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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">Front. Oncol.</journal-id>
<journal-title>Frontiers in Oncology</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="pubmed">Front. Oncol.</abbrev-journal-title>
<issn pub-type="epub">2234-943X</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name>Frontiers Media S.A.</publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.3389/fonc.2025.1630663</article-id>
<article-categories>
<subj-group subj-group-type="heading">
<subject>Oncology</subject>
<subj-group>
<subject>Original Research</subject>
</subj-group>
</subj-group>
</article-categories>
<title-group>
<article-title>Construction and validation of immune prognosis model for lung adenocarcinoma based on machine learning</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author" equal-contrib="yes">
<name>
<surname>Zheng</surname>
<given-names>Jinyu</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="author-notes" rid="fn003">
<sup>&#x2020;</sup>
</xref>
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</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" equal-contrib="yes">
<name>
<surname>Xu</surname>
<given-names>Xiaoyi</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="author-notes" rid="fn003">
<sup>&#x2020;</sup>
</xref>
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</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Chen</surname>
<given-names>Xianguo</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
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</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Li</surname>
<given-names>Xianshuai</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
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</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Fu</surname>
<given-names>Miao</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
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</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Zheng</surname>
<given-names>Yiping</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<role content-type="https://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/formal-analysis/"/>
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<role content-type="https://credit.niso.org/contributor-roles/writing-review-editing/"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes">
<name>
<surname>Yang</surname>
<given-names>Jie</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="author-notes" rid="fn001">
<sup>*</sup>
</xref>
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<aff id="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
<institution>Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Affiliated Jinhua Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine</institution>, <addr-line>Jinhua</addr-line>,&#xa0;<country>China</country>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
<institution>Department of Clinical Laboratory, Affiliated Jinhua Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine</institution>, <addr-line>Jinhua</addr-line>,&#xa0;<country>China</country>
</aff>
<author-notes>
<fn fn-type="edited-by">
<p>Edited by: Oraianthi Fiste, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Greece</p>
</fn>
<fn fn-type="edited-by">
<p>Reviewed by: Jing Wang, Mass General Brigham, United States</p>
<p>Xianglong Kong, Third Affiliated Hospital of Harbin Medical University, China</p>
</fn>
<fn fn-type="corresp" id="fn001">
<p>*Correspondence: Jie Yang, <email xlink:href="mailto:yangjie9679@163.com">yangjie9679@163.com</email>
</p>
</fn>
<fn fn-type="equal" id="fn003">
<p>&#x2020;These authors have contributed equally to this work and share first authorship</p>
</fn>
</author-notes>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>22</day>
<month>07</month>
<year>2025</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="collection">
<year>2025</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>15</volume>
<elocation-id>1630663</elocation-id>
<history>
<date date-type="received">
<day>18</day>
<month>05</month>
<year>2025</year>
</date>
<date date-type="accepted">
<day>30</day>
<month>06</month>
<year>2025</year>
</date>
</history>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright &#xa9; 2025 Zheng, Xu, Chen, Li, Fu, Zheng and Yang</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2025</copyright-year>
<copyright-holder>Zheng, Xu, Chen, Li, Fu, Zheng and Yang</copyright-holder>
<license xlink:href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">
<p>This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.</p>
</license>
</permissions>
<abstract>
<sec>
<title>Introduction</title>
<p>Lung adenocarcinoma is a leading subtype of lung cancer with high rates of recurrence and metastasis. Identifying novel prognostic biomarkers is essential for improving patient outcomes.</p>
</sec>
<sec>
<title>Methods</title>
<p>Transcriptomic and clinicopathological data from TCGA (55 tumor samples and 38 normal samples) were used to construct a prognostic model, with 30 samples for internal validation. An external validation cohort (10 tumor-normal pairs) was obtained from the First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University. Differentially expressed genes and immune-related genes from the IMMPORT database were integrated using WGCNA. Three machine learning algorithms&#x2014;Random Forest, LASSO, and SVM-RFE&#x2014;were applied to identify key hub genes. A multivariate Cox regression model was built to predict survival. Model performance was assessed by time-dependent ROC and ANN models. Immune infiltration was analyzed using TIMER and ssGSEA, with consensus clustering performed to explore immune subtypes. Protein expression and biological functions of hub genes were validated using the HPA database and GSEA.</p>
</sec>
<sec>
<title>Results</title>
<p>A total of 1,822 DEGs were identified, with 68 immune-related genes significantly associated with LUAD prognosis. Four hub genes&#x2014;CBLC, GDF10, LTBP4, and FABP4&#x2014;were selected to construct the prognostic model, which showed strong predictive performance in both ROC and ANN analyses. Immune profiling revealed elevated CD4&#x207a; T cells, macrophages, and dendritic cells in LUAD. Consensus clustering identified two immune subtypes with distinct prognoses and immune landscapes.</p>
</sec>
<sec>
<title>Discussion</title>
<p>This study established a robust immune-related prognostic model for LUAD and identified key biomarkers associated with immune infiltration and survival. These findings offer valuable insights for personalized diagnosis and treatment strategies in LUAD.</p>
</sec>
</abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd>lung adenocarcinoma</kwd>
<kwd>immune-related markers</kwd>
<kwd>weighted gene co-expression network analysis</kwd>
<kwd>machine learning</kwd>
<kwd>prognostic model</kwd>
</kwd-group>
<counts>
<fig-count count="15"/>
<table-count count="2"/>
<equation-count count="0"/>
<ref-count count="51"/>
<page-count count="19"/>
<word-count count="6311"/>
</counts>
<custom-meta-wrap>
<custom-meta>
<meta-name>section-in-acceptance</meta-name>
<meta-value>Thoracic Oncology</meta-value>
</custom-meta>
</custom-meta-wrap>
</article-meta>
</front>
<body>
<sec id="s1" sec-type="intro">
<label>1</label>
<title>Introduction</title>
<p>Lung cancer remains the leading cause of cancer deaths (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1">1</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B2">2</xref>), with lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) accounting for about 40% of cases and a poor five-year survival rate of 12%-15% (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B3">3</xref>). Early diagnosis is critical, but current methods often fail to predict recurrence or metastasis effectively. Therefore, identifying reliable prognostic biomarkers is urgently needed (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B4">4</xref>).</p>
<p>Immune-related genes (IRGs) have shown strong prognostic value in several cancers, but their role in LUAD remains underexplored, limiting immunotherapy advances. Discovering new IRGs could refine LUAD treatment and enhance personalized care.</p>
<p>Weighted Gene Co-expression Network Analysis (WGCNA) is a powerful tool that identifies gene modules related to clinical traits, uncovering disease mechanisms and novel biomarkers (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">5</xref>&#x2013;<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B8">8</xref>). Widely applied across fields, it enhances understanding beyond single-gene analyses.</p>
<p>Meanwhile, machine learning, including algorithms like Random Forest (RF), Least absolute shrinkage and selection operato (LASSO), Support vector machine - recursive feature elimination (SVM-RFE), and Artificial Neural Networks (ANN), has revolutionized biomarker discovery and prognosis modeling, offering precise insights from complex data (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B9">9</xref>).</p>
<p>In this study, we combined WGCNA and machine learning to analyze TCGA LUAD data, identifying four key immune genes linked to overall survival. We constructed an immune prognostic model, explored their clinical correlations and immune infiltration mechanisms, providing a new basis for LUAD diagnosis, treatment, and prognosis improvement.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2" sec-type="materials|methods">
<label>2</label>
<title>Materials and methods</title>
<sec id="s2_1">
<label>2.1</label>
<title>Research process</title>
<p>The detailed research workflow is illustrated in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="f1">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;1</bold>
</xref>.</p>
<fig id="f1" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;1</label>
<caption>
<p>Research process.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fonc-15-1630663-g001.tif">
<alt-text content-type="machine-generated">Flowchart depicting the process of developing a prognostic model for lung adenocarcinoma. It starts with RNA-seq data from TCGA, proceeds through steps like differential expression analysis, selection of immune-related genes, application of univariate Cox analysis, and machine learning methods (RF, Lasso, SVM-RFE) to identify HUB genes. These are incorporated into the prognostic model. Verification involves clustering, tumor immune environment analysis, and GESA enrichment, with data validated against TCGA.</alt-text>
</graphic>
</fig>
</sec>
<sec id="s2_2">
<label>2.2</label>
<title>Data acquisition and processing</title>
<p>Gene expression data for LUAD were obtained from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database (<ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://portal.gdc.cancer.gov/">https://portal.gdc.cancer.gov/</ext-link>) using the R software package &#x201c;TCGAbiolinks&#x201d;.</p>
<p>Clinical data were directly acquired from TCGA, comprising 535 LUAD patients and 59 healthy controls. After rigorous quality control and preprocessing, which included removal of duplicate and incomplete records, we established our training set with 55 LUAD patients and 38 healthy controls. Concurrently, we constructed a TCGA validation set by randomly selecting 30 samples with complete grouping information and unbiased gene expression profiles, excluding those used in the training set.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2_3">
<label>2.3</label>
<title>Clinical sample acquisition</title>
<p>From January 2020 to April 2022, we prospectively collected medical records and tissue specimens from 10 patients undergoing surgical resection for primary LUAD at the First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University. These 10 LUAD specimens and their matched adjacent normal tissues (n = 10) were subsequently processed for gene sequencing analysis, serving as an independent external validation cohort. This study protocol was approved by the Institutional Review Board of the First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University (Approval No. YS2023-706).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2_4">
<label>2.4</label>
<title>RNA preparation and sequencing protocol</title>
<p>Paired-end sequencing (150 bp) was conducted on the Illumina NovaSeq platform (Illumina, California, USA) following standard protocols. Raw sequencing data were processed on the BMK Cloud bioinformatics platform (<ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://www.biocloud.net">https://www.biocloud.net</ext-link>) for downstream analysis.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2_5">
<label>2.5</label>
<title>Differential expression gene analysis</title>
<p>In the R software environment, the &#x201c;limma&#x201d; package was used to normalize and annotate probe data from a training set of LUAD patients (55 cases) and control population (38 cases) in public databases. Differential gene expression analysis was performed to identify differentially expressed genes (DEGs) between the lung cancer group and the control group. To visualize the expression patterns of these DEGs, hierarchical clustering was conducted using the heatmap package, while the <italic>ggplot2</italic> package was employed to generate volcano plots, providing an intuitive representation of gene expression differences.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2_6">
<label>2.6</label>
<title>Construction of gene co-expression networks</title>
<p>To elucidate the interactions among genes in LUAD, we employed WGCNA on expression profile data from the TCGA training set. Data integrity was assessed using the &#x201c;Good Samples Genes&#x201d; function to ensure robust downstream analysis.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2_7">
<label>2.7</label>
<title>Immune-related gene screening</title>
<p>Following the removal of duplicate entries, IRGs were retrieved from the Immunology Database and Analysis Portal (ImmPort, <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://www.immport.org">https://www.immport.org</ext-link>), yielding a total of 1,793 unique genes (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B10">10</xref>). These genes were subsequently cross-referenced with those identified through gene clustering analysis using Venn diagrams, enabling the precise selection of immune-related genes.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2_8">
<label>2.8</label>
<title>Cox analysis related to prognosis</title>
<p>To investigate the association between DEGs and patient overall survival, univariable Cox regression analysis was performed. Hazard ratios (HRs) were calculated to classify genes as either protective (HR &lt; 1) or risk factors (HR &gt; 1) for prognosis. For visual representation of the results, a volcano plot was generated to illustrate the statistical significance and risk ratios of DEGs. Additionally, a forest plot was employed to display detailed univariable Cox regression results, including HR values and their 95% confidence intervals (CIs).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2_9">
<label>2.9</label>
<title>GO enrichment analysis and KEGG pathway analysis</title>
<p>Gene Ontology (GO) term (<ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://www.geneontology.org/">https://www.geneontology.org/</ext-link>) and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) pathway (<ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://www.genome.jp/kegg/">https://www.genome.jp/kegg/</ext-link>) enrichment analyses were conducted using the R package &#x201c;cluster Profiler&#x201d; (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B11">11</xref>).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2_10">
<label>2.10</label>
<title>Machine learning</title>
<p>In this study, we adopted three distinct machine learning algorithms&#x2014;LASSO, SVM-RFE, and RF&#x2014;to screen out HUB genes from specific modules. By independently applying these three algorithms and intersecting their selected genes, we identified robust diagnostic biomarkers.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2_11">
<label>2.11</label>
<title>Gene expression difference analysis</title>
<p>To evaluate the differential expression of HUB genes between tumor and normal tissues, we generated box plots using the &#x201c;ggplot2&#x201d; package. Statistical significance was assessed using Student&#x2019;s t-tests. To ensure the robustness of our results, we further validated these findings in an independent external dataset.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2_12">
<label>2.12</label>
<title>Single-gene diagnostic ROC analysis</title>
<p>For the key genes identified during screening and validation, we utilized RNA-Seq data from LUAD, and adjacent non-tumor tissues obtained from the TCGA database. To assess the diagnostic potential of individual genes, we performed logistic regression analysis, treating gene expression levels as the independent variable and LUAD status (tumor vs. non-tumor) as the dependent variable. The diagnostic performance of each gene was quantified by calculating the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2_13">
<label>2.13</label>
<title>Gene expression correlation analysis</title>
<p>We employed Pearson correlation analysis to examine pairwise relationships between key genes, followed by visualization using heatmaps. This approach enables the identification of co-expression patterns and potential functional interactions among genes, providing insights into their regulatory networks.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2_14">
<label>2.14</label>
<title>Analysis of clinical and pathological features</title>
<p>To investigate the potential associations between gene expression levels and clinicopathological characteristics, we performed chi-square tests in this study.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2_15">
<label>2.15</label>
<title>Development of an immune-related prognostic model</title>
<p>We constructed a prognosis model for lung adenocarcinoma patients using univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis methods. First, univariate Cox regression analysis was used to identify individual variables significantly associated with patient survival time. Subsequently, multivariate Cox regression analysis further evaluated the independent effects of these variables on patient prognosis while considering other potential confounding factors. The risk score was calculated as a linear combination of gene expression levels and corresponding Cox regression coefficients. To facilitate clinical use, we created a nomogram using the &#x201c;rms&#x201d; package in R.</p>
<p>Model performance was assessed through: 1. Calibration curves to compare predicted vs. actual survival, validated on an independent dataset; 2. ROC curves via the &#x201c;pROC&#x201d; package, with AUC values measuring predictive accuracy across thresholds.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2_16">
<label>2.16</label>
<title>Construction of an artificial neural network diagnostic model</title>
<p>We used the &#x201c;neuralnet&#x201d; and &#x201c;neuralnettools&#x201d; packages in R to construct an ANN diagnostic model based on hub gene expression. The model architecture included an input layer (hub genes), two hidden layers (with 8 and 3 neurons, respectively), and an output layer representing &#x201c;normal&#x201d; and &#x201c;tumor&#x201d; classes, with softmax activation. To avoid overfitting, we applied 10-fold cross-validation and used gene weight information during training.</p>
<p>Model performance was assessed using accuracy, precision, recall, F1-score, and AUC in both the training and validation sets. ROC curves were also used to evaluate the discriminative ability of both individual hub genes and the ANN model across the TCGA training set, internal validation set, and external cohort. ROC analysis assessed diagnostic accuracy, with AUC values reflecting its classification ability.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2_17">
<label>2.17</label>
<title>Consensus clustering analysis</title>
<p>To identify potential molecular subgroups in LUAD samples, we applied the ConsensusClusterPlus algorithm (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B12">12</xref>), which determines the optimal number of clusters (k) by resampling the dataset and evaluating clustering stability.</p>
<p>To validate the robustness of the classification, we used two high-dimensional visualization techniques: UMAP and t-SNE. Additionally, Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was performed to assess the prognostic relevance of the identified subgroups by comparing survival curves across groups.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2_18">
<label>2.18</label>
<title>Analysis of immune cell infiltration</title>
<p>To assess immune infiltration patterns in LUAD, we leveraged the TIMER database (<ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://cistrome.shinyapps.io/timer">https://cistrome.shinyapps.io/timer</ext-link>) (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B13">13</xref>). Here, we utilized TIMER to examine correlations between the expression of four candidate genes (CBLC, GDF10, LTBP4, and FABP4) and Tumor immune infiltrating cells (TII Cs) populations, providing insights into their potential immunomodulatory roles in LUAD.</p>
<p>For a more comprehensive evaluation of the tumor immune microenvironment, we applied single-sample gene set enrichment analysis (ssGSEA) (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B14">14</xref>). Using the GSVA and GSEA Base R packages, we quantified immune infiltration levels in each LUAD sample based on 28 immune-related gene sets curated from the TISIDB (<ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="http://cis.hku.hk/TISIDB/">http://cis.hku.hk/TISIDB/</ext-link>) database.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2_19">
<label>2.19</label>
<title>Gene Set Enrichment Analysis</title>
<p>To investigate the transcriptomic characteristics of LUAD tumor samples and identify key biological pathways potentially involved in disease pathogenesis, we performed Gene Set Enrichment Analysis (GSEA). Pathways with a nominal P-value (NOM P) &lt; 0.05 and a false discovery rate (FDR Q-value) &lt; 0.05 were considered statistically significant.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2_20">
<label>2.20</label>
<title>Immunohistochemical staining</title>
<p>The Human Protein Atlas (HPA; <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://www.proteinatlas.org/">https://www.proteinatlas.org/</ext-link>) is a comprehensive online repository that maps the expression and localization of human proteins across various cells, tissues, and organs using diverse biological techniques. We analyzed the immunohistochemical (IHC) staining patterns of selected hub genes in normal lung tissue and lung cancer specimens using data and analytical tools available on the Human Protein Atlas platform.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2_21">
<label>2.21</label>
<title>Statistical analysis</title>
<p>Significant differences between groups were assessed using the log-rank test and univariate COX regression analysis, with P-values and HR with 95% CI calculated. Multivariate COX regression analysis and stratified analysis were performed to evaluate the independence of the risk score model. The performance of gene prognostic signatures was assessed using ROC curves, with the area under the curve (AUC) as the metric. Statistical significance was defined as P &lt; 0.05. All statistical analyses were conducted using R language version 4.3.0.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="s3" sec-type="results">
<label>3</label>
<title>Results</title>
<sec id="s3_1">
<label>3.1</label>
<title>Patient information</title>
<p>The original mRNA expression data for LUAD were obtained from TCGA database, comprising 535 LUAD tumor samples and 59 matched adjacent normal tissue samples. Following quality control and data filtering, our final study cohort consisted of 55 LUAD samples as the experimental group and 38 adjacent normal tissue samples as controls. The complete clinical characteristics of the 55 LUAD cases are summarized in <xref ref-type="table" rid="T1">
<bold>Table&#xa0;1</bold>
</xref>.</p>
<table-wrap id="T1" position="float">
<label>Table&#xa0;1</label>
<caption>
<p>Patient clinical characteristics table.</p>
</caption>
<table frame="hsides">
<thead>
<tr>
<th valign="middle" colspan="2" align="left">Category</th>
<th valign="middle" align="left">LUAD</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="top" rowspan="2" align="left">Gender</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">Male</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">33</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="left">Female</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">22</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" rowspan="4" align="left">T</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">T1</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">9</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="left">T2</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">26</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="left">T3</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">13</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="left">T4</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">7</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" rowspan="3" align="left">N</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">N0</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">33</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="left">N1</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">12</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="left">N2</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">10</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" rowspan="3" align="left">M</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">M0</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">37</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="left">M1</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">9</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="left">MX</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">9</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" rowspan="4" align="left">Stage</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">Stage I</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">14</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="left">Stage II</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">17</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="left">Stage III</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">15</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="left">Stage IV</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">9</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</table-wrap>
</sec>
<sec id="s3_2">
<label>3.2</label>
<title>Differential analysis</title>
<p>There is a significant difference between the tumor group and the control group. Differential analysis identified a total of 1822 DEGs (log2FC &gt; 2, P &lt; 0.001), including 719 downregulated genes and 1103 upregulated genes. These differences are intuitively displayed in the volcano plot (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f2">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;2A</bold>
</xref>) and heat map (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f2">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;2B</bold>
</xref>).</p>
<fig id="f2" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;2</label>
<caption>
<p>Volcano plot <bold>(A)</bold> and heat map <bold>(B)</bold> of differentially expressed immune genes. The horizontal axis of the heat map represents the samples: the blue area represents normal tissue, and the red area represents tumor tissue; the vertical axis represents genes. On the volcano map, the blue area represents downregulated differentially expressed genes, and the red area represents upregulated differentially expressed genes.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fonc-15-1630663-g002.tif">
<alt-text content-type="machine-generated">Volcano plot and heatmap displaying gene expression data. Panel A shows a volcano plot with points denoting genes, colored blue for downregulated, red for upregulated, and black for unchanged, plotted against log2 fold change and -log10 p-value. Panel B displays a heatmap with hierarchical clustering, showing groups N and T in cyan and pink, with gene expression levels in blue, white, and red, indicating different levels of expression intensity.</alt-text>
</graphic>
</fig>
</sec>
<sec id="s3_3">
<label>3.3</label>
<title>WGCNA</title>
<p>We adopted the WGCNA method to identify gene modules associated with LUAD. First, by evaluating the scale-free fit index and average connectivity under different soft thresholds, the optimal soft threshold was determined to be &#x3b2;=17 (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f3">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;3A</bold>
</xref>). Subsequently, sample clustering analysis was performed (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f3">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;3B</bold>
</xref>), a topological overlap matrix was constructed, and hierarchical clustering was applied to identify modules. By using the dynamic tree cut algorithm and merging modules with similarity greater than 0.75, a final module clustering map was obtained (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f3">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;3C</bold>
</xref>). Then, correlation analysis between modules and clinical features was conducted, and a heatmap was drawn to show the correlation coefficients and P-values (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f3">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;3D</bold>
</xref>). A total of 4 modules were identified, among which the blue module with the highest correlation with the tumor group (r=0.96, P=4e-50) was selected, containing 604 genes.</p>
<fig id="f3" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;3</label>
<caption>
<p>
<bold>(A)</bold> Scatter plot of fitting index and average connectivity: The left figure shows the relationship between soft threshold (power) and fitting index, and the right figure shows the relationship between soft threshold and average connectivity. To achieve a correlation of 0.9, &#x3b2;=17 is selected as the optimal soft threshold. <bold>(B)</bold> Sample clustering diagram and trait heat map: Show the results of sample clustering and grouping information of tumor and normal samples, with red representing the tumor group and white representing the normal group. <bold>(C)</bold> Module clustering tree diagram: Construct a scale-free network and topological overlap matrix (TOM), and perform hierarchical clustering based on the hclust function. Set the minimum number of module genes to 100, depth split=2, and module merging threshold to 0.25 (merge when similarity &gt; 0.75). <bold>(D)</bold> Module and clinical trait correlation heat map: The horizontal axis represents traits (tumor and control), and the vertical axis represents each module. The blue module with the highest correlation with the tumor group (Cor=0.96, P=4e-50) is selected for subsequent analysis.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fonc-15-1630663-g003.tif">
<alt-text content-type="machine-generated">Panel A shows two graphs: scale independence and mean connectivity as functions of soft threshold power. Panel B features a gene dendrogram with module colors identified by dynamic tree cuts. Panel C displays a sample dendrogram with a trait heatmap indicating normal versus tumor samples. Panel D presents a heatmap of module-trait relationships with correlation coefficients and significance values, contrasting modules with colors blue, brown, turquoise, and gray against normal and tumor traits.</alt-text>
</graphic>
</fig>
</sec>
<sec id="s3_4">
<label>3.4</label>
<title>Immune gene screening</title>
<p>A set of data consisting of 1793 IRGs was obtained from IMMPORT database (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B15">15</xref>). To further explore the immune genes associated with LUAD, we compared these immune genes with 604 genes screened by gene clustering methods. A total of 102 immune genes closely associated with LUAD were identified, and these findings were visualized in a Venn diagram (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f4">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;4A</bold>
</xref>).</p>
<fig id="f4" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;4</label>
<caption>
<p>
<bold>(A)</bold> The Venn diagram shows reliable biomarkers between WGCNA and IRGs. <bold>(B)</bold> Volcano plot of prognostic genes. Red indicates genes related to prognosis, and blue indicates genes without significant prognostic correlation. <bold>(C)</bold> Forest plot of 68 differentially expressed immune genes in a single-factor COX regression model. The brackets indicate the 95% confidence intervals. HR stands for hazard ratio, with HR &lt; 1 displayed in green, indicating a risk factor; HR &gt; 1 displayed in red, indicating a protective factor.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fonc-15-1630663-g004.tif">
<alt-text content-type="machine-generated">Venn diagram and data visualizations analyzing gene significance. Panel A shows a Venn diagram with 502 WGCNA-turquoise genes, 1691 IRGs, and 102 in common. Panel B is a scatter plot of z-scores versus negative log p-values, highlighting prognosis-related genes in red. Panel C lists genes with p-values and hazard ratios, linking them to a bar chart visualizing hazard ratios, where significant genes are marked in red.</alt-text>
</graphic>
</fig>
</sec>
<sec id="s3_5">
<label>3.5</label>
<title>Prognostic analysis</title>
<p>After a one-way regression analysis of 102 differential immune genes related to LUAD, the results showed that 68 differential immune genes were significantly correlated with the overall survival rate of LUAD patients (P &lt; 0.05) (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f4">
<bold>Figures&#xa0;4B,C</bold>
</xref>). These significantly related differential immune genes may affect tumor progression and patient survival prognosis by affecting the immune microenvironment of LUAD.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s3_6">
<label>3.6</label>
<title>Enrichment analysis</title>
<p>GO and KEGG analyses revealed the functional localization of 68 differentially expressed immune genes significantly associated with overall survival in lung adenocarcinoma. GO analysis indicated that these genes are mainly involved in signal pathway regulation (such as cell surface receptor signaling, G protein-coupled receptor pathway), cell proliferation, substance metabolism (such as protein phosphorylation), and immune inflammatory response (such as chemotaxis, MAPK cascade regulation) (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f5">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;5A</bold>
</xref>). KEGG analysis further found that these genes are enriched in immune-related pathways (such as PI3K-Akt and Jak-STAT pathways) and tumor proliferation-related pathways (such as Ras, Rap1, and MAPK signaling pathways) (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f5">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;5B</bold>
</xref>). These results help to better understand the role of differentially expressed immune genes in the occurrence and development of LUAD.</p>
<fig id="f5" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;5</label>
<caption>
<p>
<bold>(A)</bold> GO enrichment analysis. <bold>(B)</bold> KEGG major pathway enrichment analysis.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fonc-15-1630663-g005.tif">
<alt-text content-type="machine-generated">Two-part visualization. Panel A displays a dot plot with gene ratios and various biological processes, with color gradient indicating significance level. Panel B shows a circular diagram connecting KEGG pathways, with pathway names identified by colors and lines illustrating interactions.</alt-text>
</graphic>
</fig>
</sec>
<sec id="s3_7">
<label>3.7</label>
<title>Identification of diagnostic biomarkers</title>
<p>Machine learning identified 68 candidate genes. LASSO, SVM-RFE, and RF algorithms further narrowed them to 16, 18, and 16 genes, respectively. By overlapping the three groups, four key diagnostic biomarkers were finally identified (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f6">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;6</bold>
</xref>). The information related to 4 genes is shown in <xref ref-type="table" rid="T2">
<bold>Table&#xa0;2</bold>
</xref>.</p>
<fig id="f6" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;6</label>
<caption>
<p>Diagnostic biomarker screening based on machine learning. <bold>(A)</bold> Variable selection in the LASSO model (n=3). <bold>(B)</bold> SVF-RFE algorithm screens the best biomarkers (n=6). <bold>(C)</bold> Significant features selected by the random forest algorithm (n=7). <bold>(D)</bold> Venn diagram of overlapping genes in the three algorithms.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fonc-15-1630663-g006.tif">
<alt-text content-type="machine-generated">Panel A shows a LASSO regression plot with coefficients against log lambda and binomial deviance versus log of lambda. Panel B displays a graph of five-fold cross-validation accuracy and error against the number of features. Panel C presents a random forest error plot over 500 trees and lists gene importance, highlighting AGER and TEK. Panel D is a Venn diagram comparing selected features across Random Forest, SVM-RFE, and LASSO, with overlapping and unique features indicated.</alt-text>
</graphic>
</fig>
<table-wrap id="T2" position="float">
<label>Table&#xa0;2</label>
<caption>
<p>Overall information of the 4 genes constructing prognostic features.</p>
</caption>
<table frame="hsides">
<thead>
<tr>
<th valign="middle" align="left">Gene ID</th>
<th valign="middle" align="left">Gene symbol</th>
<th valign="middle" align="left">Gene type</th>
<th valign="middle" align="left">Chromosome</th>
<th valign="middle" align="left">Gene start point (bp)</th>
<th valign="middle" align="left">Gene end (bp)</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="left">ENSG00000170323</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">FABP4</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">Protein encoding</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">chr8</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">81478419</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">81483236</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="left">ENSG00000266524</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">GDF10</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">Protein encoding</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">chr10</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">47300197</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">47313577</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="left">ENSG00000090006</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">LTBP4</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">Protein encoding</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">chr19</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">40592883</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">40629820</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="left">ENSG00000142273</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">CBLC</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">Protein encoding</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">chr19</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">44777869</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">44800652</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</table-wrap>
</sec>
<sec id="s3_8">
<label>3.8</label>
<title>Diagnostic biomarker verification</title>
<p>In lung cancer research, by comparing the lung cancer samples in the TCGA cohort with the normal control group, it was found that the expression level of CBLC genes was significantly increased, while the expression levels of the three genes FABP4, GDF10, and LTBP4 were significantly decreased (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f7">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;7A</bold>
</xref>). This result was validated in an independent externally sequencing sample cohort (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f7">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;7B</bold>
</xref>), showing gene expression patterns consistent with the TCGA cohort, enhancing the reliability and universality of this finding.</p>
<fig id="f7" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;7</label>
<caption>
<p>Verification of identified biomarkers. <bold>(A)</bold> Box plot for differential expression analysis in TCGA cohort (n =55). <bold>(B)</bold> Box plot for differential expression analysis in independent external sequencing cohorts (n =10). <bold>(C)</bold> ROC curve for evaluating the diagnostic ability of the TCGA cohort. <bold>(D)</bold> ROC curve for evaluating the diagnostic ability of the independent external sequencing cohort. P &lt; 0.05 is considered statistically significant.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fonc-15-1630663-g007.tif">
<alt-text content-type="machine-generated">Grouped data visualizations consisting of two sets of box plots and two ROC curves.   A) Four box plots compare FABP4, GDF10, CBLC, and LTBP4 expressions between normal and tumor types with significant p-values.  B) Another set of box plots showing FABP4, GDF10, CBLC, and LTBP4 expressions between normal and tumor types with varying significance levels.  C) ROC curve with FABP4, GDF10, LTBP4, and CBLC having AUC values of 0.997, 0.980, 0.983, and 0.982 respectively.  D) ROC curve with CBLC, FABP4, GDF10, and LTBP4 showing AUC values of 0.800, 1.000, 1.000, and 1.000 respectively.</alt-text>
</graphic>
</fig>
<p>To evaluate the predictive utility of these genes as biomarkers of lung cancer, the study performed a ROC curve analysis. In the TCGA cohort, the AUC values &#x200b;&#x200b;of CBLC, FABP4, GDF10, and LTBP4 genes were 0.982, 0.997, 0.980, and 0.983, respectively (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f7">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;7C</bold>
</xref>), indicating that these genes have a high diagnostic efficiency in distinguishing lung cancer samples from normal control groups. In an independent external sequencing sample cohort, these genes also performed impressively, with the AUC value for CBLC at 0.800, while the AUC values for FABP4, GDF10, and LTBP4 all reached 1.000 (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f7">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;7D</bold>
</xref>), further validating their potential as diagnostic markers for lung cancer.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s3_9">
<label>3.9</label>
<title>Analysis of clinical staging and genetic correlation</title>
<p>To gain a deeper understanding the role of the four genes CBLC, FABP4, GDF10, and LTBP4, and their genetic interactions in LUAD, Pearson correlation coefficients were calculated. The calculation results (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f8">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;8A</bold>
</xref>) show that, except for CBLC, there is a good correlation between the three genes FABP4, GDF10, and LTBP4, indicating that they may play similar or synergistic roles in the development of LUAD.</p>
<fig id="f8" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;8</label>
<caption>
<p>
<bold>(A)</bold> Heat map of gene correlation analysis, blue and red indicate positive and negative correlation, respectively. <bold>(B&#x2013;E)</bold> Analysis of correlation between gene and clinical stage. * P &lt; 0.05, **P &lt; 0.01, *** P &lt; 0.001.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fonc-15-1630663-g008.tif">
<alt-text content-type="machine-generated">Panel A shows a correlation matrix with red and blue circles indicating positive and negative correlations, respectively, for CBLC, FABP4, GDF10, and LTBP4. Panels B to E display box plots comparing gene expression across different pathological stages. Panel B categorizes by pathologic_T stages T1 to T4, Panel C by pathologic_N stages N0 to N2, Panel D by cancer stages I to IV, and Panel E by pathologic_M stages M0 to M1. Statistical significance is marked with asterisks.</alt-text>
</graphic>
</fig>
<p>In addition, through statistical analysis of the TCGA dataset, the study further explored the relationship between these gene expression levels and the clinicopathological status of patients with LUAD (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f8">
<bold>Figures&#xa0;8B&#x2013;E</bold>
</xref>). The analysis results revealed, the high expression of CBLC in LUAD is positively correlated with poor clinical and pathological stages in patients, which means that the high expression of CBLC may be an indicator of poor progression and prognosis of lung adenocarcinoma. In contrast, high expression of FABP4, GDF10, and LTBP4 is associated with better clinical and pathological stages, indicating that the increased expression levels of these genes may be related to a better prognosis of LUAD.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s3_10">
<label>3.10</label>
<title>Establishment of immune prognostic model</title>
<p>A multi-factor COX regression analysis was used to construct an immune prognostic model for predicting the 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year survival rates of LUAD patients, which was visualized as a nomogram (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f9">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;9</bold>
</xref>). The analysis results of the calibration curve (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f10">
<bold>Figures&#xa0;10A, C</bold>
</xref>) showed that there is a good consistency between the model predictions and the ideal model. In addition, the AUCvalues of the model training set were 0.80 (95% CI: 0.91&#x2013;0.69) for 1-year survival rate, 0.85 (95% CI: 0.95&#x2013;0.76) for 3-year survival rate, and 0.83 (95% CI: 0.95&#x2013;0.70)for 5-year survival rate, respectively (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f10">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;10B</bold>
</xref>), while in the TCGA validation set, the AUC values were 0.76 (95% CI: 0.97&#x2013;0.55), 0.76 (95% CI: 0.88&#x2013;0.65), and 0.77 (95% CI: 0.93&#x2013;0.61), respectively (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f10">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;10D</bold>
</xref>).</p>
<fig id="f9" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;9</label>
<caption>
<p>A nomogram for predicting the 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year overall survival (OS) probabilities in LUAD patients.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fonc-15-1630663-g009.tif">
<alt-text content-type="machine-generated">Graphical representation of a nomogram predicting probabilities based on gene expression levels. It includes points for FABP4, GDF10, LTBP4, and CBLC. Total points correspond to a linear predictor and probabilities of 365, 1095, and 1825 days. Points indicated are 20.95 for FABP4, 50.17 for GDF10, 43.18 for LTBP4, 14.51 for CBLC, totaling 128.81 points.</alt-text>
</graphic>
</fig>
<fig id="f10" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;10</label>
<caption>
<p>
<bold>(A)</bold> Calibration plot of the line chart for the training group, used to predict the probability of OS at 1, 3, and 5 years. <bold>(B)</bold> Time-dependent ROC curve analysis of the immunological prognostic model line chart for the training group. <bold>(C)</bold> Calibration plot of the line chart for the TCGA validation group, used to predict the probability of OS at 1, 3, and 5 years. <bold>(D)</bold> Time-dependent ROC curve analysis of the immunological prognostic model line chart for the TCGA validation group.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fonc-15-1630663-g010.tif">
<alt-text content-type="machine-generated">Panel A and C show calibration plots comparing observed versus nomogram-predicted probabilities over 1, 3, and 5 years. Panel B and D display ROC curves with AUC values indicating predictive accuracy for 1, 3, and 5 years. Each panel evaluates model performance, highlighting prediction accuracy and sensitivity over time.</alt-text>
</graphic>
</fig>
</sec>
<sec id="s3_11">
<label>3.11</label>
<title>Validation of the immunoprognostic model</title>
<p>Furthermore, based on four HUB genes, an ANN model was developed (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f11">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;11A</bold>
</xref>) to enhance prediction accuracy. The TCGA dataset was used as the training set, while independent sequencing results served as the test set. The diagnostic performance of the ANN model was evaluated using ROC curves. In the training set, the model achieved an AUC of 0.929 (95% CI: 0.878&#x2013;0.980) (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f11">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;11B</bold>
</xref>), while in the TCGA validation set and independent external validation set, the AUC values were 0.876 (95% CI: 0.812&#x2013;0.940) and 0.906 (95% CI: 0.849&#x2013;0.963), respectively (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f11">
<bold>Figures&#xa0;11C, D</bold>
</xref>).</p>
<fig id="f11" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;11</label>
<caption>
<p>
<bold>(A)</bold> Schematic diagram of the ANN model. <bold>(B)</bold> ROC curve of the ANN model in the training set. <bold>(C)</bold> ROC curve of the ANN model in the TCGA validation set. <bold>(D)</bold> ROC curve of the ANN model in the independent external validation set.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fonc-15-1630663-g011.tif">
<alt-text content-type="machine-generated">Network diagram (A) illustrates interactions among FABP4, GDF10, LTBP4, and CBLC with pathways to normal tissues and tumor. ROC curves (B, C, D) show diagnostic performance with AUC values of 0.929, 0.876, and 0.906, indicating high sensitivity and specificity.</alt-text>
</graphic>
</fig>
</sec>
<sec id="s3_12">
<label>3.12</label>
<title>Immune prognostic model subtype analysis</title>
<p>When analyzing the gene expression profiles of 55 tumor samples in the TCGA training set cohort, we first performed cluster analysis using the consensus clustering method. The analysis determined that when k=2, the classification of the samples was both highly reliable and stable (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f12">
<bold>Figures&#xa0;12A&#x2013;C</bold>
</xref>). To further validate the differences between these two subgroups, two dimensionality reduction techniques, Uniform Manifold Approximation and Projection (UMAP) and t-Distributed Stochastic Neighbor Embedding (t-SNE), were employed. The results confirmed the significant differences between the two subgroups (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f12">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;12D</bold>
</xref>). Based on this classification, the samples were divided into two clusters: Cluster 1 (C1, N=29) and Cluster 2 (C2, N=26). Next, survival analysis was performed to explore the prognostic differences between these two subgroups. The analysis results showed (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f12">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;12E</bold>
</xref>) that there were significant survival differences between the two subgroups (P &lt; 0.001).</p>
<fig id="f12" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;12</label>
<caption>
<p>Unsupervised consensus clustering in the TCGA cohort. <bold>(A)</bold> Delta plot showing the change in the area under the consensus clustering CDF curve for k = 2 to 9. <bold>(B)</bold> Cumulative distribution function (CDF) for k = 2 to 9. <bold>(C)</bold> Heatmap displaying two DN sample clusters at k = 2. <bold>(D)</bold> Dimensionality reduction based on consensus clustering results, with UMAP on the left and t-SNE on the right. <bold>(E)</bold> Survival analysis of C1 and C2 subgroups.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fonc-15-1630663-g012.tif">
<alt-text content-type="machine-generated">Graphical representation of data analysis. (A) Line graph showing delta area changes for k-values from 2 to 9. (B) Consensus CDF plot with multiple colored lines for k-values. (C) Heatmap of the consensus matrix for k=2. (D) Scatter plots of UMAP and t-SNE clustering with red and blue clusters. (E) Kaplan-Meier survival curves comparing two groups with a log-rank test p-value under 0.001, alongside tables showing numbers at risk and instances of censoring over time.</alt-text>
</graphic>
</fig>
</sec>
<sec id="s3_13">
<label>3.13</label>
<title>Immune cell infiltration</title>
<p>This study utilized the ssGSEA algorithm to analyze the immune cell infiltration and immune gene correlation in LUAD samples and the control group. The results show (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f13">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;13B</bold>
</xref>): CBLC is negatively correlated with various immune cells (such as activated CD8 T cells, dendritic cells, regulatory T cells, etc.); FABP4 is positively correlated with various immune cells (such as memory T cells, macrophages, neutrophils, etc.); GDF10 is positively correlated with memory CD4 T cells, eosinophils, plasma cell-like dendritic cells, etc.; LTBP4 is positively correlated with memory T cells, eosinophils, and dendritic cells. Further analysis (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f13">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;13C</bold>
</xref>) found that CBLC is mainly negatively correlated with dendritic cells, macrophages, and CD8 T cells; FABP4 is positively correlated with dendritic cells, macrophages, and neutrophils; GDF10 and LTBP4 are mainly positively correlated with macrophages and CD4 T cells, and LTBP4 is also positively correlated with dendritic cells. These results indicate that different genes play different roles in immune cell infiltration, reflecting the complexity and diversity of the LUAD tumor microenvironment.</p>
<fig id="f13" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;13</label>
<caption>
<p>The association between biomarkers and immune infiltration in samples. <bold>(A)</bold> Heatmap of metabolic and immune-related gene sets from GSVA. <bold>(B, C)</bold> Heatmap of immune landscape from ssGSEA. <bold>(D, E)</bold> Box plots showing the correlation between immune subgroups and infiltrating immune cells. *P &lt; 0.05, **P &lt; 0.01, *** P &lt; 0.001.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fonc-15-1630663-g013.tif">
<alt-text content-type="machine-generated">Heatmap and box plots depict immune cell cluster analysis. Panel A shows a heatmap of cell types with color-coded clusters and sorting methods. Panel B presents a correlation matrix focusing on T helper cells. Panel C highlights a detailed correlation among specific immune cells and genes. Panel D displays box plots comparing scores of immune cell types in two groups, C1 and C2, with significance markers. Panel E shows scores of genes across the two groups, also with significance markers.</alt-text>
</graphic>
</fig>
<p>Further research compared the differences in 28 immune cell types between two immune subgroups and found significant differences and heterogeneity in immune cell infiltration between the high-risk and low-risk groups (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f13">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;13A</bold>
</xref>). Compared to the C2 group, the C1 group had significantly elevated levels of central memory CD4 T cells, follicular helper T cells, regulatory T cells, natural killer cells, myeloid-derived suppressor cells, plasmacytoid dendritic cells, and mast cells (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f13">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;13D</bold>
</xref>). In further studies, we found significant increases in CD4 T cells, CD8 T cells, macrophages, and dendritic cells in the C1 group (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f13">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;13E</bold>
</xref>).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s3_14">
<label>3.14</label>
<title>Immunohistochemical staining of HUB genes in normal and tumor tissues</title>
<p>According to the immune staining intensity comparisons provided by the HPA database (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f14">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;14</bold>
</xref>), the expression levels of FABP4, GDF10, and LTBP4 were higher in normal samples, while the expression level of CBLC was higher in lung adenocarcinoma samples. This result is consistent with previous studies on gene expression differences.</p>
<fig id="f14" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;14</label>
<caption>
<p>Representative immunohistochemical images of HUB genes in lung adenocarcinoma and normal lung tissues from the HPA database. <bold>(A)</bold> Comparison of CBLC; <bold>(B)</bold> Comparison of FABP4; <bold>(C)</bold> Comparison of GDF10; <bold>(D)</bold> Comparison of LTBP4. HPA, Human Protein Atlas. In each pair of images, the staining on the left side shows the gene expression in normal lung tissue, while the staining on the right side shows the gene expression in lung cancer samples.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fonc-15-1630663-g014.tif">
<alt-text content-type="machine-generated">Histological images labeled A through D, each showing tissue samples stained to highlight protein expression. A displays CBLC, B shows FABP4, C illustrates GDF10, and D exhibits LTBP4. Each panel contains detailed cellular structures with varying levels of staining intensity.</alt-text>
</graphic>
</fig>
</sec>
<sec id="s3_15">
<label>3.15</label>
<title>GESA</title>
<p>The GSEA analysis of four HUB genes in the progression of lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) indicates that these genes are mainly enriched in the following biological processes and pathways (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f15">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;15</bold>
</xref>): 1. Allogeneic rejection response 2. Asthma 3. Amino acid biosynthesis 4. DNA replication.</p>
<fig id="f15" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;15</label>
<caption>
<p>
<bold>(A&#x2013;D)</bold> represent the GSEA enrichment plots for CBLC, FABP4, GDF10, and LTBP4, respectively.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fonc-15-1630663-g015.tif">
<alt-text content-type="machine-generated">Four graphs labeled A, B, C, and D display pathway enrichment scores for genes CBLC, FABP4, GDF10, and LTBP4. Each graph features a score plotted against a ranked dataset, with colored lines representing different pathways. Below each graph, rank positions and residuals are displayed. The pathways include allograft rejection, asthma, autoimmune thyroid disease, and others, indicated by a legend.</alt-text>
</graphic>
</fig>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="s4" sec-type="discussion">
<label>4</label>
<title>Discussion</title>
<p>LUAD, a major subtype of NSCLC, remains a global health challenge due to its high incidence, mortality, and poor five-year survival rates despite advances in targeted therapies (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">16</xref>). Traditional prognostic assessments based on clinical and pathological features are limited by interindividual heterogeneity, highlighting the need for molecular biomarkers to guide diagnosis and treatment (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B17">17</xref>). With the rise of sequencing technologies, precision medicine has become central in LUAD management, promoting individualized therapeutic strategies. Increasing evidence suggests that tumor progression is influenced not only by genetic changes but also by immune system involvement (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B18">18</xref>). Immune cells play crucial roles in all stages of cancer development (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B19">19</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B20">20</xref>).</p>
<p>In LUAD, transcriptomic analysis of DEGs highlights enrichment in key biological processes such as signal transduction, cell proliferation, metabolism, immune responses, and inflammation. KEGG analysis further implicates immune-related pathways, notably PI3K/Akt and Jak-STAT, in LUAD progression. The PI3K/Akt axis promotes tumor survival and proliferation (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B21">21</xref>), while Jak-STAT facilitates immune evasion (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B22">22</xref>), with their interplay potentially enhancing tumor resilience. These findings underscore the functional relevance of DEGs and reveal therapeutic opportunities to simultaneously inhibit tumor growth and immune escape, improving LUAD outcomes.</p>
<p>WGCNA is a robust bioinformatics tool designed to identify functionally related gene modules associated with specific biological states or disease prognosis from large-scale gene expression datasets (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B23">23</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B24">24</xref>). In LUAD studies, WGCNA combined with immune-related genes identified four key hub genes: CBLC, FABP4, GDF10, and LTBP4, showing significant differential expression between tumor and normal samples. CBLC is significantly upregulated in LUAD, especially in patients with poor prognosis, suggesting that it may promote tumor invasion (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B25">25</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B26">26</xref>). Conversely, FABP4, GDF10, and LTBP4 are expressed at higher levels in normal tissue and patients with good prognosis, possibly having antitumor or immune protective effects. CBLC belongs to the CBL family and is an E3 ubiquitin ligase involved in EGFR ubiquitination and degradation, widely upregulated in various cancers, including NSCLC, hinting at its oncogenic potential (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B27">27</xref>&#x2013;<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B29">29</xref>). FABP4 regulates lipid signaling and metabolism, and its high expression in lung cancer is associated with poor prognosis (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B30">30</xref>&#x2013;<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B34">34</xref>)&#x200b;&#x200b;. LTBP4 is a member of the TGF-&#x3b2; pathway, which can both inhibit tumor growth and promote progression in tumors, and its downregulation is common in advanced LUAD (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B35">35</xref>&#x2013;<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B39">39</xref>). GDF10 is involved in antitumor and Epithelial-mesenchymal transition (EMT) (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B40">40</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B41">41</xref>)&#x200b;&#x200b;, and is often associated with methylation dysregulation in lung cancer, having potential as a therapeutic target (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B42">42</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B43">43</xref>). In summary, these four genes play an important role in the occurrence and development of LUAD and are expected to become potential therapeutic targets and prognostic biomarkers.</p>
<p>Nomograms are valuable tools for integrating clinical features to predict patient outcomes. Here, we constructed a nomogram combining clinical parameters and immune-related signatures to estimate Overall survival (OS) in LUAD patients. Calibration plots showed strong agreement between predicted and actual survival, confirming the model&#x2019;s reliability.</p>
<p>ROC analysis assessed predictive accuracy, with AUCs of 0.83 (training set) and 0.76 (TCGA validation set), indicating strong discrimination. An ANN model further improved prognostic precision, showing consistent performance across TCGA and external datasets, confirming the robustness of our immune-based LUAD prognostic framework.</p>
<p>Our findings further demonstrated a strong association between the identified hub genes and key biological processes, including immune response, inflammation, cell proliferation, and the regulation of cytokines and chemokines. Using ssGSEA, we characterized the immune cell infiltration landscape in the LUAD microenvironment, revealing significantly elevated levels of CD4+ T cells, CD8+ T cells, macrophages, and dendritic cells in LUAD tissues compared to normal controls. Notably, CD4+ and CD8+ T cells are well-established for their potent antitumor activity (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B44">44</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B45">45</xref>), while dendritic cells and macrophages play critical immunomodulatory roles across multiple cancer types (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B46">46</xref>&#x2013;<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B48">48</xref>). Correlation analyses indicated that most hub genes exhibited positive associations with these immune cell populations&#x2014;particularly CD4+ T cells, CD8+ T cells, macrophages, and dendritic cells&#x2014;with the notable exception of CBLC, which showed negative correlations. This observation aligns with the poor prognostic implications of elevated CBLC expression in LUAD, collectively underscoring the pivotal role of the immune microenvironment in LUAD pathogenesis and clinical outcomes (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B49">49</xref>&#x2013;<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B51">51</xref>). Our results further suggest that the four hub genes (CBLC, FABP4, GDF10, and LTBP4) may serve as key regulators of LUAD progression.</p>
<p>Despite providing valuable insights, this study has limitations. Large, multicenter clinical validations are needed, and reliance on TCGA RNA-seq data may limit generalizability. Moreover, the lack of functional validation calls for cautious interpretation of the bioinformatic results.</p>
<p>Although this study provides valuable insights, it has some limitations. First, to verify the accuracy of the predictive model, more large-scale evidence-based medical studies from different centers are needed. Second, our prognosis assessment model mainly relies on RNA sequencing data from the TCGA database, which may limit the model&#x2019;s general applicability. Finally, due to the lack of functional validation from clinical, cellular, and animal model aspects, the reliability of our data analysis results needs further confirmation.</p>
<p>This study demonstrates that the selected features are strongly associated with overall survival in LUAD patients, showing consistent prognostic value across training, test sets, and subgroups. Their correlation with clinicopathological parameters further supports their potential as reliable tools for risk stratification and personalized treatment.</p>
</sec>
</body>
<back>
<sec id="s5" sec-type="data-availability">
<title>Data availability statement</title>
<p>The original contributions presented in the study are included in the article/<xref ref-type="supplementary-material" rid="SM1">
<bold>Supplementary Material</bold>
</xref>, further inquiries can be directed to the corresponding author.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s6" sec-type="ethics-statement">
<title>Ethics statement</title>
<p>The studies involving humans were approved by Institutional Review Board of the First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University. The studies were conducted in accordance with the local legislation and institutional requirements. The participants provided their written informed consent to participate in this study.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s7" sec-type="author-contributions">
<title>Author contributions</title>
<p>JZ: Project administration, Writing &#x2013; original draft, Formal analysis, Writing &#x2013; review &amp; editing, Data curation, Supervision, Conceptualization, Software, Methodology, Validation. XX: Supervision, Software, Writing &#x2013; original draft, Writing &#x2013; review &amp; editing, Formal analysis, Data curation. MF: Methodology, Writing &#x2013; review &amp; editing, Conceptualization. JY: Funding acquisition, Project administration, Formal analysis, Writing &#x2013; review &amp; editing, Writing &#x2013; original draft, Data curation, Conceptualization, Methodology. XC: Methodology, Writing &#x2013; review &amp; editing. XL: Validation, Data curation, Writing &#x2013; review &amp; editing. YZ: Formal analysis, Visualization, Writing &#x2013; review &amp; editing.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s8" sec-type="funding-information">
<title>Funding</title>
<p>The author(s) declare that financial support was received for the research and/or publication of this article. This study was funded by the Jinhua Science and Technology Program (2023-4-072); Jinhua Science and Technology Program (2021-3-085); Jinhua Science and Technology Program (2022-4-088).</p>
</sec>
<ack>
<title>Acknowledgments</title>
<p>Thank you to the First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University for their assistance in this study.</p>
</ack>
<sec id="s9" sec-type="COI-statement">
<title>Conflict of interest</title>
<p>The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s10" sec-type="ai-statement">
<title>Generative AI statement</title>
<p>The author(s) declare that no Generative AI was used in the creation of this manuscript.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s11" sec-type="disclaimer">
<title>Publisher&#x2019;s note</title>
<p>All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article, or claim that may be made by its manufacturer, is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s12" sec-type="supplementary-material">
<title>Supplementary material</title>
<p>The Supplementary Material for this article can be found online at: <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fonc.2025.1630663/full#supplementary-material">https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fonc.2025.1630663/full#supplementary-material</ext-link>
</p>
<supplementary-material xlink:href="Table1.docx" id="SM1" mimetype="application/vnd.openxmlformats-officedocument.wordprocessingml.document"/>
<supplementary-material xlink:href="Table2.docx" id="SM2" mimetype="application/vnd.openxmlformats-officedocument.wordprocessingml.document"/>
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