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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">Front. Mar. Sci.</journal-id>
<journal-title>Frontiers in Marine Science</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="pubmed">Front. Mar. Sci.</abbrev-journal-title>
<issn pub-type="epub">2296-7745</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name>Frontiers Media S.A.</publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.3389/fmars.2023.1128819</article-id>
<article-categories>
<subj-group subj-group-type="heading">
<subject>Marine Science</subject>
<subj-group>
<subject>Original Research</subject>
</subj-group>
</subj-group>
</article-categories>
<title-group>
<article-title>Multi-decade catches of manta rays (<italic>Mobula alfredi</italic>, <italic>M. birostris</italic>) from South Africa reveal significant decline</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes">
<name>
<surname>Carpenter</surname>
<given-names>Michelle</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="author-notes" rid="fn001">
<sup>*</sup>
</xref>
<uri xlink:href="https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/1785581"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Parker</surname>
<given-names>Denham</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Dicken</surname>
<given-names>Matthew L.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
<uri xlink:href="https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/645995"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Griffiths</surname>
<given-names>Charles L.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
<institution>Department of Biological Sciences, University of Cape Town</institution>, <addr-line>Rondebosch, Cape Town</addr-line>, <country>South Africa</country>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
<institution>Department of Forestry, Fisheries and the Environment (DFFE)</institution>, <addr-line>Cape Town</addr-line>, <country>South Africa</country>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
<institution>Department of Marine Biology, KwaZulu-Natal Sharks Board</institution>, <addr-line>Umhlanga, Durban</addr-line>, <country>South Africa</country>
</aff>
<aff id="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
<institution>School of Biological and Marine Sciences, University of Plymouth</institution>, <addr-line>Plymouth</addr-line>, <country>United Kingdom</country>
</aff>
<author-notes>
<fn fn-type="edited-by">
<p>Edited by: Elizabeth Grace Tunka Bengil, University of Kyrenia, Cyprus</p>
</fn>
<fn fn-type="edited-by">
<p>Reviewed by: Natascha Wosnick, Federal University of Paran&#xe1;, Brazil; Aylin Ulman, Mersea Marine Consulting, T&#xfc;rkiye</p>
</fn>
<fn fn-type="corresp" id="fn001">
<p>*Correspondence: Michelle Carpenter, <email xlink:href="mailto:crpmic001@myuct.ac.za">crpmic001@myuct.ac.za</email>
</p>
</fn>
<fn fn-type="other" id="fn002">
<p>This article was submitted to Marine Biology, a section of the journal Frontiers in Marine Science</p>
</fn>
</author-notes>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>29</day>
<month>03</month>
<year>2023</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="collection">
<year>2023</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>10</volume>
<elocation-id>1128819</elocation-id>
<history>
<date date-type="received">
<day>21</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2022</year>
</date>
<date date-type="accepted">
<day>13</day>
<month>01</month>
<year>2023</year>
</date>
</history>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright &#xa9; 2023 Carpenter, Parker, Dicken and Griffiths</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2023</copyright-year>
<copyright-holder>Carpenter, Parker, Dicken and Griffiths</copyright-holder>
<license xlink:href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">
<p>This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.</p>
</license>
</permissions>
<abstract>
<p>Manta rays (<italic>Mobula alfredi</italic> and <italic>M. birostris</italic>) are poorly understood in South Africa, despite their ecological importance and charismatic appeal. This study analyzed a 41-year dataset from the KwaZulu-Natal bather protection program to investigate catch per unit effort between 1981-2021. We used Generalized Additive Models and the probability of encounter to assess annual and seasonal trends, as well as the effect of location and moon phases on catch rates. We also evaluated the size composition and demographics of caught manta rays using the same dataset. Our analysis revealed a significant decline in overall manta ray catches since the late 1990s (p&lt;0.0001), with increased catch rates during summer, suggesting seasonal visitation to South African waters. We found that manta rays were caught at least once in all 46 netted beaches along the 350 km span of coastline, but with significantly more catches in the Central Area, between Anstey&#x2019;s beach in the north and Mtwalume in the south. We also observed that moon phase had an effect on manta ray presence, with significantly more catches during spring tides at new and full moon phases. Over half of the caught individuals were juveniles, and a total of 841 individuals (52% of the total catch) belonged to the confirmed juvenile size class (1400-2500 mm disc width). We further found that a greater proportion (70%) of juveniles were caught in the southernmost sampled area, from Hibberdene in the north to Mzamba in the south. These findings highlight the importance of South African waters as a seasonal habitat for manta rays along the southern African coastline. The significant decline and spatial-temporal patterns we observed have critical implications for management and conservation efforts. Our study provides valuable baseline data for future research and underscores the need for continued monitoring and protection of these iconic marine species.</p>
</abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd>mobulidae</kwd>
<kwd>generalized additive models</kwd>
<kwd>fisheries</kwd>
<kwd>Southern Africa</kwd>
<kwd>marine conservation</kwd>
<kwd>probability of encounter</kwd>
<kwd>catch analysis</kwd>
</kwd-group>
<contract-sponsor id="cn001">University of Cape Town<named-content content-type="fundref-id">10.13039/501100007112</named-content>
</contract-sponsor>
<counts>
<fig-count count="7"/>
<table-count count="1"/>
<equation-count count="1"/>
<ref-count count="89"/>
<page-count count="11"/>
<word-count count="5152"/>
</counts>
</article-meta>
</front>
<body>
<sec id="s1" sec-type="intro">
<title>Introduction</title>
<p>Manta rays (Family Mobulidae) are pelagic planktivores that aggregate in regions supporting high zooplankton densities and cleaning stations, where symbiotic fish remove parasites from them (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B32">Feder, 1966</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B15">Couturier et&#xa0;al., 2012</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B72">Stevens, 2016</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B87">White et&#xa0;al., 2017</xref>). Being large filter feeders, manta rays spend their lives in proximity to where plankton blooms occur, these being elicited by temporal and spatial environmental cues (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B68">Sims et&#xa0;al., 2005</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B3">Armstrong et&#xa0;al., 2021</xref>). The great variability and transience of regional plankton likely drive their foraging behavior, prey sources, and habitat use (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B76">Stewart et&#xa0;al., 2017</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B4">Barr and Abelson, 2019</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B62">Putra et&#xa0;al., 2020</xref>).</p>
<p>The oceanic manta ray, <italic>Mobula birostris</italic> (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B84">Walbaum, 1792</xref>), has circumglobal distribution, and generally occurs more offshore than the smaller, more coastal reef manta ray, <italic>Mobula alfredi</italic>, (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B45">Kreft, 1868</xref>), which is semi-circumglobal and restricted to tropical and subtropical waters (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B50">Marshall et&#xa0;al., 2009</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">Burgess et&#xa0;al., 2016</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1">Armstrong et&#xa0;al., 2020</xref>). These are the two largest of all ray species (<italic>M. birostris</italic>; 8 m maximum disc width (DW); <italic>M. alfredi</italic>; 5.5 m maximum DW) and are both slow-growing, with late maturation and low fecundity (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B50">Marshall et&#xa0;al., 2009</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B48">Marshall and Bennett, 2010</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B73">Stevens et&#xa0;al., 2018</xref>). Due to these life history characteristics, as well as the exploitation of mobulids for the gill plate trade, both manta ray species are listed on the IUCN&#x2019;s Red List of Threatened Species (<italic>M. birostris</italic> as Endangered and <italic>M. alfredi</italic> as Vulnerable) (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B50">Marshall et&#xa0;al., 2009</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B58">O&#x2019;Malley et&#xa0;al., 2016</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B49">Marshall et&#xa0;al., 2018a</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B53">Marshall et&#xa0;al., 2018b</xref>). Although directly fished and caught as bycatch in Mozambique (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B15">Couturier et&#xa0;al., 2012</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B18">Croll et&#xa0;al., 2016</xref>), one of the sources of fishing mortality for <italic>M. birostris</italic> and <italic>M. alfredi</italic> in the south-west Indian Ocean is the KwaZulu-Natal (KZN) bather protection program in South Africa. Although not a fishery in the conventional sense, this is the only shark fishing operation in South Africa documented to catch these species as a means to protect public bathers (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B27">Dudley and Cliff, 1993</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B54">Marshall et&#xa0;al., 2008</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B18">Croll et&#xa0;al., 2016</xref>).</p>
<p>Both <italic>M. birostris</italic> and <italic>M. alfredi</italic> are known to migrate, with current recorded ranges of &gt;1400 km for oceanic manta rays (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B39">Hearn et&#xa0;al., 2014</xref>) and 1150 km for reef manta rays (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B2">Armstrong et&#xa0;al., 2019</xref>). Despite such extensive horizontal movements, manta rays display affinity to certain locations such as inshore reefs, seamounts, or foraging sites, for example, which the same individuals have been found frequenting for up to 30 years (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B22">Dewar et&#xa0;al., 2008</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B14">Couturier et&#xa0;al., 2014</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">Couturier et&#xa0;al., 2018</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B83">Venables et&#xa0;al., 2020</xref>).</p>
<p>Manta ray movement patterns in southern Africa may be driven by temporal and spatial patterns of zooplankton abundance (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B69">Sims et&#xa0;al., 2006</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B65">Rohner et&#xa0;al., 2017</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B77">Stewart et&#xa0;al., 2019</xref>). On the east coast of South Africa, the narrow continental shelf (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B55">Martin and Flemming, 1988</xref>) and shifting seasonal water temperatures and currents (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B85">Walker, 1990</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B64">Roberts et&#xa0;al., 2010</xref>) allow numerous elasmobranch species, such as the tiger shark, <italic>Galeocerdo cuvier</italic>, and the diamond ray, <italic>Gymnura natalensis</italic>, to exploit a wide range of habitat and area (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B13">Connell, 2001</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B86">Wetherbee, 2004</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B25">Dicken et&#xa0;al., 2006</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B21">Daly et&#xa0;al., 2018</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B19">Daly et&#xa0;al., 2022</xref>). Acoustic telemetry revealed a reef manta ray that traveled up to 90 km in a single day in Mozambique (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B83">Venables et&#xa0;al., 2020</xref>). At monitored locations in southern Mozambique, manta ray habitat use is seasonal; sightings increase in Tofo during austral summer (November to February), (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B51">Marshall et&#xa0;al., 2011</xref>) while more sightings occur from July to November in Z&#xe1;vora, which is 90 km further south (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B8">Carpenter et&#xa0;al., 2022</xref>). Oceanic manta ray sightings peak in April in Tofo (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B66">Rohner et&#xa0;al., 2013</xref>). Despite contrasting temporal patterns, oceanic and reef manta rays in southern Mozambique overlap in their use of cleaning and foraging habitats, which may be a result of resource availability in the area (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B42">Kashiwagi et&#xa0;al., 2011</xref>).</p>
<p>While manta rays have been studied for two decades in Mozambique, they remain relatively understudied in South Africa, despite sightings from KwaZulu-Natal (KZN) and the availability of suitable habitat, including cleaning stations (Carpenter, unpublished data). Genetic analysis and photo identification studies suggest that there is a single breeding population of reef manta rays common between the two countries (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B82">Venables et&#xa0;al., 2021</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B52">Marshall et&#xa0;al., 2022</xref>), and it is likely that KZN coastal waters may serve as critical habitat for southern African manta ray populations.</p>
<p>Given the migratory nature of manta rays and limited information about the species in South African waters, we evaluate baseline trends in encounters, similar to other studies on ray species in KZN (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B20">Daly et&#xa0;al., 2021</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B19">Daly et&#xa0;al., 2022</xref>). We use 41 years of catch data from the KZN bather protection program to investigate long-term trends in manta ray occurrence, body size and demographic composition. We determine the influence of environmental variables on manta ray occurrence using Generalized Additive Models (GAMs), and describe patterns of temporal and spatial habitat use.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2" sec-type="materials|methods">
<title>Materials and methods</title>
<sec id="s2_1">
<title>Study area</title>
<p>The marine environment of the KwaZulu-Natal (KZN) Province, on the east coast of South Africa, is subtropical and dominated by the southward-flowing Agulhas Current (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B47">Lutjeharms et&#xa0;al., 2000</xref>). Two ecoregions have been described by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B71">Sink et&#xa0;al. (2019)</xref> within KZN borders: &#x2018;Maputaland&#x2019;, which extends from the Mozambique border southwards to Cape Vidal, and &#x2018;Natal&#x2019;, from south of Cape Vidal to the Eastern Cape (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B70">Sink et&#xa0;al., 2005</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B36">Griffiths et&#xa0;al., 2010</xref>). However, within the Natal region there is variation in the flow of the Agulhas Current and how it interacts with the continental shelf (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B47">Lutjeharms et&#xa0;al., 2000</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B64">Roberts et&#xa0;al., 2010</xref>). This variation is largely due to the presence of the Natal Bight, a 160 km long and 50 km wide coastal offset located between Cape St. Lucia and immediately south of Durban (160 km), which interrupts the strong, stable flow of the Agulhas Current evident along most of the coast (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B33">Fennessy et&#xa0;al., 2016</xref>). South of the Natal Bight, the continental shelf break becomes narrower and closer to shore, extending southwards to the Eastern Cape (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B33">Fennessy et&#xa0;al., 2016</xref>). Therefore, for the occurrence analysis in this study, the Natal region is further divided into three areas to allow for the possibility of the heterogeneity of ocean processes along the coastline. The study area extended approximately 350 km from Richard&#x2019;s Bay in the North, to Mzamba Beach in the South (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f1">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;1</bold>
</xref> and <xref ref-type="supplementary-material" rid="ST1">
<bold>Table S1</bold>
</xref>). The three areas (North, Central, and South) from North to South measure 84.9 km, 84.6 km, and 86.1 km, respectively (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f1">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;1</bold>
</xref>) and are broadly consistent with designated regions defined by previous local studies (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B25">Dicken et&#xa0;al., 2006</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B28">Dudley and Cliff, 2010</xref>).</p>
<fig id="f1" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;1</label>
<caption>
<p>Map of KwaZulu-Natal showing sites where bather protection nets were deployed and defining the three designated coastal areas that were used in the study between 1981-2021. Also shown are depth contour (500 m intervals) and defined major river systems. Black stars indicate nets that remain as of 2022 and white starts indicate currently removed nets.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fmars-10-1128819-g001.tif"/>
</fig>
</sec>
<sec id="s2_2">
<title>Catch analysis</title>
<sec id="s2_2_1">
<title>KwaZulu-Natal bather protection program</title>
<p>The KwaZulu-Natal bather protection nets are large-mesh gill nets installed year-round at public recreational beaches since 1952 to mitigate shark-human interaction (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B11">Cliff and Dudley, 1992</xref>). The nets are 214 m long, 6.3 m deep, and set parallel to, and 300-500 m from the shore, in a water depth of 10-14 m (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B11">Cliff and Dudley, 1992</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B19">Daly et&#xa0;al., 2022</xref>). The nets were deployed at a maximum of 46 fixed locations throughout the study, and are currently installed at 37 locations along the KZN coastline (<xref ref-type="table" rid="T1">
<bold>Table&#xa0;1</bold>
</xref> and <xref ref-type="fig" rid="f1">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;1</bold>
</xref>). The deployed nets are regularly inspected, whereby trained field staff visit each net by boat, a process called &#x2018;meshing&#x2019;. Meshing usually occurs at first light, between 17-19 times per month (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B28">Dudley and Cliff, 2010</xref>). The monthly average number of nets per day per location multiplied by the average net length was used as a measure of the unit effort. Statistically reliable bycatch data (in this case mobulids) from the bather protection nets began in 1981, therefore data prior to that were excluded. Observers were trained to distinguish between devil ray and manta ray species; but we excluded individuals with a Disc Width (DW) less than 1.4 m from the analysis, as these could be <italic>Mobula kuhlii</italic> or <italic>Mobula eregoodoo</italic> specimens (Cliff, pers. comm.). Due to the relatively recent speciation of manta rays (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B50">Marshall et&#xa0;al., 2009</xref>) and limited access to training, observers could not distinguish between manta ray species. Therefore, the two manta ray species were pooled together. All individuals used in the study were measured in the field. When an individual manta ray was caught, the individual was sexed using the presence or absence of claspers, and the DW was measured to the nearest mm as the straight-line distance between pectoral fin tips.</p>
<table-wrap id="T1" position="float">
<label>Table&#xa0;1</label>
<caption>
<p>Deviance table documenting the relative importance of the explanatory variables included in the GAM model to assess manta ray catch trends from the KwaZulu-Natal Bather protection net dataset in South Africa between 1981-2021.</p>
</caption>
<table frame="hsides">
<thead>
<tr>
<th valign="bottom" align="left">Variable</th>
<th valign="bottom" align="center">Df</th>
<th valign="bottom" align="center">Deviance</th>
<th valign="top" align="center">% Deviance explained</th>
<th valign="bottom" align="center">Pr(&gt;F)</th>
<th valign="bottom" align="center">Significance</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="bottom" align="left">NULL</td>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
<td valign="bottom" align="center">17654</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="bottom" align="center"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="bottom" align="left">Year</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">40</td>
<td valign="bottom" align="center">17266</td>
<td valign="bottom" align="center">71.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&lt;2.2e<sup>-16</sup>
</td>
<td valign="bottom" align="center">***</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="bottom" align="left">Month</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">42</td>
<td valign="bottom" align="center">17237</td>
<td valign="bottom" align="center">5.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&lt;6.6e<sup>-06</sup>
</td>
<td valign="bottom" align="center">***</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="bottom" align="left">Area</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">45</td>
<td valign="bottom" align="center">17126</td>
<td valign="bottom" align="center">20.5</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&lt;2.2e<sup>-16</sup>
</td>
<td valign="bottom" align="center">***</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="bottom" align="left">Moon Phase</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">47</td>
<td valign="bottom" align="center">17111</td>
<td valign="bottom" align="center">2.8</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.00009</td>
<td valign="bottom" align="center">***</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table-wrap-foot>
<fn>
<p>Significant codes: 0 &#x2018;***&#x2019; 0.001 &#x2018;**&#x2019; 0.01 &#x2018;*&#x2019; 0.05 &#x2018;.&#x2019; 0.1 &#x2018; &#x2019; 1.</p>
</fn>
</table-wrap-foot>
</table-wrap>
<p>In an effort to reduce bycatch of non-target species there was substantial removal of nets at 34 of the 37 beaches in the early 2000&#x2019;s, which were replaced by drumlines (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B12">Cliff and Dudley, 2011</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B23">Dicken et&#xa0;al., 2016</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B26">Dicken et&#xa0;al., 2018</xref>). Each drumline is anchored adjacent to the nets and consists of a single Mustad 4480DT 14/0 J hook (Gj&#xf8;vik, Norway) suspended 4 m beneath a large float (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B29">Dudley et&#xa0;al., 1998</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B12">Cliff and Dudley, 2011</xref>). The hooks were baited and checked every weekday (weather permitting) and re-baited, as necessary. In 2007, a total of 79 drumlines replaced almost half (4 km) of the nets at 17 of the 18 protected beaches along the Hibiscus Coast (Hibberdene, beach 25, to Port Edward, beach 44; <xref ref-type="fig" rid="f1">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;1</bold>
</xref>), An additional 28 drumlines were installed between Zinkwazi and Ballito in 2015, and an additional 70 drumlines between Tongaat and Umgababa in 2019. The 177 drumlines currently in operation were deployed at a replacement ratio of four drumlines to one net. Specifics of the drumline deployments are given in <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B23">Dicken et&#xa0;al. (2016)</xref>.</p>
<p>Overall catch per unit effort (CPUE) was measured at each beach by calculating the total catch divided by the total of the monthly average number of nets multiplied by the average net length used at each location between 1981-2021. This is because the number of nets and net length varied at each beach throughout the study period (<xref ref-type="supplementary-material" rid="ST1">
<bold>Table S1</bold>
</xref>). Means (&#xb1; Standard deviation, or, &#x2018;SD&#x2019;) were calculated to assess the following: the average annual number killed as a result of catch, the average number of nets and net length at each location, and the average size of each individual caught.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2_2_2">
<title>Standardizing probability of encounter</title>
<p>We used Generalized Additive Models (GAMs) to examine the relationships between the Probability of Encounter (PE) (0 = absent, 1 = present) of manta rays and predictor variables assuming a binomial error distribution. All analyses were conducted in R software (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B63">R Core Team, 2021</xref>). Probability of encounter is preferred over count distributions when a species is rarely captured, as overdispersion is accounted for. Furthermore, simulation testing has shown that if PE decreases below a certain threshold, the information provided by non-zero observations is minimal and the relationship between PE and abundance becomes approximately linear (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B59">Parker et&#xa0;al., 2016</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B43">Kerwath et&#xa0;al., 2019</xref>). Daily moon phase data were extracted from the &#x2018;suncalc&#x2019; package (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B79">Thieurmel and Elmarhraoui, 2019</xref>). Effort was treated as an offset in natural logarithmic scale which included the average number of nets and net length and each location.</p>
<p>The full GAM included the smoothing functions for the variables <italic>month</italic> and <italic>moon phase</italic> as follows:</p>
<disp-formula>
<mml:math display="block" id="M1">
<mml:mrow>
<mml:mtext>logit</mml:mtext>
<mml:mrow>
<mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo>
<mml:mi>p</mml:mi>
<mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo>
</mml:mrow>
<mml:mo>=</mml:mo>
<mml:mtext>&#xa0;&#x3b1;&#xa0;</mml:mtext>
<mml:mo>+</mml:mo>
<mml:mtext>offset</mml:mtext>
<mml:mrow>
<mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo>
<mml:mrow>
<mml:mi>log</mml:mi>
<mml:mrow>
<mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo>
<mml:mrow>
<mml:mtext>effort</mml:mtext>
</mml:mrow>
<mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo>
</mml:mrow>
</mml:mrow>
<mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo>
</mml:mrow>
<mml:mo>+</mml:mo>
<mml:mtext>&#xa0;Year</mml:mtext>
<mml:mo>+</mml:mo>
<mml:mtext>Area</mml:mtext>
<mml:mo>+</mml:mo>
<mml:mtext>&#xa0;</mml:mtext>
<mml:mi>s</mml:mi>
<mml:mn>1</mml:mn>
<mml:mrow>
<mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo>
<mml:mrow>
<mml:mtext>Month</mml:mtext>
</mml:mrow>
<mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo>
</mml:mrow>
<mml:mtext>&#xa0;</mml:mtext>
<mml:mo>+</mml:mo>
<mml:mtext>&#xa0;</mml:mtext>
<mml:mi>s</mml:mi>
<mml:mn>2</mml:mn>
<mml:mrow>
<mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo>
<mml:mrow>
<mml:mtext>Moon&#xa0;phase</mml:mtext>
</mml:mrow>
<mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo>
</mml:mrow>
</mml:mrow>
</mml:math>
</disp-formula>
<p>where logit denotes the binomial link function, p is the probability of catching at least one individual per net deployment, &#x3b1; is the intercept, s1-2 denotes cyclic cubic smoothing functions for <italic>Month</italic> and <italic>Moon phase</italic> (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B88">Wood, 2006</xref>). <italic>Year</italic> and <italic>Area</italic> were treated as categorical variables. Sequential F-tests were used to determine the covariates that contributed significantly (p &lt; 0.001) to the deviance explained and GAMs were fitted in R statistical software using the &#x2018;mgcv&#x2019; and &#x2018;nlme&#x2019; (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B88">Wood, 2006</xref>). The annual value of PE was standardized by fixing all covariates other than <italic>Year</italic> in the prediction dataset. Drumline data were excluded from GAM analysis because of the short time-frame of their deployment and low catches of manta rays compared to the nets.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="s2_3">
<title>Size and sex composition</title>
<p>All manta rays caught were sexed based on the presence or absence of external claspers, and measured, using DW (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B48">Marshall and Bennett, 2010</xref>). While a threshold of &#x2265;6 m DW was used to identify oceanic manta rays, the majority of catch data included unknown manta species. Nevertheless, detection of juveniles versus adults was possible using known sizes of maturity for both reef and oceanic manta rays (<xref ref-type="supplementary-material" rid="ST2">
<bold>Table S2</bold>
</xref>). Juvenile and adult maturity status for an individual was determined by a DW between 1400-2500 mm and 3801-8000 mm, respectively (<xref ref-type="supplementary-material" rid="ST2">
<bold>Table S2</bold>
</xref>). Individuals that had a DW between 2501-3800 mm were recorded as being of unknown maturity. Sex ratios were calculated using an exact binomial test in the &#x2018;stats&#x2019; package in R (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B63">R Core Team, 2021</xref>) with a significant difference in sex ratio accepted at p &lt; 0.05.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="s3" sec-type="results">
<title>Results</title>
<sec id="s3_1">
<title>Catch and effort</title>
<p>Between 1981-2021, 1,602 manta rays were caught in the nets. Between 2007-2021, 10 were caught in the drumlines and therefore excluded from statistical analysis. Manta rays were caught throughout the year, with more caught in austral summer (Dec-Feb; n=534), accounting for 33% of the total catch, compared to the austral winter (Jun-Aug; n=302), which accounted for 19% of the total catch. The size of mantas ranged from 1400-8000 mm Disc Width (DW). An average of 40 rays (&#xb1;29 SD) were caught per year of which approximately one third (n=527) were found dead, the remaining 70% being released, thus resulting an average of 13 (&#xb1;11 SD) confirmed mortalities per year. Annual mortality ranged from one (9% of annual catch) in 2017 to 38 (49% of annual catch) in 2001. The majority of catches were single individuals, with a maximum of two manta rays caught in a single deployment. The total net length (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f2">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;2A</bold>
</xref>) and manta ray catches (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f2">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;2B</bold>
</xref>) exhibited considerable variation, but there was an overall decrease across the 41-year period.</p>
<fig id="f2" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;2</label>
<caption>
<p>
<bold>(A, B)</bold> Total annual number of bather protection nets <bold>(A)</bold> and total annual manta ray catches <bold>(B)</bold> in these nets in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa, between 1981-2021. The dashed lines represent linear regression fitted to the data.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fmars-10-1128819-g002.tif"/>
</fig>
<p>Spatially, the Central Area had the largest number of catches throughout the study period (n=649), followed by the South (n=528) and then the North Area (n=414), with 11 additional catches at Richard&#x2019;s Bay (R.B). Amanzimtoti beach (AMA), within the Central Area (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f1">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;1</bold>
</xref>), had the highest total catch over the entire period (n=120; 7% of total catch) (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f3">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;3</bold>
</xref>). Only two other beaches reported total catches exceeding 100, these being Scottburgh (SCO) and Zinkwazi (ZIN). AMA and SCO are within approximately 35 km of each other in the Central Area, whereas Zinkwazi is the northernmost beach in the North Area (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f3">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;3</bold>
</xref>). When incorporating the unit of effort (the total of the monthly average number of nets multiplied by the average net length), the highest CPUE occurred at Winklespruit (0.0046) followed by Park Rynie (0.0036), Caribbean Bay (0.0035) and Ifafa (0.0034), three of these beaches being in the Central Area (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f3">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;3</bold>
</xref>).</p>
<fig id="f3" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;3</label>
<caption>
<p>Average manta rays caught and standardized by the average net length at the particular beach (catch per unit effort, or CPUE) in the bather protection nets, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa between 1981-2021. Catch per unit effort was divided into three ranges, the lowest being between 0.000-0.0015, up to the highest being 0.0031-0.0045.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fmars-10-1128819-g003.tif"/>
</fig>
<sec id="s3_1_1">
<title>Generalized additive models</title>
<p>A total of 1,423 captures were included in the Generalized Additive Models. Month, moon phase, area, and year were significant predictors for manta ray capture. This model was offset with the logarithmic of effort. Year explained 71.4% of total deviation, followed by area (20.5%), month (5.2%), and moon phase (2.8%) (<xref ref-type="table" rid="T1">
<bold>Table&#xa0;1</bold>
</xref>). There was an increase in manta ray catches up until the year 2000 where there was a significant temporal decline (p&lt;2.2e<sup>-16</sup>) (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f4">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;4A</bold>
</xref>). This is especially true when viewing year in numerical form, whereby the probability of capture is lowest in 2015-2021 (<xref ref-type="supplementary-material" rid="SF1">
<bold>Figure S1</bold>
</xref>). The probability of catching manta rays peaked in the summer months of December-February and was lowest in winter, between June-August (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f4">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;4B</bold>
</xref>). The probability of capture was highest in the Central Area and lowest in the North Area (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f4">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;4C</bold>
</xref>). Moon phase had a significant effect on the probability of manta ray capture, with increased catch during new and full moon phases (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f4">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;4D</bold>
</xref>).</p>
<fig id="f4" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;4</label>
<caption>
<p>Significant predictors for the probability of manta ray capture in the KwaZulu-Natal bather protection nets between 1981-2021 including year <bold>(A)</bold>, month <bold>(B)</bold>, area <bold>(C)</bold>, and moon phase <bold>(D)</bold>. Year and month plots include both numerical and factor models. South Africa austral summer occurs between December-February and winter between June-August.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fmars-10-1128819-g004.tif"/>
</fig>
</sec>
<sec id="s3_1_2">
<title>Size and sex composition</title>
<p>Most of the caught rays were sexed (62%, n=997) and of these, 56% were female (n=563) and 44% male (n=434), while 38% were recorded as unknown sex (n=605) and hence were excluded from the analysis of sex ratio. There was no significant difference in sex ratio (p=0.67, exact binomial test). This sex ratio with slightly more females remained similar when assessed by area (F:M North Area 1.28:1.0; Central Area 1.38:1.0; South Area 1.26:1.0).</p>
<p>Averaged across the entire study period, caught rays had an average DW of 2796 mm (&#xb1; 1368 SD). More than half (52%, n=841) of caught individuals belonged to the juvenile size class, between 1400-2500 mm DW (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f5">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;5</bold>
</xref>). There was an overall ratio of 1:1.8 adults (n=474) to juveniles (n=841) captured, although 18% (n=287) were recorded at unknown maturity due to the overlap in maturity sizes between oceanic and reef manta rays (a size range of 2501-3800 mm) (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f5">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;5</bold>
</xref>). The South Area had the highest proportion of juveniles in the catch (70%) (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f6">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;6</bold>
</xref>), comprising 44% of all juveniles caught throughout the study. Of these, 145 individuals were between 1400-1600 mm in size, the known size at birth. Confirmed adult manta rays of both species (3800-8000 mm) were caught in the highest numbers in Amanzimtoti (AMA; n=43), followed by Zinkwazi (ZIN; n=39), Scottburgh (SCO; n=38), Park Rynie (PAR; n=36), Winklespruit (WIN; n=36), and Durban (DUR; n=31); four of these locations (AMA, SCO, PAR, WIN) being within 35 km of one another. A total of 70 rays were 5501-8000 mm DW, confirming that they could only have been oceanic manta rays, and more than half of these were caught within the Central Area (53%, n=37) (<xref ref-type="supplementary-material" rid="SF2">
<bold>Figure S2</bold>
</xref>). Three individuals were measured to be 8000 mm DW: two from Hibberdene (HIB) in 1987 and 2019, and one from Brighton (BRI) in 1981 (<xref ref-type="supplementary-material" rid="SF2">
<bold>Figure S2</bold>
</xref>). This confirms the maximum size of oceanic manta rays in South Africa to reach at least 8000 mm DW. Both adult and juvenile manta rays were caught throughout the year, with numbers for both peaking in summer, between December-February (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f7">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;7</bold>
</xref>).</p>
<fig id="f5" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;5</label>
<caption>
<p>Disc width frequency distribution of manta rays caught in the KwaZulu-Natal shark nets between 1981&#x2013;2021. Dashed lines indicate the division between juvenile, unknown maturity, adult, of unknown species, and confirmed <italic>Mobula birostris</italic> individuals based on size.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fmars-10-1128819-g005.tif"/>
</fig>
<fig id="f6" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;6</label>
<caption>
<p>Catch and maturity status of manta rays from each area (North Area=Zinkwazi to Durban; Central Area=Anstey&#x2019;s Beach to Mtwalume; South Area=Hibberdene to Mzamba) from bather protection net catch data in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa 1981-2021.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fmars-10-1128819-g006.tif"/>
</fig>
<fig id="f7" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;7</label>
<caption>
<p>Monthly comparison of catch and maturity status of manta rays from bather protection net catch data in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa over the period 1981-2021.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fmars-10-1128819-g007.tif"/>
</fig>
</sec>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="s4" sec-type="discussion">
<title>Discussion</title>
<p>Using a 41-year dataset, we describe broad spatial-temporal trends of manta ray distribution and abundance in South Africa for the first time. We found an overall significant decline in catches between 1981-2021 and South Africa to be important habitat for manta rays, especially in summer (December-February), and in the Central and South Areas. When accounting for variation in effort, as well as other possible environmental influences, the standardized probability of capture shows a peak in the late 1990s, followed by a marked decline thereafter. Further, nominal probability of capture has consistently remained below the annual mean since 2007. This supports the majority of studies from Mozambique which report that manta ray encounters have generally declined over time (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B66">Rohner et&#xa0;al., 2013</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B81">Venables, 2020</xref>).</p>
<p>Manta ray populations in the southern African region are of immediate conservation concern (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B80">Tibiri&#xe7;&#xe1; et&#xa0;al., 2011</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B61">Peel, 2019</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B81">Venables, 2020</xref>). <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B81">Venables (2020)</xref> stated that annual landings in an artisanal fishery of 20-50 individuals per year over 16 years could have resulted in the detected abundance decline in Tofo, Mozambique; from 836 in 2004 to less than 100 since 2013 (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B51">Marshall et&#xa0;al., 2011</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B78">Temple et&#xa0;al., 2018</xref>). The 88% decline in sightings of reef manta rays observed in Tofo between 2003-2011 further supports this (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B66">Rohner et&#xa0;al., 2013</xref>). Manta ray populations cannot withstand fishing mortality due to their low fecundities (one pup per two years), even from small artisanal fisheries, or as bycatch from destructive fishing practices (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B18">Croll et&#xa0;al., 2016</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B46">Lawson et&#xa0;al., 2017</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B60">Parton et&#xa0;al., 2019</xref>). Given that <italic>M. alfredi</italic> in South Africa and Mozambique comprise a single breeding population, it is crucial to ensure that these mobile, threatened species are adequately safeguarded in both countries.</p>
<p>The catch numbers found in this study suggest that South Africa encompasses important habitat for manta rays, the extent of the visitation to that habitat which differs across seasons. Though manta rays were caught throughout the year, catches were highest in summer (Dec-Feb). In KZN, summer is associated with higher rainfall and north-easterly winds that drive the Durban Eddy, both of which increase upwelling and riverine output, and subsequent primary productivity and abundance and diversity of marine taxa (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B89">Woodson et&#xa0;al., 2012</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B37">Guastella and Roberts, 2016</xref>). Increased copepod and chaetognath abundance occur during summer in KZN, these being known prey of manta rays (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B67">Schleyer, 1985</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B17">Couturier et&#xa0;al., 2013</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">Bennett et&#xa0;al., 2016</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B61">Peel, 2019</xref>). Therefore, the increased manta ray catches may be due to the increased peaks of phytoplankton and subsequent zooplankton blooms during summer. These results indicate that manta rays may be present year-round in the region but with seasonal peaks, which suggests migration from other parts of the coast driven by life stage, reproduction, food availability, or individual movements.</p>
<p>There were significantly higher catches of manta rays from the area between Anstey&#x2019;s beach and Mtwalume (Central Area), nearby the Aliwal Shoal Marine Protected Area. The Aliwal Shoal Marine Protected Area is an important offshore habitat for elasmobranchs (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B25">Dicken et&#xa0;al., 2006</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B24">Dicken and Hosking, 2009</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B23">Dicken et&#xa0;al., 2016</xref>). It was declared a Marine Protected Area in 2004 (Government Gazette No. 26433) with fishing prohibited in the controlled zone, however, bather protection nets are also permitted at Scottburgh Beach, which is located five kilometers southwest. Despite historically high catches, few manta rays have been observed at Aliwal Shoal Marine Protected Area between 2020-2022 (Carpenter, unpublished data).</p>
<p>With at least one catch from every beach, this study provides further evidence that manta rays utilize the expansive continental coastline year-round from the Eastern Cape (approximately 175 km south of Mzamba) (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B52">Marshall et&#xa0;al., 2022</xref>) northwards into southern Mozambique. However, the intricacies of habitat use remain unknown in KZN, for instance, the specific hotspots for each species, and how often they move in and out of various areas. Full and new moons were significant with manta ray capture, a known predictor of manta ray sightings (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B66">Rohner et&#xa0;al., 2013</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B34">Fonseca-Ponce et&#xa0;al., 2022</xref>). This may be due to tidal effects on zooplankton availability (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B66">Rohner et&#xa0;al., 2013</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B4">Barr and Abelson, 2019</xref>), or the efficacy of nets in capturing manta rays during the full tidal range. The variability in manta ray catches during this study are thus likely consequences of physical processes that drive resource availability and/or net efficacy (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B35">Graham et&#xa0;al., 2012</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B6">Braun et&#xa0;al., 2014</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B41">Jaine et&#xa0;al., 2014</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B74">Stewart et&#xa0;al., 2016</xref>). Further in-water surveys and telemetry studies would allow for the determination of the possible hotspots for manta rays in KZN, and the visitation patterns associated with these sites.</p>
<p>A greater proportion of juvenile manta rays (DW of 1400-2500) were found in the South Area, from Hibberdene to Mzamba. A total of 9% of individuals (n=145) caught were at the estimated birth size (1400-1600 mm) (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B75">Stewart et&#xa0;al., 2018</xref>), and most were caught at Mzamba (MZA) (n=14), the most southerly location in the present study. Initial observations in Port St. John&#x2019;s, Eastern Cape, roughly 93 km south of Mzamba, reported six juvenile individuals sighted during winter (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B52">Marshall et al., 2022</xref>). Further, 52% of total catches (n=841) were within juvenile size for either manta ray species, with almost half of these (43%; n=365) from the South Area. Aggregations in Mozambique monitored for 11 - 20 years have reported small numbers of juveniles (roughly 5% of the photo-identified population in Tofo and Z&#xe1;vora and 3% in Bazaruto) (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B81">Venables, 2020</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B8">Carpenter et&#xa0;al., 2022</xref>). Our results fit two of three of the criteria outlined by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B40">Heupel et&#xa0;al. (2007)</xref>: juveniles were more common in a certain area and the habitat was repeatedly used across multiple years; however, we could not validate one criterion; this being if individuals remain or return to the area for extended periods. In contrast, overall, larger mantas were caught in the North and Central Areas, from Zinkwazi (ZIN) to Mtwalume (MTW), where the most confirmed oceanic manta rays (based on size class) were also caught, which may be reflective of a possible oceanic manta ray aggregation. More research is needed to confirm this as it is possible that the nets are incapable of holding large adults.</p>
<p>The primary caveat in this study is that it reports on relatively low sampling coverage over an expansive area. Considering their depth and habitat ranges, both manta ray species are likely to be spending the majority of time outside the limits of bather protection nets or recreational diving in KZN. Further, we did not distinguish between species in the catch data, due to the overlap in size and potential confusion with species identification. Both species are known to overlap in habitat use (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B50">Marshall et&#xa0;al., 2009</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B42">Kashiwagi et&#xa0;al., 2011</xref>) and both have been identified in various locations amongst the KZN coast (Carpenter, unpublished data; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B52">Marshall et&#xa0;al., 2022</xref>). Therefore, the pooling of species needs to be considered when interpreting the results, as this describes trends of the two species. In further studies species identification and data quality could be improved <italic>via</italic> team training or the implementation of photographic records for each captured animal, whether dead or alive (and released). Nevertheless, our results are informative for baseline spatial-temporal habitat use, and can be used to inform policymakers on the impacts of bycatch mortality and the need for development of local conservation management plans.</p>
<p>Both manta ray species are protected in South Africa through international agreements; the Conservation of Migratory Species (CMS) and the Convention on the International Trade of Endangered Species (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B9">CITES, 2013</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B46">Lawson et&#xa0;al., 2017</xref>); and national protection including oceanic manta rays under the Biodiversity Act of 2004 in South Africa, and reef manta rays listed under Threatened or Protected Species (TOPS) regulations (Notice No. 40875 under No. 476 of the Biodiversity Act, 10 of 2004, 2017). An increased network of Marine Protected Areas would benefit manta rays and other threatened species, as South Africa has not yet reached the Ocean Economy and Sustainability Goals of the United Nations of 10% by 2020.</p>
<p>Identifying sources of mortality of manta rays within the southern African region is key to mitigating impacts. Though the scientific knowledge gained from the bather protection nets has been unprecedented, including pioneering studies on numerous elasmobranch species in KZN (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B10">Cliff and Dudley, 1991</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B30">Dudley and Simpfendorfer, 2006</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B44">Kock et&#xa0;al., 2022</xref>), the current design may impact manta ray populations (an average of 13, up to 38 confirmed annual catch fatalities). Manta rays have one of the lowest reported population growth rates (median <italic>r</italic>
<sub>max</sub> of 0.116 year<sup>&#x2212;1</sup> 95th percentile [0.089&#x2013;0.139]; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B31">Dulvy et&#xa0;al., 2014</xref>) of 106 assessed elasmobranch species. Efforts to reduce bycatch have been implemented by the KZN bather protection program, such as reducing the number of nets and drumlines (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B38">Guyomard et&#xa0;al., 2019</xref>), and the removal of gear at three of the four beaches with the highest manta ray CPUE. However, due to the bycatch mortality of many vulnerable species, efforts should continue in seeking solutions to mitigate catches even further, especially at beaches installed within already established species refuges (i.e., Marine Protected Areas). This would help reduce impact to the southern African manta ray populations and facilitate their conservation into the future.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s5" sec-type="data-availability">
<title>Data availability statement</title>
<p>The raw data supporting the conclusions of this article will be made available by the authors upon reasonable request.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s6" sec-type="ethics-statement">
<title>Ethics statement</title>
<p>The KwaZulu-Natal Sharks Board is granted permission to catch animals as part of its operational activities as per its permit conditions listed in OCS/TOPS/STANDINGPERMIT/2022/02. This permit is issued by the Department of Forestry, Fisheries and the Environment in terms of regulation 7(1) of the Threatened or Protected Marine Species Regulations, 2017 (Government Gazette Notice No. 40876 of 30 May 2017) (the Regulations) read with the National Environmental Management: Biodiversity Act, 2004 (Act no.10 of 2004) (the Act).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s7" sec-type="author-contributions">
<title>Author contributions</title>
<p>MC and MD conceived the paper. Data was collected by MD. Data analysis was conducted by MC and DP. Written principally by MC with input and editorial comments from all other authors. All authors contributed to the article and approved the submitted version.</p>
</sec>
</body>
<back>
<sec id="s8" sec-type="funding-information">
<title>Funding</title>
<p>Fieldwork and database management was funded by the KwaZulu-Natal Sharks Board. Analysis and writeup supported by the University of Cape Town Science Fellowship.</p>
</sec>
<ack>
<title>Acknowledgments</title>
<p>Fieldwork and database management were supported by the KwaZulu-Natal Sharks Board. Analysis and write-up were supported by the University of Cape Town Science Faculty Fellowship. We are grateful to the reviewers and S. Venables for their valuable feedback, which greatly improved the manuscript. We thank R. Button for designing the maps used in this study.</p>
</ack>
<sec id="s9" sec-type="COI-statement">
<title>Conflict of interest</title>
<p>The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s10" sec-type="disclaimer">
<title>Publisher&#x2019;s note</title>
<p>All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article, or claim that may be made by its manufacturer, is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s11" sec-type="supplementary-material">
<title>Supplementary material</title>
<p>The Supplementary Material for this article can be found online at: <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmars.2023.1128819/full#supplementary-material">https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmars.2023.1128819/full#supplementary-material</ext-link>
</p>
<supplementary-material xlink:href="Image_1.tiff" id="SF1" mimetype="image/tiff">
<label>Supplementary Figure&#xa0;1</label>
<caption>
<p>Significant decline in the probability of manta ray capture over time (numerical) in the KwaZulu-Natal bather protection nets between 1981-2021.</p>
</caption>
</supplementary-material>
<supplementary-material xlink:href="Image_2.tiff" id="SF2" mimetype="image/tiff"/>
<supplementary-material xlink:href="Table_1.docx" id="ST1" mimetype="application/vnd.openxmlformats-officedocument.wordprocessingml.document"/>
<supplementary-material xlink:href="Table_2.docx" id="ST2" mimetype="application/vnd.openxmlformats-officedocument.wordprocessingml.document"/>
</sec>
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