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<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">Front. Mar. Sci.</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>Frontiers in Marine Science</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="pubmed">Front. Mar. Sci.</abbrev-journal-title>
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<issn pub-type="epub">2296-7745</issn>
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<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.3389/fmars.2025.1644030</article-id>
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<article-categories>
<subj-group subj-group-type="heading">
<subject>Review</subject>
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<title-group>
<article-title>Interspecific vulnerabilities to elevated pCO<sub>2</sub> in the northwestern Gulf of Mexico, a baseline of sensitivity and geochemical regimes</article-title>
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<name><surname>Armstrong</surname><given-names>David A.</given-names></name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref>
<xref ref-type="corresp" rid="c001"><sup>*</sup></xref>
<xref ref-type="author-notes" rid="fn003"><sup>&#x2020;</sup></xref>
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<name><surname>Yin</surname><given-names>Hang</given-names></name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2"><sup>2</sup></xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3"><sup>3</sup></xref>
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<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name><surname>Hampton</surname><given-names>Autumn R.</given-names></name>
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<name><surname>Hu</surname><given-names>Xinping</given-names></name>
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<name><surname>McFarlin</surname><given-names>Kelly M.</given-names></name>
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<name><surname>Bahr</surname><given-names>Keisha D.</given-names></name>
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<aff id="aff1"><label>1</label><institution>Harte Research Institute, Texas A&amp;M University-Corpus Christi</institution>, <city>Corpus Christi</city>, <state>TX</state>,&#xa0;<country country="us">United States</country></aff>
<aff id="aff2"><label>2</label><institution>Marine Science Institute, University of Texas at Austin</institution>, <city>Port Aransas</city>, <state>TX</state>,&#xa0;<country country="us">United States</country></aff>
<aff id="aff3"><label>3</label><institution>Centre for Regional Oceans &amp; Department of Ocean Science and Technology, Faculty of Science and Technology, University of Macau</institution>, <city>Macao SAR</city>,&#xa0;<country country="cn">China</country></aff>
<aff id="aff4"><label>4</label><institution>ExxonMobil Biomedical Sciences Inc.</institution>, <city>Annandale</city>, <state>NJ</state>,&#xa0;<country country="us">United States</country></aff>
<author-notes>
<corresp id="c001"><label>*</label>Correspondence: David A. Armstrong, <email xlink:href="mailto:david.alexander.armstrong04@gmail.com">david.alexander.armstrong04@gmail.com</email>; Hang Yin, <email xlink:href="mailto:hangyin.phd@gmail.com">hangyin.phd@gmail.com</email></corresp>
<fn fn-type="other" id="fn003">
<label>&#x2020;</label>
<p>These authors share first authorship</p></fn>
</author-notes>
<pub-date publication-format="electronic" date-type="pub" iso-8601-date="2025-10-02">
<day>02</day>
<month>10</month>
<year>2025</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date publication-format="electronic" date-type="collection">
<year>2025</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>12</volume>
<elocation-id>1644030</elocation-id>
<history>
<date date-type="received">
<day>17</day>
<month>06</month>
<year>2025</year>
</date>
<date date-type="accepted">
<day>08</day>
<month>09</month>
<year>2025</year>
</date>
</history>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright &#xa9; 2025 Armstrong, Yin, Hampton, Hu, McFarlin and Bahr.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2025</copyright-year>
<copyright-holder>Armstrong, Yin, Hampton, Hu, McFarlin and Bahr</copyright-holder>
<license>
<ali:license_ref start_date="2025-09-29">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ali:license_ref>
<license-p>This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY)</ext-link>. The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.</license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<abstract>
<p>Marine organisms rely on stable seawater conditions and vary in taxa-specific tolerances to environmental change. The capacity for acclimatization in marine taxa is dependent on local adaptation. Our ability to generate accurate global predictions starts in identifying regional responses, informing facets that fit globally in a mosaic of response to environmental extremes. The northwestern Gulf of Mexico (nwGoM) has not previously been isolated as a region with significant multi-taxon level comparisons under geochemical extremes. Therefore, we aim to procure a nwGoM regional baseline via a literature search in all known marine taxa&#x2019;s response to elevated CO<sub>2</sub> partial pressure (pCO<sub>2</sub>) coupled with real-time ecosystem modeling of this region. The baseline carbonate chemistry conditions indicate that pH, aragonite saturation state (&#x3a9;<sub>arag</sub>), and pCO<sub>2</sub> exhibit greater temporal and spatial variability within the upper 20 m of the water column, with nearshore waters showing more pronounced seasonal spatial variation than offshore waters. Of the taxon reported, 68.5% reported a negative response to increased pCO<sub>2</sub>, whereas 31.4% showed a neutral or mixed neutral response (positive or negative). Only 11.4% of reported taxa showed a positive response to elevated pCO<sub>2</sub>. Shown here is a holistic negative response to increased pCO<sub>2</sub> through collating external studies. Data was only found on 1.0% of the total species we recorded in the nwGoM region, highlighting a significant gap in our understanding of regional ecosystem wide sensitivity. Of the species shown here, 83% have habitat ranges within the top 20 m of the water column, and with seasonal variability they may be exposed to several extremes, modeled here but overlooked when compared to global predictions. Continuing experimental work on the reported species here will inform regional predictions to fit the global mosaic predicting the state of our oceans to future conditions.</p>
</abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd>ocean acidification</kwd>
<kwd>carbonate chemistry</kwd>
<kwd>aragonite saturation state (&#x3a9;)</kwd>
<kwd>organismal physiology</kwd>
<kwd>climate change</kwd>
</kwd-group>
<funding-group>
<funding-statement>The author(s) declare financial support was received for the research and/or publication of this article. ExxonMobil Biomedical Sciences, Inc. LAW-2022-0601. The funder was not involved in the study design, collection, analysis, interpretation of data, the writing of this article or the decision to submit it for publication.</funding-statement>
</funding-group>
<counts>
<fig-count count="8"/>
<table-count count="3"/>
<equation-count count="0"/>
<ref-count count="122"/>
<page-count count="19"/>
<word-count count="9157"/>
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<custom-meta-group>
<custom-meta>
<meta-name>section-in-acceptance</meta-name>
<meta-value>Marine Biogeochemistry</meta-value>
</custom-meta>
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</front>
<body>
<sec id="s1" sec-type="intro">
<title>Introduction</title>
<p>The Gulf of Mexico (GoM) is an essential marine ecosystem that supports significant fishery activities (both commercial and recreational). There are two types of coral reefs in the northwestern GoM (nwGoM). In the area managed by Flower Garden Banks National Marine Sanctuary (FGBNMS), coral reefs grow on salt dome features located near the edge of the continental shelf, with some reaching as shallow as 18 meters below the sea surface (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B97">Schmahl et&#xa0;al., 2008</xref>). The FGBNMS manages only 3 out of ~130 similar reefs, banks, and topographic features in the nwGoM. The much larger expanse of similar environments has significant ecological benefits not only to fisheries but also to the ecosystem health of this region by providing a network of interconnected communities within and around the FGBNMS. In addition to these naturally-based features, decommissioned oil and gas structures can also provide a hard substrate for coral growth (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1">Ajemian et&#xa0;al., 2015</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B96">Sammarco et&#xa0;al., 2013</xref>). In the deeper parts of the region, non-reef building corals also exist, forming deep water communities with similar biodiversity. It is worth noting that the nwGoM reef system, specifically the FGB area, received an official score of &#x2018;good&#x2019;, which indicates relatively healthy condition, from the <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B75">NOAA Coral Reef Program (2020)</xref> based on coral reef ecosystem survey data from 2014 to 2018. Making this reef ecosystem the only U.S. jurisdiction Atlantic coral reef to achieve such a rating (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B62">Manzello et&#xa0;al., 2021</xref>). These studies may indicate a degree of stability and conservation within the FGB area.</p>
<p>Since the industrial revolution (ca. 1750), carbon dioxide (CO<sub>2</sub>) has been continuously added into the atmosphere through human activities, including fossil fuel combustion, deforestation, and cement production (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B42">IPCC, 2013</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B55">Le Qu&#xe9;r&#xe9; et&#xa0;al., 2018</xref>). Because of this global scale disturbance to the carbon cycle, CO<sub>2</sub> concentration in the atmosphere has increased from the preindustrial level of ~280 ppm to the present ~474 ppm (NOAA Global Monitoring Laboratory). Over the past ~250 years, the ocean has taken up ~1/4 of anthropogenic CO<sub>2</sub> (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B55">Le Qu&#xe9;r&#xe9; et&#xa0;al., 2018</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B95">Sabine et&#xa0;al., 2004</xref>). Because CO<sub>2</sub> dissolved in seawater produces weak carbonic acid, surface ocean pH and carbonate saturation state (&#x3a9;) have been decreasing gradually, a process widely known as &#x201c;ocean acidification&#x201d; (OA) (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B21">Doney et&#xa0;al., 2009</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B27">Feely et&#xa0;al., 2004</xref>). Regions like the nwGoM with complex assemblages of biodiversity in near surface water may be threatened by OA in ways that global predictions fail to capture through generalized approaches.</p>
<p>Compared to the pelagic ocean, the coastal ocean experiences more complex impacting factors and lacks stable seasonality. Examples include coastal upwelling of deep &#x201c;corrosive&#x201d; CO<sub>2</sub>-rich and low pH water (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B25">Feely et&#xa0;al., 2010</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B26">2008</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B63">Mathis et&#xa0;al., 2012</xref>), &#x201c;basification&#x201d; due to enhanced export of alkalinity via large rivers, which is caused by either agricultural practices (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B88">Raymond and Cole, 2003</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B89">Raymond et&#xa0;al., 2008</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B90">Regnier et&#xa0;al., 2013</xref>) or changing acidification conditions in river headwaters (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B49">Kaushal et&#xa0;al., 2013</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B104">Stets et&#xa0;al., 2014</xref>), and eutrophication induced acidification in shallow coastal waters subject to hypoxia (i.e., dissolved oxygen or DO concentration &lt;2 mg L<sup>-1</sup>) (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B12">Cai et&#xa0;al., 2011</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B71">Mucci et&#xa0;al., 2011</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B112">Wallace et&#xa0;al., 2014</xref>).</p>
<p>While the Mississippi and Atchafalaya rivers influence the shelf water on the continental shelf, resulting in high pH (up to 8.8) and aragonite saturation state (&#x3a9;<sub>arag</sub>, up to 8) (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B37">Guo et&#xa0;al., 2012</xref>) in the river plume region and as low as 7.7 and 1.6 in hypoxic bottom waters, these parameters show much smaller spatial variations in the oligotrophic outer shelf waters (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B114">Wang et&#xa0;al., 2013</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B116">Wanninkhof et&#xa0;al., 2015</xref>). However, upwelling from deeper water could depress both pH and &#x3a9;<sub>arag</sub>. For example, in the shelf-slope break, subsurface waters have much lower pH and &#x3a9;<sub>arag</sub>, and pH is 7.9, and &#x3a9;<sub>arag</sub> is as low as 1.8 in ~200 m waters along the Galveston transect on the shelf-slope break (data from the 2017 Gulf of Mexico Ecosystems and Carbon Cruise, or GOMECC-3). Therefore, the northwestern Gulf of Mexico (nwGoM) and the organisms that inhabit this region are exposed to a wide range of geochemical extremes, independent of open ocean-based predictions. This region has not previously been isolated as a region with significant multi-taxon level comparisons under geochemical extremes. This study aims to procure a nwGoM regional baseline via a literature search in all known marine taxa&#x2019;s response to elevated CO<sub>2</sub> partial pressure (pCO<sub>2</sub>) coupled with real-time ecosystem modeling of this region.</p>
<p>Considering geochemical regimes, this paper outlines marine organismal sensitivities to acidification based on the synthesized baseline carbonate chemistry conditions in the nwGoM shelf. This study provides a contextual understanding of potential chemistry and biology shift from natural anthropogenic activities. This information may be helpful for future environmental monitoring or species sensitivities assessments.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2">
<title>Methods</title>
<sec id="s2_1">
<title>Synthesis of baseline carbonate chemistry data</title>
<p>Water column carbonate chemistry data (typically total alkalinity or TA, total dissolved inorganic carbon or DIC) and hydrographic data collected during various research cruises from 2006 to 2019 were retrieved as detailed in <xref ref-type="table" rid="T1"><bold>Table&#xa0;1</bold></xref>. This study focused on the continental shelf region of the nwGoM, specifically between 27-30&#xb0;N latitude and 90-98&#xb0;W longitude (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f1"><bold>Figures&#xa0;1</bold></xref>, <xref ref-type="fig" rid="f2"><bold>2</bold></xref>). Most sampling stations were located in areas with water depths less than 150 m (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f3"><bold>Figure&#xa0;3</bold></xref>), with the most significant recorded depth being 1250 m. The spatial distribution of stations across the study area was not uniform, with a higher density of sampling near the Louisiana coast (between 28-29&#xb0;N, 90-93&#xb0;W) and around FGBNMS (approximately 28.3&#xb0;N, 94.5&#xb0;W; <xref ref-type="fig" rid="f1"><bold>Figure&#xa0;1</bold></xref>). The Texas coast featured more sparsely spaced stations, and the sampling usually did not cover the outer shelf. In addition, sampling dates were unequally distributed across seasons, with most of the data collected in the summer and fall months and much fewer spring and no winter data from the Texas coast by the time when this manuscript was written (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f1"><bold>Figures&#xa0;1</bold></xref>, <xref ref-type="fig" rid="f2"><bold>2</bold></xref>).</p>
<table-wrap id="T1" position="float">
<label>Table&#xa0;1</label>
<caption>
<p>Datasets used for carbonate chemistry baseline synthesis.</p>
</caption>
<table frame="hsides">
<thead>
<tr>
<th valign="middle" align="center">Data name</th>
<th valign="middle" align="center">Time</th>
<th valign="middle" align="center">URL</th>
<th valign="middle" align="center">Author/leading scientist</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Northern Gulf of Mexico hypoxic zone data from shelf-wide cruises</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">2010-2016</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">2010: doi.org/10.7266/N7Z899TR<break/>2011: doi.org/10.7266/N7513WM8<break/>2012: doi.org/10.7266/N78913VT<break/>2013: doi.org/10.7266/N7000046<break/>2014: doi.org/10.7266/N73R0QXQ<break/>2015: doi.org/10.7266/N77H1GM0<break/>2016: doi.org/10.7266/N7GF0S2N</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Xinping Hu<break/>Xinping Hu, Wei-Jun Cai<break/>Xinping Hu, Wei-Jun Cai<break/>Xinping Hu<break/>Xinping Hu<break/>Xinping Hu<break/>Xinping Hu</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Northern Gulf of Mexico data from BCO-DMO (NSF)</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">2017-2019</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://www.bco-dmo.org/dataset/831523/data">https://www.bco-dmo.org/dataset/831523/data</ext-link></td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Wei-Jun Cai</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Water column carbonate chemistry data in Flower Garden Banks NMS</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">2013-2016</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">doi.org/10.7266/N7G15Z9M</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Xinping Hu</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center">South Texas Shelf cruise data</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">2012</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">unpublished</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Xinping Hu</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Gulf of Mexico and East Coast Carbon Cruise (GOMECC-1)</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">2007</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://www.aoml.noaa.gov/ocd/gcc/GOMECC1/data.php">https://www.aoml.noaa.gov/ocd/gcc/GOMECC1/data.php</ext-link></td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Tsung-Hung Peng, Chris Langdon</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Gulf of Mexico Ecosystems and Carbon Cruise (GOMECC-3)</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">2017</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://www.aoml.noaa.gov/ocd/gcc/GOMECC3/">https://www.aoml.noaa.gov/ocd/gcc/GOMECC3/</ext-link></td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Leticia Barbero</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Northern Gulf of Mexico summer bottom water data</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">2006-2017</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://www.bco-dmo.org/dataset/818773/data">https://www.bco-dmo.org/dataset/818773/data</ext-link></td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Wei-Jun Cai</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</table-wrap>
<fig id="f1" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;1</label>
<caption>
<p>Geographic setting of the study area. The general boundaries of the sampling stations along the Texas and Louisiana coasts are indicated by black boxes. The Flower Garden Banks National Marine Sanctuary (FGBNMS) is highlighted in red.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fmars-12-1644030-g001.tif">
<alt-text content-type="machine-generated">Map of the Gulf of Mexico showing Texas and Louisiana with overlay boxes. The &#x201c;FGBNMS&#x201d; area is marked in red near Texas, and &#x201c;Carbonate chemistry data&#x201d; is noted toward Louisiana.</alt-text>
</graphic>
</fig>
<fig id="f2" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;2</label>
<caption>
<p>(Top panel)The spatial and seasonal distribution of sampling stations included in the synthesis, and (Bottom panel) the amount of data available in each month. All data are from the datasets listed in <xref ref-type="table" rid="T1"><bold>Table&#xa0;1</bold></xref>, with the analyses limited to stations located north of 27&#xb0;N and west of 90&#xb0;W. The denser color in the station map indicates a higher sampling density. The red contour line indicates 150 m isobath.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fmars-12-1644030-g002.tif">
<alt-text content-type="machine-generated">Seasonal distribution maps and a bar chart. Four maps show data point concentrations in a coastal area for spring, summer, autumn, and winter, with depth indicated by color. The bar chart below displays data numbers by month, with a peak in July.</alt-text>
</graphic>
</fig>
<fig id="f3" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;3</label>
<caption>
<p>Depth distributions of pH, &#x3a9;<sub>arag</sub>, and pCO<sub>2</sub> in the top 150 m of water at all stations. Also shown are the relationships between &#x3a9;<sub>arag</sub> &#x200b; and pH&#x200b;, and between pH&#x200b; and pCO<sub>2</sub>. The vertical red line indicates &#x3a9;<sub>arag</sub> =1.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fmars-12-1644030-g003.tif">
<alt-text content-type="machine-generated">Five scatter plots show oceanographic data. The top row includes plots of water depth against pH_T, Omega_arag, and pCO2. The bottom row displays Omega_arag versus pH_T and pH_T versus pCO2. Data points are color-coded by month, with a scale from one to ten.</alt-text>
</graphic>
</fig>
</sec>
<sec id="s2_2">
<title>Vulnerable species selection</title>
<p>The second part of the study aims to provide a comprehensive overview of nwGoM species potentially sensitive to CO<sub>2</sub> changes with vulnerabilities supported by the literature. The selection and inclusion of these potentially vulnerable species were based on the following merits:</p>
<list list-type="order">
<list-item>
<p>Locationally relevant species: We compiled over 3,480 species recorded within the habitat range of the nwGoM, ensuring appropriate and region-specific information.</p></list-item>
<list-item>
<p>Phyla selection: The choice of phyla with locational relevancy was determined by available literature conducting CO<sub>2</sub> enrichment analyses on related species (<xref ref-type="table" rid="T2"><bold>Table&#xa0;2</bold></xref>).</p></list-item>
<list-item>
<p>Class refinement: Further subdivision into classes was carried out for cases where a particular phylum was large with many species.</p></list-item>
</list>
<table-wrap id="T2" position="float">
<label>Table&#xa0;2</label>
<caption>
<p>A northwest Gulf of Mexico (nwGoM) vulnerable species survey from supporting literature, showing class and genus or specific species names, relative % impact (clearly stated by the authors), biological responses, the pCO<sub>2</sub> treatment range (&#xb5;atm, * = ppm, ** = pH, *** = fCO2), exposure time in days, directionality (i.e. the generalized and nonspecific response determined by the authors), habitat biology (see footnotes), depth range which this species is found, and regionality within the GoM.</p>
</caption>
<table frame="hsides">
<thead>
<tr>
<th valign="middle" align="center">Class</th>
<th valign="middle" align="center">Genus/Species</th>
<th valign="middle" align="center">Impact (%)</th>
<th valign="middle" align="center">Biological Response</th>
<th valign="middle" align="center">pCO<sub>2</sub> Range</th>
<th valign="middle" align="center">Exposure (d)</th>
<th valign="middle" align="center">Direction</th>
<th valign="middle" align="center">Habitat-Biology</th>
<th valign="middle" align="center">Depth (m)</th>
<th valign="middle" align="center">Location</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Rhodophyceae</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>J. adhaerens</italic></td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">&#x2191;50</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Calcification</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">1180-1520</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">3</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">o</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">epi, hsb</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">0-&gt;10</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Entire</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Florideophyceae</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>Neosiphonia</italic> spp.</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">NA</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Photosynthesis &amp; growth</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">800 - 1500</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">14-24</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">(+)</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">epi, hsb</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">3-&gt;10</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Entire</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Florideophyceae</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>Hydrolithon</italic> spp.</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">&#x2193;7</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Calcification</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">900*</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">5</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">(-)</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">epi, hsb</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">3-&gt;10</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Entire</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Bacillariophyceae</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>Coscinodiscus</italic> spp.</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">&#x2191;30-40</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Growth &amp; C fix. rate</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">400 &amp; 800</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">2</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">(+)</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">ben, plk, bns, osp</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">0-&gt;10</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Entire</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Bacillariophyceae</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>T. pseudonana</italic></td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">&#x2193;9</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Photosynthesis</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">800-1400</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">0.2-0.3</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">(-)/o</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Unk</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Unk</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Entire</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Actinopterygii</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>M. beryllina</italic></td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">&#x2193;73</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Larval survival</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">780</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">10</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">(-)</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">bns, est</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Near-shore</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><bold>nw</bold>, ne, sw</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Actinopterygii</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>S. ocellatus</italic></td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">&#x2193;14</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Larval survival</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">1300</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">3</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">o</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">dem, crr, est</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">0-27</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><bold>nw</bold>, ne, sw</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Chondrichthyes</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>L. erinacea</italic></td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">&#x2191;67</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Jaw mineralization</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">1100</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">155-186</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">(+)</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">dem, slp, end</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">53-588</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Entire</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Chondrichthyes</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>Scyliorhinus</italic> spp.</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">&#x2191;15</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Absolute lateralization</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">990</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">28</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">(-)</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">slp, sft</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">73-548</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Entire</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Asteroidea</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>L. clathrata</italic></td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">&#x2191;67</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Relative juvenile growth</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">780</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">97</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">o</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">snd</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">0-175</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><bold>nw,</bold> ne</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Malacostraca</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>Menippe</italic> spp.</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">&#x2193;28-37</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Hatching &amp; survivorship</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">600</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">12</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">(-)</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">ben, rbl, com, end</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">0-51</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Entire</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Malacostraca</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>Clibanarius</italic> spp.</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">NA</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Larval survival</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">110-1200</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">30</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">(-)</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">ben, itd, bns</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">0-22</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Entire</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Malacostraca</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>Portunus</italic> spp.</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">&#x2193;100</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">(Adult) survival</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">2200- 231280</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">3</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">(-)</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">bplg, sft, shl, rbl</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">0-640</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Entire</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Malacostraca</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>C. sapidus</italic></td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">&#x2193;23</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Larval survival</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">4650</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">77</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">(-)</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">bplg, eur, com</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">0-90</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Entire</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Copepoda</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>P. crassirostris</italic></td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">NA</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Physiological pathways</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">7.70-7.95 **</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">NA</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">o</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">plk, cep</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">0-50</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Entire</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Copepoda</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>Calanus</italic> spp.</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">&#x2193;50</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Scope for growth</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">680-19,460</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">77-50</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">(-)/o</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">plk, osp, ner</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">0-200</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Entire</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Copepoda</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>Arcatia</italic> sp.</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">NA</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Size decrease</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">880-1410 ***</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">31</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">(-)</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">plk, cep, ner, est</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">0-200</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Entire</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Cirripedia</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>Amphibalanus</italic> spp.</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">&#x2191;39</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Base plate damage</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">970-1600</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">77-84</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">(-)/o</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">est, bns, hsb, epi</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">0-62</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Entire</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Bivalvia</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>Panopea</italic> spp.</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">&#x2193;13</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Larval shell length</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">2490</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">13-19</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">(-)</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">ben, bur, est</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">0-46</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><bold>nw,</bold> ne</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Bivalvia</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>Mercenaria</italic> spp.</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">&#x2193;80</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Larval survival</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">620-1500</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">21-147</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">(-)/o</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">ben, com, inf, sft</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">0-60</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Entire</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Bivalvia</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>Spisula</italic> sp.</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">NA</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Energy costs</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">570-2160</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">28-84</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">(-)</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">ben, inf</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">0-90</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><bold>nw</bold>, ne</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Bivalvia</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>A. irradians</italic></td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">&#x2193;97</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Larval survival</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">509-1987</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">7-21</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">(-)</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">ben, epi, mud, est</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">0-26</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><bold>nw,</bold> sw, se</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Bivalvia</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>Pinctada</italic> spp.</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">&#x2193;102</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Calcification</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">1420-2940</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">3</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">(-)</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">byn, com, epi, hsb</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">0-26</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Entire</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Bivalvia</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>C. virginica</italic></td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">&#x2193;22</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Total shell area</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">800-3500</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">26-140</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">(-)</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">com, epi, orf, ses</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">0-79</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Entire</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Bivalvia</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>Macoma</italic> spp.</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">&#x2193;29-48</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Hatching success</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">600-2130</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">17-19</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">(-)</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">ben, est, inf</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">0-183</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Entire</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Cephalopoda</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>D. pealeii</italic></td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">&#x2193;5</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Paralarvae size</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">1300-2200*</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">16-19</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">(-)</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">cep, cts</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">1-366</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Entire</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Gastropoda</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>C. fornicata</italic></td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">&#x2193;11</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Shell surface area</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">1400</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">17</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">(-)</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">ben, hsb, sgr, spf</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">0-70</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Entire</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Gastropoda</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>Haliotis</italic> spp.</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">NA</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Shell growth</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">750-1400</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">93</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">(-)</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">ben, her, hsb</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">36-366</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><bold>nw,</bold> ne, se</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Gastropoda</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>Aplysia</italic> spp.</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">&#x2193;30</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Metabolic rate</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">2800</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">19</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">o</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">ben, her, sft</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">0-42</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Entire</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Polyplacophora</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>Leptochitonid</italic> spp.</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">0</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Shell strength</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">2000</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">28</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">o</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">ben, epi, swd</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">300-912</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><bold>wnw,</bold> ese, nne</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Scyphozoan</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>A. aurita</italic></td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">NA</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Statolith growth</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">800-4000</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">7-122</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">(+)/o</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">est, ner, pth</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">0-1250</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Entire</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Scleractinia</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>A. palmata</italic></td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">&#x2193;52-73</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Larval settlement</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">560-800</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">11</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">(-)</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">ben, zoo, hsb, crr</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">0-30</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><bold>nw,</bold> se sw</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Scleractinia</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>Madracis</italic> spp.</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">0</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Calcification</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">1480</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">9</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">o</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">ben, azo, hsb, ocs</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">2-1220</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><bold>nw,</bold> ne, se</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Scleractinia</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>P. astreoides</italic></td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">&#x2193;27-63</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Larval metabolism</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">560 &amp; 800</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">NA</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">(-)</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">ben, zoo, hsb, crr</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">1-70+</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">Entire</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table-wrap-foot>
<fn>
<p>*All species present in this table used information from <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B28">Felder and Camp (2009)</xref>, and experimental response data can be found cited throughout this paper.</p></fn>
<fn>
<p>Ecological group descriptors: ben, benthic; plk, planktonic; epi, epiphytic or epizoic on soft tissue; par, parasite; or, oyster reef; est, estuary.</p></fn>
<fn>
<p>General depth/strata descriptors: bns, bay and nearshore; dr, drift; int, intertidal; oc, ocean; ofs, offshore; osp, oceanic surface and epipelagic;</p></fn>
<fn>
<p>shw, shallow subtidal (from 3 to 10 m depth); subt, sub- tidal (from deeper than 10 m depth).</p></fn>
<fn>
<p>Substrate descriptors: hsb, hard substratum; sft, soft substrata (mud, sands, clays).</p></fn>
<fn>
<p>Habitat-Biology Descriptors: bplg, benthopelagic; bab, bathyal; bsl, beach and shoreline; bur, burrower or borer; dem, demersal; end, endemic solely to Gulf of Mexico; epi, epibiotic;</p></fn>
<fn>
<p>est, estuarine; inf, infaunal; ins, interstitial; itd, intertidal to semiterrestrial; rbl, rubble; sym, symbiotic; dcrr, deep-reef; nid, non- indigenous to Gulf of Mexico; azo, azooxanthellate;</p></fn>
<fn>
<p>zoo, zooxanthellate; and tbi, tubicolous.</p></fn>
<fn>
<p>The bold values indicate emphasis on the northwestern region in the Gulf of Mexico.</p></fn>
</table-wrap-foot>
</table-wrap>
<p>All species were selected from the collection <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B28">Felder and Camp (2009)</xref>. Each section was divided by phyla, and phylum was assessed using a preliminary literature search. We scanned through 77 phyla and 15,419 species to apply the abovementioned constraints. Three thousand four hundred eighty species (3480) were recorded as locationally relevant. Each species within a given phylum with locational relevancy was searched in <italic>Google Scholar</italic> or <italic>Research Rabbit</italic> with the keywords &#x201c;(<italic>genus</italic>) <italic>CO<sub>2</sub></italic>&#x201d; and <italic>&#x201c;</italic>(<italic>genus</italic>) <italic>ocean acidification</italic>.&#x201d; All species with peer-reviewed articles that experimentally addressed or reviewed direct exposure to elevated pCO<sub>2</sub> on any biological function were pulled and used in this report. Of the 3480 locationally relevant species, this review found relevant data on a subset of 35 species. Those species with one or more reports of exposure to increased pCO<sub>2</sub> were listed in <xref ref-type="table" rid="T2"><bold>Table&#xa0;2</bold></xref>. Sections within this survey were refined by class, as some phyla may have had locationally relevant classes with no relevant literature, and species identified can be found in the data provided. The literature search was conducted in January 2024.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2_3">
<title>Carbonate chemistry calculations</title>
<p>Carbonate chemistry parameters (pH, &#x3a9;<sub>arag</sub>, pCO<sub>2</sub>) were calculated using the CO2SYS program, with TA and DIC as input parameters, along with silicate and phosphate concentrations when available. In this study, carbonic acid dissociation constants, bisulfate dissociation constant, hydrofluoric acid dissociation constant, and borate-to-salinity ratio from <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B59">Lueker et&#xa0;al. (2000)</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B19">Dickson (1990)</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B82">Perez and Fraga (1987)</xref>, and <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B54">Lee et&#xa0;al. (2010)</xref>, respectively, were used for carbonate speciation calculations. All reported data are <italic>in situ</italic> temperature and pressure. The pH values are presented on the total scale.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="s3" sec-type="results">
<title>Results and discussion</title>
<sec id="s3_1">
<title>Geochemical baselines</title>
<sec id="s3_1_1">
<title>Depth distributions of pH, &#x3a9;<sub>arag</sub>, and pCO<sub>2</sub></title>
<p>The pH values of shelf water ranged from 7.54 to 8.8 across all stations in the nwGoM (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f3"><bold>Figure&#xa0;3</bold></xref>). However, significant variations in pH (up to 1.6 pH unit) were observed within the top 50 m of the water column. Conversely, a remarkably uniform pH range of approximately 7.9 to 8.3 prevailed in the depth interval between 50 and 150 m, irrespective of temporal and spatial variations. These distinct vertical variations suggest much more diverse biogeochemical, physical mixing, and temperature effects in the surface water. In most cases, &#x3a9;<sub>arag</sub> values were above 1, indicating that shelf waters were saturated with respect to aragonite. Similar to pH, the variation in &#x3a9;<sub>arag</sub> was also more pronounced within the top 20 meters of the water column, whereas values at greater depth until 150 m remained near &#x3a9;<sub>arag</sub> = 2. Surface water pCO<sub>2</sub> (upper 20 m) exhibited substantial variability, ranging from &lt;100 &#xb5;atm to &gt;2000 &#xb5;atm, whereas values at greater depths were comparatively stable, typically between 200 and 500 &#xb5;atm. Seasonally, pCO<sub>2</sub> was generally elevated during summer relative to winter. When all the data were combined, there was a positive relationship between pH and &#x3a9;<sub>arag</sub>, and a negative relationship between pH and pCO<sub>2</sub> was found (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f3"><bold>Figure&#xa0;3</bold></xref>).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s3_1_2">
<title>Spatial and seasonal variabilities of carbonate chemistry in the surface and bottom waters</title>
<p>The spatial and seasonal variabilities of carbonate chemistry are demonstrated along the Louisiana coast (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f4"><bold>Figure&#xa0;4</bold></xref>). Both surface and bottom sampling stations covered the whole study region, and the seasonality represented the mean values of carbonate chemistry parameters across different cruises (interannual variability was averaged). pH levels were variable in both the surface and bottom layers. In the surface layer, there were high pH hotspots in the nearshore regions (pH up to 8.6, spring and summer). In contrast, bottom water pH was generally lower than surface water in each corresponding season (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f4"><bold>Figures&#xa0;4</bold></xref>, <xref ref-type="fig" rid="f5"><bold>5</bold></xref>). In spring and summer, areas of lower pH in the bottom water generally corresponded with those that had higher surface pH (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f4"><bold>Figure&#xa0;4</bold></xref>), suggesting organic matter production through photosynthesis in the surface water sinking to the bottom and getting remineralized. Data were also analyzed based on their geological locations (nearshore locations = north of 28.5&#xb0;N; offshore locations = south of 28.5&#xb0;N) (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f5"><bold>Figure&#xa0;5</bold></xref>). Summer surface layer pH had the largest variations (up to 1.4 pH unit) across all the subsets, suggesting the complex biogeochemical and physical processes happening in the nearshore locations. More extreme values, identified as outliers in the boxplot, were observed in the nearshore surface water, and in general, the nearshore locations have a stronger variation in pH compared to the corresponding offshore data subset except for the surface layer in autumn (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f5"><bold>Figure&#xa0;5</bold></xref>). In contrast, low variations in pH (0.4-0.6 pH unit) were observed in offshore locations across seasons. The absence of significant terrestrial input and greater depth (inferring water column stability) could be the major reason for the low variabilities in pH in the offshore regions.</p>
<fig id="f4" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;4</label>
<caption>
<p>Seasonal arithmetic means of pH, &#x3a9;<sub>arag</sub>, and pCO<sub>2</sub> in the surface and bottom layers along the Louisiana coast. The surface layer refers to the shallowest depth recorded at each station (&lt;10 m), and the bottom layer is the deepest sampling depth, with a minimum depth of 10 m, across the studied area.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fmars-12-1644030-g004.tif">
<alt-text content-type="machine-generated">Seasonal maps show surface and bottom data for pH&#x209c;, nitrate (n&#x2092;&#x2083;&#x1d00;&#x1d69;), and photosynthetically active chlorophyll (POC&#x2092;.&#x2084;&#xb5;m) across the Gulf of Mexico. Four maps per season (spring, summer, autumn, winter) depict variations in each parameter. Additional graphs illustrate sampling stations and bottom sample depths.</alt-text>
</graphic>
</fig>
<fig id="f5" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;5</label>
<caption>
<p>Boxplots of pH across different seasons at nearshore and offshore locations (nearshore locations = north of 28.5&#xb0;N; offshore locations = south of 28.5&#xb0;N).</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fmars-12-1644030-g005.tif">
<alt-text content-type="machine-generated">Four box plots show seasonal pH levels at nearshore and offshore locations, both at the surface and bottom. Nearshore surface pH varies from 7.4 to 8.6, with fluctuations across seasons. Nearshore bottom pH ranges from 7.6 to 8.6. Offshore surface pH ranges from 7.6 to 8.5, and offshore bottom pH from 7.8 to 8.5. Each plot shows variations in seasonal pH levels with noticeable outliers marked in red.</alt-text>
</graphic>
</fig>
<p>Surface water &#x3a9;<sub>arag</sub>&#x200b; was generally higher than that of bottom water in each corresponding season (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f4"><bold>Figures&#xa0;4</bold></xref>, <xref ref-type="fig" rid="f6"><bold>6</bold></xref>), even though spatial heterogeneity in &#x3a9;<sub>arag</sub>&#x200b; &#x200b; was observed across seasons and locations. Surface water &#x3a9;<sub>arag</sub>&#x200b; &#x200b; was more homogeneously distributed in autumn and winter (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f4"><bold>Figure&#xa0;4</bold></xref>), although low &#x3a9;<sub>arag</sub>&#x200b; &#x200b; (~3.5 in autumn and ~2 in winter) regions were observed in the nearshore Mississippi River mouth, suggesting the influence from terrestrial input (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f4"><bold>Figure&#xa0;4</bold></xref>). In the subset data analysis, similar to pH data, more extreme &#x3a9;<sub>arag</sub>&#x200b; &#x200b; values (outliers in the boxplot) were observed in the nearshore surface water subset. In the nearshore surface layer, &#x3a9;<sub>arag</sub>&#x200b; &#x200b;generally exhibited larger variability (up to 10 across seasons) than that of the offshore surface layer, but in the bottom layer, &#x3a9;<sub>arag</sub>&#x200b; &#x200b; ranged up to 5 regardless of season and location (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f6"><bold>Figures&#xa0;6</bold></xref>).</p>
<fig id="f6" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;6</label>
<caption>
<p>Boxplots of &#x3a9;<sub>arag</sub> across different seasons at nearshore and offshore locations (nearshore locations = north of 28.5&#xb0;N; offshore locations = south of 28.5&#xb0;N).</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fmars-12-1644030-g006.tif">
<alt-text content-type="machine-generated">Box plots depict seasonal variations in aragonite saturation (&#x3a9;_arag) across four locations: nearshore surface, nearshore bottom, offshore surface, and offshore bottom. Each plot reflects data for spring, summer, autumn, and winter, indicating higher saturation in warmer months with outliers marked by red crosses.</alt-text>
</graphic>
</fig>
<p>The spatial and seasonal distributions of pCO<sub>2</sub> confirmed its negative relationship with pH (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f3"><bold>Figure&#xa0;3</bold></xref>, <xref ref-type="fig" rid="f4"><bold>4</bold></xref>). Surface water pCO<sub>2</sub> was generally lower than bottom-water values, with this vertical contrast being more pronounced in nearshore regions (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f4"><bold>Figure&#xa0;4</bold></xref> and <xref ref-type="fig" rid="f7"><bold>7</bold></xref>). Episodes of extreme pCO<sub>2</sub> (&gt;1000 &#xb5;atm) were most frequently observed in nearshore waters, particularly in the summer surface layer. Consistent with the pH patterns, nearshore regions exhibited stronger variability in pCO<sub>2</sub> relative to offshore waters, except for the surface layer in autumn (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f7"><bold>Figure&#xa0;7</bold></xref>). Collectively, these results emphasize the substantial spatiotemporal variability of carbonate chemistry in the northwestern Gulf of Mexico and highlight the dynamic nature of nearshore environments.</p>
<fig id="f7" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;7</label>
<caption>
<p>Boxplots of pCO<sub>2</sub> across different seasons at nearshore and offshore locations (nearshore locations = north of 28.5&#xb0;N; offshore locations = south of 28.5&#xb0;N).</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fmars-12-1644030-g007.tif">
<alt-text content-type="machine-generated">Boxplot diagrams illustrating partial pressure of carbon dioxide (pCO2) in microatmospheres across different seasons at nearshore and offshore locations, both at surface and bottom levels. Each plot shows data for spring, summer, autumn, and winter, indicating seasonal variations in pCO2 levels. Spring shows lower variability across all locations, while summer exhibits higher outliers, mainly in nearshore areas.</alt-text>
</graphic>
</fig>
<p>Collectively, these results emphasize the substantial spatiotemporal variability of carbonate chemistry in the northwestern Gulf of Mexico and highlight the dynamic nature of nearshore environments. Interannual variability in carbonate chemistry was not assessed in this review paper due to limited spatial coverage of the data (sampling stations differed among cruises and the shelf region exhibits large spatial heterogeneity) and the relatively short time span available for long-term analysis. Instead, based on more comprehensive underway pCO<sub>2</sub> data, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B50">Kealoha et&#xa0;al. (2020)</xref> demonstrated that surface water pCO<sub>2</sub> in the nwGoM has been increasing at a rate of approximately 3 &#xb5;atm per year, primarily driven by the uptake of anthropogenically produced atmospheric CO<sub>2</sub>. Considering this trend, marine organisms are expected to experience the effects of ocean acidification in the near future, if they are not already doing so. The response of organisms to OA are reviewed below.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="s3_2">
<title>Vulnerable species survey</title>
<p>Fourteen classes and 35 species were identified in experimental conditions of CO<sub>2</sub> enrichment (<xref ref-type="table" rid="T2"><bold>Table&#xa0;2</bold></xref>). Among these were vertebrates belonging to the classes Actinopterygii and Chondrichthyes, along with invertebrates such as Malacostraca, Copepoda, Cirrepedia, Bivalvia, Cephalopoda, Gastropoda, Polyplacophora, Scyphozoa, and Scleractinia. Rhodophycea, Florideophyceae, and Bacillariophyceae were also included. Biological responses ranged from calcification, survival (larval &amp; adult), growth, settlement, and gut microbial communities (<xref ref-type="table" rid="T2"><bold>Table&#xa0;2</bold></xref>). Exposures to elevated CO<sub>2</sub> level were also highly variable. Most attempted to provide an effect curve from future predictions of oceanic CO<sub>2</sub> conditions resulting from climate change scenarios detailed in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B42">IPCC, 2013</xref>) report. This effect curve also extended much further than these predictions and simulated extreme values (+2000 &#xb5;atm)&#x2014;with one study reaching levels shown at hydrothermal vents (231,280 &#xb5;atm). Exposure times also ranged from the lowest 0.2 days to the highest at 187 days (<xref ref-type="table" rid="T2"><bold>Table&#xa0;2</bold></xref>).</p>
<p>Of the taxa reported, 68.5% showed a negative directionality response to increased pCO<sub>2</sub>, whereas 31.4% showed a neutral or mixed neutral response (positive or negative). Only 11.4% of reported taxa showed a positive response to elevated pCO<sub>2</sub>. The taxa here only represent 1.0% of the total we recorded in the nwGoM region, and inconsistencies in experimental methods, pCO<sub>2</sub> levels, and exposure times may be challenging for one-to-one comparisons. Also, these taxa are present in the nwGoM, but most studies in this report were done elsewhere, which could potentially introduce bias with regionally derived tolerances. We recommend a survey driven toward manipulation experiments under relevant controlled pCO<sub>2</sub> and exposure times to these taxa regionally sourced from the nwGoM.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s3_3">
<title>Coral reef builders</title>
<p>Rhodophyta or red algae are distinctly red due to phycoerythrin pigments&#x2013;allowing for greater photosynthetic capacities in deeper waters (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B29">Fredericq et&#xa0;al., 2009</xref>). Red algae play a crucial role in reef cementation, accretion, and sedimentation, providing a settlement substrate for sessile invertebrates, including coral larvae (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B65">McCoy and Kamenos, 2015</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B67">McNicholl et&#xa0;al., 2020</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B74">Nelson, 2009</xref>). Elevated levels of pCO<sub>2</sub> in seawater have been observed to directly affect certain rhodophytes or calcifying reef algae species, increasing the energetic costs associated with calcification. However, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B67">McNicholl et&#xa0;al. (2020)</xref> examined <italic>Jania adhaerens</italic> and found that daytime calcification was less impacted compared to nighttime dissolution, where dissolution was more pronounced in a high pCO<sub>2</sub> (1881-1524 &#xb5;atm) environment (<xref ref-type="table" rid="T2"><bold>Table&#xa0;2</bold></xref>). Indirectly, the impacts of elevated pCO<sub>2</sub> have also been observed to increase environmental competition, with macroalgae outcompeting crustose coralline algae species for space (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B65">McCoy and Kamenos, 2015</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B74">Nelson, 2009</xref>).</p>
<p>Florideophyceae is a class of red algae containing most species found within the phylum Rhodophyta and is essential in both photic and benthic marine zones. Like the class described above, calcifying Florideophyceae provides a settlement substrate for benthic marine organisms (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B17">De Carvalho et&#xa0;al., 2022</xref>). Shown in <italic>Neosiphonia harveyi</italic> species, lower temperatures and elevated pCO<sub>2</sub> (800-1500 &#xb5;atm) positively impacted the coralline algae by increasing and supporting photosynthetic processes and growth rates (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B77">Olischl&#xe4;ger and Wiencke, 2013</xref>). <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B84">Porzio et&#xa0;al. (2011)</xref> showed that many species within Florideophyceae continue to photosynthesize and grow in conditions of increased pCO<sub>2</sub> (pH 7.8). Approximately 95% of the algal species studied in the examination by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B84">Porzio et&#xa0;al. (2011)</xref> could tolerate and survive in conditions of 7.8 pH (<xref ref-type="table" rid="T2"><bold>Table&#xa0;2</bold></xref>). However, other work show elevated pCO<sub>2</sub> acting in reducing tissue growth (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B65">McCoy and Kamenos, 2015</xref>). The <italic>Hydrolithon</italic> spp. will respond negatively to increased pCO<sub>2</sub> (900 ppm) which has been shown to exhibit reduced calcification (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B99">Semesi et&#xa0;al., 2009</xref>).</p>
<p>The FGB sanctuary in the nwGoM is home to 24 specific species of Scleractinia corals, contributing to the rich coral diversity in the area. The coral cover within the West and East FGB has been noted as some of the most pristine in the region, with approximately 50% to 80% total coverage (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B30">Garavelli et&#xa0;al., 2018</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B41">Hickerson et&#xa0;al., 2012</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B45">Johnston et&#xa0;al., 2016</xref>). Coral calcification facilitates benthic complexity, supporting marine biodiversity and building large reef structures, but these communities could be threatened by ocean acidification with reduced calcification (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B46">Jokiel et&#xa0;al., 2014</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B79">Page et&#xa0;al., 2017</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">DeCarlo et&#xa0;al., 2017</xref>). Also, coral&#x2019;s biphasic life history strategies present challenges in assessing tolerances due to fundamentally different physiologies dependent on life stage (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B32">Gleason and Hofmann, 2011</xref>).</p>
<p>Studies have examined the effects of pCO<sub>2</sub> increases on carbonate-based organisms, including corals. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B2">Albright and Langdon (2011)</xref> found that increased pCO<sub>2</sub> (560 &amp; 800 &#xb5;atm) significantly impacted larval metabolism, settlement, and post-larval growth in <italic>Porites astreoides</italic> (<xref ref-type="table" rid="T2"><bold>Table&#xa0;2</bold></xref>). <italic>Madracis mirabilis</italic>, forms dense clusters and provides shelter for marine microfauna and flora (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B47">Jury et&#xa0;al., 2010</xref>). In a study conducted by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B47">Jury et&#xa0;al. (2010)</xref>, researchers demonstrated that <italic>Madracis auretenra</italic> (<italic>mirabilis</italic>) exhibited varying responses to ocean chemistries associated with increased pCO<sub>2</sub> (1480 &#xb5;atm), showing a nonlinear relationship between chemistry and resistance levels that is not yet fully understood. Additionally, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B3">Albright et&#xa0;al. (2010)</xref> observed a significant reduction in fertilization, larval settlement, and growth of <italic>Acropora palmata</italic> caused by increased pCO<sub>2</sub> (560-800 &#xb5;atm; <xref ref-type="table" rid="T2"><bold>Table&#xa0;2</bold></xref>), further emphasizing the potential negative impacts of increased pCO<sub>2</sub> on coral reproduction and development.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s3_4">
<title>Benthic invertebrates</title>
<p>Polyplacophorans or chitons are marine grazers characterized by a dorsal shell composed of eight articulating plates formed with aragonite (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B101">Sigwart and Carey, 2014</xref>). Increased environmental pCO<sub>2</sub> could impact marine grazers by increased metabolism and subsequent feeding (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B11">Burnell et&#xa0;al., 2013</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B101">Sigwart and Carey, 2014</xref>). The exclusive formation of chiton shells from aragonite renders them susceptible to the effects of hypercapnia (i.e., increases in environmental pCO<sub>2</sub>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B101">Sigwart and Carey, 2014</xref>). A study conducted by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B102">Sigwart et&#xa0;al. (2015)</xref> found no change in the fracture strength required to break chiton shells under hypercapnia (2000 &#xb5;atm; <xref ref-type="table" rid="T2"><bold>Table&#xa0;2</bold></xref>). Suggesting that chitons may possess specific attributes that reduce or mitigate the effects of increased pCO<sub>2</sub>, even with predominantly aragonitic shell composition.</p>
<p>The class Gastropoda, is comprised of a diverse group of marine mollusks, and exhibit varying responses to hypercapnic scenarios. The genus <italic>Aplysia</italic> is a sea hare that is found in benthic habitats in the nwGoM (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B70">Moroz, 2011</xref>). Most sea hares possess an internal shell that protect internal organs composed primarily of aragonite (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B13">Carey et&#xa0;al., 2016</xref>). In a study by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B13">Carey et&#xa0;al. (2016)</xref>, it was found that the cosmopolitan sea hare species <italic>Aplysia puncata</italic> could maintain normal calcification rates under increased pCO<sub>2</sub> (2800 &#xb5;atm), although their metabolic rates were significantly impacted. Studies on species within the genus <italic>Haliotis</italic> (abalone) by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">Auzoux-Bordenave et&#xa0;al. (2019)</xref> demonstrated that raised pCO<sub>2</sub> environments (740-1400 &#xb5;atm) significantly impacted shell growth and mineralization (<xref ref-type="table" rid="T2"><bold>Table&#xa0;2</bold></xref>). Furthermore, larval shell responses of the slipper limpet <italic>Crepidula fornicate</italic> were examined by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B76">Noisette et&#xa0;al. (2014)</xref>, revealing an overall reduction in shell length under increased pCO<sub>2</sub> conditions (1400 &#xb5;atm; <xref ref-type="table" rid="T2"><bold>Table&#xa0;2</bold></xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B9">Bogan et&#xa0;al., 2019</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B51">Kriefall et&#xa0;al., 2018</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B91">Reyes-Giler et&#xa0;al., 2021</xref>).</p>
<p>Bivalves are essential animals in marine food webs and contribute to benthic biodiversity. Typically, bivalves synthesize their shells out of calcite, a polymorph of calcium carbonate. These calcification processes, which are of significant concern in several other taxa (as discussed i.e., corals, snails, limpets, and chitons), could be affected by increased pCO<sub>2</sub>. Marine clams belonging to the genus <italic>Macoma</italic> were examined for their susceptibility to increased pCO<sub>2</sub>. The life history strategies of this species were impacted by elevated pCO<sub>2</sub> at 1454 &#x3bc;atm (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B109">Van Colen et&#xa0;al., 2012</xref>), and it was found that pCO<sub>2</sub> at &gt; 500 &#x3bc;atm (600&#x2013;1650 &#x3bc;atm) impacted larval settlement as well (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B43">Jansson et&#xa0;al., 2015</xref>). <italic>Crassostrea virginica</italic>, or the eastern oyster, shows variable responses to increased pCO<sub>2</sub> (800-3500 &#x3bc;atm), some showing regulatory compensation and others showing decreased calcification (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B8">Beniash et&#xa0;al., 2010</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B69">Miller et&#xa0;al., 2020</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B111">Waldbusser et&#xa0;al., 2011</xref>). At levels ~3500 &#x3bc;atm, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B8">Beniash et&#xa0;al. (2010)</xref> reported decreased calcification, juvenile mortality, and soft body growth. Larval growth was slowed substantially in pCO<sub>2</sub> manipulations at ~800 &#x3bc;atm, as <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B69">Miller et&#xa0;al. (2020)</xref> showed. Also, pH manipulation by CO2 bubbling significantly decreased calcification with a reduction of ~0.5 units from <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B111">Waldbusser et&#xa0;al. (2011)</xref>.</p>
<p>The bivalve <italic>Pinctada</italic> spp. was examined, and significant upregulation of acid-based control in lower pH environments (7.5 &amp; 7.8) resulted in higher metabolic demand (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B56">Li et&#xa0;al., 2016</xref>). Another study found weaker shells and deformations in outer growth patterns due to lower pH (7.8 &amp; 7.6; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B117">Welladsen, 2010</xref>). A separate analysis found significant differences in calcium content and organization of nacre caused by decreased pH (7.4; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B57">Liu et&#xa0;al., 2017</xref>). Two studies examining <italic>Argopecten irradians</italic> found significantly reduced larval survival at increased [CO<sub>2</sub>] (650 ppm and 1987 &#x3bc;atm respectively; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B105">Talmage and Gobler, 2009</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B118">White et&#xa0;al., 2013</xref>). The reduction in larval survival was significant after one day of exposure (1987 &#x3bc;atm), showing pulse vulnerability to increased pCO<sub>2</sub> (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B118">White et&#xa0;al., 2013</xref>).</p>
<p>The genus <italic>Spisula</italic> was investigated, and researchers found increased energy costs due to increased pCO<sub>2</sub> exposure (2163 &#x3bc;atm; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B86">Pousse et&#xa0;al., 2020</xref>). The surf clam larvae showed decreased growth rates in high pCO<sub>2</sub> of 1243 &#xb5;atm but resistance to moderate levels of 821 &#xb5;atm (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B68">Meseck et&#xa0;al., 2021</xref>). In <italic>Mercenaria</italic> spp., larvae exhibited extreme mortality and delayed growth due to increased concentration of CO<sub>2</sub> ([CO<sub>2</sub>]) conditions (650 ppm; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B105">Talmage and Gobler, 2009</xref>). However, some studies suggest these species are relatively tolerant to moderate pCO<sub>2</sub> levels of ~800 &#xb5;atm (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B18">Dickinson et&#xa0;al., 2013</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B64">Matoo et&#xa0;al., 2013</xref>). The genus <italic>Panopea</italic> spp. larvae were investigated, and proteomic shifts were found due to exposure to decreased pH (7.1). Metabolism, cell cycle, and protein turnover rates were all impacted by this decreased pH level (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B107">Timmins-Schiffman et&#xa0;al., 2020</xref>).</p>
<p>Barnacles are ecologically important contributing significantly to marine food webs and intertidal coastal communities. Larvae are generally planktonic and are exposed to pelagic open water before being distributed intertidally via ocean currents. <italic>Amphibalanus</italic> spp., a common barnacle species, has been examined in several studies in the past decade (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B22">Eriander et&#xa0;al., 2016</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B66">McDonald et&#xa0;al., 2009</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B73">Nardone et&#xa0;al., 2018</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B80">Pansch et&#xa0;al., 2013</xref>). Increased pCO<sub>2</sub> ranging from 970 to1600 &#xb5;atm were found to have no effects on this barnacle genus&#x2019;s larval or adult stages (<xref ref-type="table" rid="T2"><bold>Table&#xa0;2</bold></xref>). However, some explored the variability of these responses and showed variations between individuals (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B80">Pansch et&#xa0;al., 2013</xref>). There is also an increasing need for research in this field as there are very few experiments on barnacles exposed to elevated pCO<sub>2</sub> (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B22">Eriander et&#xa0;al., 2016</xref>).</p>
<p>The phylum Echinodermata has 512 species in the nwGoM; Asteroidea comprises around 7% of the global echinoderm diversity (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B28">Felder and Camp, 2009</xref>; <xref ref-type="table" rid="T3"><bold>Table&#xa0;3</bold></xref>). Echinoderms play a significant role in marine food webs due to their grazing habits and interactions with other species. Their skeletons are composed of magnesium-rich calcite, particularly vulnerable to increased pCO<sub>2</sub> (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B98">Schram et&#xa0;al., 2011</xref>). In the sea star <italic>Luidia clathrata</italic>, a common species in the nwGoM, decreased pH and increased pCO<sub>2</sub> (780 &#xb5;atm) had little to no effect on the species&#x2019; regenerative capacity or chemical constitution (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B98">Schram et&#xa0;al., 2011</xref>). However, various studies observed that increased temperature significantly impacted Asteroidea species more than reduced pH or increased pCO<sub>2</sub> did on physiological responses (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B13">Carey et&#xa0;al., 2016</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B15">Curtis et&#xa0;al., 2021</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B81">Parajuli, 2023</xref>).</p>
<table-wrap id="T3" position="float">
<label>Table&#xa0;3</label>
<caption>
<p>The global distribution of species or genera identified, see footnotes for information on abbreviations used.</p>
</caption>
<table frame="hsides">
<thead>
<tr>
<th valign="middle" align="center">Species/Genus</th>
<th valign="middle" align="center">Global Distribution</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>J. adhaerens</italic></td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">Fl to NC, Pac Mex, CA, Carib, GMx, Eur, Atl Isls, Brazil, Ecuador, Afr, Indian Oc Isls, SW &amp; SE Asia, China, Japan, Korea, Taiwan, N &amp; W Aust, trop Pac Isls</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>Neosiphonia</italic> spp.</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">Carib, GMx, CA, N Afr, Mauritius, Philippines, S Eur, Atl Isls, Chile, W &amp; N Afr, Maldives, N &amp; W Aust, trop Pac Isls, Vietnam, Fl to NC, Uruguay</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>Hydrolithon</italic> spp.</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">FL to VA, Carib, GMx, W Afr, Japan, Eur, Atl Isls, Brazil, Afr, Chile, SW &amp; SE Asia, China, Russia, New Zeal, Aust, trop Pac Isls, S Aust</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>Coscinodiscus</italic> spp.</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">Cos</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>T. pseudonana</italic></td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">Cos</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>M. beryllina</italic></td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">MA to GoM</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>S. ocellatus</italic></td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">MA to GoM</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>L. erinacea</italic></td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">Fla Keys, E &amp; SW GoM, Cuba</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>Scyliorhinus</italic> spp.</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">NC to S FL, Massachusetts to Nicaragua, Bahamas, Cuba</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>L. clathrata</italic></td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">VA to Brazil, Bermuda</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>Menippe</italic> spp.</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">GoM, NW FL-Tams Mx</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>Clibanarius</italic> spp.</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">VA to GoM, Brazil</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>Portunus</italic> spp.</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">Ber, NC to GoM, Antil to Brazil, ASI, S Carib to Brazil, MA to GoM, N Scotia to GoM, nS Am, mid to E Atl, Cuba to S Antil, Antil to nS, Am &amp; Brazil, NJ to GoM, GA to GoM</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>C. sapidus</italic></td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">Ber, N Scotia to Arg, E Atl, Med, Japan</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>P. crassirostris</italic></td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">Atlantic, Pacific, Indian</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>Calanus</italic> spp.</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">FL Keys, GoM, RI to Brazil, Antil, NC to N Yucatan</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>Acartia</italic> sp.</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">Atl, Pac, Indian</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>Amphibalanus</italic> spp.</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">Cos in Trop &amp; warm Temp, N Temp Atl, W Temp Atl</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>Panopea</italic> spp.</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">NC to TX</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>Mercenaria</italic> spp.</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">NJ to QR</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>Spisula</italic> sp.</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">NC to TX</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>A. irradians</italic></td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">TX to Mex, Colombia</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>Pinctada</italic> spp.</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">SC to QR, SE GoM, WI, Brazil, Ber</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>C. virginica</italic></td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">GS to YU, Cuba, WI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>Macoma</italic> spp.</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">GoM, Cuba, PR, JM, Ber, AL to TX, Brazil, GP, FL Keys, DT, QR, GE, MA to CB, WI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>D. pealeii</italic></td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">W Atl, N Scotia to VE, GoM, Carib</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>C. fornicata</italic></td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">N Scotia to TX, E Atlantic</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>Haliotis</italic> spp.</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">NC to VE</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>Tegula</italic> spp.</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">E FL, to Brazil</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>Aplysia</italic> spp.</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">SC to Brazil, Ber to Brazil, MA to Brazil, RI to TX</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>Leptochiton</italic> spp.</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">GMx, W, S Carib</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>A. aurita</italic></td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">Cos</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>A. palmata</italic></td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">SE Fl, Ba, Carib</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>Madracis</italic> spp.</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">E Atl, Carib, ESA, Ber, SE Fl, Ba</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="center"><italic>P. astreoides</italic></td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">E Atl, Ber, SE Fl, Ba, Carib, ESA</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table-wrap-foot>
<fn>
<p>*All species present in this table used information from <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B28">Felder and Camp (2009)</xref>.</p></fn>
<fn>
<p>Geographic descriptors: Afr, Africa; Aust, Australia; Arg, Argentina; Antil, Antilles; ASI, Ascension Island; Atl, Atlantic; AL, Alabama; Ber, Bermuda; Ba, Bahamas; Carib, Caribbean Sea; CA, California; CB, Campeche Bank; Cos, Cosmopolitan; DE, Dry Tortugas; E, East; Eur, Europe; Fl, Atlantic Florida; Fla Keys, Florida Keys; GA, Georgia; GMx, Gulf of Mexico; GS, Gulf of St. Laurence; GP, Galapagos Islands; GE, Greater Antilles; Isls, Islands; JM, Jamaica; MA, Massachusetts; Med, Mediterranean Mex, Mexico; NJ, New Jersey; NC, North Carolina; N, North; N Scotia, Nova Scotia; nS Am, Northen South America; Oc, Ocean; Pac, Pacific; PR, Puerto Rico; QR, Quintana Roo; RI, Rhode Island; ESA, Eastern South America SE, Southeast; S, South; SC, South Carolina; trop, Tropical; temp, Temperate; Tams Mx, Tamaulipas Mexico; TX, Texas; VA, Vriginia; VE, Venzuela; W, West; West Indies; YU, Yucatan.</p></fn>
</table-wrap-foot>
</table-wrap>
<p>The blue crab <italic>Callinectes sapidus</italic> has been subjected to many experimental trials regarding the increase in pCO<sub>2</sub> due to its abundance and ecological/economic importance (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B31">Giltz and Taylor, 2017</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B58">Longmire et&#xa0;al., 2022</xref>). Researchers have found decreased claw pinch force (pH 7.0) and decreased larval survival (pH 7.8) due to exposure to increased pCO<sub>2</sub> (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B31">Giltz and Taylor, 2017</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B58">Longmire et&#xa0;al., 2022</xref>). One study on the <italic>Portunus</italic> spp. looked at biomarkers following acute exposure (24 hrs) to extreme levels of pCO<sub>2</sub> like those found at hydrothermal vents, and found all pCO<sub>2</sub> ranges above normal levels to be stressful environments (2203-231287 &#xb5;atm), with complete mortality in 72 hours when pH was less than 5.5 (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B44">Jeeva Priya et&#xa0;al., 2017</xref>), although this condition is not expected for the nwGoM coastal waters.</p>
<p>Smaller crustaceans like the hermit crab <italic>Clibanarius</italic> spp. have been shown to decrease larval survival due to exposure to acidified seawater through <italic>in situ</italic> measurements of pH swings (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B108">Tomatsuri and Kon, 2019</xref>). The commercially viable stone crab <italic>Menippe</italic> spp. has also been examined when exposed to increased pCO<sub>2</sub> (596 &#xb5;atm), and researchers found geotactic differences in larval swimming patterns due to decreased pH, which could be detrimental to overall distribution and larval supply (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B35">Gravinese et&#xa0;al., 2019</xref>). Lower seawater pH (7.5) also showed delayed larval embryonic development in <italic>Menippe</italic> spp. by over 24% of the original time (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B34">Gravinese, 2018</xref>).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s3_5">
<title>Planktonic primary producers and consumers</title>
<p>Diatoms are ecologically significant primary producers contributing nearly 25% to the world&#x2019;s carbon fixation rate (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B28">Felder and Camp, 2009</xref>). Marine diatoms support higher trophic levels and represent the base of marine food webs (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B87">Qu et&#xa0;al., 2018</xref>). <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B103">Sobrino et&#xa0;al. (2014)</xref> found that elevated pCO<sub>2</sub> (1050 ppm) decreased multiple physiological mechanisms such as esterase (metabolic) activity, radical oxidative stress (ROS), cell death, and DNA damage (<xref ref-type="table" rid="T2"><bold>Table&#xa0;2</bold></xref>). This study also noted that high pCO<sub>2</sub> conditions increase phytoplankton sensitivity to solar irradiance, carbon fixation, and photosynthesis rate. These changes in physiological responses indicate that elevated pCO<sub>2</sub> affects the photosynthetic structure&#x2019;s downregulation and carbon concentrating mechanisms (CCMs) in marine diatoms (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B103">Sobrino et&#xa0;al., 2014</xref>).</p>
<p>Contrary to the findings of <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B103">Sobrino et&#xa0;al. (2014)</xref>, other studies have found that elevated pCO<sub>2</sub> (1050 ppm) does not play a significant role in diatom composition, cell size, or physiological function (<xref ref-type="table" rid="T2"><bold>Table&#xa0;2</bold></xref>). <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B87">Qu et&#xa0;al. (2018)</xref> found that instead of CO<sub>2</sub> concentration, temperature and nitrate availability played more significant roles in the growth, carbon export, and physiology of larger diatoms such as <italic>Coscinodiscus</italic> spp. In experimental groups that combined elevated pCO<sub>2</sub> (400 &amp; 800 &#xb5;atm) and warmer temperatures, carbon fixation rates were enhanced, suggesting that OA may provide negative feedback to increasing atmospheric CO<sub>2</sub> concentrations (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B87">Qu et&#xa0;al., 2018</xref>). For experimental treatments that combined elevated pCO<sub>2</sub> with optimal temperatures of 30&#xb0;C and higher, it was found that the increased pCO<sub>2</sub> (800-1400 &#xb5;atm) depressed growth rates in the diatom species <italic>Thalassiosira pseudonana</italic> (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B53">Laws et&#xa0;al., 2020</xref>). In addition, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B33">Goldman et&#xa0;al. (2017)</xref> mention that enriched pCO<sub>2</sub> effects on diatom photosynthesis, growth, and respiration will likely be minor for the end-of-the-century predictions of pCO<sub>2</sub> concentrations ranging from 800-1400 &#xb5;atm.</p>
<p>Marine copepods are primary consumers and play an integral role in marine food webs (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B38">Habibi et&#xa0;al., 2023</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B113">Wang et&#xa0;al., 2018</xref>). Almost 70% of the ocean&#x2019;s metazoan biomass is allocated to marine copepods and zooplankton (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B38">Habibi et&#xa0;al., 2023</xref>). Copepods are challenging to assess because of stage-dependent and species-dependent responses to increased pCO<sub>2</sub> (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B113">Wang et&#xa0;al., 2018</xref>). A species of zooplankton <italic>Acartia</italic> located in the nwGoM was tested in mesocosm experiments to identify plasticity across generations and found that female size decreased with a possible threshold of pCO<sub>2</sub> (884 &#x2013; 1413 &#xb5;atm) for these species (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B110">Vehmaa et&#xa0;al., 2016</xref>). <italic>Calanus</italic> spp. were tested with low to high pCO<sub>2</sub> (320-1700 &#xb5;atm) levels, and there were no effects on developmental rate, dry weight, C and N mass, and oxygen consumption rate, indicating possible tolerance (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B6">Bailey et&#xa0;al., 2017</xref>). Some conflicting research has shown population differences in physiological tolerances for <italic>Calanus</italic> spp (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B106">Thor et&#xa0;al., 2018</xref>). Transcriptomic analysis of differentially expressed genes revealed in <italic>Parvocalanus crassirostris</italic> that decreased pH (7.9-7.7) affected several biological pathways related to cellular processes (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B38">Habibi et&#xa0;al., 2023</xref>). In this study, an increase in pCO<sub>2</sub> resulted in 17 upregulated and 31 downregulated physiological pathways, suggesting physiological stress responses to increased pCO<sub>2</sub> (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B38">Habibi et&#xa0;al., 2023</xref>).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s3_6">
<title>Nektonic grazers and consumers</title>
<p><italic>Aurelia aurita</italic>, a well-studied species of Scyphozoan, is found worldwide in various environments (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B4">Alguer&#xf3;-Mu&#xf1;iz et&#xa0;al., 2016</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">Baumann and Schernewski, 2012</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B24">Falkenhaug, 2014</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B60">Luparello et&#xa0;al., 2020</xref>). This species response to pCO<sub>2</sub> increases (800-4000 &#xb5;atm) has been well studied, with findings suggesting both larval and adult stages of <italic>Aurelia</italic> spp. exhibit some level of resistance to acidification (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B4">Alguer&#xf3;-Mu&#xf1;iz et&#xa0;al., 2016</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B39">Hall-Spencer and Allen, 2015</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B119">Winans and Purcell, 2010</xref>). However, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B119">Winans and Purcell (2010)</xref> observed a decrease in statolith sizes in adult medusae of <italic>Aurelia</italic> spp. under low pH (7.9-7.2) conditions. This reduction in statolith size could potentially impact the ability of adult medusae to orient themselves in the water column. It is debated whether Scyphozoans, including <italic>Aurelia</italic> spp., will benefit from increased pCO<sub>2</sub> by exploiting open niches and potentially becoming top trophic predators (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B92">Richardson and Gibbons, 2008</xref>).</p>
<p>Cephalopods are essential for marine ecosystems as both predator and prey of several taxa. Cephalopods act as prey sources for many commercially important fish species like red drum while supporting fisheries directly being fished by local fishermen for food or bait (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B48">Kaplan et&#xa0;al., 2013</xref>). Recent investigations concerning the cephalopod species <italic>Doryteuthis pealeii</italic>, commonly found along the nwGoM reef shelf, have revealed the detrimental impacts of elevated pCO<sub>2</sub> (2200 &#xb5;atm) on larvae rearing (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B48">Kaplan et&#xa0;al., 2013</xref>). <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B48">Kaplan et&#xa0;al. (2013)</xref> evaluated various biological responses, such as the time duration to hatching, aragonite statolith sizes, and overall body size in this species, and found negative developmental/physiological responses to CO<sub>2</sub> enrichment (2200 &#xb5;atm). Additional studies analyzed the disparities observed in the egg-laying behavior of <italic>D. pealeii</italic>, which primarily occurred around a depth of 50 m (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B121">Zakroff et&#xa0;al., 2019</xref>), emphasizing the importance of understanding taxa-specific reproductive ecology and vulnerability linked to [CO<sub>2</sub>] concentrations (1300 ppm; <xref ref-type="table" rid="T2"><bold>Table&#xa0;2</bold></xref>). The effects on larvae were contingent upon the clutch and were typically only observed when [CO<sub>2</sub>] surpassed 2200 ppm (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B120">Zakroff and Mooney, 2020</xref>).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s3_7">
<title>Fishes</title>
<p>Chondrichthyes are significant in almost all marine ecosystems and maintain ecosystem balance through predation. Elasmobranchs within Chondrichthyes have effective acid-base buffering capacities, which may allow them to have higher tolerances to elevated pCO<sub>2</sub> levels (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B94">Rummer et&#xa0;al., 2020</xref>). In near-future elevated pCO<sub>2</sub> conditions, shark embryo development was largely unaffected, although there were clear adverse effects on behavioral lateralization (turning left or right), hunting ability, growth, aerobic potential, and prey detection (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B93">Rosa et&#xa0;al., 2017</xref>). Odor tracking, swimming ability, hunting behavior, and other similar abilities were also negatively impacted by increased pCO<sub>2</sub> (~1000 &#xb5;atm) and a decrease or total loss of lateralization (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B122">Zemah-Shamir et&#xa0;al., 2022</xref>). Contrary to these findings, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B36">Green and Jutfelt (2014)</xref> found that the small-spotted catshark, <italic>Scyliorhinus canicula</italic>, did not have adverse effects in growth, aerobic scope, or metabolic rate when exposed to 990 &#xb5;atm pCO<sub>2</sub> for four weeks (<xref ref-type="table" rid="T2"><bold>Table&#xa0;2</bold></xref>). This species displayed increased lateralization when exposed to pCO<sub>2</sub> rather than decreased or complete loss, as shown in other studies (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B36">Green and Jutfelt, 2014</xref>). An increase in lateralization is not necessarily a positive effect, though, as most changes from the &#x201c;natural&#x201d; state of fish physiology likely mean it is compensation for other adverse effects it is experiencing.</p>
<p>Similar to the findings of <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B122">Zemah-Shamir et&#xa0;al. (2022)</xref> and <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B93">Rosa et&#xa0;al. (2017)</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B83">Pistevos et&#xa0;al. (2015)</xref> found that elevated pCO<sub>2</sub> and temperature had adverse, synergistic effects on metabolic efficiency, growth rates, and olfactory mechanisms in sharks. A reduction in the olfaction mechanisms in sharks can result in various adverse consequences, as smell is the primary sense that sharks utilize to find prey. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B20">Di Santo (2019)</xref> conducted a study that exposed <italic>Leucoraja erinacea</italic> embryos to an increased temperature of 20&#xb0;C and pCO<sub>2</sub> conditions of 1100 &#xb5;atm (<xref ref-type="table" rid="T2"><bold>Table&#xa0;2</bold></xref>). This research showed that in the elevated pCO<sub>2</sub> conditions, mineralization increased in the jaws and cartilage of the crura in <italic>L. erinacea</italic> (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B20">Di Santo, 2019</xref>). Proper mineralization in elasmobranchs is essential because it can impact feeding and swimming abilities, directly affecting several skeletal elements&#x2019; strength and stiffness (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B20">Di Santo, 2019</xref>). Additionally, the stress that resulted from high-temperature conditions on the development and formation of embryos was intensified by elevated pCO<sub>2</sub> (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B20">Di Santo, 2019</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B93">Rosa et&#xa0;al., 2017</xref>).</p>
<p>The class Actinopterygii within the phylum Vertebrata consists of ray-finned bony fishes that comprise a large part of marine food webs and are crucial to the health and maintenance of marine ecosystems. As predator and prey, bony fishes contribute to ecosystem balance with bottom-up or top-down control of the abundance of organisms in the marine environment. It was documented that increased pCO<sub>2</sub> will likely have impacts on behavioral and sensory mechanisms in Actinopterygii as well as potentially interfere with the metabolic rate in marine fishes (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B115">Wang et&#xa0;al., 2022</xref>). It has been shown that elevated [CO<sub>2</sub>] (~1000 ppm) can increase reproduction in fish through indirect effects on fish reproductive tissues (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B72">Nagelkerken et&#xa0;al., 2021</xref>). Other indirect effects from increased [CO<sub>2</sub>] (~1000 ppm) were observed, such as the alteration of territory defenses shown by mature males, investment into gonads in both males and females and the altering of the abundance of parental males in areas with naturally increased [CO<sub>2</sub>] levels (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B72">Nagelkerken et&#xa0;al., 2021</xref>).</p>
<p>A study published by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B14">Cattano et&#xa0;al. (2020)</xref> found that elevated pCO<sub>2</sub> (402 to 952 &#xb5;atm) can cause shifts in benthic habitats, significantly impacting fish communities (<xref ref-type="table" rid="T2"><bold>Table&#xa0;2</bold></xref>). A reduction in benthic complexity (structural rugosity) in coral reefs was observed in reefs subjected to these increased pCO<sub>2</sub>, resulting in a diminution of corresponding food webs and habitats (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B14">Cattano et&#xa0;al., 2020</xref>). The simplification of marine habitats due to increased pCO<sub>2</sub> may adversely affect fish communities by forcing them to relocate or risk their survival in a changing ecosystem. As discussed above, the increased impact of pCO<sub>2</sub> on marine benthic organisms could significantly affect indirectly reliant species.</p>
<p>Several studies have noted that increased pCO<sub>2</sub> (ranging from 600 to 1900 &#xb5;atm) directly affects various fish species stress response, behavior, metabolic rate, and neurosensory mechanisms (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B23">Esbaugh, 2018</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B40">Heuer and Grosell, 2014</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B100">Servili et&#xa0;al., 2023</xref>). The alteration of any of these physiological processes can decrease fitness, reducing species population abundance in the long term. Studies have shown that otolith growth has increased in many species of marine fish exposed to high pCO<sub>2</sub> conditions (reviewed by: <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B40">Heuer and Grosell, 2014</xref>; ~1600 &#xb5;atm; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B52">Kwan and Tresguerres, 2022</xref>). Otoliths are calcium carbonate structures found in the inner ear of teleost fishes that aid in sensory detection and balance, and the overgrowth of these concretions can lead to hearing impairments, balance issues, and reduced survival success (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B52">Kwan and Tresguerres, 2022</xref>). The increase in otolith growth is believed to stem from hypercapnia in fish, which can result in increased CO<sub>3</sub><sup>2-</sup> levels in the endolymph that may lead to enlarged otoliths (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B52">Kwan and Tresguerres, 2022</xref>).</p>
<p>Enriched seawater CO<sub>2</sub> effects can also lead to disturbances in the acid-base regulation in marine fish. Maintaining a stable pH in the blood, intracellular, and extracellular fluids is critical for maintaining homeostasis and proper physiological functions in marine vertebrates. Acid-base regulation is done mainly through the respiratory and circulatory systems in fish, and an internal increase in pCO<sub>2</sub> due to externally elevated pCO<sub>2</sub> levels (from 600 to 1900 &#xb5;atm) can lead to the acidification of internal fluids (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B40">Heuer and Grosell, 2014</xref>). To combat the fluctuation in pH and pCO<sub>2</sub> levels internally, an increase in HCO<sub>3</sub><sup>-</sup> in the blood plasma can help buffer additional acidity that is present and help maintain homeostasis (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B10">Brauner and Baker, 2009</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B40">Heuer and Grosell, 2014</xref>). Even with this acid-base regulation, fish exposed to elevated pCO<sub>2</sub> (from 600 to 1900 &#xb5;atm) still show increased HCO<sub>3</sub><sup>-</sup> and pCO<sub>2</sub> in their extracellular fluids, which can lead to various complications in physiological processes (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B40">Heuer and Grosell, 2014</xref>).</p>
<p><italic>Sciaenops ocellatus</italic> is an extremely valuable species in the nwGoM ecologically, recreationally, and commercially. At pCO<sub>2</sub> levels of 1000 &#xb5;atm in <italic>S. ocellatus</italic> was shown to result in consistent hyperventilation that can alter the acid-base regulation functionality and lead to a reduction in plasma HCO<sub>3</sub><sup>-</sup> retention requirement by nearly 40% (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B23">Esbaugh, 2018</xref>). This reduction in necessary HCO<sub>3</sub><sup>-</sup> retention means that <italic>S. ocellatus</italic> could effectively remove some excess pCO<sub>2</sub> from the body via the respiratory system. However, this energy allocation to hyperventilation likely means a tradeoff is occurring downstream for another physiological process (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B23">Esbaugh, 2018</xref>). Furthermore, <italic>Menidia beryllina</italic>, a significant food source for many larger fish in the nwGoM, showed a 73% reduction in 10-day survival after exposure to 780 &#xb5;atm of pCO<sub>2</sub> (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B23">Esbaugh, 2018</xref>). In larvae reared at 1800-4200 &#xb5;atm pCO<sub>2</sub>, wide-spread tissue damage and other developmental delays were seen (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B23">Esbaugh, 2018</xref>). The species-specific studies showed differences in survival rates and maintenance of physiological mechanisms between species, life stages, and individuals within the same species.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s3_8">
<title>Marine parasites Trematoda, Cestoda, and Dicyemida</title>
<p>According to a report from 2007, the GoM is home to nearly 1000 species of parasitic organisms belonging to Trematoda, Cestoda, and Dicyemida (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B28">Felder and Camp, 2009</xref>). Trematodes have approximately 3575 potential host species, including Fishes, Aves, Reptiles, Mammals, and Marine Mammals. Conversely, Cestodes have roughly 9774 likely host species, including Chondrichthyes, Actinopterygii, Marine Mammals, Bivalves, Gastropods, and Scyphozoans.</p>
<p>It is worth noting that parasites and relationships with pCO<sub>2</sub> increases have been highly understudied, with no identified articles linking the two before 2011 (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B85">Poulin et&#xa0;al., 2016</xref>). This knowledge gap presents an intriguing area of interest for marine ecologists, as the effects of increased pCO<sub>2</sub> on host-parasite interactions remain largely unknown (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B61">MacLeod and Poulin, 2012</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B85">Poulin et&#xa0;al., 2016</xref>). The infectivity rates of parasites and their responses to decreases in oceanic pH levels are also widely unknown.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s3_9">
<title>Synthesis of response</title>
<p>From our survey of 3,480 locationally relevant species, only 35 (1.0%) had published data on responses to elevated pCO<sub>2</sub>. Of these, 68.5% showed negative physiological or developmental responses, 31.4% exhibited neutral or mixed responses, and just 11.4% responded positively (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f8"><bold>Figure&#xa0;8</bold></xref>). Interspecific interactions may be disrupted substantially by the decline of ecologically important taxonomic groups shown here (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f8"><bold>Figure&#xa0;8</bold></xref>). Moreover, 83% of species shown here occupy the top 20 m of the water column, placing them within the depth range of the highest seasonal variability we observed. These findings suggest that many nwGoM taxa may already experience several events of geochemical extremes annually&#x2014;patterns that are largely absent from global-scale projections.</p>
<fig id="f8" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;8</label>
<caption>
<p>Conceptual model of taxonomic group responses to increased oceanic pCO<sub>2</sub>. Arrow color represents a specific response directionality, and line type (solid or dashed) represents direct measures or conceptual (putative) predictions.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fmars-12-1644030-g008.tif">
<alt-text content-type="machine-generated">Flowchart illustrating the impact of increasing oceanic pCO2 on marine species interactions. It shows coral reef builders, plankton organisms, nekton consumers, benthic invertebrates, and fishes, with interactions such as food sources, habitat, and resource competition. Lines indicate positive, negative, and neutral effects, as well as putative effects, as explained in the figure legend.</alt-text>
</graphic>
</fig>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="s4" sec-type="conclusions">
<title>Conclusions</title>
<p>This study establishes the first integrated carbonate chemistry baseline for the nwGoM, synthesizing data from research cruises spanning from 2006 to 2019. Our analysis showed greater spatial and seasonal variability in pH, pCO<sub>2</sub>, and &#x3a9;<sub>arag</sub> within the upper 20 m of the water column, with nearshore waters showing more extreme and variable conditions than offshore sites. Stratification-driven benthic remineralization further reduced pH and &#x3a9;<sub>arag</sub> as well as elevated pCO<sub>2</sub> in bottom waters during productive summer months. These patterns highlight that nwGoM carbonate chemistry is shaped by local biogeochemical and hydrological drivers that differ substantially from open-ocean trends, underscoring the need for region-specific baselines in vulnerability assessments.</p>
<p>This work subsequently builds from <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B78">Osborne et&#xa0;al. (2022)</xref>, with respect of an analysis of carbonate chemistry and reporting of known species responses. Our findings coincide with responses shown by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B78">Osborne et&#xa0;al. (2022)</xref> of oysters, bay scallops, hard clams, and corals. By highlighting the nwGoM region we focused on specific biodiversity hotspots like the FGBNMS. Further work should continue to divide the GoM, and alongside <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B78">Osborne et&#xa0;al., 2022</xref>, determine the holistic response this region may have to elevated CO<sub>2</sub>.</p>
<p>By linking detailed carbonate chemistry baselines with species-specific sensitivity data, this work provides a framework for integrating the nwGoM into the global mosaic of ocean acidification responses. Furthermore, our findings suggest that the vast majority of nwGoM species remain unstudied under elevated pCO<sub>2</sub>, yet most tested taxa already show negative responses&#x2014;often within the shallow depth range experiencing the greatest seasonal extremes. Without region-specific experiments, current global projections risk underestimating vulnerability in this high-value ecosystem. Ground truthing and filling the gaps discussed here is essential to safeguard the biodiversity, fisheries, and multiple reef habitats that support the ecological and economic health of the nwGoM.</p>
</sec>
</body>
<back>
<sec id="s5" sec-type="author-contributions">
<title>Author contributions</title>
<p>DA: Investigation, Data curation, Methodology, Writing &#x2013; review &amp; editing, Writing &#x2013; original draft, Formal analysis, Conceptualization, Visualization. HY: Formal analysis, Writing &#x2013; original draft, Writing &#x2013; review &amp; editing, Methodology, Visualization, Data curation, Conceptualization, Investigation. AH: Writing &#x2013; original draft, Investigation. XH: Resources, Supervision, Writing &#x2013; review &amp; editing, Project administration, Investigation, Conceptualization, Methodology, Funding acquisition. KM: Project administration, Conceptualization, Supervision, Writing &#x2013; review &amp; editing, Resources, Investigation. KB: Resources, Investigation, Methodology, Validation, Funding acquisition, Writing &#x2013; review &amp; editing, Supervision, Project administration, Conceptualization.</p></sec>
<ack>
<title>Acknowledgments</title>
<p>We thank ExxonMobil Biomedical Sciences, Inc. for supporting this synthesis under the contract LAW-2022-0601. We thank the scientists who were involved in the carbonate chemistry and vulnerable species data collection in the Gulf of Mexico, as well as Trent A. Key, for providing valuable comments on this report.</p>
</ack>
<sec id="s7" sec-type="COI-statement">
<title>Conflict of interest</title>
<p>Author KM was employed by the company ExxonMobil Biomedical Sciences Inc.</p>
<p>The remaining authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.</p></sec>
<sec id="s8" sec-type="ai-statement">
<title>Generative AI statement</title>
<p>The author(s) declare that no Generative AI was used in the creation of this manuscript.</p>
<p>Any alternative text (alt text) provided alongside figures in this article has been generated by Frontiers with the support of artificial intelligence and reasonable efforts have been made to ensure accuracy, including review by the authors wherever possible. If you identify any issues, please contact us.</p></sec>
<sec id="s9" sec-type="disclaimer">
<title>Publisher&#x2019;s note</title>
<p>All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors&#xa0;and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article, or claim that may be made by its manufacturer, is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.</p></sec>
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