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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">Front. For. Glob. Change</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>Frontiers in Forests and Global Change</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="pubmed">Front. For. Glob. Change</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub">2624-893X</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name>Frontiers Media S.A.</publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.3389/ffgc.2026.1776810</article-id>
<article-version article-version-type="Version of Record" vocab="NISO-RP-8-2008"/>
<article-categories>
<subj-group subj-group-type="heading">
<subject>Original Research</subject>
</subj-group>
</article-categories>
<title-group>
<article-title>Radial growth responses of three conifers to climate in Lugu Lake, Northwestern Yunnan</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name><surname>Yan</surname> <given-names>Tao</given-names></name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref>
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<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name><surname>Zhao</surname> <given-names>Yue</given-names></name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2"><sup>2</sup></xref>
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</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name><surname>Kang</surname> <given-names>Yaoyao</given-names></name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3"><sup>3</sup></xref>
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<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name><surname>Xie</surname> <given-names>Siyu</given-names></name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref>
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<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name><surname>Tao</surname> <given-names>Chun</given-names></name>
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</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes">
<name><surname>Zhang</surname> <given-names>Yun</given-names></name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref>
<xref ref-type="corresp" rid="c001"><sup>&#x002A;</sup></xref>
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<aff id="aff1"><label>1</label><institution>College of Ecology and Environment (College of Wetlands), Southwest Forestry University</institution>, <city>Kunming</city>, <country country="cn">China</country></aff>
<aff id="aff2"><label>2</label><institution>Wetland Protection and Management Center of Dali Bai Autonomous Prefecture</institution>, <city>Dali</city>, <country country="cn">China</country></aff>
<aff id="aff3"><label>3</label><institution>Beijing Forestry and Parks Planning and Resource Monitoring Center (Beijing Forestry Carbon and International Cooperation Affairs Center)</institution>, <city>Beijing</city>, <country country="cn">China</country></aff>
<author-notes>
<corresp id="c001"><label>&#x002A;</label>Correspondence: Yun Zhang, <email xlink:href="mailto:zhangyuncool@163.com">zhangyuncool@163.com</email></corresp>
</author-notes>
<pub-date publication-format="electronic" date-type="pub" iso-8601-date="2026-02-26">
<day>26</day>
<month>02</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date publication-format="electronic" date-type="collection">
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>9</volume>
<elocation-id>1776810</elocation-id>
<history>
<date date-type="received">
<day>07</day>
<month>01</month>
<year>2026</year>
</date>
<date date-type="accepted">
<day>09</day>
<month>02</month>
<year>2026</year>
</date>
</history>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright &#x00A9; 2026 Yan, Zhao, Kang, Xie, Tao and Zhang.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<copyright-holder>Yan, Zhao, Kang, Xie, Tao and Zhang</copyright-holder>
<license>
<ali:license_ref start_date="2026-02-26">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ali:license_ref>
<license-p>This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY)</ext-link>. The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.</license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<abstract>
<sec>
<title>Introduction</title>
<p>Climate change significantly influences tree radial growth, particularly in high-elevation forests. As a typical plateau lake in the Hengduan Mountains, Lugu Lake lacks sufficient dendrochronological research, hindering the understanding of regional conifers&#x2019; responses to climate change.</p>
</sec>
<sec>
<title>Methods</title>
<p>Using dendrochronological methods, we constructed residual chronologies from tree-ring width data of <italic>Larix potaninii</italic> Batalin. (Chinese larch), <italic>Picea likiangensis</italic> Franch. (Lijiang spruce) and <italic>Pinus yunnanensis</italic> Franch. (Yunnan pine) collected around Lugu Lake. We used Response Function Analysis (RFA) and Redundancy Analysis (RDA) to quantify growth&#x2013;climate relationships. We further identified the key climatic drivers of radial growth for the three conifers.</p>
</sec>
<sec>
<title>Results and discussion</title>
<p>The radial growth of <italic>L. potaninii</italic>, <italic>P. likiangensis</italic>, and <italic>P. yunnanensis</italic> around Lugu Lake was jointly influenced by temperature and precipitation. Specifically, the mean minimum temperature (<italic>T</italic><sub><italic>min</italic></sub>) of previous September, current January precipitation, the mean temperature (<italic>T</italic><sub><italic>mean</italic></sub>) of current May, and the mean maximum temperature (<italic>T</italic><sub><italic>max</italic></sub>) of current September were common factors influencing the radial growth of three conifers. <italic>L. potaninii</italic> was more influenced by temperature in the early growing season (April&#x2013;May) and moisture conditions in the post growing season (September&#x2013;October). Elevated growing-season temperatures were detrimental to the growth of <italic>P. likiangensis</italic>. <italic>P. yunnanensis</italic> was more affected by spring drought stress and summer precipitation. Under projected warming with slightly reduced precipitation, the observed climate sensitivities suggest that growth of <italic>L. potaninii</italic> and <italic>P. likiangensis</italic> may respond differently, whereas the response of <italic>P. yunnanensis</italic> is likely more complex. RFA and RDA demonstrated consistency and could effectively complement each other in dendroclimatological studies. This study provides new tree-ring evidence from northwestern Yunnan and insights into potential future growth responses in the region under climate change.</p>
</sec>
</abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd>climatic factors</kwd>
<kwd>dendrochronology</kwd>
<kwd>Hengduan Mountains</kwd>
<kwd>Lugu Lake</kwd>
<kwd>radial growth</kwd>
</kwd-group>
<funding-group>
<funding-statement>The author(s) declared that financial support was received for this work and/or its publication. This work was supported by the Yunnan Provincial Joint Special Project for Basic Agricultural Research (202101BD070001-098) and the Scientific Research Fund Project of the Yunnan Provincial Department of Education (2024Y596).</funding-statement>
</funding-group>
<counts>
<fig-count count="5"/>
<table-count count="3"/>
<equation-count count="0"/>
<ref-count count="71"/>
<page-count count="12"/>
<word-count count="8250"/>
</counts>
<custom-meta-group>
<custom-meta>
<meta-name>section-at-acceptance</meta-name>
<meta-value>Forest Growth</meta-value>
</custom-meta>
</custom-meta-group>
</article-meta>
</front>
<body>
<sec id="S1" sec-type="intro">
<label>1</label>
<title>Introduction</title>
<p>Climate change is accelerating with detectable impacts on high-elevation forests. Studies have demonstrated that global surface temperatures will continue to rise at least until the middle of this century (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B28">Ma et al., 2022</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B34">Scafetta, 2024</xref>). Without substantial reductions in carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gas emissions over the next few decades, global warming is projected to exceed 1.5&#x2013;2&#x00B0;C within this century (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B29">Masson-Delmotte et al., 2021</xref>). Climate change alters tree regeneration, growth, and migration in high-elevation regions (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B32">Pepin et al., 2015</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B21">Kharal et al., 2017</xref>). These changes can reshape the structure, productivity, and dynamics of alpine forests (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B55">Yadava et al., 2017</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B4">Cailleret et al., 2014</xref>). Meanwhile, as the main body of terrestrial ecosystems, forests play a crucial role in global carbon sink resources. Forests mitigate climate change through carbon sequestration. They also regulate regional climate, conserve water resources, and provide substantial ecological and economic benefits (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B30">Peng, 2023</xref>). Therefore, studying the impacts of climate change on forest ecosystems provides a scientific basis for developing effective mitigation and adaptation strategies (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B48">Wei et al., 2013</xref>).</p>
<p>Dendrochronology overcomes limitations associated with conventional meteorological observations, such as sparse station coverage and short records. By reducing non-climatic influences (e.g., genetics and age-related trends), tree-ring width indices retain key signals of past climate variability. Therefore, they are widely used to examine climate responses and reconstruct past climate (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B26">Lin et al., 1995</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B11">Fritts, 1991</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B50">Wu, 1990</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B19">Hu, 2007</xref>). Tree rings document annual growth patterns and capture interannual climatic fluctuations. This allows tree rings to be used to assess climate impacts on ecosystems and to support scenario-based discussion of potential future changes (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B31">Peng et al., 2023</xref>). In earlier investigations, the relationships between multiple tree species and climatic variables have been validated (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B25">Li et al., 2024</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B57">Yang et al., 2022</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B20">Jin et al., 2013</xref>). These efforts have further revealed that different species exhibit varied growth response mechanisms to climate change.</p>
<p>The Hengduan Mountains are located on the southeastern edge of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, with northwestern Yunnan at its core. As a critical transition zone from the plateau to lower elevations, this area exhibits extreme vertical relief and complex topography, making it a biodiversity hotspot and a region highly sensitive to climate change (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B46">Wang, 2021</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B67">Zhang et al., 2020</xref>). In recent years, scholars have used tree-ring data to investigate the responses of tree radial growth to climate change in this area, clarifying the relationships between radial growth of coniferous species and climatic factors. In the central Hengduan Mountains, <italic>Abies georgei</italic> growth was affected by both temperature (positive effects) and precipitation (negative effects) (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B58">Yin et al., 2018</xref>). Research on <italic>Tsuga dumosa</italic> in Wuliang Mountain found that water availability was the main limiting factor for radial growth (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B59">Yin et al., 2023</xref>). In addition, dendrochronological studies have been successively carried out in Laojun Mountain and Jianhu areas (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B6">Cao et al., 2020</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B10">Deng et al., 2024</xref>). However, despite these advances, dendroclimatological evidence remains scarce around Lugu Lake, a representative plateau-lake ecosystem in northwestern Yunnan with well-preserved montane forests (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">Canham and Murphy, 2016</xref>). Unlike climatically extreme environments (e.g., treeline or semi-arid regions), forests around Lugu Lake develop under relatively favorable hydrothermal conditions, where tree growth may be regulated by multiple climatic factors rather than a single dominant limitation. The lack of tree-ring studies in this region limits our understanding of how dominant tree species respond to climate variability under such non-extreme but ecologically important conditions.</p>
<p>Notably, <italic>Larix potaninii</italic>, <italic>Picea likiangensis</italic>, and <italic>Pinus yunnanensis</italic> are key constructive, dominant and representative species of subalpine forests in northwestern Yunnan. With their distinct annual ring boundaries, clear climate sensitivity, and strong chronology signals, they are preferred species for dendroclimatological research (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B36">Shen, 2019</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B63">Yuan and Yu, 2013</xref>). Furthermore, these three species have different biological characteristics, a multi-species tree-ring comparison may enable understand insights of common and species-specific response to climate change, and then understand their adaptable mechanisms. Existing studies have found that <italic>P. yunnanensis</italic> in Haba Snow Mountain was primarily limited by drought in May of the current year (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B67">Zhang et al., 2020</xref>). For <italic>L. potaninii</italic> in the middle section of the Hengduan Mountains, warm climate and sufficient heat during the early growing season (May and June) were crucial for its radial growth (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B64">Yue et al., 2023</xref>). The radial growth of <italic>P. likiangensis</italic> in Shika Snow Mountain was jointly influenced by temperature and precipitation, whereas <italic>Pinus densata</italic> showed a significant correlation only with temperature (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B68">Zhang et al., 2018</xref>). However, these studies were mostly conducted at individual sites and focused on single species, limiting direct interspecific comparisons under a shared climatic background. Accordingly, coordinated multi-species tree-ring analyses provide a direct basis for identifying shared climatic controls versus species-specific sensitivities, which is essential for assessing relative vulnerability under future climate change and for informing species-specific conservation and adaptive management aimed at maintaining conifer diversity and subalpine forest stability.</p>
<p>We analyzed tree-ring samples from sites around Lugu Lake, focusing on three study species: <italic>L. potaninii</italic>, <italic>P. likiangensis</italic>, and <italic>P. yunnanensis</italic>. By employing dendroecological methods, we aimed to: (1) find the interspecific differences in the climate-response patterns of the three conifers and identify the main climate factors affecting tree growth, (2) discuss the potential growth implications of these species in the context of climate change.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="S2" sec-type="materials|methods">
<label>2</label>
<title>Materials and methods</title>
<sec id="S2.SS1">
<label>2.1</label>
<title>Study area and species</title>
<p>Lugu Lake is situated on the border between Yunnan and Sichuan Provinces, China, with geographical coordinates ranging from 100&#x00B0;43&#x2019; to 100&#x00B0;50&#x2019;E and 27&#x00B0;37&#x2019; to 27&#x00B0;45&#x2019;N. This lake extends across Ninglang County and Yanyuan County, which belong to the two aforementioned provinces (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="F1">Figure 1</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B52">Xie et al., 2020</xref>). The surrounding area is characterized by tectonic erosion, denudation, and karst landforms, dominated by mid-to-high mountain tectonic erosion terrain with elevations ranging from 2,657 m to over 3,800 m (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B49">Wu, 2023</xref>). Brown soil is distributed in the area with an elevation of 2,800&#x223C;3,600 m, and the main soil types are red-brown soil, brown soil, black limestone soil, and brown felt soil. The soil above 3,600 m above sea level is dark brown, mainly including dark brown soil, humus-accumulated bleached soil, and brown felt soil.</p>
<fig id="F1" position="float">
<label>FIGURE 1</label>
<caption><p>Study area location and sampling sites. <bold>(a)</bold> Location of Lugu Lake in China; the red rectangle indicates the extent shown in <bold>(b)</bold>. <bold>(b)</bold> Regional topography (DEM) around Lugu Lake showing lakes, meteorological station, CRU grids, and sampling sites; the red rectangle indicates the extent shown in <bold>(c)</bold>. <bold>(c)</bold> Satellite image of the Lugu Lake area showing the sampling sites.</p></caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="ffgc-09-1776810-g001.tif">
<alt-text content-type="machine-generated">Composite map showing the location of Lugu Lake at the Sichuan&#x2013;Yunnan border in China, with inset maps for regional context and a satellite view. Main map uses color shading for elevation and symbols to indicate lakes, a meteorological station, CRU grids, and sampling sites.</alt-text>
</graphic>
</fig>
<p>Vertical vegetation zonation is evident in the mountains surrounding Lugu Lake. Along the elevation gradient from the lake surface up to the mountain summits, the vegetation types appear in the following sequential order: cold-temperate mountain sclerophyllous evergreen broad-leaved forests, cold-temperate broad-leaved forests, warm-temperate coniferous forests, cool-temperate coniferous forests, and cold-temperate coniferous forests (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B51">Xie, 2020</xref>). Below 3,000 m around Lugu Lake, large areas of <italic>P. yunnanensis</italic> forests are distributed, with local development of <italic>Quercus delavayi</italic> forests. Between 3,000 and 3,500 m, the landscape is dominated by <italic>P. densata</italic>, <italic>P. yunnanensis</italic>, <italic>P. likiangensis</italic> and <italic>A. georgei</italic>. Above 3,500 m, <italic>Abies delavayi</italic> a<italic>nd L. potanini</italic> are the dominant species (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B37">Sheng, 2015</xref>). All three study tree species were dominant species at each sampling site. In the <italic>L. potaninii</italic> site, rhododendrons (e.g., <italic>Rhododendron bureavii</italic> and <italic>Rhododendron leptothrium</italic>), together with <italic>Lyonia ovalifolia</italic> and <italic>Salix takasagoalpina</italic>, were the dominant shrubs. The herb layer consisted of <italic>Viola delavayi</italic>, <italic>Saxifraga epiphylla</italic>, and <italic>Rhodiola yunnanensis</italic>. In the shrub layer of the <italic>P. likiangensis</italic> site, common species included <italic>R. bureavii</italic> and <italic>Rhododendron uvarifolium</italic>. The herb layer was dominated by <italic>Pteris dactylina</italic>, with companion species such as <italic>Impatiens delavayi</italic> and <italic>Triplostegia grandiflora</italic>. In the <italic>P. yunnanensis</italic> site, the shrub layer was dominated by cold- and drought-tolerant alpine oaks (e.g., <italic>Quercus monimotricha</italic> and <italic>Quercus pannosa</italic>), with companion species including <italic>Rhododendron decorum</italic> and <italic>Rhododendron racemosum</italic>. The herb layer included <italic>Argentina lineata</italic>, and <italic>Sedum yunnanense</italic>.</p>
<p>The Lugu Lake area (&#x223C;27&#x00B0;N) lies within a southwest monsoon climate zone but, due to its high elevation, exhibits an atypical subtropical climate (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">Chang et al., 2018</xref>). The region experiences abundant sunlight, relatively small annual temperature fluctuations, and distinct wet and dry seasons (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B49">Wu, 2023</xref>). The wet season spans from June to October, accounting for approximately 89% of the annual precipitation (929.7 mm), while the dry season extends from November to the following May, with January and February receiving minimal rainfall. Based on 1950&#x2013;2023 data from the Lijiang Meteorological Station, the area has an annual mean temperature of 12.7&#x00B0;C, with maximum and minimum averages of 18.9 and 6.7&#x00B0;C, respectively. In addition, the Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) shows a decreasing trend, suggesting a gradual shift toward drier conditions in the region (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="F2">Figure 2</xref>).</p>
<fig id="F2" position="float">
<label>FIGURE 2</label>
<caption><p>Climate data from 1950 to 2023. &#x002A;<italic>p</italic> &#x003C; 0.05 and &#x002A;&#x002A;<italic>p</italic> &#x003C; 0.01.</p></caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="ffgc-09-1776810-g002.tif">
<alt-text content-type="machine-generated">Composite figure with three charts: top chart combines monthly precipitation as gray bars (highest in July and August), maximum, mean, and minimum monthly temperatures as red, blue, and green dashed lines, respectively, all peaking in July. Bottom left chart shows annual trends in minimum, mean, and maximum temperatures from 1950 to 2025, each with a slight upward trend. Bottom right chart displays annual precipitation and Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) from 1950 to 2025, indicating limited long-term trend for precipitation and a slight downward trend for PDSI.</alt-text>
</graphic>
</fig>
</sec>
<sec id="S2.SS2">
<label>2.2</label>
<title>Climate data</title>
<p>Five climate factors were used in the analysis of climate-growth relationship, including mean minimum temperature (<italic>T</italic><sub><italic>min</italic></sub>), mean temperature (<italic>T</italic><sub><italic>mean</italic></sub>), mean maximum temperature (<italic>T</italic><sub><italic>max</italic></sub>), precipitation (<italic>Prec</italic>), and <italic>PDSI</italic>. <italic>T</italic><sub><italic>min</italic></sub> and <italic>T</italic><sub><italic>max</italic></sub> for the Lijiang meteorological station (100.22&#x00B0;E, 26.85&#x00B0;N, elevation 2,380 m) were obtained from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), covering the period 1950&#x2013;2023. Considering the incomplete and short-term records from nearby meteorological stations, the Lijiang meteorological station was chosen for its long-term and continuous dataset, despite being geographically more distant. Its representativeness for the study area was evaluated and deemed acceptable, making it the most reliable data source available at present. <italic>Prec</italic> and <italic>T</italic><sub><italic>mean</italic></sub> datasets were sourced from the Climatic Research Unit (CRUTSv.4.07, <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://crudata.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/hrg">https://crudata.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/hrg</ext-link>) with a spatial resolution of 0.5&#x00B0; &#x00D7; 0.5&#x00B0;. <italic>PDSI</italic> data were derived from the global CRU gridded monthly dataset,<sup><xref ref-type="fn" rid="footnote1">1</xref></sup> also at a resolution of 0.5&#x00B0; &#x00D7; 0.5&#x00B0;.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="S2.SS3">
<label>2.3</label>
<title>Tree-ring sampling and processing</title>
<p>Tree core sampling was carried out in the Lugu Lake area in May 2020 and March 2024. A total of 168 cores were obtained from 83 individual trees, which covered the three target species in this study (<xref ref-type="table" rid="T1">Table 1</xref>). Sampling followed standard dendrochronological protocols (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B12">Fritts, 2012</xref>). Specifically, conifers with minimal anthropogenic disturbance were selected within the study area. Cores were extracted at breast height (1.3 m above ground) using an increment borer with an inner diameter of 5.15 mm, and efforts were made to reach the pith. Each tree was cored 1&#x2013;3 times from different directions. The three species were sampled from sites with comparable topographic settings (similar elevation and generally south to southeast aspects) to reduce potential non-climatic influences. All cores were placed in plastic straws and labeled with unique identifiers. Following the tree-ring processing methods described by Stokes and Smiley (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B38">Stokes and Smiley, 1996</xref>), the cores were brought to the laboratory, mounted on custom wooden troughs (1 cm thick, 1.5 cm wide) using white latex with auxiliary fixation via tape, air-dried naturally, and sanded sequentially with grit sandpaper ranging from 240 to 1,200 mesh until tree rings were clearly visible before being scanned using an EPSON Scan (Expression 11000XL) with parameters set to 24-bit full color and 3,000 dpi resolution. The tree ring widths were measured using CDendro and CooRecorder ver 7.3 software with a precision of 0.001 mm (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B23">Larsson, 2010</xref>), and the measurement results were validated by using the COFECHA program (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B17">Holmes, 1983</xref>), with poor-quality samples excluded, ultimately retaining 151 cores from 83 trees for the master chronology. Tree-ring chronologies were developed by using the ARSTAN program (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B8">Cook, 1986</xref>), with a 67% spline function applied to remove the effects of individual tree growth trends. This resulted in three types of chronologies [standard chronology (STD), residual chronology (RES), and autoregressive chronology (ARS)] for each coniferous species, and residual chronologies were used for further analyses to detect climate-growth relationships (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="F3">Figure 3</xref>).</p>
<table-wrap position="float" id="T1">
<label>TABLE 1</label>
<caption><p>Sampling sites information.</p></caption>
<table cellspacing="5" cellpadding="5" frame="box" rules="all">
<thead>
<tr>
<th valign="top" align="center">Tree species</th>
<th valign="top" align="center">Latitude</th>
<th valign="top" align="center">Longitude</th>
<th valign="top" align="center">Elevation</th>
<th valign="top" align="center">Aspect</th>
<th valign="top" align="center">Slope (&#x00B0;)</th>
<th valign="top" align="center">No. (tree/core collected)</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="center"><italic>L. potaninii</italic></td>
<td valign="top" align="center">27&#x00B0;39&#x2019;44&#x2033;N</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">100&#x00B0;44&#x2019;15&#x2033;E</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">3,623 m</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">SE</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">10</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">30/61</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="center"><italic>P. likiangensis</italic></td>
<td valign="top" align="center">27&#x00B0;39&#x2019;31&#x2033;N</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">100&#x00B0;44&#x2019;35&#x2033;E</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">3,670 m</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">S</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">9</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">27/56</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="center"><italic>P. yunnanensis</italic></td>
<td valign="top" align="center">27&#x00B0;39&#x2019;37&#x2033;N</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">100&#x00B0;44&#x2019;29&#x2033;E</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">3,575 m</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">S-SE</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">7</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">26/51</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table></table-wrap>
<fig id="F3" position="float">
<label>FIGURE 3</label>
<caption><p>Residual tree-ring chronology and sample size.</p></caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="ffgc-09-1776810-g003.tif">
<alt-text content-type="machine-generated">Three panel line and area chart compares ring width index (line, left axis) and sample depth (shaded, right axis) over time for P. yunnanensis, L. potaninii, and P. likiangensis from eighteen hundred to two thousand ten.</alt-text>
</graphic>
</fig>
</sec>
<sec id="S2.SS4">
<label>2.4</label>
<title>Data analysis</title>
<p>Given that tree radial growth exhibited a &#x201C;lag effect&#x201D; in response to climate, which means its growth is not only related to climatic factors in the current year but also influenced by those in the previous year (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B13">Fritts et al., 1965</xref>), such as previous September to December. Considering that the tree growing season typically spans from April to October, correlation analyses were conducted between the tree-ring indices of the three conifers and climatic factors, including <italic>T</italic><sub><italic>min</italic></sub>, <italic>T</italic><sub><italic>max</italic></sub>, <italic>T</italic><sub><italic>mean</italic></sub>, <italic>Prec</italic>, and <italic>PDSI</italic> from September of the previous year to October of the current year. Additionally, to assess the cumulative effects of climate conditions on tree growth, the same set of climatic variables was analyzed for specific phenological periods: the post growing season (September&#x2013;October) of the previous year, the early growing season (April&#x2013;May) of the current year, the growing season (June&#x2013;August) of the current year, and the post growing season of the current year. Here, &#x201C;post growing season (September&#x2013;October)&#x201D; refers to a late-season period potentially associated with carry-over effects on the subsequent year&#x2019;s growth, rather than implying direct ring formation after growth cessation. These analyses aimed to explore the correlations between tree growth and climatic factors, as well as to identify the primary limiting factors for tree growth. Response function (RFA) was performed by using DendroClim2002 software (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B2">Biondi and Waikul, 2004</xref>). The response function first extracted principal components from climatic factors before conducting regression analysis, enabling a more accurate reflection of the extent to which sample data are influenced by environmental variables (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B3">Blasing et al., 1984</xref>). RDA in CANOCO 5 software (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B44">Ter Braak and Smilauer, 2002</xref>) was then used to further validate the relationships between tree growth and climatic factors. In total, 70 examined climate variables were included in the RDA, consisting of monthly <italic>T</italic><sub><italic>min</italic></sub>, <italic>T</italic><sub><italic>mean</italic></sub>, <italic>T</italic><sub><italic>max</italic></sub>, <italic>Prec</italic> and PDSI from September of the previous year to October of the current year (14 months &#x00D7; 5 climatic variables). As a multivariate environmental gradient analysis, RDA evaluated the associations between tree radial growth and climatic factors through regression and principal component analysis of chronologies and climatic variables (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B43">Ter Braak, 1994</xref>). Graphs were generated using Origin 2025, GraphPad Prism 10.1.2, and QGIS 3.34.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="S3" sec-type="results">
<label>3</label>
<title>Results</title>
<sec id="S3.SS1">
<label>3.1</label>
<title>Chronology statistics</title>
<p>Based on the analysis of the chronology characteristics and statistical features within the common interval (1950-2020) of the three conifers (<xref ref-type="table" rid="T2">Table 2</xref>), the chronology lengths of <italic>L. potaninii</italic> and <italic>P. yunnanensis</italic> were similar, measuring 121 years and 105 years, respectively, whereas that of <italic>P. likiangensis</italic> was the longest, reaching 237 years. The residual chronology of <italic>L. potaninii</italic> showed higher values in terms of mean sensitivity (MS), variance in the first eigenvector (VFE), standard deviation (SD), signal-to-noise ratio (SNR), and expressed population signal (EPS) compared with those of <italic>P. likiangensis</italic> and <italic>P. yunnanensis</italic>. This indicated that the residual chronology of <italic>L. potaninii</italic> was of better quality and contained more environmental information. Although the mean sensitivity (MS) values of the three residual chronologies were relatively low, this was consistent with the relatively favorable hydrothermal conditions in the Lugu Lake region, where tree growth was not strongly constrained by a single climatic factor. Moreover, the high values of EPS (0.89&#x2013;0.96) and SNR (8.37&#x2013;25.95) indicated strong common signals and reliable climatic information in the chronologies. Therefore, the residual chronologies were considered robust and suitable for subsequent climate&#x2013;growth relationship analyses.</p>
<table-wrap position="float" id="T2">
<label>TABLE 2</label>
<caption><p>Statistics of residual chronologies and common interval analysis.</p></caption>
<table cellspacing="5" cellpadding="5" frame="box" rules="all">
<thead>
<tr>
<th valign="top" align="center">Residual chronologies</th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><italic>L. potaninii</italic></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><italic>P. likiangensis</italic></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><italic>P. yunnanensis</italic></th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="center">Sample no (trees/cores retained after quality control)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">30/61</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">27/43</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">26/47</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="center">Chronology span/a</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1899&#x2013;2020</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1787&#x2013;2024</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1918&#x2013;2023</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="center">Mean sensitivity (MS)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center" rowspan="2">0.13</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.07</td>
<td valign="top" align="center" rowspan="2">0.08</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="center">Statistics of common interval analysis</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1950&#x2013;2020</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="center">Variance in the first eigenvector/% (VFE)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">39.92</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">29.68</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">31.10</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="center">Standard deviation (SD)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.12</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.06</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.07</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="center">Signal-to-noise ratio (SNR)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">25.95</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">12.56</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">8.37</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="center">Expressed population signal (EPS)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.96</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.93</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.89</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table></table-wrap>
</sec>
<sec id="S3.SS2">
<label>3.2</label>
<title>Response function analysis of tree growth to climate</title>
<p>The response function analysis (RFA) between the residual chronologies and climatic factors (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="F4">Figure 4</xref>) showed that significant relationships were identified at <italic>p</italic> &#x003C; 0.05. <italic>L. potaninii</italic> was significantly and negatively correlated with September <italic>T</italic><sub><italic>min</italic></sub> of the previous year (<italic>p</italic> &#x003C; 0.05), and positively correlated with <italic>T</italic><sub><italic>min</italic></sub> from April to May of the current year (<italic>p</italic> &#x003C; 0.05). The radial growth of <italic>P. likiangensis</italic> showed a significant and negative correlation with February <italic>PDSI</italic> and September <italic>Prec</italic> of the current year (<italic>p</italic> &#x003C; 0.05), while exhibited a significant and positive correlation with September <italic>T</italic><sub><italic>max</italic></sub> of the current year (<italic>p</italic> &#x003C; 0.05). For <italic>P. yunnanensis</italic>, a significant and negative correlation was found between its radial growth and January <italic>Prec</italic>, as well as May <italic>T</italic><sub><italic>mean</italic></sub> and <italic>T</italic><sub><italic>max</italic></sub> of the current year (<italic>p</italic> &#x003C; 0.05). Conversely, a significant and positive correlation was observed with November <italic>T</italic><sub><italic>min</italic></sub> of the previous year (<italic>p</italic> &#x003C; 0.05).</p>
<fig id="F4" position="float">
<label>FIGURE 4</label>
<caption><p>Correlation analyses of response function between the residual chronologies and the 630 monthly climatic factors. p: previous year, &#x002A;indicates a significant correlation at <italic>p</italic> &#x003C; 0.05 based on 631 bootstrap significance tests implemented by DendroClim2002.</p></caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="ffgc-09-1776810-g004.tif">
<alt-text content-type="machine-generated">Grouped bar chart with three panels compares the monthly correlation coefficients of climate variables&#x2014;minimum, mean, and maximum temperature, precipitation, and PDSI&#x2014;for L. potaninii, P. likiangensis, and P. yunnanensis. Significant correlations are indicated by asterisks, with visible month-to-month and species-specific differences.</alt-text>
</graphic>
</fig>
<p>For the results of correlation analysis between radial growth and growing-season (<xref ref-type="table" rid="T3">Table 3</xref>), significance was assessed at <italic>p</italic> &#x003C; 0.05, and <italic>L. potaninii</italic> was significantly and negatively correlated with early growing season <italic>Prec</italic> of the current year (<italic>p</italic> &#x003C; 0.05) and showed positive correlations with early growing season <italic>T</italic><sub><italic>min</italic></sub> and <italic>T</italic><sub><italic>mean</italic></sub> (<italic>p</italic> &#x003C; 0.05), as well as post growing season <italic>Prec</italic> and <italic>PDSI</italic> of the current year (<italic>p</italic> &#x003C; 0.05). For <italic>P. likiangensis</italic>, negative and positive correlations with <italic>T</italic><sub><italic>min</italic></sub> were found in the current growing season and post growing season, respectively (<italic>p</italic> &#x003C; 0.05). <italic>P. yunnanensis</italic> exhibited a significant and negative correlation with growing season <italic>Prec</italic> of the current year (<italic>p</italic> &#x003C; 0.05), and a significant and positive correlation with early growing season <italic>PDSI</italic> of the current year (<italic>p</italic> &#x003C; 0.05).</p>
<table-wrap position="float" id="T3">
<label>TABLE 3</label>
<caption><p>Correlation analyses between the residual chronologies and the climatic factors in 643 growing season.</p></caption>
<table cellspacing="5" cellpadding="5" frame="box" rules="all">
<thead>
<tr>
<th valign="top" align="center">Growing season</th>
<th valign="top" align="center"/>
<th valign="top" align="center" colspan="3"><italic>L. potaninii</italic></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"/>
<th valign="top" align="center"/>
<th valign="top" align="center" colspan="3"><italic>P. likiangensis</italic></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"/>
<th valign="top" align="center"/>
<th valign="top" align="center" colspan="3"><italic>P. yunnanensis</italic></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<th valign="top" align="center"/>
<th valign="top" align="center"><italic>Tmin</italic></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><italic>Tmean</italic></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><italic>Tmax</italic></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><italic>Prec</italic></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><italic>PDSI</italic></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><italic>Tmin</italic></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><italic>Tmean</italic></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><italic>Tmax</italic></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><italic>Prec</italic></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><italic>PDSI</italic></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><italic>Tmin</italic></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><italic>Tmean</italic></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><italic>Tmax</italic></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><italic>Prec</italic></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><italic>PDSI</italic></th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="center">Post growing season of the previous year</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x2013;0.086</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x2013;0.054</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x2013;0.034</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x2013;0.024</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x2013;0.025</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.013</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x2013;0.020</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.023</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x2013;0.016</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.036</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x2013;0.006</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.046</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.032</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.000</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.004</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="center">Early growing season of the current year</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.099<xref ref-type="table-fn" rid="t3fns1">&#x002A;</xref></td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.114<xref ref-type="table-fn" rid="t3fns1">&#x002A;</xref></td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.017</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x2013;0.080<xref ref-type="table-fn" rid="t3fns1">&#x002A;</xref></td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x2013;0.059</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.053</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x2013;0.021</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.058</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x2013;0.005</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x2013;0.015</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x2013;0.002</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x2013;0.052</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x2013;0.052</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.069</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.117<xref ref-type="table-fn" rid="t3fns1">&#x002A;</xref></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="center">Growing season of the current year</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.038</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.016</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.064</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.054</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x2013;0.049</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x2013;0.123<xref ref-type="table-fn" rid="t3fns1">&#x002A;</xref></td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.004</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x2013;0.010</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x2013;0.021</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x2013;0.017</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x2013;0.025</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.049</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.050</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x2013;0.092<xref ref-type="table-fn" rid="t3fns1">&#x002A;</xref></td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x2013;0.085</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="center">Post growing season of the current year</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.002</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x2013;0.009</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x2013;0.042</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.072<xref ref-type="table-fn" rid="t3fns1">&#x002A;</xref></td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.092<xref ref-type="table-fn" rid="t3fns1">&#x002A;</xref></td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.115<xref ref-type="table-fn" rid="t3fns1">&#x002A;</xref></td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.039</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.042</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x2013;0.035</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x2013;0.027</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.051</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.015</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.040</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x2013;0.020</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x2013;0.027</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table-wrap-foot>
<fn id="t3fns1"><p>&#x002A;Indicates a significant correlation at <italic>p</italic> &#x003C; 0.05.</p></fn>
</table-wrap-foot>
</table-wrap>
</sec>
<sec id="S3.SS3">
<label>3.3</label>
<title>Redundancy analysis of tree growth to climate</title>
<p>The RDA results (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="F5">Figure 5</xref>) showed that the first and second axes collectively explained 19.27% of the variance in the response variables, with the first axis accounting for 11.50% and the second axis for 7.77%. Among the 70 examined climate variables, four factors significantly affected tree growth (<italic>p</italic> &#x003C; 0.05), and temperature-related factors outnumbered precipitation-related ones, indicating that temperature exerted a stronger influence on radial growth. September <italic>T</italic><sub><italic>min</italic></sub> of the previous year and January <italic>Prec</italic> of the current year had a similar impact on tree growth, as they showed a significant and negative correlations with three conifers. In contrast, September <italic>T</italic><sub><italic>max</italic></sub> of the current year exhibited a significant and positive correlation with three conifers. Current May <italic>T</italic><sub><italic>mean</italic></sub> had a positive effect on the radial growth of <italic>P. likiangensis</italic> and <italic>L. potaninii</italic>, but a negative effect on <italic>P. yunnanensis</italic>.</p>
<fig id="F5" position="float">
<label>FIGURE 5</label>
<caption><p>The RDA between three chronologies and the climate variables for the common period (1950&#x2013;2020). Only significant (<italic>p</italic> &#x003C; 0.05) climate variables were presented. The longer vector of the climate factor indicated the greater contribution. The shorter perpendicular line between the chronology and the climate vector (itself, or the extension line) indicated a higher correlation between them. Chronology and climate vectors pointing the same direction represented a positive correlation, and in opposite directions, indicated a negative correlation.</p></caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="ffgc-09-1776810-g005.tif">
<alt-text content-type="machine-generated">Biplot showing three green-labeled points, PY-RES, PL-RES, and LP-RES, distributed across Axis-1 and Axis-2; four blue vectors, labeled Tmax-9, Tmin-p9, Tmean-5, and Prec-1, radiate from the origin to represent environmental variables.</alt-text>
</graphic>
</fig>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="S4" sec-type="discussion">
<label>4</label>
<title>Discussion</title>
<sec id="S4.SS1">
<label>4.1</label>
<title>Common responses in climate&#x2013;growth relationships of study species</title>
<p>Previous September <italic>T</italic><sub><italic>min</italic></sub> showed a significant negative association with the radial growth of <italic>L. potaninii</italic>, while the other two species exhibited negative but non-significant trends. These results suggest that the radial growth of <italic>L. potaninii</italic> may be influenced by both current-year and previous-year temperature conditions, indicating a lag effect (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B13">Fritts et al., 1965</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B60">Yu et al., 2005</xref>). Although trees were in the post growing season, their physiological activities (such as water transport and nutrient accumulation) still persisted (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B24">Li et al., 2014</xref>). Elevated nighttime temperatures could lead to enhanced respiration and transpiration, this is detrimental to organic matter accumulation. To meet the water demands of transpiration, trees mobilized stored water within their tissues. Thus, increased temperatures exacerbated water stress, this likely slowed tree growth (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B47">Wang et al., 2019</xref>). Similar results have been reported in tree-ring studies of <italic>Picea koraiensis</italic> in coniferous forest of northeastern China, as well as in subalpine forests of adjacent Shika Snow Mountain (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B68">Zhang et al., 2018</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B62">Yuan et al., 2020</xref>).</p>
<p>Regarding daytime temperature effects, RDA indicated that current September <italic>T</italic><sub><italic>max</italic></sub> was positively associated with radial growth in all three species at the multivariate level. In contrast, RFA revealed a negative but non-significant relationship between September <italic>T</italic><sub><italic>max</italic></sub> and the growth of <italic>L. potaninii</italic> at the monthly scale. Late-season temperature responses in <italic>P. yunnanensis</italic> was method-dependent. September corresponds to the end of the growing season, during which cambial activity may not have fully ceased in this region. Moderate increases in daytime temperature during this period may favor photosynthesis and carbon assimilation. They may also extend the effective growing season, contributing to the growth variability observed at the multivariate level (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B41">Tan et al., 2011</xref>). Similar results have been observed in studies of adjacent areas, such as Pudacuo National Park and Small Zhongdian of Shangri-La, and Miyaluo Forest in western Sichuan (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B61">Yu et al., 2017</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B54">Xu et al., 2013</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B71">Zhao et al., 2012</xref>).</p>
<p>Given that January precipitation had a significant negative correlation with growth, while temperature showed a positive correlation, this suggests that tree growth was limited by temperature. Winter snowfall was often accompanied by low temperatures. Together with partial freezing of surface soil moisture, these conditions can damage root and impair nutrient uptake. As a result, growth may be reduced and rings become narrower (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B66">Zhang et al., 2009</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B65">Yue et al., 2022</xref>). In addition, increased winter snowfall prolonged spring snowmelt and shortened the tree growth period, thereby restricting radial growth (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B45">Vaganov et al., 1999</xref>). The negative impacts of winter precipitation on tree growth have also been observed in studies of <italic>Larix gmelinii</italic> in northern Greater Khingan Mountains of northeastern China and <italic>Abies spectabilis</italic> in the Manaslu Range of central Himalaya (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B40">Sun et al., 2019</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B14">Gaire et al., 2020</xref>).</p>
<p>Both RDA and RFA results indicated that the number of temperature-related factors exceeded that of precipitation factors, further highlighting the importance of temperature for tree growth. This was consistent with the high sensitivity of alpine tree species to thermal conditions (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B69">Zhao et al., 2024</xref>).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="S4.SS2">
<label>4.2</label>
<title>Divergent responses among species to climatic factors</title>
<p>The temperature (<italic>T</italic><sub><italic>mean</italic></sub>) in current May promoted the growth of <italic>L. potaninii</italic> and <italic>P. likiangensis</italic>, particularly for <italic>L. potaninii</italic>, which was also positively influenced by <italic>T</italic><sub><italic>min</italic></sub> and <italic>T</italic><sub><italic>mean</italic></sub> during the early growing season (April&#x2013;May), highlighting the critical role of spring temperatures in tree growth. For <italic>L. potaninii</italic>, in the early growing season, leaf buds begin to sprout, and xylem cambial cells start to divide and elongate. High temperatures, combined with ample sunlight, create favorable conditions for photosynthesis, thereby increasing the formation of carbohydrates needed for branch development and bud growth (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B67">Zhang et al., 2020</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B58">Yin et al., 2018</xref>). In addition, higher temperatures can increase enzyme activity in plants and promote the activity of soil microorganisms, enabling trees to start growing earlier and have a longer growing season, thereby promoting radial growth (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1">Bhuta et al., 2009</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B42">Tang et al., 2018</xref>). Spring warming can accelerate the onset of cambial reactivation and advance phenological stages such as budburst and shoot elongation, which are essential for earlywood formation (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B33">Rossi et al., 2007</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1">Bhuta et al., 2009</xref>). Reports from high-altitude areas such as Haba Snow Mountain and western Sichuan have documented the positive effects of early-season temperature on tree growth (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B67">Zhang et al., 2020</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B39">Sun et al., 2010</xref>).</p>
<p>In contrast, moist conditions during early growing season were crucial for the growth of <italic>P. yunnanensis</italic>, and higher temperature during this period (particularly in May) inhibited its growth. The radial growth of <italic>P. yunnanensis</italic> relies on spring moisture conditions, likely due to its high water demand (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B35">Shen et al., 2025</xref>). <italic>PDSI</italic> reflected the availability of soil moisture, which directly affected cambial activity and, consequently, xylem formation (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B9">Dai et al., 2004</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B15">Gruber et al., 2010</xref>). <italic>P. yunnanensis</italic> had a high water demand at the beginning of the growing season to promote the expansion of xylem cells. However, high temperatures and low precipitation during this period (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="F2">Figure 2</xref>) made soil moisture availability a key limiting factor for tree growth (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B56">Yang et al., 2018</xref>). The sensitivity of <italic>P. yunnanensis</italic> to spring drought may be attributed to its high water demand during early growth stages and limited surface moisture availability. Although it possesses a relatively deep root system, insufficient early-season precipitation combined with high evaporative demand can restrict water uptake. Additionally, its high stomatal conductance increases water loss through transpiration, exacerbating drought stress under warming conditions (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B35">Shen et al., 2025</xref>). The negative impact of spring drought on the radial growth of <italic>P. yunnanensis</italic> has also been reported in other areas of northwestern Yunnan, such as Haba Snow Mountain and Yulong Snow Mountain (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B67">Zhang et al., 2020</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B56">Yang et al., 2018</xref>).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="S4.SS3">
<label>4.3</label>
<title>Species-specific responses to climate variability</title>
<p>For <italic>L. potaninii</italic>, <italic>Prec</italic> and <italic>PDSI</italic> in the post growing season positively influenced radial growth (<xref ref-type="table" rid="T3">Table 3</xref>). Favorable moisture conditions toward the end of the growing season may promote carbon storage, bud formation, root activity, and soil moisture recharge prior to dormancy, thereby exerting carry-over effects on radial growth in the subsequent growing season (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B53">Xu et al., 2021</xref>).</p>
<p>Elevated temperatures during the growing season (June&#x2013;August) were detrimental to the growth of <italic>P. likiangensis.</italic> On the one hand, the growing season had a high water demand. If nighttime temperatures rose without a corresponding increase in precipitation, it would increase tree transpiration, leading to a water balance disorder in the trees, thereby inhibiting the enlargement and division of cambial cells and ultimately affecting radial growth (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B27">Lu et al., 2015</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B18">Hou et al., 2024</xref>). On the other hand, higher nighttime temperatures enhanced respiration, consuming photosynthetic products and thus restricting tree growth (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B70">Zhao et al., 2016</xref>). Notably, this negative response contrasts with the positive temperature&#x2013;growth relationships reported for <italic>P. likiangensis</italic> at nearby high-altitude treelines (e.g., Yulong and Haba Snow Mountains) (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B56">Yang et al., 2018</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B67">Zhang et al., 2020</xref>), suggesting a shift in climatic limiting factors: while warming can benefit colder treelines by extending the growing season (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B33">Rossi et al., 2007</xref>). At our sites, higher temperatures were more likely to increase evaporative demand and respiratory carbon costs, and may be further amplified by relatively closed-canopy competition for water (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B66">Zhang et al., 2009</xref>). Additionally, the radial growth of <italic>P. likiangensis</italic> showed a significant correlation with the entire growing season, but not with individual months (June&#x2013;August), indicating the importance of the cumulative effect of temperature on the radial growth of <italic>P. likiangensis. P. yunnanensis</italic> showed a significant and negative correlation with growing-season <italic>Prec</italic>, possibly because after water accumulation in the early stage, excessive water during the growing season caused anaerobic respiration in the roots, consuming photosynthetic products and producing harmful substances such as alcohol, which affected growth (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B22">Kreuzwieser and Rennenberg, 2014</xref>). Similar conclusions have been confirmed in previous studies (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B68">Zhang et al., 2018</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B24">Li et al., 2014</xref>).</p>
<p>In this study, the results of RDA and RFA were largely consistent. RDA offered distinct advantages over traditional RFA, as it could more precisely delineate the response patterns, thereby identifying the critical impacts of temperature in September of the previous year, May and September of the current year, and <italic>Prec</italic> in January on the three species. In the RFA, September <italic>T</italic><sub><italic>min</italic></sub> of the previous year exhibited negative correlations with all three species, although statistical significance was only observed for <italic>L. potaninii</italic>. Similarly, January <italic>Prec</italic> of the current year showed negative correlations with all three species, but significance was limited to <italic>P. yunnanensis</italic>, which complicated the generalization of patterns. Additionally, while RFA detected that September <italic>Prec</italic> of the current year constrained the growth of <italic>P. likiangensis</italic>, this relationship was not captured by RDA. This discrepancy highlighted both the consistency and complementarity of the two methods. Therefore, their integrated application enabled a more comprehensive and accurate identification of the primary climate factors influencing the radial growth of the three conifers.</p>
<p>Taken together, the results presented above demonstrate pronounced species-specific responses of the three conifers to climate variability, providing a basis for understanding their potential growth responses under future climate change. Building on this, existing climate scenario simulations allow a qualitative discussion of possible growth trajectories and associated adaptation risks. Under the RCP4.5 scenario based on the EC-EARTH model (CMIP5), previous studies suggested that the annual mean temperature in the study area may exhibit an overall upward trend, with relatively pronounced warming in April and May, while precipitation may show a slight decrease (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">Hazeleger et al., 2010</xref>). This model-based information is used here to provide a general climatic context rather than quantitative projections. From a qualitative perspective, reduced precipitation could potentially influence radial growth of the three conifers, particularly for <italic>P. likiangensis</italic> and <italic>P. yunnanensis</italic>. For <italic>L. potaninii</italic>, the growth response to reduced precipitation may be more complex, as potentially beneficial effects associated with reduced moisture stress could partly offset inhibitory effects. The impacts of future warming on the three species may therefore involve both positive and negative effects, potentially favoring <italic>L. potaninii</italic> and <italic>P. likiangensis</italic>, while higher temperatures may constrain the growth of <italic>P. yunnanensis</italic>. In addition, our results indicate that other temperature variables (<italic>T</italic><sub><italic>min</italic></sub> and <italic>T</italic><sub><italic>max</italic></sub>), especially <italic>T</italic><sub><italic>min</italic></sub>, play important roles in regulating conifer growth. Therefore, robust projections of future tree growth would require greater consideration of <italic>T</italic><sub><italic>min</italic></sub> and <italic>T</italic><sub><italic>max</italic></sub> based on bias-corrected and downscaled CMIP6 multi-model ensembles, which is beyond the scope of the present study. Future research could further utilize CMIP6 multi-model ensembles, combined with various emission pathways, to provide quantitative regional projections of temperature and precipitation fluctuations. Such efforts will be essential for enhancing the precision and reliability of climate risk assessments.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="S5" sec-type="conclusion">
<label>5</label>
<title>Conclusion</title>
<p>This study shows that co-occurring conifer species in subalpine forests could share common climatic constraints while exhibiting distinct, species-specific growth sensitivities. Overall, temperature-related factors played a dominant role in regulating radial growth, whereas moisture availability exerted additional controls depending on species and season. The study highlights pronounced species-specificity in conifer growth responses to climate, even among co-occurring species. Under ongoing climate change, continued warming may alleviate cold limitation for cold-limited conifers, but it may also increase drought- and heat-related risks for moisture-limited species by intensifying evaporative demand and carbon costs. Adaptive forest management should account for species-specific climate vulnerability. For <italic>P. yunnanensis</italic>, priorities include using drought-tolerant planting material or companion species, conserving soil moisture, and enhancing dry-season water conservation. For <italic>P. likiangensis</italic>, avoiding over-thinning and protecting moist microsites may buffer heat and evaporative stress. For <italic>L. potaninii</italic>, maintaining mixed-species stands and tracking seasonal moisture can support resilience. Therefore, multi-species dendroclimatological assessments provide critical information for evaluating differential vulnerability and informing species-specific conservation and adaptive forest management strategies in mountain ecosystems. Future work integrating additional sites and physiological evidence would further strengthen regional generalization and mechanistic understanding.</p>
</sec>
</body>
<back>
<sec id="S6" sec-type="data-availability">
<title>Data availability statement</title>
<p>The original contributions presented in this study are included in this article/supplementary material, further inquiries can be directed to the corresponding author.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="S7" sec-type="author-contributions">
<title>Author contributions</title>
<p>TY: Conceptualization, Formal analysis, Investigation, Methodology, Visualization, Writing &#x2013; original draft, Writing &#x2013; review &#x0026; editing. YueZ: Conceptualization, Methodology, Visualization, Writing &#x2013; original draft. YK: Data curation, Investigation, Software, Writing &#x2013; original draft. SX: Data curation, Funding acquisition, Project administration, Software, Writing &#x2013; review &#x0026; editing. CT: Formal analysis, Writing &#x2013; review &#x0026; editing. YunZ: Conceptualization, Funding acquisition, Methodology, Project administration, Visualization, Writing &#x2013; original draft, Writing &#x2013; review &#x0026; editing.</p>
</sec>
<ack>
<title>Acknowledgments</title>
<p>We are grateful to the Lugu Lake Provincial Nature Reserve Management and Protection Bureau and College of Ecology and Environment (College of Wetlands), Southwest Forestry University, for providing field investigation sampling sites and laboratory facilities for experimental processing.</p>
</ack>
<sec id="S9" sec-type="COI-statement">
<title>Conflict of interest</title>
<p>The author(s) declared that this work was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="S10" sec-type="ai-statement">
<title>Generative AI statement</title>
<p>The author(s) declared that generative AI was not used in the creation of this manuscript.</p>
<p>Any alternative text (alt text) provided alongside figures in this article has been generated by Frontiers with the support of artificial intelligence and reasonable efforts have been made to ensure accuracy, including review by the authors wherever possible. If you identify any issues, please contact us.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="S11" sec-type="disclaimer">
<title>Publisher&#x2019;s note</title>
<p>All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article, or claim that may be made by its manufacturer, is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.</p>
</sec>
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<fn-group>
<fn id="n1" fn-type="custom" custom-type="edited-by"><p>Edited by: <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/2587907/overview">Jinping Liu</ext-link>, North China University of Water Resources and Electric Power, China</p></fn>
<fn id="n2" fn-type="custom" custom-type="reviewed-by"><p>Reviewed by: <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/1796926/overview">Zhao Peng</ext-link>, Gansu Desert Control Research Institute, China</p>
<p><ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/3013348/overview">Xue Ruhong</ext-link>, Northwest Normal University, China</p></fn>
</fn-group>
<fn-group>
<fn id="footnote1"><label>1</label><p><ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://crudata.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/drought">https://crudata.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/drought</ext-link></p></fn>
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