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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">Front. Cardiovasc. Med.</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>Frontiers in Cardiovascular Medicine</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="pubmed">Front. Cardiovasc. Med.</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub">2297-055X</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name>Frontiers Media S.A.</publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.3389/fcvm.2025.1597796</article-id>
<article-version article-version-type="Version of Record" vocab="NISO-RP-8-2008"/>
<article-categories>
<subj-group subj-group-type="heading">
<subject>Original Research</subject>
</subj-group>
</article-categories>
<title-group>
<article-title>Risk factors for hematuria during indwelling urinary catheterization in acute myocardial infarction: a comparative analysis using logistic regression and decision tree</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes" equal-contrib="yes">
<name><surname>Zhang</surname><given-names>Jia</given-names></name>
<xref ref-type="corresp" rid="cor1">&#x002A;</xref>
<xref ref-type="author-notes" rid="an1"><sup>&#x2020;</sup></xref>
<uri xlink:href="https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/1973699/overview"/>
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<contrib contrib-type="author" equal-contrib="yes">
<name><surname>Huang</surname><given-names>Song Bin</given-names></name>
<xref ref-type="author-notes" rid="an1"><sup>&#x2020;</sup></xref>
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<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name><surname>Peng</surname><given-names>Dan Ni</given-names></name>
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<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name><surname>Huang</surname><given-names>Jin</given-names></name>
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<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name><surname>Chen</surname><given-names>Yan Jie</given-names></name>
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<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name><surname>Yang</surname><given-names>Ling Ling</given-names></name>
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<aff id="aff1"><institution>Heyuan People&#x2019;s Hospital</institution>, <city>Heyuan</city>, <country country="cn">China</country></aff>
<author-notes>
<corresp id="cor1"><label>&#x002A;</label><bold>Correspondence:</bold> Jia Zhang <email xlink:href="mailto:562232317@qq.com">562232317@qq.com</email></corresp>
<fn fn-type="equal" id="an1"><label>&#x2020;</label><p>These authors have contributed equally to this work</p></fn>
</author-notes>
<pub-date publication-format="electronic" date-type="pub" iso-8601-date="2025-11-14"><day>14</day><month>11</month><year>2025</year></pub-date>
<pub-date publication-format="electronic" date-type="collection"><year>2025</year></pub-date>
<volume>12</volume><elocation-id>1597796</elocation-id>
<history>
<date date-type="received"><day>21</day><month>03</month><year>2025</year></date>
<date date-type="rev-recd"><day>06</day><month>10</month><year>2025</year></date>
<date date-type="accepted"><day>04</day><month>11</month><year>2025</year></date>
</history>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>&#x00A9; 2025 Zhang, Huang, Peng, Huang, Chen and Yang.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2025</copyright-year><copyright-holder>Zhang, Huang, Peng, Huang, Chen and Yang</copyright-holder><license><ali:license_ref start_date="2025-11-14">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ali:license_ref>
<license-p>This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY)</ext-link>. The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.</license-p></license>
</permissions>
<abstract><sec><title>Objective</title>
<p>This study aimed to systematically identify risk factors for urinary catheter-related hematuria in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI). By integrating logistic regression and decision tree models, we sought to develop actionable strategies for risk stratification and complication prevention.</p>
</sec><sec><title>Methods</title>
<p>A retrospective analysis of 209 AMI patients was conducted to evaluate predictors of hematuria, including demographics, coagulation indices (INR, platelets), and procedural variables. Logistic regression and decision tree (CART algorithm) models were employed to identify risk factors and their interactions. Model performance was assessed using ROC-AUC, sensitivity, and specificity.</p>
</sec><sec><title>Results</title>
<p>The incidence of catheter-related hematuria was 32.5&#x0025;. Both models identified persistent agitation during catheter indwelling and PLT&#x2009;&#x2264;&#x2009;246 as common predictors. The logistic regression model specifically identified Gender (OR&#x2009;&#x003D;&#x2009;0.202), patient awareness of catheter purpose and precautions (OR&#x2009;&#x003D;&#x2009;0.470), and emergency catheter placement (OR&#x2009;&#x003D;&#x2009;2.257) as significant factors. The decision tree model uniquely identified INR&#x2009;&#x003E;&#x2009;0.955 and repeated complaints of urethral pain as predictors.</p>
</sec><sec><title>Conclusion</title>
<p>Hematuria in AMI patients results from coagulation dysfunction, procedural trauma, and behavioral factors. The combined use of logistic regression and decision trees enhances risk stratification. Clinical strategies should prioritize gentle catheterization, dynamic coagulation monitoring, and patient education to reduce complications.</p>
</sec>
</abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd>acute myocardial infarction</kwd>
<kwd>hematuria</kwd>
<kwd>logistic regression</kwd>
<kwd>decision tree</kwd>
<kwd>machine learning</kwd>
</kwd-group><funding-group>
<funding-statement>The author(s) declare financial support was received for the research and/or publication of this article. Heyuan City Social Development Science and Technology Plan Project (211216101475213), Research Project of Guangdong Nurses Association (gdshsxh2021a011), Medical Science and Technology Research Foundation of Guangdong Province (A2022508).</funding-statement>
</funding-group>
<counts>
<fig-count count="2"/>
<table-count count="4"/><equation-count count="0"/><ref-count count="27"/><page-count count="9"/><word-count count="5670"/></counts><custom-meta-group><custom-meta><meta-name>section-at-acceptance</meta-name><meta-value>Clinical and Translational Cardiovascular Medicine</meta-value></custom-meta></custom-meta-group>
</article-meta>
</front>
<body><sec id="s1" sec-type="background"><label>1</label><title>Background</title>
<p>According to the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021, acute myocardial infarction (AMI) is the leading cause of death worldwide, with approximately 8.6 million deaths per year, accounting for 44.7&#x0025; of total deaths from cardiovascular diseases (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1">1</xref>).While contemporary guidelines emphasize rapid re-vascularization and anti-thrombotic therapy (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B2">2</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B3">3</xref>), yet critical iatrogenic risks like catheter-related hematuria remain unaddressed in these guidelines.</p>
<p>At present, nursing studies for AMI patients mostly focus on the construction and optimization of early rehabilitation interventions (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B4">4</xref>), psychosocial support (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">5</xref>), and standardized complication prevention and control pathways (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B6">6</xref>). However, despite the important clinical value of indwelling urinary catheterization in the management of critically ill patients, there are still significant gaps in systematic studies on complications associated with indwelling urinary catheterization in AMI patients. Existing literature shows that complications such as hematuria and urinary tract infection may occur during indwelling urinary catheterization, but relevant studies are mostly limited to common inpatients (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">7</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B8">8</xref>). It is worth noting that the risk of catheterism-related hematuria in AMI patients may be significantly higher than that of the general population due to special pathophysiological states such as high-intensity anticoagulation and antiplatelet therapy and hemodynamic instability (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B9">9</xref>). Hematuria not only exacerbates patient distress but may necessitate anticoagulant cessation, jeopardizing reperfusion efficacy (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B10">10</xref>). Notably, the 2023 ESC (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B2">2</xref>) and 2025 ACC/AHA (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B3">3</xref>) lack recommendations on catheter-complication prevention.</p>
<p>Conventional statistical approaches (e.g., logistic regression) often fail to capture clinically critical interactions, particularly in AMI patients where anticoagulant-ischemia-procedure interactions dominate hematuria pathogenesis. Decision tree models address this by identifying threshold-based risk strata (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B11">11</xref>), but their utility in AMI-specific iatrogenic injury prediction remains untested.</p>
<p>Therefore, this study pursues dual objectives: (1) Primarily, to identify clinically modifiable risk factors for catheter-related hematuria in AMI patients through multidimensional analysis of demographic, procedural, and laboratory variables. (2) Secondarily, to compare the predictive performance and complementary value of logistic regression vs. decision tree models for clinical risk stratification.</p>
<p>We hypothesize that machine learning approaches more effectively characterize nonlinear risk interactions specific to AMI pathophysiology.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2" sec-type="methods"><label>2</label><title>Methods</title>
<sec id="s2a"><label>2.1</label><title>Study design and participants</title>
<p>A convenience sample of 209 AMI patients admitted to a tertiary hospital cardiovascular center (December 2020&#x2013;December 2022) was retrospectively analyzed. Inclusion criteria: (1) AMI diagnosis per Chinese guidelines; (2) ST-elevation myocardial infarction; (3) indwelling catheterization during hospitalization. Exclusion criteria: (1) preexisting hepatic/hematologic disorders, malignancy, or non-AMI anticoagulant use; (2) coma. This study was approved by the Institutional Review Board of Heyuan People&#x0027;s Hospital (Approval No. 2021-RE-026). Written informed consent was obtained from all individual participants or their legal guardians prior to data collection.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2b"><label>2.2</label><title>Variables and measurements</title>
<p>The binary outcome was hematuria occurrence (yes/no). Hematuria was objectively defined as the presence of &#x2265;5 red blood cells per high-power field (RBCs/HPF) on microscopic examination of a centrifuged urine specimen (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B12">12</xref>). Any documented episode of gross hematuria in the medical record was also considered a positive outcome. Twenty-four covariates spanning demographics, urological history, catheterization procedural details, and laboratory indices (e.g., PLT, INR, PT) were evaluated. To ensure methodological rigor, we operationalized key variables through standardized definitions detailed in <xref ref-type="table" rid="T1">Table&#x00A0;1</xref>. This standardization enabled consistent data collection across clinical scenarios. According to the method of sample size calculation, the sample size was obtained from 5 to 10 times of the number of variables (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B15">15</xref>), and the sample size was calculated to be 120&#x2013;240 cases.</p>
<table-wrap id="T1" position="float"><label>Table&#x00A0;1</label>
<caption><p>Operational definitions of key variables.</p></caption>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th valign="top" align="left">Variable</th>
<th valign="top" align="center">Definition</th>
<th valign="top" align="center">Assessment method</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Emergency catheter placement</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Order-to-insertion time &#x2264;10&#x2005;min</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Electronic Medical Record timestamp audit</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Acute agitation during catheter insertion</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">RASS&#x2265;&#x002B;2 (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B13">13</xref>) OR volitional catheter contact (from urethral meatus contact to balloon inflation)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Real-time nurse observation</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Indwelling catheterization process smoothly</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Catheter placement achieving all of the following: (1) first-attempt success (2) no procedural interruption &#x003E;30&#x2005;s (3) nurse-rated smoothness of &#x201C;smooth&#x201D; or &#x201C;very smooth&#x201D;</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Nurse documentation and post-procedure questionnaire</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Persistent agitation during catheter indwelling</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x2265;2 episodes of RASS &#x2265;&#x002B;2 in 24&#x2005;h OR volitional catheter contact (post-inflation to removal)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Real-time nurse observation</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Urinary fixed properly</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Zero hazardous tension: (1) No visible urethral meatus traction; (2) Drainage bag weight fully supported (not dependent on tubing).</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Bedside nurses assessment per 8&#x2005;h</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Repeated complaints of urethral pain</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Frequency &#x0026; Severity: (1) &#x2265;3 discrete episodes in 24&#x2005;h; (2) Each episode: Numeric Rating Scale (NRS) &#x2265;4 (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B14">14</xref>)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">NRS screening per 8&#x2005;h</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Patient was aware of the purpose and precautions of the indwelling catheter</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">The patient demonstrated two components: (1) Correct language expression of preventive measures; (2) Display of protective measures and hazard identification</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Knowledge assessment and behavioral observation</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</table-wrap>
</sec>
<sec id="s2c"><label>2.3</label><title>Bias mitigation</title>
<p>To address limitations of the retrospective design, we implemented a tripartite bias mitigation protocol: (1) Procedural standardization was enforced using the CAUTI bundle guidelines (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">16</xref>), ensuring consistent catheter insertion/maintenance techniques across all cases; (2) Blinding of outcome assessors to predictor variable status prevented detection bias during hematuria adjudication; (3) Multivariable adjustment for clinically relevant confounders (age and renal function) minimized residual confounding in regression models.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s2d"><label>2.4</label><title>Statistical analysis</title>
<p>Complete variable assignment details (including coding logic for all 24 covariates) are documented in <xref ref-type="sec" rid="s12">Supplementary Table S1</xref>. Continuous variables were compared via <italic>t</italic>-tests; categorical variables via <italic>&#x03C7;</italic><sup>2</sup> or Fisher&#x0027;s exact tests.</p>
<p>All candidate variables with a univariate <italic>P</italic>&#x2009;&#x003C;&#x2009;0.1 were entered into the logistic regression and decision tree model. Multicollinearity was assessed using the variance inflation factor (VIF), with a threshold of VIF &#x003E;5 indicating severe collinearity. Due to severe collinearity between INR and PT (VIF &#x003E;10), one of them had to be excluded from the multivariate logistic regression model to ensure stability and interpretability. We opted to retain PT and exclude INR for the following reasons: (1) PT, as a direct measure of clotting time in seconds, offers more intuitive clinical interpretability in our STEMI cohort managed primarily with antiplatelet therapy; (2) PT represents the fundamental measurement from which INR is derived, making it a more robust and statistically stable choice for regression analysis. It is important to note that the clinically relevant information contained in INR was subsequently captured by the decision tree model, which identified a threshold of INR &#x003E;0.955, thus demonstrating the complementary nature of our two-model approach.</p>
<p>Decision tree modeling employed the Classification and Regression Trees (CART) algorithm with Gini impurity minimization as the splitting criterion. Key parameters included: (1) Maximum tree depth: 5; (2) Minimum cases in parent node: 50; (3) Minimum cases in child node: 5; (4) Pruning via cost-complexity pruning (<italic>&#x03B1;</italic>&#x2009;&#x003D;&#x2009;0.01) and 10-fold cross-validation. Model performance was assessed via ROC-AUC, sensitivity, specificity, and Youden&#x0027;s index.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="s3"><label>3</label><title>Result</title>
<sec id="s3a"><label>3.1</label><title>Basic characteristics</title>
<p>Among 209 AMI patients with indwelling urinary catheters, hematuria occurred in 68 cases (32.5&#x0025;). As detailed in <xref ref-type="table" rid="T2">Table&#x00A0;2</xref>, significant risk factors encompassed behavioral aspects such as persistent agitation during catheterization (57.97&#x0025; vs. 20.00&#x0025;, <italic>P</italic>&#x2009;&#x003C;&#x2009;0.001), emergency catheter placement (45.24&#x0025; vs. 24.00&#x0025;, <italic>P</italic>&#x2009;&#x003D;&#x2009;0.001), and repeated urethral pain complaints (52.94&#x0025; vs. 22.70&#x0025;, <italic>P</italic>&#x2009;&#x003C;&#x2009;0.001), demographic differences with higher incidence in males (39.13&#x0025; vs. 19.72&#x0025; in females, <italic>P</italic>&#x2009;&#x003D;&#x2009;0.005), as well as coagulation indicator characterized by elevated platelets (<italic>P</italic>&#x2009;&#x003D;&#x2009;0.003) and lower INR (<italic>P</italic>&#x2009;&#x003D;&#x2009;0.094). No significant associations were observed for age, cystitis history, catheter material, or thrombolytic therapy (<italic>P</italic>&#x2009;&#x003E;&#x2009;0.1) (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B17">17</xref>).</p>
<table-wrap id="T2" position="float"><label>Table&#x00A0;2</label>
<caption><p>General and hematuria-related characteristics of the study participants (<italic>N</italic>&#x2009;&#x003D;&#x2009;209).</p></caption>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th valign="top" align="left" rowspan="2">Categories</th>
<th valign="top" align="center">Total</th>
<th valign="top" align="center">No hematuria (<italic>n</italic>&#x2009;&#x003D;&#x2009;141)</th>
<th valign="top" align="center">Hematuria (<italic>n</italic>&#x2009;&#x003D;&#x2009;68)</th>
<th valign="top" align="center" rowspan="2"><italic>&#x03C7;</italic><sup>2</sup>/<italic>t</italic></th>
<th valign="top" align="center" rowspan="2"><italic>P</italic></th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th valign="top" align="center"><italic>n</italic> (&#x0025;) or Mean&#x2009;&#x00B1;&#x2009;SD</th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><italic>n</italic> (&#x0025;) or Mean&#x2009;&#x00B1;&#x2009;SD</th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><italic>n</italic> (&#x0025;) or Mean&#x2009;&#x00B1;&#x2009;SD</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Age</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center">2.131</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.345</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x2003;&#x003C;60</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">49 (23.44)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">33 (67.35)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">16 (32.65)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x2003;60&#x2013;75</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">81 (38.76)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">59 (72.84)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">22 (27.16)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x2003;&#x003E;75</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">79 (37.80)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">49 (62.03)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">30 (37.97)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Gender</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center">8.048</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"><bold>0</bold><bold>.</bold><bold>005</bold></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x2003;Male</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">138 (66.03)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">84 (60.87)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">54 (39.13)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x2003;Female</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">71 (33.97)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">57 (80.28)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">14 (19.72)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Cystitis</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.300</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.584</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x2003;No</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">158 (75.6)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">105 (66.46)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">53 (33.54)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x2003;Yes</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">51 (24.4)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">36 (70.59)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">15 (29.41)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">History of hematuria (last six months)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.493</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.483</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x2003;No</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">147 (70.33)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">97 (65.99)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">50 (34.01)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x2003;Yes</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">62 (29.67)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">44 (70.97)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">18 (29.03)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">History of urethral surgery</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.489</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.484</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x2003;No</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">148 (70.81)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">102 (68.92)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">46 (31.08)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x2003;Yes</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">61 (29.19)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">39 (63.93)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">22 (36.07)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Urinary tract infections</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.002</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.966</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x2003;No</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">151 (72.25)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">102 (67.55)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">49 (32.45)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x2003;Yes</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">58 (27.75)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">39 (67.24)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">19 (32.76)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Urinary systemmatic calculi</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.238</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.266</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x2003;No</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">127 (60.77)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">82 (64.57)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">45 (35.43)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x2003;Yes</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">82 (39.23)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">59 (71.95)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">23 (28.05)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Urinary tube specification</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x2003;16Fr</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">203 (97.13)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">137 (67.49)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">66 (32.51)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x2003;&#x003C;16Fr</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">6 (2.87)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">4 (66.67)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">2 (33.33)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Emergency catheter placement</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center">10.324</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"><bold>0</bold><bold>.</bold><bold>001</bold></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x2003;No</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">125 (59.81)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">95 (76.00)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">30 (24.00)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x2003;Yes</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">84 (40.19)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">46 (54.76)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">38 (45.24)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Catheter material</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.221</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.269</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x2003;Silica gel</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">128 (61.24)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">90 (70.31)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">38 (29.69)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x2003;Latex</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">81 (38.76)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">51 (62.96)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">30 (37.04)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Acute agitation during catheter insertion</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.365</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.546</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x2003;No</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">162 (77.51)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">111 (68.52)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">51 (31.48)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x2003;Yes</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">47 (22.49)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">30 (63.83)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">17 (36.17)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Indwelling catheterization process smoothly</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.301</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.254</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x2003;No</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">101 (48.33)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">72 (71.29)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">29 (28.71)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x2003;Yes</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">108 (51.67)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">69 (63.89)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">39 (36.11)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Persistent agitation during catheter indwelling</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center">30.36</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"><bold>0</bold><bold>.</bold><bold>000</bold></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x2003;No</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">140 (66.99)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">112 (80.00)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">28 (20.00)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x2003;Yes</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">69 (33.01)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">29 (42.03)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">40 (57.97)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Urinary fixed properly</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.229</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.268</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x2003;No</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">119 (56.94)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">84 (70.59)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">35 (29.41)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x2003;Yes</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">90 (43.06)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">57 (63.33)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">33 (36.67)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Repeated complaints of urethral pain</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center">19.120</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"><bold>0</bold><bold>.</bold><bold>000</bold></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x2003;No</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">141 (67.46)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">109 (77.30)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">32 (22.70)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x2003;Yes</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">68 (32.54)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">32 (47.06)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">36 (52.94)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Patient was aware of the purpose and precautions of the indwelling catheter</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center">6.745</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"><bold>0.009</bold></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x2003;No</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">93 (44.50)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">54 (58.06)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">39 (41.94)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x2003;Yes</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">116 (55.50)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">87 (75.00)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">29 (25.00)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Thrombolytic therapy</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.005</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.944</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x2003;No</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">139 (66.51)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">94 (44.98)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">45 (21.53)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x2003;Yes</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">70 (33.49)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">47 (22.49)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">23 (11.00)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Treatment</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.183</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.553</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x2003;Primary PCI</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">121 (57.89)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">78 (64.46)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">43 (35.54)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x2003;Post-thrombolysis PCI</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">70 (33.5)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">50 (71.43)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">20 (28.57)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x2003;Post-thrombolysis CAG</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">18 (8.6)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">13 (72.22)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">5 (27.78)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
<td valign="top" align="center"/>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x2003;PLT (&#x002A;10<sup>9</sup>)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">236.172&#x2009;&#x00B1;&#x2009;78.382</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">213.118&#x2009;&#x00B1;&#x2009;63.941</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">247.291&#x2009;&#x00B1;&#x2009;82.392</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">3.01</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"><bold>0</bold><bold>.</bold><bold>003</bold></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x2003;PT(s)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">13.409&#x2009;&#x00B1;&#x2009;1.968</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">13.989&#x2009;&#x00B1;&#x2009;3.108</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">13.129&#x2009;&#x00B1;&#x2009;0.942</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x2212;2.231</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"><bold>0</bold><bold>.</bold><bold>029</bold></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x2003;INR</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.061&#x2009;&#x00B1;&#x2009;0.589</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.202&#x2009;&#x00B1;&#x2009;1.014</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.993&#x2009;&#x00B1;&#x2009;0.094</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x2212;1.699</td>
<td valign="top" align="center"><bold>0</bold><bold>.</bold><bold>094</bold></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x2003;APTT(s)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">42.036&#x2009;&#x00B1;&#x2009;34.376</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">45.535&#x2009;&#x00B1;&#x2009;38.725</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">40.348&#x2009;&#x00B1;&#x2009;32.081</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x2212;1.022</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.308</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x2003;FIB</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">5.55&#x2009;&#x00B1;&#x2009;19.961</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">4.09&#x2009;&#x00B1;&#x2009;1.435</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">6.25&#x2009;&#x00B1;&#x2009;24.279</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.731</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.466</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x2003;TT</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">24.02&#x2009;&#x00B1;&#x2009;32.267</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">27.60&#x2009;&#x00B1;&#x2009;38.777</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">22.30&#x2009;&#x00B1;&#x2009;28.601</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x2212;1.114</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.267</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table-wrap-foot>
<fn id="TF1"><p>Percentages in No Hematuria and Hematuria columns represent proportions within each category.</p></fn>
<fn id="table-fn2a"><p>Bold values indicate <italic>P</italic>&#x2009;&#x003C;&#x2009;0.1.</p></fn>
<fn id="TF2"><p><italic>P</italic>&#x2009;&#x003C;&#x2009;0.05 was considered statistically significant.</p></fn>
<fn id="TF3"><p>CAG, coronary angiography; PCI, percutaneous coronary intervention bold; PLT, platelet count; PT, prothrombin time; INR, International Normalized Ratio; APTT, activated partial thromboplastin time; FIB, fibrinogen; TT, thrombin time.</p></fn>
</table-wrap-foot>
</table-wrap>
</sec>
<sec id="s3b"><label>3.2</label><title>Logistic regression analysis of factors affecting hematuria in patients with AMI during indwelling urinary catheterization</title>
<p>Using whether hematuria occurred as the dependent variable (coded as 0&#x2009;&#x003D;&#x2009;no, 1&#x2009;&#x003D;&#x2009;yes), variables with statistical significance in univariate analysis (<italic>P</italic>&#x2009;&#x003C;&#x2009;0.1) were included in the logistic regression model. The results of multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that emergency catheter placement, persistent agitation during catheter indwelling, and repeated complaints of urethral pain were risk factors for hematuria. Gender, patient awareness of the purpose and precautions of the indwelling catheter, PLT (&#x002A;10<sup>9</sup>), and INR were protective factors for hematuria, as detailed in <xref ref-type="table" rid="T3">Table&#x00A0;3</xref>.</p>
<table-wrap id="T3" position="float"><label>Table&#x00A0;3</label>
<caption><p>Logistic regression analysis of hematuria during catheter indentation in patients with acute myocardial infarction.</p></caption>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th valign="top" align="left">Variate</th>
<th valign="top" align="center">B</th>
<th valign="top" align="center">S.E</th>
<th valign="top" align="center">Wald</th>
<th valign="top" align="center">OR (95&#x0025; CI)</th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><italic>P</italic></th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Gender</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x2212;1.597</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.456</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">12.245</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.202 (0.083&#x2013;0.495)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Emergency catheter placement</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.814</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.373</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">4.757</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">2.257 (1.086&#x2013;4.692)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.029</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Persistent agitation during catheter indwelling</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.617</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.411</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">15.461</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">5.039 (2.250&#x2013;11.285)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Repeated complaints of urethral pain</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.15</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.405</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">8.067</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">3.158 (1.428&#x2013;6.983)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.005</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Patient was aware of the purpose and precautions of the indwelling catheter</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x2212;0.755</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.378</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">3.996</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.470 (0.224&#x2013;0.985)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.046</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">PLT (&#x00D7;10<sup>9</sup>/L)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x2212;0.008</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.003</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">7.181</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.992 (0.987&#x2013;0.998)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.007</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">PT(s)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.407</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.142</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">8.153</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1.502 (1.136&#x2013;1.986)</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.004</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Constant</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">&#x2212;5.049</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">2.021</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">6.243</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.006</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.012</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table-wrap-foot>
<fn id="TF4"><p>INR was excluded from the final model due to severe multicollinearity with PT (see Methods for details).</p></fn>
</table-wrap-foot>
</table-wrap>
</sec>
<sec id="s3c"><label>3.3</label><title>Performance metrics and decision tree architecture of prediction models</title>
<sec id="s3c1"><label>3.3.1</label><title>Head-to-head performance metrics</title>
<p>As detailed in <xref ref-type="table" rid="T4">Table&#x00A0;4</xref> and <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F1">Figure&#x00A0;1</xref>, both models demonstrated robust predictive capability for hematuria. The logistic regression model achieved higher sensitivity (86.8&#x0025; vs. 80.9&#x0025;), while the decision tree model offered superior specificity (76.6&#x0025; vs. 66.0&#x0025;). The decision tree also yielded a marginally higher area under the ROC curve (AUC&#x2009;&#x003D;&#x2009;0.845, 95&#x0025; CI: 0.789&#x2013;0.900) compared to the logistic regression model (AUC&#x2009;&#x003D;&#x2009;0.825, 95&#x0025; CI: 0.766&#x2013;0.883), a difference that was statistically significant.</p>
<table-wrap id="T4" position="float"><label>Table&#x00A0;4</label>
<caption><p>Comparison of analysis effect between logistic regression model and decision tree model.</p></caption>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th valign="top" align="left">Model</th>
<th valign="top" align="center">AUC</th>
<th valign="top" align="center">S.E.</th>
<th valign="top" align="center">95&#x0025; CI</th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><italic>P</italic></th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Logistic</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.825</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.03</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.766&#x2013;0.883</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Decision Tree</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.845</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.028</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.789&#x2013;0.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">0.000</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</table-wrap>
<fig id="F1" position="float"><label>Figure&#x00A0;1</label>
<caption><p>ROC curve predicted by decision tree and logistic regression model.</p></caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="fcvm-12-1597796-g001.tif"><alt-text content-type="machine-generated">ROC curve comparing logistic regression and decision tree models against a reference line. The x-axis represents 1-specificity, while the y-axis represents sensitivity. Both models achieve high sensitivity and specificity values, with the logistic regression showing a slightly better performance than the decision tree.</alt-text>
</graphic>
</fig>
</sec>
<sec id="s3c2"><label>3.3.2</label><title>Decision tree architecture and risk stratification</title>
<p>Beyond conventional metrics, the decision tree provided clinically actionable, granular risk stratification that logistic regression cannot directly offer. The CRT algorithm (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="F2">Figure&#x00A0;2</xref>) identified persistent agitation during catheter indwelling as the primary split node (Gini importance&#x2009;&#x003D;&#x2009;41.2&#x0025;), establishing it as the most influential predictor. The model generated three distinct risk stratification pathways: (1) High-risk pathway (<italic>n</italic>&#x2009;&#x003D;&#x2009;30, 14.4&#x0025; of cohort): Patients with persistent agitation and INR &#x003E;0.955 had a 73.3&#x0025; probability of hematuria. (2) Intermediate-risk pathway (<italic>n</italic>&#x2009;&#x003D;&#x2009;28, 13.4&#x0025; of cohort): Patients without agitation but with PLT&#x2009;&#x2264;&#x2009;246&#x2009;&#x00D7;&#x2009;10<sup>9</sup>/L and INR &#x003E;1.055 had a 50.0&#x0025; probability of hematuria. (3) Low-risk pathway (<italic>n</italic>&#x2009;&#x003D;&#x2009;151, 72.2&#x0025; of cohort): Patients without agitation, with PLT &#x003E;246&#x2009;&#x00D7;&#x2009;10<sup>9</sup>/L, and no repeated urethral pain had a 3.8&#x0025; probability of hematuria.</p>
<fig id="F2" position="float"><label>Figure&#x00A0;2</label>
<caption><p>Classification and regression tree model (<italic>N</italic>&#x2009;&#x003D;&#x2009;209).</p></caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="fcvm-12-1597796-g002.tif"><alt-text content-type="machine-generated">Decision tree diagram for hematuria analysis. Node 0 shows 67.5% with no hematuria and 32.5% with yes. It branches based on persistent agitation during indwelling catheter. The subsequent nodes further divide using INR and PLT values, showing percentages and counts for each category. Additional branching is based on repeated urethral pain. The path leads to different nodes, indicating the probability of hematuria presence based on given variables.</alt-text>
</graphic>
</fig>
<p>The relative importance of the predictors, as quantified by the normalized Gini decrease, was: persistent agitation (41.2&#x0025;)&#x2009;&#x003E;&#x2009;INR (28.5&#x0025;)&#x2009;&#x003E;&#x2009;platelet count (19.7&#x0025;)&#x2009;&#x003E;&#x2009;repeated urethral pain (10.6&#x0025;).</p>
</sec>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="s4" sec-type="discussion"><label>4</label><title>Discussion</title>
<sec id="s4a"><label>4.1</label><title>Key findings and mechanistic interpretations</title>
<p>The primary objective of this study was to identify clinically modifiable risk factors for catheter-related hematuria in AMI patients. Our analysis reveals a multifactorial etiology, wherein the interplay of coagulation dysfunction, procedural trauma, and behavioral factors creates a distinct high-risk phenotype. The incidence of catheter-related hematuria in this AMI cohort was 32.5&#x0025;, which is strikingly elevated compared to the rate of 8&#x0025;&#x2013;15&#x0025; reported in general inpatient populations (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">7</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B18">18</xref>). This disparity can be attributed to the unique pathophysiological profile of AMI patients, which is characterized by a high-risk interplay of coagulation impairment, procedural vulnerability, and hemodynamic compromise. For instance, reduced cardiac output in AMI may lead to bladder microcirculation disorders, and resultant mucosal ischemia could potentially exacerbate mechanical injury from catheter friction (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B19">19</xref>). The modifiable risk factors identified in this study can be conceptually organized into three key mechanistic domains.</p>
<sec id="s4a1"><label>4.1.1</label><title>Procedural and behavioral factors: the most potent predictors</title>
<list list-type="order">
<list-item>
<p>Persistent Agitation: Logistic regression analysis showed that the odds ratio (OR) for persistent agitation during catheter indwelling was 5.586 (<italic>P</italic>&#x2009;&#x003C;&#x2009;0.001). The decision tree model further identified it as the primary split node (Gini index&#x2009;&#x003D;&#x2009;0.32), contributing 41&#x0025; of the model&#x0027;s explanatory power, underscoring the critical role of minimizing mechanical trauma through adequate sedation or non-pharmacological calming techniques. The pathological mechanism lies in the fact that agitation caused by pain or anxiety can exacerbate mechanical friction between the catheter and the urethral mucosa, directly damaging vascular endothelial cells (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">7</xref>). For high-risk patients (e.g., those with an pain score &#x003E;4), it is recommended to administer a low dose of dexmedetomidine 10&#x2005;min before catheterization. Low-dose dexmedetomidine can significantly reduce the incidence of postoperative catheter-related bladder discomfort (CRBD). Randomized controlled trials have shown that dexmedetomidine reduces the incidence of Catheter-related Bladder Discomfort (CRBD) by 55&#x0025; (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B20">20</xref>), visualized procedural education or adequate communication can reduce the risk of catheter-related complications (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">7</xref>).</p></list-item>
<list-item>
<p>Emergency Catheter Placement: Emergency procedures significantly increased the risk (OR&#x2009;&#x003D;&#x2009;2.257, <italic>P</italic>&#x2009;&#x003D;&#x2009;0.029). Emergency operations often lead to insufficient lubrication and over-rapid balloon inflation (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B21">21</xref>) due to time constraints, increasing the risk of mucosal tearing (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">16</xref>). The European Association of Urology (EAU 2023) states that catheters must be adequately lubricated to minimize urethral damage during emergency catheterization. Sterile water-based lubricants should be preferred (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B22">22</xref>).</p></list-item>
<list-item>
<p>Patient Awareness: Patient awareness of the purpose and precautions of the indwelling catheter was a significant protective factor, associated with a 53&#x0025; reduction in the risk of hematuria (OR&#x2009;&#x003D;&#x2009;0.470, <italic>P</italic>&#x2009;&#x003D;&#x2009;0.046). This presents a low-cost, high-impact intervention strategy. While the decision tree does not reflect such social behavioral factors because it focuses more on the stratification of physiological indicators.</p></list-item>
</list>
</sec>
<sec id="s4a2"><label>4.1.2</label><title>Coagulation dysfunction: complementary insights from two modelling approaches</title>
<p>Our analysis robustly validates coagulation dysfunction as a central mechanism for hematuria, with logistic regression and decision tree models providing distinct yet complementary evidence.</p>
<p>The logistic regression model, isolating independent effects, identified Prolonged Prothrombin Time (PT) as a significant linear risk factor (OR&#x2009;&#x003D;&#x2009;1.502, <italic>P</italic>&#x2009;&#x003D;&#x2009;0.004), quantitatively confirming that anticoagulation therapy steadily increases hemorrhagic risk. The decision tree, designed to capture thresholds and interactions, pinpointed INR &#x003E;0.955 as a critical classifier for high-risk patients, specifically when combined with patient agitation.</p>
<p>The use of PT in regression and INR in the tree is not a discrepancy but a reflection of their mechanistic redundancy and model purposes. PT provides the general, adjusted effect of coagulopathy, while INR provides a specific, clinically actionable threshold for rapid triage. Together, they offer a complete picture: coagulopathy is a fundamental driver of risk, and its danger is acutely amplified in agitated patients even at a marginally elevated INR.For high-risk patients with both elevated INR (&#x003E;0.95) and decreased PLT (&#x003C;150&#x2009;&#x00D7;&#x2009;10<sup>9</sup>/L), a combined intervention strategy is required: &#x2460; Dynamic Monitoring: Use thromboelastography (TEG) to assess overall coagulation function, replacing single INR or PLT measurements. Adjust the intensity of anticoagulation dynamically based on the R value of TEG (8&#x2013;12&#x2005;min) to reduce the risk of excessive inhibition of coagulation factors (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B23">23</xref>). &#x2461; Stratified Management: When PLT &#x003C;150&#x2009;&#x00D7;&#x2009;10<sup>9</sup>/L, increase the prophylactic platelet transfusion threshold from 10&#x2009;&#x00D7;&#x2009;10<sup>9</sup>/L to 50&#x2009;&#x00D7;&#x2009;10<sup>9</sup>/L (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B24">24</xref>).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s4a3"><label>4.1.3</label><title>Demographic and other factors</title>
<p>Gender paradox: This study found that the risk of catheter-related hematuria in male patients was significantly lower than that in females (OR&#x2009;&#x003D;&#x2009;0.202, <italic>P</italic>&#x2009;&#x003C;&#x2009;0.001), which contrasts with the conventional anatomical view that male catheterization carries higher inherent risk. While this observed association requires further confirmation, we hypothesize that it could be explained by a combination of behavioral and pathophysiological factors, rather than anatomy alone. Several non-mutually exclusive hypotheses could be proposed to explain this finding: (1) Potential Operator Bias: Informal interviews with nursing staff suggested a perception of higher risk during male catheterization, which might lead to more cautious techniques (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B25">25</xref>) (e.g., gentler insertion, more generous lubrication) that could mitigate trauma. However, this was not objectively measured in our study. (2) Potential Anatomical and Pharmacological Interactions: The shorter female urethra could potentially be more susceptible to irritation from catheter movement (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B26">26</xref>). Furthermore, existing literature indicates that female AMI patients on clopidogrel may have a higher incidence of hyperplatelet reactivity (HPR) and an increased risk of mild bleeding events compared to males (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B27">27</xref>). It is plausible that the confluence of a more sensitive urethral anatomy and a sex-specific pharmacological profile could contribute to the elevated risk observed in females. The hypotheses outlined above regarding operator behavior and sex-specific pharmacodynamics are speculative and require rigorous validation in future prospective studies.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="s4b"><label>4.2</label><title>Synergistic model integration for enhanced clinical stratification</title>
<p>The integrative use of logistic regression and decision tree models provides a comprehensive and clinically actionable framework for hematuria risk stratification in AMI patients. While both models demonstrated robust predictive performance, they offer distinct and complementary insights: logistic regression quantifies the independent net effect of key variables (e.g., the protective role of patient education), while the decision tree model reveals critical interaction effects and threshold-based clinical pathways, enabling rapid triage. To translate these insights into bedside practice, we propose a sequential clinical workflow:
<list list-type="order">
<list-item>
<p>The process begins with rapid triage using the decision tree model (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="F2">Figure&#x00A0;2</xref>). Clinicians can initially assess for Persistent Agitation to immediately identify the highest-risk cohort. For non-agitated patients, subsequent evaluation of Platelet Count and INR further stratifies them into intermediate- or low-risk pathways. This entire process leverages readily available data to assign a risk level rapidly.</p></list-item>
<list-item>
<p>This initial triage then directly informs targeted, model-guided interventions. For patients in the high-risk pathway, the logistic regression model underscores the critical need to mitigate Emergency Catheter Placement (OR&#x2009;&#x003D;&#x2009;2.257) and aggressively manage Persistent Agitation (OR&#x2009;&#x003D;&#x2009;5.039). For those at intermediate risk, the strong protective effect of Patient Awareness (OR&#x2009;&#x003D;&#x2009;0.470) highlights patient education as a key modifiable intervention. Furthermore, a signal like Repeated Urethral Pain across both models should trigger enhanced monitoring for complications.</p></list-item>
</list>This synergistic approach&#x2014;using the decision tree for efficient stratification and the regression model for depth of intervention&#x2014;bridges the gap between prediction and prevention, offering a pragmatic blueprint for clinical implementation.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s4c"><label>4.3</label><title>Limitations</title>
<p>This study has the following limitations: Firstly, the single-center, retrospective design may lead to selection bias. Its research results still need to be validated in prospective, multi-center cohorts to enhance its universality. Secondly, our analysis did not stratify the risk of hematuria by clinical Settings (such as ICU and general wards), which may affect the occurrence and detection of hematuria.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="s5" sec-type="conclusions"><label>5</label><title>Conclusion</title>
<p>This study systematically identified the risk profile for catheter-related hematuria in AMI patients using both logistic regression and decision tree models. Logistic regression highlighted the impact of behavioral and demographic factors such as gender, emergency catheterization, and patient education, while the decision tree model revealed critical interactions between coagulation function and procedural behavior. The complementary strengths of these models provide a comprehensive framework for clinical risk assessment, bridging &#x201C;independent risk weights&#x201D; with &#x201C;stratified clinical pathways&#x201D;. We recommend their combined use to optimize risk stratification and guide personalized intervention strategies.</p>
</sec>
</body>
<back>
<sec id="s6" sec-type="data-availability"><title>Data availability statement</title>
<p>The raw data supporting the conclusions of this article will be made available by the authors, without undue reservation.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s7" sec-type="ethics-statement"><title>Ethics statement</title>
<p>The studies involving humans were approved by Medical Ethics Committee of Heyuan People&#x0027;s Hospital. The studies were conducted in accordance with the local legislation and institutional requirements. The participants provided their written informed consent to participate in this study. Written informed consent was obtained from the individual(s) for the publication of any potentially identifiable images or data included in this article.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s8" sec-type="author-contributions"><title>Author contributions</title>
<p>JZ: Writing &#x2013; review &#x0026; editing, Project administration, Methodology, Writing &#x2013; original draft. SH: Writing &#x2013; review &#x0026; editing, Investigation, Methodology, Project administration, Writing &#x2013; original draft, Data curation. DP: Conceptualization, Methodology, Writing &#x2013; review &#x0026; editing, Investigation, Funding acquisition, Data curation. JH: Data curation, Investigation, Writing &#x2013; review &#x0026; editing, Methodology. YC: Methodology, Investigation, Data curation, Writing &#x2013; review &#x0026; editing. LY: Data curation, Methodology, Investigation, Writing &#x2013; review &#x0026; editing.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s10" sec-type="COI-statement"><title>Conflict of interest</title>
<p>The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s11" sec-type="ai-statement"><title>Generative AI statement</title>
<p>The author(s) declare that no Generative AI was used in the creation of this manuscript.</p>
<p>Any alternative text (alt text) provided alongside figures in this article has been generated by Frontiers with the support of artificial intelligence and reasonable efforts have been made to ensure accuracy, including review by the authors wherever possible. If you identify any issues, please contact us.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s13" sec-type="disclaimer"><title>Publisher&#x0027;s note</title>
<p>All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article, or claim that may be made by its manufacturer, is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="s12" sec-type="supplementary-material"><title>Supplementary material</title>
<p>The Supplementary Material for this article can be found online at: <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fcvm.2025.1597796/full#supplementary-material">https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fcvm.2025.1597796/full&#x0023;supplementary-material</ext-link></p>
<supplementary-material xlink:href="Table1.xlsx" id="SM1" mimetype="application/vnd.openxmlformats-officedocument.spreadsheetml.sheet"/>
</sec>
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<fn-group>
<fn id="n1" fn-type="custom" custom-type="edited-by"><p>Edited by: <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/1544440/overview">Siyi He</ext-link>, General Hospital of Western Theater Command, China</p></fn>
<fn id="n2" fn-type="custom" custom-type="reviewed-by"><p>Reviewed by: <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/2911152/overview">Jinrui Dong</ext-link>, Tianjin University, China</p>
<p><ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/2977270/overview">Nismat Javed</ext-link>, Mount Sinai Morningside-BronxCare, United States</p></fn>
</fn-group>
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</article>