step toward institutionalizing knowledge diffusion in Ghana&#x2019;s OFSA sector, particularly by coordinating production targets and sharing processing protocols.</p>
<p>On a Pan-African level, we found several coalitions and initiatives that foster cross-border learning and harmonization of standards. The African Circular Economy Alliance and Africa Circular Economy Facility support policy advocacy and technical assistance that directly benefits OFSA innovation. The African Circular Economy Network convenes grassroots stakeholders, while the Africa Organization for Standardization works to harmonize organic fertilizer standards across member states (<xref ref-type="table" rid="tab4">Table 4</xref>). These transnational networks contribute to legitimacy building (Function 7), funding flows (Function 6), and training programs (Function 2 and 3), which aligns with <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref19">Binz and Truffer (2012</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref20">2017)</xref>, who argue that global innovation systems can supply resources and norms which local TIS actors subsequently adapt to their contexts.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="sec23">
<label>3.1.4</label>
<title>Guidance of the search (F4)</title>
<p>Function 4 &#x2018;<italic>guidance of the search&#x2019;</italic> remains largely in phase B: &#x201C;formation&#x201D; across ten out of eleven countries, characterized by non-binding, fragmented policy signals and weak enforcement, which is characteristic for an emerging, <italic>ad hoc</italic> governance phase (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref18">Bergek et al., 2008</xref>). Only South Africa has advanced this function to phase C: &#x201C;growth,&#x201D; due to coherent targets, financing mechanisms, and dedicated R&#x0026;D support. Our focus here is on institutions - specifically laws, policies, and regulatory frameworks - related to organic waste management, which are central aspects in innovation systems (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref17">Bergek et al., 2015</xref>). In OFSA production, these institutions can include policy targets such as organic waste recycling quota, laws and regulations such as recycling laws. They all provide directional signals that shape actor expectations and steer innovation trajectories (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref83">Hekkert et al., 2007</xref>). We created three policy-guidance clusters - advanced, emerging, and nascent - using a qualitative rubric we developed. Countries were grouped based on: (i) the presence of a dedicated solid waste management law; (ii) explicit references to recycling/resource recovery within that law; and (iii) explicit organic-waste recycling targets (see <xref ref-type="table" rid="tab5">Table 5</xref>). Countries were rated advanced if all three criteria were met, emerging if waste management was at least included in broader environmental laws, and nascent if none of the criteria was fulfilled.</p>
<table-wrap position="float" id="tab5">
<label>Table 5</label>
<caption>
<p>Solid waste management and recycling laws, policies, and legal frameworks in eleven African countries (adapted from <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref57">Freyer et al., 2024a</xref>).</p>
</caption>
<table frame="hsides" rules="groups">
<thead>
<tr>
<th align="left" valign="top">Country</th>
<th align="left" valign="top">Solid waste management and recycling laws, policies and legal frameworks</th>
<th align="left" valign="top">Comments</th>
<th align="left" valign="top">Source</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top" rowspan="4">1. Cameroon</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Law No. 96/12 Environmental Management (1996)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Lays out waste management practices.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top" rowspan="2">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref9">Albrecht et al. (2022)</xref>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">Urban Development and Housing signed Order No. 00072/MINAT/MINVILL (2000)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Defines hygiene/sanitation, collection and/or treatment of household waste.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">Decree no. 2012/2809/PM (2012)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Lays down the conditions for the sorting, collection, storage, recycling, treatment and final disposal of waste.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top" rowspan="2">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref184">UN Habitat (2018)</xref>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">Decree no. 001/MINEPDED (2012)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Sets out the conditions for obtaining an environmental permit for waste management.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top" rowspan="3">2. Ethiopia</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Ethiopian Environmental Policy (1997), Public Health Protection Proclamation No 200/2000, Environmental Impact Assessment Proclamation No 299/2002, Environmental Pollution Control Proclamation 300/2002.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Well-developed set of policies and regulations on environmental management that include SWM, but no measures for enforcement, effectiveness unknown.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top"><xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref168">Singh and Singh (2022)</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref198">Xie and Mito (2021)</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">National Solid Waste Management Proclamation (No. 513/2007)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Waste segregation at households&#x2019; level is foreseen by it in Article 11.1.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref101">Lenhart et al. (2022)</xref>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">National Integrated Urban Sanitation and Hygiene Strategy (2017)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Strategy to improve urban sanitation and hygiene, including (organic) SWM. It promotes 3R (reduce, reuse, recycle) and the integration of informal waste collectors.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref52">FDRE (2017)</xref>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top" rowspan="5">3. Ghana</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Local Governance Act (1993)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Lays the foundation for the formulation of by-laws for MSWM.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref168">Singh and Singh (2022)</xref>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">Environmental Sanitation Policy (ESP), 2010</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Comprehensive guidelines for environmental sanitation, incl. SWM. Reference to waste reduction, reuse, recycling, recovery. Emphasis on composting for the management of organic waste, promoting its conversion for agricultural use.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref66">GoG (2010a)</xref>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">National Environmental Sanitation Strategy and Action Plan (NESSAP), (2010)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Aims at, e.g., Awareness creation&#x2014;change in sanitation behavior.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref67">GoG (2010b)</xref>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">Local Governance Act, 2016 (Act 936)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Mandates Metropolitan, Municipal, and District Assemblies (MMDAs) to manage solid waste directly or through private sector partnerships. MMDAs are responsible for developing sub-national plans based on national strategies and are empowered to enact by-laws on sanitation to regulate local environmental conditions, including MSWM.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref68">GoG (2016)</xref>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">National Solid Waste Management Strategy (NSWMS), (2020)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Aims to enable effective waste reduction, recovery, reuse and recycling.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref114">MSWR (2020)</xref>
</td>
<td rowspan="2">4. Ivory Coast</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">Government with World Bank elaborated the Urban Resilience and Solid Waste Management Project (USWMP) (2019&#x2013;2020).</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Aim is to improve SWM and services&#x2014;among others. There is no legislation specific to SWM; no specifics regarding recycling or composting are provided in the USWMP.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top"><xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref113">MoS (2020)</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref184">UN Habitat (2018)</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">Hygiene and Health Law Code (2023&#x2013;899)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Intends to regulate waste management incl. Increased circular practices and recycling (the law is currently under review).</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref143">Republique-de-Cote-D'Ivoire (2023)</xref>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top" rowspan="2">5. Kenya</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">National Solid Waste Management Strategy (2015)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Platform for action between stakeholders, objectives are to reduce waste, waste segregation at source, resource recovery etc.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref168">Singh and Singh (2022)</xref>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">Sustainable Waste Management Act, no. 31 of 2022.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">The act includes the promotion of a circular economy, including recycling and reuse. It covers organic and non-organic wastes.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref176">The Republic of Kenya (2022)</xref>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top" rowspan="4">6. Malawi</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Environment Management Act (1996)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Broadly framed, can be applied to MSW management.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top" rowspan="3"><xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref70">GoM (2018)</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref69">GoM (2014)</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">National Environmental Policy (2004)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Provides policy guidance incl. Waste management.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">Environment Management (Waste Management and Sanitation) Regulations (2008)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Detailed guidelines for waste management practices, including waste separation at source and recycling (incl. Organic materials).</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">National Waste Management Strategy (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref123">2019</xref>&#x2013;2023)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">It guides actions of regulatory bodies, the public, and stakeholders in areas such as policy formulation, promotion of waste segregation (at source), resource recovery, and the establishment of sound infrastructure for waste management.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref003">EAD (2019)</xref>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top" rowspan="7">7. Rwanda</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Organic Law No 04/2005</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Foundational law, provides the basis for all waste management activities.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top" rowspan="2">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref168">Singh and Singh (2022)</xref>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">Regulations No 002/EWASTAN/ SW/RURA (2015)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Governs solid waste recycling, establishing standards and procedures for recycling activities.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">National Sanitation Policy (2016)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Aims to ensure sustainable, equitable, and affordable access to safe sanitation and waste management services. It emphasizes the importance of integrated waste management strategies, including waste reduction, reuse, recycling.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref111">MoI (2016)</xref>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">Law No. 48/2018 of 13/08/2018 on Environment</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Revises and supplements the Organic Law on Environmental Protection and Management, incl. Waste management.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref71">GoR (2018)</xref>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">Regulation No. 007/R/SAN-EWS/RURA/2021</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Provides a licensing framework for solid waste collection/transportation services.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref157">RURA (2021)</xref>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">Rwanda Integrated Solid Waste Management Strategy (2022)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">The strategy includes the promotion of a circular economy, including recycling and reuse (e.g., organic wastes).</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref112">MoI (2022)</xref>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">Ministry of Agriculture Strategic Plan 2018&#x2013;2024</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Promotes an &#x201C;integrated approach to soil fertility/nutrient management, which employs agro-ecology, resource recovery and reuse, and fertilizer enriched composts.<italic>&#x201D;</italic></td>
<td align="left" valign="top">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref108">MoAAR (2018)</xref>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top" rowspan="5">8. Senegal</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">The Environment Code on Waste Management and Recycling (Law No. 2001&#x2013;01).</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Foundational law that states that disposal or recycling shall be environmentally sound.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top" rowspan="3"><xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref158">RVO (2022)</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref196">World Bank (2019c)</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">National Solid Waste Management Program (PNGD) (2014)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">This program aimed to achieve a &#x201C;Zero Waste&#x201D; vision for Senegal through integrated waste management strategies with specific emphasis on the roles of local authorities.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">Integrated and Sustainable Solid Waste Management Strategy (2015)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Emerged as a continuation from the The National Solid Waste Management Program (PNGD - Programme National de Gestion des D&#x00E9;chets) (2014). The key components include decentralization and private sector engagement, establishment of waste management agglomerations.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">Law No. 2022&#x2013;18, enacted on May 23, 2022</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Authorizes the creation of the National Integrated Waste Management Company (Sonaged S. A.), a state-owned enterprise responsible for implementing integrated waste management strategies nationwide.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top"><xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref147">RoS (2022a</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref148">2022b)</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">Law No. 2023&#x2013;15 of August 2, 2023, enacting the Environmental Code</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">The update to Law No. 2001&#x2013;01 addresses various environmental issues, including strengthening waste management.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref602">RoS (2023)</xref>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top" rowspan="4">9. South Africa</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">National Environmental Management Act (NEMA), 1998 (Act No. 107 of 1998)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Foundational law, provides the overarching principles for environmental management.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top" rowspan="2">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref149">RoSA (2008)</xref>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">National Environmental Management: Waste Act, 2008</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Promotes integrated waste management based on the waste management, waste avoidance, reduction, reuse, recycling, and recovery. Treatment and safe disposal are considered as a last resort. Integrated Waste Management Plans (IWMPs) have to be developed by all government spheres.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">National Waste Management Strategy (NWMS)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Aligned with the Waste Act, the NWMS outlines the government&#x2019;s approach to waste management (waste avoidance and reduction, development of a recycling economy).</td>
<td align="left" valign="top"><xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref40">DEA (2013)</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref41">DEFF (2020)</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref144">Ricci-J&#x00FC;rgensen et al. (2020)</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">Municipal By-Laws</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Local municipalities in South Africa have the authority to develop by-laws that address waste management within their jurisdictions.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref39">De Villiers et al. (2020)</xref>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top" rowspan="3">10. Uganda</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">National Environment Act, 2019</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">This act constitutes the principal environmental legislation, providing guidelines for environmental management, including waste management practices.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref72">GoU (2019)</xref>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">National Environment (Waste Management) Regulations (2020)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Detailed guidance on waste management. Section 18 foresees waste separation at source for sorting of recyclable, hazardous and/or nonbiodegradable waste.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref127">NEMA (2020)</xref>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">Sector Strategy for Organic Waste Management (SOWU)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Current development of a strategy aimed at aligning organic waste management with national policies and enhancing the capacity of institutions to promote waste separation and recycling of organic waste.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref161">Sanabria and Okello (2024)</xref>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top" rowspan="4">11. Zimbabwe</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">The Public Health Act (1996)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Deals with solid waste.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top" rowspan="2">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref166">Shabani and Jerie (2023)</xref>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">The Environmental Management Act (2002)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Addresses SWM; Comprehensive legislation exists, but implementation and enforcement are lacking.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">Environmental Management (Effluents and Solid Waste Disposal) Regulations, 2007 (SI 6 of 2007)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">These regulations govern the disposal of effluents and solid waste, including provisions for licensing waste disposal sites and standards for waste management practices. Local authorities are required to develop waste management plans.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref74">GoZ (2007)</xref>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">The Zimbabwe National Integrated Solid Waste Management Plan (ZNISWMP), (2010)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">To address shortcomings, the Plan aimed to develop a decentralized MSWM, better stakeholder integration, waste reduction, source separation and recycling. However, many of proposed actions are not implemented.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref128">Nhubu et al. (2021)</xref>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</table-wrap>
<sec id="sec24">
<title>Advanced cluster</title>
<p>South Africa, Kenya, and Rwanda are considered advanced among the eleven countries as they have defined solid waste management laws. In addition, these laws reference recycling and resource recovery (<xref ref-type="table" rid="tab5">Table 5</xref>). Further, they are the only countries with explicit organic waste recycling targets.</p>
<p>Based on our investigation, South Africa has the most mature regulatory framework and institutional capacity across all countries. The country established a Waste Act (2008), formulated a National Organic Waste Composting Strategy<xref ref-type="fn" rid="fn0006"><sup>6</sup></xref> in 2013 (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref40">DEA, 2013</xref>), and set organic waste recycling targets (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref41">DEFF, 2020</xref>). South Africa has a coherent and integrated legislative framework, with clear responsibilities, financing and enforcement mechanisms (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref167">Shi et al., 2021</xref>). However, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref63">Godfrey and Oelofse (2017)</xref> consider inefficiencies due to overregulation. Furthermore, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref131">Oelofse and Muswema (2020)</xref> criticize that the scarcity of accurate organic waste recycling data introduces difficulties in assessing the success of the recycling targets. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref64">Godfrey et al. (2021)</xref> find that the low costs of landfilling have been inhibitive for organic waste treatment and viable business models, but the government is increasing restrictions.</p>
<p>We find that Kenya has established a progressive Sustainable Waste Management Act (2022) and set an ambitious municipal waste recycling rate by 2030 (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref126">NEMA, 2015</xref>). Nevertheless, the implementation of solid waste management policies has been historically faced with practical obstacles such as poor implementation and enforcement, corruption and inadequate public cooperation (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref11">Amugsi et al., 2022</xref>). One of the market leaders in OFSA production stated: <italic>&#x201C;From a regulatory environment, there&#x2019;s not much creating headwinds, but there&#x2019;s also nothing creating tailwinds.&#x201D;</italic> (KE-4: OFSA entrepreneur).</p>
<p>Finally, we find that Rwanda&#x2019;s circular economy legislation and ambitious targets is advanced compared to other countries in Sub-Saharan Africa (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref172">Surchat et al., 2023</xref>). Rwanda&#x2019;s 2022 Integrated Solid Waste Management Strategy mandates source separation and recovery targets, yet implementation remains faced with challenges due to limited institutional capacity and budgetary constraints (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref117">Mulindwa et al., 2024</xref>).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="sec25">
<title>Emerging cluster</title>
<p>Based on our grouping, Ghana, Uganda, Ethiopia, Malawi, and Zimbabwe belong to the emerging cluster. In these cases, we show that solid waste management is included within broader environmental laws, but explicit recycling and resource recovery targets are generally absent (<xref ref-type="table" rid="tab5">Table 5</xref>).</p>
<p>Ghana has attempted to increase organic waste recycling with their National Solid Waste Management Strategy for Ghana (2020). The strategy provides a structured approach to tackling waste management challenges, with a particular emphasis on waste minimization, organic waste recycling, and private sector involvement (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref114">MSWR, 2020</xref>). Nevertheless, a lack in the effectiveness of governance structures, particularly disconnections between national and local stakeholders, institutional collaboration and coordination, is hindering effective steering (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref186">Volsuuri et al., 2022</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref193">Williams et al., 2023</xref>). Further, the insufficient emphasis on waste segregation at source, as in most other countries, remains a key issue: <italic>&#x201C;Waste collection has been privatized but the biggest challenge is that the waste is not separated [&#x2026;] the quality [of raw material] is questionable.&#x201D;</italic> (GH-7: OFSA entrepreneur).</p>
<p>Uganda released its National Environment Regulations in 2020, including a section that foresees waste separation at source for sorting recyclables. Currently, a Sector Strategy for Organic Waste Management (SOWU) is under development. It aims to align organic waste management with national policies and strengthen institutional capacity to promote waste separation and the recycling of organic waste (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref161">Sanabria and Okello, 2024</xref>).</p>
<p>Countries like Ethiopia, Zimbabwe, and Malawi have made comparatively early efforts in organic waste management and recycling (<xref ref-type="table" rid="tab5">Table 5</xref>). Ethiopia released Solid Waste Management Proclamation No. 513 in 2007, which aimed to encourage organic waste recycling and composting. In particular, article 11.1. of the Proclamation mandates waste segregation at the household level, but this has not been achieved in practice (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref101">Lenhart et al., 2022</xref>). In 2017, the National Integrated Urban Sanitation and Hygiene Strategy began promoting the 3Rs (Reduce, Reuse, Recycle) and the integration of informal waste collectors. Yet, the majority of organic waste is still disposed of through open dumping and uncontrolled incineration (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref101">Lenhart et al., 2022</xref>). Despite these policy initiatives, there remains a lack of responsibility and clarity about financing mechanisms: <italic>&#x201C;It needs to be defined who is responsible for it. Because there is currently not really a responsibility. Of course, in cities like Addis there are companies who get a contract by the city for waste, but it is not actually enshrined in law that the city is responsible for this waste, so of course it feels responsible for keeping the streets clean. But there is always the question of who pays the bill&#x201D;.</italic> (ET-6: Scientist).</p>
<p>In Zimbabwe, the Zimbabwe National Integrated Solid Waste Management Plan was released in 2010. It aimed to develop a decentralized waste management, improve stakeholder integration, waste reduction, source separation and recycling. However, many of the proposed actions have not been implemented (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref128">Nhubu et al., 2021</xref>).</p>
<p>Malawi released the Environment Management (Waste Management and Sanitation) Regulations in 2008. These regulations provide detailed guidelines for waste management practices, including organic waste separation at source and recycling. Malawi also established a <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref003">EAD (2019)</xref>, which prioritizes recycling. However, effective implementation remains limited due to low public participation, budgetary constraints, and inadequate infrastructure (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref29">Chikukula et al., 2024</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref93">Kamanga et al., 2024</xref>).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="sec26">
<title>Nascent cluster</title>
<p>Senegal, Cameroon and Ivory Coast belong to the nascent cluster of countries, where organic waste recycling is less explicitly prioritized. Therefore, in these countries none of the three grouping parameters studied is present (<xref ref-type="table" rid="tab5">Table 5</xref>). Senegal has recently strengthened its legal base regarding waste management (Law No. 2022&#x2013;18 and Law No. 2023&#x2013;15); however, the explicit prioritization of organic waste recycling is not distinctly emphasized.</p>
<p>Cameroon has enacted several legislative instruments to regulate waste management, but organic waste recycling is not prioritized. Furthermore, Cameroon faces poor implementation of existing laws and regulation, along with a lack of infrastructure, limited public awareness of laws and regulations, and insufficient source separation (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref9">Albrecht et al., 2022</xref>).</p>
<p>In Ivory Coast, general regulation regarding solid waste management has historically been weak (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref183">UN Habitat, 2018</xref>). The potentially forthcoming Hygiene and Health Law Code (2023&#x2013;899), currently under review, intends to regulate waste management and promote circular practices and recycling (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref143">Republique-de-Cote-D'Ivoire, 2023</xref>).</p>
<p>Across all countries, solid waste management and recycling face similar challenges in being effective. Lacking enforcement of regulatory frameworks, budgetary constraints, corruption, insufficient infrastructure, insufficient integration of informal waste pickers, and public participation are among key challenges in many Sub-Saharan countries (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref116">Muheirwe et al., 2022</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref167">Shi et al., 2021</xref>). Additionally, inconsistency and ambiguity in regulations and a lack of clear incentives can discourage recycling such as the payment based on the weight of waste delivered to landfills (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref101">Lenhart et al., 2022</xref>). The gap between policy and implementation has been identified as a major barrier to innovation system growth in other emerging economies (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref87">Intarakumnerd and Chaminade, 2007</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref163">Schiller et al., 2020</xref>). Regarding the recycling of human excreta, regulations are either ambiguous, absent or highly bureaucratic, as expressed by some interviewees: <italic>&#x201C;Currently, most of the technological options in the ecological sanitation sector face bureaucratic limitations concerning reuse of human excreta.&#x201D;</italic> (SA-8: Scientist). <italic>&#x201C;There needs to be clear policies that say you can use fecal sludge in agriculture production, and these are the guidelines for its use.&#x201D;</italic> (CC-2: Consultant).</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="sec27">
<label>3.1.5</label>
<title>Market formation (F5) for organic fertilizers and soil amendments</title>
<p>Across ten countries, Function 5 &#x2018;<italic>market formation</italic>&#x2019; is in phase B, emerging in a fragmented manner. Only South Africa achieves a more institutionalized level and reached phase C, characterized by standardized quality classes, diverse market segments, and formal procurement channels.</p>
<sec id="sec28">
<title>Current market size</title>
<p>There is a dearth of systematic, quantitative data on OFSA production volumes or capacities. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref85">IFDC (2023)</xref> provides statistics on inorganic fertilizer and, to some extent, on organic fertilizer plants, production quantities, and/or capacities. The current gaps in reliable market data reflect weak development of Function 2 &#x2018;<italic>knowledge development&#x2019;</italic> and 7 &#x2018;<italic>resource mobilization&#x2019;</italic>. Without reliable market data, policy makers and investors cannot assess the scaling potential or system growth (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref83">Hekkert et al., 2007</xref>). Qualitative estimates from interviews on the current market size of ex situ OFSA production vary widely across the studied countries, reflecting differences in waste sources and production approaches (<xref ref-type="table" rid="tab6">Table 6</xref>).</p>
<table-wrap position="float" id="tab6">
<label>Table 6</label>
<caption>
<p>Ex situ organic fertilizer and soil amendment (OFSA) production or production capacities by country (t a<sup>&#x2212;1</sup>) according to information collected from interviews in contrast to literature and/or web sources (status quo 2023).</p>
</caption>
<table frame="hsides" rules="groups">
<thead>
<tr>
<th align="left" valign="top" rowspan="2">Country</th>
<th align="center" valign="top" colspan="5">Ex situ organic fertilizer production or production capacity&#x002A;</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th align="center" valign="top">Estimations from interviews (2023) (t/a<sup>&#x2212;1</sup>)</th>
<th align="left" valign="top">Description (organic waste source)</th>
<th align="center" valign="top">Literature and web sources (t/a<sup>&#x2212;1</sup>)</th>
<th align="left" valign="top">Description (organic waste source)</th>
<th align="left" valign="top">Source</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">1. Cameroon</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">&#x003C; 5,000</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Households, plant collection</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">n.a.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">-</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">-</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">2. Ethiopia</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">&#x003C; 250,000</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Households</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">270,000&#x002A;</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Compost produced from municipal solid waste</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref119">Mutukaa and Ermias (2021)</xref>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top" rowspan="2">3. Ghana</td>
<td align="center" valign="top" rowspan="2">&#x2248; 130,000</td>
<td align="left" valign="top" rowspan="2">Households, markets, human excreta, abbatoirs, agro-processing</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">12,500&#x002A;</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">n.a.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref85">IFDC (2023)</xref>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center" valign="top">87,000</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Household waste</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">
<ext-link xlink:href="http://www.acarpghana.com" ext-link-type="uri">www.acarpghana.com</ext-link>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">4. Ivory Coast</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">&#x2248; 60,000</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Households, animal manure, palm oil production residues</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">50,000&#x002A;</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">n.a.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref85">IFDC (2023)</xref>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">5. Kenya</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">&#x2248; 20,000</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Households, hotels, markets, abbatoirs, agro-processing</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">20,000</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Households, hotels, markets, human excreta, abbatoirs, agro-processing</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref175">TechnoServe (2023)</xref>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">6. Malawi</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">&#x003C; 5,000</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Households</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">n.a.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">-</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">-</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">7. Rwanda</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">&#x003C; 5,000</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Households, agro-processing</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">n.a.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">-</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">-</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">8. Senegal</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">&#x2248; 70,000</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Households, agro-processing, animal manure</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">5,000</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">n.a.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref85">IFDC (2023)</xref>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">9. South Africa</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">&#x003E; 70,000</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Households, green waste from municipalities, markets, human excreta, abbatoirs, agro-processing</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">&#x002A;&#x002A;</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Household municipal organic waste</td>
<td align="left" valign="top"><xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref40">DEA (2013)</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref41">DEFF (2020)</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">10. Uganda</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">&#x003C; 10,000</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Households, agro-processing, animal manure, plant collection, human excreta</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">n.a.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">-</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">-</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">11. Zimbabwe</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">&#x2248; 50,000</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Households, markets, human excreta, agro-processing</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">n.a.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">-</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">-</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table-wrap-foot>
<p>All numbers are rounded; t&#x202F;=&#x202F;metric tons; &#x002A;Yearly production capacity, own calculation with data from <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref85">IFDC (2023)</xref>. Daily production (calculated with 8&#x202F;h of operation) multiplied by 220 estimated working days per year. &#x002A;&#x002A; The reported figures are contradictory.</p>
</table-wrap-foot>
</table-wrap>
<p>According to official statistics, South Africa stands out as having one of the most advanced ex situ OFSA production systems in Sub-Saharan Africa, with an organic waste recycling rate of 49%, equivalent to approximately 10 million t a<sup>&#x2212;1</sup> (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref41">DEFF, 2020</xref>). However, these figures are in conflict with other reported numbers by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref41">DEFF (2020)</xref>. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref131">Oelofse and Muswema (2020)</xref> note that recycling rates for organic waste in South Africa cannot be accurately determined due to data limitations. Consistent with this uncertainty, interviewees emphasized that reliable national figures are not visible on the ground (SA-1, 4, 6, 8).</p>
<p>Across most countries, except South Africa, supply chains for OFSA remain fragmented and informal. Production and distribution typically rely on artisanal units or small firms producing less than 50&#x202F;t a<sup>&#x2212;1</sup>. Medium-sized enterprises produce up to 3,000&#x202F;t a<sup>&#x2212;1</sup> and larger production units more than 3,000&#x202F;t a<sup>&#x2212;1</sup>. The latter two are professionalizing with mechanized operations and structured waste acquisition. Larger entrepreneurs sometimes sell in bulk to farmer cooperatives, as reported by one interviewee (GH-6), or through government programs, as in Ghana (GH-7). However, our interviews show that their overall geographic coverage and production volumes remain limited compared to the total agricultural area, especially in rural areas: <italic>&#x201C;To get it to the farmers, to semi-urban farmers is fairly easy, but to get it to the rural areas, transportation becomes the challenge.&#x201D;</italic> (CC-2: Consultant). Current estimated OFSA production amounts range from less than 5,000&#x202F;t a<sup>&#x2212;1</sup> in Cameroon, Malawi, and Rwanda, to over 100,000 t a<sup>&#x2212;1</sup> in Ghana (<xref ref-type="table" rid="tab6">Table 6</xref>), which has several well-established OFSA entrepreneurs. In Ethiopia, recently installed production capacities achieve approximately 270,000 t a<sup>&#x2212;1</sup> (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref119">Mutukaa and Ermias, 2021</xref>). Notably, more than 100 million people inhabit Ethiopia and there are significantly higher amounts of organic waste compared to the other 10 countries (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref94">Kaza et al., 2018</xref>).</p>
<p>Many of the smaller entrepreneurs among the interviewees use relatively clean waste streams from agro-processing units, markets, or hotels, as household waste is usually not source separated. Some larger and mechanized entrepreneurs do use household waste. However, interviewees report that this negatively affects both the cost and the quality of the final products (CC-2, 5; GH-7). A few entrepreneurs we interviewed experiment with or are actively using human waste, such as fecal sludge (CC-1; GH-6; SA-8), though it is currently of minor relevance. Still, some interviewees emphasized its potential: <italic>&#x201C;[&#x2026;] there&#x2019;s lots of the fecal sludge. And in the countries where we work, 95% of all the fecal sludge comes from onsite sanitation systems, it&#x2019;s not in sewage systems. So, we speak about onsite sanitation, about septage tanks and the septage is rather clean. It has microbial risk, but we can eliminate those. And co-composting nitrogen rich fecal sludge with carbon rich municipal organic waste, can produce quite a good product.&#x201D;</italic> (CC-6: Scientist).</p>
<p>The wide variation in ex situ OFSA market size reflects the heterogeneity of TIS maturity across countries. Most remain in niche experimentation, while Ghana indicates signs of institutionalizing with, for example, larger scale entrepreneurs. Only South Africa indicates a development phase C: &#x201C;growth,&#x201D; with professionalized, large scale industrial operations and associated industry associations although concise numbers on recycling rates are lacking.</p>
<p>Nonetheless, considering overall volumes of potentially available municipal organic waste and human excreta, as well as nutrient needs in agriculture, the current market size across all eleven countries can be considered niche (cf. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref48">Ellssel et al., 2024a</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref57">Freyer et al., 2024a</xref>).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="sec29">
<title>Market demand</title>
<p>In all countries, interviewees reported increasing inorganic fertilizer prices due to the value chain disruptions caused by COVID-19 and the Russo-Ukrainian war. This is in coherence with literature (cf. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref12">Assefa et al., 2025</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref187">Vos et al., 2025</xref>). Consequently, most interviewees observed a crisis induced demand for fertilizer alternatives: <italic>&#x201C;In Ethiopia there are more and more companies that do composting and that sell compost for good prices. [&#x2026;] But it&#x2019;s interesting to see that there is a market as such a market was so far not existent.&#x201D;</italic> (ET-6; Scientist) <italic>&#x201C;In South Africa, the [inorganic] fertilizer market was growing rapidly, but fertilizer has become so expensive that most farmers are cutting down on the amount of fertilizer they use, and therefore they&#x2019;re more open to alternatives.&#x201D;</italic> (SA-4: Scientist). However, interviewees fear a short-lived signal compared to the impact of stable policy frameworks, as one entrepreneur pointed out: <italic>&#x201C;[&#x2026;] I think this is the window of opportunity we have, [&#x2026;] until the traditional fertilizers will get in the same position as they were before the conflict [Russo-Ukrainian war] and the Covid-19 pandemic.&#x201D;</italic> (CC-3: OFSA entrepreneur). Yet, success stories have been shown in literature to create momentum for change in a specific direction (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref83">Hekkert et al., 2007</xref>). In our study, we also note that due to inorganic fertilizer shortages, both institutional actors and farmers have become open for alternatives: <italic>&#x201C;If the crisis had not happened [&#x2026;] MOFA [Ministry of Agriculture] would not be talking about encouraging farmers to use chicken manure and things like that.&#x201D;</italic> (GH-1: NGO). <italic>&#x201C;We have seen a lot of farmers moving to organic fertilizers [&#x2026;] due to the shortage in inorganic fertilizer and the increase in price.&#x201D;</italic> (GH-9: OFSA entrepreneur). <italic>&#x201C;The war has made importation of chemical fertilizer into Malawi difficult [&#x2026;] This shortage has driven demand of Bionitrate fertilizer by Malawi farmers.&#x201D;</italic> (MW-2: OFSA entrepreneur).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="sec30">
<title>Market stimulation by policy</title>
<p>The long-standing emphasis on inorganic fertilizer, particularly in subsidy schemes, in extension and education can discourage OFSA use (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref25">Cai et al., 2019</xref>) and could be addressed through targeted policy reforms. Currently, none of the countries comprehensively combine price incentives, e.g., subsidies, credits, with quality assurance, e.g., fast-track standards, and ancillary support, e.g., tax waivers, PPP logistics, which would be most effective for broad market stimulation (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref18">Bergek et al., 2008</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref17">2015</xref>). In the case of inorganic fertilizers, subsidies alone have generally not guaranteed increased fertilizer use (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref188">Wang et al., 2018</xref>), or as one interviewee stated: <italic>&#x201C;The skewed public funds allocated to [inorganic] fertilizer subsidy programs alone has not helped [&#x2026;] a blended approach is needed.&#x201D;</italic> (KE-2: Scientist). Presently, policies are not aligned in most countries. All countries subsidize inorganic fertilizers, while only Senegal und Ghana have introduced fiscal incentives for organic fertilizers (<xref ref-type="table" rid="tab7">Table 7</xref>). However, broad subsidies for all fertilizers may unintentionally reinforce incumbent inorganic fertilizers, as farmers may default to higher nutrient products. Instead, one interviewee proposed subsidies for blends or combo-packages of inorganic and OFSA (CC-5).</p>
<table-wrap position="float" id="tab7">
<label>Table 7</label>
<caption>
<p>Inorganic and organic fertilizer subsidies in eleven African countries (adapted from <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref57">Freyer et al., 2024a</xref>).</p>
</caption>
<table frame="hsides" rules="groups">
<thead>
<tr>
<th align="left" valign="top" rowspan="2">Country</th>
<th align="center" valign="top" colspan="2">Subsidies (2023)</th>
<th align="left" valign="top" rowspan="2">Comment</th>
<th align="left" valign="top" rowspan="2">Source</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th align="left" valign="top">Inorganic fertilizer (yes/no)</th>
<th align="left" valign="top">Organic fertilizer (yes/no)</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">1. Cameroon</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">yes</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">n/a</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">-</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref6">AfDB (2022)</xref>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">2. Ethiopia</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">yes</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">no</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">-</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref49">ENA (2023)</xref>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">3. Ghana</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">yes</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">yes</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Fixed prices for organic fertilizers from specific companies</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">GH-3; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref138">PPRSD (2022)</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref110">MoF (2023)</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">4. Ivory Coast</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">yes</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">no</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">For specific crops only (cotton)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref73">Gouvernement-de-C&#x00F4;te-d'Ivoire (2022)</xref>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">5. Kenya</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">yes</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">no</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">-</td>
<td align="left" valign="top"><xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref181">Traore et al. (2024)</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref189">Waweru (2025)</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">6. Malawi</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">yes</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">no</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Through the Agricultural Input Program (AIP)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top"><xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref3">ActionAid (2025)</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref16">Benson et al. (2024)</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">7. Rwanda</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">yes</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">n/a</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">-</td>
<td align="left" valign="top"><xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref86">IFDC (2023)</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref171">Spielman et al. (2025)</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">8. Senegal</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">yes</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">yes</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">OF subsidies since 2022; 10% of fertilizer subsidies for organic fertilizers</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">SE-3; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref145">Ricome et al. (2024)</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">9. South Africa</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">yes</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">no</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Provision of production inputs (seeds, fertilizer)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref152">RoSA (2024)</xref>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">10. Uganda</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">yes</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">no</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">-</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">UG-2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">11. Zimbabwe</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">yes</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">n/a</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">-</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref197">World Bank (2020)</xref>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</table-wrap>
</sec>
<sec id="sec31">
<title>Niche markets</title>
<p>The majority of the interviewed entrepreneurs were already active before the 2020&#x2013;2022 market disruptions. They focused part or whole of their product range on niche markets, such as certified organic production or other high value crops for export (KE-4; SA-6; GH-10; RW-2, 5, 6; ZW-3). Niches often emerge around specific user needs, e.g., certified organic production, where knowledge, networks, institutional linkages, and legitimacy building processes take shape (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref18">Bergek et al., 2008</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref83">Hekkert et al., 2007</xref>). The area under certified organic farming has grown steadily and significantly over the past decade in all 11 countries (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref191">Willer et al., 2025</xref>), indicating a potential indirect driver of demand for certified OFSA products: <italic>&#x201C;But South Africa&#x2019;s unique in that we&#x2019;ve got a very good export and a very good domestic market. There&#x2019;s a big demand for organically produced food. So, definitely at the moment there&#x2019;s a huge demand for organic fertilizers, especially ones that are approved for use in certified organic crops.&#x201D;</italic> (SA-5: Policy maker).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="sec32">
<title>Pricing</title>
<p>Price differences can be explained by various factors, but a wide variation creates confusion over the &#x201C;fair&#x201D; value, thus undermining transparent price signals that market formation needs for efficient selection (e.g., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref83">Hekkert et al., 2007</xref>), which in turn, can negatively affect market uptake (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref8">Aggarwal et al., 2024</xref>). We show that prices for OFSA products display pronounced heterogeneity both across and within countries, whereas inorganic fertilizer prices tend to vary less (<xref ref-type="table" rid="tab8">Table 8</xref>). The variation in inorganic fertilizer prices can generally be explained by geographical location (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref22">Bonilla Cedrez et al., 2020</xref>). Price differences in OFSA are influenced by various factors, such as the nutrient content and the resulting value proposition. Some of the interviewed entrepreneurs blend their products with materials, i.e., inorganic fertilizers, minerals, nitrogen rich plant materials, or use more labor intensive or otherwise costly production methods. Entrepreneurs who have mechanized operations and secure access to larger quantities of organic waste benefit from economies of scale and thereby reduced unit costs (KE-4; ET-5; CC-1).</p>
<table-wrap position="float" id="tab8">
<label>Table 8</label>
<caption>
<p>Inorganic and organic fertilizer and soil amendment prices in eleven African countries, as reported by interviewees (2023).</p>
</caption>
<table frame="hsides" rules="groups">
<thead>
<tr>
<th align="left" valign="top" rowspan="2">Country</th>
<th align="left" valign="top">Inorganic fertilizer prices (2023)</th>
<th align="center" valign="top" colspan="3">Organic fertilizer prices (2023) (&#x002A;certified organic)</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th align="left" valign="top">EUR (50&#x202F;kg)</th>
<th align="left" valign="top">Type (N:P:K)</th>
<th align="center" valign="top">Unit</th>
<th align="center" valign="top">EUR</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top" rowspan="3">1. Cameroon</td>
<td align="char" valign="top" char="(" rowspan="3">53&#x2013;69 (DAP; Urea)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Compost (biofertilizer fortified)</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">50&#x202F;kg</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">20.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">Compost</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">50&#x202F;kg</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">7.60<break/>3.80</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">Liquid OF</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">1&#x202F;L</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">17.50</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top" rowspan="2">2. Ethiopia</td>
<td align="char" valign="top" char="(" rowspan="2">60&#x2013;100 (NPK; NPS)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Liquid fertilizer (&#x003C;1:&#x003C;1:&#x003C;1)</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">1&#x202F;l</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">0.94</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">Compost</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">100&#x202F;kg</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">5.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">3. Ghana</td>
<td align="char" valign="top" char="(">25&#x2013;37 (Urea; AS)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Co-compost (sewage sludge)</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">50&#x202F;kg</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">7.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top" rowspan="2">4. Ivory Coast</td>
<td align="char" valign="top" char="(" rowspan="2">39&#x2013;47 (n/a)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Compost</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">50&#x202F;kg</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">15.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">Poultry manure (not composted)</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">50&#x202F;kg</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">0.76</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top" rowspan="3">5. Kenya</td>
<td align="char" valign="top" char="(" rowspan="3">40&#x2013;65 (DAP; NPK)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Compost (fortified) (1&#x2013;3:&#x003E;1:&#x003E;1)</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">50&#x202F;kg</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">15&#x2013;25.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">Fortified biochar-compost (5:3:3), fortified compost (3:5:3)</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">50&#x202F;kg</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">21.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">BSF Frass (3:1:3)</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">50&#x202F;kg</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">9&#x2013;16.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top" rowspan="2">6. Malawi</td>
<td align="char" valign="top" char="(" rowspan="2">54&#x2013;67 (NPK)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Urine-based liquid fertilizer</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">1&#x202F;l</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">1.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">Liquid OF</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">1&#x202F;l</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">1.60</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top" rowspan="2">7. Rwanda</td>
<td align="char" valign="top" char="(" rowspan="2">54&#x2013;59 (DAP)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Compost</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">50&#x202F;kg</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">3.80</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">Compost (2:8:3,3)</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">50&#x202F;kg</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">3.80</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top" rowspan="2">8. Senegal</td>
<td align="char" valign="top" char="(" rowspan="2">46&#x2013;54 (DAP; Urea)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Fortified compost (4:3:3)</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">1&#x202F;t</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">300.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">Compost (1:1:1)</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">1&#x202F;t</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">213.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top" rowspan="5">9. South Africa</td>
<td align="char" valign="top" char="(" rowspan="5">426 (t) (n/a)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Compost<break/>Compost</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">50&#x202F;kg<break/>50&#x202F;kg</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">1.75<break/>0.72</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">Co-Compost (sewage sludge) (1.6:0.3:0.4)</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">1&#x202F;t</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">28.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">Fortified compost&#x002A; (2:3:2; 3:1:5; 5:1:5; 6:3:4; 8:1:1; 4:10:0)</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">1&#x202F;t</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">580&#x2013;782.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">Soil conditioner (vermi-compost)&#x002A;</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">35&#x202F;kg</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">10.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">Liquid OF&#x002A; (4:1:6; 5:1:4; 7:1:2)</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">5&#x202F;L</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">14.70&#x2013;17.60</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top" rowspan="3">10. Uganda</td>
<td align="char" valign="top" char="(" rowspan="3">46&#x2013;55 (Urea; DAP; NPK)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Fortified (4:7:2; 7:3:3; 2.4:3:9)</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">50&#x202F;kg</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">38.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">Liquid (vermi tea)</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">1&#x202F;l</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">3.30</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">Vermi-compost</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">50&#x202F;kg</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">65.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top" rowspan="4">11. Zimbabwe</td>
<td align="char" valign="top" char="(" rowspan="4">42&#x2013;56 (n/a)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Fortified vermi-compost: (7:7:7; 6:15:12; 25%N)</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">50&#x202F;kg</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">23.00-31.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">Vermi-compost (4:3:2)</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">50&#x202F;kg</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">12.20</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">Vermi-foliar top dressing</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">20&#x202F;kg</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">15.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">Vermi-tea</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">1&#x202F;l</td>
<td align="center" valign="top">9.30</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</table-wrap>
<p>We find that regions with well-developed infrastructure such as roads and reliable access to waste streams, as well as collaborations with municipalities through land provision or logistical support, can help reduce operational costs. Logistics and distribution overheads are major cost drivers in operations and can affect pricing: <italic>&#x201C;One of our big learnings is the importance of being as close as possible to the waste streams (&#x003C;60 km) to reduce transportation costs to a site, especially given the inefficiency of freight on the continent [&#x2026;].&#x201D;</italic> (KE-4: OFSA entrepreneur).</p>
<p>Certified organic growers producing for export are willing to pay premium prices for traceability and third-party quality assurance, while bulk buyers such as smallholder farmer cooperatives are highly price sensitive: <italic>&#x201C;Our product is not easily affordable for farmers [&#x2026;] we recommend at least 2 t ha<sup>-1</sup> and farmers struggle to pay.&#x201D;</italic> (RW-5: OFSA entrepreneur). However, other entrepreneurs emphasize the increased yield and higher income for farmers, particularly where soils are affected by degradation: <italic>&#x201C;Farmers see an average of 30% yield increase when applying the compost in addition to mineral fertilizer applications.&#x201D;</italic> (KE-4: OFSA entrepreneur).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="sec33">
<title>Standards and certification</title>
<p>Slow, opaque, or inconsistent certification processes undermine trust and weaken the selection environment that the &#x2018;<italic>market formation&#x2019;</italic> function seeks to strengthen (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref83">Hekkert et al., 2007</xref>). In turn, the complete absence of any standard is inhibitive for markets to evolve (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref18">Bergek et al., 2008</xref>). The current wide variation in product performance we observe across studied countries is indicative for the &#x201C;formation&#x201D; phase (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref18">Bergek et al., 2008</xref>). Six of the eleven countries have introduced standards for organic fertilizers, and three have standards for soil amendments (<xref ref-type="table" rid="tab9">Table 9</xref>). The establishment of standards indicates progress toward institutionalization of TIS development, corresponding to phase C. However, several countries such as Malawi, Rwanda, Uganda have only implemented them in recent years. Therefore, an immediate effect on market formation may yet not be visible. But even where standards exist, interviewees partly reported weak enforcement, long processes, and limited quality control, which undermine trust and hinder market formation: <italic>&#x201C;It took us 1 and a half years to get products registered. In this regard policies need to improve.&#x201D;</italic> (KE-3: OFSA entrepreneur). &#x201C;<italic>We send samples to the lab and sometimes get no feedback for six months, so our product sits unsold</italic>.&#x201D; (GH-7: OFSA entrepreneur). <italic>&#x201C;Even certified compost sometimes shows wildly different nutrient levels when retested, how can farmers trust the label?&#x201D;</italic> (ET-1: NGO). Other interviewees pointed to the absence of robust regulatory frameworks: <italic>&#x201C;There is need for a regulatory framework to guide production and packaging with clear labelling and no ambiguity, and standards in place so that farmers will get value for their money, with proven efficacy.&#x201D;</italic> (GH-4: Consultant).</p>
<table-wrap position="float" id="tab9">
<label>Table 9</label>
<caption>
<p>Organic fertilizer and soil amendment (OFSA) standards and responsible institutions in eleven countries (adapted from <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref57">Freyer et al., 2024a</xref>).</p>
</caption>
<table frame="hsides" rules="groups">
<thead>
<tr>
<th align="left" valign="top" rowspan="2">Country</th>
<th align="left" valign="top" rowspan="2">Responsible institutions</th>
<th align="left" valign="top" colspan="2">Standards</th>
<th align="left" valign="top" rowspan="2">Comment</th>
<th align="left" valign="top" rowspan="2">Source</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th align="left" valign="top">Organic fertilizer (yes/no), (year)</th>
<th align="left" valign="top">Soil amendments</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">1. Cameroon</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Agence des Normes et de la Qualit&#x00E9;&#x2014;Standards and Quality Agency (ANOR)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">No</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">No</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">General fertilizer regulation. Products need to be tested on, e.g., nutrient contents if marketed as organic fertilizer.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">CM-1; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref146">RoC (2003)</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">2. Ethiopia</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Ethiopian Standards Agency (ESA)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Yes (2008, 2018)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Yes (2018)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">CES 69&#x2013;1:2018 for Biochar/soil conditioners; CES 69&#x2013;2:2018 for Compost/soil conditioner.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref50">ESA (2022)</xref>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">3. Ghana</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Plant Protection and Regulatory Services Directorate (PPRSD)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">No</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">No</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Guidelines for OF developed in 2022, precursor for standards.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref138">PPRSD (2022)</xref>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">4. Ivory Coast</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development (MINADER) &#x0026; Plant Protection Directorate (DPCQ)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">No</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">No</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">General fertilizer standards derived from ECOWAS regional regulations.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref139">PWIC (n.d.)</xref>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">5. Kenya</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Kenya Bureau of Standards (KEBS)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Yes (2011, 2023)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">No</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">KS 2290:2011; KS 2290:2023&#x2014;Organic Fertilizer; Standard for organo-mineral fertilizers currently in development.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top"><xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref96">KEBS (2011</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref97">2023)</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">6. Malawi</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Malawi Bureau of Standards (MBS)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Yes (2024)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">No</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">DMS 2020:2023, liquid organic fertilizer; MS 1084:2023, solid organic fertilizer.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref106">MBS (2024)</xref>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">7. Rwanda</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Rwanda Standards Board (RSB)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Yes (2021, 2024)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Yes (2024)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">RS 279:2021, organic fertilizers; DRS 582:2024, organic fertilizers and soil amendments.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref156">RSB (2024)</xref>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">8. Senegal</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Association S&#x00E9;n&#x00E9;galaise de Normalisation (ASN)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">No</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">No</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">General fertilizer standards derived from ECOWAS regional regulations.</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref194">World Bank (2019a)</xref>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">9. South Africa</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Department of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Yes (2017)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Yes (2008, 2021)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Products need to be registered according to Act n. 36 of 1947; National Norms and Standards for Organic Waste Composting (GN 561).</td>
<td align="left" valign="top"><xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref150">RoSA (2017)</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref151">RoSA (2021)</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">10. Uganda</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Uganda National Bureau of Standards (UNBS)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Yes (2023)</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">No</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">US 1584:2023; US 1584:2024, Organic fertilizer</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref185">UNBS (2023)</xref>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" valign="top">11. Zimbabwe</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Standards Association of Zimbabwe</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">No</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">No</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">Organic fertilizer must be registered before being sold&#x002A;</td>
<td align="left" valign="top">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref195">World Bank (2019b)</xref>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table-wrap-foot>
<p>&#x002A;Compost, manure, and night soil do not require registration if sold under their original name (i.e., not labeled as fertilizers) (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref75">GoZ, 2016</xref>).</p>
</table-wrap-foot>
</table-wrap>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="sec34">
<label>3.1.6</label>
<title>Resource mobilization (F6)</title>
<p>Once again across the same group of ten countries, Function 5 &#x2018;<italic>resource mobilization</italic>&#x2019; for OFSA production remains in phase B. The mobilization of resources is fragmented and largely dependent on short-term grants and donor support, with some exceptions involving direct investment. Once more, South Africa stands out, where sustained multi-institutional funding matured into an &#x201C;institutionalized&#x201D; phase C.</p>
<sec id="sec35">
<title>Financial capital</title>
<p>In most countries, public budgets for OFSA production, such as for R&#x0026;D, are negligible. South Africa is an exception, with a multi-institutional funding architecture. The 10-Year Waste Roadmap committed substantial investment for waste valorization R&#x0026;D (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref64">Godfrey et al., 2021</xref>), combined with additional funding opportunities and incentives (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref76">GreenCape, 2019</xref>).</p>
<p>Across countries, subsidies remain focused on inorganic fertilizers, with some exceptions (Section 3.1.5). Internationally sourced and donor-driven grants are a major source of finance for pilots and R&#x0026;D. However, such support can collapse (e.g., USAID; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref132">Offord et al., 2025</xref>). Donor and pilot driven projects must transition to sustained government and/or private-sector finance, otherwise, they may remain time bound and fail to scale (e.g., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref18">Bergek et al., 2008</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref177">Tigabu et al., 2015a</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref178">2015b</xref>). Nonetheless, we observe that initial donor engagement can catalyze local entrepreneurship, as for example in Kenya (KE-3; KE-4). Foreign direct investments by parent companies such as in Ghana (GH-6), Senegal (SE-6), Uganda (UG-10), and Kenya (CC-3; KE-4), represent long-term and strategic commitments. Interviewed entrepreneurs across all countries reported difficulty in accessing credit on acceptable terms, a well-documented phenomenon (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref192">Williams et al., 2025</xref>). Green finance mechanisms currently play a minor role, though carbon credit sales have been reported (KE-2; KE-3; KE-4) and future potential has been highlighted (CC-6; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref89">Jawadi et al., 2025</xref>).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="sec36">
<title>Human capital</title>
<p>Across countries, we document that donor- and project-driven university partnerships play an important role in knowledge creation and diffusion, e.g., formulation of crop specific formulations (CC-1; KE-4; CD-1; SA-8). Yet, local universities operate on limited domestic R&#x0026;D budgets. South Africa has the most robust academic capacity, with dedicated curricula (SA-4, 8) and specially funded research chairs in circular bioeconomy (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref64">Godfrey et al., 2021</xref>). Interviewees across all countries emphasized a lock-in of agricultural education and extension on inorganic fertilization, leaving OFSA training under-resourced. The general availability of labor has been identified as a strength for OFSA production (CC-5).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="sec37">
<title>Complementary assets</title>
<p>South Africa stands out with ISO-accredited laboratories, local manufacturers for recycling equipment, formalized memorandums of understanding with licensed organic waste recyclers (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref35">CSIR, 2024</xref>), and government supported knowledge brokers (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref76">GreenCape, 2019</xref>). Rwanda is mentioned in our interviews for its progressive lab protocols (CC-1), and both Rwanda and Kenya have been highlighted by an international company for its business support structures (CC-3). However, the lack of qualitative lab infrastructure, limited access to appropriate equipment, and high import taxes are important resource constraints across countries: <italic>&#x201C;Lack of adequate technological equipment for waste sorting and delivery [&#x2026;] adequate storage facility is another challenge.&#x201D;</italic> (RW-5: OFSA entrepreneur). <italic>&#x201C;There isn&#x2019;t high quality enough equipment that matches what we need domestically, so we import it. The same for spare parts. And then you pay at least a 30% import tax.&#x201D;</italic> (KE-4: OFSA entrepreneur).</p>
<p>In some cases, interviewees underlined that municipalities provide land, transportation, or other support (KE-4; CC-1; ET-5; SA-8): <italic>&#x201C;The municipality [Arba Minch, Ethiopia] has been very supportive in terms of helping us restructure the solid waste management. They&#x2019;ve done a really good job of being able to separate waste streams at the household level.&#x201D;</italic> (CC-1: Scientist). Interviewees consistently pointed out public support as a key lever for lowering the price-structure barrier for waste-to-soil ventures.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="sec38">
<label>3.1.7</label>
<title>Creation of legitimacy (F7)</title>
<p>Across ten countries, Function 7 &#x2018;<italic>creation of legitimacy&#x2019;</italic> remains in phase B, with again only South Africa achieving phase C. Most initiatives are highly fragmented initiatives although some countries show early signs of institutionalization. Fragmented efforts correspond to development phase B, whereas coherent coalitions and enforceable standards indicate a shift toward phase C (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref18">Bergek et al., 2008</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref83">Hekkert et al., 2007</xref>).</p>
<p>In South Africa, formal industry associations (FERTASA, ORASA, SABIA) and government funded knowledge brokers (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref76">GreenCape, 2019</xref>) support the organic waste recycling sector, indicating policy legitimacy. Intermediaries like GreenCape facilitate knowledge flows and strengthen TIS functions (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref20">Binz and Truffer, 2017</xref>). The existence of formal organic fertilizer standards and enforcement through annual provincial inspections indicate also that South Africa has entered phase C.</p>
<p>In Kenya, OFIMAK, an organic fertilizer industry association established in 2024, supports entrepreneurs and advocates in the policy domain. Recently updated standards indicate increasing legislative legitimacy. Entrepreneurs and OFIMAK foster social acceptance through demo trials, although extension integration is found to be minimal in our study (KE-2; KE-3). Despite increasing OFSA production, overall volumes remain at niche level.</p>
<p>Rwanda has circular economy action plans, is a founding member of pan-African circular economy networks (ACEA), and has set ambitious recycling targets alongside fertilizer standards. Farmers are reportedly familiar with OFSA, indicating social acceptance: <italic>&#x201C;[&#x2026;] they [farmers] often tell me that they would never plant crops without the application of organic fertilizers [imborera]. &#x201C;</italic>(RW-1: Scientist). Although political legitimacy and social acceptance are increasing, recycling rates and production volumes remain low overall.</p>
<p>We show that Ethiopia, Malawi, and Uganda have established formal standards but lack cohesive industry associations. Advocacy coalitions for ex situ organic waste valorization are weak and consist of uncoordinated efforts of pioneering private firms, NGOs, researchers, and research partnerships. Insufficient or inappropriate lab infrastructure hampers quality control: <italic>&#x201C;Good national laboratories are needed [&#x2026;] certification builds trust.&#x201D;</italic> (ET-5: Scientist); as well as concerns regarding fake products (ET-2; ET-3). In Uganda, high demand indicates social acceptance: <italic>&#x201C;Solid sludge is overbooked [from treatment plants].&#x201D;</italic> (UG-9: Scientist).</p>
<p>In Malawi, urine-based fertilizers faced initial opposition, but uptake increased via demo plots and crisis-driven demand (MA-2). Nevertheless, extension staff and regulatory agents lack familiarity with ex situ OFSA in all countries, which undermines formal legitimacy.</p>
<p>Cameroon, Ivory Coast, Senegal, Zimbabwe, and Ghana lack formal standards, although Ghana recently introduced organic fertilizer guidelines and a Technical Working Group, indicating growing policy recognition. In contrast, the other four countries have weak policy environments in which organic waste recycling is low priority. We observe that Senegal stands out from this group for pronounced civil society activities in Agroecology advocating waste recycling and first attempts to increase OFSA uptake through subsidies (SE-1, 2, 4, 5).</p>
<p>Across all contexts, political advocacy of ex situ OFSA is increasing (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref13">AUC, 2023</xref>). However, variable quality, lack of trust in certification, high price heterogeneity and longstanding emphasis on inorganic fertilizers in education and extension services are inhibitive.</p>
<p>Alternative fertilizers are sometimes perceived as a market threat, a view echoed in Zimbabwe&#x2019;s Fertilizer Value Chain Report (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref124">NCC, 2022</xref>). Confirmed by interviewees who noted incumbent resistance: <italic>&#x201C;Many of those who import chemical fertiliser are involved in politics and benefit from the trade.&#x201D;</italic> (CM-4; Scientist). Resistance to change is typical in socio-technical transitions (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref18">Bergek et al., 2008</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref83">Hekkert et al., 2007</xref>), and can lead to lock-in situations (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref81">Hassink, 2010</xref>). Shifts in social practices are therefore needed to enable adoption (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref55">Freyer et al., 2024b</xref>). In our findings, advocacy coalitions remain fragmented; intersectoral coalitions across agriculture, waste management, and sanitation sectors are needed to legitimize OFSA initiatives as solutions to broader environmental and public-health challenges (CC-1, 2, 5, 6). Policy alignment across sectors is still in its infancy. However, the growing organic farming sector in most countries may enhance legitimacy, influence expectations, and generate positive feedback, especially for the TIS function <italic>&#x2018;guidance of the search&#x2019;</italic> (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref18">Bergek et al., 2008</xref>).</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="sec39">
<label>3.2</label>
<title>Cross-functional synthesis across 11 African countries</title>
<p>Our TIS assessment shows uneven maturity across countries. All have moved beyond A: pre-development, most remain in B: formation, none has reached D: maturation (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig3">Figure 3</xref>). According to literature, the concentration in formation indicates structural and functional barriers that inhibit co-evolution of functions (cf. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref18">Bergek et al., 2008</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref83">Hekkert et al., 2007</xref>).</p>
<fig position="float" id="fig3">
<label>Figure 3</label>
<caption>
<p>Qualitative assessment of TIS functional maturity. Summary of the current state of development phases (A: Pre-development to D: Maturation) for each TIS function (F1&#x2013;F7) within the 11 study countries.</p>
</caption>
<graphic xlink:href="fsufs-10-1656284-g003.tif" mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff">
<alt-text content-type="machine-generated">Table showing the stage of development for seven technology innovation system functions across eleven African countries. South Africa is at the growth stage (C, green) in functions F1, F4, F5, F6, and F7, while all other countries are at the formation stage (B, yellow) for all functions. Legend indicates stage categories and defines F1 through F7 functions.</alt-text>
</graphic>
</fig>
<p>Our findings show that the OFSA Technological Innovation System is embedded in transnational ties (donors, NGOs, universities, firms) that circulate know-how more readily than bulk products. Given OFSAs&#x2019; low value-to-weight, long distance shipping is rarely economical, especially for smallholders. The most realistic regionalization is standards harmonization (e.g., ARSO) and selective near-border trade. Diffusion should prioritize shared protocols (quality assurance, standard operating procedures), ring-tested labs, and practitioner forums.</p>
<sec id="sec40">
<label>3.2.1</label>
<title>Structural components (actors, networks, institutions)</title>
<p>Across countries, we find that the entrepreneurial base is thin but diversifying. Small and medium-sized enterprises, NGOs, and some municipally linked ventures dominate F1, with widespread donor dependence outside South Africa. Private firms often internalize R&#x0026;D. Public research contributes episodic projects (F2). Demand is often lead by export-oriented and certified organic farms, with limited penetration into staple crops (F5). Intermediaries (standards bodies, regulators, extension) are present but unevenly capacitated, constraining legitimation (F7) and market formation (F5). Overall, actor constellations are consistent with formation-phase dynamics.</p>
<p>Knowledge flows are mediated by fragmented networks, informal ties, short-lived consortia, and transnational partnerships. Where associations or meso-level intermediaries operate, most visibly in South Africa, brokerage and collective problem-solving strengthen diffusion, legitimation, and policy feedback (F3, F4, F7). Elsewhere, peer-learning platforms are sporadic, thus learning-by-doing stay localized and difficult to scale (F2, F3). The absence of stable network infrastructures (regular fora, working groups, buyer&#x2013;supplier linkages) weakens the handoff from experimentation (F1/F2) to market formation (F5).</p>
<p>We find that cross-sector coordination between waste, sanitation, and agriculture operates in silos, despite clear potential for feedstock and waste-to-resource linkages, which is consistent with literature (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref79">Hanjra et al., 2018</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref133">Otoo and Drechsel, 2018</xref>). In the studied countries, policy and regulatory frameworks are often underspecified or weakly enforced, generating uncertainty that undermines entrepreneurial experimentation (F1), R&#x0026;D investment (F2/F6), and market formation (F5). However, many countries are now introducing or refining relevant laws and standards. Their effectiveness requires monitoring and evaluation. The long-standing emphasis on mineral fertilizers in training and extension heightens the need for legitimation of OFSA alternatives.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="sec41">
<label>3.2.2</label>
<title>Cross-country synthesis</title>
<p>In this study, South Africa stands out overall, as six of seven functions indicate C: growth. Nonetheless, knowledge development (F2) remains in phase B: formation, due to no coherent national R&#x0026;D agenda for ex situ OFSA. Policy signals (F4) and knowledge brokers supported R&#x0026;D (F2) and market formation (F5), while associations (F1/F3) aid legitimation. Organic waste streams remain underutilized, and mainstream agriculture still rely mainly on mineral fertilizers. The niche is robust but not yet regime-shifting.</p>
<p>In Ghana and Kenya, F1 show growth signs, as entrepreneurs engage in a range of technology and go-to-market experiments, yet volumes remain niche, largely serving export oriented and certified organic farms. Recent crisis driven demand increases still need to manifest into broader market growth. Other functions are in formation (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="fig3">Figure 3</xref>). R&#x0026;D is fragmented and often internationally partnered, policy guidance is aspirational but thin on enforcement and quality control, finance is often donor-led, and legitimacy efforts are sporadic. Ghana is notable for OFSA inclusion in input subsidies. Without concurrent strengthening of R&#x0026;D (F2), guidance (F4), finance (F6), and legitimation (F7), scaling is uncertain as observed by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref179">Tigabu et al. (2017)</xref> on cookstove entrepreneurs in Rwanda.</p>
<p>The remaining eight countries - Cameroon, Ethiopia, Ivory Coast, Malawi, Rwanda, Senegal, Uganda and Zimbabwe - cluster in formation (B), characterized by scattered pilots, champion entrepreneurs, and NGO-led trials that rarely scale into self-reinforcing ventures, similar to findings for solar PV and bio-digestion innovation systems (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref95">Kebede and Mitsufuji, 2017</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref177">Tigabu et al., 2015a</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref178">2015b</xref>). R&#x0026;D is project-bound, formal diffusion via networks and extension is limited. Notable outliers include international OFSA firms in Ivory Coast and Senegal, subsidies in Senegal, and standards in Ethiopia, Malawi, and Rwanda. Still, no single functions consistently catalyze others. Policies are ambiguous, markets thin, and resource mobilization short-term.</p>
<p>Present OFSA innovation systems are unlikely to reduce soil degradation at scale. Produced volumes are small, intermittent, and niche-oriented with prices and distribution models that potentially limit smallholder uptake. Yet the technical potential embedded in municipal organic waste, agro-processing residues, and sanitation by-products is substantial (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref48">Ellssel et al., 2024a</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref57">Freyer et al., 2024a</xref>). Effective valorization could close nutrient and organic matter loops and reduce urban externalities (landfill diversion, public health risks). Realizing this requires systemic shifts. This includes (i) codifying practice into quality assurance and efficacy protocols (F2 to F5/F7), (ii) standards and clear registration pathways to build trust (F4/F5), (iii) demand anchors such as public procurement and targeted inclusion in input programs to move beyond niches (F5/F&#x0026;), and (iv) extension and agronomy packages that tailor products to crop and soil contexts. Without these changes, existing lock-ins such as mineral fertilizer subsidies, weak enforcement, patchy lab capacity, and siloed waste-sanitation-agriculture governance, will continue to stall diffusion and confine OFSA to thin market segments.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="sec42">
<label>3.3</label>
<title>Limitations and future research directions</title>
<p>This study provides a snapshot of the current state of OFSA production systems within a defined timeframe and across diverse country contexts. While the exploratory approach enables a broad comparative perspective, it may not capture all country- or context-specific nuances, which would require in depth country-specific studies. In particular, South Africa&#x2019;s comparatively strong showing could be partially influenced by the greater availability and specificity of government and policy documents. Such sources can overstate program coherence and effectiveness. We, therefore, interpreted South Africa&#x2019;s documentary signals alongside interview evidence and noted divergences where entrepreneurs reported gaps [e.g., current recycling rates in <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref41">DEFF (2020)</xref>]. Future work should systematically map documentary claims against independent performance indicators to minimize confirmation bias. Nonetheless, the insights gained offer a valuable foundation for understanding the current dynamics and trends in OFSA innovation systems.</p>
<p>Treating OFSA as a single technology field-level TIS inevitably masks heterogeneity among sub-fields (composting, digestate, BSF frass, biochar, organo-mineral blends). Our country-level phase ratings represent the dominant or most visible sub-system and may under- or overstate progress in others. Future work should apply nested or comparative sub-field analyses (multiple, coupled TISs) to capture differences in technology readiness levels, actor networks, and market uptake.</p>
<p>Our triangulation was function-specific rather than uniform, with interviews as the core source across functions, while policy documents mainly informed Function 4 and 5, and scientific literature provided context. Thus, some functions lack corroboration from all three streams. In addition, the interview panel may be skewed toward accessible stakeholders, and responses subject to recall (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref34">Coughlin, 1990</xref>) and social desirability bias (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref78">Grimm, 2010</xref>).</p>
<p>Building on our TIS assessment, future research could delve deeper into country-level studies to assess historical pathways (e.g., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref178">Tigabu et al., 2015b</xref>), path dependencies, and the influence of policy on OFSA system evolution. In-depth analyses of different value chain stages or individual TIS functions, such as &#x2018;<italic>resource mobilization&#x2019;</italic> or &#x2018;<italic>legitimization&#x2019;,</italic> could help identify specific barriers and enablers, allowing more targeted interventions. Priority should be given to identifying and testing actionable levers with regard to policy, finances, organization and technologies. Longitudinal research is needed to capture how entrepreneurial experimentation, market formation, and knowledge diffusion evolve over time. Additionally, to strengthen the evidence for policymaking and reduce potential biases, future studies would benefit from applying systematic literature review protocols (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref47">Ellssel et al., 2024b</xref>).</p>
<p>Further research should examine the effects of recent policy measures, such as the organic fertilizer subsidies in Senegal and Ghana, and assess how such instruments support or constrain TIS maturation. Finally, targeted case studies on raw material availability, distribution systems, power relations, and multi-actor networks would deepen our understanding of how OFSA production systems can be technologically robust and socially inclusive.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec sec-type="conclusions" id="sec43">
<label>4</label>
<title>Conclusion</title>
<p>This exploratory study provides a snapshot of the current state and trends in ex situ OFSA production across eleven Sub-Saharan countries. This inquiry was of particular interest regarding recent supply chain disruptions for inorganic fertilizers and its potential pull factor on innovation systems in OFSA production. Our analysis shows that, in all cases, no TIS function remains at the &#x201C;pre-development&#x201D; phase, each has at least emerged in an <italic>ad hoc</italic> or fragmented form. However, most functions (<italic>entrepreneurial activities, knowledge development and diffusion, guidance of the search, market formation, resource mobilization,</italic> and <italic>legitimacy</italic>) remain at the &#x201C;formation&#x201D; stage. In these countries, no single function has matured enough to catalyze others. Entrepreneurial efforts are typically uncoordinated, R&#x0026;D and knowledge sharing are sporadic, policies and regulations are incomplete, ambiguous or unenforced. Formal markets have yet to develop, and funding is mostly short-term. Nevertheless, isolated signs of institutionalization appear such as emerging OFSA subsidies, increasing OFSA standard implementation and cross-country coordination. South Africa stands out with most functions institutionalizing and reinforcing one another. Entrepreneur associations and fertilizer quality standards support professionalized entrepreneurship. Policy signals (<italic>&#x2018;guidance of the search</italic>&#x2019;) and dedicated funding actively foster R&#x0026;D and build legitimacy in South Africa. Across all countries, disruptions in both national and international value chains are acting as pull factors for increased experimentation, raising demand, and enhancing legitimacy. Certified organic farming and export oriented high value crops constitute important niches. Yet, ex situ volumes remain small relative to organic waste volumes and nutrient demand in agricultural production. Looking ahead, strengthening <italic>&#x2018;guidance of the search&#x2019;</italic> and &#x2018;<italic>resource mobilization&#x2019;</italic> could drive system development by enhancing resource recovery and recycling of organic waste and closing the loop to agriculture.</p>
</sec>
</body>
<back>
<sec sec-type="data-availability" id="sec44">
<title>Data availability statement</title>
<p>The raw data supporting the conclusions of this article will be made available by the authors, without undue reservation.</p>
</sec>
<sec sec-type="ethics-statement" id="sec45">
<title>Ethics statement</title>
<p>Ethical approval was not required for the studies involving humans because no personal data was collected for research purposes. The authors affirm that the study was conducted in accordance with the principles of the Declaration of Helsinki. The studies were conducted in accordance with the local legislation and institutional requirements. The participants provided their written informed consent to participate in this study.</p>
</sec>
<sec sec-type="author-contributions" id="sec46">
<title>Author contributions</title>
<p>PE: Formal analysis, Writing &#x2013; review &#x0026; editing, Methodology, Writing &#x2013; original draft, Data curation, Investigation, Visualization, Funding acquisition, Validation. BF: Funding acquisition, Writing &#x2013; review &#x0026; editing, Conceptualization, Methodology, Supervision, Investigation. HP: Methodology, Conceptualization, Writing &#x2013; review &#x0026; editing. MH: Writing &#x2013; review &#x0026; editing, Visualization, Data curation. FN: Data curation, Investigation, Writing &#x2013; review &#x0026; editing. NA: Writing &#x2013; review &#x0026; editing, Investigation. FA: Investigation, Writing &#x2013; review &#x0026; editing. SS: Investigation, Validation, Supervision, Data curation, Writing &#x2013; review &#x0026; editing.</p>
</sec>
<ack>
<title>Acknowledgements</title>
<p>We sincerely thank the interviewees for their time and expertise. We are also grateful to the colleagues who helped establish contacts across countries and contexts. Furthermore, we thank Michael Hauser for his time and comments on the Manuscript.</p>
</ack>
<sec sec-type="COI-statement" id="sec47">
<title>Conflict of interest</title>
<p>The author(s) declared that this work was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.</p>
</sec>
<sec sec-type="ai-statement" id="sec48">
<title>Generative AI statement</title>
<p>The author(s) declared that Generative AI was used in the creation of this manuscript. BOKUchat (based on OpenAI GPT-4, accessed via BOKU University in 2025) was employed to improve grammar, punctuation, clarity, conciseness, and overall readability of the text. All content and interpretations remain the responsibility of the authors.</p>
<p>Any alternative text (alt text) provided alongside figures in this article has been generated by Frontiers with the support of artificial intelligence and reasonable efforts have been made to ensure accuracy, including review by the authors wherever possible. If you identify any issues, please contact us.</p>
</sec>
<sec sec-type="disclaimer" id="sec49">
<title>Publisher&#x2019;s note</title>
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<title>Supplementary material</title>
<p>The Supplementary material for this article can be found online at: <ext-link xlink:href="https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fsufs.2026.1656284/full#supplementary-material" ext-link-type="uri">https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fsufs.2026.1656284/full#supplementary-material</ext-link></p>
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<fn-group>
<fn fn-type="custom" custom-type="edited-by" id="fn0007"><p>Edited by: <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/358797/overview">Harry Konrad Hoffmann</ext-link>, Humboldt University of Berlin, Germany</p></fn>
<fn fn-type="custom" custom-type="reviewed-by" id="fn0008"><p>Reviewed by: <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/2837791/overview">Erik Sindh&#x00F8;j</ext-link>, Research Institutes of Sweden (RISE), Sweden</p>
<p><ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/3251401/overview">Zakari Tsiga</ext-link>, University College London, United Kingdom</p>
<p><ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/3277720/overview">Katharina B&#x00E4;umler</ext-link>, Johann Heinrich von Thuenen-Institut Coordination Unit Climate, Germany</p></fn>
</fn-group>
<fn-group>
<fn id="fn0001"><label>1</label><p>As outlined in EU Regulation 2019/1009, we classify materials as organic fertilizers when their nitrogen, phosphorus, and potassium content each exceed 1%; if these nutrient levels are below 1%, they are considered soil amendments.</p></fn>
<fn id="fn0002"><label>2</label><p>Cameroon is typically considered part of Central Africa. To facilitate description and potentially highlight certain shared characteristics, we group Cameroon with the West African community in this study.</p></fn>
<fn id="fn0003"><label>3</label><p><ext-link xlink:href="http://www.deepl.com" ext-link-type="uri">www.deepl.com</ext-link></p></fn>
<fn id="fn0004"><label>4</label><p>A tontine system is a cooperative financial arrangement where a group of people regularly contributes money, goods, or labor into a collective pool, and the benefits are distributed to members based on an agreed schedule or criteria. It is commonly used in West and Central Africa as a form of mutual support, especially in rural and informal economies (e.g., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref155">Rozas and Gauthier, 2012</xref>).</p></fn>
<fn id="fn0005"><label>5</label><p>African Organisation for Standardisation (<ext-link xlink:href="https://www.arso-oran.org/" ext-link-type="uri">https://www.arso-oran.org/</ext-link>).</p></fn>
<fn id="fn0006"><label>6</label><p>Strategies in public policy are high-level plans that guide policy development, funding, and program implementation but they are non-binding (e.g., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref200">Zorpas, 2020</xref>), however, they can be a legislative requirement as demanded by law (e.g., National Waste Management Strategy in South Africa is demanded by the Waste Act, 2008).</p></fn>
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