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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">Front. Conserv. Sci.</journal-id>
<journal-title>Frontiers in Conservation Science</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="pubmed">Front. Conserv. Sci.</abbrev-journal-title>
<issn pub-type="epub">2673-611X</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name>Frontiers Media S.A.</publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.3389/fcosc.2024.1503408</article-id>
<article-categories>
<subj-group subj-group-type="heading">
<subject>Conservation Science</subject>
<subj-group>
<subject>Original Research</subject>
</subj-group>
</subj-group>
</article-categories>
<title-group>
<article-title>Ecological consequences of urbanization in Afrotropical bird communities: present and future prospects</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author" equal-contrib="yes" corresp="yes">
<name>
<surname>Danmallam</surname>
<given-names>Bello A.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="author-notes" rid="fn001">
<sup>*</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="author-notes" rid="fn003">
<sup>&#x2020;</sup>
</xref>
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<contrib contrib-type="author" equal-contrib="yes" corresp="yes">
<name>
<surname>Ngila</surname>
<given-names>Peggy M.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="author-notes" rid="fn001">
<sup>*</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="author-notes" rid="fn003">
<sup>&#x2020;</sup>
</xref>
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<contrib contrib-type="author" equal-contrib="yes" corresp="yes">
<name>
<surname>Iniunam</surname>
<given-names>Iniunam A.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="author-notes" rid="fn001">
<sup>*</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="author-notes" rid="fn003">
<sup>&#x2020;</sup>
</xref>
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<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Kuria</surname>
<given-names>Anthony</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
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<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Tende</surname>
<given-names>Talatu</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
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<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Ngugi</surname>
<given-names>Samuel</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
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<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Njoroge</surname>
<given-names>Peter</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
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<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Jackson</surname>
<given-names>Colin</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5">
<sup>5</sup>
</xref>
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<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Okoth</surname>
<given-names>Basil</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
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<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Ottosson</surname>
<given-names>Ulf</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
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<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Chaskda</surname>
<given-names>Adams A.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
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<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Trevelyan</surname>
<given-names>Rosie</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff6">
<sup>6</sup>
</xref>
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<aff id="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
<institution>A. P. Leventis Ornithological Research Institute, Department of Zoology, University of Jos</institution>, <addr-line>Jos</addr-line>, <country>Nigeria</country>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
<institution>Tropical Biology Association</institution>, <addr-line>Nairobi</addr-line>, <country>Kenya</country>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
<institution>Centre for Biodiversity Information Development, Strathmore University</institution>, <addr-line>Nairobi</addr-line>, <country>Kenya</country>
</aff>
<aff id="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
<institution>Ornithology Section, National Museums of Kenya</institution>, <addr-line>Nairobi</addr-line>, <country>Kenya</country>
</aff>
<aff id="aff5">
<sup>5</sup>
<institution>A Rocha Kenya</institution>, <addr-line>Watamu</addr-line>, <country>Kenya</country>
</aff>
<aff id="aff6">
<sup>6</sup>
<institution>Tropical Biology Association</institution>, <addr-line>Cambridge</addr-line>, <country>United Kingdom</country>
</aff>
<author-notes>
<fn fn-type="edited-by">
<p>Edited by: Monte Neate-Clegg, University of California, Los Angeles, United States</p>
</fn>
<fn fn-type="edited-by">
<p>Reviewed by: Timothy C. Haas, University of Wisconsin&#x2013;Milwaukee, United States</p>
<p>Frederico Fran&#xe7;a, Federal University of Para&#xed;ba, Brazil</p>
</fn>
<fn fn-type="corresp" id="fn001">
<p>*Correspondence: Bello A. Danmallam, <email xlink:href="mailto:adamubello001@gmail.com">adamubello001@gmail.com</email>; Peggy M. Ngila, <email xlink:href="mailto:ngilapeggy@gmail.com">ngilapeggy@gmail.com</email>; Iniunam A. Iniunam, <email xlink:href="mailto:i.iniunam2@gmail.com">i.iniunam2@gmail.com</email>
</p>
</fn>
<fn fn-type="equal" id="fn003">
<p>&#x2020;These authors have contributed equally to this work and share first authorship</p>
</fn>
</author-notes>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>10</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2024</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="collection">
<year>2024</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>5</volume>
<elocation-id>1503408</elocation-id>
<history>
<date date-type="received">
<day>28</day>
<month>09</month>
<year>2024</year>
</date>
<date date-type="accepted">
<day>13</day>
<month>11</month>
<year>2024</year>
</date>
</history>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright &#xa9; 2024 Danmallam, Ngila, Iniunam, Kuria, Tende, Ngugi, Njoroge, Jackson, Okoth, Ottosson, Chaskda and Trevelyan</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2024</copyright-year>
<copyright-holder>Danmallam, Ngila, Iniunam, Kuria, Tende, Ngugi, Njoroge, Jackson, Okoth, Ottosson, Chaskda and Trevelyan</copyright-holder>
<license xlink:href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">
<p>This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.</p>
</license>
</permissions>
<abstract>
<sec>
<title>Introduction</title>
<p>Urbanization, characterized by the rapid expansion of human settlements and development, greatly impacts biodiversity, especially where developments and human settlements are not guided by proper environmental consideration.</p>
</sec>
<sec>
<title>Methods</title>
<p>We used data collected through citizen science projects under the African Bird Atlas Project, based on standardized protocols to gather bird occurrence data. Species&#x2019; ecological traits, related to foraging behavior, habitat speciality, and body mass, were analyzed to assess functional richness and functional diversity (FD) represented by Rao&#x2019;s quadratic entropy. Geospatial data, including the Global Human Settlement Layer and Human Modification Index (HMI), along with the probability of urban expansion up to 2030, were integrated to examine the impact of urbanization using Bayesian models.</p>
</sec>
<sec>
<title>Results</title>
<p>Our findings reveal a marked decline in taxonomic richness, diversity, and functional richness associated with increasing urbanization and human modification, with a similar pattern observed along the gradient from mostly uninhabited areas to cities. However, FD increased with urbanization from uninhabited areas to cities. The relationship between FD and HMI was nonlinear, showing an initial negative trend that became positive as HMI increased. This suggests a transition in bird communities, where generalist species thrive in urban environments, potentially replacing specialized species and leading to functional redundancy.</p>
</sec>
<sec>
<title>Discussion</title>
<p>Despite the complex relationships observed, urbanization has a predominantly negative impact on the richness and diversity of Afrotropical bird communities. The decline in avian diversity and functional richness has important implications for ecosystem functions and services, crucial for biodiversity and human well-being. Our research provides valuable insights into the ecological impacts of urban expansion and emphasizes the importance of preserving natural habitats amidst growing urban landscapes.</p>
</sec>
</abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="graphical">
<title>Graphical Abstract</title>
<p>Summary of taxonomic and functional richness and diversity trends along the urbanization gradient. Taxonomic Richness, Functional Richness, and Taxonomic Diversity decrease with increasing urbanization, as indicated by the downward red arrows (highest in uninhabited and rural areas). Functional Diversity, as measured by Rao's Quadratic Entropy, increases in more urbanized environments, as shown by the upward blue arrow (highest in cities).</p>
<p>
<graphic xlink:href="fcosc-05-1503408-g007.tif" position="anchor"/>
</p>
</abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd>Afrotropical bird communities</kwd>
<kwd>citizen science</kwd>
<kwd>conservation strategies</kwd>
<kwd>functional diversity</kwd>
<kwd>urbanization</kwd>
</kwd-group>
<counts>
<fig-count count="6"/>
<table-count count="2"/>
<equation-count count="0"/>
<ref-count count="102"/>
<page-count count="14"/>
<word-count count="6030"/>
</counts>
<custom-meta-wrap>
<custom-meta>
<meta-name>section-in-acceptance</meta-name>
<meta-value>Animal Conservation</meta-value>
</custom-meta>
</custom-meta-wrap>
</article-meta>
</front>
<body>
<sec id="s1" sec-type="intro">
<title>Introduction</title>
<p>Urbanization, characterized by the rapid expansion of human settlements and infrastructure, has become a global phenomenon, transforming natural environments with significant implications for biodiversity (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B37">Grimm et&#xa0;al., 2008</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B59">Mckinney, 2008</xref>). By 2010, over 50% of the world&#x2019;s population resided in urban areas, and projections indicate that by 2050, this figure will rise to 70% (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B94">UN, 2012</xref>). For Africa, the projected tripling of urban land cover by 2030, is particularly concerning as it will lead to substantial habitat loss across the continent (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B84">Seto et&#xa0;al., 2012</xref>). This ongoing urban development will result in increased predator presence (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B3">Baker et&#xa0;al., 2008</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B29">Fischer et&#xa0;al., 2012</xref>), elevated noise levels (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B75">Proppe et&#xa0;al., 2013</xref>), and forest fragmentation (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B102">Zipperer et&#xa0;al., 2012</xref>), with substantial influence on community composition (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B53">Marzluff, 2001</xref>), and ecosystem functioning (e.g. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B6">Blair, 1996</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B27">Ferenc et&#xa0;al., 2014</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B48">Lim and Sodhi, 2004</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B53">Marzluff, 2001</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B69">Pautasso et&#xa0;al., 2011</xref>).</p>
<p>The composition of bird communities in urban areas is a function of species tolerance and adaptive capacity. Species sensitive to habitat disturbances are classified as &#x201c;urban avoiders&#x201d; (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B57">McKinney, 2002</xref>) or &#x201c;urban-sensitive&#x201d; (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B34">Garden et&#xa0;al., 2007</xref>), while those thriving in urban environments are called &#x201c;urban exploiters&#x201d; (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B57">McKinney, 2002</xref>) or &#x201c;synanthropes&#x201d; (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B55">Marzluff et&#xa0;al., 2001</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B20">Cresswell et&#xa0;al., 2020</xref>). Both categories are impacted differently by urbanization (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B23">DeGraaf and Wentworth, 1986</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B40">Isaksson, 2018</xref>), with specialized species (because of their life-history and ecological traits) being impacted the most (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B26">Evans et&#xa0;al., 2011</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B87">Sol et&#xa0;al., 2014</xref>). The negative effects of urbanization on bird communities have been extensively documented globally and in Africa (see <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">Chamberlain et&#xa0;al., 2017</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B67">Oliviera et al., 2017</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B39">Ib&#xe1;&#xf1;ez-&#xc1;lamo et&#xa0;al., 2017</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B47">Lee et&#xa0;al., 2021</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B89">Sol et&#xa0;al., 2020</xref>). Considering the growing human population and the subsequent increased urbanization globally (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B97">United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, 2019</xref>), understanding species&#x2019; responses to anthropogenic pressures are paramount for guiding conservation measures (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B63">Newbold et&#xa0;al., 2018</xref>).</p>
<p>Because birds are well known, and are good indicators of environmental health (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B31">Fraixedas et&#xa0;al., 2020</xref>), they are invaluable when studying the impacts of urbanization on habitat structure and composition (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B15">Chace and Walsh, 2006</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B50">MacGregor-Fors et&#xa0;al., 2009</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B78">Reis et&#xa0;al., 2012</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B8">Bregman et&#xa0;al., 2014</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B54">Marzluff, 2016</xref>). Numerous studies have documented varying trends in how urbanization affects bird abundance and diversity (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B68">Palacio et&#xa0;al., 2018</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B13">Carvajal-Castro et&#xa0;al., 2019</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B45">Kor&#xe1;nyi et&#xa0;al., 2021</xref>). While some studies report minimal influence of urbanization on bird diversity (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B45">Kor&#xe1;nyi et&#xa0;al., 2021</xref>), others link increased urbanization to reduced diversity (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B88">Sol et&#xa0;al., 2017</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B89">2020</xref>). Conversely, a few studies report increased bird diversity with rising urbanization (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B4">Bat&#xe1;ry et&#xa0;al., 2018</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B28">Filloy et&#xa0;al., 2019</xref>). Beyond bird abundance and diversity, it is essential to consider birds for the ecological roles they play in seed dispersal, pollination, pest control, nutrient cycling, and scavenging (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B49">Lundberg and Moberg, 2003</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B73">Pigot et&#xa0;al., 2016</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B80">S&#x31c;ekerciog&#x306;lu et&#xa0;al., 2016</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B82">Sekercioglu, 2006</xref>). These roles not only sustain ecosystems but also ensure human wellbeing (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B11">Cardinale et&#xa0;al., 2012</xref>); for example, loss of scavengers, has been shown to lead to an increase in diseases (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B32">Garc&#xed;a-Jim&#xe9;nez et&#xa0;al., 2021</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B33">2022</xref>).</p>
<p>The functional traits that support bird&#x2019;s roles in environments have been extensively documented in recent studies (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B74">Pigot et&#xa0;al., 2020</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B93">Tobias and Pigot, 2019</xref>), allowing for detailed characterization of bird communities with unmatched precision. To better understand impacts of urbanization on vital ecosystem functions and services (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B89">Sol et&#xa0;al., 2020</xref>), an effective method is to examine functional diversity. Functional diversity encompasses the identity, variety, and relative abundance of phenotypic traits in organisms that affect key ecosystem processes (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B24">D&#xed;az et&#xa0;al., 2007</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B71">Petchey and Gaston, 2006</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B92">Tilman, 2001</xref>). Studies are particularly needed in the tropical regions including Africa, where rapid population growth has led to accelerated urbanization (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B83">Seto et&#xa0;al., 2011</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B84">2012</xref>). However, only a few studies have investigated how urbanization affects bird ecological roles in Africa (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">Chamberlain et&#xa0;al., 2017</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B47">Lee et&#xa0;al., 2021</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B64">Njoroge et&#xa0;al., 2014</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B98">van Rensburg et&#xa0;al., 2009</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1">Awoyemi et&#xa0;al., 2024</xref>). <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1">Awoyemi et&#xa0;al. (2024)</xref> examined the impact of urbanization on biodiversity metrics within cities in a single country, utilizing a paired sampling approach to compare urban and non-urban areas. To gain a more detailed insights, future studies could explore the effects of urbanization on bird community and ecosystem functions across a finer urbanization gradient and at a broader scale.</p>
<p>Here, we investigate the impacts of urbanization and human modification on taxonomic and functional metrics both in Nigeria and Kenya. Nigeria and Kenya average population densities are estimated at 226 humans/km<sup>2</sup> and 97 humans/km<sup>2</sup>, respectively (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B96">United Nations, 2019</xref>). Both countries fall within the Afrotropical region with rich but declining biodiversity (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B14">Cazzolla Gatti et&#xa0;al., 2015</xref>). Nigeria is situated on the East Atlantic Flyway, while Kenya sits on the East Asia-East Africa Flyway, making both countries crucial for the conservation of migratory birds. Yet, the impact of urbanization on biodiversity in these landscapes is relatively understudied (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B39">Ib&#xe1;&#xf1;ez-&#xc1;lamo et&#xa0;al., 2017</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B52">Magle et&#xa0;al., 2012</xref>), mainly due to limited local capacity and funds (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B2">Awoyemi and Ib&#xe1;&#xf1;ez-&#xc1;lamo, 2023</xref>).</p>
<p>Building on <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B67">Oliviera et al. (2017)</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B62">Newbold et al. (2015)</xref>, and <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B88">Sol et al. (2017)</xref>, we compare bird diversity across four levels of urbanization (settlement types): cities, suburban areas (moderately urbanized environments), dispersed rural areas (slightly human-modified), and mostly uninhabited areas (MUAs) in Kenya and Nigeria. We hypothesize that urbanization negatively impacts taxonomic and functional richness and diversity of African bird communities. Specifically, as urbanization intensifies, we expect to observe a decline in both the number of species (taxonomic richness) and the unique ecological function of the species (functional richness). Additionally, we anticipate that urban expansion will reduce the overall diversity of bird communities, leading to more homogenized assemblages with fewer distinct species and functional roles. We also anticipate that uninhabited and rural areas will have higher taxonomic and functional richness and diversity than suburban areas and cities, reflecting the negative impact of urbanization on bird communities.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2" sec-type="materials|methods">
<title>Materials and methods</title>
<sec id="s2_1">
<title>Data collection and study extent</title>
<p>We used data collected through the African Bird Atlas Project (ABAP), specifically originating from the country-level citizen science projects: the Nigerian Bird Atlas Project (hereafter, NiBAP) established in 2015, and the Kenya Bird Map (hereafter, KBM) founded in 2013. NiBAP and KBM rely on citizens to collect and submit bird data through data collection cards, each representing a full observation record for a specific time and location (pentad), also known as checklists. These projects adhere to protocols established by the Southern African Bird Atlas Project (hereafter, SABAP; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B95">Underhill, 2016</xref>), ensuring standardized data collection and reporting procedures. Citizens participating in these projects survey and record birds within a 5-minute x 5-minute grid (approximately 9 km x 9 km square) referred to as a pentad. Survey lists of birds are reported as either full protocol cards or <italic>ad hoc</italic> cards. Full protocol cards are records from a minimum of two hours of focused survey over a maximum five days within each pentad, covering different vegetation types. Where citizen scientist spends less than 2 hours including reports of incidental bird observation, those submission are considered <italic>ad hoc</italic> cards (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B91">Tende et&#xa0;al., 2024</xref>). Both full protocol and <italic>ad hoc</italic> cards are essential for reporting species distribution, and provide presence data on species in a pentad (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f1">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;1</bold>
</xref>).</p>
<fig id="f1" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;1</label>
<caption>
<p>Coverage maps of Nigeria <bold>(A)</bold> and Kenya <bold>(B)</bold>, indicating the number of checklists submitted with Group 4+ checklists used for this analysis, shown in darker shades.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fcosc-05-1503408-g001.tif"/>
</fig>
<p>Full protocol card submission allows for calculation of species reporting rate as an index of abundance. The index tell how frequently a species is recorded in all full protocol cards submitted within a pentad, and ranges from 0 (never recorded) to 1 (recorded in all full protocol cards) (see <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B46">Lee et&#xa0;al., 2017</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B47">2021</xref>; <xref ref-type="fig" rid="f1">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;1</bold>
</xref>).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2_2">
<title>Data pre-processing and cleaning</title>
<p>We extracted raw bird distribution records from NiBAP (932 species in 228,019 records) and KBM (1373 species in 266,708 records). To ensure data integrity, we used only vetted species lists available at <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://www.birdmap.africa/coverage/country/Nigeria">Birdmap Africa - Nigeria</ext-link> and <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://www.birdmap.africa/coverage/country/Kenya">Birdmap Africa - Kenya</ext-link>, filtering the records to include only species present in these lists. After cleaning the data, we retained 914 unique species with 227,420 records for Nigeria and 1,069 species with 265,276 records for Kenya. We also filtered coverage grids in both countries to include only those pentads where at least four full protocol cards had been submitted over the years across the study period, following the methodology of previous studies (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B46">Lee et&#xa0;al., 2017</xref>). This step ensured that we focused on reliable data subsets. Finally, we integrated the functional traits dataset (see <xref ref-type="supplementary-material" rid="ST1">
<bold>Supplementary Table S1</bold>
</xref>) with the reporting rates dataset to enrich the ecological context.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2_3">
<title>Analysis of functional guilds</title>
<p>To describe the functional traits of our bird species, we compiled published data describing the foraging behavior, habitat specialization and masses for all the bird species. Each species was categorized based on 13 functional traits primarily related to diet, body mass, and habitat specialization (Appendix I). Dietary classifications followed the framework provided in (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B18">Child et&#xa0;al., 2009</xref>), which associates dietary categories with ecological roles. We did this because the functional role of a species in an ecosystem may be more directly inferred by how the species uses resources (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B71">Petchey and Gaston, 2006</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B67">Oliviera et al., 2017</xref>). For instance, scavengers contribute to carcass and waste disposal and help in disease control, while carnivores help manage rodent populations. Species that primarily rely on fruits (frugivores) aid in seed dispersal, whereas insectivores (insect eating birds) help control invertebrates (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B100">Whelan et&#xa0;al., 2015</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B17">Chan et&#xa0;al., 2016</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B47">Lee et&#xa0;al., 2021</xref>). Additional categories include piscivores, ecological engineers (such as woodpeckers and barbets), habitat specialists (including biome-restricted species and primary forest specialists), and species foraging in aquatic environments. Each classification was binary and non-exclusive, allowing species to belong to multiple dietary classes, particularly omnivores. A comprehensive list of species and their assigned functional traits is available in the <xref ref-type="supplementary-material" rid="SM1">
<bold>Supplementary Data Sheet S1</bold>
</xref>. The mass values were primarily sourced from &#x201c;The Handbook of the Birds of the World&#x201d;. We supplemented any missing mass data by referencing online resources such as the Global Biodiversity Information Facility (<ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://GBIF-www.gbif.org">GBIF-www.gbif.org</ext-link>) or national museum ringing records. Functional richness is vital because it is a measure of the functional traits present in a community, thus presenting only presence/absence of species functional traits. However, previous studies have revealed abundance-based metrics to be more influential on ecosystem functions (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B71">Petchey and Gaston, 2006</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B61">Newbold et&#xa0;al., 2012</xref>). Rao&#x2019;s quadratic entropy presents a perfect opportunity to bridge this bias. It accounts for species richness, while also capturing trait identity, abundance and variety (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B79">Ricotta et&#xa0;al., 2016</xref>).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2_4">
<title>Geospatial data acquisition</title>
<p>We extracted the Global Human Settlement Layer (GHSL (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B60">Melchiorri, 2022</xref>), available for download from the Copernicus Emergency Management Service (<ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu/download.php?ds=smod">https://human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu/download.php?ds=smod</ext-link>). This dataset identifies settlement typologies using two-digit codes: City (30), Dense Town (23), Semi-Dense Town (22), Suburban (21), Village (13), Dispersed Rural (12), Mostly Uninhabited Area (11), and Water Grid (10). These typologies are represented at a 1 km resolution.</p>
<p>To determine the dominant settlement type within each pentad (9 km x 9 km, encompassing 81 GHSL cells), we used the &#x2018;geobgu::raster_extract&#x2019; function in R. By applying the base R modal function, we identified the most prevalent settlement type, resulting in five classes: City, Suburban, Dispersed Rural Area, and Mostly Uninhabited Area. Additionally, we obtained the Global Human Modification of Terrestrial Systems dataset, referred to as the Human Modification Index (HMI), from the Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC). This dataset quantifies human impact on terrestrial lands through 13 stressors, with values ranging from 0 (minimal impact) to 1 (intense modification) (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B43">Kennedy et&#xa0;al., 2019</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B44">2020</xref>).</p>
<p>We also obtained a dataset offering a 2.5 arc-minute resolution probability of urban expansion from the year 2000 to 2030. This dataset utilizes a Monte Carlo model to forecast the likelihood of urbanization for non-urban grid cells by 2030, providing valuable insights into global urban land cover changes. Unlike the categorical GHSL layer, the HMI and urbanization layers provide numerical values, enabling a fine-scale gradient analysis. We resampled/upscaled these layers to a 5-minute &#xd7; 5-minute resolution (approximately one-twelfth degree) to maintain spatial congruity with our avian data and ensure consistent analysis across all datasets.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2_5">
<title>Conceptual framework: directed acyclic graph</title>
<p>The Directed Acyclic Graph (DAG) (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f2">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;2</bold>
</xref>) illustrates the intricate causal relationships between human modification, human settlement, urban expansion, and their effects on avian taxonomic and functional diversity. The bidirectional connections indicate that urbanization and settlement patterns mutually influence each other. Additionally, the probability of urban expansion (P(Urban Expansion)) reflects the likelihood of further encroachment driven by existing modifications and settlements, which may adversely affect bird taxonomic and functional richness due to habitat fragmentation and resource reduction. Overall, this DAG underscores the feedback loops between human activities and ecological outcomes.</p>
<fig id="f2" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;2</label>
<caption>
<p>Directed Acyclic Graph (DAG) illustrating the interplay of human modification, settlements, and probability of urban expansion on taxonomic/functional richness and diversity.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fcosc-05-1503408-g002.tif"/>
</fig>
</sec>
<sec id="s2_6">
<title>Data analysis</title>
<p>All our analyses were conducted using R version 4.2.3 (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B77">R Core Team, 2023</xref>). We calculated standard measures of functional diversity, including functional richness (FRic) and Rao&#x2019;s Q, using the &#x2018;fundiversity&#x2019; package (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B36">Greni&#xe9; and Gruson, 2023</xref>). Reporting rate in pentads was used as a proxy for abundance measures (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B95">Underhill, 2016</xref>). Functional diversity, represented by Rao&#x2019;s Q, describes the variability in ecological functions across species within a community, while functional richness (FRic) reflects the range of ecological traits, unweighted by abundance (see <xref ref-type="table" rid="T1">
<bold>Table&#xa0;1</bold>
</xref> for further metrics definitions). Additionally, we calculated taxonomic richness as the count of distinct species in each pentad and used the Shannon-Weiner diversity index to measure taxonomic diversity, utilizing the &#x2018;vegan&#x2019; package (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B66">Oksanen et&#xa0;al., 2018</xref>). For each metric of taxonomic and functional richness and diversity, we employed Bayesian hierarchical (mixed) models fitted in STAN (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B12">Carpenter et&#xa0;al., 2017</xref>) using the &#x2018;brms&#x2019; package (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B9">B&#xfc;rkner, 2021</xref>) to compare across settlement types. These models included random effects at the pentad level to account for spatial variability. The &#x2018;modelr&#x2019; and &#x2018;tidybayes&#x2019; packages were used to create a grid of predictor values, add posterior predictive draws, and compute and visualize contrasts between settlement levels using &#x2018;ggplot2&#x2019;. We then conducted pairwise contrast analyses of the predicted posterior distributions across the settlement types (City, Semi-Urban, Rural Area, and Uninhabited Area). We further investigated the relationship between each metric of taxonomic and functional richness and diversity and human modification of the environment, as well as the potential impact of urban expansion on avian communities. The sampling process involved four chains with 2000 iterations each, with the first 1000 iterations used for warm-up. Convergence and model fit were assessed through posterior predictive checks, effective sample size, and Rhat values close to 1.</p>
<table-wrap id="T1" position="float">
<label>Table&#xa0;1</label>
<caption>
<p>Taxonomic and functional richness and diversity metrics and their definitions.</p>
</caption>
<table frame="hsides">
<thead>
<tr>
<th valign="top" align="left">Metric</th>
<th valign="top" align="left">Mathematical Definition</th>
<th valign="top" align="left">Explanation</th>
<th valign="top" align="left">Function Used</th>
<th valign="top" align="left">Source</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Species Richness (SR) or Taxonomic Richness</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">SR = Number of unique species (S)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">The total number of distinct species observed in a community.</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">dplyr::<break/>n_distinct()</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B77">R Core Team (2023)</xref>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Functional Richness (FRic)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">The volume occupied by species in trait space, calculated by constructing a convex hull around the trait values of all species within a community.</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Represents the range of functional traits in a community. Higher FRic implies greater trait diversity.</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">fundiversity::fd_fric()</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B99">Vill&#xe9;ger et&#xa0;al. (2008)</xref>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Taxonomic<break/>Diversity or Shannon Index</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">
<inline-formula>
<mml:math display="inline" id="im1">
<mml:mrow>
<mml:msup>
<mml:mtext>H</mml:mtext>
<mml:mo>&#x2032;</mml:mo>
</mml:msup>
<mml:mo>=</mml:mo>
<mml:mo>&#x2212;</mml:mo>
<mml:mstyle displaystyle="true">
<mml:munderover>
<mml:mo mathsize="4">&#x2211;</mml:mo>
<mml:mrow>
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<mml:mn>1</mml:mn>
</mml:mrow>
<mml:mtext mathvariant="italic">s</mml:mtext>
</mml:munderover>
<mml:mrow>
<mml:msub>
<mml:mi>p</mml:mi>
<mml:mi>i</mml:mi>
</mml:msub>
<mml:mi>l</mml:mi>
<mml:mi>n</mml:mi>
<mml:mo stretchy="false">(</mml:mo>
<mml:msub>
<mml:mi>p</mml:mi>
<mml:mi>i</mml:mi>
</mml:msub>
<mml:mo stretchy="false">)</mml:mo>
</mml:mrow>
</mml:mstyle>
</mml:mrow>
</mml:math>
</inline-formula>
</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Measures species diversity, accounting for both richness and evenness, where <italic>p<sub>i</sub>
</italic> is the proportion of individuals of species <italic>i</italic>; higher values indicate greater diversity.</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">vegan:: diversity()</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B85">Shannon and Weaver (1949)</xref>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Functional Diversity (Rao&#x2019;s Quadratic Entropy, RaoQ)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">
<inline-formula>
<mml:math display="inline" id="im2">
<mml:mrow>
<mml:mi>F</mml:mi>
<mml:mi>D</mml:mi>
<mml:mo>=</mml:mo>
<mml:mstyle displaystyle="true">
<mml:munderover>
<mml:mo mathsize="4">&#x2211;</mml:mo>
<mml:mrow>
<mml:mi>i</mml:mi>
<mml:mo>=</mml:mo>
<mml:mn>1</mml:mn>
</mml:mrow>
<mml:mtext mathvariant="italic">s</mml:mtext>
</mml:munderover>
<mml:mrow>
<mml:mstyle displaystyle="true">
<mml:munderover>
<mml:mo mathsize="4">&#x2211;</mml:mo>
<mml:mrow>
<mml:mi>j</mml:mi>
<mml:mo>=</mml:mo>
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</mml:mrow>
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<mml:mrow>
<mml:msub>
<mml:mi>d</mml:mi>
<mml:mrow>
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<mml:mi>j</mml:mi>
</mml:mrow>
</mml:msub>
<mml:msub>
<mml:mi>p</mml:mi>
<mml:mi>i</mml:mi>
</mml:msub>
<mml:msub>
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</mml:msub>
</mml:mrow>
</mml:mstyle>
</mml:mrow>
</mml:mstyle>
</mml:mrow>
</mml:math>
</inline-formula>
</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Measures functional diversity as the abundance-weighted sum of pairwise trait distances <italic>d<sub>ij</sub>
</italic>between species. In this formula, <italic>p<sub>i</sub>
</italic> and <italic>p<sub>j</sub>
</italic> represent the relative abundances of species <italic>i</italic> and <italic>j</italic> in a community. Rao&#x2019;s Q captures how diverse is the community considering both traits and species relative abundance, with greater values indicating higher diversity.</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">fundiversity::fd_raoq()</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B76">Rao (1982)</xref>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</table-wrap>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="s3" sec-type="results">
<title>Results</title>
<p>A total of 914 species across 89 bird families were recorded in Nigeria, while 1069 species across 94 families were recorded in Kenya. In both countries, the majority of species (&gt;90%) are classified as Least Concern, with 27 Threatened species recorded in Nigeria (3 Critically Endangered, 11 Endangered, and 13 Vulnerable) and 44 in Kenya (5 Critically Endangered, 20 Endangered, and 19 Vulnerable) according to the IUCN Red List (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">BirdLife International, 2024</xref>). Kenya supports 225 habitat specialists, compared to 179 in Nigeria. Additionally, both countries host urban-adaptive species, with 40 in Nigeria and 50 in Kenya. A detailed list of species is provided in <xref ref-type="supplementary-material" rid="SM2">
<bold>Supplementary Data Sheet S2</bold>
</xref>.</p>
<sec id="s3_1">
<title>Effects of urbanization levels (settlement types)</title>
<p>Taxonomic richness (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f3"><bold>Figure 3A</bold></xref>) and functional richness (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f3"><bold>Figure 3B</bold></xref>) decreased across the gradient from rural to suburban to city areas, indicating fewer species and traits in more urbanized environments. However, taxonomic diversity (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f3">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;3C</bold>
</xref>) was highest in rural areas, followed by suburban, uninhabited, and&#xa0;city areas. Conversely, functional diversity (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f3">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;3D</bold>
</xref>) was&#xa0;highest in city areas and lowest in uninhabited areas, with&#xa0;intermediate functional diversity values in rural and suburban areas.</p>
<fig id="f3" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;3</label>
<caption>
<p>Conditional effects plot of the differences in taxonomic richness <bold>(A)</bold>, functional richness <bold>(B)</bold>, taxonomic diversity <bold>(C)</bold>, and functional diversity <bold>(D)</bold> across different levels of urbanization. Each plot shows the 95% credible intervals for the respective metric.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fcosc-05-1503408-g003.tif"/>
</fig>
<p>Our analysis revealed strong evidence that taxonomic richness decreased with increasing urbanization such that rural areas had higher taxonomic richness (i.e., a greater variety of species) than cities (median difference &#xb1; SD: Rural &#x2013; City: 14.885 &#xb1; 15.520 [95% CI: -2.493, 57.996]; Posterior Probability (PP) = 0.951, Evidence Ratio (ER01) = 19.202, <xref ref-type="table" rid="T2">
<bold>Table&#xa0;2A</bold>
</xref>). Additionally, both suburban areas and uninhabited areas had higher richness than cities (Suburban &#x2013; City: 13.659 &#xb1; 14.702 [95% CI: -4.347, 53.868]; PP = 0.926, ER01 = 12.605, and Uninhabited &#x2013; City: 9.233 &#xb1; 10.593 [95% CI: -4.262, 37.579], PP = 0.910, ER01 = 10.173, respectively, <xref ref-type="table" rid="T2">
<bold>Table&#xa0;2A</bold>
</xref>). However, we did not find substantial differences between Suburban &#x2013; Rural, Uninhabited &#x2013; Rural, and Uninhabited &#x2013; Suburban contrasts (<xref ref-type="table" rid="T2">
<bold>Table&#xa0;2A</bold>
</xref>), as their distributions, including the 95% credible intervals, closely intersected the zero-effect line (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f4">
<bold>Figure 4A</bold>
</xref>).</p>
<table-wrap id="T2" position="float">
<label>Table&#xa0;2</label>
<caption>
<p>Results of contrast analyses on taxonomic and functional richness and diversity between different settlements, including the median, standard deviation (SD), and 95% credible intervals (CI) of contrasts from posterior estimates.</p>
</caption>
<table frame="hsides">
<thead>
<tr>
<th valign="top" colspan="8" align="left">A. Taxonomic Richness</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th valign="top" align="left">Contrast</th>
<th valign="top" align="left">Median</th>
<th valign="top" align="left">SD</th>
<th valign="top" align="left">95% CI</th>
<th valign="top" align="left">PP</th>
<th valign="top" align="left">ER01</th>
<th valign="top" align="left">ER10</th>
<th valign="top" align="left"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Rural - City</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">14.885</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">15.520</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">[-2.493, 57.996]</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.951</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">19.202</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.052</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">**</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Sub-urban - City</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">13.659</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">14.702</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">[-4.347, 53.868]</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.926</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">12.605</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.079</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">*</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Sub-urban - Rural</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">-1.429</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">12.076</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">[-27.587, 22.583]</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.435</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.770</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">1.299</td>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Unihabited - City</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">9.233</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">10.593</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">[-4.262, 37.579]</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.910</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">10.173</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.098</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">*</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Unihabited - Rural</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">-5.564</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">9.446</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">[-30.397, 7.903]</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.191</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.236</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">4.236</td>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Unihabited - Sub-urban</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">-4.012</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">9.688</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">[-28.946, 10.731]</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.274</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.376</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">2.656</td>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table frame="hsides">
<thead>
<tr>
<th valign="top" colspan="8" align="left">B. Functional Richness</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th valign="top" align="left">Contrast</th>
<th valign="top" align="left">Median</th>
<th valign="top" align="left">SD</th>
<th valign="top" align="left">95% CI</th>
<th valign="top" align="left">PP</th>
<th valign="top" align="left">ER01</th>
<th valign="top" align="left">ER10</th>
<th valign="top" align="left"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Rural &#x2013; City</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">10.704</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">31.502</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">[-28.052, 102.481]</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.753</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">3.049</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.328</td>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Sub-urban &#x2013; City</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">13.717</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">35.808</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">[-27.542, 122.161]</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.800</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">4.000</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.250</td>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Sub-urban &#x2013; Rural</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">2.756</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">28.194</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">[-49.083, 70.430]</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.585</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">1.410</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.709</td>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Unihabited &#x2013; City</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">17.819</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">31.512</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">[-7.582, 118.312]</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.924</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">12.158</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.082</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">*</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Unihabited &#x2013; Rural</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">6.752</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">23.053</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">[-29.706, 68.699]</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.728</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">2.670</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.375</td>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Unihabited - Sub-urban</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">4.379</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">24.584</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">[-45.008, 62.039]</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.626</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">1.674</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.597</td>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table frame="hsides">
<thead>
<tr>
<th valign="top" colspan="8" align="left">C. Taxonomic Diversity</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th valign="top" align="left">Contrast</th>
<th valign="top" align="left">Median</th>
<th valign="top" align="left">SD</th>
<th valign="top" align="left">95% CI</th>
<th valign="top" align="left">PP</th>
<th valign="top" align="left">ER01</th>
<th valign="top" align="left">ER10</th>
<th valign="top" align="left"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Rural &#x2013; City</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.325</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.066</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">[0.198, 0.459]</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">1.000</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Inf</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.000</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">**</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Sub-urban &#x2013; City</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.269</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.068</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">[0.132, 0.397]</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">1.000</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Inf</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.000</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">**</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Sub-urban &#x2013; Rural</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">-0.058</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.062</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">[-0.181, 0.068]</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.170</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.205</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">4.882</td>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Unihabited &#x2013; City</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.245</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.052</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">[0.140, 0.345]</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">1.000</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Inf</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.000</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">**</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Unihabited &#x2013; Rural</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">-0.083</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.047</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">[-0.174, 0.010]</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.038</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.040</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">24.974</td>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Unihabited - Sub-urban</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">-0.025</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.049</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">[-0.122, 0.072]</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.302</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.432</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">2.317</td>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table frame="hsides">
<thead>
<tr>
<th valign="top" colspan="8" align="left">D. Functional Diversity</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th valign="top" align="left">Contrast</th>
<th valign="top" align="left">Median</th>
<th valign="top" align="left">SD</th>
<th valign="top" align="left">95% CI</th>
<th valign="top" align="left">PP</th>
<th valign="top" align="left">ER01</th>
<th valign="top" align="left">ER10</th>
<th valign="top" align="left"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">
<bold>Rural &#x2013; City</bold>
</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">
<bold>-0.277</bold>
</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">
<bold>0.067</bold>
</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">
<bold>[-0.417, -0.147]</bold>
</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">
<bold>0.000</bold>
</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">
<bold>0.000</bold>
</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">
<bold>Inf</bold>
</td>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">
<bold>Sub-urban &#x2013; City</bold>
</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">
<bold>-0.282</bold>
</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">
<bold>0.067</bold>
</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">
<bold>[-0.421, -0.156]</bold>
</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">
<bold>0.000</bold>
</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">
<bold>0.000</bold>
</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">
<bold>Inf</bold>
</td>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Sub-urban &#x2013; Rural</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">-0.005</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.058</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">[-0.124, 0.107]</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.464</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.864</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">1.157</td>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">
<bold>Unihabited &#x2013; City</bold>
</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">
<bold>-0.337</bold>
</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">
<bold>0.055</bold>
</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">
<bold>[-0.448, -0.233]</bold>
</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">
<bold>0.000</bold>
</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">
<bold>0.000</bold>
</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">
<bold>Inf</bold>
</td>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Unihabited &#x2013; Rural</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">-0.059</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.048</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">[-0.166, 0.031]</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.094</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.104</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">9.638</td>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Unihabited - Sub-urban</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">-0.055</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.046</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">[-0.141, 0.036]</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.122</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">0.139</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">7.197</td>
<td valign="top" align="left"/>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table-wrap-foot>
<fn>
<p>Posterior probability (PP) and evidence ratio (ER) are shown: ER01 supports the directional hypothesis (PP &gt; 0) and ER10 supports the alternative hypothesis (PP&lt; 0). PP &gt; 0.85 is shown with a single asterisk, and those that exceed 0.95 are shown with double asterisks. The relationship with functional diversity substantially supported the alternative hypothesis and is highlighted in bold.</p>
</fn>
</table-wrap-foot>
</table-wrap>
<fig id="f4" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;4</label>
<caption>
<p>Predicted posterior contrasts in taxonomic and functional richness and diversity. <bold>(A)</bold> Taxonomic richness, <bold>(B)</bold> Functional richness, <bold>(C)</bold> Taxonomic diversity, and <bold>(D)</bold> Functional diversity. Each dot represents the median parameter estimate, and the thick horizontal bars represent the 95% credible intervals. Distributions intersecting zero indicate uncertainty or negligible differences, while shifts to the right of zero (dotted line) suggest higher values for the parameter on the left-hand side, and shifts to the left indicate lower values for the parameter on the right.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fcosc-05-1503408-g004.tif"/>
</fig>
<p>Generally, uninhabited, rural, and suburban areas showed higher functional richness than cities. The difference was most discernible between Uninhabited and City areas (median difference &#xb1; SD: 17.819 &#xb1; 31.512 [95% CI: -7.582, 118.312], PP = 0.924, ER01 = 10.158, <xref ref-type="table" rid="T2">
<bold>Table&#xa0;2A</bold>
</xref>); all pairs except &#x2018;Uninhabited &#x2013; City&#x2019; have their 95% credible interval intersecting the zero mark (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f4">
<bold>Figure 4B</bold>
</xref>).</p>
<p>On diversity, our results indicated that rural, uninhabited, and suburban areas clearly had higher taxonomic diversity (highlighted in light blue in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="f4">
<bold>Figure 4C</bold>
</xref>) compared to cities (Rural &#x2013; City: 0.325 &#xb1; 0.066 [95% CI: 0.198, 0.459]; Suburban &#x2013; City: 0.269 &#xb1; 0.068 [95% CI: 0.132, 0.397]; Uninhabited &#x2013; City: 0.245 &#xb1; 0.052 [95% CI: 0.140, 0.345]; PP = 1, ER01 = Inf; <xref ref-type="table" rid="T2">
<bold>Table&#xa0;2C</bold>
</xref>). We found no substantial differences between Uninhabited &#x2013; Rural, Uninhabited&#x2013;Suburban and Suburban - Rural, as the evidence was weak (PP&lt; 0.85, ER&lt; 5, <xref ref-type="table" rid="T2">
<bold>Table&#xa0;2C</bold>
</xref>), with the distribution intersecting with zero effect mark. Conversely, there was strong evidence for greater functional diversity in cities compared to rural, suburban, and uninhabited areas (Rural &#x2013; City: -0.277 &#xb1; 0.067 [95% CI: -0.417, -0.147]; Suburban &#x2013; City: -0.282 &#xb1; 0.067 [95% CI: -0.421, -0.156]; Uninhabited &#x2013; City: -0.337 &#xb1; 0.055 [95% CI: -0.448, -0.233]; PP =1, ER01 = Inf; <xref ref-type="table" rid="T2">
<bold>Table&#xa0;2D</bold>
</xref>) as highlighted in light blue in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="f4">
<bold>Figure 4D</bold>
</xref>. Comparisons between Suburban &#x2013; Rural, Uninhabited &#x2013; Rural, and Uninhabited &#x2013; Suburban displayed negligible differences, with distributions closely intersecting the zero-effect line, indicating limited evidence for variation in functional diversity outside cities.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s3_2">
<title>Effect of human modification and urban expansion on taxonomic and functional richness and diversity</title>
<p>The following section presents the patterns in the relationship; a more detailed model summary can be found in the <xref ref-type="supplementary-material" rid="ST1">
<bold>Supplementary Tables S1</bold>
</xref> and <xref ref-type="supplementary-material" rid="ST2">
<bold>S2</bold>
</xref>. Generally, the models demonstrated a good fit, as indicated by Rhat values close to 1, High Effective Sample Size (ESS), and proper mixing of the Markov chains.</p>
<p>
<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f5">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;5</bold>
</xref> illustrates the relationships between HMI and taxonomic and functional richness and diversity. Overall we found a predominantly negative relationship in taxonomic richness and diversity and functional richness across different levels of human modification. Areas with higher HMI tended to support fewer species and a reduced variety of functions that species perform (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f5">
<bold>Figures&#xa0;5A&#x2013;C</bold>
</xref>). However, the relationship between functional diversity and the HMI was complex and nonlinear (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f5">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;5D</bold>
</xref>). Initially, functional diversity decreased, but reversed to increasing trend at higher levels of HMI. Despite this variability, the overall findings suggest that human activities exerted varying effects on functional diversity.</p>
<fig id="f5" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;5</label>
<caption>
<p>Effect of human modification on taxonomic and functional richness and diversity. <bold>(A)</bold> Taxonomic richness, <bold>(B)</bold> Functional richness, <bold>(C)</bold> Taxonomic diversity, and <bold>(D)</bold> Functional diversity. Each plot shows the 95% credible intervals for the respective metric.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fcosc-05-1503408-g005.tif"/>
</fig>
<p>Finally, we investigated the impact of urban expansion on the taxonomic and functional richness and diversity (detailed model estimates are provided in the <xref ref-type="supplementary-material" rid="ST2">
<bold>Supplementary Table S2</bold>
</xref>). Taxonomic richness (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f6">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;6A</bold>
</xref>), functional richness (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f6">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;6B</bold>
</xref>), and taxonomic diversity (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f6">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;6C</bold>
</xref>) as a function of urban expansion showed similar patterns: an initial decline, followed by a slight rise as the probability of urban expansion increases, with a pronounced decrease observed at higher probabilities (around 75% and above, <xref ref-type="fig" rid="f6">
<bold>Figures&#xa0;6A&#x2013;C</bold>
</xref>) up to 100% probability of urban expansion. In contrast, there was a slight and steady increase in functional diversity with increasing urban expansion (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f6">
<bold>Figure&#xa0;6D</bold>
</xref>), indicating that some functional traits may persist or even become more prevalent in urbanized environments. Overall, our findings indicate that urbanization has a complex but predominantly negative impact on the richness and diversity of African bird communities.</p>
<fig id="f6" position="float">
<label>Figure&#xa0;6</label>
<caption>
<p>Effect of urban expansion on taxonomic and functional richness and diversity. <bold>(A)</bold> Taxonomic richness, <bold>(B)</bold> Functional richness, <bold>(C)</bold> Taxonomic diversity, and <bold>(D)</bold> Functional diversity. Each plot shows the 95% credible intervals for the respective metric.</p>
</caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fcosc-05-1503408-g006.tif"/>
</fig>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="s4" sec-type="discussion">
<title>Discussion</title>
<p>Urbanization, as a form of global change, has been shown to significantly alter the physical environment (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B42">Kaye et&#xa0;al., 2006</xref>), creating new environments and opportunities for species. Consequently, urbanization often leads to variations in bird community metrics across different gradients (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B89">Sol et&#xa0;al., 2020</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B72">Petersen et&#xa0;al., 2022</xref>). Our results indicate that taxonomic richness and diversity were notably higher in Mostly Uninhabited Areas (MUAs) compared to cities. MUAs, characterized by more natural or &#x201c;pristine&#x201d; vegetation, offer a variety of habitats conducive to diverse bird communities. The availability of suitable habitats is critical for species distribution and with urbanization natural or near-natural environments are transformed for housing, industrial, or commercial purposes, leading to habitat loss for bird communities (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B25">Donnelly and Marzluff, 2006</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B81">Sandstr&#xf6;m et&#xa0;al., 2006</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B21">Croci et&#xa0;al., 2008</xref>). This change shape communities by filtering out some species while allowing others to replace them. In some cases, certain bird species may remain if fragments of near-natural habitats persist (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B38">Haire et&#xa0;al., 2000</xref>).</p>
<p>Over time, urbanization results in the replacement of specialist species by generalists (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B67">Oliviera et al., 2017</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B51">MacLean et&#xa0;al., 2018</xref>), as specialists are more susceptible to environmental changes. As the specialists are filtered out of the urban areas (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B26">Evans et&#xa0;al., 2011</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B87">Sol et&#xa0;al., 2014</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B30">Fischer et&#xa0;al., 2015</xref>), the unique functional traits they contribute to ecosystem functioning are lost, potentially leading to lower functional richness in the urban centers with crucial conservation implications (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B30">Fischer et&#xa0;al., 2015</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B87">Sol et&#xa0;al., 2014</xref>). This corroborates findings from other studies indicating that urbanization drives species decline (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B58">McKinney, 2006</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B39">Ib&#xe1;&#xf1;ez-&#xc1;lamo et&#xa0;al., 2017</xref>). On the other hand, functional diversity increased with the urbanization gradient, with cities exhibiting a higher functional diversity than MUAs. However, a continuous increase in HMI revealed a possible decline, indicating that while cities may initially support a diverse range of functional traits, excessive human modification eventually reduces this diversity after reaching a tipping point. This pattern suggests a transitional phase in bird communities, particularly in newer cities, where species are still adapting. Over time, as seen in established cities like Nairobi, only a few adaptable species may persist, leading to shifts in community composition, such as the disappearance of Hooded Vultures (<italic>Necrosyrtes monachus</italic>), which were once common in Kenya (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B65">Odino et al., 2014</xref>), and the proliferation of Marabou Storks (<italic>Leptoptilos crumeniferus</italic>). This &#x201c;undulating&#x201d; relationship might reflect the dynamic nature of species adaptation in response to urbanization. Additionally, while functional diversity is expected to decline at some point with urbanization (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B30">Fischer et&#xa0;al., 2015</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B89">Sol et&#xa0;al., 2020</xref>), our findings agree with <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B47">Lee et&#xa0;al. (2021)</xref>, who reported slightly higher functional diversity in urbanized areas as compared to non-urbanized areas. One explanation for this could be because functional diversity is an abundance-weighted metric that is easily influenced by the proliferation of generalist and disturbance tolerant species. Urbanization could also result in humans providing other sources of food through human modification of habitats. For example, the gardens, refuse dumps and ornamental plants could provide additional sources of food in urban areas (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B70">Pauw and Louw, 2012</xref>).</p>
<p>Our findings reveal variability in the relationship between the urbanization measures and bird community metrics, thus highlighting the importance of employing various metrics in evaluating the effects of urbanization on bird communities (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B56">Matuoka et&#xa0;al., 2020</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B89">Sol et&#xa0;al., 2020</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B47">Lee et&#xa0;al., 2021</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B72">Petersen et&#xa0;al., 2022</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B90">Su&#xe1;rez-Castro et&#xa0;al., 2022</xref>). These findings are critical for managing landscapes especially in the face of growing urbanization. HMI negatively influenced taxonomic diversity, taxonomic richness and functional richness but had an unstable relationship with functional diversity. Functional diversity initially declined with the human modification index, then followed by a subsequent increase in the functional diversity as the human modification increased. Our result suggests that though species richness declines, there may be no clear change in abundance along the urbanization gradient and in some cases certain species may inflate the total abundance of individuals (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">Chamberlain et&#xa0;al., 2017</xref>). One possible reason for this is that the total abundance may limit species richness such that where there are more individuals, the resources available may not be able to support more species, thus some species will have small populations, leading to their extirpation in such environments (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B35">Gaston, 2000</xref>). For this reason, species richness could be lower in cities (with higher human modification index), while functional diversity is either maintained (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B47">Lee et&#xa0;al., 2021</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B10">Callaghan et&#xa0;al., 2023</xref>) or higher as we have found. As more habitats are modified with increasing urbanization, there will be fewer habitats available to meet the niche requirement of bird communities (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B37">Grimm et&#xa0;al., 2008</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B69">Pautasso et&#xa0;al., 2011</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B67">Oliviera et al., 2017</xref>). For example, there is a decline in food availability along an urbanization gradient (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B86">Shochat et&#xa0;al., 2006</xref>), which thus limits the species found within the cities. However, cities may provide more feeding opportunities for raptors as well as reduced predation on them (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B15">Chace and Walsh, 2006</xref>). Thus, settlement-types with some natural habitats will provide more habitats to meet the natural requirements of more bird species, thus leading to an increase in taxonomic and functional richness.</p>
<p>Both the Human Modification Index (HMI) and the likelihood of urban expansion negatively influenced taxonomic diversity, taxonomic richness, and functional richness but positively influenced functional diversity. Our results suggest that although species richness declines, the overall abundance of individuals may not change clearly along the urbanization gradient. In some cases, certain species may disproportionately contribute to the total abundance (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">Chamberlain et&#xa0;al., 2017</xref>). One possible reason for this is that total abundance may limit species richness such that in environments with more individuals, available resources may not support additional species, leading to smaller populations and eventual extinction of some species (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B35">Gaston, 2000</xref>). Consequently, species richness could be lower in cities (with higher Human Modification Index), while functional diversity is either maintained (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B47">Lee et&#xa0;al., 2021</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B10">Callaghan et&#xa0;al., 2023</xref>) or higher, as we have found. As more habitats are modified with increasing urbanization, there will be fewer habitats available to meet the niche requirements of bird communities. For example, food availability declines along an urbanization gradient (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B86">Shochat et&#xa0;al., 2006</xref>), limiting the species found within cities.</p>
<p>Habitats are lost due to urbanization and specialists are replaced by generalists (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B22">De Coster et&#xa0;al., 2015</xref>), resulting in high species turnover rates. This could result in some niches not being utilized, thus providing opportunities for invasive species to explore (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B41">Jonason et&#xa0;al., 2017</xref>). Such opportunities could also lead to high populations of specific species, which could increase functional diversity in cities. For example, some studies have shown urbanized areas to have more individuals of fewer species (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B15">Chace and Walsh, 2006</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">Chamberlain et&#xa0;al., 2017</xref>). This is a probable reason why species richness declined while functional diversity increased with the urbanization gradient.</p>
<p>Furthermore, functional richness is determined by the presence or absence of specific traits in the niche space, while species-abundance-based diversity and differences among species influence functional diversity (RaoQ index) (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">Botta Duk&#xe1;t, 2005</xref>). This further highlights the effect that the number of individuals has on functional diversity. As a result, functional diversity may decrease if species richness increases. As species with unique traits are filtered out, it increases the average dissimilarity among species. On the other hand, both intermediary levels of urbanization and the MUAs had higher species richness due to the availability of suitable habitat, which allows the occurrence of both specialists and generalists. Additionally, if species occupying the same functional space replace each other, it does not influence functional trait diversity, thus masking species loss and changes in species composition when only functional diversity is considered (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B22">De Coster et&#xa0;al., 2015</xref>). For example, habitat loss had little or no influence on functional diversity but resulted in species loss and changes in species composition in forest bird communities (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B19">Coetzee and Chown, 2016</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B56">Matuoka et&#xa0;al., 2020</xref>). This highlights the need to incorporate more metrics in understanding the influence of urbanization on bird communities since functional diversity alone may not provide a comprehensive understanding of changes in bird communities.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s5" sec-type="conclusions">
<title>Conclusion</title>
<p>The continuous growth in population will cause more people to live in cities by 2050. This highlights the need for a functioning ecosystem as it is critical for human well-being (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B11">Cardinale et&#xa0;al., 2012</xref>). While our results add to the already existing body of knowledge on the effects of urbanization on bird communities, it also gives insight into the future. Our results provide evidence that urbanized areas will allow functional diversity to increase while functional richness, taxonomic richness and diversity decline. A hundred percent probability of urban expansion leads to decrease in taxonomic richness, functional richness and taxonomic diversity but at the same time results in a corresponding increase in functional diversity. This result is critical for landscape management and urban planning. We should be cautious to draw conclusions that functional diversity increasing with urbanization is positive as this may not necessarily benefit bird conservation, ecosystem functioning and human wellbeing. As generalists replace specialists, they are able to provide a wide range of functional traits within urban centers. With more generalists, there is high niche overlap which eventually causes functional redundancy. While increased functional diversity in urban environments may mitigate the impact of species loss on ecosystem function to some extent, the loss of specific species within the ecosystem results in the disappearance of their unique traits. This can create gaps within the ecosystem, particularly, in communities with lower functional redundancy (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B101">Winfree et&#xa0;al., 2015</xref>). The replacement of specialists by generalists can also lead to functional redundancy as some niches are left unoccupied. For instance, if insectivorous birds that control insect population (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B100">Whelan et&#xa0;al., 2015</xref>) are filtered out of the cities, it could lead to pest outbreaks. Also, an increase in green areas will result in a corresponding increase in habitat diversity within cities, thus creating more niches that meet the ecological needs of bird communities (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B67">Oliviera et al., 2017</xref>). We therefore suggest that urban planners should incorporate natural vegetation within urban centers to maintain other community and functional indices within urban centers.</p>
</sec>
</body>
<back>
<sec id="s6" sec-type="data-availability">
<title>Data availability statement</title>
<p>The original contributions presented in the study are included in the article/<xref ref-type="supplementary-material" rid="SM1">
<bold>Supplementary Material</bold>
</xref>. Further inquiries can be directed to the corresponding authors.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s7" sec-type="author-contributions">
<title>Author contributions</title>
<p>BD: Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Investigation, Methodology, Software, Validation, Visualization, Writing &#x2013; original draft, Writing &#x2013; review &amp; editing. PN: Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Investigation, Methodology, Software, Validation, Visualization, Writing &#x2013; original draft, Writing &#x2013; review &amp; editing. II: Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Investigation, Methodology, Software, Validation, Visualization, Writing &#x2013; original draft, Writing &#x2013; review &amp; editing. AK: Conceptualization, Funding acquisition, Investigation, Methodology, Project administration, Resources, Supervision, Validation, Writing &#x2013; original draft, Writing &#x2013; review &amp; editing. TT: Conceptualization, Data curation, Funding acquisition, Project administration, Resources, Supervision, Writing &#x2013; original draft, Writing &#x2013; review &amp; editing. SN: Data curation, Funding acquisition, Project administration, Resources, Validation, Writing &#x2013; original draft, Writing &#x2013; review &amp; editing. PN: Data curation, Resources, Supervision, Validation, Writing &#x2013; original draft, Writing &#x2013; review &amp; editing. CJ: Conceptualization, Supervision, Writing &#x2013; original draft, Writing &#x2013; review &amp; editing. BO: Project administration, Resources, Writing &#x2013; original draft, Writing &#x2013; review &amp; editing. UO: Conceptualization, Funding acquisition, Project administration, Resources, Supervision, Writing &#x2013; original draft, Writing &#x2013; review &amp; editing. AC: Resources, Supervision, Writing &#x2013; original draft, Writing &#x2013; review &amp; editing. RT: Conceptualization, Funding acquisition, Project administration, Resources, Supervision, Writing &#x2013; original draft, Writing &#x2013; review &amp; editing, Methodology.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s8" sec-type="funding-information">
<title>Funding</title>
<p>The author(s) declare financial support was received for the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article. The training workshops on analyzing citizen science data and communicating results, which contributed to this research, were funded by a UK Government Darwin Initiative grant (Grant #DARCC020) awarded to the Tropical Biology Association.</p>
</sec>
<ack>
<title>Acknowledgments</title>
<p>This work would not have been possible without the support of the Tropical Biology Association, in collaboration with the Kenya Bird Map and the Nigerian Bird Atlas Project, and the A.P. Leventis Ornithological Research Institute (APLORI). The training workshops on analyzing citizen science data and communicating results that contributed to this research were funded by a UK Government Darwin Initiative grant awarded to the Tropical Biology Association. We would also like to acknowledge the dedication of the citizen scientists whose tireless efforts in data collection have been invaluable in informing decisions that are shaping our planet today.</p>
</ack>
<sec id="s9" sec-type="COI-statement">
<title>Conflict of interest</title>
<p>The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s10" sec-type="ai-statement">
<title>Generative AI statement</title>
<p>The author(s) declare that no Generative AI was used in the creation of this manuscript.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s11" sec-type="disclaimer">
<title>Publisher&#x2019;s note</title>
<p>All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article, or claim that may be made by its manufacturer, is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s12" sec-type="supplementary-material">
<title>Supplementary material</title>
<p>The Supplementary Material for this article can be found online at: <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fcosc.2024.1503408/full#supplementary-material">https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fcosc.2024.1503408/full#supplementary-material</ext-link>
</p>
<supplementary-material xlink:href="DataSheet1.csv" id="SM1" mimetype="text/csv"/>
<supplementary-material xlink:href="DataSheet2.csv" id="SM2" mimetype="text/csv"/>
<supplementary-material xlink:href="Table1.docx" id="ST1" mimetype="application/vnd.openxmlformats-officedocument.wordprocessingml.document"/>
<supplementary-material xlink:href="Table2.docx" id="ST2" mimetype="application/vnd.openxmlformats-officedocument.wordprocessingml.document"/>
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