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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">Front. Cardiovasc. Med.</journal-id>
<journal-title>Frontiers in Cardiovascular Medicine</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="pubmed">Front. Cardiovasc. Med.</abbrev-journal-title>
<issn pub-type="epub">2297-055X</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name>Frontiers Media S.A.</publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.3389/fcvm.2022.861798</article-id>
<article-categories>
<subj-group subj-group-type="heading">
<subject>Cardiovascular Medicine</subject>
<subj-group>
<subject>Systematic Review</subject>
</subj-group>
</subj-group>
</article-categories>
<title-group>
<article-title>Association Between Asthma and All-Cause Mortality and Cardiovascular Disease Morbidity and Mortality: A Meta-Analysis of Cohort Studies</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name><surname>Zhang</surname> <given-names>Bin</given-names></name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref>
<xref ref-type="author-notes" rid="fn002"><sup>&#x02020;</sup></xref>
<uri xlink:href="http://loop.frontiersin.org/people/1349826/overview"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name><surname>Li</surname> <given-names>Zhi-Fei</given-names></name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2"><sup>2</sup></xref>
<xref ref-type="author-notes" rid="fn002"><sup>&#x02020;</sup></xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name><surname>An</surname> <given-names>Zhuo-Yu</given-names></name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3"><sup>3</sup></xref>
<xref ref-type="author-notes" rid="fn002"><sup>&#x02020;</sup></xref>
<uri xlink:href="http://loop.frontiersin.org/people/1207004/overview"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name><surname>Zhang</surname> <given-names>Li</given-names></name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2"><sup>2</sup></xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name><surname>Wang</surname> <given-names>Jing-Yi</given-names></name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2"><sup>2</sup></xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name><surname>Hao</surname> <given-names>Meng-Di</given-names></name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2"><sup>2</sup></xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name><surname>Jin</surname> <given-names>Yi-Jing</given-names></name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4"><sup>4</sup></xref>
<uri xlink:href="http://loop.frontiersin.org/people/1604114/overview"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name><surname>Li</surname> <given-names>Dong</given-names></name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5"><sup>5</sup></xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name><surname>Song</surname> <given-names>An-Jian</given-names></name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name><surname>Ren</surname> <given-names>Qiang</given-names></name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes">
<name><surname>Chen</surname> <given-names>Wen-Biao</given-names></name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff6"><sup>6</sup></xref>
<xref ref-type="corresp" rid="c001"><sup>&#x0002A;</sup></xref>
<uri xlink:href="http://loop.frontiersin.org/people/1642352/overview"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="aff1"><sup>1</sup><institution>Department of Cardiovascular Disease and Clinical Experimental Center, Jiangmen Central Hospital</institution>, <addr-line>Jiangmen</addr-line>, <country>China</country></aff>
<aff id="aff2"><sup>2</sup><institution>Aerospace Center Hospital</institution>, <addr-line>Beijing</addr-line>, <country>China</country></aff>
<aff id="aff3"><sup>3</sup><institution>Peking University People&#x00027;s Hospital</institution>, <addr-line>Beijing</addr-line>, <country>China</country></aff>
<aff id="aff4"><sup>4</sup><institution>Peking University First Hospital</institution>, <addr-line>Beijing</addr-line>, <country>China</country></aff>
<aff id="aff5"><sup>5</sup><institution>Department of Intensive Care Unit and Clinical Experimental Center, Jiangmen Central Hospital</institution>, <addr-line>Jiangmen</addr-line>, <country>China</country></aff>
<aff id="aff6"><sup>6</sup><institution>Department of Respiratory Medicine, People&#x00027;s Hospital of Longhua, The Affiliated Hospital of Southern Medical University</institution>, <addr-line>Shenzhen</addr-line>, <country>China</country></aff>
<author-notes>
<fn fn-type="edited-by"><p>Edited by: Rajeev Gupta, Mediclinic, United Arab Emirates</p></fn>
<fn fn-type="edited-by"><p>Reviewed by: Jayadevan Sreedharan, Gulf Medical University, United Arab Emirates; Tiny Nair, PRS Hospital, India</p></fn>
<corresp id="c001">&#x0002A;Correspondence: Wen-Biao Chen <email>chanwenbiao&#x00040;sina.com</email></corresp>
<fn fn-type="other" id="fn001"><p>This article was submitted to Cardiovascular Epidemiology and Prevention, a section of the journal Frontiers in Cardiovascular Medicine</p></fn>
<fn fn-type="equal" id="fn002"><p>&#x02020;These authors have contributed equally to this work and share first authorship</p></fn></author-notes>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>17</day>
<month>03</month>
<year>2022</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="collection">
<year>2022</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>9</volume>
<elocation-id>861798</elocation-id>
<history>
<date date-type="received">
<day>25</day>
<month>01</month>
<year>2022</year>
</date>
<date date-type="accepted">
<day>16</day>
<month>02</month>
<year>2022</year>
</date>
</history>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright &#x000A9; 2022 Zhang, Li, An, Zhang, Wang, Hao, Jin, Li, Song, Ren and Chen.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2022</copyright-year>
<copyright-holder>Zhang, Li, An, Zhang, Wang, Hao, Jin, Li, Song, Ren and Chen</copyright-holder>
<license xlink:href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/"><p>This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.</p></license> </permissions>
<abstract>
<sec>
<title>Background</title>
<p>Asthma and cardiovascular disease (CVD) share many risk factors. Previous meta-analyses indicated that asthma is associated with an increased risk of CVD and all-cause mortality, but these studies were limited by unstandardized search strategies and the number of articles included.</p></sec>
<sec>
<title>Objective</title>
<p>We sought to systematically synthesize evidence investigating the impact of asthma on all-cause mortality and CVD morbidity and mortality.</p></sec>
<sec>
<title>Methods</title>
<p>We searched in PubMed and EMBASE for observational cohort studies (inception dates to November 10, 2021) that had both asthma groups and control groups. We also manually searched the reference lists of correlative articles to include other eligible studies. Data for associations between asthma and all-cause mortality and CVD morbidity and mortality were needed.</p></sec>
<sec>
<title>Results</title>
<p>We summarized the findings from 30 cohort studies comprising 4,157,823 participants. Asthma patients had increased CVD morbidity [relative risk (RR) = 1.28, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.16&#x02013;1.40] and increased CVD mortality (RR = 1.25, 95% CI = 1.14&#x02013;1.38). Asthma patients also had increased risk of all-cause mortality (RR = 1.38, 95% CI = 1.07&#x02013;1.77). In subgroup analyses, female asthma patients had a higher risk of CVD morbidity and all-cause mortality than male asthma patients, and late-onset asthma patients had a higher risk of CVD morbidity than early-onset asthma patients.</p></sec>
<sec>
<title>Conclusion</title>
<p>Asthma patients have increased risk of all-cause mortality and CVD morbidity and mortality. This information reminds clinicians to be aware of the risk of CVD and all-cause mortality in asthma patients.</p></sec>
<sec>
<title>Systematic Review Registration</title>
<p><ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/display_record.php?ID=CRD42021290082">http://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO/</ext-link>, PROSPERO, identifier: CRD 42021290082.</p></sec></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd>asthma</kwd>
<kwd>cardiovascular disease</kwd>
<kwd>cardiovascular disease morbidity</kwd>
<kwd>cardiovascular disease mortality</kwd>
<kwd>all-cause mortality</kwd>
</kwd-group>
<counts>
<fig-count count="7"/>
<table-count count="1"/>
<equation-count count="0"/>
<ref-count count="54"/>
<page-count count="14"/>
<word-count count="6947"/>
</counts>
</article-meta>
</front>
<body>
<sec sec-type="intro" id="s1">
<title>Introduction</title>
<p>Asthma is the most common inflammatory chronic non-infectious pulmonary disease in adults and children, and is estimated to affect 334 million people worldwide (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1">1</xref>). Asthma is more common in developed countries and imposes a serious health and economic burden worldwide (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B2">2</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B3">3</xref>). Chronic airway inflammation and airway hyperresponsiveness are the main pathophysiological features of asthma, which manifests as progressive airway remodeling (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B4">4</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5">5</xref>). The pathogenesis of asthma involves immune-inflammatory mediators and neuromodulator mechanisms (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B6">6</xref>). Asthma and cardiovascular disease (CVD) share many risk factors, such as inflammation (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">7</xref>). Patients with asthma suffer from a chronic inflammatory state, and asthma patients have been shown to have persistently elevated levels of inflammatory factors, such as fibrinogen and tumor necrosis factor-1 (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B8">8</xref>). In addition, poor lung function and eosinophilia, which are characteristic of asthma, have been shown to be predictors of cardiovascular mortality (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B9">9</xref>&#x02013;<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B11">11</xref>).</p>
<p>As asthma is very common and the consequences of CVD are critical, understanding their relationship will provide useful information to clinicians treating patients with asthma. Moreover, the long-term prognosis of asthma patients is one of the crucial questions that need to be addressed in this field. Understanding the impact of asthma on long-term mortality and cardiovascular risk and mortality is important for the development of clinical practice guidelines.</p>
<p>Previous meta-analyses have indicated that asthma is associated with an increased risk of CVD and all-cause mortality, but these studies were limited by unstandardized search strategies and a failure to include recent, updated articles (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B12">12</xref>&#x02013;<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B14">14</xref>). To overcome these limitations and provide reliable conclusions, we conducted a systematic evaluation and meta-analysis to investigate the impact of asthma on all-cause mortality and CVD morbidity and mortality.</p></sec>
<sec sec-type="materials and methods" id="s2">
<title>Materials and Methods</title>
<p>We conducted this meta-analysis following Meta-Analysis of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (MOOSE) guidelines (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B15">15</xref>) and Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) (<xref ref-type="supplementary-material" rid="SM16">Supplementary Table 3</xref>). The meta-analysis was registered with the International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews (PROSPERO identifier: CRD 42021290082).</p>
<sec>
<title>Literature Search</title>
<p>We searched PubMed and Embase for cohort studies from inception to November 10, 2021, without language restrictions. See the <xref ref-type="supplementary-material" rid="SM1">Supplementary File</xref> for search details (<xref ref-type="supplementary-material" rid="SM14">Supplementary Table 1</xref>). We also included other eligible studies by manually searching the reference lists of former similar meta-analyses and relevant studies.</p></sec>
<sec>
<title>Eligibility Criteria</title>
<p>We included only observational cohort studies without publication time restriction. Both retrospective and prospective cohort studies were included if they had both asthma groups and control groups. Theoretically, in included studies, the difference between asthma groups and control groups should only be whether they had asthma or not. We excluded studies which only included specific asthma patients such as having ICS treatment or overlapping chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. To assess comparability between the asthma groups and the control groups, we included studies that provided baseline characteristics of the population. Outcome measures on the association between asthma and all-cause mortality or CVD morbidity and mortality were necessary. The total number of subjects in the studies must be &#x0003E;1,000 to reduce bias.</p></sec>
<sec>
<title>Data Extraction</title>
<p>A data collection table was made in advance. The correlative data were extracted by two investigators (Z-FL and Z-YA) independently. When there was disagreement, a third person (BZ) would assist in the discussion and make the final decisions. Any collected data were aggregate, and no individual-level data were included.</p></sec>
<sec>
<title>Quality Assessment</title>
<p>The risk of bias and quality of studies were evaluated by the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS) for cohort studies. The NOS ranges from 0 to 9 points. When the NOS is &#x0003C;6 points, the study would be regarded low quality; 6 or 7 points, the study would be regarded medium quality; and more than 7 points, the study would be regarded high quality. Two authors (LZ and J-YW) finished the quality evaluation. When there was disagreement, a third person (BZ) would assist in the discussion and make the final decisions.</p></sec>
<sec>
<title>Outcomes of Interest</title>
<p>Data for associations between asthma and all-cause mortality and CVD morbidity and mortality were needed, such as relative risk (RR), hazard ratios (HRs), or number of CVD events (morbidity, mortality) or all-cause deaths in the asthma and control groups.</p></sec>
<sec>
<title>Statistical Analysis</title>
<p>At first, we measured both adjusted and unadjusted RRs/HRs. Then, we pooled the adjusted RRs that were initially provided in the studies or estimated by the HRs. I<sup>2</sup> statistic were used to evaluate the heterogeneity of included studies. when I<sup>2</sup> &#x0003E;50%, significant heterogeneity was considered existing (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16">16</xref>) and the random-effects model was used. Funnel plots were used to evaluate publication bias. RevMan 5.4.1 (Nordic Cochrane Center, Cochrane Collaboration) were used to conduct all calculations and draw forest plots to show the results. Stata version 14.0 (Stata Corp., College Station, TX, USA) were used for sensitivity analysis.</p></sec></sec>
<sec sec-type="results" id="s3">
<title>Results</title>
<p>Thousand thirty nine studies were yielded by the electronic search of Pubmed and Embase databases and manual search. After applying the inclusion and exclusion criteria, 30 studies (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B17">17</xref>&#x02013;<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B46">46</xref>) were included in the meta-analysis, including 5 studies (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B42">42</xref>&#x02013;<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B46">46</xref>) assessed from the manual search and 25 studies (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B17">17</xref>&#x02013;<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B41">41</xref>) from the electronic database search (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="F1">Figure 1</xref>).</p>
<fig id="F1" position="float">
<label>Figure 1</label>
<caption><p>Flow chart of article selection process.</p></caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fcvm-09-861798-g0001.tif"/>
</fig>
<sec>
<title>Description of Studies</title>
<p>All 30 studies were observational cohort studies, including 25 prospective cohort studies and 5 retrospective cohort studies. We collected the baseline characteristics of each study (<xref ref-type="table" rid="T1">Table 1</xref>). These studies comprised 4,157,823 participants. Thirteen studies were done in Europe, 12 in North America, 3 in Oceania, and 2 in Asia. In our quality assessment used the NOS (<xref ref-type="supplementary-material" rid="SM15">Supplementary Table 2</xref>), 17 studies were regarded as high quality, 13 as medium quality, and none as low quality. Nine studies included male and female subgroups. Three studies included early and late-onset asthma subgroups.</p>
<table-wrap position="float" id="T1">
<label>Table 1</label>
<caption><p>Baseline characteristics of participants assessed in the studies included in the meta-analysis.</p></caption>
<table frame="hsides" rules="groups">
<thead><tr>
<th valign="top" align="left"><bold>Study authors, year of publication, location</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center" colspan="8" style="border-bottom: thin solid #000000;"><bold>Total</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="left"><bold>Define of cardiovascular diseases</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="left"><bold>Confounding factors adjusted for in the analyses</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="left"><bold>NOS score</bold></th>
</tr>
<tr style="border-bottom: thin solid #000000;">
<th/>
<th valign="top" align="left"><bold>Population</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="left"><bold>Participant number</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="left"><bold>Study type</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="center"><bold>Follow-up, mean or (range)</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="left"><bold>Age, range or (mean</bold> <bold>&#x000B1;SD)</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="left"><bold>Gender (female, %)</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="left"><bold>diagnosis criteria of asthma</bold></th>
<th valign="top" align="left"><bold>Comorbidities</bold>, <italic><bold>n</bold></italic> <bold>(%)</bold></th>
<th/>
<th/>
<th/>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Ingebri et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B42">42</xref>), 2020, Denmark</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">community</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">44,177</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">prospective</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">5.7</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">57.9 &#x000B1; 11.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">61%</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Self-reported</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">DM:2.8%</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">CHD, HF</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Age, gender, family history of CVD, smoking, BMI, HTN, DM, TC levels and physical activity in leisure time</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">8</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Bellia et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B44">44</xref>), 2007, Italy</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">hospital</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">1,233</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">prospective</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">4.8</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x0003E;65</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">53%</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Doctor diagnosis</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">CVD:15.7% CBVD:6.0% DM:12.2%</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">NA</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Age, gender, smoking habit, physical and cognitive, mood status, FEV1%, FVC%, FEV1/FVC, BMI, Charlson index of comorbidity, SGRQ, inhaled CS or &#x003B2;<sub>2</sub>adrenergic drugs</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">8</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Liss et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B45">45</xref>), 2000, Canada</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">hospital</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">2,400</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">prospective</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">8</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">17&#x02013;65</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">40%</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Doctor diagnosis</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">NA</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">IHD</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Period of birth, time period of accident, sex</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">6</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x000C7;olak et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B46">46</xref>), 2015, Denmark</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">community</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">42,489</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">prospective</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">4.5</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">20-100</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">59%</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Self-reported</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">NA</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">IHD</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">NA</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">7</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Lange et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B19">19</xref>),1996,Denmark</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">community</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">13,540</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">prospective</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">17</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x0003E;20</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">55%</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Self-reported</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">NA</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">ICD-8 (390-459)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Age, asthma, smoking habits, inhalation habits, length of school education, chronic mucus hypersecretion</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">8</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Ali et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B29">29</xref>), 2013, Denmark</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">community</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">2,150</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">prospective</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">25.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x0003E;15</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">60%</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Doctor diagnosis</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">NA</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">ICD-10 (DI20)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Age, FEV1%</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">8</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Dantzer et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B21">21</xref>), 2001, France</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">community</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">2,348</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">prospective</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">8</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x0003E;65</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">59%</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Self-reported</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">NA</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">NA</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Sex, educational level, marital status, cognitive impairment, smoking and a previous history of IHD, infarcts and cardiovascular accident.</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">7</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Diaz-Guzman et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B26">26</xref>), 2011, America</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">community</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">15,203</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">prospective</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">18</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x0003E;25</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">53%</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Self-reported</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">NA</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">NA</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Age, sex, race/ethnicity, smoking status, education level, BMI, reported respiratory disease and disease stage</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">7</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Huovinen et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B20">20</xref>), 1997, Finland</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">community</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">30,249</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">prospective</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">16</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x0003E;18</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">51%</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Doctor diagnosis</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">NA</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">NA</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Age, smoking, social class, pets, dogs, CB, dyspnea, hay fever</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">9</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Markowe et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B17">17</xref>), 1987, England and Wales</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">community</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">5,094</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">prospective</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">8.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">25-64</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">55%</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Doctor diagnosis</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">NA</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">ICD-8 (390-459)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">NA</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">8</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Ulrik and Frederiksen (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B18">18</xref>), 1995, Denmark</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">outpatient</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">2,150</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">prospective</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">8.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x0003E;15</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">60%</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Doctor diagnosis</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">NA</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">ICD-8(410)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">NA</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">8</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Vandentorren et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B22">22</xref>), 2003, France</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">community</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">1,4267</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">retrospective</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">25</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">25-59</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">52%</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Self-reported</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">NA</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">NA</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Age, sex, educational level, smoking habits, occupational exposure, FEV1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">8</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Chung et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B30">30</xref>), 2014, China</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">community</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">38,840</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">prospective</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">1-&#x02212;20</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x02265;18</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">54%</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Doctor diagnosis</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">HTN:32.5% DM:11.6% HPL:16.6% Stroke:8.7% HF:2.4% COPD:27.1%</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">ACS</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Age, sex, comorbidities of HTN, DM, HPL, stroke, HF and COPD</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">8</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Iribarren et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B23">23</xref>), 2004, America</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">community</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">151,620</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">retrospective</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">27</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">15-92</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">54%</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Doctor diagnosis</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">HTN:18.5% DM:18.0%</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">CHD</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Age, race/ethnicity, education level, smoking Status, alcohol consumption, BMI, serum TC, white blood cell count, HTN, DM, parental history of CHD, and occupational exposures.</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">7</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Iribarren et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B27">27</xref>), 2012, America</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">community</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">407,190</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">prospective</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">5.2-6.3</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x02265;18</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">52%</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Doctor diagnosis</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">HTN:7.2% DM:5.6% HPL:6.1%</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">CHD</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">DM, HTN, HPL, BMI, and smoking status, prior history of any allergy</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">7</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Onufrak et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B25">25</xref>), 2008, America</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">community</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">14,567</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">prospective</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">12-14</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">45-64</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">54%</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Self-reported</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">DM:10.9% HTN:33.5% CB:8.4%</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">CHD</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Age, BMI, black race, DM, HTN, education level, LDL-C, HDL-C, physical activity</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">8</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Schanen et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B24">24</xref>), 2005, America</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">community</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">1,3797</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">prospective</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">14</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">45-64</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">57%</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Self-reported</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">HTN:23.0% DM:10.4%</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">CHD</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Age, sex, race/center, HDL-C, LDL-C, systolic blood pressure, HTN medication use, smoking status, pack years, W/H ratio, DM, sport score</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">7</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Yun et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B28">28</xref>), 2012, America</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">community</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">7,176</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">retrospective</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">Asthma:2.9-13.2, control:1.9-12</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">15.1 &#x000B1; 20.5</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">43%</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Doctor diagnosis</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">NA</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">CHD</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Race/ethnicity (white vs. non-white)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">7</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Ng, et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B43">43</xref>), 2020, Australia</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">school</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">4,430</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">retrospective</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">16</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">11.8 &#x000B1; 2.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">50%</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Self-reported</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">NA</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">NA</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Birth year, age at child survey, and gender</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">7</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Eftekhari, et a. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B33">33</xref>), 2016, Australia</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">community</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">10,413</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">prospective</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">11.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">73-78</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">100%</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Self-reported</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">HTN:33.0%, DM:7.3%, heart disease:13.1%, thrombosis:1.5%, stroke:2.7%</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">NA</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Age, demographic factors, thrombosis, osteoporosis, low iron level, HTN, DM, breast cancer, stroke, other major illness, residential area, social support</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">8</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Strand, et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B36">36</xref>), 2018, China</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">community</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">446,346</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">prospective</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">17</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">40.0 &#x000B1; 13.5</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">51%</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Self-reported</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">HTN:18.2%, DM:5.0%, heart disease/heart surgery/use of heart drugs:3.6%, stroke:0.5%</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">CHD, stroke</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Age, education, marital status, smoking, alcohol consumption, physical activity, DM, HTN, BMI, TC, TG, history of heart disease/heart surgery/use of heart drugs and history of stroke.</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">7</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Lemmetyinen et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B35">35</xref>), 2018, Finland</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">community</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">2,941</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">prospective</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">15.6</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x0003E;30</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">50%</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Doctor diagnosis and self-reported</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Allergic rhinitis:36.2%, Allergic conjunctivitis:27.6%, Atopic dermatitis:27.6%</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">ICD-10 (I05-I99)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Age, sex, pack-years, education, and BMI</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">8</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Cepelis et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B37">37</xref>), 2019, Norway</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">community</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">57,104</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">prospective</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">17.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x0003E;20</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">54%</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Self-reported</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">DM:2.2%, HTN:37.5%</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">AMI</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Age, sex, BMI, smoking status, alcohol use, physical activity, education level, TC/HDL ratio, HTN, DM</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">8</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Caffrey Osvald et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B38">38</xref>), 2020, Sweden</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">community</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">277,5430</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">retrospective</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">13.7</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">1-27</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">49%</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Doctor diagnosis</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">NA</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">NA</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Sex, prematurity, maternal age at delivery, maternal smoking during pregnancy, maternal country of birth, parental income, parental education</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">8</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">He et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B40">40</xref>), 2021, America</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">community</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">37,015</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">prospective</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">7.5</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">&#x0003E;20</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">52%</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Self-reported</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">DM:8.8%, CHD:3.3%, stroke:2.7%, cancer:9.3%, arthritis:24.1%</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">NA</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Age, sex, race, education, income, smoking status, BMI, DM, arthritis, CHD, stroke, cancer</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">7</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Huang et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B31">31</xref>), 2015, America</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">community</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">1,830</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">prospective</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">40</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">21-80</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">56%</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Doctor diagnosis</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">NA</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">NA</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Age, sex, education, BMI, smoking status and pack-years</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">8</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Pollevick et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B41">41</xref>), 2021, America</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">community</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">3,612</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">prospective</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">35</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">17-77</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">53%</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Doctor diagnosis</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">DM:2.4%</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">MI, angina, coronary insufficiency, stroke transient ischemic attack, HF</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Age, sex, HDL-C, TC, currently taking anti-HTN medications, systolic blood pressure, DM, currently smoking, obesity, and education</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">8</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Ng et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B39">39</xref>), 2021, Australia</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">school</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">2,153</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">prospective</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">20.2</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">32.4</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">50%</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Doctor diagnosis and self-reported</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">DM:2.5%, history of hay fever:33.0%</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">ICD-9 (390-459), ICD-10 (I00-99, G45)</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Birth year, age at child survey, and gender</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">7</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Tattersall et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B34">34</xref>), 2016, America</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">employees</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">1,267</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">prospective</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">13.9</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">47.3 &#x000B1; 8.0</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">44%</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">self-reported</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">HTN:29.4%, DM:3.0%</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">coronary death, MI, angina, stroke, coronary revascularization, HF</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Age, sex, smoking status, DM, lipid medications, HTN, BMI</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">7</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" align="left">Tattersall et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B32">32</xref>), 2015, America</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">community</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">6,792</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">prospective</td>
<td valign="top" align="center">9.1</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">62.2 &#x000B1; 10.3</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">52%</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">self-reported</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">DM:12.6%</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">CHD, stroke, angina</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">Age, race, sex, TC, HDL-C, systolic blood pressure, smoking, DM, anti-HTN and lipid-lowering medication use at baseline, BMI, family history of CVD, income</td>
<td valign="top" align="left">8</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</table-wrap></sec>
<sec>
<title>Association Between Asthma and All-Cause Mortality</title>
<p>Using the random-effects model, we analyzed 18 studies that included 20 subgroups (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="F2">Figure 2</xref>). Asthma patients had a 38% increased risk of death compared to people without asthma (RR = 1.38, 95% CI = 1.07&#x02013;1.77, p = 0.01, I<sup>2</sup> = 98%, <italic>p</italic> &#x0003C; 0.00001). Though considerable heterogeneity existed, most studies or subgroups (16 in 20) indicated an increased risk of mortality in asthma patients. We also found high heterogeneity, mainly because a large-scale study (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B27">27</xref>) conducted by Iribarren et al. in 2012 reported an outlier HR (3.28, 95% CI = 3.15&#x02013;3.41).</p>
<fig id="F2" position="float">
<label>Figure 2</label>
<caption><p>Forest plot shows association between asthma and all-cause mortality. SE, standard error; IV, Inverse Variance method; df, degrees of freedom; int, intermittent; per, persistent.</p></caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fcvm-09-861798-g0002.tif"/>
</fig>
<p>Five studies were included in the subgroup analysis of male and female patients using the random-effects model (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="F3">Figure 3</xref>). In male asthma patients, risk of all-cause mortality increased 52% compared to people without asthma, though this difference was not significant (RR = 1.52, 95% CI = 0.88&#x02013;2.62, <italic>p</italic> = 0.13; I<sup>2</sup> = 98%, <italic>p</italic> &#x0003C; 0.00001). In female patients, risk of all-cause mortality increased 90% compared to people without asthma (RR = 1.90, 95% CI = 1.20&#x02013;3.00, <italic>p</italic> = 0.006; I<sup>2</sup> = 96%, <italic>p</italic> &#x0003C; 0.00001).</p>
<fig id="F3" position="float">
<label>Figure 3</label>
<caption><p>Forest plot shows association between asthma and all-cause mortality in male and female patients. SE, standard error; IV, Inverse Variance method; df, degrees of freedom.</p></caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fcvm-09-861798-g0003.tif"/>
</fig></sec>
<sec>
<title>Association Between Asthma and CVD Morbidity</title>
<p>We analyzed 14 studies with a total of 24 subgroups (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="F4">Figure 4</xref>). The random-effects model showed that asthma patients had a 32% increased risk of CVD compared to people without asthma (RR = 1.28, 95% CI = 1.16&#x02013;1.40, <italic>p</italic> &#x0003C; 0.00001; I<sup>2</sup> = 85%, <italic>p</italic> &#x0003C; 0.00001). Thus, asthmatic status increases the risk of CVD morbidity.</p>
<fig id="F4" position="float">
<label>Figure 4</label>
<caption><p>Forest plot shows association between asthma and CVD morbidity. SE, standard error; IV, Inverse Variance method; df, degrees of freedom; HF, heart failure; CHD, coronary heart disease; a/f, adult female; a/m, adult male; c/f, child female; c/m, child male; int, intermittent; per, persistent.</p></caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fcvm-09-861798-g0004.tif"/>
</fig>
<p>In the subgroup analysis of early and late-onset asthma using the fixed-effects model, three studies had a total of five subgroups (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="F5">Figure 5</xref>). One study (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B34">34</xref>) defined early-onset as asthma onset prior to 18 years and late-onset as asthma onset at 18 years or older. The other two studies (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B25">25</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B42">42</xref>) applied the cutoffs of 40 years and 21 years. Early-onset asthma patients has a 26% increased risk of CVD compared to people without asthma (RR = 1.26, 95% CI = 1.02&#x02013;1.55, <italic>p</italic> = 0.03; I<sup>2</sup> = 46%, <italic>p</italic> = 0.12). Late-onset asthma patients had a 39% increased risk of CVD compared to people without asthma (RR = 1.39, 95% CI = 1.17&#x02013;1.66, <italic>p</italic> = 0.0002; I<sup>2</sup> = 37%, <italic>p</italic> = 0.17). This subgroup analysis reduced the heterogeneity of studies.</p>
<fig id="F5" position="float">
<label>Figure 5</label>
<caption><p>Forest plot shows association between asthma and CVD morbidity in early and late-onset asthma patients. SE, standard error; IV, Inverse Variance method; df, degrees of freedom; HF, heart failure; CHD, coronary heart disease; a/f, adult female; a/m, adult male; c/f, child female; c/m, child male.</p></caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fcvm-09-861798-g0005.tif"/>
</fig>
<p>In the subgroup analysis of male and female patients using the random-effects model, five studies had a total of six subgroups (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="F6">Figure 6</xref>). Male asthma patients had an 18% higher risk of CVD morbidity compared to people without asthma (RR = 1.19, 95% CI = 1.00&#x02013;1.41, p = 0.05; I<sup>2</sup> = 88%, <italic>p</italic> &#x0003C; 0.00001). Female asthma patients had a 37% higher risk of CVD compared to people without asthma (RR = 1.39, 95% CI = 1.20&#x02013;1.61, <italic>p</italic> &#x0003C; 0.00001; I<sup>2</sup> = 83%, <italic>p</italic> &#x0003C; 0.0001).</p>
<fig id="F6" position="float">
<label>Figure 6</label>
<caption><p>Forest plot shows association between asthma and CVD morbidity in male and female asthma patients. SE, standard error; IV, Inverse Variance method; df, degrees of freedom; a/f, adult female; a/m, adult male; c/f, child female; c/m, child male.</p></caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fcvm-09-861798-g0006.tif"/>
</fig></sec>
<sec>
<title>Association Between Asthma and CVD Mortality</title>
<p>Nine studies provided the outcomes of CVD mortality in asthma patients. These studies were summarized for the first time (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="F7">Figure 7</xref>). Data calculated by the fixed-effects model showed that asthma patients have a 25% increased risk of CVD mortality compared to people without asthma (RR = 1.25, 95% CI = 1.14&#x02013;1.38, <italic>p</italic> &#x0003C; 0.00001). There was no considerable heterogeneity between these studies (I<sup>2</sup> = 13%, <italic>p</italic> = 0.32). Eight of nine studies yielded an increased risk of CVD mortality in asthma patients. Six of nine studies were regarded as high quality.</p>
<fig id="F7" position="float">
<label>Figure 7</label>
<caption><p>Forest plot shows association between asthma and CVD mortality. SE, standard error; IV, Inverse Variance method; df: degrees of freedom.</p></caption>
<graphic mimetype="image" mime-subtype="tiff" xlink:href="fcvm-09-861798-g0007.tif"/>
</fig></sec>
<sec>
<title>Sensitivity Analysis</title>
<p>We conducted sensitivity analysis to examine the robustness of the meta-analyses by omitting each study in turn and recalculating the pooled effect estimates (<xref ref-type="supplementary-material" rid="SM4">Supplementary Figures 4</xref>&#x02013;<xref ref-type="supplementary-material" rid="SM12">12</xref>). In male asthma patients, one study (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B27">27</xref>) altered the significantly increased risk of all-cause mortality to no significant difference. However, this study did not change the estimate significantly. Two subgroups of two studies (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B25">25</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B42">42</xref>) decreased the estimate of CVD morbidity in early-onset asthma patients significantly (<xref ref-type="supplementary-material" rid="SM9">Supplementary Figure 9</xref>). However, this may due to that two studies did not provide the overall estimate, and we input the grouping estimate (male, female and CHD, HF) provided by the studies. Overall mortality analysis has a I square of 98% (highly heterogenous), and we conducted sensitivity analysis by omitting two outliers [Colak et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B46">46</xref>) and Iribarren et al. (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B27">27</xref>)] and result still robust (<xref ref-type="supplementary-material" rid="SM13">Supplementary Figure 13</xref>).</p></sec>
<sec>
<title>Publication Bias</title>
<p>Publication bias was evaluated using funnel plots, and no clear asymmetry was found by visual inspection (<xref ref-type="supplementary-material" rid="SM1">Supplementary Figures 1</xref>&#x02013;<xref ref-type="supplementary-material" rid="SM3">3</xref>). We noted that one study (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B27">27</xref>) had relatively high loss to follow-up (24% of asthma subjects, 10% of control subjects) and had a significant outlier outcome (<xref ref-type="supplementary-material" rid="SM3">Supplementary Figure 3</xref>). Overall, no significant publication bias was found among the included observational cohort studies.</p></sec></sec>
<sec sec-type="discussion" id="s4">
<title>Discussion</title>
<p>In this systematic review, we found that asthma patients have a significantly increased risk of CVD morbidity and mortality and all-cause mortality. Male asthma patients had no significant increased risk of all-cause mortality, and lower risk of CVD morbidity and all-cause mortality than female asthma patients. In addition, early-onset asthma patients had a lower risk of CVD morbidity than late-onset asthma patients.</p>
<sec>
<title>Association Between Asthma and All-Cause Mortality</title>
<p>Finding that asthma patients have an increased risk of all-cause mortality confirms the results of a previous meta-analysis (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B14">14</xref>). However, a large-scale study (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B27">27</xref>) reporting a considerably high risk of all-cause mortality is the main reason for heterogeneity between studies and the most conspicuous outlier in the funnel diagram. We considered two main reasons for this outlier outcome. First, high loss to follow-up can bias the results. Second, the inclusion criteria for asthma patients were one hospitalization, two outpatient visits, or two emergency department visits for asthma within 12 months, whereas most of the other studies based the inclusion criteria on questionnaires about self-reported asthma history. Thus, all of the asthma patients in that study had active and more severe asthma and, therefore, higher CVD morbidity and mortality risk than non-active asthma patients (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B37">37</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B40">40</xref>).</p>
<p>Though asthma patients have an increased risk of all-cause mortality, only a small number of asthma patients die directly from asthma itself (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B35">35</xref>). Thus, an increased risk of death in asthma patients is mainly due to comorbidities. Asthma patients always have chronic inflammation and airway limitations, which can elevate the risk of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and type 2 diabetes (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B47">47</xref>). In addition, asthma medication can cause comorbidities. Inhaled corticosteroids may be related to osteoporosis, increased fracture risk, and pneumonia (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B48">48</xref>). Inhaled &#x003B2;2-agonist can increase the risk of CVD (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B49">49</xref>). Furthermore, suboptimal asthma control can limit physical activity and cause poor sleep quality, which could contribute to obesity, depression, and osteoporosis. All of these comorbidities can increase mortality in patients with asthma (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B48">48</xref>).</p>
<p>Subgroup analyses showed that male asthma patients have no significantly increased risk of all-cause mortality. We found the negative outcome in male asthma patients mainly because the large-scale study (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B27">27</xref>) provided a high outlier HR value with small CI. It broadened the CI for the all-cause mortality estimate in male asthma patients so that there was no significant increase. As mentioned above, patients in this large-scale study (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B27">27</xref>) had active and more severe asthma, which resulted in the high outlier RR value. The other four studies in this subgroup analysis relied on exposure history of asthma, which also includes non-active or mild asthma patients. However, sensitivity analysis showed that this study did not significantly increase the estimate. Therefore, we still concluded that male asthma patients have a 52% increase in all-cause mortality, though this difference was not significant.</p></sec>
<sec>
<title>Association Between Asthma and CVD Morbidity and Mortality</title>
<p>We found that asthma patients have a increased risk of CVD morbidity and mortality than people without asthma. Finding an increased risk of CVD morbidity in asthma patients is consistent with a previous meta-analysis (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B13">13</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B14">14</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B50">50</xref>). The biological mechanism by which asthma causes and aggravates CVD is still unclear. However, some mechanisms have been suggested. First, asthma and CVD share some risk factors, such as smoking and chronic inflammation (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7">7</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B51">51</xref>). Asthma can cause inflammation not only in the airway, but also in the whole body (systemic). Prior studies found that colchicine can reduce the incidence rate of CVD to 69%, strongly suggesting that inflammation takes part in the start and progression of CVD (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B52">52</xref>). Second, asthma patients have an increased risk of chronic airflow obstruction, which can cause lung function decline (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B53">53</xref>). Impaired lung function is associated with increased levels of inflammatory biomarkers in the circulation (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B54">54</xref>) and inflammation. Third, asthma medication can cause CVD. Inhaled &#x003B2;2-agonists are associated with an increased risk of adverse cardiovascular outcomes (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B49">49</xref>).</p>
<p>Subgroup analyses indicate that both male and female asthma patients have a significantly increased risk of CVD morbidity. This outcome is in contrast to a previous meta-analysis (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B13">13</xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B14">14</xref>) that found no significantly increased risk of CVD morbidity in male asthma patients. Our finding confirmed that asthma patients have a significantly increased risk of CVD morbidity, regardless of gender. However, we noted that female asthma patients suffer from a higher increased risk of CVD morbidity than male asthma patients (39 vs. 19%). This gender difference may be associated with sex hormone. Some studies found that estrogen can cause low levels of systemic inflammation by modulating the release of proinflammatory cytokines and regulating the production of leukotrienes. In contrast, androgen may have anti-inflammation effects and protect against airway inflammation (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B25">25</xref>). As mentioned above, chronic inflammation is one of the risk factors for CVD. Therefore, for women, asthmatic state and estrogen effects can cause increased CVD risk through chronic inflammation.</p>
<p>Subgroup analyses showed that both early and late-onset asthma patients have a significantly increased risk of CVD morbidity. However, late-onset asthma patients have a higher increased risk than early-onset asthma patients (39 vs. 26%). Early and late-onset asthma patients may have different epidemiological characteristics. Most early-onset asthma cases are caused by allergy, whereas late-onset asthma has a complex etiology, such as smoking, occupational, and non-allergic sensitizers, which are related to CVD risk. Moreover, CVD generally occurs among the elderly. Studies of early-onset asthma had difficulties in following participants until their elderly years, which means that their follow-up was relatively insufficient to meet the outcomes of CVD.</p></sec></sec>
<sec id="s5">
<title>Limitations</title>
<p>The conclusions gained from this study are weakened by the inherent limitations of meta-analyses and observational cohort studies. Although most studies included reported adjusted estimates, the confounding factors of each study were not exactly the same. In addition, some of studies did not adjust for confounding factors. This led to an increased risk of bias in our meta-analysis. Furthermore, most estimates had high heterogeneity, probably because the population characteristics, diagnostic criteria for asthma, and definition of CVD in each study were not completely identical. Finally, all the included data were aggregate, and no individual-level data were available.</p></sec>
<sec sec-type="conclusions" id="s6">
<title>Conclusion</title>
<p>Our study provides evidence that asthma patients have increased risk of all-cause mortality and CVD morbidity and mortality. In addition, subgroup analyses showed that female asthma patients have a higher risk of all-cause mortality and CVD morbidity, and that late-onset asthma patients have higher risk of CVD morbidity. This information reminds clinicians to be aware of the risk of CVD and all-cause mortality in asthma patients.</p></sec>
<sec sec-type="data-availability" id="s7">
<title>Data Availability Statement</title>
<p>The original contributions presented in the study are included in the article/<xref ref-type="supplementary-material" rid="SM1">Supplementary Material</xref>, further inquiries can be directed to the corresponding author.</p></sec>
<sec id="s8">
<title>Author Contributions</title>
<p>Z-FL: analysis of data, interpretation results, and drafting and editing the article. BZ, Z-YA, DL, A-JS, QR, and W-BC: design of study, solution of problem, and reviewing the article. LZ, J-YW, M-DH, and Y-JJ: extraction of data and assessment of articles quality. All authors contributed to the article and approved this version of article.</p></sec>
<sec sec-type="funding-information" id="s9">
<title>Funding</title>
<p>The study was financially supported by the Youth Project of Guangdong Provincial Medical Research Fund (Grant No. B2021353), Outstanding Youth Fund Projects of Jiangmen Central Hospital (Grant Nos. J202101 and J202003), the project of Fundamental Research Funds of Jiangmen Central Hospital (Grant No. D201901), and the projects of Jiangmen City Science and Technology Plans (Grant Nos. 2021YLA01033, 2020YLA100, and 2020YLA133).</p></sec>
<sec sec-type="COI-statement" id="conf1">
<title>Conflict of Interest</title>
<p>The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.</p></sec>
<sec sec-type="disclaimer" id="s10">
<title>Publisher&#x00027;s Note</title>
<p>All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article, or claim that may be made by its manufacturer, is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.</p></sec>
</body>
<back><sec sec-type="supplementary-material" id="s11">
<title>Supplementary Material</title>
<p>The Supplementary Material for this article can be found online at: <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fcvm.2022.861798/full#supplementary-material">https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fcvm.2022.861798/full#supplementary-material</ext-link></p>
<supplementary-material xlink:href="Image_1.TIF" id="SM1" mimetype="image/tif" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">
<label>Supplementary Figure 1</label>
<caption><p>Funnel plot depicting publication bias for the association between asthma and CVD morbidity. SE, standard error; RR, relative risk.</p></caption> </supplementary-material>
<supplementary-material xlink:href="Image_2.TIF" id="SM2" mimetype="image/tif" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">
<label>Supplementary Figure 2</label>
<caption><p>Funnel plot depicting publication bias for the association between asthma and CVD mortality. SE, standard error; RR, relative risk.</p></caption> </supplementary-material>
<supplementary-material xlink:href="Image_3.TIF" id="SM3" mimetype="image/tif" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">
<label>Supplementary Figure 3</label>
<caption><p>Funnel plot depicting publication bias for the association between asthma and all-cause mortality. SE, standard error; RR, relative risk.</p></caption> </supplementary-material>
<supplementary-material xlink:href="Image_4.TIF" id="SM4" mimetype="image/tif" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">
<label>Supplementary Figure 4</label>
<caption><p>Sensitivity analysis of association between asthma and CVD morbidity. CI, confidential interval; HF, heart failure; CHD, coronary heart disease; a/f, adult female; a/m, adult male; c/f, child female; c/m, child male; int, intermittent; per, persistent.</p></caption> </supplementary-material>
<supplementary-material xlink:href="Image_5.TIF" id="SM5" mimetype="image/tif" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">
<label>Supplementary Figure 5</label>
<caption><p>Sensitivity analysis of association between asthma and CVD mortality. CI, confidential interval.</p></caption> </supplementary-material>
<supplementary-material xlink:href="Image_6.TIF" id="SM6" mimetype="image/tif" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">
<label>Supplementary Figure 6</label>
<caption><p>Sensitivity analysis of association between asthma and all-cause mortality. CI, confidential interval; int, intermittent; per, persistent.</p></caption> </supplementary-material>
<supplementary-material xlink:href="Image_7.TIF" id="SM7" mimetype="image/tif" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">
<label>Supplementary Figure 7</label>
<caption><p>Sensitivity analysis of association between asthma and all-cause mortality in male patients. CI, confidential interval.</p></caption> </supplementary-material>
<supplementary-material xlink:href="Image_8.TIF" id="SM8" mimetype="image/tif" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">
<label>Supplementary Figure 8</label>
<caption><p>Sensitivity analysis of association between asthma and all-cause mortality in female patients. CI, confidential interval.</p></caption> </supplementary-material>
<supplementary-material xlink:href="Image_9.TIF" id="SM9" mimetype="image/tif" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">
<label>Supplementary Figure 9</label>
<caption><p>Sensitivity analysis of association between asthma and CVD morbidity in early-onset patients. CI, confidential interval; HF, heart failure; CHD, coronary heart disease; a/f, adult female; a/m, adult male; c/f, child female; c/m, child male.</p></caption> </supplementary-material>
<supplementary-material xlink:href="Image_10.TIF" id="SM10" mimetype="image/tif" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">
<label>Supplementary Figure 10</label>
<caption><p>Sensitivity analysis of association between asthma and CVD morbidity in late-onset patients. CI, confidential interval; HF, heart failure; CHD, coronary heart disease; a/f, adult female; a/m, adult male; c/f, child female; c/m, child male.</p></caption> </supplementary-material>
<supplementary-material xlink:href="Image_11.TIF" id="SM11" mimetype="image/tif" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">
<label>Supplementary Figure 11</label>
<caption><p>Sensitivity analysis of association between asthma and CVD morbidity in male patients. CI, confidential interval; a/f, adult female; a/m, adult male; c/f, child female; c/m, child mal.</p></caption> </supplementary-material>
<supplementary-material xlink:href="Image_12.TIF" id="SM12" mimetype="image/tif" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">
<label>Supplementary Figure 12</label>
<caption><p>Sensitivity analysis of association between asthma and CVD morbidity in female patients. CI, confidential interval; a/f, adult female; a/m, adult male; c/f, child female; c/m, child male.</p></caption> </supplementary-material>
<supplementary-material xlink:href="Image_13.TIF" id="SM13" mimetype="image/tif" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">
<label>Supplementary Figure 13</label>
<caption><p>Sensitivity analysis of association between asthma and all-cause mortality by omitting two outliers. CI, confidential interval; int, intermittent; per, persistent.</p></caption> </supplementary-material>
<supplementary-material xlink:href="Table_1.DOCX" id="SM14" mimetype="application/vnd.openxmlformats-officedocument.wordprocessingml.document" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">
<label>Supplementary Table 1</label>
<caption><p>Search strategies.</p></caption> </supplementary-material>
<supplementary-material xlink:href="Table_2.DOCX" id="SM15" mimetype="application/vnd.openxmlformats-officedocument.wordprocessingml.document" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">
<label>Supplementary Table 2</label>
<caption><p>Newcastle-ottawa scale for assessing the quality of included studies.</p></caption> </supplementary-material>
<supplementary-material xlink:href="Table_3.DOCX" id="SM16" mimetype="application/vnd.openxmlformats-officedocument.wordprocessingml.document" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">
<label>Supplementary Table 3</label>
<caption><p>PRISMA 2009 checklist.</p></caption> </supplementary-material></sec>
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<glossary>
<def-list>
<title>Abbreviations</title>
<def-item><term>CVD</term>
<def><p>cardiovascular disease</p></def></def-item>
<def-item><term>CI</term>
<def><p>confidential interval</p></def></def-item>
<def-item><term>RR</term>
<def><p>relative risk</p></def></def-item>
<def-item><term>HR</term>
<def><p>hazard ratio</p></def></def-item>
<def-item><term>NOS</term>
<def><p>Newcastle-Ottawa Scale</p></def></def-item>
<def-item><term>PRISMA</term>
<def><p>Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses</p></def></def-item>
<def-item><term>MOOSE</term>
<def><p>Meta-Analysis of Observational Studies in Epidemiology</p></def></def-item>
<def-item><term>PROSPERO</term>
<def><p>Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews.</p></def></def-item>
</def-list>
</glossary> 
</back>
</article>