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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">Front. Mol. Biosci.</journal-id>
<journal-title>Frontiers in Molecular Biosciences</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="pubmed">Front. Mol. Biosci.</abbrev-journal-title>
<issn pub-type="epub">2296-889X</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name>Frontiers Media S.A.</publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">841209</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.3389/fmolb.2022.841209</article-id>
<article-categories>
<subj-group subj-group-type="heading">
<subject>Molecular Biosciences</subject>
<subj-group>
<subject>Original Research</subject>
</subj-group>
</subj-group>
</article-categories>
<title-group>
<article-title>Serological Phenotyping Analysis Uncovers a Unique Metabolomic Pattern Associated With Early Onset of Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus</article-title>
<alt-title alt-title-type="left-running-head">Zhu et al.</alt-title>
<alt-title alt-title-type="right-running-head">Metabolic Features of Early T2DM</alt-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Zhu</surname>
<given-names>Linmin</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="fn" rid="fn1">
<sup>&#x2020;</sup>
</xref>
<uri xlink:href="https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/1715060/overview"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Huang</surname>
<given-names>Qianyang</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="fn" rid="fn1">
<sup>&#x2020;</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Li</surname>
<given-names>Xiao</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5">
<sup>5</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="fn" rid="fn1">
<sup>&#x2020;</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Jin</surname>
<given-names>Bo</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="fn" rid="fn1">
<sup>&#x2020;</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Ding</surname>
<given-names>Yun</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Chou</surname>
<given-names>C. James</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
<uri xlink:href="https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/1703938/overview"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Su</surname>
<given-names>Kuo-Jung</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Zhang</surname>
<given-names>Yani</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Chen</surname>
<given-names>Xingguo</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Hwa</surname>
<given-names>Kuo Yuan</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Thyparambil</surname>
<given-names>Sheeno</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Liao</surname>
<given-names>Weili</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
<uri xlink:href="https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/1609451/overview"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Han</surname>
<given-names>Zhi</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
<uri xlink:href="https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/1700451/overview"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Mortensen</surname>
<given-names>Richard</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
<uri xlink:href="https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/1609875/overview"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Jin</surname>
<given-names>Yi</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Li</surname>
<given-names>Zhen</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff6">
<sup>6</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Schilling</surname>
<given-names>James</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5">
<sup>5</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Li</surname>
<given-names>Zhen</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5">
<sup>5</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Sylvester</surname>
<given-names>Karl G.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff7">
<sup>7</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes">
<name>
<surname>Sun</surname>
<given-names>Xuguo</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="corresp" rid="c001">&#x2a;</xref>
<uri xlink:href="https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/1615888/overview"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes">
<name>
<surname>Ling</surname>
<given-names>Xuefeng B.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff7">
<sup>7</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="corresp" rid="c001">&#x2a;</xref>
<uri xlink:href="https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/1607399/overview"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
<institution>School of Laboratory Medicine</institution>, <institution>Tianjin Medical University</institution>, <addr-line>Tianjin</addr-line>, <country>China</country>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
<institution>Tianjin Teda Hospital</institution>, <addr-line>Tianjin</addr-line>, <country>China</country>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
<institution>mProbe Inc</institution>, <addr-line>Mountain View</addr-line>, <addr-line>CA</addr-line>, <country>United States</country>
</aff>
<aff id="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
<institution>Tianjin Yunjian Medical Laboratory Institute Co., Ltd</institution>, <addr-line>Tianjin</addr-line>, <country>China</country>
</aff>
<aff id="aff5">
<sup>5</sup>
<institution>Binhai Industrial Technology Research Institute</institution>, <institution>Zhejiang University</institution>, <addr-line>Tianjin</addr-line>, <country>China</country>
</aff>
<aff id="aff6">
<sup>6</sup>
<institution>Shanghai Yunxiang Medical Technology Co., Ltd.</institution>, <addr-line>Shanghai</addr-line>, <country>China</country>
</aff>
<aff id="aff7">
<sup>7</sup>
<institution>Department of Surgery</institution>, <institution>Stanford University</institution>, <institution>School of Medicine</institution>, <addr-line>Stanford</addr-line>, <addr-line>CA</addr-line>, <country>United States</country>
</aff>
<author-notes>
<fn fn-type="edited-by">
<p>
<bold>Edited by:</bold> <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/122782/overview">Chi-Ming Wong</ext-link>, Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong SAR China</p>
</fn>
<fn fn-type="edited-by">
<p>
<bold>Reviewed by:</bold> <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/13070/overview">Masanori Arita</ext-link>, National Institute of Genetics, Japan</p>
<p>
<ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/970189/overview">Heino Martin Heyman</ext-link>, Metabolon, United States</p>
</fn>
<corresp id="c001">&#x2a;Correspondence: Xuguo Sun, <email>sunxuguo@tmu.edu.cn</email>; Xuefeng B. Ling, <email>bxling@stanford.edu</email>
</corresp>
<fn fn-type="equal" id="fn1">
<label>
<sup>&#x2020;</sup>
</label>
<p>These authors have contributed equally to this work and share first authorship</p>
</fn>
<fn fn-type="other">
<p>This article was submitted to Metabolomics, a section of the journal Frontiers in Molecular Biosciences</p>
</fn>
</author-notes>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>08</day>
<month>04</month>
<year>2022</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="collection">
<year>2022</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>9</volume>
<elocation-id>841209</elocation-id>
<history>
<date date-type="received">
<day>27</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2021</year>
</date>
<date date-type="accepted">
<day>14</day>
<month>03</month>
<year>2022</year>
</date>
</history>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright &#xa9; 2022 Zhu, Huang, Li, Jin, Ding, Chou, Su, Zhang, Chen, Hwa, Thyparambil, Liao, Han, Mortensen, Jin, Li, Schilling, Li, Sylvester, Sun and Ling.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2022</copyright-year>
<copyright-holder>Zhu, Huang, Li, Jin, Ding, Chou, Su, Zhang, Chen, Hwa, Thyparambil, Liao, Han, Mortensen, Jin, Li, Schilling, Li, Sylvester, Sun and Ling</copyright-holder>
<license xlink:href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">
<p>This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.</p>
</license>
</permissions>
<abstract>
<p>
<bold>Background:</bold> Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is a multifaceted disorder affecting epidemic proportion at global scope. Defective insulin secretion by pancreatic <italic>&#x3b2;</italic>-cells and the inability of insulin-sensitive tissues to respond effectively to insulin are the underlying biology of T2DM. However, circulating biomarkers indicative of early diabetic onset at the asymptomatic stage have not been well described. We hypothesized that global and targeted mass spectrometry (MS) based metabolomic discovery can identify novel serological metabolic biomarkers specifically associated with T2DM. We further hypothesized that these markers can have a unique pattern associated with latent or early asymptomatic stage, promising an effective liquid biopsy approach for population T2DM risk stratification and screening.</p>
<p>
<bold>Methods:</bold> Four independent cohorts were assembled for the study. The T2DM cohort included sera from 25 patients with T2DM and 25 healthy individuals for the biomarker discovery and sera from 15 patients with T2DM and 15 healthy controls for the testing. The Pre-T2DM cohort included sera from 76 with prediabetes and 62 healthy controls for the model training and sera from 35 patients with prediabetes and 27 healthy controls for the model testing. Both global and targeted (amino acid, acylcarnitine, and fatty acid) approaches were used to deep phenotype the serological metabolome by high performance liquid chromatography-high resolution mass spectrometry. Different machine learning approaches (Random Forest, XGBoost, and ElasticNet) were applied to model the unique T2DM/Pre-T2DM metabolic patterns and contrasted with their effectiness to differentiate T2DM/Pre-T2DM from controls.</p>
<p>
<bold>Results:</bold> The univariate analysis identified unique panel of metabolites (<italic>n</italic> &#x3d; 22) significantly associated with T2DM. Global metabolomics and subsequent structure determination led to the identification of 8 T2DM biomarkers while targeted LCMS profiling discovered 14 T2DM biomarkers. Our panel can effectively differentiate T2DM (ROC AUC &#x3d; 1.00) or Pre-T2DM (ROC AUC &#x3d; 0.84) from the controls in the respective testing cohort.</p>
<p>
<bold>Conclusion:</bold> Our serological metabolite panel can be utilized to identifiy asymptomatic population at risk of T2DM, which may provide utility in identifying population at risk at an early stage of diabetic development to allow for clinical intervention. This early detection would guide ehanced levels of care and accelerate development of clinical strategies to prevent T2DM.</p>
</abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd>metabolomics</kwd>
<kwd>type 2 diabetes mellitus</kwd>
<kwd>biomarker</kwd>
<kwd>early detection</kwd>
<kwd>serum</kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
</front>
<body>
<sec id="s1">
<title>1 Introduction</title>
<p>Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is a metabolic disease affecting a significant population worldwide. The prevalence of T2DM is expected to expand into half a billion people by the year 2030 (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B56">Whiting et al., 2011</xref>). It is manifested as chronic hyperglycemia caused by defective insulin secretion, progressive development of insulin resistance, and an inadequate compensatory insulin secretory response (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B48">Stumvoll et al., 2005</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B56">Whiting et al., 2011</xref>). In the presence of homeostatic imbalance of glucose, the overload of advanced glycation end products induces enhanced oxidative stress and systemic inflammation, which irreversibly causes functional loss of pancreatic islet <italic>&#x3b2;</italic> cells (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B12">DeFronzo, 1988</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B40">Rossetti et al., 1990</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B39">Robertson et al., 2003</xref>), peripheral insulin-targeting tissues (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B17">Garvey et al., 1987</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B41">Rossetti et al., 1987</xref>), micro- and macro-vascular cells (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">Brownlee, 2001</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B6">Brownlee, 2005</xref>), leading to pathological complications such as cardiomyopathy, nephropathy, retinopathy, neuropathy, and atherosclerosis.</p>
<p>The early detection of T2DM remains a significant challenge in clinics today. As the onset of T2DM is asymptomatic for a large portion of the high-risk population, there is usually a latent phase before the confirmative diagnosis of T2DM during which risk factors for diabetic micro- and macro-vascular complications are markedly elevated (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B20">Harris and Eastman, 2000</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B11">Colagiuri and Davies, 2009</xref>). The diagnostic markers, such as fasting plasma glucose (FPG), oral glucose tolerance (OGT), and glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c), are the current gold standards for diagnosing T2DM in patients with hyperglycemia but their ability to detect T2DM is limited by the long asymptomatic phase of early T2DM (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B33">Lindstr&#xf6;m and Tuomilehto, 2003</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">Carson et al., 2010</xref>). As T2DM is a chronic condition that progresses over a long period and interventions with a proven beneficial effect are available. Early detection of the disease onset might allow immediate interventions to delay or prevent the disease progression (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B11">Colagiuri and Davies, 2009</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B37">Pan et al., 1997</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B20">Harris and Eastman, 2000</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B28">Knowler et al., 2002</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B23">investigators, 2006</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B55">Tuomilehto et al., 2001</xref>). We previously defined and characterized the critical transition state prior to the type 2 diabetes disease (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B24">Jin et al., 2017</xref>). Our analysis of a US state patients&#x2019; pre-disease clinical history identified a dynamic driver network (DDN) and an associated critical transition state 6&#xa0;months prior to their first confirmative T2DM state. A meta-analysis reported that 3-months lifestyle interventions decreased the risk for diabetes from the end of intervention up to 10&#xa0;years later (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B19">He et al., 2012</xref>). Therefore, the identification of pre-diabetic biomarkers in the circulation of asymptomatic patients could be highly beneficial. as a promising liquid biopsy utility for population health management.</p>
<p>Metabolomics is an emerging technology that allows the comprehensive characterization of metabolites in biological systems. It presents as a most recent addition to the omics family and provides complementary information to genomics and proteomics. Owing to the recent advances in analytical instrumentation and bioinformatic approach, metabolomic analysis based on liquid chromatography-high resolution mass spectrometry (LC/HRMS) has given rise to the in-depth profiling of diverse metabolites in a given biological system with superior sensitivity, thus becoming a powerful platform to discover novel biomarkers in close association with disease phenotypes for clinical applications (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B57">Xia et al., 2013</xref>). As metabolites are downstream end-products of genetic and proteomic regulations, the characterization of metabolome allows the effects of a plethora of pathological factors from vastly different origins to be determined in a single measurement, enabling the comprehensive understanding of molecular mechanisms underlying the disease phenotypes (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B57">Xia et al., 2013</xref>).</p>
<p>In this study, we aim to characterize and identify unique metabolic signatures using both targeted and global LC/HRMS for the early T2DM detection.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2">
<title>2 Materials and Methods</title>
<sec id="s2-1">
<title>2.1 Study Population, Blood Collection, and Clinical Characteristic</title>
<p>Four independent cohorts were assembled for the study. The T2DM cohort included sera from 25 patients with T2DM and 25 healthy individuals for the biomarker discovery and sera from 15 patients with T2DM and 15 healthy controls for the testing. The Pre-T2DM cohort included sera from 76 patients with prediabetes and 62 healthy controls for the model training and sera from 35 patients with prediabetes and 27 healthy controls for the model testing. The study was approved by the Institutional Review Board of Teda Hospital and conducted in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki. All experiments were performed in compliance with the requirements of the Human Ethics Procedures and Guidelines of the local government. Written informed consent was obtained from all participants. Patients with T2DM were diagnosed based on the American Diabetes Association criteria using FPG (FPG less than 100&#xa0;mg/dL as non-diabetes, FPG between 100 and 125&#xa0;mg/dL as prediabetes, and FPG greater than 125&#xa0;mg/dL as diabetes). The serum samples were obtained by room temperature 30&#xa0;min clotting of collected blood followed by 5&#xa0;min centrifuge at 3,000&#xa0;r/min. All serum samples were aliquoted and stored at &#x2212;80&#x00B0;C prior to use. The clinical characteristics, including TC, TG, HDL-C, and LDL-C, were determined by Cobas C 311 blood analyzer from Roche (South San Francisco, CA, United States) by following the protocols from the manufacturer.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2-2">
<title>2.2 Global Metabolomics</title>
<sec id="s2-2-1">
<title>2.2.1 Metabolite Extraction</title>
<p>The metabolite extraction was conducted as previously described with slight modifications (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B36">Nemkov et al., 2017</xref>). Briefly, once thawed on ice, 10&#xa0;&#xb5;l of serum was extracted by 240&#xa0;&#xb5;l of prechilled methanol/acetonitrile/water (5:3:2, v/v) containing 3 stable isotope labeled amino acids as internal standards. Afterwards, the sample was vortexed rigorously for 30&#xa0;min and centrifuged at 12,000&#xa0;g for 10&#xa0;min at 4&#xb0;C. Thereafter, 200&#xa0;&#xb5;l of the supernatant was transferred into auto-sampler vial with micro-insert for LC/MS analysis.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2-2-2">
<title>2.2.2 Global Metabolomic Profiling</title>
<p>The global metabolomic profiling was performed as previously described with slight modifications (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B36">Nemkov et al., 2017</xref>). Briefly, 10&#xa0;&#xb5;l of serum extract was injected onto a Kinetex C18 column (1.7&#xa0;&#x3bc;m, 2.1 &#xd7; 150&#xa0;mm; Phenomenex, Torrance, CA) via a Vanquish UHPLC system (Thermo Fisher, San Jose, CA, United States). The mobile phase A was water with 0.1% formic acid, and mobile phase B was acetonitrile with 0.1% formic acid. The separation was carried out using isocratic elution with 5% B at a flow rate of 0.25&#xa0;ml/min for a total run time of 3&#xa0;min. The eluted metabolites were detected by a Q Exactive Plus mass spectrometer (Thermo Fisher) operated in full scan setup using both electrospray positive and negative modes, operating separately as two independent runs. The conditions of ionization source were set at 3.4&#xa0;kV for spray voltage, 15 for sheath gas, 5 for aux gas, 325&#xb0;C for capillary temperature, 55 for S-lens, and 250&#xb0;C for vaporizer temperature. The MS spectra were acquired with 2&#xa0;&#xb5;scans using an AGC target of 1e<sup>6</sup> and a resolution of 70,000 (FWHM at 200&#xa0;m/z) from 60 to 900&#xa0;m/z. The column oven was maintained at 25&#xb0;C throughout the analysis. Representative chromatograms, with either positive or negative mode, were shown in <xref ref-type="sec" rid="s11">Supplementary Figure S1</xref>.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2-2-3">
<title>2.2.3 Data Pre-Processing</title>
<p>Following the analysis, the raw files were first converted into mzXML files by msconvert software from ProteoWizard Tools (<ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="http://proteowizard.sourceforge.net/tools.shtml">http://proteowizard.sourceforge.net/tools.shtml</ext-link>). Subsequently, metabolic features with unique mass/charge ratio and retention time were extracted, aligned, quantified, grouped, and annotated using the XCMS online package (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B47">Smith et al., 2006</xref>). Afterwards, the obtained features underwent isotopic removal, blank subtraction, and missing value filtering and the QC-based signal drifting correction to normalize the undesired variations. The QC-based signal drifting correction based on locally estimated scatterplot smoothing was performed using StatTarget package (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B34">Luan et al., 2018</xref>).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2-2-4">
<title>2.2.4 Metabolite Identification and Metabolic Network and Pathway Analysis</title>
<p>Identification of significant metabolite was conducted by matching the experimental retention time and accurate mass of the metabolic features against an in-house library containing 600 &#x2b; authentic standards. The metabolic networking analysis and pathway enrichment analysis were implemented using the built-in function available on MetaboAnalyst 4.0 (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B10">Chong et al., 2019</xref>).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2-2-5">
<title>2.2.5 QA/QC</title>
<p>The raw signals of internal standards were used to evaluate the extraction efficiency and instrumentation performance. The LC-MS system was conditioned with 10 consecutive injections of QC samples prior to the analysis of unknown samples. The batchwise systematic and random variations were evaluated by repeatedly injecting the QC samples that were spaced evenly. Signal drifting along the batch was corrected using a QC-based approach (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B14">Dunn et al., 2011</xref>). Between batches, the system was maintained and calibrated to meet the requirements for technical specifications.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2-2-6">
<title>2.2.6 Metabolic Features</title>
<p>The data acquisitions were implemented in both electrospray ionization positive (ESI&#x2b;) and negative (ESI&#x2212;) modes to improve the coverage of serum metabolome. Following the data acquisition, the metabolic features were extracted, aligned, quantified, grouped, and annotated to generate a sample-feature intensity matrix with annotations for subsequent qualification. In total, 1958 and 2,892 metabolic features were detected in all serum samples from ESI&#x2b; and ESI&#x2212;, respectively. After isotope removal ([M&#x2b;1]/[M&#x2b;2] ions), blank subtracted (signal-to-noise &#x2265;5), and missing value filtered (&#x2264; 20% missing values in QC samples), 751 and 1,003 metabolic features were qualified for ESI&#x2b; and ESI&#x2212;, respectively. Upon normalized by QC-based signal drifting correction based on locally estimated scatterplot smoothing (LOESS), 323 and 295 metabolic features were reproducibly detected in QC replicates (coefficient variation &#x2264;30%) for ESI&#x2b; and ESI-, respectively, and thus selected for the downstream data interpretation.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2-2-7">
<title>2.2.7 Structure Determination</title>
<p>Metabolite biomarker identification was first performed as a Tier 1 or 2 identification with chemical standards according to MS1 (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B44">Schymanski et al., 2014</xref>). With tandem mass spectrometry (MS/MS, Thermo Q Exactive Plus) data of blood samples and manual review confirmation, the generated MS1/MS2 pairs were searched in the public databases: HMDB (<ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="http://www.hmdb.ca/">http://www.hmdb.ca/</ext-link>), MoNA (<ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="http://mona.fiehnlab.ucdavis.edu/">http://mona.fiehnlab.ucdavis.edu/</ext-link>), MassBank (<ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="http://www.massbank.jp/">http://www.massbank.jp/</ext-link>), METLIN (<ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://metlin.scripps.edu">https://metlin.scripps.edu</ext-link>), and NIST (<ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://www.nist.gov/">https://www.nist.gov/</ext-link>). The metabolites of interest were procured and subjected to a Tier 1 identification comparing the retention time, MS1 and MS2 patterns with the biomarker candidates, using the same LCMS/MS protocol with the blood sample analysis.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="s2-3">
<title>2.3 Targeted Metabolomics</title>
<sec id="s2-3-1">
<title>2.3.1 Metabolite Extraction</title>
<p>For MS/MS analysis, 10&#xa0;&#xb5;l of serum, 10&#xa0;&#xb5;l of internal standard solution (AA: amino acids; AC: acylcarnitines; FA: fatty acids), 90&#xa0;&#xb5;l of extraction buffer, and 200&#xa0;&#xb5;l hexane were added for extraction. The sample was vortexed vigorously for 1&#xa0;min and centrifuged at 12,000&#xa0;g for 5&#xa0;min 80&#xa0;&#xb5;l of lower layer was transferred into an auto-sampler vial for the analysis of amino acids and acylcarnitines. 180&#xa0;&#xb5;l of upper layer was transferred into another 1.5&#xa0;ml centrifugal tube and was dried under nitrogen stream. The residue was reconstituted with 100&#xa0;&#xb5;l of derivatization buffer and incubated at 95&#xb0;C for 15&#xa0;min. After derivatization, 100&#xa0;&#xb5;l of neutralization buffer was added into each sample. The neutralized sample was vortexed vigorously for 1&#xa0;min and centrifuged at 15,000&#xa0;g for 3&#xa0;min 100&#xa0;&#xb5;l of each reconstituted sample was transferred into an auto-sampler vial for the analysis of fatty acids.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2-3-2">
<title>2.3.2 Targeted Metabolomic Profiling</title>
<sec id="s2-3-2-1">
<title>2.3.2.1 AA and AC</title>
<p>2&#xa0;&#xb5;l of serum extract was injected into a Vanquish UHPLC system (Thermo Fisher, San Jose, CA, United States). The mobile phase A was water with 0.5% formic acid and10&#xa0;mM Ammonium Formate, mobile phase B was methanol with 0.5% formic acid and10&#xa0;mM Ammonium Formate. The separation was carried out using isocratic elution with 50% B at a flow rate of 0.10&#xa0;ml/min. The eluted metabolites were detected by an Altis mass spectrometer (Thermo Fisher) operated in SRM setup using electrospray positive mode. The conditions of ionization source were set at 3.5&#xa0;kV for spray voltage, 20 for sheath gas, 5 for aux gas, 300&#xb0;C for ion transfer tube temperature, 200&#xb0;C for vaporizer temperature. The MS spectra were acquired using an cycle time of 0.8 and Q1 resolution (FWHM) of 0.7, Q3 resolution (FWHM) of 0.7, CID gas of 1.5, chromatographic peak width of 12. The column oven was maintained at 30&#xb0;C throughout the analysis.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2-3-2-2">
<title>2.3.2.2 FA</title>
<p>5&#xa0;&#xb5;L of serum extract was injected into a Vanquish UHPLC system (Thermo Fisher, San Jose, CA, United States). The mobile phase was methanol with 0.5% formic acid and 10&#xa0;mM Ammonium Formate. The separation was carried out using isocratic elution with at a flow rate of 0.10&#xa0;ml/min. The eluted metabolites were detected by an Altis mass spectrometer (Thermo Fisher) operated in SRM setup using APCI positive mode. The conditions of ionization source were set at 6&#xa0;&#xb5;A for ion discharge current, 20 for sheath gas, 5 for aux gas, 300&#xb0;C for ion transfer tube temperature, 300&#xb0;C for vaporizer temperature. The MS spectra were acquired using an cycle time of 1 and Q1 resolution (FWHM) of 0.7, Q3 resolution (FWHM) of 0.7, CID gas of 1.5, chromatographic peak width of 12. The column oven was maintained at 30&#xb0;C throughout the analysis.</p>
<p>Multiple reaction monitoring (MRM) is the most common targeted method for quantitation of analytes by LC/MS/MS. In MRM, ions are selected to make it through the first quadrupole and into the collision cell. In this study, the transition from precursor/parent ion to product/daughter ions is referred to as an ion transition (<xref ref-type="sec" rid="s11">Supplementary Table S1</xref>).</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="s2-3-3">
<title>2.3.3 Statistical Analysis</title>
<p>The normalized intensity of metabolic features from various samples were log-transformed and auto scaled prior to the statistical analysis. Multivariate and univariate statistical analysis were performed using MetaboAnalyst 4.0 (<ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://www.metaboanalyst.ca/">https://www.metaboanalyst.ca/</ext-link>) (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B10">Chong et al., 2019</xref>). A global false discovery rate of 5% was applied to correct for the errors from multiple hypothesis testing. All statistical analyses were preformed using R packages (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B54">Tibshirani, 2006</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B53">Team, 2008</xref>). We have applied power analysis (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B54">Tibshirani, 2006</xref>) to determine the sample size for the testing of the T2DM and Pre-T2DM models (<xref ref-type="sec" rid="s11">Supplementary Figures 2A,B</xref>).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2-3-4">
<title>2.3.4 Machine Learning Approach Evaluation</title>
<p>The learning procedure was empirically compared against a number of standard multivariate algorithms, including Random Forest (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B4">Breiman, 2001</xref>), Elastic Net (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B58">Zou and Hastie, 2005</xref>) and XGboost (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B8">Chen and Guestrin, 2016</xref>). All algorithms were evaluated using the same two-layer leave-one-subject-out cross validation strategy.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="s3">
<title>3 Results</title>
<sec id="s3-1">
<title>3.1 Study Design</title>
<p>T2DM is a highly prevalent chronic metabolic disorder characterized by hyperglycemia. We implemented both the global and targeted mass spectrometry (MS)-based metabolomics to advance T2DM research. The time associated with traditional chromatographic methods for resolving metabolites prior to mass analysis has limited the potential to perform large-scale, highly powered metabolomics studies, and clinical applications. Therefore, we applied a 3-min method (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B36">Nemkov et al., 2017</xref>) for the rapid profiling of central metabolic pathways through UHPLC/MS. Moreover, we applied targeted metabolomics to profile amino acids, acylcarnitines, and fatty acids as several studies suggest a central role for oxidative stress in the pathogenesis of the disease. The short-, medium-, and long-chain acylcarnitines are a family of metabolites known to be dysregulated in T2DM (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B3">Bene et al., 2018</xref>), linked to peripheral insulin resistance. These acylcarnitines have an indispensable role in lipid metabolism via their involvement in the less severe disruptions in <italic>&#x3b2;</italic>-oxidation of long-chain fatty acids in T2DM. The dysregulated fatty acid metabolism along with tissue lipid accumulation is generally assumed to be associated in the development of insulin resistance and T2DM (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B45">Sears and Perry, 2015</xref>). Increased levels of total plasma free fatty acid and branched-chain amino acids (BCAAs) are associated with T2DM pathogenesis (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B46">Sj&#xf6;gren et al., 2021</xref>).</p>
<p>Shown in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F1">Figure 1</xref>, four independent cohorts were assembled for the study. The T2DM cohort included sera from 25 patients with T2DM and 25 healthy individuals for the biomarker discovery and sera from 15 patients with T2DM and 15 healthy controls for the testing. The Pre-T2DM cohort included sera from 76 patients with prediabetes and 62 healthy controls for the model training and sera from 35 patients with prediabetes and 27 healthy controls for the model testing.</p>
<fig id="F1" position="float">
<label>FIGURE 1</label>
<caption>
<p>Schematic study design.</p>
</caption>
<graphic xlink:href="fmolb-09-841209-g001.tif"/>
</fig>
</sec>
<sec id="s3-2">
<title>3.2 Sample Demographics and Clinical Characteristics</title>
<p>The sample demographics and clinical characteristics are summarized in <xref ref-type="table" rid="T1">Table 1</xref>. T2DM associated clinical characteristics were analyzed: fasting plasma glucose (FPG), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, triglyceride, and creatinine were found to be statistically significant (<italic>p</italic> &#x3c; 0.05) between case and control groups, whereas the other clinical characteristics, including low density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol, total cholesterol, and serum creatinine, were insignificant (<italic>p</italic> &#x3e; 0.05) between case and control groups among all studied cohorts.</p>
<table-wrap id="T1" position="float">
<label>TABLE 1</label>
<caption>
<p>Demographic table.</p>
</caption>
<table>
<thead valign="top">
<tr>
<th rowspan="3" align="left">Characteristic</th>
<th colspan="6" align="center">Diabetic Cohort</th>
<th colspan="6" align="center">Pre-diabetic Cohort</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th colspan="3" align="center">Training</th>
<th colspan="3" align="center">Testing</th>
<th colspan="3" align="center">Training</th>
<th colspan="3" align="center">Testing</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th align="center">Non-Diabetes (n &#x3d; 25)</th>
<th align="center">Diabetes (n &#x3d; 25)</th>
<th align="center">
<italic>p</italic> value</th>
<th align="center">Non-Diabetes (n &#x3d; 15)</th>
<th align="center">Diabetes (n &#x3d; 15)</th>
<th align="center">
<italic>p</italic> value</th>
<th align="center">Non-Diabetes (n &#x3d; 62)</th>
<th align="center">Pre-Diabetes (n &#x3d; 76)</th>
<th align="center">
<italic>p</italic> value</th>
<th align="center">Non-Diabetes (n &#x3d; 27)</th>
<th align="center">Pre-Diabetes (n &#x3d; 35)</th>
<th align="center">
<italic>p</italic> value</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody valign="top">
<tr>
<td align="left">Age (year)</td>
<td align="center">45.9 (1.1)</td>
<td align="center">52.2 (4.7)</td>
<td align="center">0.045</td>
<td align="center">69.5 (3.2)</td>
<td align="center">67.2 (5.9)</td>
<td align="center">0.192</td>
<td align="char" char="(">54.5 (5.2)</td>
<td align="char" char="(">53.8 (6.2)</td>
<td align="center">0.441</td>
<td align="char" char="(">54.3 (4.2)</td>
<td align="char" char="(">55.5 (6.8)</td>
<td align="center">0.404</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="13" align="left">Gender</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">&#x2003;Male</td>
<td align="center">10 (40.0%)</td>
<td align="center">15 (60.0%)</td>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="center">5 (33.3%)</td>
<td align="center">10 (66.7%)</td>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="char" char="(">29 (46.8)</td>
<td align="char" char="(">53 (69.7)</td>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="char" char="(">7 (25.9)</td>
<td align="char" char="(">21 (60)</td>
<td align="left"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">&#x2003;Female</td>
<td align="center">15 (60.0%)</td>
<td align="center">10 (40.0%)</td>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="center">10 (66.7%)</td>
<td align="center">5 (33.3%)</td>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="char" char="(">33 (53.2)</td>
<td align="char" char="(">23 (30.3)</td>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="char" char="(">20 (74.1)</td>
<td align="char" char="(">14 (40)</td>
<td align="left"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">&#x2003;FPG (mM)</td>
<td align="center">5.1 (1.8)</td>
<td align="center">8.9 (3.0)<sup>&#x2a;&#x2a;&#x2a;</sup>
</td>
<td align="center">7.1 &#xd7; 10<sup>&#x2212;10</sup>
</td>
<td align="center">5.1 (0.3)</td>
<td align="center">9.6 (2.2)<sup>&#x2a;&#x2a;&#x2a;</sup>
</td>
<td align="center">1.7 &#xd7; 10<sup>&#x2212;6</sup>
</td>
<td align="char" char="(">5.2 (0.3)</td>
<td align="char" char="(">6 (0.3)<sup>&#x2a;&#x2a;&#x2a;</sup>
</td>
<td align="center">3.7 &#xd7; 10<sup>&#x2212;5</sup>
</td>
<td align="char" char="(">5.2 (0.6)</td>
<td align="char" char="(">6.1 (0.4)<sup>&#x2a;&#x2a;&#x2a;</sup>
</td>
<td align="center">2.9 &#xd7; 10<sup>&#x2212;6</sup>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">&#x2003;TC (mM)</td>
<td align="center">4.9 (0.8)</td>
<td align="center">5.1 (1.2)</td>
<td align="center">0.72</td>
<td align="center">9.6 (2.2)</td>
<td align="center">4.7 (1.1)</td>
<td align="center">0.426</td>
<td align="char" char="(">4.7 (0.9)</td>
<td align="char" char="(">4.8 (1)</td>
<td align="center">0.319</td>
<td align="char" char="(">5.2 (0.9)</td>
<td align="char" char="(">4.9 (1)</td>
<td align="center">0.231</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">&#x2003;Creatinine (mM)</td>
<td align="center">65.9 (13.7)</td>
<td align="center">66.8 (19.9)</td>
<td align="center">0.98</td>
<td align="center">68.2 (11.0)</td>
<td align="center">68 (14.1)</td>
<td align="center">0.485</td>
<td align="char" char="(">68 (14.1)</td>
<td align="char" char="(">71.2 (13.5)</td>
<td align="center">0.175</td>
<td align="char" char="(">64.1 (10.8)</td>
<td align="char" char="(">69.9 (13.1)</td>
<td align="center">0.069</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">&#x2003;TG (mM)</td>
<td align="center">1.3 (0.6)</td>
<td align="center">2.3 (1.0)<sup>&#x2a;&#x2a;&#x2a;</sup>
</td>
<td align="center">4.5 &#xd7; 10<sup>&#x2212;4</sup>
</td>
<td align="center">1.4 (0.5)</td>
<td align="center">1.4 (0.6)</td>
<td align="center">8.4 &#xd7; 10<sup>&#x2212;5</sup>
</td>
<td align="char" char="(">1.4 (0.6)</td>
<td align="char" char="(">1.8 (1.1)<sup>&#x2a;&#x2a;</sup>
</td>
<td align="center">0.03</td>
<td align="char" char="(">1.3 (0.5)</td>
<td align="char" char="(">1.8 (0.9)<sup>&#x2a;&#x2a;</sup>
</td>
<td align="center">0.009</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">&#x2003;HDL-C (mM)</td>
<td align="center">1.4 (0.6)</td>
<td align="center">1.1 (0.4)</td>
<td align="center">0.049</td>
<td align="center">1.4 (0.3)</td>
<td align="center">1.3 (0.4)</td>
<td align="center">0.0236</td>
<td align="char" char="(">1.3 (0.3)</td>
<td align="char" char="(">1.2 (0.4)<sup>&#x2a;&#x2a;&#x2a;</sup>
</td>
<td align="center">0.249</td>
<td align="char" char="(">1.5 (0.4)</td>
<td align="char" char="(">1.1 (0.3)<sup>&#x2a;&#x2a;&#x2a;</sup>
</td>
<td align="center">2.8 &#xd7; 10<sup>&#x2212;4</sup>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">&#x2003;LDL-C (mM)</td>
<td align="center">3.2 (0.8)</td>
<td align="center">3.1 (1.1)</td>
<td align="center">0.791</td>
<td align="center">3.0 (0.7)</td>
<td align="center">3.0 (1.0)</td>
<td align="center">0.86</td>
<td align="char" char="(">3 (0.8)</td>
<td align="char" char="(">3 (1)</td>
<td align="center">0.93</td>
<td align="char" char="(">3.4 (0.9)</td>
<td align="char" char="(">3.2 (1)</td>
<td align="center">0.299</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table-wrap-foot>
<fn>
<p>All values are presented as mean (SD) except for gender where percentage is applied. The <italic>p</italic> values were determined by Mann-Whitney U test and classified into several categories based on following criteria by comparing against the control group: &#x2a;: <italic>p</italic> &#x3c; 0.05; &#x2a;&#x2a;: <italic>p</italic> &#x3c; 0.01; &#x2a;&#x2a;&#x2a;: <italic>p</italic> &#x3c; 0.001. FPG, fast plasma glucose; TC, total cholesterol; HDL-C, high density lipoprotein cholesterol; LDL-C, low density lipoprotein cholesterol; TG, triglycerides.</p>
</fn>
</table-wrap-foot>
</table-wrap>
</sec>
<sec id="s3-3">
<title>3.3 Identification of Metabolic Signature for T2DM</title>
<p>The data interpretation was performed in a stepwise manner using a suite of bioinformatic approaches. The Mann-Whitney U test with a 5% false discovery rate was used to determine the statistical significance of individual metabolic features by comparing the case to control groups from the T2DM training cohort. From the global metabolomic analysis, 12 validated features were putatively identified, with MS1 Tier 1 identification, by matching the retention times and accurate masses against an in-house library containing 600&#x2b; authentic standards. 8/12 were structurally determined (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="F2">Figure 2</xref>, with Tier 2 identification) were determined: hexose [M &#x2b; Na]<sup>&#x2b;</sup>, hexose [M-H]<sup>&#x2212;</sup>, 1,5-anhydroglucitol, feruloylquinic acid, galactitol, 2-ketobutyric acid, 3-methylglutaconic acid, and sucrose. From the targeted metabolomic analysis, 14 were identified: pyroglutamic acid, ornithine, hexose, valine, leucine/isoleucine, tyrosine, phenylalanine, tryptophan, C16-carnitine, C14-carnitine, C5DC-carnitine/C6OH-carnitine, C5OH-carnitine, tritriacontanoic acid (33:0) butyl ester, and dotriacontanoic acid (32:0) butyl ester. These 22 metabolites constitute the T2DM biomarker panel for the following analyses. The univariate statistics of the T2DM panel biomarkers are illustrated in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F3">Figure 3</xref>.</p>
<fig id="F2" position="float">
<label>FIGURE 2</label>
<caption>
<p>Structural identification of the biomarker compounds discovered from global metabolomics analysis: Hexose, 2-ketobutyric acid, 3-methylglutaconic acid, 1,5-anhydroglucitol, Galactitol, Sucrose, and Feruloylquinic acid. Measured MS/MS spectral fragmentation profiles (top, in black) matching procured chemical standards (bottom, in red) profiled with the same LCMS protocol.</p>
</caption>
<graphic xlink:href="fmolb-09-841209-g002.tif"/>
</fig>
<fig id="F3" position="float">
<label>FIGURE 3</label>
<caption>
<p>Volcano plot analysis of the biomarker compounds revealed in our discovery analysis with the T2DM training cohort. Filled circles representing compounds discovered from the targeted metabolomics analysis. <bold>(A)</bold>: Glucose ([M &#x2b; Na]&#x2b;), <bold>(B)</bold>: 2-Ketobutyric acid, <bold>(C)</bold>: 3-Methylglutaconic acid, <bold>(D)</bold>: 1,5-anhydroglucitol, <bold>(E)</bold>: Glucose ([M-H]-), <bold>(F)</bold>: Galactitol, <bold>(G)</bold>: Sucrose, <bold>(H)</bold>: Feruloylquinic acid. Open circles representing compounds discovered from the global metabolomics analysis, 1: Pyroglutamic acid, 2: Ornithine, 3: Hexose, 4: Valine, 5: Leucine/Isoleucine, 6: Tyrosine, 7: Phenylalanine, 8: Tryptophan, 9: C16-Carnitine, 10: C14-Carnitine, 11: C5DC-Carnitine/C6OH-Carnitine, 12: C5OH-Carnitine, 13: Tritriacontanoic Acid (33:0) Butyl Ester, and 14: Dotriacontanoic Acid (32:0) Butyl Ester.</p>
</caption>
<graphic xlink:href="fmolb-09-841209-g003.tif"/>
</fig>
<p>With unsupervised clustering, the heatmap revealed a distinct T2DM pattern of these 22 compound biomarkers (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="F4">Figure 4</xref>), separating T2DM subjects from the non-diabetic controls in both training and testing cohorts.</p>
<fig id="F4" position="float">
<label>FIGURE 4</label>
<caption>
<p>Unsupervised clustering (heatmap analysis) of 22 classifying metabolites (8 from global metabolomics and 14 from targeted metabolomics) reveals distinct metablic patterns separating diabetic, pre-diabetic samples from healthy controls. Abbreviations are as follows: 1,5-AG, 1,5-anhydroglucitol; FQA, Feruloylquinic acid; Glu, Glucose; 3-MGA, 3-methylglutaconic acid; 2-KBA, 2-ketobutyric acid and Suc, Sucrose.</p>
</caption>
<graphic xlink:href="fmolb-09-841209-g004.tif"/>
</fig>
</sec>
<sec id="s3-4">
<title>3.4 Exploration of the T2DM Metabolic Panel to Assess Prediabetic Patients in the General Population</title>
<p>We set to apply the T2DM panel to assess those who are at high risk of developing T2DM. Not as a pronounced pattern of the T2DM panel seen in the T2DM cohort, the pattern of these 22 compound biomarkers (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="F4">Figure 4</xref>) persists in the Pre-T2DM cohort, separating prediabetic subjects from the non-diabetic controls in both training and testing cohorts. We applied different machine learning algorithms, including Random Forest, XGBoost and Elastic Net, to these datasets for the T2DM assessment. For the T2DM dataset, we developed the model with the T2DM training set which achieved similar superb performance for the testing set: Random Forest, ROC AUC 0.98; XGBoost, ROC AUC 0.99; Elastic Net, ROC AUC 1.000 (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="F5">Figure 5A</xref>). For the Pre-T2DM cohort, we developed the model with the Pre-T2DM training set and found XGBoost performed the best for the Pre-T2DM testing set: Random Forest, ROC AUC 0.78; XGBoost, ROC AUC 0.84; Elastic Net, ROC AUC 0.78 (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="F5">Figure 5B</xref>). Therefore, XGBoost Pre-T2DM model would be the model for the analysis of the general population at risk for the T2DM at early prediabetic stage.</p>
<fig id="F5" position="float">
<label>FIGURE 5</label>
<caption>
<p>Development of T2DM and Pre-T2DM models with different machine learning approaches.</p>
</caption>
<graphic xlink:href="fmolb-09-841209-g005.tif"/>
</fig>
<p>Cross-sectional retrospective cohort analysis (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B31">Le et al., 2019</xref>) of the 2003&#x2013;2014 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) reported the prevalence of prediabetes (34.8%). Shown in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F6">Figure 6</xref>, the prevalence adjusted positive predictive values (PPV), a measure of clinical risk, is shown as a function of XGBoost Pre-T2DM model predictor score. Stratification of subjects with increasing predictor scores occurs as positive predictive values (PPV) from a background value (population rate of 34.8%) to relative risks of 1.5X (52.2%) and 2X (69.6%) (dashed lines) and higher. The distribution of Pre-T2DM predictor score values for subjects color-coded (green, controls; red, Pre-T2DM) are shown in box plots in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F6">Figure 6</xref>. Using the risk curve in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F6">Figure 6</xref>, Pre-T2DM subjects were identified as high or low risk according to a predictor score cutoff corresponding to 2X relative risk (PPV of 69.6%, predictor score &#x3d; 0.505).</p>
<fig id="F6" position="float">
<label>FIGURE 6</label>
<caption>
<p>Prevalence-corrected positive predictive values (PPV) was plotted as a function of Pre-T2DM predictor score for the Pre-T2DM cohort samples. Horizontal dashed lines identify the average population risk of 34.8%, and relative risks of 1.5X (52.2%) and 2X (69.6%). Vertical dashed lines identify corresponding predictor scores. The confidence interval about the PPV curve (gray shaded area) was estimated using all Pre-T2DM subjects. Confidence intervals about the PPV were calculated with the normal approximation of the error for binomial proportions. Box plots at the foot of the figure correspond to the distributions of predictor scores for prediabetic and control subjects. The PPV curve and the box plots share the same predictor score axis.</p>
</caption>
<graphic xlink:href="fmolb-09-841209-g006.tif"/>
</fig>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="s4">
<title>4 Discussion</title>
<p>Early detection of T2DM remains a challenge in current clinical practice. Diagnostic markers including FPG, OGT, and Hb1Ac are gold standards in identifying impaired glucose disposition and poor glycose management in patients with T2DM. However, a long latent phase of T2DM onset occurs asymptomatically before hyperglycemic symptoms are manifested (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B33">Lindstr&#xf6;m and Tuomilehto, 2003</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">Carson et al., 2010</xref>). The current screening test utilizes several risk factors such as metabolic syndrome and family history for early assessment of T2DM, which are short in both sensitivity and specificity. Moreover, T2DM is a chronic condition that progresses over a long time, and early detection of T2DM might allow immediate interventions such as dietary control, weight loss, and glucose-lowering medications for effective management of the disease (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B37">Pan et al., 1997</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B28">Knowler et al., 2002</xref>; investigators, 2006; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B55">Tuomilehto et al., 2001</xref>). Aiming for the early detection of general population at high risk of T2DM, we employed an omics-based approach integrating global metabolomic profiling and bioinformatic analysis to identify potential pre-diabetic biomarkers in blood. The efforts from the T2DM metabolic panel discovery, testing, and application to prediabetic cohorts to case find subjects at high risk for T2DM led to the identification of 22 metabolites in circulation with a unique metabolic pattern associated with T2DM risk. The multivariate analysis based on those metabolites indicated the presence of significantly dysregulated metabolism in patients with early progressing T2DM, which was differentiative between pre-diabetic and non-diabetic subjects. Longitudinal measurement of the metabolic panel thus might offer an opportunity for assessing diabetic onset before the development of relevant clinical signs and symptoms.</p>
<p>Our study also identified 22 metabolites that were significantly altered in T2DM, and models were developed in risk stratification to case find the general population at risk of the onset of prediabetes. Hexose represents monosaccharides with a six-carbon scaffold, and glucose is known to constitute over 95% of hexose content in humans. Sucrose is a nonreducing disaccharide composed of glucose and fructose linked via their anomeric carbons. Increased dietary intake of sucrose is considered a risk factor for diabetic pathogenesis, and a recent study has discovered that the dietary replacement of sucrose by fructose can significantly improve glucose disposition and insulin sensitivity (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B15">Evans et al., 2017</xref>). Our study revealed significantly increased circulating hexose and sucrose induced by defective insulin secretion and impaired insulin sensitivity in T2DM, consistent with disease pathophysiology (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B18">Gonzalez-Franquesa et al., 2016</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B27">Klein and Shearer, 2016</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B2">Arneth et al., 2019</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B49">Sun et al., 2019</xref>). 2&#x2013;KBA is produced by amino acid catabolism (threonine and methionine) and glutathione anabolism (cysteine formation pathway) and is metabolized to propionyl-CoA and carbon dioxide (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">Gall et al., 2010</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B50">Syed Ikmal et al., 2013</xref>). During the formation of 2&#x2013;KBA, 2-hydroxybutyrate (2&#x2013;HBA) is formed as a by-product, and mounting evidence has demonstrated that circulating 2-HBA is inversely correlated with insulin sensitivity and elevated 2-HBA is an early marker for both insulin resistance and impaired glucose regulation independent of sex, age, and BMI (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">Gall et al., 2010</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B50">Syed Ikmal et al., 2013</xref>). 2&#x2013;KBA can also be produced in the conversion of cystathionine to cysteine. In the presence of enhanced oxidative stress in T2DM, a metabolic shift occurs by stimulating homocysteine production from transmethylation of methionine to transsulfuration of homocysteine to produce cystathionine and cysteine for meeting the increased demand of glutathione, the primary cytoplasmic antioxidant (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B38">Ratnam et al., 2002</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B43">Schalinske, 2003</xref>). Cystathionine is a metabolic intermediate formed by the condensation of serine and homocysteine via the catalysis of cystathionine <italic>&#x3b2;</italic>-synthase (CBS) for homocysteine transsulfuration. Markedly elevated transcriptional expression and enzymatic activity of CBS were observed in a streptozotocin-induced diabetic rat model, and the administration of regulatory hormones such as insulin was able to revert the elevation of CBS to result in the attenuation of diabetic phenotype (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B38">Ratnam et al., 2002</xref>). Our study discovered the upregulation of 2-KBA and cystathionine in T2DM, further confirming their mechanistic roles in glycemic regulation. 1,5-AG is a metabolically inert polyol that competes with glucose for reabsorption in the kidneys and has been validated as a marker of short-term glycemic control. Its level is inversely correlated with glucose level in blood circulation, and reduced plasma 1,5-AG is a sensitive marker for increased urinary excretion of glucose (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B13">Dungan, 2008</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B26">Kim and Park, 2013</xref>). Several studies have proposed 1,5-AG as a short-term retrospective marker for monitoring glucose excursions (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B13">Dungan, 2008</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B26">Kim and Park, 2013</xref>). Our results revealed the downregulation of 1,5-AG in T2DM, again validating its utility as a biomarker for monitoring short-term glycemic management. FQA is a subclass of chlorogenic acids (CGAs) that are esters formed between caffeic and quinic acids. CGA represents an abundant group of plant polyphenols present in the human diet. <italic>In-vitro</italic> and <italic>in-vivo</italic> studies have indicated their potent anti-oxidative and anti-inflammation activities by prolonging the lifetime of the phenoxyl radical and upregulating the pro-inflammatory cytokines at transcriptional level (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B32">Liang and Kitts, 2016</xref>). Results from epidemiological studies have suggested that the consumption of beverages containing CGA is associated with reduced risks of developing chronic diseases such as T2DM (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B52">Tajik et al., 2017</xref>). Our results illustrated a significant upregulation of FQA in T2DM, suggesting a surging demand for antioxidants to counteract increased oxidative stress in diabetes. Our targeted analysis revealed branched chain amino acid (BCAA) valine and leucine/isoleucine, and aromatic amino acid (AAA) phenylalanine, tyrosine and tryptophan as biomarkers for T2DM. Elevated plasma concentrations of BCAA and AAA circulate up to 10 years prior to a diagnosis of T2DM, hence interest in their role as biomarkers for insulin resistance and T2DM (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B9">Cheng et al., 2012</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B42">Saleem et al., 2019</xref>). Our results of C16/C14/C5DC/C6OH/C5OH carnitine alterations in serum concentrations in both T2DM and prediabetic states are in line with previous findings about the role of mitochondrial function in the complex pathogenesis of type 2 diabetes. The mitochondrial function seems to play a significant role in the complex pathogenesis of insulin resistance (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B25">Kelley et al., 2002</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B30">Koves et al., 2008</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B35">Mihalik et al., 2010</xref>). Recent studies suggest that concentrations of various acylcarnitines are associated with insulin resistance and T2D (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1">Adams et al., 2009</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B22">Huffman et al., 2009</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B51">Tai et al., 2010</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B19">Ha et al., 2012</xref>) and incomplete fatty acid oxidation results in elevated acylcarnitine concentrations (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B29">Koves et al., 2005</xref>). In addition, our study also identified several novel markers, including 3-MGA, galactitol, ornithine, pyroglutamic acid, and dotria/tritriacontanoic acid (32:0/33:0) butyl esters with unknown implications in T2DM and further investigations on their pathological implications might uncover novel molecular mechanisms to provide more comprehensive understanding of T2DM pathophysiology and guide the development of new therapeutic with better efficacy for treating T2DM.</p>
<p>Despite the strengths of our study results, these findings need to be evaluated in the context of the study limitations. A prospective longitudinal high resolution sampling cohort assembly with the emerging T2DM as a clinical outcome can validate the clinical utility of our T2DM metabolic panel to allow the early detection of the disease onset for proactive intervention.</p>
<p>In conclusion, we presented a metabolomics-based discovery study with T2DM and prediabetic subjects. Using sera from four independent cohorts, a panel of metabolic biomarker candidates was discovered from T2DM cohort and tested with Pre-T2DM cohort to risk stratify the general population to case find the high risk subjects of emerging T2DM. Application of this predictor should enable early and sensitive detection of generation population at risk of T2DM. This early detection may improve clinical outcomes through increased clinical surveillance as well as accelerate the development of clinical interventions for T2DM prevention.</p>
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</body>
<back>
<sec id="s5">
<title>Data Availability Statement</title>
<p>The raw data supporting the conclusion of this article will be made available by the authors, without undue reservation.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s6">
<title>Ethics Statement</title>
<p>The studies involving human participants were reviewed and approved by Teda Hospital. The patients/participants provided their written informed consent to participate in this study.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s7">
<title>Author Contributions</title>
<p>XS, XL, and XC contributed to concept development and design. LZ, YZ, XL, ST, WL, YD, and ZL contributed to the acquisition of data. LZ, QH, BJ, ZL (16th author), ZL (18th author), RM, YJ, KS, and XC contributed to the analysis and interpretation of data. XS, XBL, QH, KH, and XC drafted and critically revised the manuscript. XBL, CJC, ZH, JS, and KS revised the manuscript. All the authors gave final approval of the version to be submitted and agreed to be accountable for all aspects of the work.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s8">
<title>Funding</title>
<p>This work was supported by grant from Science and Technology Commission of Shanghai Municipality (18401933401).</p>
</sec>
<sec sec-type="COI-statement" id="s9">
<title>Conflict of Interest</title>
<p>QH, YD, CJC, KJS, KH, ST, WL, ZH, RM, and JS were employed by the company mProbe Inc. XL, BJ, YZ, YJ, and ZL were employed by the company Tianjin Yunjian Medical Laboratory Institute Co., Ltd. ZL was employed by Shanghai Yunxiang Medical Technology Co., Ltd., Shanghai, China.</p>
<p>The remaining authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.</p>
</sec>
<sec sec-type="disclaimer" id="s10">
<title>Publisher&#x2019;s Note</title>
<p>All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article, or claim that may be made by its manufacturer, is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.</p>
</sec>
<ack>
<p>We thank our colleagues for their critical discussions.</p>
</ack>
<sec id="s11">
<title>Supplementary Material</title>
<p>The Supplementary Material for this article can be found online at: <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmolb.2022.841209/full#supplementary-material">https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmolb.2022.841209/full&#x23;supplementary-material</ext-link>
</p>
<supplementary-material xlink:href="DataSheet1.PDF" id="SM1" mimetype="application/PDF" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"/>
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