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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">Front. Ecol. Evol.</journal-id>
<journal-title>Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="pubmed">Front. Ecol. Evol.</abbrev-journal-title>
<issn pub-type="epub">2296-701X</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name>Frontiers Media S.A.</publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.3389/fevo.2023.1219636</article-id>
<article-categories>
<subj-group subj-group-type="heading">
<subject>Ecology and Evolution</subject>
<subj-group>
<subject>Methods</subject>
</subj-group>
</subj-group>
</article-categories>
<title-group>
<article-title>Cicada-MET: an efficient ecological monitoring protocol of cicada populations</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes">
<name>
<surname>Pons</surname>
<given-names>Pere</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="author-notes" rid="fn001">
<sup>*</sup>
</xref>
<uri xlink:href="https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/2306169"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Puig-Giron&#xe8;s</surname>
<given-names>Roger</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
<uri xlink:href="https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/2307463"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Tobella</surname>
<given-names>Carles</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<uri xlink:href="https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/2180955"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Peiris</surname>
<given-names>Andreu</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Bas</surname>
<given-names>Josep M.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
<institution>Animal Biology Lab &amp; BioLand, Departament de Ci&#xe8;ncies Ambientals, Universitat de Girona</institution>, <addr-line>Girona, Catalonia</addr-line>, <country>Spain</country>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
<institution>Equip de Biologia de la Conservaci&#xf3;, Departament de Biologia Evolutiva, Ecologia i Ci&#xe8;ncies Ambientals &amp; Institut de la Recerca de la Biodiversitat (IRBIO), Universitat de Barcelona</institution>, <addr-line>Barcelona, Catalonia</addr-line>, <country>Spain</country>
</aff>
<author-notes>
<fn fn-type="edited-by">
<p>Edited by: Andrea Sciarretta, University of Molise, Italy</p>
</fn>
<fn fn-type="edited-by">
<p>Reviewed by: Philippe Vernon, University of Rennes 1, France; Paulo A. V. Borges, University of the Azores, Portugal</p>
</fn>
<fn fn-type="corresp" id="fn001">
<p>*Correspondence: Pere Pons, <email xlink:href="mailto:pere.pons@udg.edu">pere.pons@udg.edu</email>
</p>
</fn>
</author-notes>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>22</day>
<month>08</month>
<year>2023</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="collection">
<year>2023</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>11</volume>
<elocation-id>1219636</elocation-id>
<history>
<date date-type="received">
<day>09</day>
<month>05</month>
<year>2023</year>
</date>
<date date-type="accepted">
<day>04</day>
<month>08</month>
<year>2023</year>
</date>
</history>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright &#xa9; 2023 Pons, Puig-Giron&#xe8;s, Tobella, Peiris and Bas</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2023</copyright-year>
<copyright-holder>Pons, Puig-Giron&#xe8;s, Tobella, Peiris and Bas</copyright-holder>
<license xlink:href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">
<p>This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.</p>
</license>
</permissions>
<abstract>
<p>Cicadas are a fascinating group of insects that play an essential role in terrestrial ecosystems. Their long-lasting association with plant roots encourages their use as indicators of vegetation and soil integrity. Cicada-MET is a novel, standardized method for monitoring cicada populations by counting cicada exuviae (i.e., the skin of emerged nymphs), providing an effective and efficient means to study their distribution, abundance, and ecology. The method involves annual exuviae counts along transects and fixed plots sampled throughout the emergence season. We validated Cicada-MET using a database of 466 counts from 64 transects over 10 years and the sampling of 60 plots for one season. Methodological aspects tested included sampling speed, exuviae detectability in successive counts, exuviae loss due to weather, and cicada species detection performance using exuviae counts compared to auditory methods. Transects captured approximately 10% of the total number of emerged nymphs across one season, demonstrating the protocol&#x2019;s reliability in estimating emerging cicada population numbers. However, caution is needed when inferring densities for larger areas, separated from paths where transects are located. The standardized nature of Cicada-MET reduces spatial and temporal biases, allowing for interspecific comparisons and monitoring interannual variations in abundances and emergence timing. This method is well-suited for studying the impact of natural and anthropogenic disturbances. The high-resolution data obtained can be easily combined with environmental variables, enhancing the value of cicada data as bioindicators. In summary, Cicada-MET offers a versatile and efficient tool for monitoring cicada populations, with applications in ecological indication, conservation, and management. The adaptability of Cicada-MET to various research questions, spatial scales, and long-term approaches, along with its quantitative accuracy and ease of use, make it a valuable resource for researchers and practitioners working with cicadas and their associated ecosystems.</p>
</abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="graphical">
<title>Graphical Abstract</title>
<p>
<graphic xlink:href="fevo-11-1219636-g010.tif" position="anchor"/>
</p>
</abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd>cicadidae</kwd>
<kwd>soil indicators</kwd>
<kwd>transect counts</kwd>
<kwd>population monitoring</kwd>
<kwd>exuviae</kwd>
<kwd>method description</kwd>
</kwd-group>
<counts>
<fig-count count="9"/>
<table-count count="4"/>
<equation-count count="0"/>
<ref-count count="58"/>
<page-count count="16"/>
<word-count count="8000"/>
</counts>
<custom-meta-wrap>
<custom-meta>
<meta-name>section-in-acceptance</meta-name>
<meta-value>Population, Community, and Ecosystem Dynamics</meta-value>
</custom-meta>
</custom-meta-wrap>
</article-meta>
</front>
<body>
<sec id="s1" sec-type="intro">
<label>1</label>
<title>Introduction</title>
<sec id="s1_1">
<label>1.1</label>
<title>Cicadas as ecological indicators</title>
<p>Cicadas (Cicadoidea) are an interesting focal group for ecological studies. They are abundant in diverse natural and artificial habitats around the world, including in the Americas, Africa, Eurasia, Australia, New Guinea, Borneo, Madagascar, and most non-arctic large islands (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B32">Marshall et&#xa0;al., 2018</xref>). Juvenile cicadas or nymphs are root feeders, feeding on the xylem fluid of plant species for several years, and thus are potential indicators of the integrity of the root system, and of the water and nutrients that host plants are absorbing (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B53">Williams and Simon, 1995</xref>). Nymphs also need uncompacted substrates to construct their burrows and feeding cells; their abundance being indicative of well-structured and healthy soils (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">Boulard, 1965</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B47">Smith and Hasiotis, 2008</xref>). Consequently, cicada nymphs have been used so far as bioindicators of human impacts on the soil, including its compaction (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B34">Moriyama and Numata, 2015</xref>), degradation (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B18">Hou et&#xa0;al., 2018</xref>) and contamination by mercury (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B58">Zheng et&#xa0;al., 2010</xref>).</p>
<p>Estimated biomasses of North American periodical cicadas (i.e. those whose adults appear synchronically every 13 or 17 years) are amongst the highest of any animal in terrestrial ecosystems (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B22">Karban, 2014</xref>). Yet, non-periodical cicadas (i.e. those whose adults can appear each year) can also reach tens of thousands of individuals per hectare (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B37">Patterson et&#xa0;al., 1997</xref>). As a result, the growth of trees holding large cicada numbers is limited through the costs imposed by chronic root herbivory (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B20">Karban, 1980</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B57">Yang and Karban, 2009</xref>). However, plant growth can also benefit from fertilization due to carcass deposition and belowground water transport by high-density cicada populations (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1">Andersen, 1994</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B54">Yang, 2004</xref>). The aggregate nature of these populations could lead to increased spatial variability in vegetation growth and recovery after disturbances.</p>
<p>Cicada adults are important prey for arthropods (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B50">Suzuki and Mukaimine, 2021</xref>) and vertebrates (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B40">Pons, 2020</xref>). Their abundance may enhance the survival and reproduction of predator species (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B21">Karban, 1982</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B26">Koenig and Liebhold, 2005</xref>) and thereby contribute to the regulation of insectivorous populations. Nonetheless, high cicada population densities, as found in emergence years of periodical cicadas, are able to satiate the local community of avian predators, thus increasing the likelihood of adult cicadas escaping predation (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B21">Karban, 1982</xref>). Furthermore, dead cicadas can provide a significant input of insect biomass into forest soils (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B56">Yang and Gratton, 2014</xref>). The specialised relationships of cicadas with fungi and arthropod parasites and bacterial endosymbionts have also been described recently (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B29">Liu et&#xa0;al., 2018</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B46">Simon et&#xa0;al., 2022</xref>).</p>
<p>In temperate latitudes, cicadas have a relatively short and predictable period of emergence from their belowground life (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B48">Smith et&#xa0;al., 2006</xref>), whereas in tropical ecosystems adults occur for longer periods of time (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B27">Lee et&#xa0;al., 2010</xref>), or even year round (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">Hart et&#xa0;al., 2015</xref>). When emerged nymphs moult into adults, they leave exuviae (skins) attached to the lowest vegetation strata. Exuviae mark the precise location where nymphs have occurred belowground for several years (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">Boulard, 1965</xref>), and can therefore be used to gather information about cicada juvenile life and environment and be accurate soil bioindicators. Ecological relevance, indicator use, accessibility of exuviae, population densities and global distribution, all make Cicadoidea a candidate focal group for promising ecological studies. However, a standardised method for quantifying cicada exuviae in natural habitats is lacking.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s1_2">
<label>1.2</label>
<title>The use of cicada exuviae in ecology</title>
<p>Insect moult is the casting of the external cuticle that functions as the body exoskeleton. The skin or shed left after a moult is known as the exuvia. It is composed of chitin (a polysaccharide that amounts to 20-50% of the cuticle dry weight), proteins, lipids and minerals (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B10">Chapman, 2012</xref>). Lasting for several weeks before degrading, insect exuviae can be used in ecological studies. Insect exuviae have been counted and collected by different methods, especially in dragonflies and damselflies (Odonata; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B42">Raebel et&#xa0;al., 2010</xref>, but see <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B8">Bried et&#xa0;al., 2012</xref>) and midges (Diptera: Chironomidae; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B44">Ruse, 2010</xref>). Their sampling is not weather dependent, as it is for adults, it provides an accurate estimation of sex ratios and numbers of emerged imago (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B12">Doln&#xfd; et&#xa0;al., 2014</xref>), and does not affect population numbers or the welfare of sampled animals. Methods used to collect dragonfly exuviae include unspecified sampling on different substrates or areas (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B42">Raebel et&#xa0;al., 2010</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B13">Doln&#xfd; et&#xa0;al., 2018</xref>), line transects for which area but not time is specified (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B12">Doln&#xfd; et&#xa0;al., 2014</xref>), and time-limited sampling of sites of an unspecified area (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B15">Hardersen et&#xa0;al., 2017</xref>). Most studies do not describe methods used in detail and standardization was lacking until the work of <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B2">Arguel et&#xa0;al. (2022)</xref> for riverine dragonfly communities.</p>
<p>In cicadas, the last moult separates the final instar nymph, living belowground, from the adult living aboveground (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">Boulard, 1965</xref>). Final instar nymphal exuviae are found attached to grasses, shrubs and tree trunks, in well-exposed supports, since the newly emerged adult needs open space to unfold its wings and start the first fly (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B6">Boulard and Mondon, 1995</xref>). Body length of cicada exuviae (between the head and the last abdominal segment) oscillates from less than one to a few centimetres (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B35">Motta, 2003</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B30">Logan and Connolly, 2005</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B28">Lee et&#xa0;al., 2012</xref>). Direct sunlight and rainfall seem to accelerate their degradation, although this is poorly understood. Detectability of exuviae may vary according to their size, colour contrast with the background, density of low vegetation and whether they remain attached to the moulting support or have fallen from it (pers. obs.). Taxonomical and sexual identification of cicada exuviae by morphology or genetic analyses allows population studies to be conducted (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B28">Lee et&#xa0;al., 2012</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B39">Pons, 2015</xref>).</p>
<p>In contrast to the numerous studies based on odonata exuviae, cicada ecological studies have seldom used this source of information. More often, traps are used to capture newly emerged adults for estimating their feeding ecology (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B9">Callaham et&#xa0;al., 2000</xref>) or their density and emergence phenology (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B48">Smith et&#xa0;al., 2006</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B52">Whiles et&#xa0;al., 2019</xref>). Counting emergence holes or recording sound levels are also means to estimate cicada densities (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B37">Patterson et&#xa0;al., 1997</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B31">Maier, 2015</xref>). Cicada exuviae, specifically, have been counted in small quadrats of 0.125 m<sup>2</sup> along transects (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1">Andersen, 1994</xref>), in 100 m<sup>2</sup> plots distributed on two-dimension grids (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B27">Lee et&#xa0;al., 2010</xref>) or in individual plots of variable size (35 to 14,000 m<sup>2</sup>) (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B25">Kim et&#xa0;al., 2014</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B34">Moriyama and Numata, 2015</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B45">Sato and Sato, 2015</xref>). Although several studies collect cicada exuviae, methodological limitations, such as poor sampling design, unknown sampled area or time, unmeasured detectability of exuviae, etc., usually prevent estimating population densities. To our knowledge, no cicada exuviae counting method exists that is described in detail and standardized so it can be used for monitoring cicada emergence in most regions and habitat types and estimate population densities.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s1_3">
<label>1.3</label>
<title>Objectives of this paper</title>
<p>We describe here a Cicada Monitoring protocol using Exuviae Transects, <italic>Cicada-MET</italic>. It allows abundances of emerging cicadas to be estimated in natural or semi-natural habitats. The method can be used to obtain long-term temporal trends, to monitor populations after natural or human induced disturbances, and to compare among experimental treatments, among habitats or, given some conditions, among taxa. This paper describes the different steps and gives recommendation for the use of the method and ideas for further studies. The quantitative aspects of the method rely on a 10-year database originated from the sampling of transects and plots in Catalonia (NE Spain).</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="s2">
<label>2</label>
<title>Materials and equipment</title>
<p>The materials needed for doing the transect (T) and plot (P) counts include: a GPS device (T, P), field data sheets (T, P), a 1-m long stick (T), a photographic camera (T), measuring tape (T, P), stakes and string (P), and labelable containers for exuviae collection (T, P).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s3">
<label>3</label>
<title>Methods</title>
<sec id="s3_1">
<label>3.1</label>
<title>Overview of Cicada-MET</title>
<p>The method was developed in the frame of a fire ecology study and was inspired in transects conducted previously (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B39">Pons, 2015</xref>). Data used to describe procedures and test assumptions were gathered from burned and unburned Mediterranean-type forests. Cicada-MET has been used in the field by trained observers who have conducted transect counts for ten years (PP and JMB) and plot counts for one year (AP and Gemma Banchs).</p>
<p>To conduct Cicada-MET, we recommend following seven consecutive steps that are summarized in <xref ref-type="table" rid="T1">
<bold>Table&#xa0;1</bold>
</xref> and described in detail in following sections. Additionally, a sample of transects can be counted twice successively to account for species detectability (see section 4.2). The procedure works if phenology is predictable and its interannual changes are moderate. It can be used for a focal species or for several species (with enough sample size in the study area), separately. It combines a time-consuming method (plots) that has to be applied once per study region (and ideally repeated each 5-10 years to account for longer term variability in phenology), with a rapid method (transects) that allows a high number of replicates each year.</p>
<table-wrap id="T1" position="float">
<label>Table&#xa0;1</label>
<caption>
<p>Summary of the Cicada-MET protocol.</p>
</caption>
<table frame="hsides">
<thead>
<tr>
<th valign="top" align="left">Step</th>
<th valign="top" align="center">Description</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Know the cicada fauna of the study region and learn to identify species from exuviae</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Locate transects in the region following adequate sampling design</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">3</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Set up four plots next to each transect, in a sample of transects</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Sample plots once a week before the onset of adults until the end of adult season</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">5</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Sample transects during a single visit after the peak emergence date (or the last peak in case of non-unimodal phenology)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Compare transect to plot abundances to obtain an estimate of transect detectability</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">7</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Repeat transects in following years using the phenology established by plot sampling as an indication of the optimal transect sampling period</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</table-wrap>
</sec>
<sec id="s3_2">
<label>3.2</label>
<title>Sampling design requirements</title>
<p>For transects to be comparable, path characteristics have to be fixed in advance. This includes defining the range of track type, width and embankment occurrence that can be sampled. We avoided paved roads and paved margins since pavements can affect root systems. Embankments are often unsuitable for sampling because of high slopes and absence of cover. It is therefore better to avoid those track sections or to sample from behind the road banks.</p>
<p>Another aspect to consider is the human impact on roadside vegetation that may include clearing of grass and shrub layers, tree thinning, livestock grazing or controlled burning. When these disturbances take place before the start of the emergence season, they have limited effects on counts. However, if any of them takes place during the emergence season, the affected transect should not be counted (or the counts not pooled to the rest) because part of the existing exuviae would be lost.</p>
<p>The usual spatial sampling design choices apply to this method. These include an adequate spatial replication with interspersion of treatments (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B19">Hurlbert, 1984</xref>), and selecting a limited and well-known range of environmental characteristics for the study sites.</p>
<p>Regarding the temporal design for transect censuses, one visit per year may be sufficient if repeated monitoring of plots has been performed across an emergence season. The selection of sampling dates for plots can rely on expert knowledge of the emergence phenology of the species in the region, on scientific publications, on open biodiversity databases, or on previous fieldwork. Sampling dates for transects should start after the peak of emergence of the focal species and take place for no more than one month, although the extent of the sampling period should depend on local meteorological conditions. The percentage of exuviae fallen from their moult support can therefore be used as an indicator of the effect of rain and wind (but also other potential perturbations) on exuviae persistence (See under <italic>4.3. Loss of exuviae due to weather</italic>).</p>
<p>The dates of counts have to be distributed among the different treatments/habitats so that temporal variation related to meteorology affects them equally. In practice, the optimal solution is to cover approximately the same number of transects per treatment or habitat to be compared, each sampling day.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s3_3">
<label>3.3</label>
<title>The transect method</title>
<p>Transects follow paths or tracks along natural or semi-natural vegetation (e.g. forests and tree plantations). Both sides of the path can be sampled by two observers simultaneously, or by the same person on the way out and on the way back. A standard area for transects is 200 m<sup>2</sup>, with 100 m of length and 1 m of width on each side of the way. Transect width can be checked using a 1-m long stick while walking. We do not recommend sampling more than 1.5 m of width, because the visibility of exuviae rapidly decreases with increasing distance from the observer.</p>
<p>Observers need to be trained in finding exuviae (<xref ref-type="supplementary-material" rid="SM1">
<bold>Appendix A</bold>
</xref> shows the exuviae morphology and length for the five species found in this study) in the vegetation and on the ground, before transects can be done reliably. Observers walk slowly surveying all visible vegetation and ground, with the help of the stick. The walking speed depends on the structure of the low vegetation and the percentage of bare ground, a usual speed is 0.4-0.6 km/h. However, the overall speed to cover a transect is lower, because it diminishes with the number of exuviae found and the number of field variables collected (see under <italic>4.1. Sampling speed in transects</italic>). A 200-m<sup>2</sup> transect typically needs 30 to 90 minutes to be completed when exuviae are collected and three field variables (GPS position, plant species as support and height of exuviae) are measured. The time needed to complete the count is halved if two observers walk on each side of the path simultaneously.</p>
<p>Identifying cicada species through exuviae depends on coloration, size, and shape of the exuviae structures (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B35">Motta, 2003</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B28">Lee et&#xa0;al., 2012</xref>, <xref ref-type="supplementary-material" rid="SM1">
<bold>Appendix A</bold>
</xref>). As a result, conducting a preliminary study becomes imperative in the absence of species identification keys. While some exuviae can be identified solely at the genus level, such as <italic>Cicadetta</italic> spp., specific determination is still feasible provided the cicada fauna in the study areas is well-documented. For example, if only one species from the genus is present, or if adults have been collected or their sound recorded near the transect. Moreover, a single exuvia provides a sufficient quantity and quality of DNA for genetic analyses and species identification (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">Bouwer et&#xa0;al., 2014</xref>). Additionally, distinguishing between males and females is feasible by examining the shape of the genitalia in the terminal abdominal segments of the exuvia (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B35">Motta, 2003</xref>).</p>
<p>It is important to clearly define transect limits. As it is difficult for markings to last for a long time on roadsides, we used a standard GPS device for an approximate location (usual precision +/- 3 to 7 m) of both ends. Then, a wide angular lens was used to take pictures at both extremes of the transect to achieve precise localization (usually +/- 1 m) in subsequent years (the same camera and lens should be used for this aim). Pictures can also be used to follow interannual changes in habitat structure (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f1">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;1</bold>
</xref>).</p>
<fig id="f1" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;1</label>
<caption>
<p>Pictures taken to locate the start of transect LJNC-8 in 2021 (left), and in 2022 (right), before and after pine forest thinning.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fevo-11-1219636-g001.tif"/>
</fig>
<p>Habitat structure of sampled areas can be visually estimated with the help of reference charts (e.g. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B41">Prodon and Lebreton, 1981</xref>). We conducted an annual estimation of plant cover at the grass, shrub, subcanopy and canopy layers. To this aim, we sampled four virtual 5-m radius semicircles centred at 5, 35, 65 and 95 m from one end of the transect (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f2">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;2</bold>
</xref>) a few weeks after each exuviae sampling. If required for the study, more precise (and time-consuming) plant cover sampling using line transects or plots can be performed in sections of the exuviae transect.</p>
<fig id="f2" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;2</label>
<caption>
<p>Field design of Cicada-MET for cicada exuviae counts. The method combines a two-band line transect (100 x 2 m) sampled once a year with four square plots (3 x 3 m or 2 x 2 m) sampled once a week throughout the first cicada emergence period of the study (associated to a sample of transects). Four semicircles for plant cover estimation can also be sampled once a year. The figure shows half of the plots and semicircles and 42-m of the transect length.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fevo-11-1219636-g002.tif"/>
</fig>
</sec>
<sec id="s3_4">
<label>3.4</label>
<title>Plot sampling</title>
<p>Plots are used to describe the phenology of focal species in the study region (see under <italic>4.6. Cicada emergence phenology</italic>) and determine sampling dates more precisely. They also allow densities of exuviae to be estimated and related with transect counts (see under <italic>4.4. Estimation of absolute densities of exuviae</italic>). If cicada emergence phenology in the region is unknown, plot sampling has to be done before the start of transect monitoring. Four plots are located near a sample of transects, two at each end, following the design found in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="f2">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;2</bold>
</xref> and <xref ref-type="supplementary-material" rid="SM1">
<bold>Appendix B</bold>
</xref>.</p>
<p>For this study we selected 15 transects evenly distributed among three vegetation age classes (one and two years after fire and unburned forests) and a total of 60 plots. Plots were 3 x 3 m squares in sparse vegetation (one and two years after fire) and 2 x 2 m in dense vegetation (&gt;40 year-old forest). Exuviae were carefully searched by two people for four minutes per plot so that virtually all of them were collected. This procedure was repeated every 7 days across the summer, from before the onset of the emergence period until two weeks after the last exuvia was found. In our case, plots were sampled 13 times in 2014, from June 18 to September 11, finding four cicada species, <italic>Cicada orni</italic> being the dominant one (N= 315 C<italic>. orni</italic> of a total of 342 exuviae).</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="s4">
<label>4</label>
<title>Analyses and results</title>
<p>The following sections are based on the exploration of a database of 466 transect counts (in 64 different transects) from 2013 to 2022 and 780 plot counts (in 60 plots) in 2014. For transects, the sampling speed (section 4.1), detectability of exuviae (section 4.2), loss of exuviae due to weather (section 4.3), comparison with sound detection (section 4.5) and interannual variation in abundance (section 4.7) were examined. For plots, we estimated absolute densities (section 4.4) and emergence phenology (section 4.6). The sample size that could be used for analyses depended on the available information in each aspect of interest.</p>
<sec id="s4_1">
<label>4.1</label>
<title>Sampling speed in transects</title>
<p>We tried to keep walking speed constant among observers, transects and years (around 12-15 minutes to walk 100 m without stops, sampling one side of the path). However, overall sampling speed was also affected by stops to collect exuviae and to measure field variables. In addition, sampling speed could be lower when plant cover was denser if more time was needed to revise potential moult supports. We used linear mixed models (LMM) with Gaussian error structure to analyse the effects of four explanatory variables (number of exuviae found, number of field variables measured, grass cover and shrub cover) on the sampling speed (m/min) of 283 transects. The &#x2018;transect&#x2019;, nested within &#x2018;burned area&#x2019;, was included as a random factor in order to control for possible spatial autocorrelation. Details on model selection can be found in <xref ref-type="supplementary-material" rid="SM1">
<bold>Appendix C</bold>
</xref>.</p>
<p>The best averaged model showed that sampling speed was affected by the number of exuviae found and the number of field variables measured, but not by grass and shrub cover (<xref ref-type="supplementary-material" rid="SM1">
<bold>Appendix C</bold>
</xref>). Both selected explanatory variables had a negative effect on speed, as predicted. However, the impact of finding a higher number of exuviae was more marked than the effect of increasing the number of variables measured on-site (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f3">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;3</bold>
</xref>), probably because the range of the latter was small.</p>
<fig id="f3" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;3</label>
<caption>
<p>Effects of the number of exuviae found (top) and the number of variables measured in the field (bottom) on the sampling speed of transect (N=283 counts).</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fevo-11-1219636-g003.tif"/>
</fig>
</sec>
<sec id="s4_2">
<label>4.2</label>
<title>Exuviae detectability in transects</title>
<p>A total of 24 transects (12 in burned areas and 12 in unburned areas) were used to assess detectability. They were sampled twice successively and at the same speed, with the second count progressing in the opposite direction to the first one. Exuviae were determined and counted as usual. We found 1,212 exuviae in the first walk of the 24 transects and 328 exuviae in the second. We analysed detectability for the two species with more than 20 records, <italic>Cicada orni</italic> and <italic>Tettigettalna argentata</italic>. We assumed that the proportion of undetected exuviae in successive counts (third, fourth&#x2026;) would be the same as that calculated between the first and second counts. In <italic>C. orni</italic>, the second count produced 26.4% of the exuviae counted in the first walk (N=1166). For this species, two counts would already produce 93.0% of the total number of existing and visible exuviae. In <italic>T. argentata</italic>, the second count produced 46.9% of the exuviae counted in the first walk (N=32). For this species, two counts would produce 78.0% of the total number of existing and visible exuviae and four counts would be needed to reach 95.2% (<xref ref-type="table" rid="T2">
<bold>Table&#xa0;2</bold>
</xref>).</p>
<table-wrap id="T2" position="float">
<label>Table&#xa0;2</label>
<caption>
<p>Estimated percentage (%) of total visible exuviae detected by first and successive transect counts (cumulated values) for two cicada species (overall results combining burned and unburned areas).</p>
</caption>
<table frame="hsides">
<thead>
<tr>
<th valign="middle" align="left">Successive counts</th>
<th valign="middle" align="center">1st</th>
<th valign="middle" align="center">2nd</th>
<th valign="middle" align="center">3rd</th>
<th valign="middle" align="center">4th</th>
<th valign="middle" align="center">5th</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="left">
<italic>C. orni</italic>
</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">73.6</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">93.0</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">98.2</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">99.5</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">99.9</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="middle" align="left">
<italic>T. argentata</italic>
</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">53.1</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">78.0</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">89.7</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">95.2</td>
<td valign="middle" align="left">97.7</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table-wrap-foot>
<fn id="fnT1_1">
<p>Percentages are based on 24 repeated transects (12 in each vegetation type), N=1474 <italic>C. orni</italic> exuviae and N=47 <italic>T. argentata</italic> exuviae from two successive counts.</p>
</fn>
</table-wrap-foot>
</table-wrap>
<p>The detectability of <italic>C. orni</italic> exuviae appeared higher in burned sites than in unburned sites, with an estimated 77.5% vs. 69.2% of exuviae found in the first count, respectively (<xref ref-type="supplementary-material" rid="SM1">
<bold>Appendix D</bold>
</xref>). However, this difference was non-significant (t= -1.553, df= 22, p= 0.135). Exuviae numbers were insufficient to conduct the same burned vs. unburned comparison in <italic>T. argentata</italic>.</p>
<p>Exuviae fallen to the ground seemed less detectable than exuviae attached to vegetation. We used transects with at least 6 exuviae found at the second count (N=12), to compare the percentage of exuviae on the ground between the first and the second walk of the transect. Although this percentage was on average 13.6% in the first count and 21.2% second count (pointing towards fallen exuviae undetected in the first count because they were less visible), the difference between counts was non-significant (One-factor Anova, F=0.657, p=0.426).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s4_3">
<label>4.3</label>
<title>Loss of exuviae due to weather</title>
<p>We tested the effect of intense weather conditions on the persistence of exuviae on their supports, because fallen exuviae seemed harder to detect, especially under dense cover, and they were likely to degrade sooner. To this aim, we used 196 transect counts that met two requirements: having a minimum number of 15 exuviae, and having a recorded number of exuviae attached to vegetation or fallen from their support. We collected meteorological data from the closest weather station according to the Catalan Meteorological Service. Stations were located at distances ranging from 1.5 to 13.5 km from selected transects. We used half-hour data (48 periods per day) for the period encompassing from 1st July to the date of each count, for each year of sampling. The response variable analysed was the proportion of fallen exuviae out of the total number. As we hypothesized that exuviae were dragged down by the intensity of meteorological phenomena, we built a model using the maximum rainfall (mm) and the maximum wind speed (m/s) in a half-hour period, as explanatory variables, including also the quadratic term of the wind speed because of its non-linear relationship with the proportion of fallen exuviae. The study area was used as a random factor to account for the spatial correlation of transects.</p>
<p>Both variables were significant in models (<xref ref-type="supplementary-material" rid="SM1">
<bold>Appendix E</bold>
</xref>). The effect of rainfall, which had been intense in a small number of meteorological stations and emergence periods, was positive and clearer than that of the wind (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f4">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;4</bold>
</xref>). Our model predicted that, in absence of rain, less than 10% of exuviae would have fallen to the ground when the transects were covered, whereas for rainfall exceeding 20 mm in half an hour, half of them would have fallen. Wind had a positive quadratic effect, with no clear effects at low wind intensities and exuviae starting to fall at wind speed above 20 m/s. It is important to note that both wind and rain are usually mild in our study region during the emergence period.</p>
<fig id="f4" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;4</label>
<caption>
<p>Effect of the maximum rainfall and the maximum wind speed across the emergence period on the proportion of fallen exuviae.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fevo-11-1219636-g004.tif"/>
</fig>
</sec>
<sec id="s4_4">
<label>4.4</label>
<title>Estimation of absolute densities of exuviae</title>
<p>The accumulated counts of exuviae in the study plots throughout the whole emergence period provided a precise estimation of the density of emerging final instar nymphs. In small plots, the proportion of missed exuviae was greatly reduced after a careful search. We found a variable density of exuviae in the three vegetation age classes and between two species, <italic>C. orni</italic> and <italic>T. argentata</italic> (<xref ref-type="table" rid="T3">
<bold>Table&#xa0;3</bold>
</xref>). For both species, the highest density was found one year after fire, reaching a mean density of 121 emerged <italic>C. orni</italic> nymphs in 100 m<sup>2</sup> across one season (N= 20 plots).</p>
<table-wrap id="T3" position="float">
<label>Table&#xa0;3</label>
<caption>
<p>Absolute densities (mean number of exuviae/100 m<sup>2</sup> &#xb1; SE) of emerged cicadas obtained from 13 successive counts of 20 4-m<sup>2</sup> plots in unburned forest, 20 9-m<sup>2</sup> plots in one-year postfire forest and 20 9-m<sup>2</sup> plots in two year-postfire forest.</p>
</caption>
<table frame="hsides">
<thead>
<tr>
<th valign="bottom" align="left"/>
<th valign="bottom" align="center">Unburned</th>
<th valign="bottom" align="center">1 year postfire</th>
<th valign="bottom" align="center">2 years postfire</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="bottom" align="left">
<italic>C. orni</italic>
</td>
<td valign="bottom" align="center">57.5 &#xb1; 16.5</td>
<td valign="bottom" align="center">120.6 &#xb1; 33.3</td>
<td valign="bottom" align="left">28.9 &#xb1; 12.3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="bottom" align="left">
<italic>T. argentata</italic>
</td>
<td valign="bottom" align="center">2.5 &#xb1; 2.5</td>
<td valign="bottom" align="center">6.1 &#xb1; 3.2</td>
<td valign="bottom" align="left">3.3 &#xb1; 2.0</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table-wrap-foot>
<fn>
<p>The density of two species, <italic>Cicada orni</italic> and <italic>Tettigettalna argentata</italic>, could be assessed.</p>
</fn>
</table-wrap-foot>
</table-wrap>
<p>Linear models show that counts in the 15 selected transects were strongly related to both the density of exuviae in nearby plots until the date when the transect was sampled and the density of exuviae in the same plots for the whole emergence period. The equation (y=0.0994x + 0.3226) indicates that the transect counts accounted for 10.3% of the exuviae emerged in plots until the transect sampling date. Similarly, transect counts accounted for 9.9% of the exuviae emerged throughout that season (y=0.0985x + 0.0996) (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f5">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;5</bold>
</xref>).</p>
<fig id="f5" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;5</label>
<caption>
<p>Relationships of transect counts (N=15) with the density of exuviae in four nearby plots sampled throughout the whole emergence period.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fevo-11-1219636-g005.tif"/>
</fig>
</sec>
<sec id="s4_5">
<label>4.5</label>
<title>Comparison of exuviae vs. sound species detection</title>
<p>The ability of Cicada-MET to record species occurrence can be compared to common methods used for the study of cicada distribution and ecology. Since adult cicadas use sound to communicate, bioacoustics has been a prominent field of study in Cicadidae. From 2014 onwards, we recorded the presence of singing males of cicada species, while walking along the transects. A total of 394 exuviae counts coupled with singing information of five species was available. Aural species determination on-site by trained observers was based on sound recordings and sonograms found in <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B14">Gogala (2009)</xref>. Most species were easily distinguished; only <italic>Tibicina garricola</italic> was recorded and photographed to confirm species identity. Each species could be either undetected, or detected only by exuviae, by sound or by both methods in each transect (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f6">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;6</bold>
</xref>). We used the paired-samples McNemar test to test for the difference in the frequency of detection exclusively by exuviae or by sound, for each species separately. <italic>C. orni</italic> was significantly more detected by exuviae (p&lt;0.001). <italic>Cicadatra atra</italic> (p&lt;0.001) and <italic>T. argentata</italic> (p&lt;0.05) were significantly more detected by sound. <italic>Lyristes plebejus</italic> (p=0.32) and <italic>Tibicina garricola</italic> (p=0.22) showed non-significant differences.</p>
<fig id="f6" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;6</label>
<caption>
<p>Vehn diagrams showing the number of detections (by exuviae, sound and both methods), of five cicada species during 394 transect counts. None: number of counts without detection of the species.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fevo-11-1219636-g006.tif"/>
</fig>
</sec>
<sec id="s4_6">
<label>4.6</label>
<title>Cicada emergence phenology</title>
<p>The consecutive sampling of fixed plots across the emergence season allowed emergence phenology to be studied. To this aim, we used the 60 plots previously described, equally distributed among burned (one and two years after fire) and unburned pine forests. The temporal evolution of density across the 2014 season followed a unimodal pattern in the three vegetation types. However, the corresponding emergence peaks were separated by seven days each. The peak was around July 3 in one-year postfire forest, July 10 in two-year postfire forest, and July 17 in unburned forest (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f7">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;7</bold>
</xref>). The length of the period with cicada emergences also increased with increasing time since fire, from 5 weeks in one-year postfire forest to 10 weeks in unburned forest.</p>
<fig id="f7" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;7</label>
<caption>
<p>Density of <italic>C. orni</italic> exuviae found in plots of unburned forest, one-year postfire forest and two-year postfire forest (N=20 plots each) throughout summer 2014. Each date in abscissae represents the previous 7 days of accumulated nymph emergence. To improve graph clarity error bars are not shown.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fevo-11-1219636-g007.tif"/>
</fig>
<p>To determine if there were temporal differences in the number of captures between the three vegetation types, a repeated measures analysis of variance was used (<xref ref-type="supplementary-material" rid="SM1">
<bold>Appendix F</bold>
</xref>). Results showed that both time since fire and calendar date were relevant elements. Moreover, the interaction of both temporal variables indicated that the effect of time since fire on cicada numbers depended on the day on which the measurements were taken. In other words, temporal trends were different among vegetation categories.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s4_7">
<label>4.7</label>
<title>Interannual variation of cicada abundance</title>
<p>Fixed transects repeated yearly allowed monitoring of population trends over longer periods of time. As an example, we used 21 transects distributed in three study areas of unburned Aleppo pine forest in L&#x2019;Empord&#xe0; region, sampled between six and ten years (2013-2022). The transects selected were separated by a maximum distance of 31 km, in similar altitudes (40-350 m a.s.l. and distance to the sea (15-26 km), so that climate effects were likely irrelevant. The abundance of emerging <italic>Cicada orni</italic> in the three study areas was different, especially when comparing more distant La Jonquera to the two closer areas of Colomers and Vilopriu (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f8">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;8</bold>
</xref>). However, interannual variation was very similar, the only exception being the period 2015-2017, even with a modest number of transects per study area.</p>
<fig id="f8" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;8</label>
<caption>
<p>Interannual variation in exuviae abundance of <italic>Cicada orni</italic> in unburned Aleppo pine forests of l&#x2019;Empord&#xe0; region, from 181 counts from 2013 to 2022. Error bars are standard errors. Study areas are La Jonquera (N=10 transects), Colomers (N=5 transects) and Vilopriu (N= 6 transects).</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fevo-11-1219636-g008.tif"/>
</fig>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="s5" sec-type="discussion">
<label>5</label>
<title>Discussion</title>
<sec id="s5_1">
<label>5.1</label>
<title>Drivers of exuviae counts</title>
<p>We propose a conceptual diagram to synthesize the factors affecting the number of exuviae recorded during transect sampling and the direction of their influence (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f9">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;9</bold>
</xref>). Some of these factors have been analysed in the present study. The observer&#x2019;s skill and speed of progression directly influence the number of exuviae that are found or left behind. Although no data was available to assess observers&#x2019; skill in our case, observer differences are a common bias in visual censuses (see, e.g., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B4">Bernard et&#xa0;al., 2013</xref>). The number of exuviae collected significantly influenced the time needed to cover a transect, because more stops were made. Conversely, walking speed necessarily affects exuviae numbers because higher speed means less time for properly searching vegetation and the ground, although an experimental approach would be needed to describe this relationship. Other drivers of exuviae detectability could have been included but their effects are poorly known. For example, some animals (ants, other insects and small vertebrates) might consume or carry exuviae but, to our knowledge, this has not been described and is unlikely to significantly alter counts (we have never observed this behaviour in our sites).</p>
<fig id="f9" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;9</label>
<caption>
<p>Variables influencing the number of exuviae recorded during Cicada-MET transects, classified into habitat, weather and observer drivers. The eight variables affect (the direction of their effects is shown with arrows) one or two of the processes (emerging nymphs&#x2019; quantity, emergence phenology and exuviae detectability) that determine the number of exuviae found.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fevo-11-1219636-g009.tif"/>
</fig>
<p>Weather has several implications on the results of the method. Soil temperature, when reaching around 18&#xb0;C, is the proximate cue for last instar nymphs of studied species to emerge (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B17">Heath, 1968</xref>). In warmer pre-emergence periods or sites, the soil is heated since an earlier date, triggering earlier nymph emergence (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B48">Smith et&#xa0;al., 2006</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B45">Sato and Sato, 2015</xref>). Large interannual (and spatial) differences in emergence phenology could entail the sampling date to be sub-optimal. Sampling could then be too early, i.e. before the peak of emergence, detecting few exuviae; or too late, i.e. too many days elapsed since the emergence peak, so that many exuviae have fallen from their support, degraded or disappeared. If this is suspected, repeated plot sampling across the emergence period would be necessary. We have also shown that intense rain and wind increase the number of exuviae fallen from their support. Fallen exuviae can be dragged out of the sampled area or remain on-site in the ground and be found, although they are usually less apparent than when attached to vegetation. Detectability tends to decrease under these circumstances.</p>
<p>Habitat characteristics are important in exuviae counts. Plant cover did not influence observer speed, according to our results. It can, however, affect the detectability of exuviae since attached and fallen exuviae are less visible under high foliage density (pers. obs.). The shadow produced by plant cover also limits solar radiation and therefore soil temperature (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B48">Smith et&#xa0;al., 2006</xref>), with the consequences on emergence phenology discussed above. Interannual differences in host plant productivity or quality can also entail more or fewer nymphs being ready for emergence each year (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B23">Karban, 2022</xref>). Finally, spatial and temporal variations in habitat quality, predation, parasitism and competition influence the density of cicada species at each location and year.</p>
<p>In sum, the number of exuviae recorded in transects is not only determined by the number of emerging nymphs at each site and time. Multiple factors affecting the timing of emergence and the detectability of exuviae also influence the counts generated. This will be discussed in more detail in the next section.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s5_2">
<label>5.2</label>
<title>Reliability of Cicada-MET</title>
<p>Our results show that Cicada-MET is an effective and efficient method to count emerged cicadas in natural and semi-natural habitats. The amount of data obtained per time invested is high. In our study areas, we obtained an average of 24.9 exuviae (all species combined) per hour of transect (N= 350 counts, randomly selected, therefore including zero counts), while simultaneously measuring field variables related to location, habitat and moult support. Eight to twelve transect counts can be done per day by two observers working together, with adequate light conditions and avoiding the hottest hours of the day. Likewise, it is possible for two people to count 60 nearby plots in one day. The method needs minimal and non-expensive material and can therefore be used when research funds are scarce.</p>
<p>Sampling plots along the whole emergence period provide absolute densities of emerged cicadas. Our results show that they are very highly correlated to single transect counts, making it possible to estimate cicada densities from transects with measurable error. We estimated that transects capture about 10% of the total number of emerged nymphs in surveyed areas. Cicada-MET can therefore be used in ecological studies for which knowing absolute numbers of individuals or biomass of cicadas is necessary, for example, for understanding nutrient pools, trophic networks or biotic communities (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B56">Yang and Gratton, 2014</xref>).</p>
<p>The density of cicada nymphs along paths and tracks may be different to that of other parts of the habitat. This could result from females preferring sunnier locations in forest edges to oviposit (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B55">Yang, 2006</xref>), where trees grow more rapidly and attain greater root biomass (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B33">McDonald and Urban, 2004</xref>). Nymphs can also grow heavier and adult females be more fertile, in these areas, as indicated by slight differences in a 17-year life cycle species (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B22">Karban, 2014</xref>). On the other hand, the lack of vegetation on the track reduces oviposition rates in the transect or plot vicinity. Caution is therefore needed to infer mean densities for larger areas. A way to overcome this limitation can be to sample fixed plots at increasing distances from the path and compare the differences in exuviae abundance between them.</p>
<p>The method assumes that none or insignificant numbers of exuviae can remain from one year to the next (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B34">Moriyama and Numata, 2015</xref>, pers. obs.). If there are reasons to think that some proportion of exuviae can last on-site for one year, it would be necessary to remove them from transects and plots before the start of the emergence period.</p>
<p>The method should be adapted to study habitats holding the extremely high-density species that occur among cicadas (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B21">Karban, 1982</xref>). This can be achieved by reducing the area sampled, the number of variables measured, and/or by collecting only a sample of the exuviae found. If the study deals with periodical cicadas, in addition to these modifications, sampling has to be adapted to match the temporal and spatial occurrence of 13-year and 17-year species.</p>
<p>The standardised nature of Cicada-MET, a protocol that records precise location, area and transect speed, reduces the bias between sites that have been pointed out in former methods (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B34">Moriyama and Numata, 2015</xref>). The estimation of species detectability using repeated transects can allow interspecific comparisons in relative abundance of emerging cicadas. Additionally, the measurement of population densities with fixed plots makes such comparisons more robust. When possible, it is worth taking weather, observer differences and walking speed into account in models of exuviae abundance. Even if it is not, the results are highly consistent (see sections 3.2, 3.4, 3.5 and 3.7). To cope with emergence phenology variations in the longer term due to environmental change, plot counts across the emergence season could be repeated every 5 to 10 years.</p>
<p>Cicada-MET performs well when compared to auditory detection (presence/absence) of cicada species. <italic>Cicada orni</italic>, a loud species that can be heard from hundreds of meters away, was detected more frequently by exuviae than by hearing in our transects. To avoid the hottest hours of the day, transect sampling started at sunrise, when cicadas have not usually started to sing because of cooler temperatures. This can explain the better performance of exuviae detection, but is also a benefit for fieldwork in hot regions where sampling during the peak cicada song period can be a challenge. For other species, we obtained similar or more auditory detections. In <italic>Cicadatra atra</italic>, we recorded few individuals by exuviae counts because the pine forests surveyed are not a preferred habitat, whereas we could hear their song from nearby broadleaf trees. Nonetheless, the association between exuviae numbers and the abundance of recently emerged imagos is direct. In contrast, estimating animal densities from sound recording, albeit a promising field of study, needs expensive material and important data storage and processing capacity (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B11">Darras et&#xa0;al., 2019</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B38">P&#xe9;rez-Granados and Traba, 2021</xref>).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s5_3">
<label>5.3</label>
<title>Temporal and spatial comparisons</title>
<p>Our results confirm the advance on peak emergence date in burned vegetation compared to unburned vegetation, which has also been found in riparian forests of North America (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B48">Smith et&#xa0;al., 2006</xref>). That study found earlier dates and shorter periods of emergence in burned forests related to mean soil temperature, being lower in sites with higher tree cover. Cicada-MET provides a fine-resolution description of phenology based on replicated plots. We specifically found a one-week delay on the peak emergence date between the first and second year after fire and between second-year vegetation and unburned forests. Our study therefore demonstrates that wildfire can have significant impacts on cicada emergence phenology, and highlights the importance of understanding how natural disturbances (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B51">Viljur et&#xa0;al., 2022</xref>) affect the timing and duration of population processes. Further research is needed to fully understand the ecological implications of advanced cicada emergence and how it may impact cicada mortality and reproduction as well as the derived interactions in ecosystems.</p>
<p>The similarity we found in interannual abundance trends between nearby study areas is remarkable (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f8">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;8</bold>
</xref>). As discussed above, this finding supports the consistency of the method. Transects are effective in capturing population numbers while biases and errors do not produce important random differences in temporal patterns between areas. The pattern found also leads us to assume that factors governing the quantity of emerging cicadas operate evenly at a landscape scale in the study region. Interannual climate variability seems to be the main factor here, because it affects plant productivity, disturbance regime, species interactions, cicada reproduction, and survival and length of the nymphal phase (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">Boulard, 1965</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B53">Williams and Simon, 1995</xref>), therefore modulating cicada numbers. On the other hand, poor nutrition (xylem fluid exclusively) and intrinsic biological traits also determine the length of the nymphal phase (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B23">Karban, 2022</xref>). Altogether, it appears that some interannual spatial synchronicity is possible in common species such as <italic>Cicada orni</italic>. In its extreme form, emergence synchronicity occurs in periodical cicadas, which include seven species in North America, one in India and one in Fiji (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B46">Simon et&#xa0;al., 2022</xref>).</p>
<p>
<italic>C. orni</italic> was the most abundant species in all study areas and years. When considering fixed plots, <italic>C. orni</italic> mean densities were higher in recently burned (121 emerged nymphs/100 m<sup>2</sup>) than in unburned Aleppo pine forests (29 emerged nymphs/100 m<sup>2</sup>), across the emergence season. When considering the 466 transect counts, only 9.4% of them did not detect the species whereas the mean count was 11.7 exuviae/100 m<sup>2</sup>. Although this figure corresponds to pine forest located along paths, which could hold denser nymph populations than more shadowed areas, it is within the range of former counts on transects located outside paths (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B39">Pons, 2015</xref>). The maximum recorded count in our transects was 191 exuviae/100 m<sup>2</sup>, corresponding to an absolute density of 1,926 +/- 331 emerged nymphs/100 m<sup>2</sup> across the whole season, according to our plot-transect model. This is a considerable density, but still comparable to former estimations. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B37">Patterson et&#xa0;al. (1997)</xref> estimated densities between 712 and 1,117 of belowground <italic>C. orni</italic> final instar nymphs/100 m<sup>2</sup> in Italian pine forests (most of them emerging that year, according to their counts of emergence holes and exuviae). These numbers are, however, far from the densities found for periodical cicadas in North America, which can reach locally 57,900 emerged nymphs/100 m<sup>2</sup> (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B22">Karban, 2014</xref>).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s5_4">
<label>5.4</label>
<title>Applications of Cicada-MET</title>
<p>Cicada-MET can obtain a large number of replicates and be used in a variety of ecological studies. This is facilitated because counting cicada exuviae can be easily combined with collecting diverse variables of interest. Measurements can be done on-site while sampling the transects or plots. They can be focused on exuviae (<xref ref-type="table" rid="T4">
<bold>Table&#xa0;4A</bold>
</xref>), such as determining taxonomic identity, abundance, location, type and use of moulting support; or consider their fine-scale environment, including the lithology, topography, meteorology, and habitat composition, structure and function. Environmental data at a coarser scale can be obtained from Geographical Information Systems, remote sensing databases and UAV sensors (<xref ref-type="table" rid="T4">
<bold>Table&#xa0;4B</bold>
</xref>). Due to the low mobility of nymphs, both belowground and once emerged heading to a moulting support (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B36">Oberd&#xf6;rster and Grant, 2006</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B22">Karban, 2014</xref>), the measurements in exuviae locations allow testing spatial hypotheses about oviposition and nymph occurrence sites (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B3">Bergh et&#xa0;al., 2022</xref>). The coupling of environmental and biological variables thus obtained increases the value of cicadas as soil and vegetation indicators.</p>
<table-wrap id="T4" position="float">
<label>Table&#xa0;4</label>
<caption>
<p>Possible variables that can be incorporated to Cicada-MET studies and the ecological indicators that can be derived.</p>
</caption>
<table frame="hsides">
<thead>
<tr>
<th valign="top" align="left">INFORMATION CATEGORIES</th>
<th valign="top" align="center">VARIABLES</th>
<th valign="top" align="center">INDICATOR USE</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th valign="top" colspan="3" align="center">(a)&#x2003;On-site measurements focused on exuviae</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Cicada taxonomical identity</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Subfamily, genus, species levels</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Species richness, diversity indices</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Abundance</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Relative abundance, density of emerging cicadas</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Population dynamics, abundance comparisons, conservation indices</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Exuvia geographical location</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">GPS coordinates</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Spatial correlates, microhabitat</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Resilience in moult support</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">N&#xb0; of fallen vs. attached exuviae</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Detectability of exuviae, effect of meteorology</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Plants used as support</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Species, life forms</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Potential food sources</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Vertical position</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Height of exuviae in vegetation</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Detectability of exuviae</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<th valign="top" colspan="3" align="center">(b)&#x2003;Environmental variables (measurable on-site or using GIS layers, remote sensing, UAVs&#x2026;)</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Lithology</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Bedrock categories</td>
<td valign="middle" rowspan="11" align="left">Environmental effects on cicada abundance, species composition, phenology&#x2026;</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Topography</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Slope degree and direction</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Air temperature</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Maximum, average temperatures</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Precipitation</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Intensity and quantity of rainfall</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Relative humidity</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">RH average for a period</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Water deficit</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">WD average for a period</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Plant community</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Species composition, life forms, regeneration strategies</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Grass cover</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">% ground covered</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Shrub cover</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">% ground covered</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Canopy cover</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">% ground covered</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Photosynthetic activity</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">NDVI</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<th valign="top" colspan="3" align="center">(c)&#x2003;Laboratory analyses</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Exuviae sex</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Sex ratio</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Survival of sexes, breeding potential</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Exuviae biometry</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Body length, appendices length</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Growth</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Fluctuating asymmetry</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Left vs. right body measurements</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Differences in stability of development</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Genetic analyses</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">DNA-based molecular markers</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Species identification</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Stable carbon and nitrogen isotope analyses</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Delta 13C, Delta 15N</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Dietary preferences</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Toxicological studies</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Mercury, other heavy metals</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Soil pollution indicators</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table-wrap-foot>
<fn>
<p>They are classified according to how variables are measured: (a) direct measures on exuviae in the field, (b) environmental variables measured on-site or from databases, and (c) variables measured in the laboratory.</p>
</fn>
</table-wrap-foot>
</table-wrap>
<p>Other research questions can benefit from the collection of exuviae in transects and plots of known location (<xref ref-type="table" rid="T4">
<bold>Table&#xa0;4C</bold>
</xref>). Stored exuviae can last for long periods without degradation, more than one decade in absence of preservative (own collection at Univ. of Girona), and more than one century in museum collections with preservative (<italic>Cicada orni</italic> exuviae coded 75-8984, dated 1900 at the Natural Sciences Museum of Barcelona). Preserved exuviae can be used to determine sex ratios, to do biometric studies, or for genetic, isotopic or ecotoxicological studies. Their analyses can indicate population structure, dietary changes, root and soil health, etc. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B58">Zheng et&#xa0;al., 2010</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B28">Lee et&#xa0;al., 2012</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">Bouwer et&#xa0;al., 2014</xref>).</p>
<p>Depending on the temporal and spatial arrangement of transects, Cicada-MET can be used at different scales going from intensive studies focused on habitats or study sites, to large-scale monitoring programs. The method is well suited for Before-After-Control-Impact studies (BACI) because it allows adequate replication in space and across time (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B49">Stewart-Oaten et&#xa0;al., 1986</xref>). It is also usable in &#x2018;opportunistic&#x2019; studies after ecological disturbances in terrestrial ecosystems, including wildfires, wind blows, biological invasions, tree mortality due to insect explosions, or water stress. For this type of studies, the simplicity of the method facilitates an immediate start after the disturbance, and also a long-term approach (e.g. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="f8">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;8</bold>
</xref>), which is fundamental for population biology studies (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B43">Reinke et&#xa0;al., 2019</xref>).</p>
<p>Population densities derived from standardized counts of exuviae can be relevant for conservation purposes, as illustrated by dragonfly studies (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B24">Khelifa et&#xa0;al., 2018</xref>). Since cicadas are sensitive to changes in habitat quality and environmental condition, Cicada-MET data on species composition and abundance can produce informative ecological indicators (<xref ref-type="table" rid="T4">
<bold>Table&#xa0;4</bold>
</xref>). Changes in environmental conditions affect the timing and success of emergence (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B48">Smith et&#xa0;al., 2006</xref>) as cicadas are highly dependent on their host plants and the overall health of the soil. Emerged numbers over long periods can therefore serve as an indicator of changes in habitat quality and ecological integrity (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B22">Karban, 2014</xref>). Monitoring cicada populations and their emergence patterns therefore provides evidence to help act upon ecological conditions and long-term trends of terrestrial ecosystems.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="s6" sec-type="data-availability">
<title>Data availability statement</title>
<p>The raw data supporting the conclusions of this article will be made available by the authors, without undue reservation.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s7" sec-type="ethics-statement">
<title>Ethics statement</title>
<p>The manuscript presents research on animals that do not require ethical approval for their study.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s8" sec-type="author-contributions">
<title>Author contributions</title>
<p>PP: conceptualization, methodology, validation, formal analysis, investigation, data curation, visualization, writing- original draft. RP-G: formal analysis, visualization, writing- review &amp; editing. CT: investigation, data curation, writing- review &amp; editing. AP: investigation, data curation, writing- review &amp; editing. JB: methodology, validation, investigation, writing- review &amp; editing. All authors contributed to the article and approved the submitted version.</p>
</sec>
</body>
<back>
<sec id="s9" sec-type="funding-information">
<title>Funding</title>
<p>The study was partially supported by grant CGL2014-54094-R of the Spanish Ministry of Economy and Competitiveness.</p>
</sec>
<ack>
<title>Acknowledgments</title>
<p>Thanks are due to Gemma Banchs, Aitor Domingo and Gemma Vila for help during the fieldwork of this study. Mar&#xe7;al Pons and Elena Puigdemasa helped with figures, Berta Caballero provided museum data and Diane Harper revised the English. Meteorological data were provided by Servei Meteorol&#xf2;gic de Catalunya.</p>
</ack>
<sec id="s10" sec-type="COI-statement">
<title>Conflict of interest</title>
<p>The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s11" sec-type="disclaimer">
<title>Publisher&#x2019;s note</title>
<p>All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article, or claim that may be made by its manufacturer, is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s12" sec-type="supplementary-material">
<title>Supplementary material</title>
<p>The Supplementary Material for this article can be found online at: <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fevo.2023.1219636/full#supplementary-material">https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fevo.2023.1219636/full#supplementary-material</ext-link>
</p>
<supplementary-material xlink:href="DataSheet_1.docx" id="SM1" mimetype="application/vnd.openxmlformats-officedocument.wordprocessingml.document"/>
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