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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">Front. Mar. Sci.</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>Frontiers in Marine Science</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="pubmed">Front. Mar. Sci.</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub">2296-7745</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name>Frontiers Media S.A.</publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.3389/fmars.2025.1662755</article-id>
<article-version article-version-type="Version of Record" vocab="NISO-RP-8-2008"/>
<article-categories>
<subj-group subj-group-type="heading">
<subject>Original Research</subject>
</subj-group>
</article-categories>
<title-group>
<article-title>Between oceans: stepping-stone dispersal and the Pacific-to-Atlantic expansion of Chinook salmon across Patagonia</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name><surname>Riva-Rossi</surname><given-names>Carla</given-names></name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref>
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<contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes">
<name><surname>Ciancio</surname><given-names>Javier</given-names></name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2"><sup>2</sup></xref>
<xref ref-type="corresp" rid="c001"><sup>*</sup></xref>
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<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name><surname>Gomez-Uchida</surname><given-names>Daniel</given-names></name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3"><sup>3</sup></xref>
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<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name><surname>Pascual</surname><given-names>Miguel</given-names></name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4"><sup>4</sup></xref>
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<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name><surname>Clarke</surname><given-names>Rodrigo</given-names></name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5"><sup>5</sup></xref>
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<name><surname>Quiroga</surname><given-names>Pamela</given-names></name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref>
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<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name><surname>Di Prinzio</surname><given-names>Cecilia</given-names></name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff6"><sup>6</sup></xref>
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<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name><surname>L&#xe1;zari</surname><given-names>Carolina</given-names></name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff7"><sup>7</sup></xref>
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<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name><surname>Garza</surname><given-names>John Carlos</given-names></name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff8"><sup>8</sup></xref>
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<aff id="aff1"><label>1</label><institution>Instituto de Diversidad y Evoluci&#xf3;n Austral (IDEAus-CONICET), Chubut</institution>, <city>Puerto Madryn</city>,&#xa0;<country country="ar">Argentina</country></aff>
<aff id="aff2"><label>2</label><institution>Centro para el Estudio de Sistemas Marinos (CESIMAR-CONICET), Puerto</institution>, <city>Madryn</city>, <state>Chubut</state>,&#xa0;<country country="ar">Argentina</country></aff>
<aff id="aff3"><label>3</label><institution>Departamento de Zoolog&#xed;a, Facultad de Ciencias Naturales y Oceanogr&#xe1;ficas, Universidad de Concepci&#xf3;n &amp; N&#xfa;cleo Milenio INVASAL</institution>, <city>Concepci&#xf3;n</city>,&#xa0;<country country="cl">Chile</country></aff>
<aff id="aff4"><label>4</label><institution>Instituto Patag&#xf3;nico para el Estudio de los Ecosistemas Continentales (IPEEC-CONICET)</institution>, <city>Puerto Madryn</city>, <state>Chubut</state>,&#xa0;<country country="ar">Argentina</country></aff>
<aff id="aff5"><label>5</label><institution>Secretar&#xed;a de Estado de Pesca y Acuicultura</institution>, <city>Fundaci&#xf3;n Anfibia</city>, <state>Santa Cruz</state>,&#xa0;<country country="ar">Argentina</country></aff>
<aff id="aff6"><label>6</label><institution>Centro de Investigaci&#xf3;n Esquel de Monta&#xf1;a y Estepa Patag&#xf3;nica (CONICET-FCNyCS- LIESA-UNPSJB)</institution>, <city>Esquel</city>, <city>Chubut</city>, <country country="ar">Argentina</country></aff>
<aff id="aff7"><label>7</label><institution>Ocean Sciences Department, University of California Santa Cruz</institution>, <city>Santa Cruz</city>, <city>CA</city>, <country country="us">United States</country></aff>
<aff id="aff8"><label>8</label><institution>Southwest Fisheries Science Center, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration</institution>, <city>Santa Cruz</city>, <state>CA</state>,&#xa0;<country country="us">United States</country></aff>
<author-notes>
<corresp id="c001"><label>*</label>Correspondence: Javier Ciancio, <email xlink:href="mailto:ciancio@cenpat-conicet.gob.ar">ciancio@cenpat-conicet.gob.ar</email></corresp>
</author-notes>
<pub-date publication-format="electronic" date-type="pub" iso-8601-date="2025-10-08">
<day>08</day>
<month>10</month>
<year>2025</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date publication-format="electronic" date-type="collection">
<year>2025</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>12</volume>
<elocation-id>1662755</elocation-id>
<history>
<date date-type="received">
<day>09</day>
<month>07</month>
<year>2025</year>
</date>
<date date-type="accepted">
<day>15</day>
<month>09</month>
<year>2025</year>
</date>
</history>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright &#xa9; 2025 Riva-Rossi, Ciancio, Gomez-Uchida, Pascual, Clarke, Quiroga, Di Prinzio, L&#xe1;zari and Garza.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2025</copyright-year>
<copyright-holder>Riva-Rossi, Ciancio, Gomez-Uchida, Pascual, Clarke, Quiroga, Di Prinzio, L&#xe1;zari and Garza</copyright-holder>
<license>
<ali:license_ref start_date="2025-10-08">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ali:license_ref>
<license-p>This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY)</ext-link>. The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.</license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<abstract>
<sec>
<title>Introduction</title>
<p>Biological invasions are major drivers of biodiversity loss worldwide, and salmonid introductions are among the most transformative events in the Southern Hemisphere. The rapid, large-scale expansion of Chinook salmon (<italic>Oncorhynchus tshawytscha</italic>) across South America, driven by high migratory capacity, straying rates, and genetic adaptability, constitutes an unprecedented salmonid invasion. In Patagonia, this spread is accelerating, yet the mechanisms enabling long-distance marine dispersal, successful freshwater colonization, and secondary expansion remain poorly understood. A recently established population in the De las Vueltas River (DLVR), an upper tributary of the Santa Cruz River in Argentine Patagonia, was examined as a key node in the invasion network connecting Pacific-origin populations with new Atlantic Ocean basins.</p>
</sec>
<sec>
<title>Methods</title>
<p>Two high-resolution SNP panels (96 and 172 loci) were used to investigate the genetic origins and colonization dynamics of the DLVR population. Tissue samples from 70 fish collected in 2014&#x2013;2015 were genotyped and compared with North American source lineages to infer ancestral origins, and with Pacific and Atlantic naturalized populations to reconstruct recent invasion pathways. Discriminant analysis of principal components (DAPC), genetic mixture modeling, and Bayesian assignment implemented in the R package rubias were performed. Simulations were used to harmonize SNP data across panels and to improve assignment accuracy.</p>
</sec>
<sec>
<title>Results</title>
<p>The genetic roots of the DLVR population were traced to stocks from the Lower Columbia River fall and spring runs and the Willamette River spring run. Strong genetic affinities were detected with naturalized populations from Chile&#x2019;s Ays&#xe9;n Region, particularly the Cobarde and Vargas Rivers, while smaller contributions from Santa Cruz River populations were inferred. These findings indicate colonization through long-distance oceanic or trans-Andean dispersal, followed by secondary expansion within the Santa Cruz basin.</p>
</sec>
<sec>
<title>Discussion</title>
<p>The role of ocean connectivity, stepping-stone habitats, and leading-edge dispersal in enabling the rapid eastward spread of Chinook salmon is highlighted by these results. The Santa Cruz River basin is identified as a critical invasion hub, concentrating propagules from multiple lineages and promoting multi-step dispersal into new Atlantic Ocean basins. These insights emphasize the need to incorporate riverine connectivity and invasion hubs into management strategies to mitigate the ecological and evolutionary impacts of Chinook salmon in South America.</p>
</sec>
</abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd>invasive species</kwd>
<kwd>anadromous fish</kwd>
<kwd>ocean migration</kwd>
<kwd>leading-edge dispersal</kwd>
<kwd>river connectivity</kwd>
</kwd-group>
<funding-group>
<funding-statement>The authors declare financial support was received for the research and/or publication of this article. Funding for this research was provided by the Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Cient&#xed;ficas y T&#xe9;cnicas (CONICET) of Argentina to Carla Riva-Rossi, Javier Ciancio, Miguel Pascual, Pamela Quiroga, and Cecilia Di Prinzio and the Norwegian Research Council (grant no. 287438) to Javier Ciancio. Daniel G&#xf3;mez-Uchida received funding from Chile's government grants FONDECYT Regular 1191256 and N&#xfa;cleo Milenio INVASAL NCN2021-056.</funding-statement>
</funding-group>
<counts>
<fig-count count="2"/>
<table-count count="4"/>
<equation-count count="0"/>
<ref-count count="98"/>
<page-count count="14"/>
<word-count count="7073"/>
</counts>
<custom-meta-group>
<custom-meta>
<meta-name>section-in-acceptance</meta-name>
<meta-value>Marine Biology</meta-value>
</custom-meta>
</custom-meta-group>
</article-meta>
</front>
<body>
<sec id="s1" sec-type="intro">
<title>Introduction</title>
<p>Biological invasions have accelerated dramatically in the Anthropocene, driven by globalization, trade, and human-induced habitat changes (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B48">Hulme, 2009</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B75">Py&#x161;ek et&#xa0;al., 2008</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B87">Seebens et&#xa0;al., 2017</xref>). Species with high dispersal capacity are particularly prone to becoming invasive, as their ability to move across heterogeneous landscapes facilitates colonization of new habitats, rapid range expansion, and establishment of self-sustaining populations (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B17">Clobert et&#xa0;al., 2012</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B65">Nathan and Muller-Landau, 2000</xref>). Introductions may be intentional, aiming to provide economic, recreational, or cultural benefits (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B44">Gozlan, 2008</xref>), or unintentional, occurring as by-products of trade and human activity (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B48">Hulme, 2009</xref>). Regardless of the vector, highly dispersive species can profoundly alter ecosystems by competing with, preying upon, or transmitting diseases to native species, modifying habitats, and reshaping nutrient and energy flows (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B90">Simberloff et&#xa0;al., 2013</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B93">Vitule et&#xa0;al., 2009</xref>). These ecological effects often translate into socio-economic consequences, including impacts on fisheries, aquaculture, and ecosystem services (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B57">Lovell et&#xa0;al., 2006</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B72">Pejchar and Mooney, 2009</xref>). Monitoring dispersal and establishment of such species is therefore crucial for predicting and managing ecological and economic outcomes (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B29">Early et&#xa0;al., 2016</xref>).</p>
<p>Successful establishment after dispersal, however, is not guaranteed. It requires compatibility between species&#x2019; physiological tolerances and local environmental conditions, access to adequate prey, and the absence of strong biotic resistance (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B89">Shea and Chesson, 2002</xref>). In diadromous fishes, which alternate between freshwater and marine phases, dispersal outcomes are further constrained by the interplay between ocean currents, prey availability and movements, and the timing of reproductive migrations. These factors directly affect components of fitness such as growth, fecundity, and survival, thereby shaping long-term establishment potential (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B69">Pascual and Ciancio, 2007</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B60">McDowall, 2002</xref>).</p>
<p>Chinook salmon (<italic>Oncorhynchus tshawytscha</italic>), the largest Pacific salmon, has established self-sustaining populations well beyond its native range in western North America and northeastern Asia, now occurring in the Great Lakes, New Zealand, and multiple Pacific Ocean and Atlantic Ocean basins of southern South America (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B12">Busby et&#xa0;al., 1997</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B77">Quinn et&#xa0;al., 2001</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B20">Correa and Gross, 2008</xref>). Their invasion success is linked to complex life-history strategies: anadromous adults spawn in freshwater, juveniles migrate to the ocean for one or several years, and adults return to natal rivers with strong&#x2014;but not absolute&#x2014;homing fidelity, allowing occasional straying and colonization of new watersheds (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B76">Quinn, 2018</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B52">Keefer and Caudill, 2014</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B42">Gomez-Uchida et&#xa0;al., 2018</xref>). Variation in migration timing and reproductive strategies results in the expression of at least two main ecotypes: &#x201c;spring-run&#x201d;, which enter rivers immature and hold in freshwater before spawning, and &#x201c;fall-run,&#x201d; which migrate later and spawn soon after river entry. This phenotypic plasticity, combined with high fecundity and broad environmental tolerance, has important repercussions for dispersal dynamics, colonization success, and genetic structure across diverse non-native ecosystems (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B46">Healey, 1991</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B78">Quinn et al., 2006</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B8">Beckman, 2011</xref>).</p>
<p>In South America, this invasion represents a large-scale natural experiment combining human-mediated introductions and translocations with subsequent natural dispersal, where human actions altered both the scale and speed of expansion (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B20">Correa and Gross, 2008</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B97">Wilson et&#xa0;al., 2016</xref>). In southern Chile, salmon were introduced for aquaculture and recreational fishing, with sources from the Pacific Northwest and New Zealand (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B91">Soto et&#xa0;al., 2007</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B20">Correa and Gross, 2008</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B84">Riva-Rossi et&#xa0;al., 2012</xref>). Stockings in the 1970s&#x2013;1980s reinforced by net-pen escapes during the 1990s, gave rise to multiple donor-derived populations. Northern basins (Araucan&#xed;a, Los Lagos) retain higher diversity through admixture, while southern populations (Ays&#xe9;n, Magallanes, Atlantic drainages) are more homogeneous due to secondary dispersal and drift (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B84">Riva-Rossi et&#xa0;al., 2012</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B42">Gomez-Uchida et&#xa0;al., 2018</xref>).</p>
<p>Spread has also been shaped by oceanography. Fjords and archipelagos of southern Chile provided stepping-stone habitats (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B2">Antezana, 1999</xref>), while large-scale dispersal followed major currents: the Humboldt along the Pacific Ocean and the Brazil&#x2013;Malvinas confluence on the Atlantic Ocean (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B61">Montecino and Lange, 2009</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1">Acha et&#xa0;al., 2004</xref>). These systems both constrain and facilitate range expansion. Early models predicted establishment success would hinge on latitude: smolts north of ~40&#xb0;S would be entrained in the Humboldt Current, whereas those farther south could access the productive Patagonian Shelf (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B28">Donaldson and Joyner, 1984</xref>). Subsequent observations confirm this, as southern stocks now sustain fast-growing, highly fecund populations often exceeding native performance (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B14">Ciancio et&#xa0;al., 2005</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B21">Correa and Moran, 2017</xref>). This outcome illustrates how oceanography, dispersal, and life-history traits interact to determine invasion trajectories in diadromous fishes.</p>
<p>Over the past four decades, Chinook salmon has colonized rivers between 32&#xb0; and 52&#xb0;S along both Pacific and Atlantic slopes. Consequently, their current distribution far exceeds early predictions: the species now occupies at least 48 basins, with reproduction confirmed in more than half, ranging from the Imperial River (39&#xb0;S) to the Lapataia River (55&#xb0;S), and extending even to coastal lagoons in Uruguay and Brazil (32&#xb0;S) (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B36">Figueroa-Mu&#xf1;oz et&#xa0;al., 2023</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B25">Di Prinzio et&#xa0;al., 2024</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B43">Gon&#xe7;alvez Gowert et&#xa0;al., 2025</xref>). While supporting local economies through aquaculture, recreational, and artisanal fisheries (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B70">Pascual et&#xa0;al., 2009</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B38">Garc&#xed;a de Leaniz et&#xa0;al., 2010</xref>), Chinook salmon also impacts native freshwater fishes and ecosystems by altering nutrient fluxes, trophic interactions, and contaminant dynamics (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B92">Vargas et&#xa0;al., 2010</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B3">Arismendi et&#xa0;al., 2014</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B35">Figueroa-Mu&#xf1;oz et&#xa0;al., 2021</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B34">2022</xref>). This rapid expansion reflects the combined effects of propagule pressure, genetic diversity, oceanographic transport, and life-history plasticity. Ocean connectivity thus acts both as a dispersal vector and a structuring force for genetic variation. On the other hand, high fecundity, flexible migration and spawning strategies, broad thermal tolerance, abundant spawning habitats, and low competition or predation have also collectively facilitated rapid niche shifts and successful establishment across Patagonia (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B77">Quinn et&#xa0;al., 2001</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B68">Pascual et&#xa0;al., 2002</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B20">Correa and Gross, 2008</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B15">Ciancio et&#xa0;al., 2015</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B42">Gomez-Uchida et&#xa0;al., 2018</xref>).</p>
<p>The Santa Cruz River, a major Atlantic-draining system, provides a prime setting to explore these processes. In this basin, spawning Chinook salmon were first detected in the early 1980s in the Caterina River, an upper tributary located 500&#xa0;km upstream from the river mouth (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B14">Ciancio et&#xa0;al., 2005</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">Becker et&#xa0;al., 2007</xref>). Subsequent reports in the De las Vueltas River, another upper-basin tributary, suggest ongoing expansion through either local straying or long-distance colonization (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B15">Ciancio et&#xa0;al., 2015</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B42">Gomez-Uchida et&#xa0;al., 2018</xref>). Understanding the genetic origin, diversity, and dispersal dynamics of these populations may provide insights into how ocean currents, fitness consequences, and human-mediated introductions interact to shape the dispersal, colonization, and establishment of diadromous invaders in the Southern Hemisphere.</p>
<p>The specific objectives of this study were to determine the genetic relationships between the De las Vueltas River (DLVR) population and other naturalized and aquaculture stocks across South America, assess the role of multiple source populations in maintaining genetic diversity, and reconstruct colonization pathways. The hypothesis of this study were: 1) the DLVR population originated from contiguous populations within the Santa Cruz basin (e.g., Santa Cruz and Caterina rivers), rather than from an independent colonization event; 2) colonization occurred primarily via short-distance intra-basin dispersal, not through long-distance oceanic dispersal from Pacific sources; and 3) consequently, its genetic diversity is limited by founder effects rather than enhanced by admixture from multiple, genetically diverse sources. These questions were addressed by comparing the genetic composition of DLVR to other naturalized populations using two highly informative SNP panels (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B15">Ciancio et&#xa0;al., 2015</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B26">Di Prinzio et&#xa0;al., 2015</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B42">Gomez-Uchida et&#xa0;al., 2018</xref>), enabling both individual- and population-level analyses.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2" sec-type="materials|methods">
<title>Materials and methods</title>
<sec id="s2_1">
<title>Background on historical introductions and genetic legacy of Chinook salmon in South America</title>
<p>Review works of <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B6">Basulto, 2003</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">Becker et&#xa0;al., 2007</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B91">Soto et&#xa0;al., 2007</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B20">Correa and Gross, 2008</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B33">Fern&#xe1;ndez et&#xa0;al., 2010</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B84">Riva-Rossi et&#xa0;al., 2012</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B15">Ciancio et&#xa0;al., 2015</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B26">Di Prinzio et&#xa0;al., 2015</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B21">Correa and Moran, 2017</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B42">Gomez-Uchida et&#xa0;al., 2018</xref> were used to obtain Chinook salmon introduction information and its genetic legacy in Chile and Argentina. Historical stocking efforts can be grouped into three main phases. Early attempts between 1886 and 1930 relied on California Central Valley fall-run stocks (McCloud River hatchery), but no successful establishment was detected. The ocean ranching era (late 1970s&#x2013;1980s) involved large-scale stocking of multiple donor lineages from North America, particularly Lower Columbia River spring (Washington/Oregon), fall-run populations from Puget Sound (Washington), and several coastal Oregon and Washington stocks. These introductions led to the successful establishment of high-diversity artificial populations in southern Chile, especially in the Petrohu&#xe9; (41&#xb0;S), Cobarde (45&#xb0;S), Pichicolo (41&#xb0;S), and Prat (51&#xb0;S) rivers, with subsequent dispersal into Argentinian rivers such as the Santa Cruz (50&#xb0;S) (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f1"><bold>Figure&#xa0;1</bold></xref>). A third phase occurred in the 1990s&#x2013;2000s, when escapes from net-pen aquaculture operations introduced additional lineages from the Vancouver Island (British Columbia, Canada), Puget Sound, and New Zealand-derived California stocks, further contributing and reinforcing the genetic diversity of established populations, particularly in northern locations (39&#xb0;-43&#xb0;S). Genetic studies demonstrate that at least six donor regions contributed to present-day Patagonian Chinook salmon, with varying levels of admixture depending on propagule pressure and secondary dispersal. A synthesis of introduction phases, donor stocks, stocking sites, and their genetic outcomes and present-day distribution is provided in <xref ref-type="table" rid="T1"><bold>Table&#xa0;1</bold></xref>.</p>
<fig id="f1" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;1</label>
<caption>
<p><bold>(A)</bold> Contemporary distribution of Chinook salmon in South America and sampling locations in Patagonia. Circles indicate naturalized Chinook salmon populations that were genetically sampled, while triangles represent artificial stocks included in the genetic analyses. Squares indicate locations where Chinook salmon presences or spawning populations were reported by Baig&#xfa;n et al., 2022; Figueroa-Mu&#xf1;oz et al. 2023; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B31">Esp&#xed;nola et&#xa0;al., 2024</xref>). <bold>(B)</bold> Inset map of the Lake Argentino&#x2013;upstream Santa Cruz River basin (Argentina) and the Paine&#x2013;Dickson&#x2013;Serrano River system (Chile), showing potential dispersal corridors that may facilitate the trans-Andean eastward expansion of Chinook salmon from Pacific Ocean and Atlantic Ocean basins. Colors of the symbols representing genetically analyzed populations are consistent across figures to facilitate their identification in the plots.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fmars-12-1662755-g001.tif">
<alt-text content-type="machine-generated">Map of southern South America highlighting various river basins in Chile and Argentina. Panel A shows the geographical distribution from Bio B&#xed;o to Tierra del Fuego, indicating rivers like Allip&#xe9;n and Baker. Panel B magnifies the region around the De las Vueltas basin, detailing lakes and specific areas like Lake Argentino and Viedma Lake. Major rivers and lakes are labeled, with colored markers representing different locations. A scale bar is present for distance measurement.</alt-text>
</graphic>
</fig>
<table-wrap id="T1" position="float">
<label>Table&#xa0;1</label>
<caption>
<p>Historical stocking efforts of Chinook salmon in South America: phases, donor lineages, stocking sites, genetic outcome and present-day distribution.</p>
</caption>
<table frame="hsides">
<thead>
<tr>
<th valign="middle" align="left">Phase / Period</th>
<th valign="middle" align="left">Donor stock lineage &amp; origin</th>
<th valign="middle" align="left">Stocking sites (Chile/Argentina)</th>
<th valign="middle" align="left">Genetic outcome and present-day distribution</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Phase 1 (1886&#x2013;1930) Early failed attempts</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Sacramento River (California Central Valley fall-run, McCloud Hatchery)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Central Chile; Caut&#xed;n (39&#xb0;S), Cocham&#xf3; (39&#xb0;S), Maull&#xed;n (42&#xb0;S), Puelo (42&#xb0;S), Santa Cruz River, Argentina (50&#xb0;S)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">No successful colonization; no genetic legacy detected; absent today</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" rowspan="5" align="left">Phase 2 (1970s&#x2013;1980s) Ocean ranching era</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Lower Columbia River spring-run (Cowlitz, Kalama)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Chilo&#xe9; (Curaco de V&#xe9;lez) (42&#xb0;S), Petrohu&#xe9; (41&#xb0;S), Cobarde (45&#xb0;S), Santa Mar&#xed;a (54&#xb0;S)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Established in Petrohu&#xe9; and Cobarde; dispersal into Santa Cruz (50&#xb0;S, Atlantic)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Lower Columbia fall-run (Willamette Basin: McKenzie, North Santiam)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Prat River (51&#xb0;S)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Dominant in Serrano (51&#xb0;S). Major genetic legacy in Vargas-Baker (47&#xb0;S), Prat (~57%) and Santa Cruz (~79%)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Puget Sound (Green River)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Petrohu&#xe9; (41&#xb0;S), Curaco de V&#xe9;lez (42&#xb0;S), Pichicolo (42&#xb0;S), Cobarde (45&#xb0;S)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Strong legacy in Pichicolo (80%); minor signals in Petrohu&#xe9;, Cobarde, and Prat</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">North Oregon Coast (Siuslaw, Yaquina, Big Elk)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Rupanco Lake (40&#xb0;S), Chilo&#xe9;, Puerto Montt (42&#xb0;S)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Minor contributions detected in Tolt&#xe9;n/Allip&#xe9;n (39&#xb0;S), Petrohu&#xe9;, Cobarde</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Washington Coast (Satsop, Humptulips)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Rupanco Lake (40&#xb0;S), Quell&#xf3;n (Chilo&#xe9;, 42&#xb0;S), Pichicolo (42&#xb0;S)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Small contributions (&lt;15%) detected in Tolt&#xe9;n/Allip&#xe9;n, Petrohu&#xe9;, and Vargas-Baker</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" rowspan="3" align="left">Phase 3 (1990s&#x2013;2000s) Net-pen aquaculture escapes</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Vancouver Island (Big Qualicum)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Petrohu&#xe9; (41&#xb0;S), Chilo&#xe9; (42&#xb0;S), Cobarde (45&#xb0;S)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Major signal in Petrohu&#xe9; (~60%); minor ancestry in Futaleuf&#xfa; and Tolt&#xe9;n/Allip&#xe9;n</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">New Zealand-derived (California Central Valley fall-run)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Petrohu&#xe9; (41&#xb0;S), Chilo&#xe9; (42&#xb0;S), Tolt&#xe9;n-Allip&#xe9;n tributaries from a hatchery in the X Region (39&#xb0;-44&#xb0;S).</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Minor contributions in Petrohu&#xe9;, Futaleuf&#xfa;, and Tolt&#xe9;n/Allip&#xe9;n</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Puget Sound (Green River)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Net pens in X&#x2013;XI (44&#xb0;-49&#xb0;S) Regions</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Reinforced earlier legacies in Petrohu&#xe9; and Pichicolo</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table-wrap-foot>
<fn>
<p>Based on <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B6">Basulto (2003)</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B20">Correa and Gross (2008)</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B84">Riva-Rossi et&#xa0;al. (2012)</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B15">Ciancio et&#xa0;al. (2015)</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B26">Di Prinzio et&#xa0;al. (2015)</xref>, and <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B42">Gomez-Uchida et&#xa0;al. (2018)</xref>.</p></fn>
</table-wrap-foot>
</table-wrap>
</sec>
<sec id="s2_2">
<title>Study area and sample collection</title>
<p>For this study, genetic samples were collected exclusively from the De las Vueltas River (DLVR; 49&#xb0;S), a tributary of Viedma Lake in the upper Santa Cruz River basin. A total of 70 adult individuals were obtained during 2014&#x2013;2015 through gillnetting, carcass collection, electrofishing, and angling. Fin or muscle tissue was preserved in 95% ethanol for subsequent genetic analyses.</p>
<p>The DLVR drains a 1,283 km&#xb2; watershed originating in Desierto Lake (506&#xa0;m a.s.l.) and flowing ~70 km southward into Viedma Lake (250&#xa0;m a.s.l.). The basin spans a forest&#x2013;steppe ecotone under a cold-temperate, humid to sub-humid climate with high precipitation (~1,400 mm/year). Hydrological inputs are dominated by snowmelt and glacial runoff, with marked seasonal variation in discharge. Despite its glacial origin, the headwaters lack direct inputs from the Southern Patagonian Icefield, resulting in comparatively clearer and warmer waters. Continuous hydrological connectivity with Andean headwaters provides suitable spawning habitat and a potential dispersal corridor for non-native salmonids, although planned hydropower development in the lower Santa Cruz River may restrict future passage.</p>
<p>Previously published SNP datasets were incorporated to place the DLVR population within the broader context of Chinook salmon invasions in Patagonia. These datasets had been standardized by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B42">Gomez-Uchida et&#xa0;al. (2018)</xref>, who genotyped 9 Patagonian populations using a 172-SNP panel (<xref ref-type="supplementary-material" rid="SM1"><bold>Supplementary Table S1</bold></xref>). Samples originally collected by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B84">Riva-Rossi et&#xa0;al. (2012)</xref> between 2005 and 2009 included two introduction sites in Chile&#x2014;Cobarde River (N&#xa0;=&#xa0;36) and Prat River (N&#xa0;=&#xa0;30)&#x2014;and naturally colonized rivers Vargas (N&#xa0;=&#xa0;24) and Serrano (N&#xa0;=&#xa0;15) in Chile, and Caterina (N&#xa0;=&#xa0;45) and Santa Cruz mainstem (N&#xa0;=&#xa0;18) in Argentina, together with a hatchery broodstock at Estero Pichicolo (N&#xa0;=&#xa0;25). These samples were obtained from adults by gillnetting, angling, and carcass recovery, and tissues were preserved in ethanol. Additional populations genotyped by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B42">Gomez-Uchida et&#xa0;al. (2018)</xref> included fish sampled later: adult carcasses from Petrohu&#xe9; River (N&#xa0;=&#xa0;70; 2013) and juvenile parr from the Allip&#xe9;n (N&#xa0;=&#xa0;26; 2014) and Tolt&#xe9;n rivers (N&#xa0;=&#xa0;52; 2014). This data were downloaded from Dryad (doi.org/10.5061/dryad.5k45n83).</p>
<p>From the Futaleuf&#xfa; River (43&#xb0;S), which drains into the Pacific Ocean in southern Chile, the dataset published by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B26">Di Prinzio et&#xa0;al. (2015)</xref> was incorporated. In this case, 53 adult Chinook salmon were captured by recreational fishers during 2010&#x2013;2011 in the Argentinean section of the river, and muscle tissue was preserved in 95% ethanol.</p>
<p>Together, the DLVR samples collected in this study and the previously published datasets provided a comprehensive baseline covering both introduction sites and naturalized populations of Chinook salmon across Pacific Ocean and Atlantic Ocean basins in Patagonia (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f1"><bold>Figure&#xa0;1</bold></xref>).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2_3">
<title>Laboratory procedures</title>
<p>DNA from the De las Vueltas River samples was extracted using DNeasy 96 Tissue kits on a BioRobot3000 (QIAGEN, Inc., Valencia, CA). Genotypes were collected from 96 SNP loci (<xref ref-type="table" rid="T1"><bold>Table&#xa0;1</bold></xref>) utilizing 96.96 SNP Genotyping Dynamic Arrays&#x2122; on an EP1 system (Fluidigm Corporation, South San Francisco, CA) following the manufacturer&#x2019;s protocols. Genotyping was conducted using Fluidigm SNP Genotyping Analysis Software (version 2.1.1). The panel comprised 95 loci polymorphic in Chinook salmon and one locus for identifying Coho salmon (<italic>O. kisutch</italic>) (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">Clemento et&#xa0;al., 2014</xref>) (<xref ref-type="supplementary-material" rid="SM1"><bold>Supplementary Table S1</bold></xref>).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2_4">
<title>Genotype quality</title>
<p>All reference individuals from Clemento&#x2019;s (96-SNP, N&#xa0;=&#xa0;8,031) and Gomez-Uchida&#x2019;s (172-SNP, N&#xa0;=&#xa0;341) baselines were retained for downstream analyses (<xref ref-type="supplementary-material" rid="SM1"><bold>Supplementary Table S1</bold></xref>). DLVR samples with genotyping success below 95% or with &gt;10% missing data were excluded, which led to the removal of six loci: Ots_108007-208, Ots_112208-722, Ots_113242-216, Ots_Myc-366, Ots_RAG3 (shared by both panels), and Ots_P50 (172-SNP panel only) and leaving only 66 loci for downstream analysis.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2_5">
<title>Statistical analysis</title>
<p>Genetic variation in DLVR Chinook salmon was analyzed in GenAlEx 6.5 based on 66&#x2013;72 SNP loci common to both panels (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">Clemento et&#xa0;al., 2014</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B42">Gomez-Uchida et&#xa0;al., 2018</xref>) (<xref ref-type="supplementary-material" rid="SM1"><bold>Supplementary Table S1</bold></xref>). Exact tests for departures from Hardy&#x2013;Weinberg equilibrium (HWE) and linkage disequilibrium (LD) were conducted, applying a Bonferroni correction (&#x3b1; = 0.05), and GenAlEx 6.5 (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B71">Peakall and Smouse, 2012</xref>) was used to calculate the number of alleles (Na), observed (HO) and expected heterozygosity (HE), and the percentage of polymorphic loci.</p>
<p>Ancestral and recent origins of DLVR individuals were inferred using the 96-SNP (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">Clemento et&#xa0;al., 2014</xref>) and 172-SNP panels (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B94">Warheit et&#xa0;al., 2012</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B3">G&#xf3;mez-Uchida et al., 2018</xref>), respectively, with the Bayesian mixture model implemented in the R package <italic>rubias</italic> (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B62">Moran and Anderson, 2019</xref>) in R version 4.3.3 (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B81">R Core Team, 2023</xref>). This framework allowed assignment of individuals to North American reporting units (ancestral origins) and Patagonian baseline populations (recent origins), correcting for unequal representation among source populations. Baseline accuracy was evaluated through self-assignment and simulated mixture tests. Assignment reliability was assessed using posterior probability thresholds &#x2265; 0.75 and z-scores &gt; -6 for high-confidence assignments (Anderson E., personal communication, March, 2015; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B26">Di Prinzio et&#xa0;al., 2015</xref>). For recent origins, because DLVR and Futaleuf&#xfa; individuals were successfully genotyped at only 66 and 72 loci, respectively, of the 172-SNP baseline (i.e., after genotype quality analysis), missing genotypes were imputed using reference-based simulations guided by a Discriminant Analysis of Principal Components (DAPC) in the R package <italic>adegenet</italic> (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B49">Jombart et&#xa0;al., 2010</xref>) in R version 4.3.3 (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B81">R Core Team, 2023</xref>). Results are reported only for real individuals. Population structure across Patagonian sites was examined using DAPC (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B49">Jombart et&#xa0;al., 2010</xref>) to identify reference groups and assess genetic similarity.</p>
<p>Additional methodological details, including genotype quality, MCMC settings, bootstrap replicates, genotype imputation, and assessment of baseline accuracy through simulated mixtures, are provided in the Supplementary Methods.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="s3" sec-type="results">
<title>Results</title>
<p>The genetic composition, population structure, and colonization patterns of Chinook salmon in Patagonia are summarized below, highlighting key findings regarding diversity, admixture, and dispersal, with particular emphasis on the ancestral lineages and recent contributions to the DLVR population.</p>
<sec id="s3_1">
<title>Genetic origins</title>
<p>Using the 96-SNP panel developed by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">Clemento et&#xa0;al. (2014)</xref>, <italic>rubias</italic> mixture analyses assigned DLVR Chinook salmon primarily to three lineages: Lower Columbia River fall (36 individuals), Lower Columbia River spring (14), and Willamette River spring (19). Assignment probabilities were generally high, with most individuals showing posterior probabilities &#x2265; 0.75 (<xref ref-type="table" rid="T2"><bold>Table&#xa0;2</bold></xref>). Z-scores ranged from &#x2013;5.19 to 1.30 (mean &#x2013;1.32), with 63 individuals exceeding the &#x2013;3 threshold. One individual was identified as a Coho salmon and was removed from subsequent analyses.</p>
<table-wrap id="T2" position="float">
<label>Table&#xa0;2</label>
<caption>
<p>Identification of the ancestral roots of DLVR Chinook salmon using <italic>rubias</italic>.</p>
</caption>
<table frame="hsides">
<thead>
<tr>
<th valign="middle" align="center">Reporting unit</th>
<th valign="middle" align="center">Collection</th>
<th valign="middle" align="center">No. of fish</th>
<th valign="middle" align="center">Probability range</th>
<th valign="middle" align="center">Average posterior probability</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="center">Coho (1)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">California Coho</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&gt; 0.90</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" rowspan="3" align="center">Lower Columbia River fall (36)</td>
<td valign="top" rowspan="3" align="center">Cowlitz Hatchery fall</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">14</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&gt; 0.90</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.957</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="center">14</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.75-0.90</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.852</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="center">8</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&lt; 0.75</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.642</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" rowspan="3" align="center">Lower Columbia River spring (14)</td>
<td valign="top" rowspan="3" align="center">Cowlitz Hatchery spring</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">3</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&gt; 0.90</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.969</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="center">7</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.75-0.90</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.850</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="center">4</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&lt; 0.75</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.626</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" rowspan="3" align="center">Willamette River (19)</td>
<td valign="top" rowspan="3" align="center">North Santiam Hatchery</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">7</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&gt; 0.90</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.950</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="center">6</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.75-0.90</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.840</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="center">6</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&lt; 0.75</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.595</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table-wrap-foot>
<fn>
<p>Total number of assigned fish per reporting unit is shown in brackets.</p></fn>
</table-wrap-foot>
</table-wrap>
<p>To investigate the recent origins of DLVR salmon, we compared them with reference populations from Patagonia. DAPC analyses grouped reference populations into four main geographic clusters (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f1"><bold>Figures&#xa0;1</bold></xref>, <xref ref-type="fig" rid="f2"><bold>2</bold></xref>): Araucan&#xed;a, Los Lagos, Ays&#xe9;n (including Prat and Serrano), and the Santa Cruz basin in the Atlantic Ocean. Leave-one-out simulations confirmed the resolution of this baseline with high reassignment accuracy (overall 98%, range 95&#x2013;100%): Araucan&#xed;a and Los Lagos achieved 100%, Ays&#xe9;n 96%, Santa Cruz 95%, Caterina 93%, while Cobarde showed the lowest value (89%). Among clusters, Araucan&#xed;a was the most divergent, whereas Los Lagos and Ays&#xe9;n were more closely related, reflecting shared broodstock ancestry. Santa Cruz populations were highly differentiated from all Chilean groups. Within this structure, DLVR clustered almost entirely with the Ays&#xe9;n cluster, with only a few individuals aligning with Santa Cruz (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f2"><bold>Figure&#xa0;2</bold></xref>), supporting a Pacific rather than local origin.</p>
<fig id="f2" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;2</label>
<caption>
<p>Scatter plot of the discriminant analysis of principal components (DAPC). Each of the four identified clusters is depicted by distinct color inside their 95% inertia ellipses. Colors represent the different clusters and populations within clusters. Dots represent individuals. Squares represent assigned De las Vueltas River (DLVR) individuals. Colors represent the different populations within clusters. The axes represent the first two discriminant functions, respectively.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fmars-12-1662755-g002.tif">
<alt-text content-type="machine-generated">Scatter plot displaying populations clustered by multivariate analysis. D1 (62%) is on the x-axis, and D2 (28%) on the y-axis. Colors represent populations: Allip&#xe9;n (purple), Tolten (pink), and others. Clusters include Araucan&#xed;a, Los Lagos, Ays&#xe9;n, and Santa Cruz, each with distinct colors and outlined ellipses.</alt-text>
</graphic>
</fig>
<p>Simulated mixture analyses in <italic>rubias</italic> further confirmed the reliability of this four-cluster model, accurately recovering the proportions of each source population without significant bias (<xref ref-type="supplementary-material" rid="SM1"><bold>Supplementary Figure S1</bold></xref>). In contrast, defining a fifth cluster for Prat and Serrano (Magallanes) reduced accuracy: overall assignment dropped to 96%, with only 82% for these rivers, and mixture simulations underestimated contributions from both Ays&#xe9;n and Magallanes (<xref ref-type="supplementary-material" rid="SM1"><bold>Supplementary Figure S2</bold></xref>).</p>
<p>Overall, these results support the robustness of the four-cluster model, showing that it provides a reliable framework for detecting the genetic origins of DLVR individuals. They also highlight that geographic clustering alone may obscure underlying genetic similarities, particularly between neighboring regions such as Ays&#xe9;n and Magallanes.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s3_2">
<title>Genetic diversity</title>
<p>Beyond their origins, the retention of sufficient genetic variation to support the establishment of DLVR salmon was evaluated. No significant departures from Hardy&#x2013;Weinberg equilibrium (HWE) were detected at any of the 72 loci after Bonferroni correction, and linkage disequilibrium was observed in only one pair of loci. The inbreeding coefficient was slightly negative (FIS = &#x2013;0.004), indicating a marginal excess of heterozygotes and limited inbreeding. Genetic diversity was moderate to high (Ho = 0.36; He = 0.34), and levels in DLVR were comparable to those of its main source populations, Cobarde and Vargas (Ho = 0.37&#x2013;0.35; He = 0.37&#x2013;0.36), slightly higher than some nearby naturalized populations such as Santa Cruz and Caterina, and somewhat lower than in long-established hatchery-influenced populations like Pichicolo and Petrohu&#xe9; (<xref ref-type="table" rid="T3"><bold>Table&#xa0;3</bold></xref>). When compared with founding lineages from the Pacific Northwest (average Ho = 0.37 and He = 0.36; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B15">Ciancio et&#xa0;al., 2015</xref>), DLVR genetic diversity fell within the observed range, indicating that the recently established population retains substantial genetic variation sufficient for successful establishment.</p>
<table-wrap id="T3" position="float">
<label>Table&#xa0;3</label>
<caption>
<p>Gene diversities per pop across loci for the 72-SNP merged panel.</p>
</caption>
<table frame="hsides">
<thead>
<tr>
<th valign="middle" align="left">Population</th>
<th valign="middle" align="left">Statistics</th>
<th valign="middle" align="center">N</th>
<th valign="middle" align="center">Na</th>
<th valign="middle" align="center">Ne</th>
<th valign="middle" align="center">Ho</th>
<th valign="middle" align="center">He</th>
<th valign="middle" align="center">uHe</th>
<th valign="middle" align="center">F</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="top" rowspan="2" align="left">Allip&#xe9;n<break/></td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Mean</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">26.000</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">1.958</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">1.611</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.376</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.356</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.363</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">-0.052</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">SE</td>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.024</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.034</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.019</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.016</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.016</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.024</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" rowspan="2" align="left">Tolt&#xe9;n<break/></td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Mean</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">52.000</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">1.986</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">1.635</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.375</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.368</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.372</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">-0.015</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">SE</td>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.014</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.033</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.017</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.015</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.015</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.015</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" rowspan="2" align="left">Petrohue<break/></td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Mean</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">70.000</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">2.000</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">1.640</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.381</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.366</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.369</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">-0.029</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">SE</td>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.000</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.036</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.018</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.015</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.016</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.016</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" rowspan="2" align="left">Pichicolo<break/></td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Mean</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">25.000</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">1.972</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">1.630</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.394</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.360</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.367</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">-0.087</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">SE</td>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.020</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.037</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.021</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.017</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.017</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.022</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" rowspan="2" align="left">Futaleuf&#xfa;<break/></td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Mean</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">52.000</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">1.958</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">1.627</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.365</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.367</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.370</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.001</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">SE</td>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.031</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.041</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.017</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.016</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.016</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.017</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" rowspan="2" align="left">Cobarde<break/></td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Mean</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">36.000</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">1.986</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">1.650</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.369</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.368</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.373</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">-0.006</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">SE</td>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.014</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.036</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.018</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.017</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.017</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.018</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" rowspan="2" align="left">Vargas<break/></td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Mean</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">24.000</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">1.972</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">1.637</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.348</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.362</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.370</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.038</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">SE</td>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.020</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.037</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.019</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.017</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.017</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.025</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" rowspan="2" align="left">Serrano<break/></td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Mean</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">15.000</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">1.931</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">1.564</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.345</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.325</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.337</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">-0.067</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">SE</td>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.030</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.041</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.023</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.019</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.020</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.026</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" rowspan="2" align="left">Prat<break/></td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Mean</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">30.000</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">1.972</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">1.687</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.368</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.388</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.394</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.047</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">SE</td>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.020</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.033</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.017</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.015</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.015</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.024</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" rowspan="2" align="left">Santa Cruz<break/></td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Mean</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">18.000</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">1.903</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">1.539</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.338</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.314</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.323</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">-0.072</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">SE</td>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.035</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.040</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.024</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.020</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.020</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.025</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" rowspan="2" align="left">Caterina<break/></td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Mean</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">45.000</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">1.917</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">1.459</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.286</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.274</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.277</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">-0.034</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">SE</td>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.033</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.041</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.023</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.021</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.021</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.018</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" rowspan="2" align="left">De las Vueltas<break/></td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Mean</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">69.000</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">1.861</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">1.545</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.358</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.339</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.355</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">-0.051</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">SE</td>
<td valign="top" align="right"/>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.057</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.058</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.025</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.020</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.024</td>
<td valign="top" align="right">0.024</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table-wrap-foot>
<fn>
<p>N, number of loci; Na, number of different alleles; Ne, number of effective alleles; Ho, Observed Heterozygosity; He, Expected Heterozygosity; uHe, Unbiased Expected Heterozygosity; F, Fixation Index.</p></fn>
</table-wrap-foot>
</table-wrap>
</sec>
<sec id="s3_3">
<title>Colonization and dispersal pathways</title>
<p>Results of DAPC analysis revealed that within clusters, gene flow was evident from the high overlap of population genotypes, particularly among adjacent populations (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f2"><bold>Figure&#xa0;2</bold></xref>). This was especially noticeable between artificially established populations (Cobarde and Prat) and naturalized populations (Vargas and Serrano) in the Ays&#xe9;n and Magallanes area. Recent common ancestry was also evident between the Prat and Petrohu&#xe9; Rivers, as many individuals from Prat clustered within the Los Lagos group (consistent with artificial propagation programs from Petrohu&#xe9; and Curaco de V&#xe9;lez stocks). Gene flow was also detected from the Futaleuf&#xfa; River toward both the Ays&#xe9;n region and the Petrohu&#xe9; River, as well as long-distance dispersal between Ays&#xe9;n and the Santa Cruz River basin. In contrast, no evidence of dispersal was observed between the Araucan&#xed;a populations and those from other regions.</p>
<p>Mixture proportion analysis using rubias assigned most DLVR individuals to the Ays&#xe9;n cluster (56 individuals, 81%; 46% to Cobarde, 35% to Vargas) and the remainder to the Santa Cruz cluster (13 individuals, 19%). Assignment probabilities were generally high, with the majority of individuals in both clusters showing posterior probabilities &#x2265; 0.75. Z-scores ranged from &#x2013;2.77 to 3.42 (mean &#x2013;0.25), with all individuals exceeding the &#x2013;3 threshold (<xref ref-type="table" rid="T4"><bold>Table&#xa0;4</bold></xref>). These results highlight the dispersal pattern from Ays&#xe9;n toward the Santa Cruz basin and the contribution of genetic diversity in source populations to the successful establishment at the most distant margin of the watershed.</p>
<table-wrap id="T4" position="float">
<label>Table&#xa0;4</label>
<caption>
<p>Identification of the founding populations of DLVR Chinook salmon using <italic>rubias</italic>.</p>
</caption>
<table frame="hsides">
<thead>
<tr>
<th valign="middle" align="center">Region</th>
<th valign="middle" align="center">River</th>
<th valign="middle" align="center">N individuals</th>
<th valign="middle" align="center">Posterior probability range</th>
<th valign="middle" align="center">Average posterior probability</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="top" rowspan="6" align="left">Ays&#xe9;n (56)<break/><break/></td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Cobarde (32)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">9</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&lt;0.75</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.6099</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="center">18</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&gt;0.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.9583</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="center">5</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.75-0.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.8211</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Vargas (24)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">5</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&lt;0.75</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.5886</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="center">14</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&gt;0.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.9588</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="center">5</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.75-0.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.8255</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" rowspan="3" align="left">Santa Cruz (13)<break/></td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Santa Cruz (13)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">5</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&lt;0.75</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.6137</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="center">5</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&gt;0.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.9663</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="top" align="center">3</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.75-0.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.8060</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table-wrap-foot>
<fn>
<p>Total number of assigned fish per region and river are shown in brackets.</p></fn>
</table-wrap-foot>
</table-wrap>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="s4" sec-type="discussion">
<title>Discussion</title>
<p>The invasion of Chinook salmon in South America results from repeated introductions, high propagule pressure, and strong dispersal capacity. Intrinsic traits such as straying, migration, and life-history plasticity promoted admixture and range expansion beyond release sites. Since the end of ocean ranching in 2013, natural dispersal has dominated colonization, supporting establishment in both Pacific- and Atlantic-draining basins while maintaining high genetic diversity (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B14">Ciancio et&#xa0;al., 2005</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B20">Correa and Gross, 2008</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B84">Riva-Rossi et&#xa0;al., 2012</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B42">Gomez-Uchida et&#xa0;al., 2018</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B36">Figueroa-Mu&#xf1;oz et&#xa0;al., 2023</xref>).</p>
<sec id="s4_1">
<title>Genetic origins</title>
<p>Chinook salmon were introduced into southern South America in three main phases. Early attempts (&lt;1930s), largely using Sacramento River stocks, failed to establish populations in central and southern Chile. Ocean ranching in the 1970s&#x2013;1980s, based on multiple stocks from the Lower Columbia, Puget Sound, Oregon and Washington, successfully established populations in Los Lagos, Ays&#xe9;n, and Magallanes. Net-pen aquaculture escapes in the 1990s&#x2013;2000s, mainly from Vancouver Island, Puget Sound, and New Zealand&#x2013;derived California stocks, reinforced these populations, especially in Los Lagos. In Argentina, early stockings in the Santa Cruz basin (1906&#x2013;1910) were unsuccessful, and no further intentional releases of Chinook salmon were carried out in this basin. However, by the late 1990s a spawning population was detected in the Caterina River, which originated from Prat River ranching experiments in Chile during the 1980s (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B14">Ciancio et&#xa0;al., 2005</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">Becker et&#xa0;al., 2007</xref>).</p>
<p>First recorded in 2006 and now widespread throughout the sub-basin and nearby Andean headwaters, this study revealed that the De las Vueltas River population originated predominantly from long-established Chilean populations in the Cobarde and Vargas Rivers (Ays&#xe9;n cluster), with a smaller contribution from the Santa Cruz cluster. Despite geographic proximity, DLVR does not derive mainly from neighboring Santa Cruz populations, which might have been expected. These results indicate that DLVR arose through gene flow from both distant, long-established Chilean populations and more recent Santa Cruz populations, with Chilean input predominating.</p>
<p>These affinities are embedded within the four-cluster genetic framework corresponding to major geographic and historical introduction zones: Araucan&#xed;a (Tolt&#xe9;n and Allip&#xe9;n Rivers), Los Lagos (Petrohu&#xe9; River and Estero Pichicolo), an &#x201c;extended Ays&#xe9;n&#x201d; group (Cobarde, Vargas, Prat, and Serrano Rivers), and Santa Cruz (Santa Cruz and Caterina Rivers) (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B42">Gomez-Uchida et&#xa0;al., 2018</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B63">Musleh et&#xa0;al., 2020</xref>; this study). As expected from their recent origins in Patagonia, DLVR reflects the genetic legacy of founding populations from the Ays&#xe9;n region, while Santa Cruz and Caterina show affinities with sources from Magallanes. Accordingly, DLVR shares the same ancestral background as its founder populations, which ultimately trace back to Lower Columbia River fall and spring lineages, with minor contributions from the Willamette River spring lineage. This shared ancestry among geographically distant regions, such as Ays&#xe9;n (Chile), Santa Cruz (Argentina), and Magallanes (Chile), further explains their observed genetic similarities (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B42">Gomez-Uchida et&#xa0;al., 2018</xref>). This genetic pattern highlights how common ancestry from original introductions, subsequent admixture, secondary long-distance dispersal and ongoing ocean-mediated connectivity collectively shape the regional population structure across the invasive range.</p>
<p>While genetic analyses outline the broader population structure and ancestry of Chinook salmon, independent evidence from otolith isotope chemistry converges on a similar picture about the mixed origins at DLVR. In particular, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B4">Avigliano et&#xa0;al. (2025)</xref> showed that only one-third of individuals in the DLVR system were reassigned within its tributaries, with the majority traced to other rivers such as Guanaco, La Leona, and the mainstem Santa Cruz. Genetic evidence likewise places DLVR populations closer to those from Santa Cruz and Ays&#xe9;n, suggesting that De las Vueltas acts less as an isolated breeding unit and more as a demographic sink shaped by multiple dispersal pathways. Importantly, dispersal is captured in complementary but distinct ways by these markers: otolith chemistry provides a short-term environmental snapshot of natal origins, whereas SNPs reveal longer-term, microevolutionary connectivity among populations. Similar integrative approaches have been employed in other systems: for instance, dispersal capacities in Allis shad (<italic>Allosa sapidisima</italic>) were inferred by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B58">Martin et&#xa0;al. (2015)</xref> using otolith microchemistry and genetics, while dispersal in anadromous brown trout was tracked by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B50">K&#xe4;llo et&#xa0;al. (2023)</xref> with the same combination of methods. As in those cases, the congruence between otolith- and SNP-based inferences has been interpreted here as reinforcing the conclusion that DLVR dynamics are shaped by recurrent immigration, source mixing, and the interplay between environmental filtering and evolutionary processes.</p>
<p>The heterogeneous origins of the DLVR population, shaped by contributions from multiple source populations and ongoing dispersal across the Santa Cruz basin, have contributed to its unexpectedly high genetic diversity. Rather than exhibiting the reduced variation typically expected for a recently established population, DLVR shows a slight excess of heterozygotes, indicative of recent admixture or continuing influx of migrants. This pattern underscores the dynamic nature of the invasion front, where secondary dispersal and connectivity among distant and neighboring populations maintain and even enhance genetic variation (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B27">Dlugosch and Parker, 2007</xref>). Similar processes have been observed in other aquatic invaders, including sea-run brown trout (<italic>Salmo trutta</italic>) in Argentina, rainbow trout (<italic>Oncorhynchus mykiss</italic>) in Chile, European green crab (<italic>Carcinus maenas</italic>) in North America, and topmouth gudgeon (<italic>Pseudorasbora parva</italic>) in Europe, highlighting the general role of admixture and repeated introductions in promoting establishment, spread, and rapid adaptation (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B19">Consuegra et&#xa0;al., 2011</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B24">Darling et&#xa0;al., 2008</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B45">Gozlan et&#xa0;al., 2010</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B39">Giese, 2024</xref>).</p>
<p>Overall, these examples reflect a broader trend observed across invasive species. Recent reviews (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B53">Ko&#x142;odziejczyk et&#xa0;al., 2025</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B82">Rius et&#xa0;al., 2015</xref>) indicate that reductions in genetic diversity are not a general feature of invasions. Among 101 studies of invasive populations, only 19 reported decreased genomic diversity, whereas 43 reported maintenance or even increases in diversity; the majority of the remaining studies indicated high diversity despite lack of direct comparison with native ranges. These findings suggest that invasive populations often retain sufficient genetic variation to sustain evolutionary potential, with losses from founder effects frequently mitigated over time by secondary introductions, admixture, and dispersal.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s4_2">
<title>Colonization and dispersal pathways</title>
<p>The unexpected Pacific origin of the DLVR population highlights the critical role of long-distance ocean dispersal in shaping the distribution of Chinook salmon across Patagonia and South America. Rare dispersal events, combined with local propagule pressure, can drive successful establishment and expansion, as predicted by invasion biology models (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B86">Sakai et&#xa0;al., 2001</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B56">Lockwood et&#xa0;al., 2013</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B64">Narum et&#xa0;al., 2017</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B20">Correa and Gross, 2008</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B36">Figueroa-Mu&#xf1;oz et&#xa0;al., 2023</xref>). Genetic data from this study indicates that Atlantic populations, including DLVR, are not isolated but are continuously influenced by gene flow from Pacific sources, local admixture, and ongoing connectivity. As such, this study supports earlier work emphasizing the role of oceanic dispersal in connecting distant populations, across major geographic barriers (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">Becker et&#xa0;al., 2007</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B84">Riva-Rossi et&#xa0;al., 2012</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B42">Gomez-Uchida et&#xa0;al., 2018</xref>). Notably, connectivity is maintained even across the formidable Southern Patagonian Ice Field (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B2">Antezana, 1999</xref>), being facilitated by a network of freshwater and estuarine stepping-stones that connect Pacific and Atlantic drainages. Southward currents, including the West Wind Drift and Cape Horn Current, likely promote the movement of anadromous salmon from southern Chile into Atlantic drainages, whereas the northward Humboldt Current may have limited early ranching success in northern Chile (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B40">Glorioso and Flather, 1995</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B41">1997</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B85">Sabatini et&#xa0;al., 2004</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B14">Ciancio et&#xa0;al., 2005</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B61">Montecino and Lange, 2009</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B95">Waters, 2008</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B98">Zheng et&#xa0;al., 2023</xref>). Gene flow from Pacific drainages into Atlantic populations, observed here and by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B42">Gomez-Uchida et&#xa0;al. (2018)</xref>, underscores the ocean as a vector of connectivity across watersheds.</p>
<p>Similar ocean-mediated connectivity has been observed in other migratory marine and estuarine species, including European green crab (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B24">Darling et&#xa0;al., 2008</xref>), Chilean rockfishes (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B30">Eschmeyer and Hureau, 1971</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B67">N&#xfa;&#xf1;ez et&#xa0;al., 2010</xref>), and anadromous lampreys (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B66">Neira et&#xa0;al., 1988</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B74">Potter et&#xa0;al., 1979</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B83">Riva-Rossi et&#xa0;al., 2020</xref>). These examples demonstrate that ocean currents and stepping-stone habitats can facilitate range expansion and maintain connectivity even across substantial biogeographic barriers. This connectivity is not unique to Chinook salmon. Similar patterns have been observed in other migratory marine and estuarine species of South America: while rockfishes along the Chilean coast show northward and southward dispersal shaped by the Humboldt Current and the West Wind Drift (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B30">Eschmeyer and Hureau, 1971</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B67">N&#xfa;&#xf1;ez et&#xa0;al., 2010</xref>). Anadromous lampreys of the genus <italic>Geotria</italic> and the Chilean lamprey (<italic>Mordacia lapicida</italic>) also exhibit dispersal patterns that closely follow regional oceanographic features (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B66">Neira et&#xa0;al., 1988</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B74">Potter et&#xa0;al., 1979</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B83">Riva-Rossi et&#xa0;al., 2020</xref>). These examples reinforce the notion that ocean currents, in combination with stepping-stone habitats, can facilitate rapid range expansion and sustained connectivity even in species facing substantial biogeographic barriers.</p>
<p>In addition to oceanic pathways, historical freshwater connections may have also contributed to the colonization of Atlantic Ocean basins. Over the past century, retreat of the Dickson Glacier exposed a lake that may have intermittently drained toward both the Pacific and Atlantic Oceans (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B59">Martinic, 2010</xref>). This raises the possibility of a link between Dickson Lake (Pacific drainage) and Fr&#xed;as Lagoon (Atlantic drainage), potentially providing a freshwater corridor for Chinook salmon from the Serrano River to reach the Santa Cruz River basin (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f1"><bold>Figure&#xa0;1B</bold></xref>). Although this connection is no longer active (J. Ciancio, pers. comm.) and remains speculative, it complements the broader picture of multi-pathway dispersal and highlights the need for further investigation into historical and environmental factors shaping invasion dynamics.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s4_3">
<title>Evolutionary consequences of dispersal</title>
<p>The Santa Cruz River basin may act as a central hub in the Chinook salmon invasion network along South America&#x2019;s Atlantic coast, where connected tributaries and suitable spawning habitats support both local establishment and broader dispersal. Within this system, the De las Vueltas River shows the strongest Pacific ancestry signal, consistent with stepping-stone and leading-edge dynamics in which individuals from established populations colonize peripheral habitats, fostering range expansion and new invasion foci (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B47">Hulme et&#xa0;al., 2008</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B96">Wilson et&#xa0;al., 2009</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B37">Florance et&#xa0;al., 2011</xref>). DLVR also receives secondary inputs from nearby tributaries such as Guanaco, La Leona, and upper Santa Cruz (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B4">Avigliano et&#xa0;al., 2025</xref>). Importantly, these dynamics illustrate how invasive species exploit both natural dispersal pathways and human-facilitated corridors, with human actions reshaping the scale, speed, and ecological consequences of expansion (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B10">Blackburn et&#xa0;al., 2011</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B97">Wilson et&#xa0;al., 2016</xref>). In this context, redistribution hubs like DLVR and Santa Cruz River amplify propagule pressure at the invasion front, accelerating colonization into new basins.</p>
<p>At the invasion front, dispersal ability is often under selection: highly mobile individuals accumulate at low densities, competition is reduced, and spread is accelerated&#x2014;a pattern also observed in invasive cane toads (<italic>Rhinella marina</italic>), gypsy moths (<italic>Lymantria dispar</italic>), and green crabs (<italic>Carcinus maenas</italic>) (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B88">Sharov and Liebhold, 1998</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B9">Berthouly-Salazar et&#xa0;al., 2013</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B54">Lehnert et&#xa0;al., 2018</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B23">Daly et&#xa0;al., 2023</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B73">Poloni et&#xa0;al., 2024</xref>). In the case of Chinook salmon, such dynamics may favor traits enhancing long-distance migration and marine survival, including rapid growth that shortens ocean residence time and increases survival. Yet dispersal entails trade-offs and risks: individuals investing in migration may contribute less locally, leaving edge populations to function primarily as propagule sources while facing demographic constraints such as reduced genetic diversity, drift, and Allee effects (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B65">Nathan and Muller-Landau, 2000</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B22">Courchamp et&#xa0;al., 2008</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B51">Kanarek and Webb, 2010</xref>). For instance, the isolated Caterina population may be limited by small effective size, whereas DLVR sustains continuous immigration from multiple sources, maintaining diversity, mitigating density dependence, and acting as both a local reservoir and a hub for further Atlantic dispersal (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B51">Kanarek and Webb, 2010</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B55">Letnic et&#xa0;al., 2011</xref>).</p>
<p>These dynamics likely drive the colonization of downstream Atlantic basins, including the Paran&#xe1; River and southern Brazilian lagoons (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B31">Esp&#xed;nola et&#xa0;al., 2024</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B36">Figueroa-Mu&#xf1;oz et&#xa0;al., 2023</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B43">Gon&#xe7;alves Gowert et&#xa0;al., 2025</xref>). The Santa Cruz River thus acts as a redistribution node, amplifying propagule pressure and enabling multi-step dispersal, showing how connectivity, genetic diversity, and adaptive potential transform peripheral populations like DLVR into demographic and evolutionary engines for continental-scale spread (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B18">Colautti et&#xa0;al., 2006</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B96">Wilson et&#xa0;al., 2009</xref>).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s4_4">
<title>Management implications</title>
<p>These dispersal dynamics and hub-mediated expansions highlight how peripheral populations like DLVR can drive multi-step colonization across Patagonian watersheds. By concentrating genetically diverse propagules and facilitating spread into connected and marginal habitats, such nodes underscore the basins that are most at risk of invasion. Despite the end of commercial aquaculture in 2013, Chinook salmon, by virtue of its high dispersal capacity and straying rates, continues to colonize areas far beyond initial introduction sites, posing a continuing risk to basins lacking aquaculture or established feral populations (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B70">Pascual et&#xa0;al., 2009</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B36">Figueroa-Mu&#xf1;oz et&#xa0;al., 2023</xref>).These findings emphasize the importance of proactive monitoring and management strategies that target key dispersal routes rather than solely targeting established populations, as evidence from other invasive species indicates that disrupting movement corridors can be more effective than direct population suppression (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B32">Fausch et&#xa0;al., 2009</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B11">Britton et al., 2023</xref>).</p>
<p>Two large hydroelectric dams currently under construction in the Santa Cruz basin are expected to fragment riverine habitats and obstruct upstream migration of diadromous species&#x2014;including native lampreys (<italic>Geotria macrostoma</italic>), exotic anadromous rainbow trout or steelhead (<italic>Oncorhynchus mykiss</italic>), and Chinook salmon. By restricting access to critical spawning and rearing habitats in the upper basin, the dams threaten the persistence of migratory populations and may halt the expansion of Chinook salmon into headwater systems such as the R&#xed;o de las Vueltas and other connected basins (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">Baig&#xfa;n et&#xa0;al., 2022</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B80">Quiroga et&#xa0;al., 2015</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B79">2023</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B83">Riva-Rossi et&#xa0;al., 2020</xref>). Paradoxically, this anthropogenic barrier could act as an inadvertent containment mechanism, illustrating the complex and often contradictory role of large-scale infrastructure in fluvial ecosystems: while imperiling native biodiversity, it may simultaneously help limit the spread of invasive species.</p>
<p>The Santa Cruz case underscores the need for an integrated, forward-looking approach to river governance that blends ecological monitoring, stakeholder engagement, and adaptive planning to reconcile conservation goals with the realities of increasingly modified freshwater systems. Although invasive anadromous salmonids have brought economic benefits through recreational and commercial fishing, the long-term consequences for native biodiversity and ecosystem stability remain poorly understood. Growing tensions among stakeholders&#x2014;including conservationists, local fishers, and other affected groups&#x2014;further emphasize the need for inclusive governance frameworks capable of navigating the trade-offs inherent in managing invasive species and infrastructure development (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B70">Pascual et&#xa0;al., 2009</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B38">Garc&#xed;a de Leaniz et&#xa0;al., 2010</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B64">Narum et&#xa0;al., 2017</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B13">Ciancio et&#xa0;al., 2019</xref>).</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="s5" sec-type="conclusion">
<title>Conclusion</title>
<p>This study demonstrates that the De las Vueltas River (DLVR) Chinook salmon population primarily originates from genetically diverse Pacific stocks, with secondary contributions from established populations in Ays&#xe9;n and, to a lesser extent, Santa Cruz. Genetic evidence and historical records indicate that both long-distance oceanic dispersal and intra-basin connectivity have shaped colonization dynamics. These results underscore the role of invasion hubs and leading-edge populations in facilitating multi-step expansion, where highly mobile individuals establish new populations beyond the core range. From a management perspective, monitoring and disrupting key dispersal routes, particularly at such invasion hubs, is critical to limit further spread into Patagonian basins.</p>
</sec>
</body>
<back>
<sec id="s6" sec-type="data-availability">
<title>Data availability statement</title>
<p>The original contributions presented in the study are included in the article/<xref ref-type="supplementary-material" rid="SM1"><bold>Supplementary Material</bold></xref>, further inquiries can be directed to the corresponding author/s.</p></sec>
<sec id="s7" sec-type="ethics-statement">
<title>Ethics statement</title>
<p>The animal study was approved by CONICET (Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Cient&#xed;ficas y Tecnol&#xf3;gicas). The study was conducted in accordance with the local legislation and institutional requirements.</p></sec>
<sec id="s8" sec-type="author-contributions">
<title>Author contributions</title>
<p>CR: Writing &#x2013; review &amp; editing, Writing &#x2013; original draft, Investigation, Data curation, Formal analysis, Conceptualization. JC: Investigation, Conceptualization, Funding acquisition, Writing &#x2013; review &amp; editing. DG-U: Resources, Conceptualization, Writing &#x2013; review &amp; editing. MP: Writing &#x2013; review &amp; editing. RC: Writing &#x2013; review &amp; editing, Investigation. PQ: Writing &#x2013; review &amp; editing, Visualization. CD: Writing &#x2013; review &amp; editing. CL: Writing &#x2013; review &amp; editing. JG: Writing &#x2013; review &amp; editing, Resources.</p></sec>
<ack>
<title>Acknowledgments</title>
<p>We thank R. Hudson for help with field collections. El Chalt&#xe9;n Municipality, Secretar&#xed;a de Estado de Pesca y Acuicultura de Santa Cruz, Argentina and Fundaci&#xf3;n Anfibia provided logistic support. Samples were collected under permit 040/2014 from Subsecretar&#xed;a de Pesca y Actividades Portuarias de Santa Cruz, Argentina).</p>
</ack>
<sec id="s10" sec-type="COI-statement">
<title>Conflict of interest</title>
<p>The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.</p></sec>
<sec id="s11" sec-type="ai-statement">
<title>Generative AI statement</title>
<p>The author(s) declare that no Generative AI was used in the creation of this manuscript.</p>
<p>Any alternative text (alt text) provided alongside figures in this article has been generated by Frontiers with the support of artificial intelligence and reasonable efforts have been made to ensure accuracy, including review by the authors wherever possible. If&#xa0;you identify any issues, please contact us.</p></sec>
<sec id="s12" sec-type="disclaimer">
<title>Publisher&#x2019;s note</title>
<p>All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article, or claim that may be made by its manufacturer, is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.</p></sec>
<sec id="s13" sec-type="supplementary-material">
<title>Supplementary material</title>
<p>The Supplementary Material for this article can be found online at: <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmars.2025.1662755/full#supplementary-material">https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmars.2025.1662755/full#supplementary-material</ext-link></p>
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<supplementary-material xlink:href="Image2.tif" id="SF2" mimetype="image/tiff"/>
<supplementary-material xlink:href="Table1.xlsx" id="ST1" mimetype="application/vnd.openxmlformats-officedocument.spreadsheetml.sheet"/>
<supplementary-material xlink:href="Table2.xlsx" id="ST2" mimetype="application/vnd.openxmlformats-officedocument.spreadsheetml.sheet"/></sec>
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<p>Edited by: <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/424141">Pedro Morais</ext-link>, California Department of Water Resources, United States</p></fn>
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<p>Reviewed by: <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/288141">David Jos&#xe9; Nach&#xf3;n</ext-link>, Oceanographic Center of Vigo, Spanish Institute of Oceanography (IEO), Spain; <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/3152902">Yan Gowert</ext-link>, University federal of Rio Grande (FURG), Brazil</p></fn>
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