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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">Front. Sustain. Food Syst.</journal-id>
<journal-title>Frontiers in Sustainable Food Systems</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="pubmed">Front. Sustain. Food Syst.</abbrev-journal-title>
<issn pub-type="epub">2571-581X</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name>Frontiers Media S.A.</publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.3389/fsufs.2023.1125996</article-id>
<article-categories>
<subj-group subj-group-type="heading">
<subject>Sustainable Food Systems</subject>
<subj-group>
<subject>Original Research</subject>
</subj-group>
</subj-group>
</article-categories>
<title-group>
<article-title>Risk factors associated with the prevalence of Shiga-toxin-producing <italic>Escherichia coli</italic> in manured soils on certified organic farms in four regions of the USA</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes">
<name><surname>Pires</surname> <given-names>Alda F. A.</given-names></name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref>
<xref ref-type="corresp" rid="c001"><sup>&#x0002A;</sup></xref>
<uri xlink:href="http://loop.frontiersin.org/people/701974/overview"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name><surname>Ramos</surname> <given-names>Thais De Melo</given-names></name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref>
<uri xlink:href="http://loop.frontiersin.org/people/746382/overview"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name><surname>Baron</surname> <given-names>Jerome N.</given-names></name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2"><sup>2</sup></xref>
<uri xlink:href="http://loop.frontiersin.org/people/753303/overview"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name><surname>Millner</surname> <given-names>Patricia D.</given-names></name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3"><sup>3</sup></xref>
<uri xlink:href="http://loop.frontiersin.org/people/871803/overview"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name><surname>Pagliari</surname> <given-names>Paulo H.</given-names></name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4"><sup>4</sup></xref>
<uri xlink:href="http://loop.frontiersin.org/people/1376342/overview"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name><surname>Hutchinson</surname> <given-names>Mark</given-names></name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5"><sup>5</sup></xref>
<uri xlink:href="http://loop.frontiersin.org/people/342714/overview"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name><surname>Haghani</surname> <given-names>Viktoria</given-names></name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref>
<uri xlink:href="http://loop.frontiersin.org/people/1251965/overview"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name><surname>Aminabadi</surname> <given-names>Peiman</given-names></name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff6"><sup>6</sup></xref>
<uri xlink:href="http://loop.frontiersin.org/people/1401293/overview"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name><surname>Kenney</surname> <given-names>Annette</given-names></name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff7"><sup>7</sup></xref>
<uri xlink:href="http://loop.frontiersin.org/people/1398742/overview"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name><surname>Hashem</surname> <given-names>Fawzy</given-names></name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff7"><sup>7</sup></xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name><surname>Mart&#x000ED;nez-L&#x000F3;pez</surname> <given-names>Beatriz</given-names></name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2"><sup>2</sup></xref>
<uri xlink:href="http://loop.frontiersin.org/people/205229/overview"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name><surname>Bihn</surname> <given-names>Elizabeth A.</given-names></name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff8"><sup>8</sup></xref>
<uri xlink:href="http://loop.frontiersin.org/people/480693/overview"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name><surname>Clements</surname> <given-names>Donna P.</given-names></name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff8"><sup>8</sup></xref>
<uri xlink:href="http://loop.frontiersin.org/people/1398727/overview"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name><surname>Shade</surname> <given-names>Jessica B.</given-names></name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff9"><sup>9</sup></xref>
<uri xlink:href="http://loop.frontiersin.org/people/799065/overview"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name><surname>Sciligo</surname> <given-names>Amber R.</given-names></name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff9"><sup>9</sup></xref>
<uri xlink:href="http://loop.frontiersin.org/people/796200/overview"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name><surname>Jay-Russell</surname> <given-names>Michele T.</given-names></name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff6"><sup>6</sup></xref>
<uri xlink:href="http://loop.frontiersin.org/people/474845/overview"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="aff1"><sup>1</sup><institution>Department of Population Health and Reproduction, School of Veterinary Medicine, University of California-Davis</institution>, <addr-line>Davis, CA</addr-line>, <country>United States</country></aff>
<aff id="aff2"><sup>2</sup><institution>Center for Animal Disease Modelling and Surveillance CADMS, Department of Medicine and Epidemiology, School of Veterinary Medicine, University of California-Davis</institution>, <addr-line>Davis, CA</addr-line>, <country>United States</country></aff>
<aff id="aff3"><sup>3</sup><institution>Environmental Microbial &#x00026; Food Safety Laboratory, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Research Service</institution>, <addr-line>Beltsville, MD</addr-line>, <country>United States</country></aff>
<aff id="aff4"><sup>4</sup><institution>Southwest Research and Outreach Center, Department of Soil Water and Climate, University of Minnesota</institution>, <addr-line>Lamberton, MN</addr-line>, <country>United States</country></aff>
<aff id="aff5"><sup>5</sup><institution>University of Maine Cooperative Extension</institution>, <addr-line>Waldoboro, ME</addr-line>, <country>United States</country></aff>
<aff id="aff6"><sup>6</sup><institution>Western Center for Food Safety, University of California-Davis</institution>, <addr-line>Davis, CA</addr-line>, <country>United States</country></aff>
<aff id="aff7"><sup>7</sup><institution>Department of Agriculture, Food, and Resource Sciences, University of Maryland Eastern Shore</institution>, <addr-line>Princess Anne, MD</addr-line>, <country>United States</country></aff>
<aff id="aff8"><sup>8</sup><institution>Produce Safety Alliance, Department of Food Science, Cornell University</institution>, <addr-line>Geneva, NY</addr-line>, <country>United States</country></aff>
<aff id="aff9"><sup>9</sup><institution>The Organic Center</institution>, <addr-line>Washington, DC</addr-line>, <country>United States</country></aff>
<author-notes>
<fn fn-type="edited-by"><p>Edited by: John J. Maurer, Virginia Tech, United States</p></fn>
<fn fn-type="edited-by"><p>Reviewed by: Keith Warriner, University of Guelph, Canada; Monica Ponder, Virginia Tech, United States</p></fn>
<corresp id="c001">&#x0002A;Correspondence: Alda F. A. Pires <email>apires&#x00040;ucdavis.edu</email></corresp>
<fn fn-type="other" id="fn001"><p>This article was submitted to Agro-Food Safety, a section of the journal Frontiers in Sustainable Food Systems</p></fn></author-notes>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>27</day>
<month>03</month>
<year>2023</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="collection">
<year>2023</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>7</volume>
<elocation-id>1125996</elocation-id>
<history>
<date date-type="received">
<day>16</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2022</year>
</date>
<date date-type="accepted">
<day>22</day>
<month>02</month>
<year>2023</year>
</date>
</history>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright &#x000A9; 2023 Pires, Ramos, Baron, Millner, Pagliari, Hutchinson, Haghani, Aminabadi, Kenney, Hashem, Mart&#x000ED;nez-L&#x000F3;pez, Bihn, Clements, Shade, Sciligo and Jay-Russell.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2023</copyright-year>
<copyright-holder>Pires, Ramos, Baron, Millner, Pagliari, Hutchinson, Haghani, Aminabadi, Kenney, Hashem, Mart&#x000ED;nez-L&#x000F3;pez, Bihn, Clements, Shade, Sciligo and Jay-Russell</copyright-holder>
<license xlink:href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/"><p>This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.</p></license></permissions>
<abstract>
<sec>
<title>Introduction</title>
<p>Biological soil amendments of animal origin (BSAAO), including untreated amendments are often used to improve soil fertility and are particularly important in organic agriculture. However, application of untreated manure on cropland can potentially introduce foodborne pathogens into the soil and onto produce. Certified organic farms follow the USDA National Organic Program (NOP) standards that stipulate a 90- or 120-day interval between application of untreated manure and crop harvest, depending on whether the edible portion of the crop directly contacts the soil. This time-interval metric is based on environmental factors and does not consider a multitude of factors that might affect the survival of the main pathogens of concern. The objective of this study was to assess predictors for the prevalence of Shiga-toxin-producing <italic>Escherichia coli</italic> (non-O157 STEC) in soils amended with untreated manure on USDA-NOP certified farms.</p>
</sec>
<sec>
<title>Methods</title>
<p>A longitudinal, multi-regional study was conducted on 19 farms in four USA regions for two growing seasons (2017&#x02013;2018). Untreated manure (cattle, horse, and poultry), soil, and irrigation water samples were collected and enrichment cultured for non-O157 STEC. Mixed effects logistic regression models were used to analyze the predictors of non-O157 STEC in the soil up to 180 days post-manure application.</p>
</sec>
<sec>
<title>Results and discussion</title>
<p>Results show that farm management practices (previous use with livestock, presence of animal feces on the field, season of manure application) and soil characteristics (presence of generic <italic>E. coli</italic> in the soil, soil moisture, sodium) increased the odds of STEC-positive soil samples. Manure application method and snowfall decreased the odds of detecting STEC in the soil. Time-variant predictors (year and sampling day) affected the presence of STEC. This study shows that a single metric, such as the time interval between application of untreated manure and crop harvest, may not be sufficient to reduce the food safety risks from untreated manure, and additional environmental and farm-management practices should also be considered. These findings are of particular importance because they provide multi-regional baseline data relating to current NOP wait-time standards. They can therefore contribute to the development of strategies to reduce pathogen persistence that may contribute to contamination of fresh produce typically eaten raw from NOP-certified farms using untreated manure.</p>
</sec></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd>biological soil amendments</kwd>
<kwd>foodborne pathogens</kwd>
<kwd>soil</kwd>
<kwd>raw manure</kwd>
<kwd>organic production</kwd>
<kwd>fresh produce</kwd>
<kwd>STEC</kwd>
<kwd>generic <italic>E. coli</italic></kwd>
</kwd-group>
<contract-num rid="cn001">2016-51300-25724</contract-num>
<contract-sponsor id="cn001">National Institute of Food and Agriculture<named-content content-type="fundref-id">10.13039/100005825</named-content></contract-sponsor>
<counts>
<fig-count count="0"/>
<table-count count="6"/>
<equation-count count="0"/>
<ref-count count="73"/>
<page-count count="17"/>
<word-count count="13948"/>
</counts>
</article-meta>
</front>
<body>
<sec id="s1">
<title>1. Introduction</title>
<p>The consumption of organic food has grown exponentially worldwide in the past decade (Rana and Paul, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B51">2017</xref>). The US, in particular, has seen a rapid increase in organic production, with an estimated area of 2.2 million hectares in organic production and $43.3 billion in sales (Haumann, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B25">2017</xref>). Organic agriculture is based on sustainable and ecological principles, and the use of synthetic fertilizers and synthetic pesticides is carefully managed on organic farms. Instead, USDA-National Organic Program (NOP)&#x02014;certified farms rely on biological soil amendments of animal origin (BSAAO; i.e., animal manure, compost) in combination with other ecological nutrient management techniques, including the use of locally adapted plant varieties, intercropping with nitrogen-fixing crops and trees, crop rotations, and/or cover crops (USDA-AMS, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B68">2000</xref>; Rosen and Bierman, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B55">2005</xref>; Rosen and Allan, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B54">2007</xref>; USDA-NOP, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B69">2011</xref>; Pires et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B48">2018</xref>). While many crop-based agricultural operations utilize BSAAO, they are particularly important to organic farmers seeking or operating within NOP standards because the USDA-NOP prohibits the use of synthetic chemical fertilizers (USDA-AMS, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B68">2000</xref>). Because manure from livestock species may carry foodborne pathogens, including <italic>E. coli</italic> O157:H7, <italic>Salmonella</italic> spp., <italic>Campylobacter</italic> spp., and <italic>Listeria monocytogenes</italic>, there is an increased risk of pathogen contamination of fresh produce and fruits typically consumed raw when untreated manure is applied to crop fields (Olaimat and Holley, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B39">2012</xref>). These major pathogens have been frequently linked to outbreaks in fresh produce (Scallan et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B57">2011</xref>; Luna et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B34">2018</xref>; Turner et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B67">2019</xref>), and traced to livestock (Jay et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B29">2007</xref>). The 2018 <italic>E. coli</italic> O157:H7 romaine lettuce outbreak associated with contaminated agricultural water potentially impacted by a nearby large animal feeding operation highlights the need to investigate the co-existence of animals and other potential sources, such as BSAAO applications (FDA, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B18">2019</xref>). The current USDA-NOP standards establish intervals between the application and incorporation of animal-based soil amendments (i.e., raw manure, untreated manure) and the time of crop harvest. At least 120 days between application (and incorporation) and harvest is required when the edible portion of the crop directly contacts the manure-amended soil, or 90 days when there is no contact (USDA-NOP, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B69">2011</xref>; FDA, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B17">2018</xref>). This interval between incorporation of manure and harvest was developed under production cycle criteria and not on microbial contamination risk (Natvig et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B37">2002</xref>; Ingham et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B28">2005</xref>). If these management practices cannot be followed, the USDA-NOP requires that raw manure be composted (USDA-NOP, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B69">2011</xref>; FDA, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B17">2018</xref>). The Food Safety Modernization Act (FSMA) Produce Safety Rule (PSR) does not object to the USDA-NOP standards until more data is collected, and is reserving the final decision on untreated BSAAO application intervals until more data is available (FDA, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">2015</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B17">2018</xref>). However, these application intervals do not take into account a multitude of factors that may affect the survival of foodborne pathogens, including biological and physico-chemical composition of soil and manure, livestock species, pathogen, manure (e.g., type, management), soil type (e.g., texture, moisture, organic matter, nutrients), and environmental conditions (e.g., season, ambient temperature, rainfall, humidity, sunlight) (Hutchison et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B26">2005</xref>; Sinton et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B61">2007</xref>; Moriarty et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B36">2011</xref>; Berry et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">2013</xref>; Harris et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B24">2013</xref>; Erickson et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B13">2014</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B14">2015a</xref>,<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B15">b</xref>; Shah et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B58">2019</xref>; Sharma et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B60">2019</xref>). Cattle, for example, are natural reservoirs of <italic>E. coli</italic> O157:H57, and high concentrations of this pathogen are present on feedlots and in dairy cattle manure (Berry et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">2013</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B6">2015</xref>; Tabe et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B64">2016</xref>). Survival of <italic>E. coli</italic> O157:H7 in manure and soil environments varies widely; previous studies indicate that can survive in bovine feces from 49 to 126 days, and from 25 to 231 days in manure-amended soil depending on STEC inoculum and experimental conditions (Fremaux et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B20">2008</xref>). A multi-year longitudinal experimental study conducted in the Mid-Atlantic United States identified spatio-temporal (i.e., site, year, season), agricultural (i.e., amendment type, organic or conventional, and depth of manure application), and weather factors (i.e., average daily temperature, rainfall, and initial soil moisture) contributed for the variability of the survival duration of generic <italic>E. coli</italic> and attenuated <italic>E. coli</italic> O157:H7 in manure-amended soils (Sharma et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B60">2019</xref>). Temperature and precipitation influenced the likelihood of <italic>L. monocytogenes</italic> and <italic>Salmonella</italic> in vegetable farms (Strawn et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B62">2013a</xref>). Moreover, on-farm studies have reported high variability of findings due to several factors (e.g., wildlife intrusion, livestock proximity, irrigation water) influencing STEC and <italic>E. coli</italic> O157:H7 prevalence in pre-harvest produce in many production environments (Jay et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B29">2007</xref>; Benjamin et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B4">2015</xref>; Berry et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B6">2015</xref>; Weller et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B71">2020</xref>). Conventional and/or controlled field trials have identified multiple factors which can affect pathogen survival and are directly related to type of livestock production, agriculture practices, soil type, and climatic factors. Therefore, on-farm multi-regional longitudinal studies are required to identify the time-variant and specific organic farming factors associated with the survival of foodborne pathogens in fresh produce grown on organic farms using untreated manure-based soil amendments. Understanding the complexity and how these factors interplay is crucial for creating a framework to support the best practices for growers to manage untreated manure. This study therefore was conducted to identify farm-level predictors for the prevalence of STEC in soils amended with untreated manure on USDA-NOP-certified farms in four US regions.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2">
<title>2. Materials and methods</title>
<sec>
<title>2.1. Study design and field sample collection</title>
<p>A 21-month longitudinal, multi-regional field study was conducted on 19 USDA-NOP certified farms located in four USA regions (California, Minnesota, Maine, and Maryland) during two growing seasons (March 2017&#x02013;December 2018). Details on the recruitment, study design and farm enrollment can be found in a previous publication (Ramos et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B50">2021</xref>). Briefly, farms were enrolled based on the following criteria: (1) certified USDA-NOP fresh produce farm, (2) use of untreated manure (i.e., raw or untreated manure), (3) grow at least one of the following fresh crops: leafy greens, root vegetables, and/or fruits, (4) willingness to participate and provide biological samples (raw manure, soil, irrigation water, and fresh produce) and information about their farm management practices and location. Farms were sampled periodically from March 2017 to December 2018 using the following scheme in each growing season: (1) untreated manure, compost and soil were sampled before manure application, (2) soil samples were collected after manure incorporation and monthly for a total of seven times, (3) fresh produce, and (4) irrigation water. Sample collection and preparation are described below.</p>
<p>The following samples (a total of 3,260 samples) were collected from the farms during the two growing seasons: 233 untreated manure samples (cattle, horse, small ruminants, or poultry), 2,461 soil samples, 527 harvested produce samples [leafy greens (e.g., lettuce, spinach, kale), root vegetables (e.g., carrots, radishes) and/or fruits (e.g., tomatoes, cucumbers, peppers)], and 39 irrigation water samples.</p>
</sec>
<sec>
<title>2.2. Questionnaire design</title>
<p>A questionnaire was developed and used on each farm to obtain data on farm-level management practices and environmental characteristics. The questionnaire included: (i) farm demographics and information (e.g., farm size, number of staff, third-party certifications, marketing outlets, worker training); (ii) crop production (e.g., crop types, previous plant/soil diseases), (iii) soil characteristics and surrounding landscape (e.g., soil type, soil testing, previous use, use for livestock/poultry, surrounding landscape use), (iv) fertilizer use [e.g., manure and compost use, manure type, source, storage, application method, rate and frequency, in-house vs. commercial sources, other animal biological soil amendments, location of BSAAO relative to the crops (down/up-hill)]; (v) agricultural water (e.g., source, irrigation type, testing, irrigation frequency), and (vi) management practices (e.g., tillage practices, crop rotation, livestock/poultry in property and proximity to livestock/feedlots, integration of livestock, presence of domestic/companion animals, presence of wildlife, evidence of animal feces in fields). In addition, time-variable factors were recorded for each month visited, including intrusion of wild and domestic animals in the fields, abnormal field conditions, irrigation frequency, type of produce crop, and growth stage. The full questionnaire can be accessed on request.</p>
</sec>
<sec>
<title>2.3. Sample collection and preparation</title>
<p>Samples were collected and tested as previously described (Ramos et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B50">2021</xref>). Farms were sampled monthly for a period of up to 180 days over two growing seasons. On each site, a total of five composite untreated manure samples was collected from manure piles using a shovel and a sterile scoop (Fisher Scientific, Hampton, NH). Before manure application (d0A, baseline), each composite sample was collected from five separate spots and different depths (not surface) in the manure pile with at least 90&#x02013;100 g total per composite sample. For each manure and produce type, four composite soil samples (five subsamples each) were collected after manure incorporation (d0B) and monthly, for a total of seven times (30, 60, 90, 120, 150, and 180-days post-application (dpa) of manure) for each crop cycle as described by Ramos et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B50">2021</xref>). Soil samples were collected using a stainless-steel soil core sampling probe (2.54 cm diam) disinfected with 70% ethanol between samples and 15.2 cm deep from the soil surface (Ramos et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B50">2021</xref>). Agricultural water was collected once at each farm during each growing season as previously described (Ramos et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B50">2021</xref>). Briefly, water samples were collected directly into a sterile Nalgene bottle (Thermo Scientific, Rochester, NY) by hand or with a sampling pole. A maximum of two irrigation water samples (1 L each) were collected from different sources (e.g., agricultural well, pond, reservoir, lagoon, or creek). All samples were collected by one of the research team members, transported or shipped to the laboratory in an insulated cooler with ice packs, and processed within 48 h post-collection.</p>
</sec>
<sec>
<title>2.4. Soil, compost, and manure sample preparation</title>
<p>All samples were prepared as previously described by Ramos et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B50">2021</xref>) for detection, isolation, and identification using three separate enrichment schemes for non-O157 <italic>STEC, L. monocytogenes, E. coli</italic> O157:H7, <italic>Salmonella</italic> spp., and generic <italic>E. coli</italic>. Here we describe details of the enrichment and isolation of non-O157 STEC. Details on the isolation and identification of other three pathogens can be found in Ramos et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B50">2021</xref>). For each manure, compost, and soil sample collected, 30 g of sample were weighed and transferred to 24 oz Whirl-Pak bags (Nasco, Modesto, CA) containing 270 ml of tryptic soy broth (TSB; 1:10 dilution), then TSB bags were manually massaged for 1 min before incubation at 25&#x000B0;C for 2 h, followed by a 42&#x000B0;C incubation for 8 h shaking at 100 rpm in a Multitron programmable shaking incubator (Eppendorf, Hauppauge, NY, USA). Then samples were held at 6&#x000B0;C with no shaking until used for further enrichment and isolation of non-O157 STEC.</p>
</sec>
<sec>
<title>2.5. Irrigation water sample preparation</title>
<p>Irrigation water samples were processed as detailed previously (Partyka et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B44">2018</xref>; Ramos et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B50">2021</xref>). Briefly, water samples were analyzed for bacterial indicators (i.e., generic <italic>E. coli</italic> and non-<italic>E. coli</italic> fecal coliforms) and pathogens (non-O157 STEC, <italic>E. coli</italic> O157:H7, <italic>L. monocytogenes</italic>, and <italic>Salmonella</italic>) using standard membrane filtration techniques. Water samples were vacuum-filtered through a sterile 0.45 mm nitrocellulose filter assembly.</p>
</sec>
<sec>
<title>2.6. Bacterial enrichment and isolation</title>
<sec>
<title>2.6.1. Non-O157 STEC detection and isolation</title>
<p>For qualitative non-O157 STEC confirmation (Cooley et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B10">2013</xref>), 1.0 ml of the initial TSB pre-enrichment broth was transferred to 9.0 ml of modified enterohemorrhagic <italic>E. coli</italic> (mEHEC) selective media (Biocontrol, Bellevue, WA, USA) tubes, which were incubated at 42&#x000B0;C for 12 h with agitation. Ten microliter were then streaked onto ChromSTEC (CHROMagar&#x02122;, Paris, France) with an inoculation loop, and the plates were incubated at 37&#x000B0;C for 24 h. From the primary plates, multiple suspect non-O157 STEC colonies, based on color and morphology, were selected and sub-streaked to secondary and tertiary plates. Presumptive positives were confirmed for the presence of <italic>stx1</italic> (348 bp) and <italic>stx2</italic> (584 bp) genes using a traditional polymerase chain reaction (PCR) assay (Paton and Paton, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B45">1998</xref>).</p>
</sec>
<sec>
<title>2.6.2. Generic E. coli enrichment, enumeration, and isolation</title>
<p>Soil and produce samples were tested for the presence and concentration of generic <italic>E. coli</italic> (Most Probable Number, MPN/g) as previously described (Atwill et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B2">2015</xref>; Patterson et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B46">2018</xref>). TSB was transferred from sample TSB bags (following inoculation, but prior to incubation) to TSB reservoirs (E&#x00026;K Scientific, Santa Clara, CA, USA), which were serially diluted and used for enumeration of generic <italic>E. coli</italic>. Briefly, the first column of a 48-well reservoir was filled with 5 ml of the sample, followed by five columns filled with 4.5 ml TSB. Serial dilutions were carried out up to 10<sup>&#x02212;6</sup> in four replications per sample (Atwill et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B2">2015</xref>; Patterson et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B46">2018</xref>). Samples were incubated at 25&#x000B0;C for 2 h followed by 42&#x000B0;C for 8 h with 100 rpm shaking. Samples were then held at 6&#x000B0;C with no shaking. Four microliter from each dilution in the TSB reservoir were streaked onto CHROMagar ECC (CHROMagar, Paris, France) followed by incubation for 24 h at 37&#x000B0;C (Atwill et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B2">2015</xref>). The MPN series cell densities were calculated based on dilution to extinction using an MPN Calculator (Curiale, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B11">2004</xref>). After recording each potentially positive sample, up to four presumptive generic <italic>E. coli</italic> colonies per positive sample were selected and re-streaked onto secondary and tertiary CHROMagar ECC plates. After their respective incubations, the pure isolates were confirmed as generic <italic>E.coli</italic> using a PCR assay targeting the universal stress protein (<italic>usp</italic>A) gene (884 bp, 5&#x02032;CCGATACGCTGCCAATCAGT3&#x02032;, 5&#x02032; ACGCAGACCGTAGGCCAGAT 3&#x02032;), as described previously (Chen and Griffiths, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B9">1998</xref>). For each positive sample, up to four isolates were obtained and preserved in a 15% glycerol 85% TSB solution, and stored indefinitely in a &#x02212;80&#x000B0;C freezer.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec>
<title>2.7. Statistical analyses</title>
<sec>
<title>2.7.1. Data management and sources of explanatory variables for statistical analyses</title>
<p>The outcome of interest for analyses was non-O157 STEC in the soil after manure application (d0B) measured as a binary absence or presence. Predictor variables (five main sources) included: (1) sample data, (2) survey data, (3) HOBO data (soil moisture and temperature), (4) soil composition, and (5) weather data, with (1) to (4) sampled by our team and (5) obtained from an outside source. Analysis was later conducted in two steps, the first focusing on variable groups (1) and (2) and the second step focusing on variable groups (3) to (5). Overall, 67 variables (22 sample-level variables and 31 survey questions, transformed into 45 variables when counting dummy variables; <xref ref-type="supplementary-material" rid="SM1">Supplementary Table 1</xref>) were used in the first step of analysis. These variables were classified in four broad groupings: spatio-temporal (state, associated with the plot and sampling time, produce type of sampled plot); microbiological characteristics [i.e., the presence of generic <italic>E. coli</italic> and pathogenic bacteria (non-O157 STEC, <italic>L. monocytogenes, E. coli</italic> O157:H7, and <italic>Salmonella</italic> spp) in soil, manure, water]; management practices (i.e., practices for use of manure, compost, irrigation, animal presence, planted produce) and demographics (i.e., farm size, number of sites, staff). Survey variables and variables relating to bacterial presence in manure or water were aggregated at the farm-year level and field-level (for farms with more than one manure type application). Survey questions with multiple choice answers were either divided into binary dummy variables, or had multiple answers grouped into a &#x0201C;mixed category&#x0201D; if this did not represent the majority of answers. Survey variables with more than 200 missing data points were excluded from further analysis.</p>
<p>HOBO data (i.e., soil moisture and temperature sensors) was collected for each farm every 15 min and included soil temperature and moisture. These were aggregated daily to obtain the minimum, maximum, average, and range of temperature each day and the minimum, maximum, and average soil moisture each day. HOBO data was matched with sampling days (every 30 days) so that each sample had two sets of soil temperature and moisture variables: one for the day of sampling and one for the average of the seven days prior to the day of sampling. This data was farm- and day-specific, but not sample-specific (<xref ref-type="supplementary-material" rid="SM1">Supplementary Table 1</xref>). HOBO related data with missing data points (&#x0003E;700) due to mis-function of the sensors were excluded from the multivariable model selection.</p>
<p>Soil composition data was collected each year at the beginning and end of the study (d0A and 150 or 180 dpa). Common indicators assessed by the regional laboratories were considered for statistical analysis (23 in total, <xref ref-type="supplementary-material" rid="SM1">Supplementary Table 1</xref>), with a total of 18 variables considered for multivariable analysis.</p>
<p>Weather data was obtained from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) through the R package rnoaa (Chamberlain, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B8">2021</xref>). All weather stations within a 40 km radius of a farm were identified. Weather variables for a single farm were obtained by doing an inverse squared distance-weighted average of all surrounding stations so that closer stations had much higher weight than more distant stations. Variables included precipitation, snowfall, snow depth, temperature (average, median, minimum, maximum, range), average wind speed, and 2-s wind-gust speed. For each set of variables, three time periods were considered: weather on the day of sample collection, the average of 3 days up to sample collection, and the average of 7 days up to sample collection. Weather related variables with missing data greater than 400 data points were not considered for further multivariable analysis.</p>
<p>In summary, the second step of multivariable analysis used 45 variables: 18 soil variables, seven weather metrics in 21 variables and six variables from the sample and survey data of the first step (state, year, sampling day, generic <italic>E. coli</italic> concentration, soil type and soil moisture).</p>
</sec>
<sec>
<title>2.7.2. Risk analyses</title>
<p>To identify specific and quantifiable relationships between predictor variables and the presence of non-O157 STEC, mixed effect logistic regression was conducted in R using the lme4 package (Bates et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B3">2015</xref>). For this analysis, HOBO (soil moisture and temperature), weather, and soil composition variables were standardized by subtracting the mean and dividing by the standard deviation. In all models, farm and plot ID were used as nested random effects with plot nested within a farm. First, all variables were assessed using univariable models. Then multivariable models were selected through forward and backward stepwise model selection starting from an empty model using the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) as the selection criterion for model fit with a likelihood ratio test. Because some of the sets of variables had missing values for different observations, multivariable model selection was conducted in two data sets: a first set focusing on sample variables and survey questions, and a second set focusing on weather and soil composition data. By convention, it was decided to use a <italic>p</italic>-value of below 0.05 for a significant association and <italic>p</italic>-values between 0.05 and 0.1 for borderline significant associations.</p>
<p>To assess the performance of the selected multivariable models, Receiver Operating Characteristics (ROC) curves were used with the R package pROC (Robin et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B53">2011</xref>). This allowed us to test the predictive performance of a model by comparing the model&#x00027;s fitted probabilities to the observed binary results of the outcome. The overall model performance was evaluated using the area under the curve (AUC). Then an optimal probability threshold was selected using the Youden&#x00027;s <italic>J</italic> statistic which maximizes both model sensitivity (SN) and specificity (SP). Above this optimal threshold, an observation is predicted as positive, and below it is predicted as negative. With the selected threshold, we can obtain model performance metrics such as SN, SP, and positive and negative predictive values (PPV and NPV). All data management and statistical analysis were conducted in R 4.0.3 (R Core Team, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B49">2020</xref>).</p>
</sec>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="s3">
<title>3. Results</title>
<p>The current manuscript is focused on investigating the risk factors associated with the prevalence of STEC in soil amended with untreated manure on USDA-NOP-certified farms in four US regions, while the previous manuscript described in detail the prevalence of foodborne pathogens over time (Ramos et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B50">2021</xref>). A brief description of overall prevalence is described herein as those variables were used as predictors in the models. In total, 19 farms participated in the study, of which 15 participated in both years of the study, for a total of 34 farm-years. Three farms participated in 2017 alone and a fourth in 2018 alone. Overall, we analyzed 2,150 soil samples, of which 174 (8.1%) were positive for non-O157 STEC and 101 (4.7%) were positive for <italic>L. monocytogenes</italic>. Fifteen soil samples (0.7%) were positive for <italic>Salmonella</italic> and a single sample was positive for <italic>E. coli</italic> O157:H7. The full detail of non-O157 STEC significant associations of the univariable model is described in <xref ref-type="table" rid="T1">Table 1</xref>. Of note, but not included in the broader categories described below, is the association of soil moisture with the pathogens. An increase of 10% in soil moisture was significantly associated with higher odds of positive non-O157 STEC soil samples (OR = 1.29, <italic>p</italic>-value = 0.015; <xref ref-type="table" rid="T1">Table 1</xref>). The total number of samples collected for soil composition was 330 and varied from 5 to 102 between farms (median = 8, mean = 17) or 2 to 60 per farm-year (median = 5, mean = 10). The number of weather stations within a 40 km radius of each farm varied from 1 to 231 (median = 39, mean = 53).</p>
<table-wrap position="float" id="T1">
<label>Table 1</label>
<caption><p>Univariable analysis, using a mixed-effect logistic regression model, of the factors (sample-level, time-dependent and farm questionnaire variables) that influence the likelihood of non-O157 STEC presence in soil samples amended with untreated manure in certified organic farms.</p></caption> 
<table frame="box" rules="all">
<thead>
<tr style="background-color:&#x00023;919498;color:&#x00023;ffffff">
<th valign="top" align="left"><bold>Variable</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>Categories</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center" colspan="3"><bold>Descriptive</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center" colspan="3"><bold>Univariate</bold></th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
 <tr style="background-color:&#x00023;919498;color:&#x00023;ffffff">
<td/>
<td/>
<td valign="top" align="center"><italic><bold>N</bold></italic></td>
<td valign="top" align="center"><bold>Positive</bold></td>
<td valign="top" align="center"><bold>Percent positive</bold></td>
<td valign="top" align="center"><bold>OR</bold></td>
<td valign="top" align="center"><bold>95% CI</bold><xref ref-type="table-fn" rid="TN1"><sup>a</sup></xref></td>
<td valign="top" align="center"><italic><bold>p</bold></italic><bold>-value</bold></td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Total</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"><bold>&#x02013;</bold></td>
<td valign="top" align="center"><bold>2,150</bold></td>
<td valign="top" align="center"><bold>174</bold></td>
<td valign="top" align="center"><bold>8.1</bold></td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
</tr> <tr style="background-color:#dee1e1;">
<td valign="top" align="left" colspan="8"><bold>Spatio-temporal variables</bold></td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left" rowspan="2">Sampling year</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">2017</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">996</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">159</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">16.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">ref</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">2018</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1,154</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">15</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.3</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.07</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.04&#x02013;0.12</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x0003C;0.001</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left" rowspan="4">Sampling season</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Spring</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">571</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">48</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">8.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">ref</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Summer</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">971</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">50</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">5.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.54</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.35&#x02013;0.82</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.004</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Fall</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">576</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">75</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">13.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.39</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.93&#x02013;2.08</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.112</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Winter</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">32</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">3.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.32</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.04&#x02013;2.38</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.266</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left" rowspan="7">Sampling day</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Day 0</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">315</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">31</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">9.8</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">ref</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Day 30</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">331</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">24</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">7.3</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.72</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.41&#x02013;1.27</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.252</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Day 60</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">326</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">14</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">4.3</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.40</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.21&#x02013;0.77</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.006</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Day 90</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">338</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">13</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">3.8</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.36</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.19&#x02013;0.71</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.003</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Day 120</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">338</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">34</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">10.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.07</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.63&#x02013;0.80</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.814</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Day 150</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">284</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">24</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">8.5</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.79</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.45&#x02013;1.39</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.409</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Day 180</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">218</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">34</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">15.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.72</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.01&#x02013;2.95</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.048</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left" rowspan="5">Produce type on sampled plot</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Fruits</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1,071</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">83</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">7.7</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">ref</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Leafy greens</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">511</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">36</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">7.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.90</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.53&#x02013;1.52</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.688</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Mixed</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">273</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">16</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">5.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.38</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.15&#x02013;0.96</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.040</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">None</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">26</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">12</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">46.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">2.63</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.68&#x02013;10.17</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.162</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Root vegetables</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">269</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">27</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">10.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.89</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.50&#x02013;1.57</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.688</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Soil water moisture (10% increase)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Continuous</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.29</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.05&#x02013;1.59</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.015</td>
</tr> <tr style="background-color:#dee1e1;">
<td valign="top" align="left" colspan="8"><bold>Microbiological characteristics</bold></td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Generic <italic>E. coli</italic> concentration in the soil on day of sampling log (MPN &#x0002B; 1/g dry weight soil)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Continuous</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.26</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.11&#x02013;1.43</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x0003C;0.001</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Generic <italic>E. coli</italic> concentration in the soil before manure application log (MPN &#x0002B; 1/g dry weight soil)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Continuous</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.72</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.39&#x02013;2.13</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x0003C;0.001</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left" rowspan="2">Presence of any other pathogenic bacteria<xref ref-type="table-fn" rid="TN2"><sup>b</sup></xref> in the soil before manure application</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">No</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1,241</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">105</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">8.5</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">ref</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Yes</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">788</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">42</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">5.3</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.57</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.36&#x02013;0.91</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.018</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left" rowspan="2">Presence of non-O157 STEC in the soil before manure application</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">No</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1,728</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">108</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">6.3</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">ref</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Yes</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">301</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">39</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">13.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">2.54</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.35&#x02013;4.80</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.004</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left" rowspan="2">Presence of non-O157 STEC in manure samples</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">No</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1,457</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">80</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">5.5</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">ref</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Yes</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">492</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">68</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">13.8</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">4.64</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">2.60&#x02013;8.30</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x0003C;0.001</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Generic <italic>E. coli</italic> concentration in water samples log (CFU &#x0002B; 1/100 ml)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Continuous</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.49</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.33&#x02013;0.73</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x0003C;0.001</td>
</tr> <tr style="background-color:#dee1e1;">
<td valign="top" align="left" colspan="8"><bold>Manure management practices</bold></td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left" rowspan="5">Manure application seasons</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Spring</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">838</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">66</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">7.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">ref</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Summer</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">385</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">61</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">15.8</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.93</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.21&#x02013;4.12</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.924</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Fall</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">282</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">9</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">3.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.20</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.06&#x02013;0.67</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.009</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Winter</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">222</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">20</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">9.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.05</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.25&#x02013;4.48</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.947</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Mixed</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">423</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">18</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">4.3</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.38</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.16&#x02013;0.92</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.033</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left" rowspan="6">Manure application rate (ton/acre)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0&#x02013;5</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">879</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">112</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">12.7</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">ref</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">10&#x02013;15</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">379</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">10</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">2.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.14</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.05&#x02013;0.41</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x0003C;0.001</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">5&#x02013;10</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">508</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">25</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">4.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.52</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.22&#x02013;1.24</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.139</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">5&#x02013;15</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">28</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">6</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">21.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">2.71</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.42&#x02013;17.52</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.295</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Grazing</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">244</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">10</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">4.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.31</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.08&#x02013;1.25</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.100</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">No manure</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">112</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">11</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">9.8</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.00</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.20&#x02013;4.91</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.996</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left" rowspan="4">Years of prior manure application</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">1&#x02013;2</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">748</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">100</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">13.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">ref</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">3&#x02013;5</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">823</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">35</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">4.3</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.24</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.12&#x02013;0.48</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x0003C;0.001</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">More than 6</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">372</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">37</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">9.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.62</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.26&#x02013;1.49</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.288</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Grazing or none</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">207</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">2</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.06</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.01&#x02013;0.36</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.002</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left" rowspan="6">Method of manure storage</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Manure pile</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1,349</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">112</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">8.3</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">ref</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Barn or bedding</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">214</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">17</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">7.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.35</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.19&#x02013;0.63</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x0003C;0.001</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Concrete pad</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">56</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">3</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">5.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.91</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.12&#x02013;7.20</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.930</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Grazing</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">134</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.7</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.11</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.01&#x02013;1.49</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.097</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Mixed</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">132</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">27</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">20.5</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">5.81</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">2.46&#x02013;13.73</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x0003C;0.001</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Manure storage pit</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">265</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">14</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">5.3</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.06</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.31&#x02013;3.63</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.923</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left" rowspan="2">Manure is surface applied</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">No</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1,186</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">55</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">4.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">ref</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Yes</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">964</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">119</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">12.3</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">4.70</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">2.62&#x02013;8.43</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.001</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left" rowspan="2">Grazing</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">No</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1,850</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">163</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">8.8</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">ref</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Yes</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">300</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">11</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">3.7</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.10</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.03&#x02013;0.31</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x0003C;0.001</td>
</tr> <tr style="background-color:#dee1e1;">
<td valign="top" align="left" colspan="8"><bold>Compost management practices</bold></td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left" rowspan="2">Use of in-house compost</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">No</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1,690</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">144</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">8.5</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">ref</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Yes</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">460</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">30</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">6.5</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.20</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.07&#x02013;0.59</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.004</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left" rowspan="2">Use of commercial compost</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">No</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">2,016</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">173</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">8.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">ref</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Yes</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">134</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.7</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.10</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.01&#x02013;1.10</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.006</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left" rowspan="4">Compost source</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Make on farm</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1,053</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">123</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">11.7</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">ref</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Both</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">34</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">2</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">5.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.62</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.07&#x02013;5.15</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.654</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">None</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">108</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">6</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">5.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.58</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.11&#x02013;3.05</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.520</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Purchased</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">931</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">43</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">4.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.45</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.21&#x02013;0.95</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.037</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left" rowspan="4">Compost application rate (cubic yards/acre)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0&#x02013;10</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">526</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">42</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">8.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">ref</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">10&#x02013;30</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">856</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">43</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">5.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.93</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.34&#x02013;2.57</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.896</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">30&#x02013;60</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">452</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">74</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">16.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">3.42</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.02&#x02013;11.44</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.046</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">None</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">108</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">6</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">5.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.05</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.15&#x02013;7.29</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.957</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left" rowspan="2">Compost application method: surface applied</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">No</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">834</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">44</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">5.3</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">ref</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Yes</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1,292</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">130</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">10.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">5.40</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">2.85&#x02013;10.23</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x0003C;0.001</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left" rowspan="2">Compost application method: plowed in</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">No</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">2,014</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">153</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">7.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">ref</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Yes</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">112</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">21</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">18.8</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">8.86</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">3.16&#x02013;24.85</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x0003C;0.001</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left" rowspan="2">Compost application method: disked in</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">No</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1,069</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">117</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">10.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">ref</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Yes</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1,057</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">57</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">5.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.30</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.19&#x02013;0.48</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x0003C;0.001</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left" rowspan="2">Compost application method: trench</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">No</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1,997</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">173</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">8.7</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">ref</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Yes</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">129</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.8</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.07</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.01&#x02013;0.58</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.014</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left" rowspan="2">Can biologically soil amendments blow on the field</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">No</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1,760</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">156</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">8.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">ref</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Yes</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">390</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">18</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">4.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.16</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.07&#x02013;0.35</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x0003C;0.001</td>
</tr> <tr style="background-color:#dee1e1;">
<td valign="top" align="left" colspan="8"><bold>Presence of animals on or around the fields</bold></td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left" rowspan="2">Field produce is used for animal feed</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">No</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1,804</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">139</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">7.7</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">ref</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Yes</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">346</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">35</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">10.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">7.50</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">2.54&#x02013;22.18</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x0003C;0.001</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left" rowspan="2">Field is used for livestock</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">No</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">896</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">41</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">4.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">ref</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Yes</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1,254</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">133</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">10.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">3.36</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.71&#x02013;6.59</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x0003C;0.001</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left" rowspan="2">Are companion animals allowed on the field</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">No</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">334</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">15</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">4.5</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">ref</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Yes</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1,816</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">159</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">8.8</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">6.99</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">3.06&#x02013;16.01</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x0003C;0.001</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left" rowspan="2">Is there livestock on the property</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">No</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">388</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">9</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">2.3</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">ref</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Yes</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1,762</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">165</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">9.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">3.71</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.26&#x02013;10.94</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.018</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left" rowspan="2">Are there domestic animals on the field</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">No</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">484</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">20</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">4.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">ref</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Yes</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1,666</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">154</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">9.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">2.93</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.28&#x02013;6.71</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.011</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left" rowspan="2">Are animals intentionally introduced to the field</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">No</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1,278</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">104</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">8.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">ref</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Yes</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">872</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">70</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">8.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">3.13</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.27&#x02013;7.70</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.013</td>
</tr> <tr style="background-color:#dee1e1;">
<td valign="top" align="left" colspan="8"><bold>Farm demographics</bold></td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left" rowspan="3">Farm area (acres)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0&#x02013;10</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">995</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">110</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">11.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">ref</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">11&#x02013;50</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">610</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">29</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">4.8</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.27</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.09&#x02013;0.80</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.019</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">51 or more</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">545</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">35</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">6.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.37</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.15&#x02013;0.93</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.035</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left" rowspan="2">Number of sites farmed</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">One</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1,150</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">54</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">4.7</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">ref</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Multiple</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1,000</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">120</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">12.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">3.01</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.42&#x02013;6.38</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.004</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left" rowspan="2">Number of year round staff</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0&#x02013;4</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1,654</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">126</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">7.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">ref</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">5 or more</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">496</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">48</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">9.7</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">3.63</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.42&#x02013;9.32</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.007</td>
</tr></tbody>
</table>
<table-wrap-foot>
<p>OR, odds ratio.</p>
<fn id="TN1"><label>a</label><p>95% CI, confidence interval for the odds ratio.</p></fn>
<fn id="TN2"><label>b</label><p>&#x0201C;Any other pathogenic bacteria&#x0201D; refers to <italic>Listeria monocytogenes, Salmonella spp</italic>. and <italic>E. coli</italic> O157 STEC.</p></fn>
</table-wrap-foot>
</table-wrap>
<sec>
<title>3.1. Univariable analyses models</title>
<sec>
<title>3.1.1. Microbial presence in the soil, manure, and water</title>
<p>Overall, the concentration of generic <italic>E. coli</italic> (generic <italic>E. coli</italic> log<sub>10</sub> MPN&#x0002B;1/g of dry weight of soil) in the soil on the day of sampling (Odds Ratio, OR = 1.26; <italic>p</italic>-value &#x0003C; 0.001) and before manure application (d0A; OR = 1.72; <italic>p</italic>-value &#x0003C; 0.001) had a significant positive association with the presence of non-O157 STEC in the soil (<xref ref-type="table" rid="T1">Table 1</xref>). Conversely, higher concentrations of generic <italic>E. coli</italic> in irrigation water were associated with lower odds of positive samples for non-O157 STEC (OR = 0.49; <italic>p</italic>-value &#x0003C; 0.001) in the soil (<xref ref-type="table" rid="T1">Table 1</xref>). The presence of non-O157 STEC in manure (OR = 4.64, <italic>p</italic>-value &#x0003C; 0.001) and soil prior to manure application (d0B, baseline; OR = 2.54, <italic>p</italic>-value = 0.004) was significantly associated with the non-O157 STEC presence in soil (<xref ref-type="table" rid="T1">Table 1</xref>). Finally, the presence of other pathogens (<italic>E. coli</italic> O157, <italic>L. monocytogenes</italic>, and <italic>Salmonella</italic> spp.) in the soil had a negative association with non-O157 STEC (OR = 0.57, <italic>p</italic>-value = 0.018; <xref ref-type="table" rid="T1">Table 1</xref>).</p>
</sec>
<sec>
<title>3.1.2. Manure and management practices</title>
<p>Four questions from the questionnaire related to management practices for manure application (i.e., season of application, the rate of application, the number of prior years of applications, and the application method) and one for manure storage, were divided into four binary dummy variables (i.e., Yes/No for that variable). All of these variables had a significant association with non-O157 STEC in soil. Applying manure in fall (OR = 0.20, <italic>p</italic>-value = 0.009) or multiple seasons (OR = 0.38, <italic>p</italic>-value = 0.033) had significantly lower odds of non-O157 STEC compared to spring (<xref ref-type="table" rid="T1">Table 1</xref>). Having 3 to 5 years of prior manure application on the field was associated with lower odds of positive soil samples (OR = 0.24, <italic>p</italic>-value &#x0003C; 0.001; <xref ref-type="table" rid="T1">Table 1</xref>). Two manure application methods were associated with non-O157 STEC: surface application having increased odds of positive non-O157 STEC samples (OR = 4.70, <italic>p</italic>-value &#x0003C; 0.001) and grazing having lower odds (OR = 0.10, <italic>p</italic>-value &#x0003C; 0.001; <xref ref-type="table" rid="T1">Table 1</xref>). Manure storage was significantly associated with lower odds of non-O157 when using barn or bedding only (OR = 0.35, <italic>p</italic>-value &#x0003C; 0.001) compared to a manure pile (<xref ref-type="table" rid="T1">Table 1</xref>).</p>
</sec>
<sec>
<title>3.1.3. Compost management practices</title>
<p>Three survey questions related to compost management: source, application rate and method. The compost application method was divided into five dummy binary variables. Three variables had a significant association with the presence of non-O157 STEC in the soil. Farms with purchased compost had a significant lower odds of non-O157 STEC positive samples compared to on-farm composting (OR = 0.45, <italic>p</italic>-value = 0.037; <xref ref-type="table" rid="T1">Table 1</xref>). Compost application at a rate of 30 to 60 cubic yards per acre had significantly higher odds of a non-O157 STEC positive soil sample compared to 0 to 10 cubic yards per acre (OR = 3.42, <italic>p</italic>-value = 0.046; <xref ref-type="table" rid="T1">Table 1</xref>). Plowing and surface application of compost were both significantly associated with higher odds of positive non-O157 STEC soil samples (OR = 8.86 and 5.40 respectively, <italic>p</italic>-values &#x0003C; 0.001; <xref ref-type="table" rid="T1">Table 1</xref>). The three other application methods showed evidence of lower odds of non-O157 STEC positive samples, with this association being significant for disking in and trenching (OR = 0.30 and 0.07 respectively, <italic>p</italic>-values &#x0003C; 0.001), and borderline significant for side dressing (<xref ref-type="table" rid="T1">Table 1</xref>).</p>
</sec>
<sec>
<title>3.1.4. Presence of animals on or around the fields</title>
<p>Multiple survey questions were analyzed related to the presence of domestic animals (six variables) and wildlife (two variables) on or near the field. In general, variables relating to domestic animals were statistically significantly associated with non-O157 STEC positive soil samples. This was the case with five animal-related variables: field once used for livestock, presence of companion animals on the field, presence of livestock on the property, presence of domestic animals on the field, and intentional introduction of animals on the field (OR from 2.93 to 6.99 with <italic>p</italic>-values from &#x0003C;0.001 to 0.018; <xref ref-type="table" rid="T1">Table 1</xref>).</p>
</sec>
<sec>
<title>3.1.5. HOBO (soil temperature and moisture) and weather data</title>
<p>The univariable analysis of HOBO and wind variables are described in detail in <xref ref-type="table" rid="T2">Table 2</xref>. We observed that all wind variables had a significant association with non-O157 STEC, with increases in average wind speed or wind gust speed at any lag time increasing the odds of a positive sample (OR ranging from 1.23 to 1.59, <italic>p</italic>-values ranging from &#x0003C;0.001 to 0.046; <xref ref-type="table" rid="T2">Table 2</xref>). An increase in the temperature range on the day of sampling was associated with higher odds of a positive test (OR = 1.29, <italic>p</italic>-value = 0.021). Whereas an increase in minimum temperature on the day of sampling was associated with lower odds (OR = 0.85, <italic>p</italic>-value = 0.047; <xref ref-type="table" rid="T2">Table 2</xref>). For HOBO data, the soil moisture variable (i.e., measured at plot/field level) had no significant association with non-O157 STEC. This contrasts with the significant positive association observed with the moisture measured directly from the soil samples collected for pathogen testing (<xref ref-type="table" rid="T1">Table 1</xref>). Soil temperature variables on the day of sampling (average, minimum and maximum) were all significantly associated with presence of non-O157 STEC, whereas the 7-day averages were not. Increases in soil temperature led to a decrease in the odds of positive non-O157 STEC (OR ranging from 0.74 to 0.76, <italic>p</italic>-values from 0.015 to 0.21; <xref ref-type="table" rid="T2">Table 2</xref>). Similar, though mostly non-significant, odds ratios were observed with the ambient air temperature variables. Further univariable results for weather and soil composition data will be discussed only when contrasting with multivariable results, with details presented in <xref ref-type="table" rid="T2">Tables 2</xref>, <xref ref-type="table" rid="T3">3</xref>.</p>
<table-wrap position="float" id="T2">
<label>Table 2</label>
<caption><p>Univariable analysis, using a mixed-effect logistic regression model, of the weather and HOBO-related factors that influence the likelihood of non-O157 STEC presence in soil samples amended with untreated manure in certified organic farms.</p></caption> 
<table frame="box" rules="all">
<thead>
<tr style="background-color:&#x00023;919498;color:&#x00023;ffffff">
<th valign="top" align="left"><bold>Variable</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>OR</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>95% CI<xref ref-type="table-fn" rid="TN3"><sup>a</sup></xref></bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold><italic>p</italic>-value</bold></th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr style="background-color:#dee1e1;">
<td valign="top" align="left" colspan="4"><bold>HOBO data and weather</bold></td>
</tr>
<tr style="background-color:#dee1e1;">
<td valign="top" align="left" colspan="4"><bold>Snow and precipitation</bold></td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Precipitation (0 days)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.03</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.91&#x02013;1.18</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.61</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Precipitation (3 days)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.96</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.82&#x02013;1.13</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.64</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Precipitation (7 days)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.93</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.78&#x02013;1.12</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.45</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Snowfall (0 days)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.95</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.74&#x02013;1.21</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.66</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Snowfall (3 days)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.89</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.66&#x02013;1.21</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.47</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Snowfall (7 days)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.75</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.56&#x02013;1.05</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.054</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Snow depth (0 days)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.86</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.61&#x02013;1.22</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.41</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Snow depth (3 days)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.79</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.47&#x02013;1.35</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.39</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Snow depth (7 days)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.52</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.25&#x02013;1.06</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.073</td>
</tr> <tr style="background-color:#dee1e1;">
<td valign="top" align="left" colspan="4"><bold>Temperature</bold></td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Temperature range (0 days)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.29</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.04&#x02013;1.60</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.021</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Temperature range (3 days)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.13</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.90&#x02013;1.42</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.29</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Temperature range (7 days)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.10</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.87&#x02013;1.40</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.42</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Temperature median (0 days)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.89</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.76&#x02013;1.05</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.17</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Temperature median (3 days)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.94</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.80&#x02013;1.11</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.46</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Temperature median (7 days)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.89</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.76&#x02013;1.04</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.15</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Temperature min (0 days)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.85</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.73&#x02013;1.00</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.047</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Temperature min (3 days)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.92</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.78&#x02013;1.08</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.30</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Temperature min (7 days)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.88</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.75&#x02013;1.02</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.088</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Temperature max (0 days)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.94</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.79&#x02013;1.12</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.47</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Temperature max (3 days)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.96</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.81&#x02013;1.14</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.66</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Temperature max (7 days)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.91</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.77&#x02013;1.07</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.24</td>
</tr> <tr style="background-color:#dee1e1;">
<td valign="top" align="left" colspan="4"><bold>Wind</bold></td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Average wind speed (0 days)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.38</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.14&#x02013;1.67</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.001</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Average wind speed (0 days)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.23</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.00&#x02013;1.50</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.045</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Average wind speed (0 days)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.26</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.00&#x02013;1.57</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.046</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Wind gust speed 2 s (0 days)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.56</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.31&#x02013;1.85</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x0003C;0.001</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Wind gust speed 2 s (0 days)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.38</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.13&#x02013;1.69</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.002</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Wind gust speed 2 s (0 days)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.59</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.28&#x02013;1.97</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x0003C;0.001</td>
</tr> <tr style="background-color:#dee1e1;">
<td valign="top" align="left" colspan="4"><bold>HOBO soil temperature</bold></td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Temperature range (0 days)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.95</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.75&#x02013;1.21</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.70</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Temperature range (7 days)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.91</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.70&#x02013;1.19</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.50</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Temperature average (0 days)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.75</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.59&#x02013;0.95</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.016</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Temperature average (7 days)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.86</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.67&#x02013;1.10</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.22</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Temperature min (0 days)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.74</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.59&#x02013;0.94</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.015</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Temperature min (7 days)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.88</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.69&#x02013;1.13</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.33</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Temperature max (0 days)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.76</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.60&#x02013;0.96</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.021</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Temperature max (7 days)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.86</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.67&#x02013;1.10</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.23</td>
</tr> <tr style="background-color:#dee1e1;">
<td valign="top" align="left" colspan="4"><bold>HOBO soil moisture</bold></td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Moisture average (0 days)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.85</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.66&#x02013;1.08</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.18</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Moisture average (7 days)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.85</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.67&#x02013;1.08</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.19</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Moisture min (0 days)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.86</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.68&#x02013;1.07</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.18</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Moisture min (7 days)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.85</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.68&#x02013;1.05</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.13</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Moisture max (0 days)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.85</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.66&#x02013;1.09</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.20</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Moisture max (7 days)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.86</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.68&#x02013;1.09</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.21</td>
</tr></tbody>
</table>
<table-wrap-foot>
<p>Variables are standardized by centering around the mean and dividing by the standard deviation. For each weather variable, three lag-times were analyzed: 0 days, 3-day prior average and 7-day prior average. For HOBO data, two lag-times were analyzed: 0 and 7 days.</p>
<p>OR, odds ratio.</p>
<fn id="TN3">
<label>a</label>
<p>95% CI, confidence interval for the odds ratio.</p></fn>
</table-wrap-foot>
</table-wrap>
<table-wrap position="float" id="T3">
<label>Table 3</label>
<caption><p>Univariable analysis, using a mixed-effect logistic regression model, of the soil-related variables (composition and soil health indicators) that influence the likelihood of non-O157 STEC presence in soil samples amended with untreated manure in certified organic farms.</p></caption> 
<table frame="box" rules="all">
<thead>
<tr style="background-color:&#x00023;919498;color:&#x00023;ffffff">
<th valign="top" align="left"><bold>Variable</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>OR</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>95% CI<xref ref-type="table-fn" rid="TN4"><sup>a</sup></xref></bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold><italic>p</italic>-value</bold></th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Proportion organic matter</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.17</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.89&#x02013;1.55</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.26</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">CO<sub>2</sub>-C</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.16</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.89&#x02013;1.53</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.28</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">pH</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.12</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.05&#x02013;0.26</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x0003C;0.001</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">NO<sub>3</sub>-N</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">2.18</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.45&#x02013;3.28</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x0003C;0.001</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">NH<sub>4</sub>-N</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.39</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.01&#x02013;1.92</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.046</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">CEC</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.75</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.31&#x02013;2.33</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x0003C;0.001</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Phosphorus (P)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.27</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.96&#x02013;1.70</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.10</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Magnesium (Mg)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.48</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.10&#x02013;2.00</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.010</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Potassium (K)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">2.02</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.53&#x02013;2.67</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x0003C;0.001</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Calcium (Ca)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.33</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.00&#x02013;1.76</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.050</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Aluminum (Al)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.38</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.18&#x02013;0.82</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.013</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Boron (B)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.49</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.28&#x02013;0.84</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.010</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Copper (Cu)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.38</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.04&#x02013;1.84</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.026</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Iron (Fe)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.04</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.82&#x02013;1.32</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.73</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Manganese (Mn)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.87</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.66&#x02013;1.14</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.31</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Sodium (Na)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">2.02</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.47&#x02013;2.78</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x0003C;0.001</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Sulfur (S)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.72</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.72&#x02013;11.79</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.002</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Zinc (Zn)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.49</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.00&#x02013;2.21</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.049</td>
</tr></tbody>
</table>
<table-wrap-foot>
<p>Variables are standardized by centering around the mean and dividing by the standard deviation.</p>
<p>OR, odds ratio.</p>
<fn id="TN4">
<label>a</label>
<p>95% CI, confidence interval for the odds ratio.</p></fn>
</table-wrap-foot>
</table-wrap>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec>
<title>3.2. Multivariable analyses models</title>
<sec>
<title>3.2.1. Multivariable models&#x02014;Model 1: Sample and questionnaire variables</title>
<p>Multivariable analysis of model 1 was performed on 1,574 complete soil samples (73% of the total). Six variables were retained in the final multivariable model including year, sampling day, and four survey questions: use of the field for livestock, presence of animal feces on the field, manure application season, and the manure application method (dummy variable). Year was strongly and significantly associated with a positive test with 2018 having much lower odds of a positive test compared to the 2017 growing season (OR = 0.05 for non-O157 STEC, <italic>p</italic>-value &#x0003C; 0.001; <xref ref-type="table" rid="T4">Table 4</xref>). This was comparable to univariable results (OR = 0.07 for non-O157 STEC; <xref ref-type="table" rid="T1">Table 1</xref>). Although sampling day moderately improved model fit but was not significantly associated with outcome, it was kept in the model because sampling day was one of the main exposures of interest in foodborne pathogen persistence over time. Though sampling day was not statistically significantly different from day 0, there was an increasing trend from day 90 to 180 dpa, with odds ratios increasing from 0.51 to 1.80 (<xref ref-type="table" rid="T4">Table 4</xref>). This is opposed to the univariable findings: samples collected on days 60dpa and 90dpa had significantly lower odds (OR = 0.40 and OR = 0.36) and day 180 dpa had significantly higher odds (OR = 1.72) of being non-O157 STEC positive (<xref ref-type="table" rid="T1">Table 1</xref>). Both previous use of livestock on the field and the presence of feces on the field were significantly associated with higher odds of positive samples (OR = 2.0, <italic>p</italic>-value = 0.013 for livestock and OR = 2.47, <italic>p</italic>-value = 0.001 for feces; <xref ref-type="table" rid="T4">Table 4</xref>). The result for feces was different from the univariable level where we observed a non-significant negative association with non-O157 (data not shown). For manure application season, summer had significantly higher odds of positive samples compared to spring, whereas fall had significantly lower odds (<xref ref-type="table" rid="T4">Table 4</xref>). This partly differed from the univariable results, in which summer was not significantly different from spring. Finally, the use of disking, roto-tilling, or spading had significantly lower odds of positive samples than not (OR = 0.46, <italic>p</italic>-value = 0.041; <xref ref-type="table" rid="T4">Table 4</xref>), which is the opposite of the effect observed at the univariable level where higher odds of borderline significance resulted.</p>
<table-wrap position="float" id="T4">
<label>Table 4</label>
<caption><p>Multivariable analysis, using a mixed-effect logistic regression model, of the sample-level, time-dependent and farm questionnaire factors (model 1) that influence the likelihood of non-O157 STEC presence in soil samples amended with untreated manure in certified organic farms.</p></caption> 
<table frame="box" rules="all">
<thead>
<tr style="background-color:&#x00023;919498;color:&#x00023;ffffff">
<th valign="top" align="left"><bold>Variable</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>Categories</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>OR</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>95% CI<xref ref-type="table-fn" rid="TN5"><sup>a</sup></xref></bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold><italic>p</italic>-value</bold></th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left" rowspan="2">Year</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">2017</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">ref</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="center">2018</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.05</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.02&#x02013;0.10</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x0003C;0.001</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left" rowspan="7">Sampling day</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">Day 0</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">ref</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="center">Day 30</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.97</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.45&#x02013;2.08</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.931</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="center">Day 60</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.74</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.32&#x02013;1.69</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.474</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="center">Day 90</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.51</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.21&#x02013;1.23</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.132</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="center">Day 120</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.16</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.55&#x02013;2.44</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.691</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="center">Day 150</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.55</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.75&#x02013;3.23</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.241</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="center">Day 180</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.80</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.85&#x02013;3.84</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.127</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left" rowspan="2">Field is used for livestock</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">No</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">ref</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="center">Yes</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">2.00</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.16&#x02013;3.46</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.013</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left" rowspan="2">Presence of animal feces on the field</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">No</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">ref</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="center">Yes</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">2.47</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.42&#x02013;4.30</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.001</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left" rowspan="5">Manure application season</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">Spring</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">ref</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="center">Summer</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">4.04</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">2.12&#x02013;7.68</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x0003C;0.001</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="center">Fall</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.14</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.04&#x02013;0.52</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.003</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="center">Winter</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.66</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.32&#x02013;1.37</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.839</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="center">Mixed</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.79</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.42&#x02013;1.48</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.377</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left" rowspan="2">Manure application done by disking, roto-tilling or spading</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">No</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">ref</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="center">Yes</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.46</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.21&#x02013;0.97</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.041</td>
</tr></tbody>
</table>
<table-wrap-foot>
<p>OR, odds ratio.</p>
<fn id="TN5"><label>a</label>
<p>95% CI, confidence interval for the odds ratio.</p></fn>
</table-wrap-foot>
</table-wrap></sec>
<sec>
<title>3.2.2. Multivariable models&#x02014;Model 2: Weather and soil composition variables</title>
<p>The multivariable analysis was conducted on 1,978 complete observations out of 2,150 in this model (92%). Four key sample variables were maintained in this model selection step: year, sampling day, concentration of generic <italic>E. coli</italic> in the soil, and soil moisture of samples. All four of these variables were forced into the model, based on previous literature. Another two variables from the sample and survey data were included in selection, but not forced into the model (state and soil type). In addition, one weather variable and one soil composition variable were included in the multivariate model 2 through the stepwise selection process. Year and sampling day had very similar results to those in the model from model 1 (<xref ref-type="table" rid="T4">Tables 4</xref>, <xref ref-type="table" rid="T5">5</xref>). However, day 60 post-manure application had significantly lower odds of a positive sample in this model compared to the reference (d0B, post manure application; <xref ref-type="table" rid="T5">Table 5</xref>). An increase in both the level of generic <italic>E. coli</italic> and soil moisture were associated with increased odds of a positive test (OR = 1.25 and 1.37 respectively, <italic>p</italic>-values = 0.011; <xref ref-type="table" rid="T5">Table 5</xref>).</p>
<table-wrap position="float" id="T5">
<label>Table 5</label>
<caption><p>Multivariable analysis, using a mixed-effect logistic regression model, of the weather and soil composition factors (model 2) that influence the likelihood of non-O157 STEC presence in soil samples amended with untreated manure in certified organic farms.</p></caption> 
<table frame="box" rules="all">
<thead>
<tr style="background-color:&#x00023;919498;color:&#x00023;ffffff">
<th valign="top" align="left"><bold>Variable</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>Category</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>OR</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>95% CI<xref ref-type="table-fn" rid="TN6"><sup>a</sup></xref></bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold><italic>p</italic>-value</bold></th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left" rowspan="2">Year</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">2017</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">ref</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="center">2018</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.07</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.04&#x02013;0.13</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x0003C;0.001</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left" rowspan="7">Sampling day</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">Day 0</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">ref</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="center">Day 30</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.97</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.50&#x02013;1.88</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.92</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="center">Day 60</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.41</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.18&#x02013;0.89</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.025</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="center">Day 90</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.64</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.29&#x02013;1.41</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.26</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="center">Day 120</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.74</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.91&#x02013;3.34</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.095</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="center">Day 150</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.96</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.95&#x02013;4.04</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.068</td>
</tr>
 <tr>
<td valign="top" align="center">Day 180</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">2.29</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.15&#x02013;4.56</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.019</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Generic <italic>E. coli</italic> log (MPN &#x0002B; 1/g dry weight soil)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.25</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.05&#x02013;1.49</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.011</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Sample soil moisture (10% increase)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.37</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.07&#x02013;1.74</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.011</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Snowfall (7 days)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.60</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.43&#x02013;0.82</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.002</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Sodium (Na)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x02013;</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.54</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.18&#x02013;2.01</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.002</td>
</tr></tbody>
</table>
<table-wrap-foot>
<p>Key variables from model 1 were forced into the model.</p>
<p>OR, odds ratio.</p>
<fn id="TN6">
<label>a</label>
<p>95% CI, confidence interval for the odds ratio.</p></fn>
</table-wrap-foot>
</table-wrap>
<p>The two other variables selected included the average daily snowfall for the seven days preceding sampling and soil sodium concentration. Increased snowfall led to decreased odds of a positive sample (OR = 0.60, <italic>p</italic>-value = 0.002), and increased sodium concentration was associated with increased odds of a positive sample (OR = 1.54, <italic>p</italic>-value = 0.002; <xref ref-type="table" rid="T5">Table 5</xref>). Despite so few variables being selected in the multivariable model for non-O157 STEC, nearly all soil composition variables but four (organic matter, CO<sub>2</sub>-C, copper, and iron concentration) had a significant association with non-O157 STEC at the univariable level, with pH, aluminum and boron concentrations having a negative association and the others having a positive association (<xref ref-type="table" rid="T3">Table 3</xref>).</p>
</sec>
<sec>
<title>3.2.3. Model performance&#x02014;ROC curves</title>
<p>Both multivariable models had similarly moderately high-performance metrics as a whole with the ROC curve analysis. The AUC was 0.83 for model 1 and 0.87 for model 2 (<xref ref-type="table" rid="T6">Table 6</xref>). Model specificity (SP) and sensitivity (SN) values varied from 0.70 to 0.87, respectively, with a higher SN in model 1 and a higher SP in model 2. In both cases, the negative predictive values (NPV) were very high, above 0.95, but the positive predictive values (PPV) were very low (0.18 in model 1 and 0.32 in model 2), due to the overall low prevalence of these pathogens in the soil samples.</p>
<table-wrap position="float" id="T6">
<label>Table 6</label>
<caption><p>Receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve analysis results for models 1 and 2.</p></caption> 
<table frame="box" rules="all">
<thead>
<tr style="background-color:&#x00023;919498;color:&#x00023;ffffff">
<th/>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>Model 1</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>Model 2</bold></th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Area under the curve (AUC)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.826</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.869</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Specificity (SP)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.723</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.866</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Sensitivity (SN)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.798</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.699</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Negative predictive value (NPV)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.979</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.969</td>
</tr> <tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Positive predictive value (PPV)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.183</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.324</td>
</tr></tbody>
</table>
</table-wrap></sec></sec></sec>
<sec id="s4">
<title>4. Discussion</title>
<p>This study is one of the first to simultaneously assess key farm management, environmental and weather factors associated with the presence of non-O157 STEC in organically managed soils amended with untreated manure on USDA-NOP certified organic farms in four regions in the USA. Several factors such as manure practices, presence of animal feces, previous land use, soil characteristics, and microbial population were associated with this pathogen. This study provides a broader foundational base of knowledge on the multitude of factors contributing to the persistence of both pathogenic non-O157 STEC and non-pathogenic in organically managed fields. Furthermore, it highlights the importance of multi-year, multi-site, and multi-regional studies to detect the significance of spatial and temporal effects. In particular, it shows that a single metric such as time interval between application of untreated manure and harvest of a crop may not be sufficient to reflect the actual food safety risks of using untreated BSAAO. Most of the published studies have been conducted in conventional agricultural settings. Multi-year and multi-site experimental trials have shown that spatio-temporal (site, season, soil moisture), agricultural (amendment type, management, depth), and weather factors (daily rainfall and average temperature) affected the duration of generic <italic>E. coli</italic> (gEc) and attenuated O157 <italic>E. coli</italic> (attO157) survival in soils amended with different soil amendments in the Mid-Atlantic USA (Sharma et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B60">2019</xref>). In observational studies conducted on New York State farms, farm management and weather factors (e.g., precipitation, temperature) were associated with the prevalence of <italic>Salmonella</italic> and <italic>Listeria monocytogenes</italic> in the produce production environment (Strawn et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B62">2013a</xref>,<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B63">b</xref>; Weller et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B73">2015</xref>).</p>
<sec>
<title>4.1. Manure and compost management practices</title>
<p>Application of manure can introduce foodborne pathogens into the soil and increases the risk of soil and fresh produce contamination (Harris et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B24">2013</xref>; Strawn et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B63">2013b</xref>; Park et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B42">2015</xref>). Management practices and environmental factors, such as the season of application, soil characteristics, and weather-related factors, can influence such presence of foodborne pathogens in the soil (Strawn et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B62">2013a</xref>,<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B63">b</xref>; Marine et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B35">2015</xref>; Pagadala et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B40">2015</xref>; Weller et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B73">2015</xref>); however, the NOP requirements are based on a single metric: time-interval criteria (USDA-NOP, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B69">2011</xref>). In the present study, foodborne pathogen presence in manure and soil (d0A, before application) and manure management-related factors (animal species source, age, storage, application manure rate, season, and method) were significantly associated with non-O157 STEC presence in the soil in the univariate model (<xref ref-type="table" rid="T1">Table 1</xref>). However, only manure application season (summer and fall) and application method were statistically significant in the final multivariable model (<xref ref-type="table" rid="T2">Table 2</xref>). Application of manure in the summer increased the odds of detecting non-O157 STEC in the soil, whereas fall application decreased the odds compared to spring application. Most of the farms apply manure during the fall, either because of state and local regulatory requirements (Midwest and East coast) (Pires et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B48">2018</xref>). Moreover, fall application allows for a greater time of manure breakdown, while allowing to be in compliance with NOP required time-interval of 90&#x02013;120 days between application and harvest of fresh produce (Pires et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B48">2018</xref>). These findings have particular importance because it requires defined planning for the planting and harvesting of crops covered by FSMA-PSR.</p>
<p>Seasonal variations in the presence of foodborne pathogens in soil and contamination of fresh produce have been described in several studies (Moriarty et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B36">2011</xref>; Marine et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B35">2015</xref>; Sharma et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B60">2019</xref>). In a Mid-Atlantic USA study, depending on site and initial soil moisture, season contributed to the survival variability of gEC and attO157 in soils amended with manure (Sharma et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B60">2019</xref>). Moreover, Strawn et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B63">2013b</xref>), reported that the application of manure in the prior year was associated with the risk of <italic>Salmonella</italic>-positive field samples (Strawn et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B63">2013b</xref>). However, the farms in the present study applied manure every year as a soil amendment, and the manure-related factors (livestock source, application rate, storage, etc.) were not significant in the final model.</p>
<p>Farms applying untreated manure followed by rototilling/disking were less likely to have a non-O157 STEC-positive soil sample. Other manure incorporation methods were less commonly used by organic farmers, and most of the farms would use a combination of two or more methods (Pires et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B48">2018</xref>). Entry et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B12">2010</xref>) reported that the survival of fecal indicators organisms (i.e., <italic>E. coli</italic> and <italic>Enterococcus</italic> sp.) in radish in rhizosphere soil and radish roots were influenced by tillage method and depth of incorporation of dairy manure into the soil (Entry et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B12">2010</xref>). Sharma et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B60">2019</xref>) described that the survival of attenuated pathogens (gEc and attO157) in manure-amended soils was affected by application method (i.e., surface-applied manure, tilled-in manure), and the effect depended on the inoculum level and type of amendment, with poultry manure supporting the longest survival. In contrast, Hutchison et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B27">2004</xref>) showed that the decline of three foodborne pathogens (i.e., <italic>E. coli</italic> O157:H7, <italic>Salmonella</italic> spp., and <italic>Campylobacter</italic> spp.) was significantly more rapid for livestock manure when it was left on the soil surface, potentially due to desiccation and UV effect (Hutchison et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B27">2004</xref>). Other environmental conditions such as ambient temperature affected the rate of die-off of <italic>Salmonella</italic> and <italic>E. coli</italic> in soil amended with bovine manure (Natvig et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B37">2002</xref>). Moreover, a recent meta-analysis study reported that temperature (soil and air combined) was the most significant factor affecting persistence of <italic>E. coli</italic> and <italic>Salmonella spp</italic>, in addition to the application methods, with manure incorporation into the soil with longer survival compared to surface application (Tran et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B66">2020</xref>). The inconsistent findings among studies may show that there are factors other than application method affecting the persistence and survival of pathogens, such as microbial competition, soil characteristics, and environmental factors.</p>
</sec>
<sec>
<title>4.2. Previous use of the field and presence of feces</title>
<p>Previous use of the field for livestock and the presence of animal feces on the field (as reported by the farmer) were associated with a higher risk of a non-O157 STEC-positive sample in the soil. Livestock can carry foodborne pathogens intermittently, and the direct fecal deposit of feces can be a source of the pathogens, which, depending on the pathogen, can survive in the soil for long periods (Alegbeleye et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1">2018</xref>). Adjacent land use for cow-calf rearing and the presence of feral pigs were implicated in the 2007 spinach outbreak due to <italic>E. coli</italic> O157:H7 in Central Coast California (Jay et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B29">2007</xref>). More recently, the 2018 multi-state <italic>E. coli</italic> O157:H7 outbreak associated with romaine lettuce and potential contamination of water due to proximity to a large animal feeding operation highlights the need to investigate the proximity of livestock operations to fresh produce fields (Waltenburg et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B70">2021</xref>). Berry et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B6">2015</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">2019</xref>) reported that 400 feet may not be adequate to limit the transmission of <italic>E. coli</italic> O157:H7 to produce crops close to a Concentrated Animal Feeding Operation (CAFO), and flies may have a role in leafy greens contamination (Berry et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B6">2015</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">2019</xref>). Actually, the prevalence of enterohemorrhagic <italic>E. coli</italic> was highest on fresh produce fields near areas suitable for livestock grazing on California Central Coast farms (Karp et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B31">2015</xref>).</p>
<p>Integration of crop-livestock has been increasing in different regions in the US. Despite many benefits from the presence of livestock, it increases the risk of cross-contamination of vegetable and nut crops (Salaheen et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B56">2015</xref>; Patterson et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B46">2018</xref>). A study conducted in sustainable farming systems in Tennessee and North Carolina suggested the potential transmission of antimicrobial-resistant non-O157 <italic>E. coli</italic> between animal feeding operations and fresh produce (Glaize et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B22">2020</xref>). In order to reduce contamination, it is important to assess the risk of contamination from the surrounding landscape and adjacent land use, such as proximity of livestock operations and potential wildlife intrusions. As part of the Leafy Greens STEC Action Plan, FDA is conducting a multi-year California longitudinal study to assess the pathogen dynamics in the environment, particularly landscape and adjacent land use effects on contamination (FDA, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B19">2022</xref>).</p>
<p>Presence of fecal material increased the odds of non-O157 STEC-positive samples in the soil. Although no differentiation in the analysis was made between fecal material from domestic animals and wildlife, the majority of those observations were linked to wildlife presence (research team observations). Wildlife such as birds, reptiles, feral pigs, and deer are well-known carriers of foodborne pathogens such as <italic>Salmonella, Campylobacter</italic>, and pathogenic <italic>E. coli</italic> (Jay et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B29">2007</xref>; Jay-Russell et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B30">2012</xref>; Gorski et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B23">2013</xref>; Alegbeleye et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1">2018</xref>; Navarro-Gonzalez et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B38">2020</xref>). Measuring the direct risks of wildlife intrusion and fresh produce production contamination is complex; however, several outbreaks have been linked to wildlife intrusion. Deer were identified as the causal source of an <italic>E. coli</italic> O157:H7 outbreak in strawberries in Oregon (Laidler et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B32">2013</xref>), and cranes were the environmental source for a campylobacterosis outbreak in peas (Gardner et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B21">2011</xref>). The FSMA-PSR includes language for prevention of contamination and risk mitigation; however, this is based on individual farm assessments, which may vary from grower to grower and may be landscape-specific (FDA, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">2015</xref>). Determining adequate no-harvest buffers around in-field fecal material is necessary in order to avoid the contamination of fresh produce by foodborne pathogens (<italic>Salmonella, E. coli</italic>, and <italic>E. coli</italic> O157:H7), which depends on fecal sources, irrigation, and splash events (Atwill et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B2">2015</xref>; Weller et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B72">2017</xref>; Topalcengiz et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B65">2020</xref>). An experimental study conducted in the Northeastern United States showed <italic>E. coli</italic> levels on lettuce and lettuce-feces distance were negatively correlated, when using a buffer smaller or equal to 1 meter during foliar regulation (Weller et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B72">2017</xref>). The current recommendations of the California Leafy Greens Market Agreement (LGMA) if there is evidence of fecal material presence is not to harvest any crop within a minimum of five-foot radius buffer distance from the contamination site (LGMA, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B33">2021</xref>). Therefore, evaluation is needed for the risk of wildlife intrusion, either by fecal material presence or crop destruction, and implementation of mitigation strategies, such as buffer zones and crop destruction.</p>
</sec>
<sec>
<title>4.3. Soil: Microbial population and soil characteristics</title>
<p>A multitude of biotic and abiotic factors affect the persistence of foodborne pathogens in soil such as soil type (e.g., clay, sandy), soil composition (e.g., organic matter, moisture, nutrients), soil temperature, and soil texture (Ingham et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B28">2005</xref>; Alegbeleye et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1">2018</xref>). The effect of these factors may be altered by agronomic practices and environmental factors, such as precipitation and ambient temperature (Entry et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B12">2010</xref>; Sharma et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B60">2019</xref>; Pang et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B41">2020</xref>). In the present study, the presence of generic <italic>E. coli</italic>, soil moisture, and sodium were associated with likelihood of non-O157 presence in the manure-amended soil. In model 2, generic <italic>E. coli</italic> was significantly associated with the presence of non-O157 in the soil. Given that non-O157 STEC would contribute to the generic <italic>E. coli</italic>, this association would be expected, however, we did not quantify the pathogen, and direct correlation was not assessed. Generic <italic>E. coli</italic> may be a good predictor of non-O157 STEC presence and a fecal contamination indicator. Because detection of STEC and <italic>E. coli</italic> O157:H7 in soil is infrequent, and due to the prohibitive use of pathogenic strains in privately operated farms in experimental studies, generic <italic>E. coli</italic> has been widely used as a proxy for fecal contamination in studies investigating the survival of pathogenic <italic>E. coli</italic> in soil amended with untreated animal manure in produce fields (Reed-Jones et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B52">2016</xref>; Sharma et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B59">2016</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B60">2019</xref>; Patterson et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B46">2018</xref>). A recent meta-analysis reported that temperature (soil and air combined) was the most prominent factor affecting the persistence of <italic>E. coli</italic> in manure-amended soils (Tran et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B66">2020</xref>). Moreover, Sharma et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B60">2019</xref>) reported that moisture content was the individual factor that accounts for the greatest variability in survival duration of generic <italic>E. coli</italic> in manure-amended soils in the Mid-Atlantic USA (Sharma et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B60">2019</xref>). In the current study, soil moisture was significantly associated with the presence of non-O157 STEC in the soil in the final multivariable model (model 2), and the odds of identifying a non-O157 STEC positive sample increased by 1.37 for each 10% in the soil moisture. This is in disagreement with previous studies (Park et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B43">2016</xref>; Sharma et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B59">2016</xref>). Lower initial soil moisture content (11.2 to 12.1%) supported longer durations of survival for certain seasons and sites in a Mid-Atlantic study (Sharma et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B60">2019</xref>). Soil moisture depends on precipitation, with irrigation being crop-specific and crop-maturity&#x02013;related. In the present study, we did not record irrigation events, which were adjusted according to the crop; instead, we used soil moisture at the sample level, accounting for between-sample variability which combines weather factors (precipitation and temperature) and irrigation, because it was measured at soil-sample level, as opposed to the one unique measurement at plot level by the moisture sensor (at field level measured by HOBO).</p>
</sec>
<sec>
<title>4.4. Weather and time-related factors</title>
<p>Interestingly, in this study, multiple weather-related factors (temperature, precipitation, wind, and snowfall) at different lag times were significantly associated with non-O157 STEC presence in the univariable analysis, but only snowfall was retained in the final multivariable analysis (model 2) with lower odds of a non-O157:H7 STEC positive soil sample. These findings contrast with other studies on the association between prevalence of foodborne pathogens in the fresh produce farm environment and weather factors. Temperature and precipitation influenced the likelihood of <italic>L. monocytogenes</italic> and <italic>Salmonella</italic> in fruit and vegetable farms from New York State (Strawn et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B62">2013a</xref>). Events such as rain and precipitation were associated with the presence of <italic>Listeria s</italic>pecies and <italic>L. monocytogenes</italic> in New York State farm environments (Weller et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B73">2015</xref>). In both models, there was lower likelihood of identifying a non-O157 STEC positive soil sample in the second year of the study, even accounting for other factors. This is in agreement with inoculation experimental studies, in which spatio-temporal factors (site, year, and season) influenced survival duration of generic <italic>E. coli</italic> and attenuated O157 <italic>E. coli</italic> more than weather effects (i.e., average daily temperature and rainfall), with the year being the greatest contributor to variability (Sharma et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B60">2019</xref>). This shows the importance of multi-year and multi-site studies over several growing seasons when investigating foodborne pathogen survival and persistence in soil amended with untreated manure.</p>
<p>Sampling day had very similar results in both models. There was a trend that the odds of a positive sample were lower up to 90 days post-manure application (compared to d0B), but not statistically significant, with the exception of sampling day 60 post-manure application. Interestingly, this trend changed direction after 120 days post-application, although not statistically significant. Part of the explanation could be due to the fact that the total number of samples per farm started to decrease after this time point and most of the farms had finished harvesting produce, only keeping the plots for the research sampling. The presence of vegetable decay and potential intrusion of wildlife could have contributed to this shift as well as to the potential introduction of foodborne pathogens. Certified organic farms follow USDA-NOP standards for wait-times (90/120 days) between the application of raw manure and crop harvest. The multivariable models show that the odds of finding a non-O157 STEC positive soil sample decreases with time. The time-interval as a mitigation strategy is based on the assumption that an appropriate amount of time has passed to reduce the risks of foodborne pathogen survival in the soil (Phan-Thien et al., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B47">2020</xref>). However, in the present study, several on-farm practices (i.e., manure management), soil factors, and weather contributed to the non-O157 STEC presence in the soil after the application of untreated manure. Understanding how these factors interact and what the key time-variant factors are is crucial to creating a customized risk-based assessment of the farm and implementing mitigation practices for the reduction of farm environment contamination of foodborne pathogens when untreated manure is used as a soil amendment.</p>
<p>There are some limitations in observational studies and predictive models to assess the risks factors associated with the likelihood of pathogen presence in soil amended with untreated manure. First, we were unable to directly link the presence of non-O157 STEC in the manure and soil, as it was not part of the current study to investigate genetic relatedness for the isolates; however, no association was found between the presence of pathogens in manure and soil in the final models. Another limitation is that the study was conducted on commercial farms without interventions, in which the exact contamination load in the manure was unknown (as opposed to inoculation trials). Information collected in observational studies with multiple variables is relevant as representing the natural stage and diversity of agricultural environments, which allows us to investigate simultaneously different predictors. Moreover, data collection suffered from multiple issues that could potentially introduce bias. First, there was a large number of missing data for a number of variables. Some of these were removed but we chose to retain others due to their biological relevance to the study objectives. This particularly affected multivariable model 1 potentially leading to a loss of some external validity for this model. Next, different data groups were sampled with different temporal resolutions (sampling day vs. once or twice a year) and spatial resolutions (farm vs. plot). This was partially accounted for by using random effects but could still lead to some bias, as well as, causing a loss of analytical power due to the need to repeat identical values of predictors with lower resolution to match the resolution of the outcome variable. Finally, some variables (notably soil composition) suffered from an unbalanced sampling frame with some farms having much less samples collected, leading to the need to aggregate values at the farm level with a loss of resolution for these variables.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="s5">
<title>5. Conclusions</title>
<p>This study provides science-based information to identify potential risk factors influencing foodborne pathogen persistence in pre-harvest produce production environments for soils amended with raw manure on organic production systems. Results from this study provide multi-regional baseline data relating to current NOP wait-time stipulations and thus contribute to building a framework for risk mitigation strategies to reduce pathogen persistence in NOP-certified farming systems using untreated manure that could contribute to contamination of fresh produce that is typically eaten raw. These factors may be directly related to the type of livestock production and agriculture practices, soil type, and weather that vary between regions and states.</p>
<p>Understanding the complexity and interactions of on-farm factors is crucial for development of customized risk assessments and tools to promote best practices for growers to use in managing the use of raw manure-based soil amendments.</p>
</sec>
<sec sec-type="data-availability" id="s6">
<title>Data availability statement</title>
<p>The raw data supporting the conclusions of this article will be made available by the authors, without undue reservation.</p>
</sec>
<sec sec-type="author-contributions" id="s7">
<title>Author contributions</title>
<p>AP, MJ-R, PM, PP, MH, JS, and BM-L conceived the project, designed the study, and wrote the grant. AP, PM, FH, PP, and MH coordinated the efforts between the CA, MN, MD, and ME teams. AP oversaw the day-to-day aspects of the project. AP, MJ-R, and PM oversaw the laboratory work. TR, AK, VH, and PA carried out the field work and sampling collection. TR, VH, and PA carried out the laboratory work. AP, JB, and BM-L developed the data analysis plan, which JB implemented. AP, TR, JB, and VH wrote the first draft of the manuscript. All authors contributed to manuscript revision, read, and approved the final manuscript.</p>
</sec>
</body>
<back>
<sec sec-type="funding-information" id="s8">
<title>Funding</title>
<p>This work was funded by the Organic Agriculture Research and Extension Initiative (OREI), National Institute of Food and Agriculture, U.S. Department of Agriculture, under award number 2016-51300-25724.</p>
</sec>
<ack><p>We acknowledge James Stover, Carolyn Chandler, Amanda Taylor, Zoe Scholar, Deonnie Huang, Rachel Hawkins, Amy Patamakomol, and Ka Man Woo for assistance in the laboratory and field work as well as Tracy Misiewicz from The Organic Center for assistance with farmer recruitment. We would like to thank all the participating farms.</p>
</ack>
<sec sec-type="COI-statement" id="conf1">
<title>Conflict of interest</title>
<p>JS and AS were employed by The Organic Center. The remaining authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.</p>
</sec>
<sec sec-type="disclaimer" id="s9">
<title>Publisher&#x00027;s note</title>
<p>All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article, or claim that may be made by its manufacturer, is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.</p>
</sec>
<sec sec-type="supplementary-material" id="s10">
<title>Supplementary material</title>
<p>The Supplementary Material for this article can be found online at: <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fsufs.2023.1125996/full#supplementary-material">https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fsufs.2023.1125996/full#supplementary-material</ext-link></p>
<supplementary-material xlink:href="Data_Sheet_1.pdf" id="SM1" mimetype="application/pdf" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"/>
</sec>
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