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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">Front. Cell Dev. Biol.</journal-id>
<journal-title>Frontiers in Cell and Developmental Biology</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="pubmed">Front. Cell Dev. Biol.</abbrev-journal-title>
<issn pub-type="epub">2296-634X</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name>Frontiers Media S.A.</publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">739097</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.3389/fcell.2021.739097</article-id>
<article-categories>
<subj-group subj-group-type="heading">
<subject>Cell and Developmental Biology</subject>
<subj-group>
<subject>Original Research</subject>
</subj-group>
</subj-group>
</article-categories>
<title-group>
<article-title>New Autophagy-Ferroptosis Gene Signature Predicts Survival in Glioma</article-title>
<alt-title alt-title-type="left-running-head">Zhou et&#x20;al.</alt-title>
<alt-title alt-title-type="right-running-head">Autophagy-Ferroptosis Genes in Glioma</alt-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Zhou</surname>
<given-names>Liwei</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
<uri xlink:href="https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/1389081/overview"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Jiang</surname>
<given-names>Zhengye</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
<uri xlink:href="https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/1092600/overview"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Shi</surname>
<given-names>Zhongjie</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Zhao</surname>
<given-names>Wenpeng</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Lu</surname>
<given-names>Zhenwei</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Xie</surname>
<given-names>Yuanyuan</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Zhang</surname>
<given-names>Bingchang</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Lu</surname>
<given-names>Hanwen</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname>Tan</surname>
<given-names>Guowei</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes">
<name>
<surname>Wang</surname>
<given-names>Zhanxiang</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="corresp" rid="c001">&#x2a;</xref>
<uri xlink:href="https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/1337286/overview"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="aff1">
<label>
<sup>1</sup>
</label>Department of Neurosurgery, Xiamen Key Laboratory of Brain Center, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xiamen University, <addr-line>Xiamen</addr-line>, <country>China</country>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>
<sup>2</sup>
</label>The Department of Neuroscience, Institute of Neurosurgery, School of Medicine, Xiamen University, <addr-line>Xiamen</addr-line>, <country>China</country>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>
<sup>3</sup>
</label>The School of Clinical Medicine, Fujian Medical University, <addr-line>Fuzhou</addr-line>, <country>China</country>
</aff>
<author-notes>
<fn fn-type="edited-by">
<p>
<bold>Edited by:</bold> <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/1172663/overview">Magali Humbert</ext-link>, HemostOD SA, Switzerland</p>
</fn>
<fn fn-type="edited-by">
<p>
<bold>Reviewed by:</bold> <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/153176/overview">Erik Vassella</ext-link>, University of Bern, Switzerland</p>
<p>
<ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/407130/overview">Paola Matarrese</ext-link>, National Institute of Health (ISS), Italy</p>
</fn>
<corresp id="c001">&#x2a;Correspondence: Zhanxiang Wang, <email>WangZX@xmu.edu.cn</email>
</corresp>
<fn fn-type="other">
<p>This article was submitted to Cell Death and Survival, a section of the journal Frontiers in Cell and Developmental Biology</p>
</fn>
</author-notes>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>15</day>
<month>11</month>
<year>2021</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="collection">
<year>2021</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>9</volume>
<elocation-id>739097</elocation-id>
<history>
<date date-type="received">
<day>10</day>
<month>07</month>
<year>2021</year>
</date>
<date date-type="accepted">
<day>19</day>
<month>10</month>
<year>2021</year>
</date>
</history>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright &#xa9; 2021 Zhou, Jiang, Shi, Zhao, Lu, Xie, Zhang, Lu, Tan and Wang.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2021</copyright-year>
<copyright-holder>Zhou, Jiang, Shi, Zhao, Lu, Xie, Zhang, Lu, Tan and Wang</copyright-holder>
<license xlink:href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">
<p>This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these&#x20;terms.</p>
</license>
</permissions>
<abstract>
<p>
<bold>Background:</bold> Ferroptosis plays an important role in glioma and significantly affects the prognosis, but the specific mechanism has not yet been elucidated. Recent studies suggest that autophagy regulates the process of ferroptosis. This study aimed to find potential autophagy-ferroptosis genes and explore the prognostic significance in glioma.</p>
<p>
<bold>Methods:</bold> Ferroptosis and autophagy genes were obtained from two online databases (zhounan.org/ferrdb and autophagy.lu/). The RNAseq data and clinical information were obtained from the Chinese Glioma Genome Atlas (CGGA) database (<ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="http://www.cgga.org.cn/">http://www.cgga.org.cn/</ext-link>). Univariate, multivariate, lasso and Cox regression analysis screened out prognosis-related genes, and a risk model was constructed. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis evaluated the predictive efficiency of the model. Finally, a nomogram was constructed to more accurately predict the prognosis of glioma.</p>
<p>
<bold>Results:</bold> We developed a Venn diagram showing 23&#x20;autophagy-ferroptosis genes. A total of 660 cases (including RNA sequences and complete clinical information) from two different cohorts (training group <italic>n</italic>&#x20;&#x3d; 413, verification group <italic>n</italic>&#x20;&#x3d; 247) of the CGGA database was acquired. Cohorts were screened to include five prognosis-related genes (<italic>MTOR</italic>, <italic>BID</italic>, <italic>HSPA5</italic>, <italic>CDKN2A</italic>, <italic>GABARAPLA2</italic>). Kaplan-Meier curves showed that the risk model was a good prognostic indicator (<italic>p</italic>&#x20;&#x3c; 0.001). ROC analysis showed good efficacy of the risk model. Multivariate Cox analysis also revealed that the risk model was suitable for clinical factors related to prognosis, including type of disease (primary, recurrence), grade (III-IV), age, temozolomide treatment, and 1p19q state. Using the five prognosis-related genes and the risk score, we constructed a nomogram assessed by C-index (0.7205) and a calibration plot that could more accurately predict glioma prognosis.</p>
<p>
<bold>Conclusion:</bold> Using a current database of autophagy and ferroptosis genes, we confirmed the prognostic significance of autophagy-ferroptosis genes in glioma, and we constructed a prognostic model to help guide treatment for high grade glioma in the future.</p>
</abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd>ferroptosis</kwd>
<kwd>autophagy</kwd>
<kwd>glioma</kwd>
<kwd>prognosis</kwd>
<kwd>risk model</kwd>
</kwd-group>
<contract-sponsor id="cn001">National Natural Science Foundation of China<named-content content-type="fundref-id">10.13039/501100001809</named-content>
</contract-sponsor>
<contract-sponsor id="cn002">Natural Science Foundation of Fujian Province<named-content content-type="fundref-id">10.13039/501100003392</named-content>
</contract-sponsor>
</article-meta>
</front>
<body>
<sec id="s1">
<title>Introduction</title>
<p>Glioma is the most common primary malignant tumor in the brain. Current treatments for glioma include surgical resection, chemotherapy, radiotherapy, immunotherapy, and electric field therapy. Although many treatments exist, prognosis has not significantly improved (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B8">Duffau and Taillandier, 2015</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B24">Tan et&#x20;al., 2020</xref>). Traditionally, gliomas have been divided into grades I-IV in pathological classification, of which grades I-II belong to low grades, and grades III-IV belong to high grades. According to the latest WHO classification in 2016, molecular pathology is now included in the classification of gliomas (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B15">Louis et&#x20;al., 2016</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B27">White et&#x20;al., 2020</xref>). This change shows the importance of molecular pathology for the diagnosis and treatment of glioma. Currently, molecular markers that affect prognosis have been identified for gliomas, but no exact and efficient target for clinical application yet exists.</p>
<p>Studies have found that ferroptosis plays an important role in nervous system tumors and notably affects the prognosis of gliomas (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B2">Buccarelli et&#x20;al., 2018</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B25">Wan et&#x20;al., 2021</xref>). Ferroptosis was initially described as a unique type of regulated cell death that is, observed in oncogenic <italic>RAS</italic>-mutated cancer cells and that is, distinct from apoptosis, necrosis, and autophagy at the morphological, biochemical, and genetic levels (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">Dixon et&#x20;al., 2012</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B28">Xie et&#x20;al., 2016</xref>). However, increasing evidence challenges these early observations and suggests that the autophagic machinery, at least under certain conditions, contributes to ferroptosis.</p>
<p>
<italic>BECN1</italic> is a key regulator of autophagy. The <italic>BECN1-SLC7A11</italic> complex directly inhibits the activity of systemXc (-) and promotes ferroptosis (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B12">Kang et&#x20;al., 2018</xref>). <italic>Nrf2</italic> is a key anti-ferroptosis transcription factor in liver cancer, and it can inhibit ferroptosis induced by sorafenib and erastin through the <italic>p62-keap1-Nrf2</italic> pathway (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B23">Sun et&#x20;al., 2016</xref>). <italic>RAB7A</italic> can mediate the degradation of lipid droplets by the lipophagy pathway, increase the level of intracellular lipids, promote lipid peroxidation, and promote the ferroptosis of liver cancer cells induced by <italic>RSL3</italic>. Knockdown of the <italic>RAB7A</italic> gene inhibits lipophages and the degradation of lipid droplets, which can reverse <italic>RSL3</italic>-induced cell ferroptosis (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1">Bai et&#x20;al., 2019</xref>). <italic>NCOA4</italic> targets ferritin to the lysosome for autophagic degradation, increases unstable iron levels in cells, promotes reactive oxygen species production, and leads to cell ferroptosis. Knockout of the <italic>NCOA4</italic> gene inhibits ferritin autophagy, alleviates iron overload, and reverses erastin-induced cell ferroptosis (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B17">Mancias et&#x20;al., 2014</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">Mancias et&#x20;al., 2015</xref>).</p>
<p>However, the relationship between autophagy and ferroptosis in tumors is complex; Autophagy not only promotes but also inhibits ferroptosis. Adjusting autophagy activity to promote ferroptosis of tumor cells is of great significance to cancer treatment. Little research on the autophagy-ferroptosis connection in glioma has been conducted. In this study, we screened autophagy-ferroptosis genes using RNA sequences and clinical data in the Chinese Glioma Genome Atlas (CGGA) database. The purpose of this study was to investigate and verify the expression characteristics of autophagy-ferroptosis genes to predict the prognosis of glioma. This study also established a new predictive nomogram for related genes to more accurately assess the prognosis of glioma. These selected genes also provide a basis for subsequent research.</p>
</sec>
<sec sec-type="materials|methods" id="s2">
<title>Materials and Methods</title>
<sec id="s2-1">
<title>Patient Data</title>
<p>The RNAseq data and clinical information of a training group and a verification group were obtained from the CGGA database (<ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="http://www.cgga.org.cn/">http://www.cgga.org.cn/</ext-link>); all data were complete and uniform (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B30">Zhao et&#x20;al., 2017</xref>). We normalized gene expression by the RPKM (transcriptome reads per kilobase reads per million reads) method (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B18">Mortazavi et&#x20;al., 2008</xref>). The study process is shown in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F1">Figure&#x20;1</xref>.</p>
<fig id="F1" position="float">
<label>FIGURE 1</label>
<caption>
<p>Study process.</p>
</caption>
<graphic xlink:href="fcell-09-739097-g001.tif"/>
</fig>
</sec>
<sec id="s2-2">
<title>Construction and Verification of Risk Models</title>
<p>Univariate and lasso regression analysis screened for the best prognosis-related genes with <italic>p</italic>&#x20;&#x3c; 0.01. A prognostic risk model for predicting overall survival (OS) was established. Patients with glioma were divided into high and low expression groups according to their median expression levels of prognosis-related genes. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis evaluated the relationship between the expression levels of prognostic-related genes and OS. Then, the correlations between the risk model and clinical characteristics were analyzed.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2-3">
<title>Enrichment Analysis and Protein-Protein Interaction Network Construction</title>
<p>Gene Set Enrichment Analysis (GSEA) was used to enrich signal pathways between the low- and high-risk groups of patients with glioma (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B22">Subramanian et&#x20;al., 2005</xref>). The cutoff criteria were a &#x7c;normalized enrichment score (NES)&#x7c; &#x3e; 1.5 and a nominal <italic>p</italic>&#x20;&#x3c; 0.05. A protein-protein interaction (PPI) network of autophagy-ferroptosis genes was constructed to understand the relationship among&#x20;genes.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2-4">
<title>Construction and Verification of Nomogram</title>
<p>A nomogram was constructed according to the five prognosis-related genes to more accurately predict the prognosis for patients with glioma (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B11">Iasonos et&#x20;al., 2008</xref>). This constructed allowed investigation of the 1-, 3-, 5-, 7-, and 9-years survival rates of patients with glioma. The concordance index (C-index) was calculated, and a calibration curve was plotted to assess the discrimination and accuracy of the nomogram.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2-5">
<title>Statistical Analysis</title>
<p>All statistical analysis were performed with R (version 3.63, <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="http://www.r-project.org/">http://www.r-project.org/</ext-link>).</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec sec-type="results" id="s3">
<title>Results</title>
<sec id="s3-1">
<title>Patient Database</title>
<p>Data from 660 patients with glioma were collected after missing values (RNAseq data and clinical characteristics) were excluded. Of this total, data from 413 patients were collected as a training group, and data from 247 patients were collected as a verification group. The clinical characteristics of the two cohorts are shown in <xref ref-type="table" rid="T1">Table&#x20;1</xref>.</p>
<table-wrap id="T1" position="float">
<label>TABLE 1</label>
<caption>
<p>Clinical characteristics.</p>
</caption>
<table>
<thead valign="top">
<tr>
<th align="left">Clinical characteristics</th>
<th align="center">Training group (<italic>n</italic>&#x20;&#x3d; 413)</th>
<th align="center">Verification group (<italic>n</italic>&#x20;&#x3d; 247)</th>
<th align="center">
<italic>P</italic>
</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody valign="top">
<tr>
<td colspan="4" align="left">Age</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">&#x2003;&#x3c; 50</td>
<td align="char" char=".">294</td>
<td align="char" char=".">164</td>
<td rowspan="2" align="char" char=".">0.2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">&#x2003;&#x2265; 50</td>
<td align="char" char=".">119</td>
<td align="char" char=".">83</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="4" align="left">Gender</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">&#x2003;Female</td>
<td align="char" char=".">182</td>
<td align="char" char=".">98</td>
<td rowspan="2" align="char" char=".">0.27</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">&#x2003;Male</td>
<td align="char" char=".">231</td>
<td align="char" char=".">149</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="4" align="left">Type</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">&#x2003;Primary</td>
<td align="char" char=".">248</td>
<td align="char" char=".">194</td>
<td rowspan="2" align="char" char=".">&#x3c; 0.05</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">&#x2003;Recurrence</td>
<td align="char" char=".">165</td>
<td align="char" char=".">53</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="4" align="left">Grade</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">&#x2003;II</td>
<td align="char" char=".">47</td>
<td align="char" char=".">81</td>
<td rowspan="3" align="char" char=".">&#x3c; 0.05</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">&#x2003;III</td>
<td align="char" char=".">87</td>
<td align="char" char=".">64</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">&#x2003;IV</td>
<td align="char" char=".">279</td>
<td align="char" char=".">102</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="4" align="left">
<italic>IDH</italic> mutation</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">&#x2003;Yes</td>
<td align="char" char=".">228</td>
<td align="char" char=".">125</td>
<td rowspan="2" align="char" char=".">0.25</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">&#x2003;No</td>
<td align="char" char=".">185</td>
<td align="char" char=".">122</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="4" align="left">1p19q codeletion</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">&#x2003;Yes</td>
<td align="char" char=".">87</td>
<td align="char" char=".">50</td>
<td rowspan="2" align="char" char=".">0.8</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">&#x2003;No</td>
<td align="char" char=".">326</td>
<td align="char" char=".">197</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="4" align="left">MGMT</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">&#x2003;Yes</td>
<td align="char" char=".">244</td>
<td align="char" char=".">125</td>
<td rowspan="2" align="char" char=".">0.03</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">&#x2003;No</td>
<td align="char" char=".">169</td>
<td align="char" char=".">122</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="4" align="left">Radiation therapy</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">&#x2003;Yes</td>
<td align="char" char=".">328</td>
<td align="char" char=".">198</td>
<td rowspan="2" align="char" char=".">0.82</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">&#x2003;No</td>
<td align="char" char=".">85</td>
<td align="char" char=".">49</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="4" align="left">TMZ therapy</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">&#x2003;Yes</td>
<td align="char" char=".">324</td>
<td align="char" char=".">158</td>
<td rowspan="2" align="char" char=".">&#x3c; 0.05</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left">&#x2003;No</td>
<td align="char" char=".">89</td>
<td align="char" char=".">89</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</table-wrap>
</sec>
<sec id="s3-2">
<title>Construction and Verification of Risk Models</title>
<p>Overall, 147 autophagy genes were obtained from an online database (<ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="http://www.autophagy.lu/">http://www.autophagy.lu/</ext-link>) (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B26">Wang et&#x20;al., 2019</xref>), and 150 ferroptosis genes were obtained from an online database (<ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="http://www.zhounan.org/">http://www.zhounan.org/</ext-link>) (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B31">Zheng et&#x20;al., 2021</xref>). A constructed Venn diagram displayed 23&#x20;autophagy-ferroptosis genes (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="F2">Figure&#x20;2A</xref>). Univariate and lasso regression analysis screened for five prognosis-related genes (<italic>MTOR</italic>, <italic>BID</italic>, <italic>HSPA5</italic>, <italic>CDKN2A</italic>, and <italic>GABARAPLA2</italic>) (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="F2">Figures 2B&#x2013;D</xref>). The risk score was defined as 0.40 &#xd7; <italic>HSPA5</italic> &#x2b; 0.34 &#xd7; <italic>MTOR</italic> &#x2212; 0.33 &#xd7; <italic>BID</italic> &#x2212; 0.08 &#xd7; <italic>CDKN2A</italic> &#x2212; 0.33 &#xd7; <italic>GABARAPLA2</italic>. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis using the survival package estimated the associations between the expression levels of the prognosis-related genes and OS (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="F3">Figure&#x20;3A</xref>). The prognostic performance was evaluated using time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis within 1, 3, 5, 7, and 9&#xa0;years to evaluate the predictive accuracy of the prognostic model (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="F3">Figure&#x20;3B</xref>). The risk curve and risk status, risk heat maps, risk scatter plots, and PCA were drawn to evaluate the model&#x2019;s ability to distinguish between high- and low-risk groups (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="F3">Figures 3C,D</xref>). Then, the relationship between risk models and clinical characteristics was explored. Type, grade, age, temozolomide use, and 1p19q state were the risk factors associated with prognosis in glioma (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="F4">Figure&#x20;4A</xref>). This risk model is applicable to these clinical risk factors except WHO grade II (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="F5">Figure&#x20;5</xref>). The expression of the five prognosis-related genes was explored in relation to different clinical characteristics as well (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="F4">Figure&#x20;4B</xref>).</p>
<fig id="F2" position="float">
<label>FIGURE 2</label>
<caption>
<p>
<bold>(A)</bold> Venn diagram showing that 23 genes have dual functions of autophagy and iron death. <bold>(B&#x2013;D)</bold> Univariate and lasso regression screened the best prognosis-related genes.</p>
</caption>
<graphic xlink:href="fcell-09-739097-g002.tif"/>
</fig>
<fig id="F3" position="float">
<label>FIGURE 3</label>
<caption>
<p>
<bold>(A)</bold> The risk model of the experimental group and the validation group (<italic>p</italic>&#x20;&#x3c; 0.001). <bold>(B)</bold> The receiver operating characteristic curve suggests that the risk model has good short-term and long-term predictive values between the training and verification groups. <bold>(C)</bold> Component analysis suggests that the model can accurately distinguish high- and low-risk groups. <bold>(D)</bold> The risk curve and risk status show the survival status of the patient as the score increases. The risk heat map shows the expression of prognosis-related genes in the high- and low-risk groups.</p>
</caption>
<graphic xlink:href="fcell-09-739097-g003.tif"/>
</fig>
<fig id="F4" position="float">
<label>FIGURE 4</label>
<caption>
<p>
<bold>(A)</bold> Univariate and multivariate analyses screened clinical factors related to prognosis.<bold>(B)</bold> The relationship between the expression of five prognosis-related genes and clinical characteristics (&#x2a;<italic>p</italic>&#x20;&#x3c; 0.05, &#x2a;&#x2a;<italic>p</italic>&#x20;&#x3c; 0.01, &#x2a;&#x2a;&#x2a;<italic>p</italic>&#x20;&#x3c; 0.001).</p>
</caption>
<graphic xlink:href="fcell-09-739097-g004.tif"/>
</fig>
<fig id="F5" position="float">
<label>FIGURE 5</label>
<caption>
<p>The relationship between risk model and clinical characters. The model is not applicable to WHO grade II glioma (<italic>p</italic>&#x20;&#x3e; 0.05).</p>
</caption>
<graphic xlink:href="fcell-09-739097-g005.tif"/>
</fig>
</sec>
<sec id="s3-3">
<title>GSEA Enrichment Analysis and PPI Construction</title>
<p>Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) pathway analysis showed no significant enrichment in the high-risk group (<italic>p</italic>&#x20;&#x3e; 0.05); in the low-risk group, the main pathways of enrichment were in basal cell carcinoma, linoleic acid metabolism, and mature-onset diabetes of the young (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="F6">Figure&#x20;6B</xref>). <italic>MTOR</italic> had the strongest correlation of 23&#x20;autophagy-ferroptosis genes in PPI (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="F6">Figures 6C&#x2013;E</xref>).</p>
<fig id="F6" position="float">
<label>FIGURE 6</label>
<caption>
<p>
<bold>(A)</bold> Nomogram based on five prognosis-related genes (left) and calibration curves for 1, 5, and 9&#x20;years (right). <bold>(B)</bold> The main pathway enrichments were in basal cell carcinoma, linoleic acid metabolism, and mature-onset diabetes of the young. <bold>(C, D)</bold> Protein-protein interaction network suggesting that <italic>MTOR</italic> has the most extensive links. <bold>(E)</bold> Positive and negative correlations among 23&#x20;autophagy-ferroptosis genes.</p>
</caption>
<graphic xlink:href="fcell-09-739097-g006.tif"/>
</fig>
</sec>
<sec id="s3-4">
<title>Prognosis of Different Glioma Subgroups</title>
<p>There were significant prognostic differences in 4 glioma subgroups (GBM IDH wildtype, GBM IDH mutant, Oligodendroglioma II-III, Astrocytoma II-III) (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="F7">Figure&#x20;7</xref>). 15&#x20;autophagy-ferroptosis genes were analyzed (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="F8">Figure&#x20;8</xref>). The prognostic genes of GBM IDH mutant were HSPA5 and NFE2L2; GBM IDH wildtype were ATG7 and MAPK9; A/AA group includes BID, LAMP2 and MAPK3; ATG5, BECN1, GABARAPL1 and HSPA5 were prognostic genes in the O/AO subgroup; In the clinical risk assessment (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="F8">Figure&#x20;8</xref>), Type (primary/recurrence), radiotherapy, and TMZ were prognostic factors for GBM IDH wildtype; Type (primary/recurrence) and Grade were prognostic factors for O/AO.</p>
<fig id="F7" position="float">
<label>FIGURE 7</label>
<caption>
<p>Prognostic differences in 4 glioma subgroups. GBM IDH wildtype; GBM IDH mutant; O/AO (Oligodendroglioma II/Anaplastic oligodendrocytoma III); A/AA (Astrocytoma II/Anaplastic astrocytoma III).</p>
</caption>
<graphic xlink:href="fcell-09-739097-g007.tif"/>
</fig>
<fig id="F8" position="float">
<label>FIGURE 8</label>
<caption>
<p>Autophagy-ferroptosis prognostic gene <bold>(A)</bold> and clinical risk assessment <bold>(B)</bold> in different subgroups of glioma.</p>
</caption>
<graphic xlink:href="fcell-09-739097-g008.tif"/>
</fig>
</sec>
<sec id="s3-5">
<title>Construction and Verification of Nomogram</title>
<p>A nomogram was built for accurately predicting 1-, 3-, 5-, 7-, and 9-years OS. The five prognosis-related genes were added to the prediction model (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="F6">Figure&#x20;6A</xref>). The discrimination and accuracy of the nomogram were evaluated by C-index and calibration. The C-index was 0.72 in the training group and was 0.74 in verification group. Calibration curves of 1-, 5-, and 9-years survival rates were relatively close between prediction and observation.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec sec-type="discussion" id="s4">
<title>Discussion</title>
<p>Previous study explains the specific mechanism of ferroptosis in glioma. <italic>ATF4</italic> increases tumor angiogenesis and vascular structure shaping in an <italic>xCT</italic> activity-dependent manner, and downregulating <italic>ATF4</italic> expression can enhance the sensitivity of nerve tumor cells, which control the proliferation and vasculature of tumors, to ferroptosis (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B4">Chen et&#x20;al., 2017</xref>). The overexpression of <italic>Nrf2</italic> and the knockout of <italic>Keap1</italic> can promote the proliferation and migration of tumor cells by upregulating the activity of <italic>xCT</italic>, thus changing the tumor microenvironment and inhibiting ferroptosis (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B9">Fan et&#x20;al., 2017</xref>). The combined use of temozolomide and ferroptosis inducers can improve the therapeutic effect on glioma cells (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B21">Sehm et&#x20;al., 2016</xref>). However, the mechanism of ferroptosis remains unclear. Although ferroptosis differs from other types of regulated cell death, studies have found that autophagy can regulate the process of ferroptosis. Few studies on autophagy-ferroptosis in gliomas have been conducted. In one study, amentoflavone treatment led to reduced cell viability and cell death by triggering ferroptosis in an autophagy-dependent manner in glioma (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">Chen et&#x20;al., 2020</xref>). Additional study of autophagy-ferroptosis may provide new concepts to treat glioma in the future.</p>
<p>In this study, we first identified 23 genes with dual functions of autophagy and ferroptosis. We designated these genes as autophagy-ferroptosis genes to distinguish them from the autophagy-dependent ferroptosis pathway, and because the relationship between the autophagy and ferroptosis genes has not been elucidated in previous studies, to our knowledge. We conducted various methods of statistical analysis, such as lasso regression, Cox regression, ROC curve analysis, and GSEA. We found that the risk model constructed by autophagy-ferroptosis genes are independently related to glioma prognosis. Summarized in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F9">Figure&#x20;9</xref>. Our model can improve the therapeutic effect of TMZ and the prognosis of high-grade gliomas, except for low-grade gliomas. Among the prognostic-related molecular subtypes included in the 2016 WHO guidelines, IDH wild type, MGMT unmethylated, and 1p19q no deletion showed poor prognosis. The model can also significantly improve the prognosis in these subtypes. This is a very promising result and provides a direction for future multi-target research. The disadvantage is that other molecular markers such as p53, TERT, EGFRv III, miR-181d etc can not be analyzed due to lack of relevant data in CGGA. Further exploring the expression differences of each gene, it is found that the expression differences of all genes are significantly related to the tumor grade, especially in grade IV gliomas, which further enhances the application value of the model in high-grade gliomas. In the high- and low-risk groups of the model, all genes also show expression differences, which implies that the selected genes are credible, because the expression differences gene are the basis for studying the pathogenic mechanism. Previous literature reported that gender differences in glioblastoma, estrogen and testosterone can affect the tumor microenvironment and thus change the prognosis, but our model has good predictive value in female and male without the discrepancy. The mechanism to overcome this gender difference is still need further research. With the continuous discovery of new molecular markers and the clinical application of new technologies such as immunotherapy and viral therapy, it is unclear whether the new theory will affect the predictive value of the&#x20;model.</p>
<fig id="F9" position="float">
<label>FIGURE 9</label>
<caption>
<p>Summary: The lower right is the application value of the model, which can predict the 1, 3, 5, 7, and 9-years survival rate; The upper right is the scope of application of the model, which can be applied to IDH1 mutation/wild type, MGMT methylation/unmethylation, 1p19q deletion/no deletion, female/male, WHO III-IV glioma, except WHO II glioma; On the left is the expression of the five genes that constructing the model in different clinical characters. The express difference can provide a direction for future basic&#x20;study.</p>
</caption>
<graphic xlink:href="fcell-09-739097-g009.tif"/>
</fig>
<p>We identified five autophagy-ferroptosis genes related to prognosis: <italic>MTOR</italic>, <italic>BID</italic>, <italic>HSPA5</italic>, <italic>CDKN2A</italic>, and <italic>GABARAPLA2</italic>. In the previous literature, both the autophagy inducer rapamycin and the ferroptosis activator <italic>RSL3</italic> blocked <italic>MTOR</italic> activation and caused <italic>GPX4</italic> protein degradation in human pancreatic cancer cells, <italic>GPX4</italic> depletion enhances the anticancer activity of rapamycin and <italic>RSL3 in&#x20;vitro</italic> or <italic>in vivo</italic>. In gestational diabetes, upregulated <italic>SIRT3</italic> enhanced autophagy activation by promoting the <italic>AMPK-mTOR</italic> pathway and decreasing <italic>GPX4</italic> levels to induce ferroptosis in trophoblastic cells (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B10">Han et&#x20;al., 2020</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B14">Liu et&#x20;al., 2021</xref>). Although studies involving <italic>BID</italic> have focused on autophagy and ferroptosis individually (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B13">Lamparska-Przybysz et&#x20;al., 2006</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B29">Yang et&#x20;al., 2013</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B20">Oppermann et&#x20;al., 2014</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B19">Neitemeier et&#x20;al., 2017</xref>), it remains unclear whether <italic>BID</italic> is involved in an autophagy-dependent ferroptosis pathway. <italic>HSPA5</italic> has inhibited autophagy and ferroptosis separately in previous studies (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B3">Cerezo and Rocchi, 2017</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B32">Zhu et&#x20;al., 2017</xref>; <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B6">Chen et&#x20;al., 2019</xref>). Studies with <italic>CDKN2A</italic> and <italic>GABARAPLA2</italic> have not yet been reported. Basic biology requires experiments (<italic>in vivo</italic> or <italic>in&#x20;vitro</italic>) and clinical studies to verify the functional characteristics of these&#x20;genes.</p>
</sec>
<sec sec-type="conclusion" id="s5">
<title>Conclusion</title>
<p>Using databases of autophagy and ferroptosis genes, we explored the prognostic significance of autophagy-ferroptosis genes in glioma and constructed a prognostic model to help improve care for patients with high grade glioma in the future.</p>
</sec>
</body>
<back>
<sec id="s6">
<title>Data Availability Statement</title>
<p>The original contributions presented in the study are included in the article/Supplementary Material, further inquiries can be directed to the corresponding author.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s7">
<title>Author Contributions</title>
<p>LW contributed to conception, design and the first draft of the manuscript of the study. ZY, ZJ, HW, and WP performed the statistical analysis. ZW, YY, and BC performed the figures and table. GW and ZX reviewed drafts and edits. All authors contributed to manuscript revision, read, and approved the submitted version.</p>
</sec>
<sec sec-type="COI-statement" id="s8">
<title>Conflict of Interest</title>
<p>The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.</p>
</sec>
<sec sec-type="disclaimer" id="s9">
<title>Publisher&#x2019;s Note</title>
<p>All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article, or claim that may be made by its manufacturer, is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.</p>
</sec>
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