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<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">Front. Earth Sci.</journal-id>
<journal-title>Frontiers in Earth Science</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="pubmed">Front. Earth Sci.</abbrev-journal-title>
<issn pub-type="epub">2296-6463</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name>Frontiers Media S.A.</publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">1084054</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.3389/feart.2023.1084054</article-id>
<article-categories>
<subj-group subj-group-type="heading">
<subject>Earth Science</subject>
<subj-group>
<subject>Original Research</subject>
</subj-group>
</subj-group>
</article-categories>
<title-group>
<article-title>Detailed modelling to evaluate the effectiveness of sediment recycling on coastal habitat</article-title>
<alt-title alt-title-type="left-running-head">Spearman and Benson</alt-title>
<alt-title alt-title-type="right-running-head">
<ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2023.1084054">10.3389/feart.2023.1084054</ext-link>
</alt-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes">
<name>
<surname>Spearman</surname>
<given-names>Jeremy</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="corresp" rid="c001">&#x2a;</xref>
<xref ref-type="fn" rid="fn1">
<sup>&#x2020;</sup>
</xref>
<uri xlink:href="https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/741537/overview"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Benson</surname>
<given-names>Thomas</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="fn" rid="fn1">
<sup>&#x2020;</sup>
</xref>
<uri xlink:href="https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/2235107/overview"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff>
<institution>HR Wallingford Ltd</institution>, <addr-line>Wallingford</addr-line>, <country>United Kingdom</country>
</aff>
<author-notes>
<fn fn-type="edited-by">
<p>
<bold>Edited by:</bold> <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/1994541/overview">Alex Kirichek</ext-link>, Delft University of Technology, Netherlands</p>
</fn>
<fn fn-type="edited-by">
<p>
<bold>Reviewed by:</bold> <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/655544/overview">Henry Bokuniewicz</ext-link>, The State University of New York (SUNY), United States</p>
<p>
<ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/1465649/overview">Manish Pandey</ext-link>, National Institute of Technology Warangal, India</p>
</fn>
<corresp id="c001">&#x2a;Correspondence: Jeremy Spearman, <email>j.spearman@hrwallingford.com</email>
</corresp>
<fn fn-type="equal" id="fn1">
<label>
<sup>&#x2020;</sup>
</label>
<p>These authors have contributed equally to this work and share first authorship</p>
</fn>
<fn fn-type="other">
<p>This article was submitted to Sedimentology, Stratigraphy and Diagenesis, a section of the journal Frontiers in Earth Science</p>
</fn>
</author-notes>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>04</day>
<month>04</month>
<year>2023</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="collection">
<year>2023</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>11</volume>
<elocation-id>1084054</elocation-id>
<history>
<date date-type="received">
<day>29</day>
<month>10</month>
<year>2022</year>
</date>
<date date-type="accepted">
<day>23</day>
<month>03</month>
<year>2023</year>
</date>
</history>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright &#xa9; 2023 Spearman and Benson.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2023</copyright-year>
<copyright-holder>Spearman and Benson</copyright-holder>
<license xlink:href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">
<p>This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.</p>
</license>
</permissions>
<abstract>
<p>In many parts of the world, ports and harbours lie adjacent to ecologically important areas of coastal habitat. In such areas port authorities, coastal managers and regulators are required to negotiate the tension between the demands of making ports ever more efficient, with wider and deeper approaches to accommodate vessels of deeper draft and larger handling areas, and the preservation of coastal habitats which are vitally important for bird and fish populations and which help protect the coast from flooding and erosion. The deepening of approach channels and berths usually results in an increased rate of sedimentation and maintenance dredging. There is an increasing recognition that such dredged sediment is a resource which should be utilised beneficially for human development activities and/or enhancement of ecological habitats. One form of beneficial use of dredged material, is termed &#x201c;sediment recycling&#x201d; or &#x201c;strategic placement&#x201d;. This form of beneficial use consists of the placement of cohesive sediment into the water column or onto the bed in such a way so that currents and waves then transport the released sediment onto the desired habitats. Sediment recycling is less widely practiced because the changes in bed level resulting from placement are generally of the order of a few centimetres/year or less and it is difficult to demonstrate whether such recycling is successful. This paper describes a methodology for the assessment of the effectiveness sediment recycling, implementing the methodology on a case study of a large-scale sediment recycling scheme in the Stour/Orwell Estuary system in the United Kingdom, designed to offset the identified adverse effects of an approach channel deepening on the estuary system. The study represents a major contribution to the consideration of non-direct beneficial use of cohesive sediment. For the first time a methodology for reliably evaluating the effects of sediment recycling, separating the effects of natural changes in morphology from the beneficial use, has been shown to be effective. This method, which is applicable anywhere where there are sufficient data, allows a robust evaluation of the effectiveness of such methods and crucially enables these methods to be tested and optimised using modelling before implementation.</p>
</abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd>sediment recycling</kwd>
<kwd>beneficial use</kwd>
<kwd>monitoring</kwd>
<kwd>cohesive sediment</kwd>
<kwd>morphological modelling</kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
</front>
<body>
<sec id="s1">
<title>1 Introduction</title>
<p>In many parts of the world, large ports and harbours lie adjacent to ecologically important areas of coastal habitat. In such areas port authorities, coastal managers and regulators are required to negotiate the tension between the demands of making ports ever more efficient, with wider and deeper approaches to accommodate vessels of deeper draft (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B76">Tchang, 2020</xref>) and larger handling areas (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B23">Hanson and Nicholls, 2020</xref>) on the one hand, and in preserving and restoring coastal habitats on the other. These coastal habitats provide several valuable ecosystem services - they are highly productive areas feeding large numbers of predatory birds (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B39">JNCC, 2008a</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B13">Ausden et al., 2018</xref>), they provide feeding, spawning and nursery areas for fish populations (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B3">Beck et al., 2003</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B63">Seitz et al., 2014</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B64">Sheaves et al., 2015</xref>), they absorb nutrients and improve water quality (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1">Agaton and Guila, 2023</xref>), and they help protect the coast from flooding and erosion (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B40">Kirwan and Megonigal, 2013</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B77">Temmerman et al., 2013</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B68">Spalding et al, 2014</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B48">M&#xf6;ller et al., 2014</xref>). These habitats also act as efficient carbon sinks, contributing significantly to the sequestration of global carbon dioxide (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B46">Mcleod et al., 2011</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B60">Rogers et al., 2019</xref>) and they provide livelihoods to communities from shellfisheries to tourist industries (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B45">McCartney et al., 2015</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B56">RAMSAR Convention on Wetlands, 2021</xref>).</p>
<p>The deepening of approach channels and berths to accommodate larger vessels usually results in an increased rate of sedimentation and maintenance dredging. As ports and harbours consider how to manage this dredging in a manner that is sustainable for neighbouring wetlands, part of this consideration includes the possibility that the dredged sediment can be used beneficially in and around wetland areas to improve habitat and ecosystem functioning. The form that such improvements to habitat and functioning can take varies, but this paper gives the examples of the use of sediment recycling to prevent the erosion and loss of muddy habitat (supporting internationally important bird populations, see <xref ref-type="sec" rid="s2-1">Section 2.1</xref>) and also the use of direct placement of dredged material to mitigate coastal erosion and flooding (see <xref ref-type="sec" rid="s5-3">Section 5.3</xref>). The desirability for beneficial use is given additional weight in those countries which are signatories of the London Convention and Protocol (the international treaties promoting the effective control of all sources of marine pollution caused by disposal at sea, <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="http://docs.imo.org/">http://docs.imo.org</ext-link>). In this treaty there is an obligation to examine the potential for beneficial placement of sediment before offshore disposal is considered. Additionally consideration of beneficial use is given added weight in circumstances where the deepening itself is perceived to result in some level of impact on the wetlands.</p>
<p>Often, the beneficial use of sediment for habitat improvement is found to be unviable due to the increased costs of placement, achieving consent and monitoring, and the problems involved in demonstrating benefit (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B51">Murray, 2008</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B6">Brils et al., 2014</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B79">Ulibarri et al., 2020</xref>). However, there is an increasing recognition that dredged sediment is a resource which should be utilised beneficially for human development activities and/or enhancement of ecological habitats (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B9">CEDA, 2019</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B20">Gailani et al., 2019</xref>). The need to seek beneficial use opportunities has been identified as a priority within the International Maritime Organisation London Convention and London Protocol (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B37">IMO, 2014</xref>) and other dredged material management reviews and guidance (e.g., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B36">IADC, 2009</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B8">CEDA, 2010</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B53">OSPAR, 2014</xref>;; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B24">HELCOM, 2015</xref>) and more recently in the COP26 Climate Change and Sediment Management Pledge (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B62">SEDNET, 2021</xref>).</p>
<p>The beneficial use of dredged sediment has grown dramatically over the last 30&#xa0;years for a range of uses: to maintain the integrity of local wetland habitats, as a source of material for flood defence, as a source of reclamation fill, to aid the clean-up of contaminated or old mining sites and as building material (e.g., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B9">CEDA, 2019</xref>). In the US, for instance, the United States Army Corps of Engineers (USACE) have been world leaders in the use of dredged material for habitat creation, using around 33% of the 200 million cubic yards of coastal navigation channels dredged by the USACE every year are used beneficially (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B19">Gailani, 2019</xref>), proving successfully that dredged sediment can be used to restore create valuable that provide critical habitat for wildlife (Ausden et al., 2018). This increased emphasis on beneficial use arises partly due to recognition of the symbiosis of coastal development and the environment as encapsulated by concepts such as Engineering with Nature<sup>&#xa9;</sup> (<ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://ewn.erdc.dren.mil/">https://ewn.erdc.dren.mil</ext-link>) or Building with Nature (<ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://building-with-nature.eu/">https://building-with-nature.eu</ext-link>).</p>
<p>Beneficial use of dredged material for habitat creation, also termed &#x201c;sediment recycling&#x201d;, can take many forms: direct placement to form intertidal areas (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B72">Suedel et al., 2014</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B73">Suedel et al., 2021</xref>); the direct placement of sediment onto intertidal areas (e.g., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B33">HR Wallingford, 2008</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B83">Virginia Institute of Marine Science, 2014</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B78">Thorne et al., 2019</xref>), as well as subtidal (e.g., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B2">Baptist et al., 2019</xref>) or water column placement (as in this paper) of sediment at strategic locations so that the sediment will subsequently transported onshore by currents and waves. The scales of beneficial use vary from a few thousand m<sup>3</sup>/year dredged by backhoe (e.g., at Lymington Harbour, United Kingdom; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B43">Lymington Harbour Commissioners, 2021</xref>) to many million m<sup>3</sup>/year (e.g., for the coastal Mississippi, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B81">USACE, 2014</xref>).</p>
<p>This paper is specifically concerned with sediment recycling, specifically non-direct or &#x201c;strategic&#x201d; placement of cohesive sediment, arising from ongoing water column recharge in the Stour-Orwell Estuary system in the southeast of the United Kingdom. The discharge is implemented using a slowly moving small trailer suction hopper dredger (TSHD) pumping a sediment water mixture from the hopper into the adjacent waters. This estuary system is the location of the Port of Felixstowe and sediment recycling has been ongoing since 1998 and is designed to promote benefit to intertidal habitats with the estuary system (see Section 2.1.2). Non-direct beneficial use has the advantages that there is a much-reduced potential for negative effects arising from placement&#x2014;i.e., no initial smothering of the bed&#x2014;and that it can, as shown here, be built into the regime of dredging operations. However, the method involves increasing the turbidity and suspended sediment concentration in the waters between the placement location and the intertidal habitats that the method is intended to benefit. The method may not, therefore, be suitable where the local ecology is sensitive and would be negatively affected by such increases. In the Stour-Orwell example considered in this paper, any such increases are minimised by applying small and frequent placements, which mitigate a perceived reduction in suspended sediment concentrations resulting from harbour deepening (See Section 2.1.2).</p>
<p>Direct placement beneficial use generally involves significant changes in bed level that can be measured, either through the use of direct point measurements or through standard topographic/bathymetric surveying (e.g., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B33">HR Wallingford, 2008</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B43">Lymington Harbour Commissioners, 2021</xref>). However, for non-direct or strategic placement of cohesive sediment, the changes in bed level resulting from placement are generally of the order of a few centimetres/year or less, and are more widely distributed, varying spatially (e.g., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B2">Baptist et al., 2019</xref>, and this paper). Measurements of change in this case are further complicated by.<list list-type="simple">
<list-item>
<p>&#x2022; The stochastic nature of winds and waves can lead to rapid changes in accretion/erosion following placement and monitoring periods which are insufficiently long to be representative.</p>
</list-item>
<list-item>
<p>&#x2022; It can be difficult to separate the changes resulting from non-direct beneficial use from the natural background changes. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B2">Baptist et al. (2019)</xref>, for instance, found that the greatest rates of accretion occurred during a period of reduced rate of placement and a direct link between the amounts of beneficial placement and observed intertidal sedimentation could not be made.</p>
</list-item>
</list>
</p>
<p>These difficulties in establishing the magnitude of change resulting from non-direct placement make it difficult to assess or optimise the effectiveness of a specific scheme. We propose a method for evaluation of the success of non-direct beneficial use of dredged cohesive sediment based upon long-term monitoring and detailed modelling. This approach, as discussed below, allows the contributions of background processes and beneficial placement to be separated and the relative benefits of the scheme to be identified in the context of the background trend. The approach is applied here to a particular case study but can be applied for any location where there are adequate data.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2">
<title>2 Case study of sediment recycling</title>
<sec id="s2-1">
<title>2.1 The Stour/Orwell estuary system</title>
<p>The Stour/Orwell system (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="F1">Figure 1</xref>) is meso-tidal (3.6&#xa0;m mean spring tidal range at the estuary mouth). The fluvial input into the system is low compared to other estuaries from the (the mean total fluvial discharge into the Stour and Orwell Estuaries is less than 5&#xa0;m<sup>3</sup>/s (based on Environment Agency data and the United Kingdom National River Flow Archive). With the exception of Harwich Harbour (which is the name given to the confluence of the Stour and Orwell Estuaries, at the estuary mouth) waves inside the estuary system are locally wind-generated. Typical wave heights are 0.2&#x2013;0.3&#xa0;m in the Stour and 0.1&#x2013;0.2&#xa0;m in the Orwell (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B35">HR Wallingford, 1994</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B70">Spearman et al., 2014</xref>). During strong westerly winds however, waves can rise up to 1&#xa0;m in significant wave height throughout much of the Stour Estuary (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B27">HR Wallingford, 2001a</xref>). Waves in the Orwell are generally lower because of the reduced fetch lengths.</p>
<fig id="F1" position="float">
<label>FIGURE 1</label>
<caption>
<p>Stour/Orwell estuary system.</p>
</caption>
<graphic xlink:href="feart-11-1084054-g001.tif"/>
</fig>
<p>The Port of Felixstowe is located on the east side of Harwich Harbour. Harwich Haven Authority (HHA) annually undertakes maintenance dredging of 2.4&#xa0;Mm<sup>3</sup>/year of soft mud from the harbour (this is the average maintenance requirement over the period 1996&#x2013;2017, based on HHA data). Until 2020 the mud was principally dredged by TSHD, aided by plough dredging in the berths. This material is disposed at Inner Gabbard, around 30&#xa0;km offshore of the estuary entrance. The sediment supplied to the estuary is almost all from offshore marine sources (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B70">Spearman et al., 2014</xref>) and predominantly enters from the near-shore zone north of the entrance along the Suffolk Coast.</p>
<p>The Stour and Orwell estuaries have extensive muddy flats which are protected (Special Protected Area/Ramsar status) because they support nationally important numbers of wintering wildfowl and waders as well as internationally important populations of migratory bird species: Common redshank, Dark-bellied brent goose, Northern pintail, Grey plover, Red knot, Dunlin and Black-tailed godwit (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B38">JNCC, 2008b</xref>).</p>
<p>The Stour/Orwell Estuary system has experienced much erosion of its intertidal mudflats since the 1920s when much of the prevalent eel-grass population, which had a binding effect on sediment died off due to a fungal disease. This binding effect occurs through dissipation of wave energy and reduction in current and wave oscillatory velocities (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B15">Fonseca and Cahalan, 1992</xref>), which reduces erosion (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B10">Chen et al., 2007</xref>), and through trapping of sediment particles (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B25">Hendriks et al., 2008</xref>) and the specific binding effect of the roots and rhizomes below the seabed (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B44">Marin-Diaz et al., 2020</xref>). It is estimated that 15&#xa0;Mm<sup>3</sup> of net intertidal erosion occurred within the Stour/Orwell Estuary system over the last century (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B86">Beardall et al., 1991</xref>). More recently, the presence and coverage of eel grass (<italic>Z</italic>. <italic>angustifolia</italic> and <italic>Z. Noltei</italic>) in the estuaries has continued to decline - from 345&#xa0;ha in 1973 to just 5.4&#xa0;ha in 2020, a 98% reduction (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B21">Gardiner, 2021</xref>). The erosion of mudflats has been accompanied a reduction in saltmarsh coverage. The changes in saltmarsh coverage in the estuary system over the period 1973&#x2013;2015 are shown in <xref ref-type="table" rid="T1">Table 1</xref>. The results indicate substantial loss of saltmarsh over this period, with most of the loss taking place before 1997. The observed trend in loss of saltmarsh area can be traced back prior to 1973&#x2014;based on tithe maps from the 1840s <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B86">Beardall et al. (1991)</xref> report that the saltmarsh in the Orwell Estuary in the 19th century was twice that in 1991.</p>
<table-wrap id="T1" position="float">
<label>TABLE 1</label>
<caption>
<p>Observed saltmarsh area in the Stour and Orwell Estuaries, 1973 to 2015.</p>
</caption>
<table>
<thead valign="top">
<tr>
<th rowspan="2" align="left">Period</th>
<th colspan="2" align="center">Saltmarsh area (ha)</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th align="center">Stour</th>
<th align="center">Orwell</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody valign="top">
<tr>
<td align="left">1973 <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">Burd. (1992)</xref>
</td>
<td align="center">264.2</td>
<td align="center">99.5</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">1988 <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">Burd. (1992)</xref>
</td>
<td align="center">148.2</td>
<td align="center">69.2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">1997 <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B12">Cooper et al. (2001</xref>)</td>
<td align="center">107.4</td>
<td align="center">53.7</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">2015 <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B61">Royal Haskoning. (2019)</xref>
</td>
<td align="center">108.6</td>
<td align="center">45.8</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</table-wrap>
</sec>
<sec id="s2-2">
<title>2.2 The sediment recycling strategy</title>
<p>Sediment recycling was instigated within the Stour/Orwell Estuary system as a condition of consent for the 1998/2000 deepening of the approach channel to Felixstowe Port from &#x2212;12.5&#xa0;mCD to &#x2212;14.5&#xa0;mCD (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B55">Posford Duvivier Environment and HR Wallingford, 1998</xref>). There was a concern that the deepening of the harbour -causing trapping of more sediment within the harbour because of reduced currents and enhanced deposition, and because this trapped sediment would then be dredged and disposed offshore -could reduce the supply of sediment to intertidal areas within the estuary system (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B31">HR Wallingford, 1998</xref>). At the time of the of the Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA) studies for the 1998/2000 harbour deepening, bathymetric surveying indicated that overall, the intertidal area of the estuary system was eroding. The intertidal area of the Stour Estuary was eroding at a rate of 13&#xa0;ha/year, while the intertidal area of the Orwell Estuary was increasing in area slightly. Overall, the designated (protected) intertidal area of the estuary system was declining at a rate of 10&#xa0;ha/year (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B31">HR Wallingford, 1998</xref>). Given that the Stour and Orwell were eroding prior to the harbour deepening, and given that there was a risk that deepening would lead to a reduction in supply of sediment to intertidal areas, there would be a need for mitigation to any increase in the overall erosion rate of intertidal habitat. The mitigation proposed to offset this risk was sediment recycling&#x2014;also known as trickle charging or strategic beneficial placement. The idea is (as explained by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B20">Gailani et al., 2019</xref>) that the release of dredged material into the water column would increase suspended solids, and hence increase the deposition, over intertidal habitat. This recycling was the first of its kind in the United Kingdom (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B70">Spearman et al., 2014</xref>), and possibly worldwide&#x2014;although as noted in <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B20">Gailani et al. (2019)</xref> historical strategic placement of mud has not always been well documented.</p>
<p>Sediment recycling began in 1998 and has continued to the present day. Initially, concern about whether the sediment recycling would be effective led to much higher rates of placement than those used today with more than 200,000 tonnes dry solids (TDS) per year being placed between 2002 and 2008. By 2008, however, local fishermen identified that accumulations of silt had occurred in several subtidal locations within and just outside the estuary system leading to changes in substrate and reductions in fishing take (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B34">HR Wallingford, 2007</xref>). In addition, further bathymetric information and modelling had also led to reduced concerns about the extent of any increase in intertidal erosion rate (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B27">HR Wallingford, 2001a</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B70">Spearman et al., 2014</xref>). This was because bathymetric surveys (which were all that was available in the early years of recycling) only provided information over a limited part of the intertidal area. In effect the (upper) limit of bathymetric surveys was &#x2b;1&#xa0;mCD at most. This mean that much of the intertidal areas were poorly described in terms of elevation. As the recycling continued, LiDAR measurements of intertidal elevation become available and, as a result, measurements of intertidal elevation and of the rate of change of intertidal elevation were able to extend over the whole intertidal area. This improved data resulted in a reduced estimate of the rate of change of intertidal volume and allowed the models to become more accurate in their estimates of current and wave erosion. For these reasons the annual amount of sediment recycling was reduced to the level of 50,000 TDS/year, which is still used today.</p>
<p>Sediment recycling can occur in the Stour/Orwell at any time of the year but it is normal for 3 sediment recycling campaigns to be carried out annually. Sediment recycling campaigns typically occur over a 4 or 5&#xa0;day period with 3&#x2013;5 placement operations on each flood tide. Typically placement occurs at each of the three placement sites (Erwarton Bay, Copperas Bay and the Lower Orwell&#x2014;see <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F2">Figure 2</xref>) in succession.</p>
<fig id="F2" position="float">
<label>FIGURE 2</label>
<caption>
<p>Sediment recycling methodology.</p>
</caption>
<graphic xlink:href="feart-11-1084054-g002.tif"/>
</fig>
<p>Placement typically occurs over a period of around 20&#xa0;min with the dredger (hopper capacity: 1,500&#xa0;m<sup>3</sup>) moving landwards at an over-the-ground speed of 2&#x2013;2.5&#xa0;m/s (about four to five knots). Typically each placement discharges an average of 560&#x2013;570 TDS each over this 20&#xa0;min period. The intention is to release the sediment slowly into the water column to enhance the mixing of the placed sediment (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="F3">Figure 3</xref>). To date this modified mitigation (representing placement of approximately 4% of the maintenance dredging mass/volume) appears to be successful in enhancing intertidal habitat whilst not causing adverse effects on fishery interests. At the time of writing an estimated 2.3 Mtonnes, representing the <italic>in situ</italic> volume of around 4.6&#xa0;Mm<sup>3</sup>, has been recycled.</p>
<fig id="F3" position="float">
<label>FIGURE 3</label>
<caption>
<p>Water column recharge by TSHD.</p>
</caption>
<graphic xlink:href="feart-11-1084054-g003.tif"/>
</fig>
<p>The mitigation described in Section 2.1.2 represented the first large-scale mitigation of its type in the United Kingdom and was monitored carefully. As part of the consent agreement for the approach channel deepening a package of monitoring tasks was implemented, including subtidal bathymetric surveys over the whole estuary system and LiDAR measurements over the whole of the intertidal areas every 5&#xa0;years. Surveys of the subtidal (using multibeam) and intertidal bed levels (using flown LiDAR) were undertaken in 2005/6 and 2015/6 by Harwich Haven Authority. Surveys were also undertaken in 2010 but the 2010 LiDAR survey was found to be of a lower quality and less reliable and so these 2010 surveys have not been used. The 2005/6 and 2015/6 surveys were combined to produce representations of the subtidal tidal and intertidal bathymetry in the Stour and Orwell estuary system for 2005 and 2015. The LiDAR data sets were double-checked against known land-based hard-points (suitable buildings, roads, tennis courts, etc.) and were corrected on area-by-area basis as necessary. The two bathymetry datasets have been used in this study within the morphological modelling and the changes in bed levels over the period 2005&#x2013;2015 (shown in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F4">Figure 4</xref>) have been used as a basis for calibration of the morphological model.</p>
<fig id="F4" position="float">
<label>FIGURE 4</label>
<caption>
<p>Measured change in bathymetry over the period 2005&#x2013;2015.</p>
</caption>
<graphic xlink:href="feart-11-1084054-g004.tif"/>
</fig>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec sec-type="materials|methods" id="s3">
<title>3 Materials and methods</title>
<sec id="s3-1">
<title>3.1 Tidal discharge and sediment flux measurements</title>
<p>Data on water discharge and sediment flux were collected during a survey commissioned by HHA carried out in February 2001 during a set of spring tides (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B28">HR Wallingford, 2001b</xref>) and, more recently, repeat surveys on 21 October 2020 (spring tide conditions) and 25 October 2020 (neap tide conditions) (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B29">HR Wallingford, 2021</xref>). Profiles of current velocity and acoustic backscatter were collected along transects using a vessel mounted Acoustic Doppler Current Profiler (ADCP). From this information, the cross-sectionally integrated volume of water passing through the transect per second can be obtained. Sediment flux data were also derived from the ADCP transects using the SEDIVIEW method (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B42">Land et al., 1997</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B41">Land and Jones, 2001</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B75">Taylor et al., 2013</xref>). Under this method, the acoustic backscatter is calibrated by means of filtered water samples and rapid deployment profilers to provide estimates of fine sediment concentration which are then combined with the velocity measurements and integrated along the transect to give the sediment flux through the transect. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F5">Figure 5</xref> shows the location of the ADCP transects used to collect discharge and flux data at regular intervals through a spring tide in February 2001 and October 2020.</p>
<fig id="F5" position="float">
<label>FIGURE 5</label>
<caption>
<p>ADCP transect locations for 2001 and 2020 surveys. Coordinates are Ordnance survey of Great Britain (OSGB).</p>
</caption>
<graphic xlink:href="feart-11-1084054-g005.tif"/>
</fig>
</sec>
<sec id="s3-2">
<title>3.2 Water level measurements</title>
<p>Water level measurements for validation of the flow component of the sediment transport model were obtained from the Tide Gauge at Harwich and were provided by HHA. In particular, the model was compared against water levels for the 16 February to 2 March 2001 and 12 October to 10 November 2020.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s3-3">
<title>3.3 Survey comparisons</title>
<p>The results of the bathymetry/LiDAR surveys undertaken in 2005 and 2015 (by HHA) indicate a gain of 2.3&#xa0;ha/year of intertidal area in the Stour and a gain of intertidal area in the Orwell of 2.1&#xa0;ha/year (at the 0&#xa0;mCD level) (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B32">HR Wallingford, 2017</xref>). The gain in intertidal volume in the Stour is principally the result of net accretion in the upper Stour in Holbrook Bay and west of this on the lower intertidal between the 0&#xa0;mCD and &#x2b;1&#xa0;mCD contours. Erosion principally occurs in the lower Stour in Erwarton Bay, east of Harkstead Point on the north bank, and in the east of Copperas Bay on the south bank. The main feature in the Orwell Estuary is the loss in the volume of intertidal areas above &#x2b;1&#xa0;mCD (which principally occurs between 2005 and 2010 as indicated by the less reliable 2010 HHA surveys, not shown). Again considerable accretion occurs between the 0&#xa0;mCD and &#x2b;1&#xa0;mCD contours, causing an increase in intertidal area, but in volumetric terms this was outweighed by intertidal erosion higher in the intertidal profile.</p>
<p>A discussion of the potential for error in the survey measurements is included in the additional information. In summary, this discussion concludes that only the systematic errors in the survey measurements are important and, in the case of the surveys described in this study, any systematic errors are small compared to the changes in intertidal elevation observed over the period of 10&#xa0;years between the surveys.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s3-4">
<title>3.4 Modelling</title>
<sec id="s3-4-1">
<title>3.4.1 Overview</title>
<p>A morphological model was developed, based on a combination of a flow model, a wave model and a sediment transport model. All three models were coupled together. The term morphological model will be used to describe the use of the combined, coupled models.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s3-4-2">
<title>3.4.2 Flow model set up</title>
<p>The TELEMAC-3D code (<ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="http://www.opentelemac.org/">www.opentelemac.org</ext-link>) is a finite-element model which solves the 3D free surface flow equations (with or without the hydrostatic pressure assumption) and the transport-diffusion equations of intrinsic quantities (such as temperature, salinity, tracer concentration). The TELEMAC-3D code uses an unstructured mesh made of triangular prisms and the vertical includes both sigma and flat layering as well as generalised layering. Its meshing design provides utmost flexibility for coastal modelling purposes, allowing horizontal and vertical resolution to be increased where required in an optimal fashion. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F6">Figure 6</xref> shows the model domain and mesh used in the present study. The resolution of the mesh is coarsest in the middle of the domain, away from coastal boundaries, with an element size of about 5&#xa0;km. Resolution within the outer channel was approximately 90&#xa0;m reducing to 40&#xa0;m or finer inside the Harbour (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="F7">Figure 7</xref>). Resolution within the Stour and Orwell estuaries was set to approximately 80&#xa0;m or finer.</p>
<fig id="F6" position="float">
<label>FIGURE 6</label>
<caption>
<p>Model domain and mesh, showing locations of Admiralty tide gauge stations used.</p>
</caption>
<graphic xlink:href="feart-11-1084054-g006.tif"/>
</fig>
<fig id="F7" position="float">
<label>FIGURE 7</label>
<caption>
<p>Model geometry and mesh within Harwich Harbour.</p>
</caption>
<graphic xlink:href="feart-11-1084054-g007.tif"/>
</fig>
<p>The flow model was driven on the boundaries of the model using predicted tides for a spring-neap cycle provided by the Admiralty&#x2019;s TotalTide<sup>&#xa9;</sup> software. A total of 8 tidal station locations were used, labelled in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F6">Figure 6</xref>, and the levels between each tidal station were linearly interpolated along the length of each of the tidal boundaries. The freshwater flow input to the Stour and Orwell Estuaries is generally very low and so no freshwater runoff was included in the model.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s3-4-3">
<title>3.4.3 Wave model set up</title>
<p>The wave model SWAN was used to consider the processes of wave generation by local wind conditions and wave transformation. SWAN is a third generation spectral wave model, which simulates the transformation of random directional waves including wave shoaling; wave refraction; depth-induced breaking, bottom friction and whitecapping; Wave growth due to wind; wave reflections from structures or rocky shorelines; and far-field wave diffraction. The SWAN model has been extensively validated (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B26">Holthuijsen et al., 1997</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B4">Booij et al., 1999</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B59">Ris et al., 1999</xref>) and is widely used for coastal wave modelling.</p>
<p>The SWAN model was configured so that the model mesh was identical to the TELEMAC-3D mesh (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="F6">Figure 6</xref>). The SWAN wave model was driven by application of wave conditions to the boundaries of the model and by a spatially varying wind over the model domain. Wind data were obtained from Met &#xc9;ireann&#x2019;s M&#xc9;RA reanalysis (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B22">Gleeson et al., 2017</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B84">Whelan et al., 2018</xref>) for a point offshore from Felixstowe at 51.9&#xb0;N 1.328&#xb0;E (for location see <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F6">Figure 6</xref>). These wind conditions were analysed to derive representative wind conditions (see below) for eight direction sectors. The spatial variability of the wind was modelled using the WAsP model (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B49">Mortensen et al.<italic>,</italic> 2001</xref>).</p>
<p>Offshore wave conditions were derived from the ERA5 global wave hindcast produced by the European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasting (ECMWF). Wave conditions were associated with the wind conditions from M&#xc9;RA by correlation by direction sector.</p>
<p>The variation in wave direction, wave height and period was characterised into 8 &#x201c;representative&#x201d; wave conditions which represent the &#x201c;average&#x201d; wave from each of 8 different directions (as shown in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F8">Figure 8</xref>). &#x201c;Average&#x201d; here means the wave whose contribution to fine sediment transport is average across the whole range of wave conditions experienced from this direction. These representative waves are sometimes referred to as &#x201c;morphological&#x201d; waves and the methodology used to derive the representative wave is described in <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B11">Chesher and Miles. (1992)</xref>. An explanation of how these waves are derived is included in the additional information. The representative or &#x201c;morphological&#x201d; waves are presented in <xref ref-type="table" rid="T2">Table 2</xref>.</p>
<fig id="F8" position="float">
<label>FIGURE 8</label>
<caption>
<p>Wind rose for 2005&#x2013;2015.</p>
</caption>
<graphic xlink:href="feart-11-1084054-g008.tif"/>
</fig>
<table-wrap id="T2" position="float">
<label>TABLE 2</label>
<caption>
<p>Morphological wind and wave conditions.</p>
</caption>
<table>
<thead valign="top">
<tr>
<th align="center">Direction (&#xba;N)</th>
<th align="center">Wind speed (m/s)</th>
<th align="center">Offshore wave height, Hs (m)</th>
<th align="center">Offshore wave period, tp (s)</th>
<th align="center">Wave direction (&#xba;N)</th>
<th align="center">Percent of time (%)</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody valign="top">
<tr>
<td align="center">0</td>
<td align="center">7.9</td>
<td align="center">1.50</td>
<td align="center">6.1</td>
<td align="center">8.8</td>
<td align="center">8.4</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center">45</td>
<td align="center">9.1</td>
<td align="center">1.26</td>
<td align="center">5.4</td>
<td align="center">32.5</td>
<td align="center">10.4</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center">90</td>
<td align="center">7.8</td>
<td align="center">1.04</td>
<td align="center">5.2</td>
<td align="center">62.7</td>
<td align="center">8.4</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center">135</td>
<td align="center">8.0</td>
<td align="center">0.90</td>
<td align="center">4.9</td>
<td align="center">112.1</td>
<td align="center">7.2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center">180</td>
<td align="center">10.2</td>
<td align="center">1.30</td>
<td align="center">4.9</td>
<td align="center">194.0</td>
<td align="center">15.2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center">225</td>
<td align="center">10.5</td>
<td align="center">1.77</td>
<td align="center">5.7</td>
<td align="center">229.0</td>
<td align="center">22.1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center">270</td>
<td align="center">9.0</td>
<td align="center">1.70</td>
<td align="center">5.7</td>
<td align="center">270.0</td>
<td align="center">16.4</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center">315</td>
<td align="center">8.4</td>
<td align="center">1.80</td>
<td align="center">6.5</td>
<td align="center">337.0</td>
<td align="center">11.9</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</table-wrap>
<p>For each wave simulation in the morphological model, the water levels within the SWAN wave model were varied according to the water level predicted by the flow model. This allowed the effects of the reduced fetch and reduced water depth resulting from Low Water, and the resulting reduction in wave action, to be represented within the morphological model.</p>
<p>The additional bed shear stress due to wave stirring was computed using the method of <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B67">Soulsby and Smallman. (1986)</xref> and combined with the bed shear stress from tidal currents using the approach of <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B65">Soulsby and Clarke. (2005)</xref>.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s3-4-4">
<title>3.4.4 Sediment transport model set up</title>
<p>The sediment transport model used in this study was the TELEMAC-3D model&#x2014;i.e., the same model as the flow model. This enables the sediment and flow to be fully coupled and able to influence each other at the time-step level. Settling of the suspended mud was parameterised using the formula for settling of suspended cohesive sediment developed by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B66">Soulsby et al. (2013)</xref>. This formula estimates the median settling velocity of macroflocs and microflocs and the respective weighting of these two components of the spectrum of floc sizes and has been validated against several detailed data sets in different NW European estuaries. The formula is based on the shear stress and suspended sediment concentration and thus gives a spatially and time-varying representation of flocculation of suspended mud particles. Hindered settling was represented by the formula given in <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B85">Whitehouse et al. (2000)</xref> which is based on the equation developed by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B57">Richardson and Zaki. (1954)</xref> for fine sediment particles. At high concentrations the density of the suspended mud in suspension starts to become sufficient to cause some stratification of the density of water through the water column. At this point the suspended mud starts to contribute to the (negative) buoyancy effect and introduces damping of the vertical mixing, leading to potential increases in the near-bed concentrations. This mechanism is included in the model using the formulation of <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B50">Munk and Anderson. (1948)</xref>.</p>
<p>A two-layer bed model was used for modelling the bed exchange processes in the model. In the bed model, the uppermost sediment layer represents mobile material that is readily eroded each tide by the combined action of currents and waves. Net erosion or deposition occurs in the model depending on the balance between the erosion flux from the bed and the deposition flux. Deposition of sediment from the water column is assumed to occur continuously into the top sediment layer at a rate equal to the product of the settling velocity and the near bed suspended concentration. For the top bed layer, a critical shear stress for erosion of 0.2&#xa0;N/m<sup>2</sup> was set everywhere. When this threshold is exceeded by the combined effect of waves and currents flows, erosion is initiated and material erodes from the top bed layer at a rate predefined by the erosion rate constant (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B54">Partheniades, 1965</xref>) and in this case the constant was calibrated to be 0.001&#xa0;kg/m<sup>2</sup>/s. This value is within the range used by other researchers generally found in the literature (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B85">Whitehouse et al., 2000</xref>). The underlying bed layer represented the <italic>in situ</italic> sediment that has experienced previous consolidation. The critical shear stress for erosion for this layer was parameterised with spatially varied values (for more details see the additional information). The dry density for the lower layer was set to a higher value of 750&#xa0;kg/m<sup>3</sup> (bulk density of approx. 1470&#xa0;kg/m<sup>3</sup>) representing consolidated cohesive material.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s3-4-5">
<title>3.4.5 Application of the morphological model to the Stour/Orwell</title>
<p>For this study the sediment transport model was run to reproduce the morphological change in the estuary system over the period 2005&#x2013;2015, including the effect of the sediment recycling over this period. Over this period (which included larger placements occurring before 2008) placement as assumed to be (on average) about 66,000 TDS/year with about 44,000 placed into the Stour and about 22,000 TDS/year being placed into the Orwell. The simulation represented the moving discharge of sediment into the water column on the flood tide in the lower Stour and lower Orwell as described in Section 1.4.</p>
<p>Simulations of sediment transport over a month-long period were undertaken for each of the wave conditions in <xref ref-type="table" rid="T2">Table 2</xref>, and the wave conditions were chosen to be representative of the period 2005&#x2013;2015. The modelling was then repeated without sediment recycling (making 16 simulations in total). The predicted changes in morphology over the course of these 16 simulations were then combined and weighted to provide the (mean) annual deposition both with sediment recycling (i.e., for 3 campaigns per year) and without any sediment recycling.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s3-4-6">
<title>3.4.6 Objective assessment of model performance</title>
<p>Skill scores, such as the Briers Skill Score (BSS), provide an objective method for assessing the performance of morphological models (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B82">Van Rijn et al., 2003</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B74">Sutherland et al., 2004</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">Bosboom et al., 2014</xref>). Skill scores are considered to represent a more critical test of a model because they represent measurement of performance in relation to a baseline prediction&#x2014;which normally in morphodynamic modelling is an assumption of &#x201c;no change&#x201d; (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B74">Sutherland et al., 2004</xref>). Here we use a BSS based on the mean square error,<disp-formula id="equ1">
<mml:math id="m1">
<mml:mrow>
<mml:mi>B</mml:mi>
<mml:mi>S</mml:mi>
<mml:mi>S</mml:mi>
<mml:mo>&#x3d;</mml:mo>
<mml:mn>1</mml:mn>
<mml:mo>&#x2212;</mml:mo>
<mml:mfrac>
<mml:mrow>
<mml:mfenced open="&#x2329;" close="&#x232a;" separators="|">
<mml:mrow>
<mml:msup>
<mml:mrow>
<mml:mfenced open="(" close=")" separators="|">
<mml:mrow>
<mml:mi>Y</mml:mi>
<mml:mo>&#x2212;</mml:mo>
<mml:mi>X</mml:mi>
</mml:mrow>
</mml:mfenced>
</mml:mrow>
<mml:mn>2</mml:mn>
</mml:msup>
</mml:mrow>
</mml:mfenced>
</mml:mrow>
<mml:mrow>
<mml:mfenced open="&#x2329;" close="&#x232a;" separators="|">
<mml:mrow>
<mml:msup>
<mml:mrow>
<mml:mfenced open="(" close=")" separators="|">
<mml:mrow>
<mml:mi>B</mml:mi>
<mml:mo>&#x2212;</mml:mo>
<mml:mi>X</mml:mi>
</mml:mrow>
</mml:mfenced>
</mml:mrow>
<mml:mn>2</mml:mn>
</mml:msup>
</mml:mrow>
</mml:mfenced>
</mml:mrow>
</mml:mfrac>
</mml:mrow>
</mml:math>
</disp-formula>
</p>
<p>Where <inline-formula id="inf1">
<mml:math id="m2">
<mml:mrow>
<mml:mrow>
<mml:mfenced open="&#x2329;" close="&#x232a;" separators="|">
<mml:mrow>
<mml:msup>
<mml:mrow>
<mml:mfenced open="(" close=")" separators="|">
<mml:mrow>
<mml:mi>Y</mml:mi>
<mml:mo>&#x2212;</mml:mo>
<mml:mi>X</mml:mi>
</mml:mrow>
</mml:mfenced>
</mml:mrow>
<mml:mn>2</mml:mn>
</mml:msup>
</mml:mrow>
</mml:mfenced>
</mml:mrow>
<mml:mo>&#x3d;</mml:mo>
<mml:mfrac>
<mml:mrow>
<mml:mn>1</mml:mn>
</mml:mrow>
<mml:mrow>
<mml:mi>N</mml:mi>
</mml:mrow>
</mml:mfrac>
<mml:mrow>
<mml:mstyle displaystyle="true">
<mml:munderover>
<mml:mo>&#x2211;</mml:mo>
<mml:mrow>
<mml:mi>i</mml:mi>
<mml:mo>&#x3d;</mml:mo>
<mml:mn>1</mml:mn>
</mml:mrow>
<mml:mi>N</mml:mi>
</mml:munderover>
</mml:mstyle>
<mml:msup>
<mml:mrow>
<mml:mfenced open="(" close=")" separators="|">
<mml:mrow>
<mml:msub>
<mml:mi>y</mml:mi>
<mml:mi>i</mml:mi>
</mml:msub>
<mml:mo>&#x2212;</mml:mo>
<mml:msub>
<mml:mi>x</mml:mi>
<mml:mi>i</mml:mi>
</mml:msub>
</mml:mrow>
</mml:mfenced>
</mml:mrow>
<mml:mn>2</mml:mn>
</mml:msup>
</mml:mrow>
</mml:mrow>
</mml:math>
</inline-formula> ; Y is set of is a set of model predictions, y<sub>1</sub>, y<sub>2,</sub> &#x2026;, y<sub>N</sub>, and X is a set of observations, x<sub>1</sub>, x<sub>2,</sub> &#x2026;, x<sub>N</sub>; B is a set of baseline predictions, b<sub>1</sub>, b<sub>2</sub>,. . ., b<sub>N</sub>, with the <italic>n</italic>th baseline prediction occurring at the same place and time as the <italic>n</italic>th value of the predictions and observations, Y and X. B represents the hypothesis of no change so b<sub>1</sub>&#x3d; b<sub>2</sub> &#x3d;,. . .,&#x3d; b<sub>N</sub> &#x3d; 0.</p>
<p>A BSS value of 1 indicates a perfect model. A BSS value of 0 indicates that the model is no better than the null hypothesis of &#x201c;no change&#x201d;. A negative BSS score means that the model performs worse than assuming no change. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B74">Sutherland et al., 2004</xref> defined a classification table enabling broad rating of the performance of a model based upon the BSS score (<xref ref-type="table" rid="T3">Table 3</xref>). A BSS of &#x3e;0.5 is considered as excellent.</p>
<table-wrap id="T3" position="float">
<label>TABLE 3</label>
<caption>
<p>Classification of model performance according to <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B74">Sutherland et al. (2004)</xref> for the BSS based on Mean square error (Equation 1)</p>
</caption>
<table>
<thead valign="top">
<tr>
<th align="left"/>
<th align="left">BSS score</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody valign="top">
<tr>
<td align="left">Excellent</td>
<td align="left">1.0&#x2013;0.5</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">Good</td>
<td align="left">0.5&#x2013;0.2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">Reasonable/Fair</td>
<td align="left">0.2&#x2013;0.1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">Poor</td>
<td align="left">0.1&#x2013;0.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">Bad</td>
<td align="left">&#x3c;0.0</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</table-wrap>
</sec>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec sec-type="results" id="s4">
<title>4 Results</title>
<p>The results presented here relate to (a) the morphodynamic model&#x2019;s ability to reproduce the observed intertidal morphological change over the period 2005&#x2013;2015; and (b) the difference in morphological evolution resulting from the sediment recycling. Model results relating to validation of the hydrodynamics and background sediment transport are provided in the additional material.</p>
<sec id="s4-1">
<title>4.1 Model prediction of observed intertidal morphological change over the period 2005&#x2013;2015</title>
<p>The model prediction of bathymetric change is shown in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F9">Figure 9</xref>. The figure of predicted change matches that of the observed change well in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F3">Figure 3</xref>. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F10">Figure 10</xref> shows a more detailed comparison of intertidal change in different regions of the estuary system (as shown in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F11">Figure 11</xref>). The figures show that the model does a good job of reproducing the distribution of intertidal volume changes that occurred over the course of the 2005&#x2013;2015 period. There are some discrepancies: notably the underestimation by the model of deposition in zone 1 (on the north side of the upper Stour) and in zones 8&#x26;9 in the upper Orwell and zones 14 and 15 in the lower Orwell. However, an objective evaluation of the model performance as a whole using the Briers Skill Score gives a value of 0.89, which can be considered as an excellent model performance (see Section 3.3.5).</p>
<fig id="F9" position="float">
<label>FIGURE 9</label>
<caption>
<p>Predicted change in the rate of bed level in the Stour and Orwell 2005&#x2013;2015.</p>
</caption>
<graphic xlink:href="feart-11-1084054-g009.tif"/>
</fig>
<fig id="F10" position="float">
<label>FIGURE 10</label>
<caption>
<p>Comparison of the observed and predicted mean annual deposition (&#x2b;ve) or erosion (-ve) in the <bold>(A)</bold> Stour and <bold>(B)</bold> Orwell, in each of the zones highlighted in Panel 10.</p>
</caption>
<graphic xlink:href="feart-11-1084054-g010.tif"/>
</fig>
<fig id="F11" position="float">
<label>FIGURE 11</label>
<caption>
<p>Zones used in comparisons between surveys and modelling of the intertidal erosion/deposition rate throughout the estuary system.</p>
</caption>
<graphic xlink:href="feart-11-1084054-g011.tif"/>
</fig>
</sec>
<sec id="s4-2">
<title>4.2 Morphological evolution resulting from the sediment recycling</title>
<p>The validated model results discussed in <xref ref-type="sec" rid="s4-1">Section 4.1</xref> allowed the morphodynamic model to be used as a tool to assess the difference in morphodynamic evolution that occurred as a result of the sediment recycling alone over the period 2005&#x2013;2015. The assessment of morphological change described in <xref ref-type="sec" rid="s4-1">Section 4.1</xref>, which included the effect of sediment recycling, was repeated but now without the effects of sediment recycling. By comparing the predicted morphological change with and without sediment recycling, it was thus possible to estimate the effects of the sediment recycling itself. For simplicity from now on, we refer to the results in terms of the average annual change (over 2005&#x2013;2015).</p>
<p>The additional annual deposition (or reduced erosion) resulting from the sediment recycling is summarised in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F12">Figure 12</xref> which shows the spatial distribution of the annual net deposition arising from sediment recycling. The model results indicate the following.<list list-type="simple">
<list-item>
<p>&#x2022; The main area fed by the sediment recycling is the lower part of the intertidal profile, and the shallow subtidal areas of Holbrook Bay.</p>
</list-item>
<list-item>
<p>&#x2022; Much more intertidal deposition results in the Stour Estuary than the Orwell Estuary. 21% of the recycled sediment settles on the intertidal and shallow subtidal (defined as above &#x2212;1 mCD) in the estuaries with percentages of 17.5% (Stour) and 3.5% (Orwell)</p>
</list-item>
<list-item>
<p>&#x2022; In the estuary system as a whole, subtidal deposits (defined here as below &#x2212;1 mCD), representing 8% of the placed material, are distributed roughly equally between the Stour and the Orwell.</p>
</list-item>
<list-item>
<p>&#x2022; A substantial proportion of the recycled sediment (47%) deposits in the maintained areas of Parkeston Quay and the maintained areas of the approaches and berths to the Port of Felixstowe. However, this only represents a 2% increase in the overall maintenance dredging requirement of these areas.</p>
</list-item>
</list>
</p>
<fig id="F12" position="float">
<label>FIGURE 12</label>
<caption>
<p>Predicted changes to the annual evolution of the estuary system due to the effect of sediment recycling (the iso-contour shown is the 0 mCD contour).</p>
</caption>
<graphic xlink:href="feart-11-1084054-g012.tif"/>
</fig>
<p>In terms of in the shallow subtidal and intertidal volume change <xref ref-type="table" rid="T4">Table 4</xref> shows that the placement greatly increases the overall annual rate of accretion in the Stour (i.e., higher positive values) and significantly reduces the overall erosion within the Orwell (i.e., negative values of smaller magnitude) and changes the overall balance in the estuary system from erosion to overall accretion.</p>
<table-wrap id="T4" position="float">
<label>TABLE 4</label>
<caption>
<p>Predicted annual changes in volume (m<sup>3</sup>/year) above the &#x2212;1&#xa0;mCD contour in the Stour and Orwell Estuary.</p>
</caption>
<table>
<thead valign="top">
<tr>
<th align="center"/>
<th align="center">Stour</th>
<th align="center">Orwell</th>
<th align="center">Total</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody valign="top">
<tr>
<td align="center">Without placement</td>
<td align="center">6,500</td>
<td align="center">&#x2212;9,200</td>
<td align="center">&#x2212;2,700</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center">With placement</td>
<td align="center">28,600</td>
<td align="center">&#x2212;4,700</td>
<td align="center">23,900</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</table-wrap>
<p>In terms of change in intertidal area <xref ref-type="table" rid="T5">Tables 5</xref> and <xref ref-type="table" rid="T6">Tables 6</xref> summarise the effects of the placement above CD and also above Mean Low Water (MLW). MLW is the level above which the intertidal area is designated as a Special Protected Area. The figures show that the placement causes an increase of 1.7&#xa0;ha/year above CD but results in a smaller increase of 0.8&#xa0;ha/year above MLW. The sediment recycling contributes a significant proportion of the year by year increase in intertidal area in the estuary system as a whole.</p>
<table-wrap id="T5" position="float">
<label>TABLE 5</label>
<caption>
<p>Predicted annual changes in intertidal area above Chart Datum in the Stour and Orwell Estuary (ha/year).</p>
</caption>
<table>
<thead valign="top">
<tr>
<th align="center"/>
<th align="center">Stour</th>
<th align="center">Orwell</th>
<th align="center">Total</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody valign="top">
<tr>
<td align="center">Without placement</td>
<td align="center">4.3</td>
<td align="center">0.6</td>
<td align="center">4.9</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center">With placement</td>
<td align="center">5.9</td>
<td align="center">0.7</td>
<td align="center">6.6</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</table-wrap>
<table-wrap id="T6" position="float">
<label>TABLE 6</label>
<caption>
<p>Predicted annual changes in intertidal area above MLW (ha/year) in the Stour and Orwell Estuary.</p>
</caption>
<table>
<thead valign="top">
<tr>
<th align="center"/>
<th align="center">Stour</th>
<th align="center">Orwell</th>
<th align="center">Total</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody valign="top">
<tr>
<td align="center">Without placement</td>
<td align="center">0.0</td>
<td align="center">0.8</td>
<td align="center">0.8</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="center">With placement</td>
<td align="center">0.5</td>
<td align="center">1.1</td>
<td align="center">1.6</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</table-wrap>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec sec-type="discussion" id="s5">
<title>5 Discussion</title>
<sec id="s5-1">
<title>5.1 Methodology</title>
<p>This study has quantified the effect of non-direct placement in the Stour/Orwell Estuary system and for the first time the monitoring and modelling undertaken in this study has produced robust evidence that long term non-direct placement can be used to significantly increase intertidal accretion and to improve intertidal habitats. The implemented modelling methodology reliably evaluates the effects of non-direct beneficial use of cohesive sediment, separating the effects of natural changes in morphology from the effects of the beneficial use. This allows a robust evaluation of the effectiveness of such methods, instilling confidence in regulators and stakeholders regarding their use, and crucially enables these methods to be tested and optimised using modelling before implementation.</p>
<p>The modelling methodology used depends on an extensively validated morphological model&#x2014;validated in terms of hydrodynamics, sediment transport and ability to reproduce long term changes in morphology&#x2014;and accurate surveys of the intertidal areas. Ideally these surveys should be sufficiently far apart in time that the observed changes in morphology between surveys are significantly larger than the short term variation caused by tides and storms and significantly larger than the potential systematic errors in the survey measurements.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s5-2">
<title>5.2 The distribution of depositing sediment</title>
<p>Around 21% of the placed material is predicted to deposit on intertidal areas or in adjacent shallow subtidal areas in the Stour and Orwell. This result offers clear evidence that sediment recycling approaches of fine sediment can offer substantial benefit. The placement in the Stour was more efficient than in the Orwell with 27% of the Stour placement depositing on intertidal or adjacent shallow subtidal areas, compared to 11% in the Orwell. It is considered that the main reasons for this difference lie in the differences in geometry and hydrodynamics between the two estuaries (plots of the current velocities at times of peak flood and peak ebb are included in the additional information). Deposition of the placed material within the Stour does not occur within the intertidal areas adjacent to placement but rather within those shallow upstream areas of the Stour (in and to the west of Holbrook Bay) where sedimentation occurs naturally&#x2014;i.e., where the effect of friction on the tidal wave (e.g., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B18">Friedrichs et al., 1998</xref>) results in flood-dominant currents and hence sediment trapping. These upstream parts of the Stour are also where the fetch of the most dominant waves in the Stour (i.e., from westerly winds) is shortest. In the Orwell the upper channel is maintained by the Port of Ipswich (to &#x2212;5.6 mCD) and this estuary therefore has less of the extensive intertidal/shallow subtidal areas which are present in the upper Stour. In the Orwell, the placement was predicted to settle along the lower parts of the intertidal/shallow subtidal alongside the channel.</p>
<p>As was found for the Mud Motor experiment in <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B2">Baptist et al. (2019)</xref>, we found that the sediment recycling was found to be most efficient in areas where the currents and waves were low enough to allow accumulation of fine sediment. In the Stour the sediment recycling primarily deposited in locations where sediment naturally accretes. This was true in the Orwell as well although some areas close to the placement location were predicted to receive a small net benefit (millimetres/year) in the form of reduced erosion. Unlike the <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B2">Baptist et al. (2019)</xref> findings, the highest rates of intertidal accretion (from placement) were predominantly found to be on the lower parts of the intertidal profile (rather than, as they found, on the upper part of the profile).</p>
<p>In spite of the clear effect of the sediment recycling in the vicinity of Holbrook Bay in the Stour, the resulting deposition was not found to significantly change the nature of intertidal muddy sediment, or the nature of the benthic species present in the sediment (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B80">Unicomarine, 2016</xref>). Over the monitoring period 1997&#x2013;2015 the sediment was found to be consistent and mainly composed of Ragworms &#x26; bivalves (<italic>Hediste diversicolor</italic> and <italic>Macoma balthica</italic>). This consistency is likely to be because the deposition resulting from sediment recycling predominantly occurred in locations which were already sinks for background muddy sediment.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s5-3">
<title>5.3 The limitations of sediment recycling in Harwich Harbour for estuary management</title>
<p>It is noted that the natural trend (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="F3">Figure 3</xref>) in the Stour Estuary is to erode in the intertidal areas of the lower estuary (Erwarton and Copperas Bays) and that of the Orwell is to erode on the west shore of lower Orwell and on the upper part of the intertidal profiles in the upper Orwell. Since the surveyed changes and the morphological model prediction both indicate continuing net erosion in Erwarton and Copperas Bays, and the model prediction shows that there is negligible deposition of the recycled sediment in those areas, it can reasonably be deduced that the erosion in these areas is unaffected by the sediment recycling and that these areas will continue to erode. This is primarily because of longer fetch (and hence larger waves) that exists for the lower Stour Estuary with regard to westerly wave conditions, although there is some evidence that the development of the harbour over the last 50&#xa0;years (i.e., the deepening of the harbour and the increased reflection of waves from quay walls) has led to additional wave energy passing from offshore, through the harbour mouth and into Erwarton Bay (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B30">HR Wallingford, 2001c</xref>). Despite the erosion observed in Copperas and Erwarton Bays, sediment recycling significantly influences the overall net balance of intertidal/shallow subtidal erosion/deposition within the estuary because of the enhanced siltation further upstream in the Stour Estuary.</p>
<p>Preventing or significantly reducing erosion in these eroding areas will likely require greater levels of intervention and, given the experience of recycling larger volumes of sediment which was found to create issues for fishery stakeholders (see Section 2.1.2), any feasible intervention for these areas would likely be required to take the form of direct beneficial use approaches, rather than significantly greater levels of sediment recycling. Direct beneficial use, for instance, was carried out in the lower Orwell in 1997, with top ups in 2000 and 2003, to protect the seawall (which had shown signs of failing) and also to try and restore the eroded mud and saltmarsh habitats fronting the sea wall (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B17">French and Burningham, 2009</xref>). The beneficial use took place along a 2&#xa0;km stretch of intertidal upstream of Shotley and on the opposite shore at Trimley (for locations see <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F12">Figure 12</xref>), in the form of gravel and clay bunds which were then filled with soft, muddy maintenance material (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B33">HR Wallingford, 2008</xref>). On the west shore (at Shotley) the bunds exhibited significant rollover as a result of wave action which led to a reduction in area covered by the placement, but also, as the bunds were pushed up the intertidal profile, the mud placement was pushed upwards and achieved elevations supporting saltmarsh (including <italic>Salicornia europea</italic>, <italic>Suaeda maritima, Atriplex</italic>.</p>
<p>
<italic>Portulacoides</italic> and <italic>Aster tripolium</italic>). The mudflat, subsequently left unprotected as the bunds moved landwards, was found to return to its pre-placement levels (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B17">French and Burningham, 2009</xref>). The eastern shore (Trimley) placement was not affected by rollover and remained as mudflat, albeit elevated with respect to pre-placement (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B52">OMReg, 2023</xref>).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s5-4">
<title>5.4 Future steps</title>
<p>Although this paper has established that the sediment recycling is effective, it still may not be the most optimal method for managing dredging within the estuary, either environmentally or on grounds of dredging efficiency. This is because of the current requirement for offshore disposal of the vast majority of the maintenance dredged material. The offshore disposal results in long dredging cycles (around 4&#xa0;h, based on data provided by HHA) and, given that loading times are short (in the region of 35&#xa0;min, HHA data) the overall production rate of the TSHDs, is relatively low. Furthermore, the long travel distance leads to high fuel costs and hence high CO<sub>2</sub> emissions. To address these economic and climate-related costs HHA is developing an agitation dredging approach, which they have termed <italic>Dredging with Nature</italic>
<sup>&#xae;</sup> (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B14">Dredging Today, 2022</xref>). The idea is for a small agitation dredger dredging over extensive periods, to release sediment into the water column at a relatively low productivity, but releasing much greater proportion of the dredged sediment into the water column to feed the intertidal areas. Releasing sediment into the water column at a low rate over extensive periods has the aim that a much larger proportion of the dredged sediment (than the 4% used at present) can feed the intertidal areas of the estuary system whilst resulting in modest suspended sediment increases that would not cause adverse impact on ecology. Since no sediment has to be placed offshore, a lower dredging productivity is still adequate for maintaining the harbour. In addition, the much lower fuel costs associated with the agitation dredging solution result in a much smaller CO<sub>2</sub> footprint for the maintenance dredging.</p>
<p>Investigation of the effectiveness of the use of agitation dredging as a means of sediment recycling is ongoing using the methodology described in this paper.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec sec-type="conclusion" id="s6">
<title>6 Conclusion</title>
<p>This study has quantified the effect of non-direct placement in the Stour/Orwell Estuary system using long-term bathymetric and LiDAR surveying, together with detailed and well-validated sediment modelling, and produced robust evidence that long term non-direct placement can be used to significantly increase intertidal accretion and to improve intertidal habitats. The quantification method has great potential to allow non-direct methods of placement to be refined and optimised.</p>
<p>Sediment recycling has been undertaken in the Stour/Orwell Estuary system since 1998. The methodology implemented in this study has enabled the effectiveness of this sediment recycling to be identified with 21% of the release material permanently depositing on the intertidal and shallow subtidal areas.</p>
<p>This result offers clear evidence that sediment recycling approaches of fine sediment can offer substantial benefit. However, whilst this method is effective in stable or more quiescent areas, this sediment recycling does not represent a solution in areas of the estuary system which are eroding more rapidly. For such areas, any effective beneficial placement would need to be in the form of direct placement.</p>
</sec>
</body>
<back>
<sec sec-type="data-availability" id="s7">
<title>Data availability statement</title>
<p>The original contributions presented in the study are included in the article/<xref ref-type="sec" rid="s12">Supplementary Material</xref>, further inquiries can be directed to the corresponding author.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s8">
<title>Author contributions</title>
<p>JS designed and led the study. TB developed, validated and ran the numerical model. JS wrote the first draft of the manuscript. JS and TB both contributed to manuscript revision, and read, and approved the submitted version.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s9">
<title>Funding</title>
<p>Harwich Haven Authority (HHA) provided the funds for the research submitted, HHA is the conservator for the Stour/Orwell Estuary System. The funds for the open access publication fee came from HR Wallingford.</p>
</sec>
<sec sec-type="COI-statement" id="s10">
<title>Conflict of interest</title>
<p>The authors were employed by HR Wallingford Ltd., which has Independent Research Group status in the UK.</p>
<p>The authors declare that this study received funding from Harwich Haven Authority. The funder was involved in the study design and collection of the multibeam and density profile data and gave permission for this data to be published. The funder was not involved in the analysis, interpretation of data, the writing of this article or the decision to submit it for publication.</p>
</sec>
<sec sec-type="disclaimer" id="s11">
<title>Publisher&#x2019;s note</title>
<p>All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article, or claim that may be made by its manufacturer, is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s12">
<title>Supplementary material</title>
<p>The Supplementary Material for this article can be found online at: <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/feart.2023.1084054/full#supplementary-material">https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/feart.2023.1084054/full#supplementary-material</ext-link>
</p>
<supplementary-material xlink:href="DataSheet1.docx" id="SM1" mimetype="application/docx" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"/>
</sec>
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