AUTHOR=Qiu Yu , Chen Yan , Shen Haoyang , Yan Shuixin , Li Jiadi , Wu Weizhu 

TITLE=Triple-negative breast cancer survival prediction: population-based research using the SEER database and an external validation cohort

JOURNAL=Frontiers in Oncology

VOLUME=Volume 14 - 2024

YEAR=2024

URL=https://www.frontiersin.org/journals/oncology/articles/10.3389/fonc.2024.1388869

DOI=10.3389/fonc.2024.1388869

ISSN=2234-943X

ABSTRACT=Introduction: Triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) is linked to a poorer outlook, heightened aggressiveness relative to other breast cancer variants, and limited treatment choices. The absence of conventional treatment methods makes TNBC patients susceptible to metastasis. The objective of this research was to assess the clinical and pathological traits of TNBC patients, predict the influence of risk elements on their outlook, and create a prediction model to assist doctors in treating TNBC patients and enhancing their prognosis. Results: In the training cohort, variables such as age at diagnosis, marital status, grade, T stage, N stage, M stage, surgery, radiation, and chemotherapy were linked to OS and BCSS. For the nomogram, the C-indices stood at 0.762, 0.747, and 0.764 in forecasting OS across the training, internal validation, and external validation groups, respectively. Additionally, the C-index values for the training, internal validation, and external validation groups in BCSS prediction stood at 0.793, 0.755, and 0.811, in that order. The findings revealed that the calibration of our nomogram model was successful, and the time-variant ROC curves highlighted its effectiveness in clinical settings. Ultimately, the clinical DCA showcased the prospective clinical advantages of the suggested model. Furthermore, the online version was simple to use, and nomogram classification may enhance the differentiation of TNBC prognosis and distinguish risk groups more accurately.Conclusions: These nomograms are precise tools for assessing risk in patients with TNBC and forecasting survival. They can help doctors identify prognostic markers and create more effective