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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">Front. Genet.</journal-id>
<journal-title>Frontiers in Genetics</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="pubmed">Front. Genet.</abbrev-journal-title>
<issn pub-type="epub">1664-8021</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name>Frontiers Media S.A.</publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">767577</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.3389/fgene.2021.767577</article-id>
<article-categories>
<subj-group subj-group-type="heading">
<subject>Genetics</subject>
<subj-group>
<subject>Original Research</subject>
</subj-group>
</subj-group>
</article-categories>
<title-group>
<article-title>Impact of Liability to Periodontitis on Glycemic Control and Type II Diabetes Risk: A Mendelian Randomization Study</article-title>
<alt-title alt-title-type="left-running-head">Shah et&#x20;al.</alt-title>
<alt-title alt-title-type="right-running-head">Periodontitis and Type II Diabetes</alt-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Shah</surname>
<given-names>Parth D.</given-names>
</name>
<uri xlink:href="https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/1461288/overview"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Schooling</surname>
<given-names>C. M.</given-names>
</name>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes">
<name>
<surname>Borrell</surname>
<given-names>Luisa N.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="corresp" rid="c001">&#x2a;</xref>
<uri xlink:href="https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/1453808/overview"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff>Graduate School of Public Health and Health Policy, City University of New York, <addr-line>New York</addr-line>, <addr-line>NY</addr-line>, <country>United&#x20;States</country>
</aff>
<author-notes>
<fn fn-type="edited-by">
<p>
<bold>Edited by:</bold> <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/664059/overview">Mingfeng Xia</ext-link>, Fudan University, China</p>
</fn>
<fn fn-type="edited-by">
<p>
<bold>Reviewed by:</bold> <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/1082795/overview">Shuai Yuan</ext-link>, Karolinska Institutet (KI), Sweden</p>
<p>
<ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/351274/overview">Zhipeng Liu</ext-link>, Purdue University, United&#x20;States</p>
</fn>
<corresp id="c001">&#x2a;Correspondence: Luisa N. Borrell, <email>Luisa.Borrell@sph.cuny.edu</email>
</corresp>
<fn fn-type="other">
<p>This article was submitted to Applied Genetic Epidemiology, a section of the journal Frontiers in Genetics</p>
</fn>
</author-notes>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>25</day>
<month>11</month>
<year>2021</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="collection">
<year>2021</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>12</volume>
<elocation-id>767577</elocation-id>
<history>
<date date-type="received">
<day>31</day>
<month>08</month>
<year>2021</year>
</date>
<date date-type="accepted">
<day>15</day>
<month>10</month>
<year>2021</year>
</date>
</history>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright &#xa9; 2021 Shah, Schooling and Borrell.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2021</copyright-year>
<copyright-holder>Shah, Schooling and Borrell</copyright-holder>
<license xlink:href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">
<p>This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these&#x20;terms.</p>
</license>
</permissions>
<abstract>
<p>While the association of periodontitis with Type II diabetes (T2DM) is well-established, the causal relationship remains uncertain. We examined the causal association of periodontitis with glycemic traits (HbA1c, fasting glucose, and fasting insulin) and T2DM using Mendelian randomization (MR) taking advantage of large genome-wide association studies of European and East Asian adults, i.e.,&#x20;the UK Biobank (<italic>n</italic>&#x20;&#x2248; 350,000) (HbA1c), trans-ancestral MAGIC (HbA1c, fasting glucose, and insulin), and DIAMANTE (74,124 cases/824,006 controls), and AGEN for T2DM in Europeans and East Asians, respectively. Periodontitis was instrumented using single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs), strongly and independently predicting liability to periodontitis in each ancestry group. SNP-specific Wald estimates were combined using inverse variance weighting. Sensitivity analyses were performed using the weighted median and MR-Egger with meta-analysis of MR estimates for Europeans and East Asians. Genetically instrumented liability to periodontitis was not associated with glycemic traits or T2DM in either ancestry or when ancestry specific estimates were meta-analyzed. Our findings do not support a causal association of liability to periodontitis with glycemic traits or T2DM. However, further research is required confirming these findings among other racial/ethnic groups, especially groups who carry a heavy burden of both periodontitis and T2DM.</p>
</abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd>diabetes</kwd>
<kwd>glycemic control traits</kwd>
<kwd>periodontitis</kwd>
<kwd>epidemiology</kwd>
<kwd>mendelian randomization</kwd>
<kwd>causal analysis</kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
</front>
<body>
<sec id="s1">
<title>1 Introduction</title>
<p>Type 2 diabetes (T2DM) is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B67">World Health Organization, 2018</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B71">Zheng et&#x20;al., 2018</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B34">Khan et&#x20;al., 2020</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B37">Lin et&#x20;al., 2020</xref>). About 9% of adults in the world now have diabetes mellitus, with 90% having T2DM (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B71">Zheng et&#x20;al., 2018</xref>). Despite improved treatment and preventive measures, diabetes alone continues to be responsible for over a million deaths each year (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B67">World Health Organization, 2018</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B34">Khan et&#x20;al., 2020</xref>). T2DM is a serious public health concern, as its burden is rising globally. Well-established risk factors include age, overweight, family history, and hypertension (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1">American Heart Association, 2021</xref>). However, an emerging role of inflammation in glycemic control and pathogenesis of T2DM has been increasingly recognized as a means of improving prevention and control for this condition (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B62">Tsalamandris et&#x20;al., 2019</xref>).</p>
<p>Similarly, periodontitis, one of the most common chronic inflammatory diseases of the gums and supporting structures of teeth (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B45">Papapanou et&#x20;al., 2018</xref>), has long been considered a risk factor for T2DM (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B46">Preshaw and Taylor, 2011</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B44">Nazir, 2017</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B36">Liccardo et&#x20;al., 2019</xref>). Periodontitis is caused by an immune response to oral bacteria (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B14">Cekici et&#x20;al., 2014</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B54">Sudhakara et&#x20;al., 2018</xref>) and has been associated with T2DM (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B6">Borgnakke et&#x20;al., 2013</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B53">Stanko and Izakovicova, 2014</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B65">Wang T. F et&#x20;al., 2014</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B12">Cao et&#x20;al., 2019</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B68">Wu et&#x20;al., 2020</xref>). The prevalence of periodontitis is between 20% and 50% in the general population (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B43">Nazir et&#x20;al., 2020</xref>). According to the Global Burden of Disease Study, severe periodontitis was the 11th most prevalent condition in the world (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B24">GBD 2017 Disease and Injury Incidence and Prevalence Collaborators, 2017</xref>). Furthermore, some evidence suggests an association of periodontitis with poor glycemic control (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B66">Wang X et&#x20;al., 2014</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B12">Cao et&#x20;al., 2019</xref>). Therefore, determining whether the reported association of periodontitis with T2DM is causal is of paramount importance to population health.</p>
<p>A direct relationship of periodontitis with T2DM has been observed, possibly operating <italic>via</italic> insulin resistance (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B72">Mealey and Ocampo, 2007</xref>). Toxic substances, such as cysteine proteases, released by periodontal pathogenic bacteria may irritate endothelial cells and promote insulin resistance <italic>via</italic> endothelial cell inflammation and lipid deposition (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B61">Thorstensson et&#x20;al., 1995</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B27">Grossi et&#x20;al., 2004</xref>). In contrast, proinflammatory cytokines such as interleukin-6, C-reactive protein, and tumor necrosis factor-alpha may cause a downstream immune response, yielding antibodies reacting with endothelial cells and low-density lipoproteins, and promote insulin resistance (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B46">Preshaw and Taylor, 2011</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">Botero et&#x20;al., 2016</xref>). However, it is unclear whether periodontitis is actually a causal target of intervention or a biomarker of the other exposures, which cause diabetes.</p>
<p>Previous studies have reported an association of periodontitis with diabetes (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B6">Borgnakke et&#x20;al., 2013</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B53">Stanko and Izakovicova, 2014</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B44">Nazir, 2017</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B36">Liccardo et&#x20;al., 2019</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B68">Wu et&#x20;al., 2020</xref>). However, this well-established relationship of periodontitis with diabetes is primarily based on observational studies (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B6">Borgnakke et&#x20;al., 2013</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B26">Graziani et&#x20;al., 2018</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B68">Wu et&#x20;al., 2020</xref>). Observational studies are subject to confounding by unknown and known factors (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B22">Fewell et&#x20;al., 2007</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B17">Smith and Hemani, 2014</xref>), such as lifestyle, access to care, diet and nutrition, ill-health, and socioeconomic position, particularly as people living in poverty are often more vulnerable to T2DM (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B30">Hsu et&#x20;al., 2012</xref>). Additionally, findings from clinical trials examining the effects of periodontal treatment on glycemic control in T2DM participants are mixed (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B59">Teshome and Yitayeh, 2017</xref>), with a number of trials showing no benefit of periodontal treatment in preventing or controlling T2DM (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B20">Engebretson et&#x20;al., 2013</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B65">Wang T. F et&#x20;al., 2014</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B33">Kara et&#x20;al., 2015</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B64">Vergnes, 2015</xref>). Therefore, evidence on whether periodontitis is causally related to T2DM is lacking.</p>
<p>Given the lack of causal evidence for an association between periodontitis and T2DM, a potential solution is the comparison of the risk of disease in people with genetically different periodontal status, to take advantage of genetic randomization at conception. Mendelian randomization (MR), instrumental variable analysis with genetic instruments, provides an opportunity of obtaining unconfounded estimates from observational studies (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B17">Smith and Hemani, 2014</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B10">Burgess et&#x20;al., 2020</xref>). In fact, a previous MR study (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B70">Yuan and Larsson, 2020</xref>) found a suggestive association of periodontitis with T2DM, but did not investigate replication or possible pathways <italic>via</italic> glycemic traits. To fill this research gap, we examined the causal relationship of genetic liability to periodontitis with glycemic traits [i.e.,&#x20;glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA1C), fasting glucose, and fasting insulin] and T2DM using large, available, suitable genome-wide association studies (GWAS) in both people of European and East Asian descent.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2">
<title>2 Materials and Methods</title>
<sec id="s2-1">
<title>2.1 Overview of the Study Design</title>
<p>This study used MR to examine the causal relation of liability to periodontitis with T2DM and glycemic traits. MR uses genetic variants associated with a risk factor as instrumental variables (IVs), which can be tested for associations with disease outcomes (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B73">Smith and Ebrahim, 2003</xref>). This was a two-sample MR study utilizing summary genetic associations, where the single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP)&#x2013;exposure (periodontitis) and the SNP&#x2013;outcomes (glycemic traits and T2DM) associations were largely taken from different studies. The main two-sample MR study was conducted in people of European descent, i.e.,&#x20;with instruments and exposures from different European descent populations. To repeat the analysis in people of East Asian descent, i.e.,&#x20;with instruments and exposures from East Asian populations, we used two-sample methods with overlapping samples.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2-2">
<title>2.2 Selection of Instrumental Variables for Periodontitis</title>
<p>For this study, we identified all SNPs from recent GWAS of clinically confirmed periodontitis in German, Dutch, or European American samples or from meta-analyses of these studies (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B48">Schaefer et&#x20;al., 2010</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B41">Munz et&#x20;al., 2017</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B40">Munz et&#x20;al., 2019</xref>). Candidate SNPs were assessed for suitability against the assumptions required of a valid IV (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B35">Lawlor et&#x20;al., 2008</xref>). Briefly, all IVs used must satisfy three assumptions (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B35">Lawlor et&#x20;al., 2008</xref>). They must predict the exposure, only affect the outcome <italic>via</italic> affecting this exposure, and should not be associated with confounders of the exposure&#x2013;outcome relationship.</p>
<p>This study was conducted utilizing the same SNPs used by previous studies examining the causal associations of periodontitis with hypertension (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">Czesnikiewicz-Guzik et&#x20;al., 2019</xref>) and with cardiovascular diseases (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">Bell et&#x20;al., 2020</xref>). Only independent (<italic>r</italic>
<sup>2</sup> &#x3c; 0.01) SNPs associated with liability to periodontitis at genome-wide significance (<italic>p &#x3c;</italic> 5&#x20;&#xd7; 10<sup>&#x2013;8</sup>) were included. In cases where multiple SNPs were identified at the same locus, only the &#x201c;lead&#x201d; SNP (i.e.,&#x20;with the smallest <italic>p</italic>-value) was included. A total of five SNPs in <italic>GLT6D1</italic> (rs1537415), <italic>LOC107984137</italic> (rs729876), <italic>MTND1P5</italic> (rs16870060), <italic>DEFA1A3</italic> (rs2738058), and <italic>SIGLEC5</italic> (rs4284742) loci, previously associated with periodontitis (with <italic>p &#x3c;</italic> 5&#x20;&#xd7; 10<sup>&#x2013;8</sup>) in GWAS, were identified for inclusion (<xref ref-type="table" rid="T1">Table&#x20;1</xref>) as IVs in our MR study (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B41">Munz et&#x20;al., 2017</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B40">Munz et&#x20;al., 2019</xref>).</p>
<table-wrap id="T1" position="float">
<label>Table 1</label>
<caption>
<p>Characteristics of the SNPs predicting liability to periodontitis selected as instrumental variables for the Mendelian randomization analysis in Europeans and East Asians.</p>
</caption>
<table>
<thead valign="top">
<tr>
<th align="center">Population</th>
<th align="center">SNP</th>
<th align="center">locus</th>
<th align="center">Gene</th>
<th align="center">Effect allele</th>
<th align="center">Non effect allele</th>
<th align="center">Effect allele frequency</th>
<th align="center">Beta</th>
<th align="center">Standard error</th>
<th align="center">Odds ratio</th>
<th align="center">95% confidence interval</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody valign="top">
<tr>
<td rowspan="5" align="center">European</td>
<td align="center">rs1537415</td>
<td align="center">9q34.3</td>
<td align="center">GLT6D1</td>
<td align="center">C</td>
<td align="center">G</td>
<td align="char" char=".">0.41</td>
<td align="char" char=".">0.4637</td>
<td align="char" char=".">0.0797</td>
<td align="char" char=".">1.59</td>
<td align="char" char=".">(1.36, 1.86)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center">rs4284742</td>
<td align="center">19q13.41</td>
<td align="center">SIGLEC5</td>
<td align="center">G</td>
<td align="center">A</td>
<td align="char" char=".">0.76</td>
<td align="char" char=".">0.2927</td>
<td align="char" char=".">0.0521</td>
<td align="char" char=".">1.34</td>
<td align="char" char=".">(1.21, 1.48)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center">rs2738058</td>
<td align="center">8p23.1</td>
<td align="center">DEFA1A3</td>
<td align="center">T</td>
<td align="center">C</td>
<td align="char" char=".">0.43</td>
<td align="char" char=".">0.2469</td>
<td align="char" char=".">0.0415</td>
<td align="char" char=".">1.28</td>
<td align="char" char=".">(1.18, 1.39)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center">rs16870060</td>
<td align="center">8q22.3</td>
<td align="center">MTND1P5</td>
<td align="center">G</td>
<td align="center">T</td>
<td align="char" char=".">0.91</td>
<td align="char" char=".">0.3075</td>
<td align="char" char=".">0.0513</td>
<td align="char" char=".">1.36</td>
<td align="char" char=".">(1.23, 1.50)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center">rs729876</td>
<td align="center">16p13.12</td>
<td align="center">LOC107984137</td>
<td align="center">T</td>
<td align="center">C</td>
<td align="char" char=".">0.82</td>
<td align="char" char=".">0.2151</td>
<td align="char" char=".">0.0384</td>
<td align="char" char=".">1.24</td>
<td align="char" char=".">(1.15, 1.34)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td rowspan="7" align="center">East Asians</td>
<td align="center">rs10737249</td>
<td align="center">1</td>
<td align="center">COLGALT2</td>
<td align="center">C</td>
<td align="center">T</td>
<td align="char" char=".">0.91</td>
<td align="char" char=".">0.2329</td>
<td align="char" char=".">0.0457</td>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center">rs192911809</td>
<td align="center">12</td>
<td align="center">SRRM4</td>
<td align="center">A</td>
<td align="center">G</td>
<td align="char" char=".">0.01</td>
<td align="char" char=".">1.2330</td>
<td align="char" char=".">0.2525</td>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center">rs117963472</td>
<td align="center">18</td>
<td align="center">RP11-161I6.2</td>
<td align="center">G</td>
<td align="center">A</td>
<td align="char" char=".">0.02</td>
<td align="char" char=".">0.4169</td>
<td align="char" char=".">0.0903</td>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center">rs118016840</td>
<td align="center">21</td>
<td align="center">DSCR8</td>
<td align="center">G</td>
<td align="center">C</td>
<td align="char" char=".">0.01</td>
<td align="char" char=".">0.6304</td>
<td align="char" char=".">0.1247</td>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center">rs9812091</td>
<td align="center">3</td>
<td align="center">CLSTN2</td>
<td align="center">G</td>
<td align="center">A</td>
<td align="char" char=".">0.45</td>
<td align="char" char=".">0.1218</td>
<td align="char" char=".">0.0252</td>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center">rs7756559</td>
<td align="center">6</td>
<td align="center">RP1-153P14.7</td>
<td align="center">T</td>
<td align="center">C</td>
<td align="char" char=".">0.01</td>
<td align="char" char=".">0.5933</td>
<td align="char" char=".">0.1281</td>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center">rs35067614</td>
<td align="center">7</td>
<td align="center">NECAP1P1</td>
<td align="center">G</td>
<td align="center">T</td>
<td align="char" char=".">0.18</td>
<td align="char" char=".">-0.1622</td>
<td align="char" char=".">0.0333</td>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left"/>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</table-wrap>
<p>The <italic>F</italic>-statistics was obtained directly from a recent study (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">Bell et&#x20;al., 2020</xref>) using the same SNPs, or calculated using an established approximation (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B9">Bowden et&#x20;al., 2016</xref>). To assess potential pleiotropy, we obtained known genome-wide associations of each SNP used in this study from a curated phenotype to genotype cross-reference, MR-PheWAS (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B18">Millard et&#x20;al., 2015</xref>). Replication was conducted using Biobank Japan (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B42">Nagai et&#x20;al., 2017</xref>) to obtain East Asian-specific genetic predictors of liability to periodontitis (<italic>r</italic>&#x20;&#x3e; 0.01 using the East Asian reference panel and <italic>p</italic>&#x20;&#x3c; 5&#x20;&#xd7; 10<sup>&#x2212;6</sup>) in 3,219 cases and 209,234 controls. Power calculations were conducted using the approximation that sample size required for an MR study is the sample size for exposure on outcome divided by the <italic>r</italic>
<sup>2</sup> for genetic instruments on exposure (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B23">Freeman et&#x20;al., 2013</xref>).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2-3">
<title>2.3 Outcomes</title>
<p>Genetic associations with HbA1C were obtained from the UK Biobank summary statistics of (<italic>n</italic>&#x20;&#x3d; 361,194) people of White British ancestry, adjusted for sex, age, age<sup>2</sup>, sex&#x2a;age, sex&#x2a;age<sup>2</sup>, and 20 principal components for ancestry <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="http://www.nealelab.is/uk-biobank/">http://www.nealelab.is/uk-biobank/</ext-link>(<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B55">Sudlow et&#x20;al., 2015</xref>). Quality-controlled genetic associations with fasting glucose (mmol/L) (<italic>n</italic>&#x20;&#x3d; 46,613) and fasting insulin (pmol/L) (<italic>n</italic>&#x20;&#x3d; 43,750) in people of European descent without diabetes were obtained from MAGIC (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B15">Chen et&#x20;al., 2021</xref>). Genetic associations were adjusted for body mass index (BMI), study-specific covariates, and principal components unless using a linear mixed model (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B15">Chen et&#x20;al., 2021</xref>). DIAMANTE, the largest diabetes GWAS (74,124 T2DM cases and 824,006 controls), was used to obtain genetic associations with T2DM (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B38">Mahajan et&#x20;al., 2018</xref>). Genetic associations with T2DM in Europeans were also obtained from FinnGen consortium (11,006 T2DM diabetes cases and 82,655 controls) (<ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://www.finngen.fi/fi">https://www.finngen.fi/fi</ext-link>). Similar genetic associations were also obtained from AGEN for East Asians. Specifically, trans-ancestral MAGIC GWAS (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B15">Chen et&#x20;al., 2021</xref>) for East Asians was utilized to obtain genetic associations with HbA1C, fasting glucose, and fasting insulin in up to 33,307 people, and a GWAS of East Asians (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B51">Spracklen et&#x20;al., 2020</xref>) including Biobank Japan (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B31">Imamura et&#x20;al., 2016</xref>) to obtain genetic associations with T2DM (77,418 cases and 356,122 controls).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2-4">
<title>2.4 Statistical Analysis</title>
<p>SNPs were aligned on the same effect allele for exposure and outcome, also using effect allele frequency for palindromic SNPs. rs1537415 is palindromic with allele frequency 58%, so it could not be unequivocally aligned. Therefore, analyses were conducted with and without the palindromic SNP. In the primary analysis, SNP-specific Wald estimates (the estimate for SNP on outcome divided by the estimate for SNP on periodontitis) were combined using inverse variance weighting (IVW) with multiplicative random effects, which assumes balanced pleiotropy. Population-specific MR estimates for the same associations were combined using meta-analysis, with fixed effects when heterogeneity was low and random effects when heterogeneity was high (&#x3e;30%).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2-5">
<title>2.5 Sensitivity Analysis</title>
<p>We used leave-out one plots to assess heterogeneity. We used weighted median (WM) and MR-Egger as sensitivity analysis (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B11">Burgess and Thompson, 2017</xref>). The WM may provide correct estimates even when the instruments, i.e.,&#x20;SNPs, are invalid for up to 50% of the weight. To test for horizontal pleiotropy, we used the intercept and 95% confidence interval (CI) of the MR-Egger regression line (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B8">Bowden et&#x20;al., 2015</xref>). We assessed heterogeneity between the causal estimates of individual SNPs using Cochran&#x2019;s <italic>Q</italic>-statistic for the IVW and MR-Egger methods. MR-Egger can be imprecise if the number of genetic instruments is&#x20;low.</p>
<p>Statistical analyses were performed using ld_clump to select genetic instruments, and the MR package (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B69">Yavorska and Burgess, 2017</xref>) and metafor to combine estimates from different outcome studies in R (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B47">R Core Team, 2020</xref>). Two-sided <italic>p</italic>-values are reported throughout, with correction for multiple testing using a <italic>p</italic>-value of 0.05/2 &#x3d; 0.025, given one disease outcome, diabetes, and one set of glycemic traits. This level of correction provides a balance between rigorous results and avoids false negatives. We used publicly available de-identified summary data without direct contact with study participants. Therefore, no ethical approval was required.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="s3">
<title>3 Results</title>
<sec id="s3-1">
<title>3.1 Genetic Association With Periodontitis</title>
<p>Five uncorrelated SNPs, rs1537415, rs4284742, rs2738058, rs16870060, and rs729876, strongly associated with periodontitis (effect sizes of log transformed values) obtained from a GWAS (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B41">Munz et&#x20;al., 2017</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B40">Munz et&#x20;al., 2019</xref>) were used as instruments for making causal inferences about the role of periodontitis in glycemic traits and T2DM in Europeans (<xref ref-type="table" rid="T1">Table&#x20;1</xref>). Seven uncorrelated SNPs were obtained for liability to periodontitis in East Asians (<xref ref-type="table" rid="T1">Table&#x20;1</xref>); all had <italic>F</italic>-statistic &#x3e;10 with average 23.6. Estimated <italic>F</italic>-statistics were &#x3e;20 for Europeans, and therefore, hardly any weak-instrument bias would be expected (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">Bell et&#x20;al., 2020</xref>). Consistent with a previous study (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">Bell et&#x20;al., 2020</xref>), the proportion of variance explained in liability to periodontitis by each SNP was low. We also saw the highest proportion for rs1537415. This SNP explained 1.9% of the variance in periodontitis seen in a study (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">Bell et&#x20;al., 2020</xref>). The other SNPs each explained approximately 0.3% of the phenotypic variance observed in their respective cohorts (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">Bell et&#x20;al., 2020</xref>). At 80% power and 5% alpha, this study could approximately detect an odds ratio of 1.07 for diabetes and of 0.02 of an effect size for HbA1c.</p>
<p>Of the five SNPs used to predict periodontitis in people of European descent, only rs4284742, rs2738058, and rs16870060 had known genome-wide associations with other phenotypes (<xref ref-type="sec" rid="s9">Supplementary Table S1</xref>), most notably with immune cell counts for rs2738058, and with dental problems for rs4284742. Of the seven SNPs used to predict periodontitis in people of East Asian descent, only rs35067614 and rs10737249 had known genome-wide significant associations with other phenotypes (<xref ref-type="sec" rid="s9">Supplementary Table S1</xref>), most notably with sitting height for rs10737249. As such, these associations most likely reflect vertical, and not horizontal, pleiotropy, and they were not excluded to preserve the phenotype. Correspondingly, the leave-out-one plots did not indicate heterogeneity (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="F1">Figure&#x20;1</xref>).</p>
<fig id="F1" position="float">
<label>FIGURE 1</label>
<caption>
<p>Leave-out-one plots for associations of liability to periodontitis with HbA1c, fasting glucose, fasting insulin, and diabetes in people of European and East Asian descent.</p>
</caption>
<graphic xlink:href="fgene-12-767577-g001.tif"/>
</fig>
</sec>
<sec id="s3-2">
<title>3.2 Association of Liability to Periodontitis With Glycemic Traits</title>
<p>As shown in <xref ref-type="table" rid="T2">Table&#x20;2</xref>, all the analyses utilizing five SNPs or four SNPs in Europeans and seven SNPs in East Asians, respectively, genetically predicted that liability to periodontitis was unrelated to HbA1C, fasting glucose, and fasting insulin using IVW or WM. The MR-Egger intercepts were not different from the null&#x20;value.</p>
<table-wrap id="T2" position="float">
<label>TABLE 2</label>
<caption>
<p>Mendelian randomization estimates for liability to periodontitis on HbA1C, fasting glucose and fasting insulin, and T2DM using all five or four SNPs to predict periodontitis obtained from Europeans for the MR estimates in Europeans and seven SNPs to predict periodontitis in East Asians for the MR estimates in East Asians.</p>
</caption>
<table>
<thead valign="top">
<tr>
<th rowspan="2" align="center">Outcome</th>
<th rowspan="2" align="center">Data source</th>
<th rowspan="2" align="center">Method</th>
<th rowspan="2" align="center">&#x23;SNPs</th>
<th rowspan="2" align="center">Beta</th>
<th rowspan="2" align="center">95% confidence interval</th>
<th rowspan="2" align="center">
<italic>p</italic>-value</th>
<th rowspan="2" align="center">Cochran&#x2019;s <italic>Q</italic>-statistic (<italic>p</italic>-value)</th>
<th colspan="2" align="center">MR-Egger</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th align="center">Intercept <italic>p</italic>-value</th>
<th align="center">
<italic>I</italic>
<sup>2</sup>
</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody valign="top">
<tr>
<td rowspan="9" align="center">HbA1C (effect size)</td>
<td align="left">United&#x20;Kingdom Biobank</td>
<td align="left">IVW</td>
<td align="center">5</td>
<td align="center">&#x2212;0.001</td>
<td align="center">&#x2212;0.008 to 0.006</td>
<td align="center">0.74</td>
<td align="center">1.38 (0.85)</td>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="center">0%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="center">4</td>
<td align="center">0.001</td>
<td align="center">&#x2212;0.010 to 0.011</td>
<td align="center">0.91</td>
<td align="center">1.17 (0.76)</td>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="center">0%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left">WM</td>
<td align="center">5</td>
<td align="center">&#x2212;0.003</td>
<td align="center">&#x2212;0.011 to 0.006</td>
<td align="center">0.56</td>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="center">4</td>
<td align="center">&#x2212;0.002</td>
<td align="center">&#x2212;0.014 to 0.011</td>
<td align="center">0.81</td>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left">MRE</td>
<td align="center">5</td>
<td align="center">&#x2212;0.007</td>
<td align="center">&#x2212;0.032 to 0.018</td>
<td align="center">0.58</td>
<td align="center">1.14 (0.77)</td>
<td align="center">0.63</td>
<td align="center">71.0%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="center">4</td>
<td align="center">&#x2212;0.006</td>
<td align="center">&#x2212;0.089 to 0.077</td>
<td align="center">0.89</td>
<td align="center">1.14 (0.56)</td>
<td align="center">0.88</td>
<td align="center">14.9%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">MAGIC</td>
<td align="left">IVW</td>
<td align="center">7</td>
<td align="center">&#x2212;0.007</td>
<td align="center">&#x2212;0.024 to 0.010</td>
<td align="center">0.45</td>
<td align="center">7.65 (0.26)</td>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="center">21.6%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">East Asians</td>
<td align="left">WM</td>
<td align="center">7</td>
<td align="center">&#x2212;0.014</td>
<td align="center">&#x2212;0.033 to 0.006</td>
<td align="center">0.18</td>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left">MRE</td>
<td align="center">7</td>
<td align="center">&#x2212;0.018</td>
<td align="center">&#x2212;0.047 to 0.012</td>
<td align="center">0.24</td>
<td align="center">6.55 (0.35)</td>
<td align="center">0.36</td>
<td align="center">0%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td rowspan="9" align="center">Fasting glucose (mmol/L)</td>
<td align="left">MAGIC</td>
<td align="left">IVW</td>
<td align="center">5</td>
<td align="center">&#x2212;0.001</td>
<td align="center">&#x2212;0.007 to 0.005</td>
<td align="center">0.74</td>
<td align="center">1.81 (0.77)</td>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="center">0%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">Europeans</td>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="center">4</td>
<td align="center">&#x2212;0.003</td>
<td align="center">&#x2212;0.011 to 0.006</td>
<td align="center">0.55</td>
<td align="center">1.55 (0.67)</td>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="center">0%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left">WM</td>
<td align="center">5</td>
<td align="center">0.0004</td>
<td align="center">&#x2212;0.007 to 0.007</td>
<td align="center">0.91</td>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="center">4</td>
<td align="center">&#x2212;0.002</td>
<td align="center">&#x2212;0.013 to 0.008</td>
<td align="center">0.71</td>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left">MRE</td>
<td align="center">5</td>
<td align="center">&#x2212;0.001</td>
<td align="center">&#x2212;0.021to 0.020</td>
<td align="center">0.96</td>
<td align="center">1.81 (0.62)</td>
<td align="center">0.97</td>
<td align="center">71.4%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="center">4</td>
<td align="center">&#x2212;0.043</td>
<td align="center">-0.112 to 0.025</td>
<td align="center">0.22</td>
<td align="center">0.19 (0.91)</td>
<td align="center">0.24</td>
<td align="center">16.7%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">MAGIC</td>
<td align="left">IVW</td>
<td align="center">7</td>
<td align="center">0.023</td>
<td align="center">&#x2212;0.005 to 0.051</td>
<td align="center">0.11</td>
<td align="center">9.39 (0.15)</td>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="center">36.1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">East Asians</td>
<td align="left">WM</td>
<td align="center">7</td>
<td align="center">0.018</td>
<td align="center">&#x2212;0.013 to 0.050</td>
<td align="center">0.26</td>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left">MRE</td>
<td align="center">7</td>
<td align="center">0.037</td>
<td align="center">&#x2212;0.013 to 0.087</td>
<td align="center">0.15</td>
<td align="center">8.57 (0.13)</td>
<td align="center">0.49</td>
<td align="center">0%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td rowspan="10" align="center">Fasting insulin (pmol/L)</td>
<td align="left">MAGIC</td>
<td align="left">IVW</td>
<td align="center">5</td>
<td align="center">&#x2212;0.002</td>
<td align="center">&#x2212;0.010 to 0.006</td>
<td align="center">0.62</td>
<td align="center">5.3 (0.26)</td>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="center">23.8%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">Europeans</td>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="center">4</td>
<td align="center">&#x2212;0.008</td>
<td align="center">&#x2212;0.018 to 0.002</td>
<td align="center">0.12</td>
<td align="center">2.8 (0.43)</td>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="center">0%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left">WM</td>
<td align="center">5</td>
<td align="center">0.002</td>
<td align="center">&#x2212;0.006 to 0.010</td>
<td align="center">0.66</td>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="center">4</td>
<td align="center">&#x2212;0.006</td>
<td align="center">&#x2212;0.019 to 0.007</td>
<td align="center">0.34</td>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left">MRE</td>
<td align="center">5</td>
<td align="center">0.013</td>
<td align="center">&#x2212;0.012 to 0.037</td>
<td align="center">0.31</td>
<td align="center">3.5 (0.32)</td>
<td align="center">0.22</td>
<td align="center">72.5%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="center">4</td>
<td align="center">&#x2212;0.023</td>
<td align="center">&#x2212;0.113 to 0.067</td>
<td align="center">0.62</td>
<td align="center">2.6 (0.27)</td>
<td align="center">0.74</td>
<td align="center">15.6%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">MAGIC</td>
<td align="left">IVW</td>
<td align="center">7</td>
<td align="center">0.010</td>
<td align="center">&#x2212;0.027 to 0.047</td>
<td align="center">0.58</td>
<td align="center">11.7 (0.07)</td>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="center">48.7%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">East Asians</td>
<td align="left">WM</td>
<td align="center">7</td>
<td align="center">0.004</td>
<td align="center">&#x2212;0.035 to 0.042</td>
<td align="center">0.85</td>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left">MRE</td>
<td align="center">7</td>
<td align="center">0.045</td>
<td align="center">&#x2212;0.013 to 0.102</td>
<td align="center">0.13</td>
<td align="center">8.21 (0.35)</td>
<td align="center">0.14</td>
<td align="center">0%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="center">
<bold>Odds Ratio</bold>
</td>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td rowspan="17" align="center">Diabetes</td>
<td align="left">DIAMANTE</td>
<td align="left">IVW</td>
<td align="center">5</td>
<td align="center">1.02</td>
<td align="center">1.00 to 1.04</td>
<td align="center">0.08</td>
<td align="center">3.40 (0.49)</td>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="center">0%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">Europeans</td>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="center">4</td>
<td align="center">1.03</td>
<td align="center">1.00 to 1.06</td>
<td align="center">0.053</td>
<td align="center">2.36 (0.50)</td>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="center">0%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left">WM</td>
<td align="center">5</td>
<td align="center">1.02</td>
<td align="center">0.99 to 1.04</td>
<td align="center">0.18</td>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="center">4</td>
<td align="center">1.03</td>
<td align="center">1.00 to 1.07</td>
<td align="center">0.06</td>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left">MRE</td>
<td align="center">5</td>
<td align="center">1.00</td>
<td align="center">0.93 to 1.07</td>
<td align="center">0.99</td>
<td align="center">3.12 (0.37)</td>
<td align="center">0.60</td>
<td align="center">71.8%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="center">4</td>
<td align="center">1.17</td>
<td align="center">0.93 to 1.47</td>
<td align="center">0.18</td>
<td align="center">1.15 (0.56)</td>
<td align="center">0.27</td>
<td align="center">22.5%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">Finngen<xref ref-type="table-fn" rid="Tfn1">
<sup>a</sup>
</xref>
</td>
<td align="left">IVW</td>
<td align="center">4</td>
<td align="center">0.97</td>
<td align="center">0.92 to 1.03</td>
<td align="center">0.34</td>
<td align="center">2.10 (0.55)</td>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="center">0%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">Europeans</td>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="center">3</td>
<td align="center">0.96</td>
<td align="center">0.89 to 1.03</td>
<td align="center">0.27</td>
<td align="center">1.72 (0.42)</td>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="center">0%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left">WM</td>
<td align="center">4</td>
<td align="center">0.98</td>
<td align="center">0.92 to 1.05</td>
<td align="center">0.57</td>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="center">3</td>
<td align="center">0.96</td>
<td align="center">0.87 to 1.06</td>
<td align="center">0.39</td>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left">MRE</td>
<td align="center">4</td>
<td align="center">1.07</td>
<td align="center">0.88 to 1.32</td>
<td align="center">0.49</td>
<td align="center">1.16 (0.56)</td>
<td align="center">0.33</td>
<td align="center">62.3%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="center">3</td>
<td align="center">1.60</td>
<td align="center">0.71 to 3.64</td>
<td align="center">0.26</td>
<td align="center">0.18 (0,67)</td>
<td align="center">0.22</td>
<td align="center">0%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">AGEN</td>
<td align="left">IVW</td>
<td align="center">7</td>
<td align="center">1.00</td>
<td align="center">0.96 to 1.03</td>
<td align="center">0.91</td>
<td align="center">5.38 (0.50)</td>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="center">0%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">East Asians</td>
<td align="left">WM</td>
<td align="center">7</td>
<td align="center">0.98</td>
<td align="center">0.94, to 1.03</td>
<td align="center">0.45</td>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left">MRE</td>
<td align="center">7</td>
<td align="center">0.97</td>
<td align="center">0.92 to 1.03</td>
<td align="center">0.32</td>
<td align="center">4.01 (0.55)</td>
<td align="center">0.24</td>
<td align="center">0%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">Meta-analysis</td>
<td align="left">Of IVW estimates</td>
<td align="center">12</td>
<td align="center">1.01</td>
<td align="center">0.99 to 1.03</td>
<td align="center">0.28</td>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="center">11</td>
<td align="center">1.01</td>
<td align="center">0.99 to 1.03</td>
<td align="center">0.30</td>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left"/>
<td align="left"/>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table-wrap-foot>
<fn id="Tfn1">
<label>a</label>
<p>Rs729876 not available.</p>
</fn>
</table-wrap-foot>
</table-wrap>
</sec>
<sec id="s3-3">
<title>3.3 Association of Liability to Periodontitis With T2DM</title>
<p>Using all five SNPs as instruments for liability to periodontitis, there was no association of genetically predicted periodontitis with the risk of T2DM in DIAMANTE, or East Asians as presented in <xref ref-type="table" rid="T2">Table&#x20;2</xref>. This finding was also observed in FinnGenn regardless of whether four or three SNPS were used. Similar estimates were identified from the weighted median and MR-Egger sensitivity analyses. The MR-Egger intercept did not detect any directional pleiotropy for any outcome.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="s4">
<title>4 Discussion</title>
<p>We examined the causal association of periodontitis with glycemic traits (HbA1C, fasting glucose, and fasting insulin) and T2DM using an MR study. While the observational epidemiological findings suggest poor glycemic control (HbA1C) in patients with periodontitis (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B58">Taylor et&#x20;al., 1996</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B6">Borgnakke et&#x20;al., 2013</xref>), we found no reliable evidence for a causal association of liability to periodontitis with these glycemic traits or&#x20;T2DM.</p>
<p>We identified and included five independent SNPs, associated with clinically defined periodontitis at a genome-wide significance. These SNPs have previously been used in another MR study (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">Bell et&#x20;al., 2020</xref>). These five SNPs were all identified in cohort studies of aggressive periodontitis only, or of a mix of both aggressive and chronic periodontitis (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B41">Munz et&#x20;al., 2017</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B40">Munz et&#x20;al., 2019</xref>). Because chronic periodontitis is the predominant form of the disease, GWAS of solely aggressive periodontitis may not comprehensively capture the relevant phenotype or comprehensively identified genome-wide significant variants associated with the disease (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B19">Divaris et&#x20;al., 2013</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B60">Teumer et&#x20;al., 2013</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B21">Feng et&#x20;al., 2014</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B49">Shaffer et&#x20;al., 2014</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B29">Hong et&#x20;al., 2015</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B50">Shimizu et&#x20;al., 2015</xref>).</p>
<p>Confounding may be an explanation as to why these findings differ from observational studies (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B22">Fewell et&#x20;al., 2007</xref>). Periodontitis and glycemic traits are both multifactorial in nature, representing individuals&#x2019; many years of exposure to risk factors. Observed associations could be confounded by other factors. For instance, smoking is an important risk factor for both periodontitis and glycemic traits (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B25">Genco and Borgnakke, 2013</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B63">U.S. Food &#x26; Drug Administration, 2020</xref>). Other possible confounders include age, obesity, and socioeconomic position (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B25">Genco and Borgnakke, 2013</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B63">U.S. Food &#x26; Drug Administration, 2020</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1">American Heart Association, 2021</xref>). Obesity, a known contributor to the risk of increased HbA1C, fasting glucose, and fasting insulin (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1">American Heart Association, 2021</xref>), has also been found to affect the development of periodontitis (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B25">Genco and Borgnakke, 2013</xref>). However, our study did not find a causal relationship of periodontitis with glycemic traits. Therefore, there is no evidence for prioritizing treatment of periodontitis for the control of glycemic traits.</p>
<p>A previous MR study reported an association of periodontitis with blood pressure, even though the association accounted for only a very small portion of blood pressure variation (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">Czesnikiewicz-Guzik et&#x20;al., 2019</xref>). Hypertension is a well-established risk factor for T2DM (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1">American Heart Association, 2021</xref>). It is likely that the contribution of periodontitis to hypertension might be small, and as a result, we did not observe evidence of a causal association of periodontitis with T2DM. This finding is inconsistent with the possible association suggested by a previous MR study (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B70">Yuan and Larsson, 2020</xref>) examining a series of risk factors for type 2 diabetes. However, the previous study did not investigate replication or possible pathways <italic>via</italic> glycemic traits.</p>
<p>Our study had a number of limitations worth discussing. The variance explained by the five SNPs used was relatively low, because the selected variants are associated with the aggressive form of periodontitis. However, the <italic>F</italic>-statistics were larger than 10. Furthermore, we selected the lead SNP from each locus, not on the basis of a linkage disequilibrium threshold as it is usually done. It is therefore plausible that more instruments might have given more conclusive findings. However, we chose variants drawn from three separate GWAS with unavailable full summary statistics. Our findings should be considered in the context of the underlying assumptions and limitations of MR. First, estimates derived from MR analyses generally represent the effect of cumulative exposure to a risk factor, and thus, may not correspond exactly to the expected outcome of a particular exposure, with regards to duration, timing, and mechanism. The genetic associations with fasting glucose and insulin were adjusted for BMI (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B15">Chen et&#x20;al., 2021</xref>), which could bias as a heritable covariate (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B3">Aschard et&#x20;al., 2015</xref>), possibly towards the null. However, the associations for liability to periodontitis with fasting glucose and fasting insulin were similar to those for HbA1c. Also, MR studies are open to survival bias. We could not totally exclude the possibility that the null results might be explained in part by prior deaths from sequalae of T2DM and from other conditions that preclude people living long enough to have periodontitis.</p>
<p>This study considers mostly people of European and East Asian descent because of the availability of suitable GWAS although separate samples for exposure and outcome were only available for people of European descent. However, bias from using overlapping samples may not be as much of a concern as has been thought (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B39">Minelli et&#x20;al., 2021</xref>). Periodontitis may manifest differently in different populations, but there is no evidence of population-specific mechanisms. Moreover, using publicly available data precludes subgroup analysis by age, sex, and baseline periodontal status. Finally, we were not able to conduct a bi-directional MR study giving associations of glycemic traits or T2DM with periodontitis because the relevant GWAS are too small for meaningful analysis or are not publicly available. Previous evidence concerning a bi-directional association of diabetes with periodontitis is limited (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B57">Taylor and Borgnakke, 2008</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B58">Taylor et&#x20;al., 1996</xref>).</p>
<p>Despite these limitations, our study had several strengths. We conducted the analyses using five liability to periodontitis SNPs as well as four such SNPs, and use multiple sensitivity analyses to confirm our results. We did not identify a causal association of periodontitis with glycemic traits or T2DM using IVW, WM, or MR-Egger methods. The consistency of these findings with both analyses using five SNPs and four SNPs, and the large sample sizes used for both outcomes suggest robustness. We also included analysis for East Asians and replicated based on genetic instruments from a similar population.</p>
<p>The GWAS of liability of periodontitis to date failed to identify consistent SNPs (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B19">Divaris et&#x20;al., 2013</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B60">Teumer et&#x20;al., 2013</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B21">Feng et&#x20;al., 2014</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B49">Shaffer et&#x20;al., 2014</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B29">Hong et&#x20;al., 2015</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B50">Shimizu et&#x20;al., 2015</xref>). The reason for divergent SNPs identified in periodontitis GWAS could be due to inconsistent definitions of periodontitis that were used in different studies (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B56">Sun et&#x20;al., 2020</xref>). To confirm the causal effect of periodontitis on risk of glycemic traits and T2DM, stronger instruments for periodontitis derived from large-scale GWAS with a consistent definition of periodontitis (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B13">Caton et&#x20;al., 2018</xref>) are warranted. It is also of interest to perform similar studies in a wider range of racial/ethnic populations.</p>
<p>In conclusion, we found that liability to periodontitis was associated neither with glycemic traits nor with T2DM. While these findings are intriguing, MR analysis provides strong evidence of a non-causal association of periodontitis with glycemic traits and T2DM risk. However, more research is required to confirm these findings among other racial/ethnic groups, especially groups who seem to carry a heavy burden of both periodontitis and&#x20;T2DM.</p>
</sec>
</body>
<back>
<sec id="s5">
<title>Data Availability Statement</title>
<p>Publicly available datasets were analyzed in this study. These data can be found here: United Kingdom Biobank Summary Statistics: <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="http://www.nealelab.is/uk-biobank/">http://www.nealelab.is/uk-biobank/</ext-link>; MAGIC <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://magicinvestigators.org">https://magicinvestigators.org</ext-link>; DIAMANTE <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://magicinvestigators.org">https://magicinvestigators.org</ext-link>; AGEN <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://hugeamp.org/downloads.html#T2D">https://hugeamp.org/downloads.html#T2D</ext-link>; FinnGenn <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://www.finngen.fi/fi">https://www.finngen.fi/fi</ext-link>; and Biobank Japan <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="http://jenger.riken.jp/result">http://jenger.riken.jp/result</ext-link>.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s6">
<title>Author Contributions</title>
<p>PS, CS, and LB designed the study; CS analyzed the data; PS, CS, and LB drafted and revised the manuscript; all authors approved the final version of the manuscript.</p>
</sec>
<sec sec-type="COI-statement" id="s7">
<title>Conflict of Interest</title>
<p>The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.</p>
</sec>
<sec sec-type="disclaimer" id="s8">
<title>Publisher&#x2019;s Note</title>
<p>All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors, and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article, or claim that may be made by its manufacturer, is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s9">
<title>Supplementary Material</title>
<p>The Supplementary Material for this article can be found online at: <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fgene.2021.767577/full#supplementary-material">https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fgene.2021.767577/full&#x23;supplementary-material</ext-link>
</p>
<supplementary-material xlink:href="Table1.XLSX" id="SM1" mimetype="application/XLSX" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"/>
</sec>
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