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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">Front. Mar. Sci.</journal-id>
<journal-title>Frontiers in Marine Science</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="pubmed">Front. Mar. Sci.</abbrev-journal-title>
<issn pub-type="epub">2296-7745</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name>Frontiers Media S.A.</publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.3389/fmars.2022.1065954</article-id>
<article-categories>
<subj-group subj-group-type="heading">
<subject>Marine Science</subject>
<subj-group>
<subject>Original Research</subject>
</subj-group>
</subj-group>
</article-categories>
<title-group>
<article-title>Stock assessment using length&#x2013;based Bayesian evaluation method for <italic>Trichiurus lepturus</italic> in the East China Sea</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Zhu</surname>
<given-names>Kai</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
<uri xlink:href="https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/1840639"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes">
<name>
<surname>Zhu</surname>
<given-names>Wenbin</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="author-notes" rid="fn001">
<sup>*</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes">
<name>
<surname>Shi</surname>
<given-names>Yongchuang</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="author-notes" rid="fn001">
<sup>*</sup>
</xref>
<uri xlink:href="https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/1057822"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
<institution>Key Laboratory of Sustainable Utilization of Technology Research for Fishery Resources of Zhejiang Province, Zhejiang Marine Fisheries Research Institute, Scientific Observing and Experimental Station of Fishery Resources for Key Fishing Grounds, Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs</institution>, <addr-line>Zhoushan</addr-line>, <country>China</country>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
<institution>Marine and Fishery Institute of Zhejiang Ocean University</institution>, <addr-line>Zhoushan</addr-line>, <country>China</country>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
<institution>Key Lab of East China Sea &amp; Oceanic Fishery Resources Exploitation and Utilization, Ministry of Agriculture East China Sea Fisheries Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Fishery Sciences</institution>, <addr-line>Shanghai</addr-line>, <country>China</country>
</aff>
<author-notes>
<fn fn-type="edited-by">
<p>Edited by: Mhd Ikhwanuddin, University of Malaysia Terengganu, Malaysia</p>
</fn>
<fn fn-type="edited-by">
<p>Reviewed by: Jorge Paramo, University of Magdalena, Colombia; Ana Laura Iba&#xf1;ez, Autonomous Metropolitan University, Mexico</p>
</fn>
<fn fn-type="corresp" id="fn001">
<p>*Correspondence: Wenbin Zhu, <email xlink:href="mailto:zhuwenbin2021@126.com">zhuwenbin2021@126.com</email>; Yongchuang Shi, <email xlink:href="mailto:syc13052326091@163.com">syc13052326091@163.com</email>
</p>
</fn>
<fn fn-type="other" id="fn002">
<p>This article was submitted to Marine Fisheries, Aquaculture and Living Resources, a section of the journal Frontiers in Marine Science</p>
</fn>
</author-notes>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>04</day>
<month>01</month>
<year>2023</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="collection">
<year>2022</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>9</volume>
<elocation-id>1065954</elocation-id>
<history>
<date date-type="received">
<day>10</day>
<month>10</month>
<year>2022</year>
</date>
<date date-type="accepted">
<day>05</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2022</year>
</date>
</history>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright &#xa9; 2023 Zhu, Zhu and Shi</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2023</copyright-year>
<copyright-holder>Zhu, Zhu and Shi</copyright-holder>
<license xlink:href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">
<p>This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.</p>
</license>
</permissions>
<abstract>
<p>Fishery resources assessment is the basis of scientific management and sustainable development of fisheries. <italic>Trichiurus lepturus</italic>, one of the major commercial fishes in the East China Sea, is of great significance to study its stocks status. Based on length frequency data of <italic>T. lepturus</italic> collected in the East China Sea from 2016 to 2020, we estimated asymptotic length, optimal length at first capture, relative mortality, and relative biomass of the stock using length&#x2013;based Bayesian biomass estimation (LBB). The analysis shows a high exploitation rate and low biomass suggesting that the stock of <italic>T. lepturus</italic> has been overfished and is currently under heavy fishing pressure. Although the number of fishing vessels decreased by 29% from 2016 to 2020, the fishing horsepower decreased by only 9%, indicating that the fishing pressure on fishery resources is still high. To recover the stock, we consider the reduction of fishing intensity and enforcing of size&#x2013;at&#x2013;first&#x2013;capture regulations to be imperative. In addition to reducing fishing boats and horsepower, it is essential to increase the escape proportion of juvenile fish by increasing the mesh size, and reduce the proportion of juvenile fish in the catch. The result in this study can provide informative reference for fishery stock assessment <italic>T. lepturus</italic> in the East China Sea under the data&#x2013;limited conditions.</p>
</abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd>
<italic>Trichiurus lepturus</italic>
</kwd>
<kwd>LBB model</kwd>
<kwd>data&#x2013;limited method</kwd>
<kwd>stock assessment</kwd>
<kwd>East China Sea</kwd>
</kwd-group>
<counts>
<fig-count count="4"/>
<table-count count="4"/>
<equation-count count="0"/>
<ref-count count="50"/>
<page-count count="9"/>
<word-count count="3436"/>
</counts>
</article-meta>
</front>
<body>
<sec id="s1" sec-type="intro">
<label>1</label>
<title>Introduction</title>
<p>Marine fishing is the primary means of obtaining marine aquatic products (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B22">Moffitt and Cajas-Cano, 2014</xref>). Although the catch in China Seas remains high, with the continuous increase in fishing efforts, changes in the marine climate, and environmental degradation, more and more commercial fish species in China&#x2019;s waters have been over&#x2013;exploited, causing a decline in resources, which seriously hinders the sustainable utilization of fishery resources (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B28">Shi and Chen, 2019</xref>). As an important basis for fishery resource management, stock assessment can accurately evaluate the biological reference points such as fisheries biomass, allowable catch, and maximum sustainable yield using mathematical statistical methods based on life history patterns and the quantification of fishery resources and commercial fishing (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B14">Hilborn and Walters, 1992</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B26">Quinn and Deriso, 1999</xref>). Traditional fish stock assessment methods require many parameters. In addition to statistical data, they need more complete survey data, such as long&#x2013;term reliable catch yield data, density indices of resources, age/length structure data, and even tagging and releasing data (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B21">Methot and Wetzel, 2013</xref>). Obtaining this information requires technical know&#x2013;how, skilled workers and financial support, and is therefore inconvenient when evaluating data&#x2013;limited fisheries&#x2013;as is the case for more than 80% of the world&#x2019;s stocks, with only 1% of fish species having been systematically assessed (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">Costello et&#xa0;al., 2012</xref>). Due to the belated onset of fishery resource surveys in the China sea, the paucity of recorded survey data for most fisheries makes it difficult to evaluate them with traditional fish stock assessment methods. Stock assessments based on the existing data require the application of stock assessment methods applicable to data&#x2013;limited fisheries to carry out fisheries stock assessment in China&#x2019;s marine areas.</p>
<p>The East China Sea lies to the east of the Chinese mainland and is the marginal sea of the Western Pacific Ocean. Marine capture yield in the East China Sea accounts for more than 40% of the total output of China&#x2019;s ocean fishing industry (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B9">Fishery Management Bureau of Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affair (FMBMARA), (2000&#x2013;2021)</xref>).</p>
<p>
<italic>Trichiurus lepturus</italic>, distributed in the Western Pacific and Indian Ocean, belongs to Perciformes, Trichiuridae family, and the Trichiurus genus. Three Trichiurus species, <italic>T. lepturus</italic>, <italic>Trichiurus nanhaiensis</italic> and <italic>Trichiurus brevis</italic>, are distributed in China Seas (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">Hou et&#xa0;al., 2021</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B17">Hsu et&#xa0;al., 2022</xref>). Among them, Trichiurus in the East China Sea is mainly <italic>T. lepturus</italic> (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B17">Hsu et&#xa0;al., 2022</xref>).There are two migration routes for <italic>T. lepturus</italic>, most specimens migrated southward from the Yellow Sea to the ECS and South China Sea, and some specimens migrated northward from the South China Sea to the Taiwan Strait (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B13">He, 2019</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B17">Hsu et&#xa0;al., 2022</xref>). It is a commercially important species in China&#x2019;s fishery in the East China Sea, harvested by bottom trawl, longline fishing, bag seine, and tow net operations. The catch of <italic>T. lepturus</italic> in the East China Sea showed an upward trend from the early 1950s to 1974, after which its downward trend reached its lowest level in 1988. After the protection of breeding individuals and young fish due to the establishment of the fishing system in the summer season in 1995, the annual catch of <italic>T. lepturus</italic> increased significantly, and the catch has continued to exceed 800, 000 tons since 1998. Since 2006, because the fishing effort has exceeded the bearing capacity of the resources, the catch of <italic>T. lepturus</italic> has shown a downward trend, with catch in 2020 of less than 600, 000 tons (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B48">Zheng et&#xa0;al., 2013</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B9">Fishery Management Bureau of Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affair (FMBMARA), (2000&#x2013;2021)</xref>). Studies on <italic>T. lepturus</italic> in the ECS included its life history characteristics (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B24">Panhwar et&#xa0;al., 2018</xref>), migrations (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B31">Sun et&#xa0;al., 2020</xref>), population genetics (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B17">Hsu et&#xa0;al., 2022</xref>), and reproductive protection (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B6">Chiang et&#xa0;al., 2002</xref>), with the studies of its resource status obtained using mostly the Beverton&#x2013;Holt model (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B18">Ling et&#xa0;al., 2008</xref>), yield per recruit model (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B4">Cao and Liu, 2007</xref>), and surplus production model (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B34">Wang and Liu, 2013</xref>). <italic>T. lepturus</italic> is one of the most abundant species of marine fish in China, but its CPUE data is relatively lacking, which leads to some flaws in the evaluation results obtained using traditional fishery resource evaluation models. It is therefore crucial to carry out appropriately effective, reasonable, and accurate fishery resource assessment for <italic>T. lepturus</italic>. However, in the ECS the stocks had not been assessed based on data limited methods for the species.</p>
<p>Body length data can be used to fit and calculate biological parameters such as growth rate, mortality, and population size, and then evaluate the resource status of its population (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B25">Petrakis and Stergiou, 1995</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B30">Stergiou and Moutopoulos, 2001</xref>). The resource assessment models based on body length data include mainly LBSPR (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B15">Hordyk et&#xa0;al., 2015</xref>), LIME1 (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B27">Rudd and Thorson, 2018</xref>), LBB (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B10">Froese et&#xa0;al., 2018</xref>) and LBRA (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B2">Ault et&#xa0;al., 2019</xref>) models. Among them, The LBB model, which does not need to input data other than body length frequency data, has the advantage of lower input data requirements. Based on the survey data of trawling nets, we used the LBB method to analyze length frequency data from 2016 to 2020, and calculate the population evaluation indices such as asymptotic body length, growth, and death coefficients of <italic>T. lepturus</italic> in the East China Sea, in order to provide an evidential basis for the resource assessment of <italic>T. lepturus</italic> in the East China Sea, and to promote the management of fishery resources at the level of sustainable utilization in this area.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2" sec-type="materials|methods">
<label>2</label>
<title>Material and methods</title>
<sec id="s2_1">
<label>2.1</label>
<title>Study area and sampling</title>
<p>Length frequency data from the East China Sea was used to assess the population status of <italic>T. lepturus</italic>. The sampling area ranged from 26&#xb0;N to 34&#xb0;N and 122&#xb0;E to 127&#xb0;E (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f1">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;1</bold>
</xref>). We collected a total of 1, 973 <italic>T. lepturus</italic> from 41 fishing ports in the ECS during 2016 to 2020, utilizing fishermen with trawl nets. During the sample collection, we collected 50 specimens randomly for measurement when &gt; 30 <italic>T. lepturus</italic> were caught in any trawl; otherwise, we retained all specimens for measurement. We immediately froze and stored the specimens, thereafter thawing and measuring them in the laboratory. We measured the anal length and body weight to the nearest 0.1&#xa0;cm and 0.1&#xa0;g, respectively. In <xref ref-type="table" rid="T1">
<bold>Table&#xa0;1</bold>
</xref> we show the basic information for <italic>T. lepturus</italic> used in this study (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f2">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;2</bold>
</xref>).</p>
<fig id="f1" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;1</label>
<caption>
<p>
<italic>Sampling locations</italic> of <italic>T. lepturus</italic> in the East China Sea.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fmars-09-1065954-g001.tif"/>
</fig>
<table-wrap id="T1" position="float">
<label>Table&#xa0;1</label>
<caption>
<p>Summary of year, catch number and anal length range of individuals measured of <italic>T. lepturus</italic> in the East China Sea.</p>
</caption>
<table frame="hsides">
<thead>
<tr>
<th valign="middle" align="left">Year</th>
<th valign="middle" align="center">Catch number</th>
<th valign="middle" align="center">Anal length range (cm)</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="left">2016</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">151</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">11.8&#x2013;38.2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="left">2017</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">173</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">16.9&#x2013;32.6</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="left">2018</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">316</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">15.2&#x2013;34.5</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="left">2019</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">618</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">15.9&#x2013;32.2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="left">2020</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">715</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">11.4&#x2013;41.7</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</table-wrap>
<fig id="f2" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;2</label>
<caption>
<p>Length frequencies of <italic>T. lepturus</italic> in the the East China Sea specimens captured between 2016 and 2020.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fmars-09-1065954-g002.tif"/>
</fig>
</sec>
<sec id="s2_2">
<label>2.2</label>
<title>The LBB model</title>
<p>We used the LBB model to analyze the length frequency data of <italic>T. lepturus</italic> with an average interval of 10&#xa0;mm. The LBB model, which can estimate asymptotic length (<italic>L<sub>inf</sub>
</italic>), mean length at first capture (<italic>L</italic>
<sub>c</sub>), optimal length at first capture (<italic>L<sub>c_opt</sub>
</italic>), the size at which cohort biomass is at maximum (<italic>L<sub>c_opt</sub>
</italic>), relative natural mortality (<italic>M</italic>/<italic>K</italic>), and relative fishing mortality (<italic>F</italic>/<italic>M</italic>) according to the body length frequency data of the evaluation object (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B10">Froese et&#xa0;al., 2018</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B11">Froese et&#xa0;al., 2019</xref>), and can also provide the prior distribution of current relative resources (<italic>B</italic>/<italic>B</italic>
<sub>0</sub>), is proposed by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B10">Froese et&#xa0;al. (2018)</xref>. This model can estimate the derivation of all relevant parameters adopts the Markov Chain Monte Carlo method, and details of formulas of LBB are given in <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B10">Froese et&#xa0;al. (2018)</xref>. Using these parameters, we can calculate the current relative biomass (<italic>B</italic>/<italic>B</italic>
<sub>MSY</sub>), which is used to convert into a representative statement of the state of fishery resources (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B23">Palomares et&#xa0;al., 2018</xref>). In this study, the prior of <italic>L<sub>inf</sub>
</italic> was set to 42&#xa0;cm. The results of the LBB model can directly be used in the provisional management of data&#x2013;limited fisheries populations based on two basic and simple rules: if the relative stock size <italic>B</italic>/<italic>B</italic>
<sub>0</sub> &lt; <italic>B<sub>MSY</sub>
</italic>/<italic>B</italic>
<sub>0</sub>, catches of this species should be reduced; and if <italic>L<sub>c</sub>
</italic> &lt; <italic>L<sub>c_opt</sub>
</italic>, the minimum fishing size should rather be increased. We performed data analyses in this study using the LBB software which is installed in the R&#x2013;core environment.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="s3" sec-type="results">
<label>3</label>
<title>Results</title>
<sec id="s3_1">
<label>3.1</label>
<title>Population parameters</title>
<p>In <xref ref-type="fig" rid="f3">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;3</bold>
</xref> we show the stock assessment results for <italic>T. lepturus</italic> using the LBB method, and in <xref ref-type="table" rid="T2">
<bold>Table&#xa0;2</bold>
</xref> we show the population parameters of <italic>T. lepturus</italic> in the East China Sea from 2016 to 2020 estimated based on LBB. From 2016 to 2020, the <italic>L<sub>inf</sub>
</italic> and <italic>L</italic>
<sub>c</sub> of <italic>T. lepturus</italic> in the East China Sea showed a fluctuating trend, in which the asymptotic body length was the highest in 2016, the lowest in 2019, and the mean length at first capture was highest in 2017 and the lowest in 2016. The average length of <italic>T. lepturus</italic> and the length at the first capture were small and <italic>L</italic>
<sub>mean</sub>/<italic>L</italic>
<sub>opt</sub> (0.83) and <italic>L</italic>
<sub>c</sub>/<italic>L<sub>c_opt</sub>
</italic> (0.77) were lower than the standard value (1.0), which means that the proportion of large individuals in the population was very low.</p>
<fig id="f3" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;3</label>
<caption>
<p>Assessment results of the length&#x2013;based Bayesian (LBB) method for <italic>T. lepturus</italic>.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fmars-09-1065954-g003.tif"/>
</fig>
<table-wrap id="T2" position="float">
<label>Table&#xa0;2</label>
<caption>
<p>Population parameters of <italic>T. lepturus</italic> estimated by LBB.</p>
</caption>
<table frame="hsides">
<thead>
<tr>
<th valign="middle" align="left"/>
<th valign="middle" align="center">
<italic>L<sub>inf</sub>
</italic>(cm)</th>
<th valign="middle" align="center">
<italic>L<sub>c</sub>
</italic>(cm)</th>
<th valign="middle" align="center">
<italic>L<sub>mean</sub>
</italic> (cm)</th>
<th valign="middle" align="center">
<italic>M</italic>/<italic>K</italic>
</th>
<th valign="middle" align="center">
<italic>F</italic>/<italic>K</italic>
</th>
<th valign="middle" align="center">
<italic>Z</italic>/<italic>K</italic>
</th>
<th valign="middle" align="center">
<italic>F/M</italic>
</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="left">Mean</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">42.8</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">19.21</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">23.99</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">1.486</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">2.33</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">3.816</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">1.60</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="left">Sd</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">1.08</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">0.997</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">0.651</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">0.042</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">0.73</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">0.672</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">0.54</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="left">Min</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">41.70</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">18.09</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">23.12</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">1.43</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">1.43</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">3.01</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">0.94</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="left">Max</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">44.83</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">20.74</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">24.63</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">1.56</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">3.60</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">3.97</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">2.54</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table-wrap-foot>
<fn>
<p>L<sub>inf</sub> is the asymptotic length, L<sub>c</sub> is the mean length at first capture, L<sub>mean</sub> is the average length, M/K is relative natural mortality, F/K is the relative fishing mortality, Z/K is relative total mortality, F/M is relative fishing intensity.</p>
</fn>
</table-wrap-foot>
</table-wrap>
</sec>
<sec id="s3_2">
<label>3.3</label>
<title>Stock utilization</title>
<p>The <italic>B</italic>/<italic>B</italic>
<sub>0</sub> of <italic>T. lepturus</italic> in the ECS was 0.23 &#xb1; 0.06, and its distribution range was 0.15&#x2013;0.33, of which the lowest in 2017 and the highest in 2016 were less than 0.5 in each year, indicating that its current biomass was very low. <italic>B</italic>/<italic>B</italic>
<sub>0</sub> showed interannual variation, and its fluctuation range tended to increase with the progression of years, indicating that the <italic>T. lepturus</italic> resources in the East China Sea have been relatively fragile, an observation supported by exploitation rate (<italic>E</italic>) and the ratio <italic>F</italic>/<italic>K</italic>. The fluctuation trend of <italic>E</italic> and the ratio <italic>F</italic>/<italic>K</italic> increased, reaching a maximum in 2017 of 0.72 and 3.60, respectively. Although the number of fishing vessels in the East China Sea decreased by 29% from 2016 to 2020, the fishing horsepower decreased by only 9% (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f4">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;4</bold>
</xref>). According to statistics, the catch of <italic>T. lepturus</italic> in the ECS has decreased by 17%, which is twice the decline in fishing horsepower (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f4">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;4</bold>
</xref>).</p>
<fig id="f4" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;4</label>
<caption>
<p>Statistics of fishing horsepower, number of fishing vessels <bold>(A)</bold> and catch <bold>(B)</bold> for <italic>T. lepturus</italic> in the East China Sea from the Zhejiang, Jiangsu, Shanghai and Fujian province from 2016 to 2020 {data from China Fishery Statistical Yearbook [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B9">Fishery Management Bureau of Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affair (FMBMARA), (2000&#x2013;2021)</xref>]}.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fmars-09-1065954-g004.tif"/>
</fig>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="s4" sec-type="discussion">
<label>4</label>
<title>Discussion</title>
<p>The estimated <italic>L<sub>inf</sub>
</italic>distribution range of <italic>T. lepturus</italic> in the East China Sea over the years was 49.3-76.9&#xa0;cm (<xref ref-type="table" rid="T3">
<bold>Table&#xa0;3</bold>
</xref>), which was higher than the average of 42.8 (41.7-44.8) cm (<xref ref-type="table" rid="T2">
<bold>Table&#xa0;2</bold>
</xref>) estimated in this study based on LBB from 2016 to 2020, indicating that <italic>T. lepturus</italic> in ECS comprises mainly small individuals smaller than in the past. This may be the response of of <italic>T. lepturus</italic> to continuous high&#x2013;intensity fishing, which was caused mainly by the selectivity of the nets to the species during the fishing operation and the different methods used for research. On the one hand, due to high&#x2013;intensity fishing activities, a large number of larger individuals will be removed (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B8">Enberg et&#xa0;al., 2012</xref>), which has changed the population structure of <italic>T. lepturus</italic>, and hence the proportion of small individual in the population is increasing. In the study of Trichiurus in the South China Sea, due to long&#x2013;term high&#x2013;intensity fishing, the <italic>L<sub>inf</sub>
</italic> decreased from 62.2&#xa0;cm in the 1980s to 58.5&#xa0;cm in 2014&#x2013;2015 but the average anal length showed signs of recovery after the fishing pressure was eased (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B29">Shi et&#xa0;al., 2020</xref>). This positive effect on the biological characteristics of fish due to factors such as fisheries policy also exists for other fish species, such as <italic>Evynnis cardinalis</italic> (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B42">Zhang et&#xa0;al., 2020</xref>) in the Beibu Gulf of the South China Sea, and <italic>Oncorhynchus keta</italic> (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B12">Fukuwaka and Morita, 2008</xref>) in Hokkaido, Japan. The <italic>L<sub>inf</sub>
</italic>of <italic>T. lepturus</italic> varied greatly among different sea areas and there was no obvious law, which was confirmed by the results of <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B47">Zhang et&#xa0;al. (2022)</xref> and <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1">Amador and Aggrey-Fynn (2020)</xref>. On the other hand, the <italic>L<sub>inf</sub>
</italic> estimated based on LBB depends on the length distribution of the population represented by the length frequency data, which was different from the results estimated by other methods (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B35">Wang et&#xa0;al., 2018</xref>). If the proportion of supplementary population in the population is high, the estimated <italic>L<sub>inf</sub>
</italic> of LBB will be reduced (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B10">Froese et&#xa0;al., 2018</xref>). In recent years, the catch of <italic>T. lepturus</italic> in the East China Sea had a large proportion of small individuals (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B49">Zhou et&#xa0;al., 2002</xref>), leading to fluctuations in the estimated <italic>L<sub>inf</sub>
</italic> in different years. However, it was obvious that the <italic>L<sub>inf</sub>
</italic>of <italic>T. lepturus</italic> in this study was significantly smaller than that in other sea areas of China. Similarly, there were differences in <italic>L<sub>inf</sub>
</italic>of <italic>T. lepturus</italic> in different sea areas of India.The habitat and fishing intensity in different sea areas are also the main factors causing the difference of <italic>T. lepturus</italic> individual size (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B3">Bernatchez, 2016</xref>).</p>
<table-wrap id="T3" position="float">
<label>Table&#xa0;3</label>
<caption>
<p>
<italic>L<sub>inf</sub>
</italic> of <italic>T. lepturus</italic> in the East China Sea in different periods.</p>
</caption>
<table frame="hsides">
<thead>
<tr>
<th valign="middle" align="left">Sampling time</th>
<th valign="middle" align="center">
<italic>L<sub>inf</sub>
</italic>
<sub>/</sub>cm</th>
<th valign="middle" align="center">Method</th>
<th valign="middle" align="center">Reference</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="left">1960&#x2013;1963</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">55.9</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">Statolith microstructure</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B37">Wu, 1985</xref>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="left">1977&#x2013;1978</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">55.4</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">Statolith microstructure</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B38">Wu et&#xa0;al., 1985</xref>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="left">1990, 1991, 1992, 1998, 1999, 2001</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">50.8</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">Length frequencies data</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B44">Zhang et&#xa0;al., 2007</xref>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="left">2002&#x2013;2004</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">49.3</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">Statolith microstructure</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B40">Yan et&#xa0;al., 2005</xref>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="left">2005&#x2013;2007</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">49.8</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">Length frequencies data</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B33">Wang, 2010</xref>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="left">2001, 2004, 2009, 2013</td>
<td valign="middle" align="center">53.8, 51.6, 64.3, 76.9</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">Length frequencies data</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B24">Panhwar et&#xa0;al., 2018</xref>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</table-wrap>
<p>In this study, the estimates of F/M &gt; 1 and E &gt; 0.5 suggested that the stock was overfished, while the estimates of B/Bo &lt; 0.5 showed that the current biomass was very low. This result was compared with other studies (<xref ref-type="table" rid="T4">
<bold>Table&#xa0;4</bold>
</xref>). Our result was confirmed by the studies published by other researchers (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B19">Ling et&#xa0;al., 2005</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B18">Ling et&#xa0;al., 2008</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B33">Wang, 2010</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B34">Wang and Liu, 2013</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B43">Zhang &amp; Chen, 2015</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B24">Panhwar et&#xa0;al., 2018</xref>), where Beverton&#x2013;Holt, yield per recruit, surplus production and per unit recruitment models were used to assess the resource of <italic>T. lepturus</italic> in ECS, with all results showing the stock was suffering from overfishing (<xref ref-type="table" rid="T4">
<bold>Table&#xa0;4</bold>
</xref>). Compared with the LBB model, other models have the disadvantages of low accuracy of assessment results and difficulty in obtaining the required data for data-limited fisheries. For example, the surplus yield model does not consider the biological characteristics of the research object, resulting in the lack of corresponding biological interpretation of the evaluation results, and cannot reflect the impact of environmental factors on fish population dynamics (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B14">Hilborn &amp; Walters, 1992</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B41">Zhan, 1995</xref>). In addition, because most of the fisheries in China&#x2019;s offshore waters are mixed fisheries, the catches and fishing methods are diversified, and the statistical yield data may be higher than the real value (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B36">Watson and Pauly, 2001</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B39">Xu et&#xa0;al., 2003</xref>), which will also lead to the evaluation results of MSY and <italic>B</italic>
<sub>MSY</sub>.</p>
<table-wrap id="T4" position="float">
<label>Table&#xa0;4</label>
<caption>
<p>Comparison of fishery resource assessment studies for <italic>T. lepturus</italic> in the East China Sea.</p>
</caption>
<table frame="hsides">
<thead>
<tr>
<th valign="top" align="left">Sample time</th>
<th valign="top" align="center">Comparison with this study</th>
<th valign="top" align="center">Assessment method</th>
<th valign="top" align="center">Assessment result</th>
<th valign="top" align="center">Reference</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">1959-2003</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Consistent</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Beverton-Holt model</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Overfished</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B18">Ling et&#xa0;al., 2008</xref>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">1990-2003</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Consistent</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Surplus production model</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Overfished</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B34">Wang and Liu, 2013</xref>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">1990-2007</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Consistent</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Yield per recruit model</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Overfished</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B33">Wang, 2010</xref>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">1995-2012</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Consistent</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Yield per recruit<break/>and surplus production models</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Overfished</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B43">Zhang &amp; Chen, 2015</xref>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">2001, 2004, 2009, 2013</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Consistent</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Yield per recruit model</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Overfished</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B24">Panhwar et&#xa0;al., 2018</xref>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">2003</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Consistent</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Per unit recruitment model</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Overfished</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B19">Ling et&#xa0;al., 2005</xref>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</table-wrap>
<p>Although <italic>T. lepturus</italic> has been overfished, its resources have not decreased as sharply as those of the the large yellow croaker (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B20">Liu and Mitcheson, 2008</xref>), and its catch has remained at a high level, which may be related to three factors. First, the reproductive characteristics of <italic>T. lepturus</italic> make it possible to generate more supplementary populations under overfishing. Studies have shown that <italic>T. lepturus</italic> has a long spawning period and a wide distribution of spawning individuals, and can reach sexual maturity at only one year (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B32">Tang et&#xa0;al., 2006</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">Chen et&#xa0;al., 2013</xref>), which provides a certain resilience. Second, the seasonal fishing moratorium and the protection measures for <italic>T. lepturus</italic> spawning grounds implemented in the ECS provide a guarantee for the growth and reproduction of <italic>T. lepturus</italic>. A new summer fishing moratorium policy has been implemented in the ECS since 1995. The fishing moratorium from May to June stipulated by the policy coincides with the peak spawning period of <italic>T. lepturus</italic> (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B45">Zhang et&#xa0;al., 2017b</xref>), and many types of fishing are not allowed to operate during this period, which allows for substantial increases in the supplementation of <italic>T. lepturus</italic>. Third, there may be hidden increased effort due to electronics and increasing experience of fishers. Fishing boats in the ECS have greater power and are equipped with more advanced technology than before. Such effort creep will capture an increased proportion of the population, thereby keeping catches stable while the stock is declining.</p>
<p>The novel aspect of this study is that few studies have applied data&#x2013;limited method based on length frequency data to the resource assessment of <italic>T. lepturus</italic> in the East China Sea. In this study, <italic>B</italic>/<italic>B</italic>
<sub>0</sub> and <italic>L<sub>c</sub>
</italic> were lower than <italic>B<sub>MSY</sub>
</italic>/<italic>B</italic>
<sub>0</sub> and <italic>L<sub>c_opt</sub>
</italic>, respectively, indicating that the catch should be reduced and fishing should start at larger size. Faced with the situation of overfishing of <italic>T. lepturus</italic> in the ECS, we should first reduce the fishing intensity and the catch of <italic>T. lepturus</italic>. However, the decline in fishing horsepower was low despite the significant decrease in the number of fishing vessels, indicating that the fishing pressure on fishery resources remained high (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f4">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;4</bold>
</xref>). The large number of fishermen in the ECS and other factors mean that fishing efforts cannot quickly be reduced to a reasonable level, so that the effect of the recent measures to reduce the fishing horsepower is not obvious. Second, protecting juvenile fishes can effectively improve the resource level of <italic>T. lepturus</italic> in the ECS. The mesh size of fishing gear used by fishing vessels&#x2013;especially the two&#x2013;stick swingnet&#x2013;is too small (3.5&#xa0;cm, the minimum mesh size of two&#x2013;stick swingnet should be 8.8&#xa0;cm (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B50">Zhuang et&#xa0;al., 2022</xref>), which prevents young fish in the catch from being released; they are consequently caught in large quantities and the population structure tends to be miniaturized and younger, which limits the spawning stock biomass per recruit (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B46">Zhang et&#xa0;al., 2017a</xref>). While continuing to implement the fishing moratorium policy, by increasing the mesh size of the nets, it is also possible to increase the escape rate of juveniles; strict adherence to the catchable specifications will also reduce the capture of juveniles, thus achieving the conservation of juveniles in the ECS.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s5" sec-type="data-availability">
<title>Data availability statement</title>
<p>The original contributions presented in the study are included in the article/supplementary material. Further inquiries can be directed to the corresponding authors.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s6" sec-type="ethics-statement">
<title>Ethics statement</title>
<p>Ethical review and approval was not required for the animal study because the samples we studied were all from frozen fishes caught in commercial fishing activities.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s7" sec-type="author-contributions">
<title>Author contributions</title>
<p>KZ: Conception and design of this study, Acquisition of data, Visualization, Software, Writing&#x2013;original draft. WZ: Writing&#x2013;review &amp; editing. YS: Writing&#x2013;review &amp; editing. All authors contributed to the article and approved the submitted version.</p>
</sec>
</body>
<back>
<sec id="s8" sec-type="funding-information">
<title>Funding</title>
<p>This work was supported by the National Key R&amp;D Program of China (2019YFD0901505, 2020YFD0901203), the Key R&amp;D Program of Zhejiang Province (2018C02056), and the Key R&amp;D Program of Zhejiang Province (2019C02056), Zhejiang Provincial Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant (LGN21C190005), the Key Technology and System Exploration of Quota Fishing, Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs Agricultural Finance of China (36, 2017) and the Science and Technology Program of Marine Fisheries Research Institute of Zhejiang Province</p>
</sec>
<ack>
<title>Acknowledgments</title>
<p>We thank the staff members of the Scientific Observing and Experimental Station of Fishery Resources for Key Fishing Grounds, Ministry of Agriculture, Marine Fisheries Research Institute of Zhejiang for providing assistance at laboratory. We would like to thank the developer of the LBB method, Rainer Froese. We are also grateful to all the reviewers for their valuable comments and advices.</p>
</ack>
<sec id="s9" sec-type="COI-statement">
<title>Conflict of interest</title>
<p>The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s10" sec-type="disclaimer">
<title>Publisher&#x2019;s note</title>
<p>All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article, or claim that may be made by its manufacturer, is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.</p>
</sec>
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